XAUUSD Today's strategyLast week, the gold market surged sharply, touching the long-awaited $3,000, and the world continued to increase its gold reserves with relatively large intensity, providing a solid bottom support for gold prices.
After such a sharp rise, a short-term pullback is normal, but the short-term bullish trend remains strong. If it can break through the key psychological level of $3,000 and gain a foothold, there is potential for further gains.
Today's xauusd trading strategy
buy@2965-2975
SL:2960
tp:3008
Xauusdsell
Analysis of the Gold Price Trend Next WeekThis week, the spot gold price witnessed a breakthrough market trend. Influenced by the continuous gold purchases by central banks of multiple countries, the heightened global economic uncertainties, and the expectations of trade frictions, the gold price soared to as high as US$3,005 per ounce at one point, reaching a historical high. Although the short-term overbought signals and the pressure of profit-taking may trigger market volatility, the long-term bullish pattern has already been established.
The key resistance level on the daily chart is at 3025, which is the combination of the previous high and the 2.618 Fibonacci retracement level. The support level below is at 2956, which is the recent level where the top has transformed into the bottom. The hourly chart shows that during the U.S. trading session, the price correction only reached 2978 before gaining support. If the price stabilizes within the range of 2970 - 2975, there will still be short-term upward momentum.
Suggestions for gold trading operations next week:
buy@2970-2975
SL@2963
TP:2998
Gold is falling as expectedThe market has started to decline. Whether the 3,000 will become history remains unknown, but the current decline is real! In the evening, it is necessary to avoid emotional trading. Those who blindly follow the trend and go long are hoped to stay rational. After continuous rises, it has now started to fall. Currently, the market is in a slump. This situation won't be in a high-level range bound. If it doesn't rise, it will fall.
Today is already Friday. Only after the gold price drops to the support level below will it rise further! So, go short in the evening and pay attention to the 2,970 as the dividing line!
Trading Strategy:
sell@2990-2980
tp 2970-2960
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XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar Metals Market Money Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 1H or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / swing low level Using the 3H timeframe (2930) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 2750 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction:
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar Metals Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
1. Fundamental Analysis with All Factors📌
Interest Rates: Rising Fed rates (e.g., 5.25% post-March hike) increase gold’s opportunity cost, pushing prices down from 2888.
Inflation: Cooling global inflation (e.g., U.S. CPI at 2.5%) undermines gold’s hedge appeal, signaling overvaluation.
Dollar Strength: USD rally (e.g., DXY to 102-105) suppresses gold, marking 2888 as a peak.
Global Economic Health: Improving growth (e.g., U.S. GDP above 3%) reduces safe-haven demand, favoring bears.
2. Macroeconomic Factors📌
Bearish macro conditions:
U.S. Economy: Strong jobs (e.g., unemployment below 4%) and PMI above 50 weaken gold’s case at 2888.
Eurozone: Recovery signs (e.g., GDP at 1.5%) bolster EUR, pressuring gold.
China: Industrial rebound shifts focus from safe-haven assets, softening gold.
Central Bank Policies: Fed hawkishness and ECB/BOJ tightening cap upside.
3. Geopolitical Factors📌
Bearish geopolitical shifts:
U.S.-China Trade: Tariff de-escalation reduces uncertainty, eroding gold’s premium at 2888.
Russia-Ukraine: Ceasefire talks lower risk-off flows, targeting sub-2800.
Middle East: Stabilizing oil supply (e.g., Iran deal) eases inflation fears, weakening gold.
Political Uncertainty: Resolved U.S./Europe tensions diminish volatility, favoring bears.
4. Supply and Demand Factors📌
Bearish supply/demand dynamics:
Supply: Increased production (e.g., new Canadian mines) or no disruptions flood the market, pressuring 2888.
Demand:
Physical: Western retail demand fades as prices peak.
Central Banks: Slowed buying (e.g., Russia, China pausing) removes support.
Investment: ETF outflows accelerate as investors sell at 2888.
5. Commitment of Traders (COT) Data (Latest Update)📌
Hypothetical COT data as of March 4, 2025:
Non-Commercial (Speculators): Longs at 340,000, shorts at 70,000, net position +270,000—bullish unwind from 295,000 signals profit-taking.
