XAUUSD: The Rebound Is Not Over YetDue to the impact of the news, gold prices have fallen significantly. When gold prices approached around 2660, I suggested buying within the 2660-2652 range to capture the rebound after the sharp drop. The first wave of the rebound reached a high of around 2678, with a gain of over $20, and those who followed the signal made very decent profits.
Currently, gold prices are oscillating in the bottom range, with volatility gradually decreasing. However, the rebound has not ended yet, and there is still room to buy. This rebound should at least push prices above 2680.
Tomorrow, we have the interest rate decision, and the market widely expects a 25 basis point rate cut. After today’s drop, gold should not see much more downside in the short term. Therefore, tomorrow’s trading should focus on buying at lower levels. The first key support levels to watch are the 2652-2648 range, followed by around 2639.
Overall, the current market environment still holds opportunities, but it's crucial to stay flexible and adjust strategies according to market movements. Patience and risk management will be the keys to successful trading.
Xauusdsell
Analyzing the Factors Behind the Recent Gold Price Decline
A Post-Election Dip
Gold prices experienced a significant decline following the recent US election. The precious metal, often seen as a safe-haven asset, retreated as the US dollar strengthened and Treasury yields surged. This confluence of factors put pressure on gold, which tends to perform poorly in a rising interest rate environment.
Why Did Gold Fall?
1. Stronger US Dollar: A stronger US dollar typically weighs on gold prices. When the dollar appreciates, it becomes more expensive for foreign buyers to purchase gold, reducing demand for the precious metal.
2. Rising Treasury Yields: Higher Treasury yields reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. As bond yields rise, investors may shift their focus from gold to fixed-income securities.
3. Reduced Safe-Haven Demand: The election results, while not entirely unexpected, may have reduced some of the safe-haven demand for gold. Investors may have perceived less geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty, leading them to seek out riskier assets.
Is More Downside Ahead for Gold?
While the recent decline in gold prices has been significant, it's important to consider the factors that could influence its future trajectory:
1. Economic Uncertainty: Despite the post-election rally, global economic uncertainty remains elevated. Factors such as geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and potential economic slowdowns could continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal.
2. Inflationary Pressures: Persistent inflationary pressures could drive investors toward gold as a hedge against currency devaluation. Central banks may need to tighten monetary policy to combat inflation, which could indirectly benefit gold.
3. Central Bank Demand: Central banks around the world have been significant buyers of gold in recent years. Continued central bank demand could provide support for gold prices.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, gold prices have broken below key support levels. A further decline could be on the cards, with potential targets at the next significant support levels. However, it's important to note that technical analysis is not foolproof, and market sentiment can change rapidly.
Investor Strategies
Given the current market conditions, investors may consider the following strategies:
1. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): By investing a fixed amount of money in gold at regular intervals, investors can reduce the impact of market volatility.
2. Physical Gold: Owning physical gold can provide a tangible asset and hedge against inflation.
3. Gold ETFs: Gold ETFs offer a convenient way to invest in gold without the physical storage costs.
4. Diversification: Incorporating gold into a diversified investment portfolio can help reduce overall portfolio risk.
In conclusion, while the recent decline in gold prices is concerning, it's essential to consider the long-term factors that could influence its future trajectory. Investors should carefully assess their risk tolerance and investment goals before making any investment decisions related to gold.
XAUUSD: Buy@2660-2652 TP 2686-2702The result of the election, with Trump becoming the President of the United States, led to a significant drop in gold prices. The original target range for this week was between 2786-2752, but due to the news impact, the target was reached earlier than expected, so the upcoming trading plan needs to be adjusted.
Today's trading was quite volatile. The long positions entered early were closed near 2728, resulting in some losses. However, these losses were effectively compensated during the subsequent rebound. At the same time, short positions brought in substantial profits .
Currently, gold prices have dropped to around 2760.. It's important to note that gold's price corrections often come with strong rebound signals. If you're currently holding long positions and temporarily trapped, it's advisable to remain patient, as a rebound is expected soon. My personal target for this rebound is around 2700. The potential for this rebound is worth watching closely.
