Xauusdsell
NFP Set to Rock Gold: Last Opportunity for a Well-Timed ShortMarket analysis: Brothers, today's gold market continues to be bearish! The short orders arranged before the release of yesterday's data have brought us a lot of benefits, and we have seized the lucrative profits of the decline in gold. Tonight, heavy data will be released one after another: the US October non-farm employment data, unemployment rate and ISM manufacturing PMI index will form a triple impact on the gold market.
These data are expected to put bearish pressure on gold, but considering the sharp drop the day before, today's downside may be limited because the market has partially digested the bad news. Therefore, today may be the last short-selling opportunity this week. Next week, with the landing of the US election, the market is expected to turn to favor gold.
So how to arrange it, you can look at the candlestick chart, 2756-2758 is currently an important pressure point, so the strategy before the data is released is to short the market near this pressure point!
Trading strategy:
Layout before data release: short in the key pressure area of gold
Take profit target: 2735-2740
Stop loss setting: 2770
Strategy ideas to follow the trend: As the last trading day of this week, we will arrange short orders before the data is released, and start to arrange long orders next week to follow the trend.
Detailed strategies and operation points have been released to each VIP member. If you need further guidance, please join the VIP group to get exclusive strategies!
What Should You Do if You Hold Long Positions Between 2770-2750?Today, influenced by negative data, gold experienced a significant drop. After completing the take profit on my short positions, I entered long trades. I believe many of you are in a similar situation, holding long positions in the 2767-2730 range, which has led to our accounts being in a trapped state.
However, after such a large decline, a market rebound is inevitable. As long as we hold our positions firmly, we can at least expect a rebound to around 2760. Additionally, tomorrow's NFP data and unemployment rate will be released, along with several other minor data points that will certainly contribute to increased market volatility.
If the price rebounds to around 2760 before the data is published, then under negative data conditions, it is likely to drop again. However, if the price does not rebound to this level, gold will not drop too much under negative data, with 2721-2712 being an acceptable range.
In this context, next week's trading will definitely focus on long positions. So, if your orders are also in a trapped state, there’s no need to worry too much. The market always has its ups and downs; stay confident and seize the opportunities for a rebound. In the end, we will achieve better results.
NFP Ahead: Targeted Short Strategy for Optimal GainsMarket Insight: Great work today on capturing profits with the short trade, everyone! My VIP members and I have made impressive gains. If you're interested in continuing to secure these returns, reach out to me directly—we’re setting up for a major strategic move.
With most key economic releases for the week showing bearish outcomes, tomorrow brings one more critical release: the U.S. October Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, which is highly likely to impact gold negatively. We’ll continue focusing on short positions for the remainder of this week. Looking ahead, however, as the U.S. election concludes next week, we anticipate a potential shift, at which point we’ll pivot to long strategies to capture possible upside momentum.
Current Gold Trading Strategy:
Entry Level: Short gold at 2740
Take-Profit Target: 2730
Stop-Loss: 2750
Exclusive Member Strategy Update: This strategy will only be shared once today. For tomorrow’s detailed NFP trading plan, I’ll be providing specific guidance exclusively to my VIP members. If you’d like to join and get access to tailored strategies, reach out now!
Gold- Where is the next 1k pips trade?As I've outlined in both written and video analyses on FOREXCOM:XAUUSD , I’m anticipating a substantial pullback in gold prices.
Let’s look at this objectively: just as trees don't grow to the sky, neither does Gold.
With a remarkable 2,000-pip rally over the last 20 days, the likelihood of a meaningful retracement is increasing.
Each new high reached only makes a sharper pullback more probable.
That said, I’m not rigidly fixed on one outlook.
In yesterday’s analysis, I noted that a new all-time high seemed highly probable.
Acting on this, I opened a small long position after observing a buildup consolidation just under the previous ATH, which I closed at 2770.
The key question now isn’t whether gold will start pulling back, but rather where that pullback will begin.
