Go long gold first, then go short goldGold has tended to be volatile in the past two days. As I predicted a few days ago, after the sharp decline, gold may digest the sharp decline in a volatile manner. Although the current market fluctuations are not large, it is still profitable. Judging from the current trend, the short-term decline has been alleviated, and the bulls have the motivation to continue to rebound. However, last week's high black candlestick chart was engulfed, laying the foundation for bearishness this week. The overnight strong impact also failed to break through the 2365 key point, indicating that there are still a lot of short pressure above 2360. So overall I still tend to be bearish on gold.
However, gold has now fallen back to around 2340. Before gold fails to fall below the 2335-2330 area, gold bulls still have room to fight back. So for the time being, I will not be too bearish on gold. In terms of short-term trading, I think both long and short sides have the potential to make profits.
So it has fallen back to around 2340. We can first participate in short-term long gold. After gold rebounds, we can consider shorting gold at the right time!
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Xauusdsell
XAUUSD: 2368-2373 is a good short trading range
In the past day, gold reached a high of around 2364, just one step away from the resistance. Today's focus is still on whether the resistance is broken or not.
Judging from the current market situation, I still want to try the resistance. It depends on whether I can accumulate enough bullish power in the 2347-2334 range during the backtest. If I can, then there is hope for the first attempt at resistance today.
If I want to break through the resistance and achieve the resistance in the range of 2383-2391, there is little chance today. The focus is on tomorrow's data. If it is favorable to gold bulls, then this possibility will be greater.
Today's trading focus is on the resistance range of 2368-2373. If it can reach this position, it will be a better short trading area. If it cannot be reached, continue to maintain the strategy of going long at a low position.
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XAUUSD - short term is still completely on the buy side💎XAUUSD Analysis💎
🔸The short-time period gold rate continues to be retaining an uptrend, specifically after checking out the 2347 neckline yesterday. Therefore, nowadays it's far anticipated that gold will preserve to upward thrust to discover the resistance vicinity across the 2370-2375 threshold. You can bear in mind shopping for across the 2350-2355 vicinity, that is the vicinity touching the preceding fashion line.
⚜️BUY LIMIT XAUUSD⚜️
(The order takes impact inside 24 hours)
👉ENTRY 2348-2350
🔺SL 2344
❇️TP1 2356
❇️TP2 2362
❇️TP3 2370
--
Gold fee forecast
Thus, it's miles possibly that the Fed will nevertheless opposite economic coverage withinside the 2d 1/2 of of 2024. At that time, the USD may have issue ultimate at its contemporary level.
After hovering to 105.2 factors on the give up of ultimate week, the DXY index - measuring the fluctuation of the dollar towards 6 primary currencies - at the start of the May 28 session (US time) dropped to 104. ,four factors.
Gold costs extended sharply way to the commodity intently associated with gold, WTI oil, which extended through 1.5%, to almost 78.nine USD/barrel.
On Kitco, consistent with Kim Cramer Larsson, an professional from Saxo Bank, gold is once more in a fee growth after ultimate week`s plunge. Accordingly, if gold breaks the resistance threshold of 2,385 USD/ounce, gold will go back to its preceding uptrend. The goal can be 2,500 USD/ounce.
GOLD - The bulls completely dominated the marketGold Currently I see it reacting pretty definitely to the present day parallel Resistance Zone. In order for Gold to boom strongly returned to the 238x quarter or similarly to 24xx, Gold have to at the least spoil via this 2366 Reaction Zone soon. Otherwise, I bet there can be a time to check the 234x location once more, then Gold will boom strongly.
>Like Today you could confer with Gold`s Reaction Soup round paragraph 2351>2355 To Buy
SL 2348
TP 2365>237x
Currently, I see that Gold is walking absolutely at the Ma line, so I will wait and purchase once more following the response to Ma in Frames M30 and H1. Also, look ahead to response vs resistance on this location to shop for once more.
If you've got got any questions, please inbox me so I can proportion more
Gold’s rebound is a good opportunity to go shortAfter overnight short orders hit TP: 2343 this morning, gold has been fluctuating within the 2340-2345 area. Judging from the current gold trend, the downward trend of gold has slowed down, and it has rebounded again in the short term and exceeded the 2340-2345 area. But the weak situation has not changed.There are two voices in the current market. One is that gold has stopped falling and stabilized in the short term, and may continue to rebound, and may even hit 2400 again. The other voice is that gold’s rebound is weak and there is still room for decline.It may continue to fall to around 2300 after consolidation.