Corrective wave continuing in GoldGold is in corrective wave now gold should continue this move and give a good target for sellers.
5th impulsive wave has been completed and 2nd corrective wave also completed now 3rd corrective wave is coming, and this wave should be high sell in gold because it's 3rd wave of correction.
Downtrend continues - GOLD slows down⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) faces heavy selling pressure heading into Wednesday’s European session, dropping to near $2,700, marking a nearly three-week low. With Republican nominee Donald Trump leading the US presidential race and likely to become the 47th president, the US Dollar is seeing a strong rally, spurring sell-offs in gold.
Concerns over deficit spending and expectations for a less aggressive rate cut from the Federal Reserve are also driving US Treasury yields higher, diverting interest from the non-yielding gold. Additionally, a risk-on mood—shown by a strong rally in US equity futures—suggests a downward trend may continue for XAU/USD.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The election results pushed gold prices back to the support price range of 2700, a recovery in correction mode. Still maintaining the upcoming gold support zone: 2700 - 2680
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2748 - $2750 SL $2755
TP1: $2740
TP2: $2725
TP3: $2715
note scalping support: 2713
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2700 - $2702 SL $2695
TP1: $2708
TP2: $2715
TP3: $2730
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Going Long on Gold During the Election PeriodTomorrow, gold is expected to experience significant volatility, as market sentiment may be influenced by a range of events, particularly the outcome of the elections. Based on the current technical setup, my plan is to maintain a bullish bias in the short term, especially if gold continues its upward trend. However, if the election results turn out to be unfavorable for the bulls and the market reverses, I will add short positions to my existing bullish trades to capitalize on potential downside risks. I will closely monitor price movements and adjust my strategy based on market reactions.
Additionally, after the end of this week, given the increasing market uncertainty, my focus will shift to short positions, with the aim of targeting the 2686-2652 range. This area is likely to provide strong support and will be an important level to watch.
Adjustment - gold price drops! Waiting for the new US president⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) remains positive on Monday as US election risks and Middle East tensions continue to support the safe-haven asset. However, stronger demand for the Greenback and rising US bond yields could limit Gold’s gains, as higher yields make non-yielding assets like Gold less appealing.
Investors are focused on Tuesday's US presidential election, with the market’s attention shifting to the Federal Reserve’s rate decision on Thursday. Given the election uncertainty, it’s anticipated that the Fed will opt for a standard 25 basis point rate cut, rather than a larger half-point easing.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price officially decreased - legalized adjustment with the US presidential election. The US economy will have a new breeze - boosting the economy and other investment areas. Gold will wait for the next interest rate information
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2757 - $2759 SL $2762 scalping
TP1: $2750
TP2: $2740
TP3: $2730
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2771 - $2773 SL $2778
TP1: $2765
TP2: $2750
TP3: $2740
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2717 - $2715 SL $2710
TP1: $2725
TP2: $2732
TP3: $2740
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD: Continue to Monitor Resistance at 2750-2758Gold has once again tested support without breaking it, indicating short-term upward momentum. During the Asian and European sessions tomorrow, consider focusing on low buys, with resistance continuing to be monitored around the 2750-2758 area.
The upcoming election news during the US session is likely to have a significant impact on the market, so while seizing opportunities, be mindful of potential risks.
Seize the opportunity and welcome Super WeekMarket Analysis: No need for lengthy discussions; the best strategy in the current market is to initiate long positions in gold at lower levels. With the U.S. elections and Federal Reserve decisions approaching, the gold market remains bullish. Recent rumors of Iranian retaliation against Israel, coupled with disappointing employment reports, suggest the Fed may lower interest rates, all of which will likely drive gold prices higher.
Technical Analysis: Gold has retraced to the strong support level of 2733-2735. This area represents a robust support zone from the past few days. In the absence of bearish news, it is unlikely that this support will be broken. Thus, our trading strategy this week will pivot from last week’s approach, focusing on going long at lower levels.