Commercial: Longs 65,000, shorts 400,000—heavy hedging bets on a drop.
Open Interest: 525,000 (down 5,000), showing reduced speculative interest.
Interpretation: Speculator liquidation and commercial shorts confirm bearish momentum below 2850.
6. Technical Factors📌
Bearish technicals at 2888:
Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (e.g., 2850) crossing below 200-day SMA (e.g., 2870) signals reversal.
Support/Resistance: Resistance at 2888-2900 holds; support at 2850 breaks, eyeing 2800.
RSI: 70+, overbought, triggers selling.
MACD: Bearish crossover confirms downward momentum.
7. Sentiment Factors📌
Bearish sentiment signals:
Retail: Social media posts shift to fear at 2888, citing USD strength.
Institutional: COT hedging aligns with bearish media (e.g., “Gold overbought”).
Media: “Fed hikes crush gold” headlines fuel sell-offs.
8. Seasonal Factors📌
Bearish seasonal trends with added points:
March Profit-Taking: Q1 tax season in the U.S. drives profit-taking, historically pressuring gold from peaks like 2888.
Post-Rally Fatigue: Early-year rallies (e.g., January-February) often fade in March, amplifying bearish momentum.
Lack of Festivals: Without India’s seasonal boost, global demand softens, leaving Western selling unchecked.
Historical Q1 Declines: Gold’s average March performance (ex-India) shows declines as investors rebalance, targeting sub-2850.
Central Bank Pause: Q1 often sees reduced central bank buying announcements, removing a key prop at 2888.
9. Intermarket Analysis📌
Bearish intermarket signals:
USD: DXY rallying to 105 crushes gold to 2800.
Yields: 10-year yield at 4.5% competes with gold, driving declines.
Equities: Stock rallies (e.g., MSCI World above 3100) divert capital.
Commodities: Oil at $70/barrel signals deflation, weakening gold.
10. Market Sentiment Analysis of All Types of Investors📌
Bearish investor sentiment:
Retail: Panic selling at 2888 as USD rises; X shows fear.
Institutional: Speculators trim longs (COT); hedgers pile into shorts.
Central Banks: Pause buying, letting prices slide.
Speculators: Futures traders short 2888, targeting 2800.
11. Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction (Bearish Focus)📌
Short-Term (1-4 weeks):
Bearish Target: 2820-2850. Drop to 2820 as USD hits 102 and RSI confirms overbought.
Bias: Strongly bearish, driven by technicals and COT liquidation.
Medium-Term (1-3 months):
Bearish Target: 2700-2800. Decline to 2700 with Fed hikes, DXY at 105, and easing tensions.
Bias: Bearish, with macro stabilization.
Long-Term (6-12 months):
Bearish Target: 2500-2600. Fall to 2500 if growth rebounds, DXY hits 110, and inflation drops below 2%.
Bias: Bearish, as safe-haven demand fades.
12. Overall Summary Outlook📌
At 2888 on March 10, 2025, XAU/USD is set for a bearish slide. A strong USD (DXY to 105), rising yields (4.5%), Fed hawkishness, cooling geopolitics, and seasonal softness (Q1 profit-taking, post-rally fatigue) dominate. Short-term outlook is short/bearish, targeting 2820-2850 as overbought technicals (RSI 70+) and COT unwinding trigger a sell-off. Medium-term is bearish, eyeing 2700-2800 with macro improvement. Long-term is bearish, forecasting 2500-2600 as growth stabilizes.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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XAUUSD Today's strategyThe Trump administration's capricious trade policy has triggered market concerns about global economic growth, opening a new front in the global trade war, leading to increased financial marekt uncertainty, investors' risk aversion is high, and they have put money into gold, driving gold prices up.
The world continues to increase its gold reserves with relatively large efforts, providing a solid bottom support for the gold price. Data from SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, shows that its gold holdings in February were at the highest level since 2023. From February 27 to March 13, the holdings also increased. The strong demand for gold investment has driven up the gold price.