In fact, relatively speaking, I think gold cannot be characterized as a market reversal for the time being, but only a short-term rebound after the market crash. As evidenced by the fact that gold fell again after touching around 2357 today.Judging from the current trend, gold currently tends to fluctuate, but as far as the restorative market is concerned, the repair intensity is still lacking, so it is still not ruled out that gold will continue to fall after the shock;In addition, from the perspective of the U.S. dollar index, the U.S. dollar index has fallen significantly, while the short-term rebound of gold is far less than the decline of the U.S. dollar index, so the overall gold appears to be weaker. And as gold falls back to the 2340 area again, the upper pressure is stronger, so I expect gold’s short-term rebound to be limited.
So in terms of trading, I still tend to short gold after gold rebounds. The first thing to focus on is the 2360-2370 resistance area, especially the 2365 position area, which is a strong defensive area for short sellers. Below, we are still focusing on the 2335-2330 support area for the time being. This area is the starting point of the two rebounds and has a strong short-term support effect. However, any time this area is broken, it will be conducive to the outbreak of shorts!
2368 is the key point, a double bottom cannot be ruled out
Gold currently continues to focus on the resistance near 2368, which is the focus of the current trend shift, so if you are trading in the general trend, this position cannot be ignored.
If it cannot break through 2368, bulls may counterattack at any time, so the risk of going long at a low level is relatively small.
But once it breaks through 2368, you need to be wary of another outbreak of shorts. If you want to chase longs, you must be cautious. As long as there is profit, you must not be too greedy. Taking profits in time is the safe way to trade.
The view of the general trend remains unchanged, the strong resistance for rebound is 2368-2383-2391, and the short target is 2280-2230-2200. I wish everyone good luck and feel free to leave me a message if you have any questions.
27TH MAY GOLD ANALYSIS1. Introduction
Gold prices are highly influenced by various global economic factors, including the demand from major economies such as China. As a member of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa), China's economic strategies, including its moves to create a new currency to counter the US dollar, significantly impact gold prices. Currently, there are indications that the strength of buying gold in China is decreasing, which could have implications for the gold market.
2. Current Market Situation
As of today, we have identified two key selling zones for gold:
Sell Zone 1: $2347 - $2350
Sell Zone 2: $2365 - $2370
3. Impact of China's Gold Buying Strength
China has been a major player in the gold market, with its buying strength often acting as a significant support for gold prices. However, recent reports suggest a decrease in China's gold buying. This reduction can be attributed to several factors:
Economic Slowdown: China's economic growth has been slowing down, impacting its investment in commodities, including gold.
Policy Shifts : Changes in China's monetary policies and a focus on diversifying its reserves may also lead to reduced gold purchases.
BRICS Currency Initiative : As BRICS aims to create a new currency to challenge the US dollar, China may be reallocating its resources and strategic focus away from gold.
4. Implications for Gold Prices
The reduction in gold buying from China can lead to several potential impacts on gold prices:
Decreased Demand: With China being a significant buyer, a reduction in demand can lead to downward pressure on gold prices.
Market Sentiment: Market participants often take cues from major economies like China. A perceived lack of interest from China can result in bearish sentiment among other investors.
Geopolitical Factors: The BRICS' initiative to create a new currency may also introduce uncertainty and volatility in the currency and commodity markets, influencing gold prices.
5. Trading Strategy
Given the current situation, traders should consider the identified selling zones for potential trade setups:
Sell Zone 1 ($2347 - $2350): This zone represents a near-term resistance level where sellers might be active. Traders can look for bearish signals to enter short positions around this area.
Sell Zone 2 ($2365 - $2370) : This higher resistance zone could offer a more favorable risk-reward ratio for selling, especially if gold prices make a significant move upwards before facing resistance.
XAUUSD- Gold price cannot cool down in the short termGOLD nowadays is going for walks above the 235x zone. With this rhythm, on body D1, I see that the candles are going for walks absolutely above the MA. In addition, as on Zoom final night, I additionally stated that Gold will without difficulty react barely with the parallel resistance location at 2356>2360.
>If at this Beat Gold will increase strongly thru this Zone, it's miles probable that Gold will growth strongly once more with the aid of using 238x.
Today you may confer with Canh Buy GOLD round 2348>2352
SL 2346
TP 2360>237x.
Surely Gold can have mild declines. But for now, nowadays I will observe the primary Trend`s Plan to trade. If there's any new information, I will replace greater everyone ❤️❤️
Gold's fall is not enough, continue to short gold!Today, gold once again tested Friday's US market high near 2347 and continued to fall. It did not continue to sprint to the 2350-2355 area. Gold is still in the low-level shock repair stage. Moreover, there is some lack of strength during the rebound. Based on the current situation, gold may have to trade time for space. Gold's rebound failed to break through the 2350 level, so it is not too early to determine whether gold will stabilize and reverse upward. Only when gold's short-term heavy volume breaks through the 2350-2355 area will further rise and breakthrough be possible.
