Analysis and Forecast of Gold Price Next WeekOn Friday evening, the spot gold price broke below the key support level of $3,000, which was in line with previous expectations. After reaching a phased high of $3,057, the market witnessed a rather significant downward movement.
However, the support at the $3,000 level was relatively strong. Although the price briefly fell below this level, it failed to stabilize effectively.
During the late trading session, the gold price rebounded technically and recovered to around $3,020.
Based on the current technical analysis and market sentiment, it is expected that the gold price will continue its weak downward trend next week, accompanied by certain corrective retracement.
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Xauusdsell
Next week's analysis has been written, please check itOn Mar 21, 2025, XAUUSD closed at 3023, with the lowest 2999.32 and the highest 3047.43. Previous support was 3000 and resistance was 3060. Now let's analyze new levels and the trend.
New Support and Resistance
Pivot Point Theory: From Huicong Finance data on Mar 21, 2025, the pivot point for XAUUSD is 3042.41, with support at 2995.85 and resistance at 3090.92.
Technical Analysis: On the 4 - hour chart, support is near 3027.26 (20 - day MA) and in 3011 - 2996.90 range. Resistance is around 3056.20 - 3057.25 (previous high) and 3070 - 3085.
Trend Analysis
Technical: The 5 - day MA (around 3030) and 20 - day MA (2950 - 2942) are in a bullish arrangement, but the price has deviated. The 4 - hour chart shows a possible completed correction, yet there are divergence signs, indicating potential profit - taking pressure.
Fundamental: Geopolitical tension in the Middle East persists, supporting gold. US economic data is weak, fueling recession concerns and safe - haven demand for gold. The market still anticipates Fed rate cuts, which would benefit gold.
In short, XAUUSD may range - trade between 3000 - 3060 in the short - term. A break above 3060 could lead to higher prices, while a break below 2995.85 may open up downward space.
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XAU/USD: Weekly Recap and Key Levels for Next WeekLast week, XAU/USD showed a pattern of high-level consolidation. After reaching the key psychological level of 3000 USD on March 17th, gold prices entered a sideways phase. On March 20th, gold hit a new all-time high of 3057 USD per ounce before pulling back. By March 22nd, gold prices had fallen for two straight trading days, briefly touching 2999 USD per ounce. However, dip-buying activity helped recover some of the losses.
From a technical perspective, the 5-day and 20-day moving averages remain in a bullish alignment. However, the price has deviated significantly from these averages, indicating a need for a technical correction.
Gold may continue its adjustment early next week, with support levels to watch in the 3000-3030 USD range. If geopolitical tensions do not escalate significantly, spot gold prices could test support near 2993 USD, though the likelihood of breaking below 3000 USD is low.
If gold prices fall below the 5-day moving average, they may further test the 20-day moving average support (2950.00-2942.00 USD). If the recent consolidation range is broken, the resistance levels to watch are the previous high of 3057 USD and beyond.
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Gold (XAU/USD) – Head & Shoulders Breakdown in Bearish Move🔍 Overview of the Chart & Market Context
This 15-minute Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart shows the formation of a classic Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. This pattern often indicates that buying momentum is weakening, and a significant price decline may follow.
Gold has been in a strong uptrend before forming this structure. However, after reaching a resistance zone at an all-time high (ATH), the market has failed to sustain its bullish momentum. The rejection from this level and the break of the neckline (support level) suggest that sellers are gaining control, leading to a potential bearish breakdown toward the downside target.
This setup provides a high-probability shorting opportunity if price action follows through with the bearish structure. Let’s analyze the different elements in detail.
📊 Understanding the Head & Shoulders Pattern in Detail
The Head & Shoulders is a well-known reversal pattern, and in this case, it forms at the top of an uptrend, indicating a shift in market sentiment. The key components of this pattern in the chart are:
1️⃣ Left Shoulder
Price made an initial rally, then faced rejection at a resistance level.
A retracement occurred, forming a swing low, which became part of the neckline support.
2️⃣ Head
Buyers attempted another push, creating a higher high.
However, the rally was unsustainable, as sellers pushed the price back down toward the neckline.
This forms the peak of the structure, marking the highest point before the reversal.
3️⃣ Right Shoulder
Another rally followed, but this time, buyers lacked strength.
The price failed to break the previous high (head level) and reversed downward.
This indicated that selling pressure was increasing, forming the right shoulder.