On the 1-hour chart, since the low near 2600 on October 10th, Gold has been trading within an ascending channel.
Each time the price touches the upper boundary of this channel, it has reversed back down. Based on this behavior, I anticipate a similar reaction if gold approaches or slightly exceeds 2800, and I plan to fade any move above that level.
In conclusion, for those looking at potential 1,000-pip opportunities, I believe the short side currently holds more promise. In the short term, a retracement toward 2700 seems more realistic than an extension to 2900.
P.S: Looking at previous times when Gold has made ATHs, the reversal from the top has been more than 1000 pips.
XAUUSD: Shorting Range: 2796-2807The market is currently closed. On the 2-hour chart, there are three long lower shadows, indicating strong support below. Although the MACD indicator is facing a bearish crossover, the presence of this strong support suggests a potential for a second surge in volume.
Therefore, during tomorrow's Asian and European trading sessions, if the support level in the 2780-2776 range holds, gold is likely to break above the 2790 high and test the psychological level of 2800.
Additionally, tomorrow during the U.S. session, we will have the initial jobless claims data released, which I expect to have a bearish impact on gold. Consequently, the overall trading strategy for tomorrow will be to go long first and then short later.
The trading range will be set with 2796-2807 as the high range and 2772-2767 as the low range.
Data is approaching: Plan short-selling strategies in advanceMarket Analysis: With the upcoming release of the “U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 26” and the “U.S. Core PCE Price Index Year-on-Year for September,” we anticipate significant market volatility in gold. My personal forecast leans towards a bearish impact on gold prices, especially given the positive indicators from various economic data released in October. Thus, the likelihood of tonight’s data being bearish for gold is high. We can proactively establish a short position ahead of the data release.
Pre-Data Release Gold Trading Strategy:
Entry Range: Short gold between 2780-2782
Take-Profit Target: 2772
Stop-Loss: 2790
Risk Management and Operational Advice: Post-data release, if profits are realized, it’s advisable to take immediate profits, as the market may reverse following the data announcement. I will also provide subsequent trading strategies after the data is released, so please stay tuned for updates to adapt your trading approach.
Gold : Leveraging Double Top Pattern and Support AnalysisToday, I shared a short strategy, selling in the 2787-2791 range, with a target set at 2783-2779 and a stop loss at 2792. This is a smaller range signal.
The reason for the sell signal is the double top pattern observed on the 30-minute chart, along with the break of MA5 and MA10. I see this as a solid selling opportunity, with the main target being MA60. During the New York session yesterday, gold found support at MA60 twice, with long lower wicks, indicating strong support. Typically, longer upper wicks suggest stronger resistance, while longer lower wicks indicate stronger support.
I hope this trading tip helps everyone—don’t forget to accumulate your knowledge!
XAUUSD: Short In The 2780-2800 RangeYesterday, gold prices experienced a significant surge, reaching a high of 2790, which is very close to the psychological level of 2800. In the near term, bullish sentiment is likely to continue probing this important threshold until prices approach 2800. However, it's important to note that due to this substantial increase, market indicators have begun to show divergence, and there is a high probability of a deeper pullback in the short term. From a technical standpoint, the expected pullback should occur in the range of 2770 to 2760. Only after repairing these indicators is there a likelihood for another price increase. Thus, the high point near 2790 will certainly not be a singular peak; there should at least be one more opportunity to revisit this price level.
Additionally, this week is an important data week that occurs once a month, and market volatility on Thursday and Friday will likely intensify. Regarding the data being released this Friday, I believe it poses a significant downside risk for gold. Therefore, if you are holding short positions and find yourself trapped, as long as your account balance is sufficient, there is no need to worry excessively. You can navigate market fluctuations through hedging strategies or multiple directional trades, making it entirely feasible to extricate yourself from this predicament.
Gold: It's Time To FallAfter the Asian session opened, gold initially dropped but found support around 2739, consolidating for an hour before a direct rise. The MA5 and MA10 support levels remained strong, but with these now broken, it's likely time to aim for MA60.