So in terms of trading, gold is still in a weak position until it breaks through the 2350-2355 area, so I would be more inclined to short gold. Then expect a new downtrend to break out.
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Gold (XAU/USD) ForecastThe provided chart is a daily candlestick chart for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on OANDA. Here’s a detailed analysis and summary of the chart:
Timeframe and Data:
- Timeframe: Daily (1D)
- Data Range: From early March 2024 to late May 2024
Price Analysis:
- Current Price: $2,355.55
- Price Movement: The price has shown an overall uptrend from March to mid-May 2024, followed by a consolidation and potential bearish reversal.
Technical Patterns and Indicators:
- Divergence Pattern:
- The chart indicates a divergence pattern, where the price has been making higher highs, but the volume has been decreasing. This divergence between price and volume suggests a weakening uptrend and potential bearish reversal.
- Resistance and Support Levels:
- Resistance Levels:
- A major resistance zone is marked around $2,397.52.
- The area just below the recent highs, approximately $2,350.00 to $2,370.00, is acting as an immediate resistance.
- Support Levels:
- Immediate support is marked around $2,300.00 to $2,320.00, which coincides with a previous consolidation area.
- The next significant support level is indicated at $2,283.39.
- Trendlines:
- An upward-sloping trendline can be seen connecting the higher lows from mid-March to mid-May 2024, suggesting an uptrend. However, the recent price action is testing this trendline.
- Another dotted trendline at the bottom highlights decreasing volume over time, reinforcing the divergence pattern.
- Sell Trigger and Target:
- A sell signal is suggested by the divergence pattern, indicating that gold may fall this week.
- Target Price: The sell target (TP) is marked at $2,280.00, suggesting a bearish move towards this level after breaking the immediate support.
Key Levels:
- Resistance Levels:
- Major resistance at around $2,397.52.
- Immediate resistance at approximately $2,350.00 to $2,370.00.
- Support Levels:
- Immediate support at around $2,300.00 to $2,320.00.
- Further support at the significant level of $2,283.39.
Trade Setup:
- Bearish Scenario: The divergence pattern suggests a potential bearish scenario. If the price breaks below the immediate support level of $2,300.00, a move towards the sell target at $2,280.00 is likely. The weakening volume adds to the bearish sentiment.
- Bullish Scenario: For a bullish outlook, the price needs to break and sustain above the resistance zone around $2,370.00 to $2,397.52. This could invalidate the divergence pattern and suggest further upside potential.
Conclusion:
The chart for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) indicates a potential bearish scenario with the formation of a divergence pattern, where higher prices are met with lower volumes. A break below the immediate support level of $2,300.00 could trigger a move towards the sell target at $2,280.00. Traders should look for confirmed breakouts from key levels to make informed trading decisions. The resistance zone around $2,350.00 to $2,397.52 and the support levels at $2,300.00 and $2,283.39 are crucial levels to watch.
XAUUSD:Bulls still have another chance to attack
Gold began to rebound after falling to near the starting point of this rise. Now it is approaching the resistance level, the indicators have begun to weaken, and it is facing another direction choice.
If it breaks through, there will be a large rise, followed by a downward trend. If it cannot break through and falls back first, it means there is another chance for an upward move, so the trading strategy is to go long at a low level.
In the large-level time cycle, shorts are still the main force, with strong rebound resistance at 2368-2383-2391. The short trend of the large-scale cycle still maintains around 2280 or even around 2230-2200.
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💡 XAUUSD: Analysis May 24Gold had its second sharp decline in a row, continuing to create a price bar in the form of a bearish marubozu candlestick pattern with a wide range, showing that the downward price thrust is maintained. The false break that created the bull trap above is actually forming a downward thrust in accordance with technical analysis theory. Gold D1 chart structure is currently moving sideways in a bullish trend.
H1 gold continues to have a downward momentum with strong momentum, shown by its high slope and price behavior sticking along the lower border to go down. The bearish model in the form of a Parabolic Curve also confirms a strong downward force, but an excessive state may have formed, making it easier to rebound than to continue decreasing. Today's expectation for H1 Gold is to catch the rebound to sell down from above, not chase down from below.
💡 H1 trend: Gold decreases.
Today trading idea: Sell gold.
💡 XAUUSD: Analysis May 27After 3 consecutive days of decline, especially the last 2 days of strong decline, Gold D1 rebounded at the end of the week. But considering that bar D1 increased with a narrow amplitude and an upper shadow, and closed below half of the amplitude, the upward push was insignificant, and was even still blocked from selling from above. D1 Gold chart structure is reflecting a sideways trend in favor of price increases.