4️⃣ Neckline (Support Level)
This is the most critical level in this setup.
It connects the swing lows between the left shoulder and right shoulder.
Once the price breaks below this trendline support, the pattern is confirmed, triggering a bearish move.
📌 Key Technical Levels Identified
🔵 Resistance Level (+ ATH – All-Time High)
The blue box represents the strong resistance zone where gold faced rejection multiple times.
This level acted as a supply zone, preventing further bullish continuation.
📉 Neckline & Support Level
This trendline support (dotted black line) connected the lows between the left and right shoulders.
A clean break and retest of this level signal further downside movement.
🚨 Stop Loss Level ($3,048.777)
The ideal stop-loss placement is above the right shoulder to prevent getting stopped out by market noise.
If the price reclaims this level, it could invalidate the bearish thesis.
🎯 Target Level ($2,989.544)
The target is based on the measured move, calculated by taking the height from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward.
If the breakdown plays out successfully, we could see a move toward $2,989.544 or even lower.
📉 Trading Plan: Bearish Trade Setup
🔴 Short Trade Entry
Sell Entry: On the break & retest of the neckline (support turning into resistance).
Confirmation: A strong bearish candlestick (e.g., engulfing pattern) below the neckline.
🚨 Stop Loss (Risk Management)
SL Placement: Above the right shoulder ($3,048.777) to prevent false breakouts.
Reason: If price moves above this level, the pattern gets invalidated.
🎯 Profit Target (Take Profit)
Target Level: $2,989.544, based on the measured move.
Risk-to-Reward (RR) Ratio: Aiming for at least a 1:2 RR ratio, ensuring a profitable setup.
📌 Confirmation Signals for Stronger Conviction
For higher probability, traders should look for additional confirmations before entering the short position:
✔ Neckline Retest: After breaking below the neckline, price retests it as resistance before dropping further.
✔ Bearish Candlestick Pattern: Engulfing candles, shooting stars, or rejection wicks indicate strong selling pressure.
✔ Increased Volume on Breakdown: A spike in volume on the breakdown confirms strong market participation.
✔ RSI Divergence: A bearish divergence between price and RSI may signal trend exhaustion.
📉 Expected Price Action: What’s Next?
Based on this setup, if the bearish structure plays out as expected:
1️⃣ Price will retest the neckline as new resistance.
2️⃣ Sellers will step in, pushing the price lower.
3️⃣ Gold will continue downward toward the $2,989 support level.
4️⃣ If strong selling continues, price may drop even further beyond the target zone.
However, if price closes back above the right shoulder, the bearish setup gets invalidated, and traders should exit the short position immediately.
📌 Final Thoughts & Summary
Pattern Identified: Head & Shoulders (Bearish Reversal)
Market Bias: Bearish
Entry Trigger: Break & retest of the neckline
Stop-Loss Placement: Above the right shoulder ($3,048)
Take-Profit Target: $2,989
Risk Management: Ensure a minimum 1:2 RR ratio
📉 Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of bearish exhaustion after forming a Head & Shoulders pattern. A confirmed break below the neckline suggests that the price may continue its downward trajectory. Traders should wait for a proper retest before entering, use strict risk management, and monitor key technical indicators for confirmation.
Would you like me to provide an alternative trading plan if the price reverses? 🚀
Gold turns bearish in the short termGold has weakened once again, with the price dropping rapidly and breaking through the support level of 3022, heading towards the sub - 3000 zone.
The previous strong upward trend in the gold market has come to an end!
The price has dipped to test the 3000 level for the first time, and the market direction has turned bearish.
The bearish trend is now firmly established, so it is advisable to set aside long positions for now, as the market is currently dominated by bears.
Once the gold price rebounds and adjusts, short positions can be considered again.
XAUUSD
sell@3025-3030
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GOLD Finally Gave Bearish P.A , Short Setup Ready For You !Here is my opinion on Gold , and now the price closed below my support , and i`m waiting the price to retest it to enter a sell trade to take this 500 pips .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Analysis of Trading Strategies for the XAUUSD 1 - Hour ChartRecently, in the 1 - hour chart of XAU/USD, the upward channel has been broken downward, indicating that the short - term upward trend has temporarily stalled.
Currently, the price is in the buyer zone, which has certain support. If obvious signs of price stabilization emerge, such as formation of a bullish K - line combination, one can attempt to place long positions, and set the stop - loss at the key support level below this zone.