I’ve taken significant sell positions above 2750 and plan to hold until the 2747-2742 range.
XAUUSD: Sell, Target 2745-2736Today, I highlighted the likelihood of a gold pullback near 2754, with support in the 2745-2736 range. As expected, the price dipped to around 2746, delivering solid profits for those who followed this strategy.
Currently, DXY shows signs of an uptrend, which could intensify during the U.S. session, likely pressuring gold to drop further. Support remains focused on the 2745-2736 range, with a stronger DXY potentially pushing gold down to around 2732. For resistance, continue to reference the 2752-2758 zone.
Gold's Range-Bound Market: Patience for the Downside OpportunityYesterday, gold spent its last 7 hours hovering within the 2740-2746 range. I was constantly waiting for a breakout to the downside, holding short positions in the 2739-2746 zone, but it didn’t deliver by the close. If it weren’t for trading USOUL, which kept me engaged, I might have dozed off!
After recent volatility, this calm has felt quite unsteady. Today, I still expect a drop. Many of my regulars needed to rest, so I advised them to set their take-profit at 2739 before logging off. I’ll stay on, keeping an eye out for the market to drop.
For now, the focus is solely on 2739. Once the order closes, I’ll rest and resume trading after the European session opens. I’ve marked zones on the gold chart; if you want to trade on your own before I release a new signal, feel free to use these references. The range is tight, so any gains or losses should be modest.
If you profit, fantastic! If not, don’t worry; I’m confident I can help recover those few pips in no time.
Escalating Middle East Tensions and Gold Trading StrategyIsrael has launched an attack on Iran, but the missiles were intercepted by Iran's air defense system, resulting in minimal casualties. Interestingly, in the attacked areas, people stood on rooftops to watch the “fireworks,” which is quite a humorous image. The response from Iran regarding this attack will be important to monitor.
Regardless, the war continues, and for gold, another rise seems inevitable. After the market opens on Monday, I believe we can pursue the bullish trend. When the price approaches previous highs, we should close our long positions and begin selling, aiming for a small swing trade. If the price gets near MA20 and shows strong support, we can continue to buy; if not, we’ll consider buying again near MA60.
XAUUSD: Trading In The 2720-2740 RangeI'm not sure if everyone followed the signals before last Friday's close, but if you did, today's trade should definitely be profitable.
Currently, after filling the gap from today’s lower opening, gold has once again begun to decline, forming a pattern similar to a double top. While there is some support at the current level, it is not strong. From the perspective of the ascending trend, strong support should be around 2722, while the horizontal support from the head and shoulders pattern lies in the 2718-2712 range.
By connecting the high point from last Friday's close to the high point of today's rebound, we can identify a downtrend, with resistance located near 2737. Therefore, today's subsequent trading will primarily focus on the range between 2740 - 2720. If the trend breaks, we will need to adjust our strategy accordingly.
Strategic Gold Trading in NFP Week: Steady PositioningStrategy Overview: This week, marked by the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data release, is likely to see limited market movement in the initial days (Monday and Tuesday) with price oscillations predominantly within a narrow range. Main volatility is expected between Wednesday and Friday evening. Based on last Friday’s daily chart analysis, gold prices are consolidating within the 2720-2740 range. Accordingly, today and tomorrow’s strategy involves maintaining positions within this range, employing a cautious approach.
Specific Trade Setups:
Enter long positions on gold between the 2725-2728 range
Initiate short positions on gold between the 2737-2739 range
Trading Mindset: Maintain composure, adhere strictly to the strategy, and seek optimal entries to capitalize on potential price swings during NFP week.
GOLD with two probabilities for 10/28/2024GOLD with a high probability to make the decision for 10/28/2024 ✅️ :
🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss.
🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD: Head And Shoulders, Continue To SellYesterday, after experiencing a rebound, gold faced resistance again and pulled back, which is largely in line with our expectations, allowing everyone to achieve good profits. Currently, the short-term trend remains downward. As I mentioned yesterday, we are primarily watching the key support zone between 2718 and 2712.
Today, gold touched this support area again and rebounded, but it did not break through the resistance of the downward trend. Therefore, our trading strategy continues to focus on selling.
At the same time, we should closely monitor the performance of the support zone. If this support is effectively breached, I believe the subsequent decline could be significant, and breaking below 2700 is likely, with an expectation to reach below 2690.
This encapsulates my main trading thoughts for the near future.
Continue short-term correction 2709 ! XAU⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) dipped during the Asian session on Friday, reversing part of the previous day's gains but staying within the week's trading range. With less than two weeks to the November 5 US presidential election, polls indicate a close race, adding political uncertainty. Combined with tensions in the Middle East, this uncertainty supports demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
However, the impact is tempered by renewed US Dollar (USD) strength, driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will take a cautious approach to easing policy. Recent US economic data has shown resilience, reducing the likelihood of a large rate cut in November, which supports the USD and pressures gold prices.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
H1 frame continues to adjust slightly downward - expected price range 2709 - 2680 for seller liquidity
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2750 - $2752 SL $2758
TP1: $2740
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2720
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2709 - $2711 SL $2704
TP1: $2718
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2740
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Short gold bravelyBros, I have been optimistic about shorting gold in the past two days. Today, I shorted gold near 2730 and closed the order at 2720, making a profit of 100 pips, which is relatively a good profit.
At present, gold has rebounded to around 2730 again, but judging from the strength of the rebound, it is expected that the rebound space of gold will be relatively limited, and the short-term resistance is in the 2730-2735 area. So for short-term trading, I am still optimistic about shorting gold. I think gold will at least try to test the 2705-2700 area.
Bros, fuck the bull market, let's sell gold happily together!
XAUUSD: There is a possibility of falling below 2700 todayYesterday we waited for the gold price to meet resistance at 2740 before selling, and the effect was very good. Today my strategy is still bearish. As long as 2740 is not effectively broken, the bearish view can be maintained.
From the 1H chart, after yesterday's failure to break through the 2740 resistance, the bearish pattern of the head and shoulders top has basically formed, and there is no problem with the lowest position of the head and shoulders top pointing below 2700 points. Therefore, even if today's sharp decline in the market after Black Friday is out, I am not surprised.
With the formation of a downward trend, the high point is definitely moving down, so today's selling point can be appropriately lowered a little, in the range of 2730-2740, the target is 2715 first, and then 2700
The above is today's trading strategy. Friends who need to copy my detailed signals and real-time operations can contact me, good luck everyone!
Week of Consistent Wins: Gold Strategy PositioningThis week’s gold strategy has achieved a remarkable 100% success rate, with those who closely followed the trades seeing a 200% profit—congratulations to everyone on consistent gains! Today marks the final trading day of the week, and this key setup will define our closing profitability for the week.
Fundamental Analysis:
The “U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 19” was a significant bearish driver for gold yesterday, leading to a sharp price drop. This further confirms the strengthening U.S. economy, which continues to weigh on gold. Today’s “October University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Final” will also reflect U.S. economic conditions and likely adds to the bearish sentiment on gold, presenting another trading opportunity.
Technical Analysis:
Although the daily chart previously formed a bullish engulfing pattern, this setup has invalidated as gold prices moved higher, and buying pressure increased. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has ceased its decline and is resuming an upward trajectory in the bullish region, signaling renewed buyer interest.
Today's Strategy:
Based on a combined analysis of fundamental and technical factors, today’s first move is to go long on gold, with a profit target at the 2733-2734 level. After the long position reaches the target, a short position can then be initiated with a profit target between 2720-2718.
Given the complex nature of today's trades, if you require my guidance or wish to join the VIP for more real-time strategies, feel free to reach out!