BUY:2965-2975
SL:2960
TP:2995-3005
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Short positions are in trouble, how to get out of trouble?Bros, gold accelerated to above 2980 today under the stimulation of news. If you hold a short position in gold, you must be in a trading dilemma, so how to get rid of the trading dilemma has become the current primary goal.
First remember the key node, Thursday. Under normal circumstances, Thursday and Friday are the nodes most likely to cause market changes! And from the candle chart, it is just pulled back to the high area with the stimulation of news. From the regional conversion, we can clearly see that according to the current momentum of gold, it will only reach the area around 2980-2982 (there may be a technical false breakthrough). It is difficult to rise to the vicinity of the 3000 mark in one fell swoop.
If you still have sufficient margin levels to help you get out of trouble, you might as well consider adding more positions near 2980 to continue shorting gold, effectively raising your average cost price. After gold falls back, you can choose to close all short positions and turn losses into profits. However, because gold has risen sharply, we must lower our expectations for the extent of gold's retracement. If gold retraces to the 2940-2930 area, we can consider closing our positions, so that we can turn losses into profits! And I predict that gold will enter a correction market tomorrow at the latest!
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XAUUSD buy-and-profit trading signalGold news analysis: The latest data released on Thursday (March 13) showed that the US producer price index stagnated due to falling service costs, and the number of initial claims in the United States fell slightly, still close to pre-epidemic levels. At the same time, driven by demand for safe-haven assets due to tariff concerns and US inflation reports that reinforced expectations of future rate cuts, gold prices approached historical highs but failed to break through. As of press time, spot gold rose 0.5% to $2,946.68 per ounce. The number of initial jobless claims in the United States fell last week, but the government's sharp spending cuts and escalating trade wars threaten the stability of the labor market. The U.S. Department of Labor reported on Thursday that the number of initial jobless claims fell by 2,000 to 220,000 after seasonal adjustment in the week ending March 8. Economists surveyed by the agency had previously expected the number of initial jobless claims to be 225,000 last week. In late February, the number of applications for unemployment benefits soared due to seasonal fluctuations around the winter blizzard and the President's Day holiday, which made it difficult to adjust the data. Although the labor market remains solid, the Trump administration's policies pose downside risks.
Gold's 1-hour moving average is still a golden cross with upward bullish divergence. After breaking through the box and oscillating, gold continued to rise in the morning today and has basically stabilized at the 2930 line. Gold's retracement to 2930 is an opportunity to buy on dips. Gold can buy more first when it retraces to 2933 in the afternoon. If gold does not fall below 2930 again, then gold bulls will have further momentum to rise. Gold bulls are now ready to go and are expected to be even better. In the end, gold bulls have the upper hand in the oscillation, so follow the pace of the bulls. Whether gold can break through the historical high again, we will wait and see! Overall, recommends that the short-term operation of gold today is mainly long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the resistance of 2985-2990, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the support of 2938-2928.
Trading is risky, so control your position reasonably. If you don't know when to enter the market, please follow the real-time signal announcement of my trading center or leave me a message, so that you can get rid of trading problems and realize profits as soon as possible. PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSD Today's strategyThe current market sentiment is relatively cautious, and investors are more sensitive to gold. On the one hand, the rise of the US dollar index has made some investors pessimistic about the short-term trend of gold; on the other hand, the price of gold has broken through the 2920 resistance level, and the fluctuations in the 2930-2940 range have also made it difficult for investors to determine the direction of the market and dare not easily carry out large-scale trading operations.
Overall, on March 13, 2025, the price of gold was under the pressure of the rising dollar index, and the European market was biased to the downside. However, due to the range volatility pattern, the overall trend still needs to pay attention to the breakout of key resistance levels and support levels. Before there is a clear breakthrough, the probability will remain within the 4-hour range. In operation, you can consider selling high and buying low in the range
Sold: 2945-2950
TP: 2925-2915
Buy: 2915-2925
TP: 2935-2945-2955
In the face of the ups and downs of the K-line and the confusing market, if you are still wandering and confused, you can refer to my strategy
XAUUSD Today's strategyYesterday, the highest price of gold was 2922 and the lowest price was 2880. It fluctuated between $2890 and $2915
There have been sporadic exchanges of fire in the Palestinian-Israeli region, and Trump has declared that "new sanctions on Iran will not be ruled out." The uncertainty of geopolitical risks has provided support for gold prices, which has increased investors' safe-haven demand and has a certain driving effect on gold prices.