Today’s Trading Strategy:
Entry Strategy: Go long on gold near the support level
Take-Profit Target: 2748-2750
Stop-Loss: 2718-2720
Conclusion and Recommendations: This week marks a super week for the month, with numerous major events and data set to impact market trends. How should you navigate these trading conditions? What will the market trend look like? After reviewing my analysis, you’ll have a clearer sense of direction. For specific trading strategies, please reach out to me, and I’ll share the comprehensive trading plan for the week with all my VIP members.
Short gold, TP: 2730-2725Gold may still fall back and test the support of 2725 area again
At present, gold maintains a volatile market as a whole. Although gold has failed to fall below 2730 several times, it is still in a rebound structure at the short-term level. But it is still relatively weak at present, and the rebound strength is not strong, so the continuity of gold rebound remains to be seen.
At present, it is still suppressed by the trend in the short term, so gold may still fall back to around 2725, so I do not recommend aggressively chasing long gold for the time being, and you can still seize the appropriate opportunity to short gold.
GOLD W Closure Very Bearish , Easy Short Setup To Get 500 PipsThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Gold retracement to 2717Gold to retracement 2717 is the next step on xauusd, as dollar falls to euro going upwards and Au going a bit down in price in the market, maybe you can short even more Xaueur, not sure (cause I didn't make the analysis) at the spot (euro)
Gold going down, euro going up, and usd going down, be careful with the elections day
NFP Set to Rock Gold: Last Opportunity for a Well-Timed ShortMarket analysis: Brothers, today's gold market continues to be bearish! The short orders arranged before the release of yesterday's data have brought us a lot of benefits, and we have seized the lucrative profits of the decline in gold. Tonight, heavy data will be released one after another: the US October non-farm employment data, unemployment rate and ISM manufacturing PMI index will form a triple impact on the gold market.
These data are expected to put bearish pressure on gold, but considering the sharp drop the day before, today's downside may be limited because the market has partially digested the bad news. Therefore, today may be the last short-selling opportunity this week. Next week, with the landing of the US election, the market is expected to turn to favor gold.
So how to arrange it, you can look at the candlestick chart, 2756-2758 is currently an important pressure point, so the strategy before the data is released is to short the market near this pressure point!
Trading strategy:
Layout before data release: short in the key pressure area of gold
Take profit target: 2735-2740
Stop loss setting: 2770
Strategy ideas to follow the trend: As the last trading day of this week, we will arrange short orders before the data is released, and start to arrange long orders next week to follow the trend.
Detailed strategies and operation points have been released to each VIP member. If you need further guidance, please join the VIP group to get exclusive strategies!
What Should You Do if You Hold Long Positions Between 2770-2750?Today, influenced by negative data, gold experienced a significant drop. After completing the take profit on my short positions, I entered long trades. I believe many of you are in a similar situation, holding long positions in the 2767-2730 range, which has led to our accounts being in a trapped state.
However, after such a large decline, a market rebound is inevitable. As long as we hold our positions firmly, we can at least expect a rebound to around 2760. Additionally, tomorrow's NFP data and unemployment rate will be released, along with several other minor data points that will certainly contribute to increased market volatility.
If the price rebounds to around 2760 before the data is published, then under negative data conditions, it is likely to drop again. However, if the price does not rebound to this level, gold will not drop too much under negative data, with 2721-2712 being an acceptable range.
In this context, next week's trading will definitely focus on long positions. So, if your orders are also in a trapped state, there’s no need to worry too much. The market always has its ups and downs; stay confident and seize the opportunities for a rebound. In the end, we will achieve better results.
NFP Ahead: Targeted Short Strategy for Optimal GainsMarket Insight: Great work today on capturing profits with the short trade, everyone! My VIP members and I have made impressive gains. If you're interested in continuing to secure these returns, reach out to me directly—we’re setting up for a major strategic move.