If the price rebounds to the seller zone and is blocked, short positions can be considered, with the stop - loss set above the zone.
XAUUSD
buy@3020-3030
tp:3040-3045-3050
sell@3040-3050
tp:3030-3020
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XAUUSD Today's strategyThe gold price fluctuates within the range we have marked. In the short term, both long and short positions are feasible. However, you must pay attention to setting the stop-loss level and avoid taking on excessive risks
Pay attention to when the upward pressure range will be broken through. Also, keep an eye on the 3010-3020 USD range on the downside. If this range is repeatedly tested, then there might be a short-term pullback to 3000 USD
Today's xauusd trading strategy
buy@3010-3020
SL:3005
tp:3040-3050
There are risks in trading. If you are not sure about the timing, it is best to leave me a message. This will better confirm the timing of the transaction, It can also better expand profits and reduce losses
XAUUSD: Profit-Taking and Trading StrategiesThe recent substantial rise in gold prices has prompted some investors to take profits, leading to a subsequent price pullback.
Additionally, the Federal Reserve has maintained the benchmark interest rate within the 4.25%-4.50% range. Projections suggest two rate cuts are likely in 2025.
The Fed's interest rate decision has once again disappointed the bears. Contrary to expectations of a decline, gold has surged to a new all-time high of $3056.
XAUUSD
buy@3035-3040
tp:3050-3055-3060
sell@3060-3070
tp:3055-3050-3045
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
XAUUSD Today's strategyAccording to the content of the FOMC meeting of the Federal Reserve, the Fed kept the target range of the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25% - 4.5%. The market had already had certain expectations for this, which to a certain extent provided a stable environment for the gold price and prevented the gold price from being pressured due to a significant strengthening of the US dollar.
From a technical perspective, the current bullish structure of gold is obvious. However, indicators show that a divergence has emerged after the continuous rise, and the price has entered a risky area for bulls after reaching $3040. Nevertheless, in the current market environment, the bullish trend remains relatively strong. Without a clear reversal signal, the gold price may continue to follow the upward trend.
Today's xauusd trading strategy
buy@3025-3030
SL:3020
tp:3050-3060
There are risks in trading. If you are not sure about the timing, it is best to leave me a message. This will better confirm the timing of the transaction, It can also better expand profits and reduce losses.
XAUUSD SELLWhat a surprising bullish move from XAUUSD, price kept on pushing, however since I have always believed in trade's basic principle, since we have seen a very massive bullish move from this instrument, I have been on Sell priority at this time. My TP gap is quite big and unfortunately it seems as though my Tp's becomes the support level that it finds it hard to tap, for my previous trade, previous TP was 2978 and unfortunately it only tapped 2979 then reversed. But it's alright, that's the reality of trade. We can continue trying again, as long as the losses are controlled, I will always have the opportunity to recover it back. So for this trade, Im setting 3TP's and and SL again. Everytime my TP is Hit I will be closing half then push the SL to previous opening. Here's my current set up Open: 3025 TP1: 3005// TP2: 2985// TP3: 2965 SL: 3050. Let's see how this rolls
Day6 of 100
L:2
W:0
Short - selling Strategy for XAUUSDGold has been on a sustained upward run, yet the bullish momentum is largely spent. Thus, extreme prudence is of utmost importance when contemplating long positions.
After surging to approximately 3045, the gold price plummeted sharply and then rebounded vigorously. Nevertheless, it fell short of breaking through the 3045 level in one attempt. If it fails to break through rapidly, a significant correction is highly likely.
XAUUSD
sell@3030-3040
tp:3015-3020
Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear.
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XAUUSD Today's strategyToday, gold rose again to its latest high of $3,045, an increase of $165 from last week's lowest point of $2,880. Such an increase is rare in the history of gold, indicating that the recent geopolitical factors and international situation have caused market risk aversion to heat up again.
Investors are closely awaiting the Federal Reserve's policy statement and the press conference of Federal Reserve Chairperson Jerome Powell. If the Federal Reserve sends a hawkish signal, it may have some suppression on the price of gold. If the policy is more dovish or the economic outlook is concerned, the price of gold is expected to rise further.
Today's xauusd trading strategy
sell@3040-3050
SL:3055
tp:3025-3030
There are risks in trading. If you are not sure about the timing, it is best to leave me a message. This will better confirm the timing of the transaction, It can also better expand profits and reduce losses.