On March 12, during the Asian trading session, retail investors increased their holdings of gold by 8.2 tons through ETFs. The inflow of funds directly promoted the rebound in gold prices. However, on March 11, the net long position of COMEX gold futures decreased by 12%. Some hedge funds chose to take profits, and the long-short game between institutions and retail investors made the trend of gold prices uncertain.
From the perspective of the daily level, gold has shown the characteristics of repeated fluctuations. On March 11, the daily line closed a long negative line with a lower shadow, suggesting that the power of bears is gradually exhausted; on March 12, the price of gold successfully broke through the key resistance level of $2,900, and the short-term moving average began to turn upward. The green column in the MACD indicator continued to shorten, and there were technical signs of further gains.
Overall, the overall price of gold on March 12 showed a high and volatile trend, and there was a certain game between long and short forces. Under the combined effect of factors such as geopolitical risk uncertainty, economic stagflation concerns, and technical bullish signals, gold prices have continued to rise. However, factors such as the weakening of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations brought about by the strong US job market and the profit-taking of some institutions have suppressed prices to a certain extent. If the US CPI data released today is higher than expected and inflationary pressure further increases, it may strengthen the anti-inflationary demand of gold and drive up prices. If the data is lower than expected, it may ease the market's concerns about inflation, weaken the attractiveness of gold, and lead to a price correction
buy:2905-2910
tp:2920-2930
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xauusd Next 28% profit signal opportunity
Short-term XAUUSD trading signal analysis shows 2882 support for long positions, with tp reaching the target of 28%.
If you don’t know when to buy or sell, please pay close attention to the real-time signal release of the trading center or leave me a message, so that you can quickly realize the joy of profit. TVC:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD Strategy AnalysisCurrently, the overall gold market is on the weaker side. However, we should by no means chase short positions at low levels. Instead, we should wait for a rebound and look for opportunities to trade.
Resistance levels: 2925
Support levels: 2886
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XAUUSD: $2905 TO $2800 A thousand pips move! One not to miss! Gold is currently in distribution phase and is likely to drop further since price currently testing the supply area and might drop from the area that we have shown. Like and comment for more.
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This trading opportunity will appear in xauusdLatest trading signal plan
XAUUSD is still in the 2890-2930 oscillation range, and bulls and bears continue to compete for control. Judging from the current trend, the rebound and positive closing last week successfully defended the 2900 mark. It failed to effectively break through after multiple attempts, indicating that there is a large amount of buying defense. As long as gold is above the 2900 mark, its trend tends to be bullish; on the contrary, if it effectively breaks through the 2900 mark, the risk of a fall will increase. On the whole, today's short-term gold recommendation is to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is 2928-2930 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2892-28882 support.
Trading is risky, and positions should be controlled reasonably. If you don't know when to buy or sell, pay close attention to my real-time signal announcement, or leave me a message, so that you can quickly realize the fun of profit. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
There are no failed investments, only failed operationsThe gold market has shown a volatile upward trend recently. Since the release of non-agricultural data last week, the price of gold has continued to rise and once exceeded $2,930/oz. The current market is still mainly bullish, and investors are advised to continue to hold and pay attention to the key support level of $2,900/oz. Despite fluctuations during the period, it has remained above the moving average, indicating a clear bullish trend.
Latest XAUUSD news analysis, trading signal planSpot gold traded around 2910 on Monday. Gold prices rose last week, helped by safe-haven inflows and the US employment report showing lower-than-expected job growth in February, suggesting that the Fed is expected to cut interest rates this year.
News Interpretation: The Fed Chairman said at the New York Economic Forum that the Trump administration's tariff plan may push up inflation, but its impact remains to be seen. He stressed that the Fed does not need to rush to cut interest rates before it has more information, but should remain on the sidelines. February Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will be released on Wednesday. Since the Fed will be in a silent period before its policy meeting on March 18-19, the inflation report may affect the market's pricing of the Fed's interest rate outlook and drive gold's trend.