The main trend of H1 Gold is still down, shown by the gradually lower top and bottom structure. The current bullish cross pullback period can create a bear flag pattern - a chart pattern that continues the downward price trend. The main trend of H1 Gold today is to wait for selling from the resistances above.
💡 H1 trend: Gold moves sideways.
Today trading idea: Sell Gold.
XAUUSD - still full of potential for investorsLast week, international gold fees continuously "plunged" after breaking all of the information conquered in April. Kitco News`s present day weekly gold survey consequences confirmed that greater than 3-quarters of professionals accept as true with gold fees are strong or will fall withinside the close to term, at the same time as 1/2 of of retail buyers nonetheless accept as true with the treasured steel may want to pass better withinside the coming days.
Looking at gold's fluctuations remaining week, senior marketplace analyst Darin Newsom of Barchart.com stated that gold is probably to say no this week.
Sharing the equal view, Bannockburn Global the Forex market CEO Marc Chandler additionally sees similarly disadvantage dangers for gold withinside the close to future. According to Chandler, the cause gold set a document excessive early remaining week at 2,450 USD/ounce became due to the fact the marketplace reacted to facts associated with the coincidence that claimed the lifestyles of the President of Iran. However, the power of the USD triggered gold to be offered off and plummet to almost 2,three hundred USD/ounce.
Besides, the lower in call for for gold from Chinese buyers is likewise a drawback for this treasured steel. Chandler forecasts that gold's preliminary resistance this week is at $2,375/ounce. Support is withinside the variety of $2,275 to $2,three hundred according to ounce.
Market strategist Colin Cieszynski of SIA Wealth Management is impartial on gold this week. He stated that the gold marketplace may be quiet this week with out essential events.
Reports launched this week include: Consumer self assurance record, initial record on GDP withinside the first sector of the US, weekly unemployment gain applications, pending domestic sales, Personal intake expenditure reviews at the side of non-public profits reviews withinside the US.
Meanwhile, Chairman Adrian Day of Adrian Day Asset Management believes withinside the power of gold with the expectancy that the marketplace will witness a healing after a first-rate sell-off remaining weekend. Gold's resilience to any decline in fees during the last 3 months has been astonishing, he stated.
Sharing the equal positive view, senior commodity dealer Daniel Pavilonis of RJO Futures stated that the latest decline in gold fees simplest lasted for a brief time and that is a shopping for possibility for buyers. Pavilonis predicts that this treasured steel will probably boom to 3,000 USD/ounce. If the Fed loosens financial policy, gold fees will boom even greater.
XAUUSD Forecast - Short Term SellThe chart shows the 4-hour candlestick pattern for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the US Dollar on the OANDA platform, with the current price at approximately $2340.26.
Key Observations:
1. Current Price and Recent Movement:
- The current price is $2340.26.
- The recent price action shows a decline of 1.16%, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
2. Trendline and Support Levels:
- There is a clear ascending trendline that has been acting as support since early April.
- The price has recently broken below this ascending trendline, suggesting potential further downside.
3. Support and Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Resistance: Around $2397.515, where the price has previously encountered resistance.
- Immediate Support: At approximately $2279.895, a previous low and potential support level.
4. Possible Scenarios:
- Bullish Scenario:
- If the price manages to hold above the immediate support at $2279.895 and breaks back above the ascending trendline, it could retest the resistance at $2397.515.
- Bearish Scenario:
- If the price continues to fall and breaches the support at $2279.895, it could see further declines.
5. Volume and Market Sentiment:
- The recent drop below the trendline with a significant decline suggests a bearish sentiment in the market.
- Monitoring volume and any potential reversal patterns around support levels will be crucial for determining future price movements.
Summary:
The 4-hour chart for XAUUSD shows that gold is currently experiencing a bearish trend, having recently broken below a significant ascending trendline. The price is facing immediate resistance at $2397.515 and has support at $2279.895. The breach of the trendline suggests potential further downside unless the price can reclaim this trendline and move higher, targeting the resistance. Traders should watch for a possible rebound at the support level or a continuation of the bearish trend if support fails to hold.
The decline is just the beginning, continue to short gold!Gold today maintained a volatile trend overall, and began to rebound with 2325 as support. It is currently trading near 2340. So after the sharp decline, has gold stabilized and rebounded?
Actually, I don’t think so. I said yesterday that since gold has not rebounded in retaliation after falling by $100, gold will only absorb the plunge in a volatile manner. Gold is currently performing very weakly during the rebound and cannot even break through the 2345 position. In addition, 2350 is the position where the decline accelerated after falling below the level yesterday. If gold cannot recover for a long time, there is still room for gold to continue to fall.