The current strategy for XAUUSDTraders can seize a high-reward trading opportunity with an attractive risk-to-reward ratio by patiently waiting for the price to reach the golden pocket and support zone. As with all trading scenarios, implementing robust risk management strategies is essential to effectively navigate inevitable market volatility.
XAUUSD
buy@3025-3030
tp:3040-3050
sell@3035-3045
tp:3005-3015
Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear.
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The Current Trading Strategy for GoldCurrently, AXUUSD is oscillating in the vicinity of 3030. A thorough market appraisal uncovers a distinct bullish impetus. Amid the global economic uncertainties, such as trade disputes and erratic monetary policies, market participants are increasingly flocking to gold as a haven asset, driving the upward trajectory of AXUUSD. Technically, pivotal indicators such as moving averages and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggest the sustenance of the ongoing uptrend.
For investors, a judicious course of action is to establish a long position of suitable size when the price retraces to the 3025 - 3030 support band, with a profit - taking target set at 3040 - 3050. In light of the market's inherent volatility, it is essential to closely monitor geopolitical events and key economic data in order to adeptly adjust trading strategies.
XAUUSD
buy@3025-3030
tp:3040-3050
Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear.
For those who are seeking professional guidance in trading trend analysis, strategy formulation, and risk management, please click below to get the daily strategy updates.
Gold bulls are going crazy, need to be careful at this time
Gold bulls are too crazy and there is no chance of a pullback. So when the market is too hot, you have to be careful. You need to be cautious when doing long positions at high levels, and beware of gold falling back after a surge and starting to make a sharp adjustment.So at this position I think shorting would be better
XAUUSD:Consider flipping to shortThe morning's bullish gold strategy has turned profitable. Gold has seen a rapid spike-and-drop on the 1-hour chart, indicating emerging short-term resistance. As long as it fails to hit a new high, the resistance around 3028 will solidify, potentially triggering a reversal. Caution is needed when chasing long at current highs to avoid a sharp correction.
Market conditions are real - time. Gold had a strong bullish trend, but high market enthusiasm calls for prudence. Try shorting at high levels under the resistance.
Latest trading strategy:
sell@3021
sl:3030
tp:3000-2900
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XAUUSD Continue to Long or Start to Short?Gold witnessed a substantial upward surge today, showing no chance of a pullback. When the market becomes overly fervent, caution is necessary as gold may stage its final speculative spree.
Gold trading strategy:
sell @:3030-3034
buy @:3000-3005,2983-2987
My current gold trading strategies and signals have been consistently accurate. If you also want free, precise signals, you can visit my profile to access them.
Today's Strategy Analysis for XAUUSDThe current global landscape is highly complex, significantly impacting XAUUSD dynamics. Recently, the unpredictable tariff policies of the United States have heightened tensions in international trade, leading to a surge in economic uncertainty. Simultaneously, ongoing instability in the Middle East and the lack of progress in Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations are amplifying risk aversion in financial markets.
From a fundamental perspective, trade tensions have severely disrupted global economic growth. In response, investors are increasingly turning to safe-haven assets, driving the demand for gold to unprecedented levels.
XAUUSD
buy@2995-2985
tp:3010-3015
sell@3010-3020
tp:2995-3000
Traders, if this concept fits your style or you have insights, comment! I'm keen to hear. For those pursuing financial goals, click below for daily strategy updates.
For those who are seeking professional guidance in trading trend analysis, strategy formulation, and risk management, please click below to get the daily strategy updates.
XAUUSD Today's Strategy AnalysisLast Friday, after consolidating around the 2980 level, bullish momentum finally broke higher, driving prices to accelerate during European trading hours. Gold pierced the psychological 3000 resistance level but was rejected and pulled back into a choppy consolidation phase. The session closed near 2985 with a doji candlestick, maintaining the strong bullish trend with unidirectional momentum.
From a 4-hour technical perspective, today's downside support levels are focused on the vicinity of 2975-80. Particular attention should be paid to the critical bull-bear dividing line support at 2960-2963. Intraday pullbacks should maintain a bullish bias initially while holding above the 2975-80 support zone. Upside targets remain focused on breaking above recent highs.
Gold trading strategy:
sell @:3000-3005
buy @:2975-2980 , 2960-2963
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