Gold Trend Analysis:
Gold prices have been tested below $2930 many times, but have failed to achieve an effective breakthrough. This key pressure level has successfully blocked the upward pace of gold prices in multiple rounds of market fluctuations in the past, and its effectiveness has been fully verified. In the subsequent operation plan, investors can focus on the vicinity of $2,930, which is in a sensitive range below the pressure level. Market sentiment reacts strongly to price fluctuations. Once a short-selling signal appears, it is an ideal time to enter the market. At the same time, in order to effectively avoid the possible risk of price rebound, the defensive position is reasonably set at $2,935. This price is higher than the key pressure level, which can minimize the triggering of stop losses due to short-term market fluctuations and ensure the stability of the trading strategy. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD TVC:USOIL PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
Gold trading opportunities next week? Baker tells youAnalysis of gold market trends next Monday:
Technical analysis of gold: This week, I have been emphasizing that gold is a volatile market. Facts have proved that my view is also very correct. Go short under the pressure of 2928 and go long on dips at 2894. The gold price has fluctuated in this range many times. I also go long at high and low in this range and make profits continuously. As long as you trade according to the range signal, you can easily make a profit. Before the market moves out, the fluctuation will continue, and the continuous profit will also continue. The non-agricultural and unemployment benefits on Friday are both bullish for gold, but gold still rose and fell. It is a volatile opportunity. Gold has two consecutive wins in shorting at 2926 after the non-agricultural in the US market on Friday.
From a technical perspective, gold closed positive this week. If it continues to close positive next week, it is expected to reach a new high in the later period. A single negative without continuous negative can only be regarded as a correction rather than a reversal. If it closes negative, the weekly line will switch between positive and negative. The weekly resistance is near the high point of this week at 2930. If it breaks above, it is likely to go to the previous high near 2956 or even a new high. If 2930 cannot break, the first look below is around 2882. Once it breaks down effectively, it will go to around 2870-2860. If the market wants to fall back significantly, it must break below 2858 effectively, otherwise it will fluctuate and clean up at a high level.
On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold next Monday is to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 2928-2930 is the first line, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 2888-2878 is the first line. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, and do not resist the order. The specific points are mainly based on the real-time intraday. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and pay attention to real-time orders. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Short gold! Target to earn 400 pips!!!Bros, gold has failed to effectively break through the 2920 area after many attempts during the rebound, and has consumed too much bull momentum near the resistance area. The shorts will become relatively stronger; gold has just fallen below 2900 strongly during the decline, further indicating that gold will choose a downward direction, and the current gold rebound is more likely to reserve room for a decline in the NFP market tomorrow.
So in terms of short-term trading, I still insist on shorting gold. At the latest on Friday in the US market, I expect gold to usher in a wave of big declines, at least retreating to the 2880-2870 area again, or even near the 2860 area. Brothers, are you optimistic about the big decline in gold?
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XAUUSD This trading signal can make a profit.
According to yesterday's ADP data report, the number of new jobs this time was only 77,000, which was significantly lower than the expected 140,000 and a sharp drop from the previous value of 186,000, which is very favorable for XAUUSD. Therefore, after the XAUUSD price pulled back to around 2895, it quickly soared to around 2930.
In yesterday's analysis, I clearly pointed out that the upper resistance is at 2928-2935 and the lower support is at 2900-2895. Based on this trading suggestion, buying on dips and shorting on rallies can obtain considerable returns.
At present, gold is still running in this range and testing the support level of 2895-2888 again. If the support is valid, it reflects that the bullish trend is still there. I think these support and resistance levels are still valid. If the upper resistance level of 2928-2935 is completely broken, we may see a further rebound and may retest the historical high of 2956. Let's see how the market will perform.
Trading is risky, and positions should be controlled reasonably. The specific signals are subject to implementation. TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Unswervingly short goldBrothers, good morning. Gold is still fluctuating in a narrow range. From the hourly chart, it is difficult for the price of gold to break through the upper resistance area of 2930-2940 in the short term. In the following trading rhythm today, we still maintain the attitude of shorting gold. The short-term focus below is to fall back to the support area of 2910-2900.
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