The current rebound of gold is not particularly strong. Gold may build a relay platform near the 2340 position, so I think the gold downward trend is far from over. After the end of the shock, gold will continue to fall, targeting 2300 or even the 2280 position area.
Gold is currently facing short-term resistance in the 2345-2350 area. In the next transactions, I will still focus on shorting gold, and then watch a new round of downward trend break out.
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XAUUSD:2280 is just around the corner
The current shape of gold is similar to the head and shoulders. Analyzing the shape combined with indicators, there is a high probability that it will rise first and try resistance. Therefore, the trading strategy continues to be long first and then short, focusing on the 2358-2369 range.
If a head and shoulders are formed, a decline to 2280 is inevitable. At that time, the large-cycle graph will have a double top.
If the shorts are strong, it is very likely that this time it will fall to the 2230-2200 line, and then a large-cycle upward trend will be formed. Therefore, the market is currently brewing a new opportunity, and I hope everyone can seize it!
💡 XAUUSD: Analysis May 23Gold had a strong decline yesterday, creating bar D1 with a wide range and closing close to the bottom, showing strong selling pressure during the day. This down day officially closed below bar D1, creating a bearish pinbar that formed a false break above, thus confirming this false break. This is a technical factor that can cause Gold D1 to slow down and keep moving sideways but not increasing again. Gold D1's chart structure is currently cumulative in the price range, with the main tendency to increase. Gold falling and closing below the round number of 2,400 is also a technical factor for weakness.
The downtrend for H1 Gold has formed after a strong price decline and the recent establishment of a new low price bottom. Both bearish momentum and structure support the idea of waiting to sell for H1 Gold today, supported by price action confirming a false break at D1. The selling zone for Gold H1 today will be the confluence of the round number 2,400 above. Because Gold is currently touching support and breaking out of the lower border, showing the possibility of being oversold, selling to the bottom will no longer be a priority.
💡 H1 trend: Gold decreases.
Today trading idea: Sell Gold.
Gold loses key defense, short gold on rebound!Gold continues to fall sharply today. In recent days, we have basically maintained a short trading rhythm, so the profits we have made recently are still very good. Today we shorted gold near the 2368 position and successfully hit TP: 2357; just now we went long gold near the 2342 position and successfully hit TP: 2350 during the rebound of gold. Today, both the long and short sides have achieved good results! After our 19-game winning streak was interrupted overnight, we achieved another 2-game winning streak!
At present, the short energy of gold is strong, and the short trend is very obvious. And today, gold fell below the key support areas of 2350 and 2342 during its decline. Then the space below gold has been completely opened in the short term, so gold is likely to fall further. The performance of gold during the rebound can be used as auxiliary verification. Gold did not rebound strongly after the sharp decline. The bulls had no ability to resist and even lost the key support defense of 2350 and 2342. Coupled with the cashing out of early bull profits and the rising market following sentiment, gold will continue to be in a weak position in a short period of time, and gold may continue to fall to the 2320-2315 area, or even the 2285-2280 area.
So in the next trading, don't see that gold has fallen so much and just go long gold based on your feeling; we should follow the trend and look for opportunities to short gold. As the resistance area continues to move downwards, we will first focus on the 2350-2355 resistance area, followed by the 2360-2365 resistance area.
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Gold will fall after the rebound, so go short gold!The Federal Reserve's monetary policy is hawkish, and some officials even stated that they can continue to raise interest rates if inflation rises, causing a large-scale withdrawal of market interest rate cut expectations. Gold has plummeted all the way, and the current lowest has reached around 2355.Although gold has rebounded in the short term, the overall rebound is still weak.
It is not easy to accurately determine what rhythm gold will maintain after experiencing a sharp decline.But the decline has definitely slowed down, and since gold appears weak during the rebound, gold may not see a retaliatory rebound in the future, and may digest the sharp decline with shocks. It is expected that the rebound of gold will be limited, so we still have to maintain the trading idea of short selling at high levels in our transactions.
At present, gold faces short-term resistance in the 2370-2375 area, which is also the short-term top-to-bottom conversion area. So if gold rebounds and hits this resistance area, I would definitely try to short gold first.
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XAUUSD:Long first, then short
Gold continues to fall. It has dropped nearly 60$ from 2410 to now. The current main support is around 2352. The trading is long first and then short. On the rebound, focus on the resistance near 2378.
There is data today, please pay attention to risk control when trading during U.S. market time. Friends who want to follow my trading data, please contact me in advance.