With most key economic releases for the week showing bearish outcomes, tomorrow brings one more critical release: the U.S. October Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, which is highly likely to impact gold negatively. We’ll continue focusing on short positions for the remainder of this week. Looking ahead, however, as the U.S. election concludes next week, we anticipate a potential shift, at which point we’ll pivot to long strategies to capture possible upside momentum.
Current Gold Trading Strategy:
Entry Level: Short gold at 2740
Take-Profit Target: 2730
Stop-Loss: 2750
Exclusive Member Strategy Update: This strategy will only be shared once today. For tomorrow’s detailed NFP trading plan, I’ll be providing specific guidance exclusively to my VIP members. If you’d like to join and get access to tailored strategies, reach out now!
Gold- Where is the next 1k pips trade?As I've outlined in both written and video analyses on FOREXCOM:XAUUSD , I’m anticipating a substantial pullback in gold prices.
Let’s look at this objectively: just as trees don't grow to the sky, neither does Gold.
With a remarkable 2,000-pip rally over the last 20 days, the likelihood of a meaningful retracement is increasing.
Each new high reached only makes a sharper pullback more probable.
That said, I’m not rigidly fixed on one outlook.
In yesterday’s analysis, I noted that a new all-time high seemed highly probable.
Acting on this, I opened a small long position after observing a buildup consolidation just under the previous ATH, which I closed at 2770.
The key question now isn’t whether gold will start pulling back, but rather where that pullback will begin.
On the 1-hour chart, since the low near 2600 on October 10th, Gold has been trading within an ascending channel.
Each time the price touches the upper boundary of this channel, it has reversed back down. Based on this behavior, I anticipate a similar reaction if gold approaches or slightly exceeds 2800, and I plan to fade any move above that level.
In conclusion, for those looking at potential 1,000-pip opportunities, I believe the short side currently holds more promise. In the short term, a retracement toward 2700 seems more realistic than an extension to 2900.
P.S: Looking at previous times when Gold has made ATHs, the reversal from the top has been more than 1000 pips.
XAUUSD: Shorting Range: 2796-2807The market is currently closed. On the 2-hour chart, there are three long lower shadows, indicating strong support below. Although the MACD indicator is facing a bearish crossover, the presence of this strong support suggests a potential for a second surge in volume.
Therefore, during tomorrow's Asian and European trading sessions, if the support level in the 2780-2776 range holds, gold is likely to break above the 2790 high and test the psychological level of 2800.
Additionally, tomorrow during the U.S. session, we will have the initial jobless claims data released, which I expect to have a bearish impact on gold. Consequently, the overall trading strategy for tomorrow will be to go long first and then short later.
The trading range will be set with 2796-2807 as the high range and 2772-2767 as the low range.
Data is approaching: Plan short-selling strategies in advanceMarket Analysis: With the upcoming release of the “U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 26” and the “U.S. Core PCE Price Index Year-on-Year for September,” we anticipate significant market volatility in gold. My personal forecast leans towards a bearish impact on gold prices, especially given the positive indicators from various economic data released in October. Thus, the likelihood of tonight’s data being bearish for gold is high. We can proactively establish a short position ahead of the data release.
Pre-Data Release Gold Trading Strategy:
Entry Range: Short gold between 2780-2782
Take-Profit Target: 2772
Stop-Loss: 2790
Risk Management and Operational Advice: Post-data release, if profits are realized, it’s advisable to take immediate profits, as the market may reverse following the data announcement. I will also provide subsequent trading strategies after the data is released, so please stay tuned for updates to adapt your trading approach.
Gold : Leveraging Double Top Pattern and Support AnalysisToday, I shared a short strategy, selling in the 2787-2791 range, with a target set at 2783-2779 and a stop loss at 2792. This is a smaller range signal.
The reason for the sell signal is the double top pattern observed on the 30-minute chart, along with the break of MA5 and MA10. I see this as a solid selling opportunity, with the main target being MA60. During the New York session yesterday, gold found support at MA60 twice, with long lower wicks, indicating strong support. Typically, longer upper wicks suggest stronger resistance, while longer lower wicks indicate stronger support.
I hope this trading tip helps everyone—don’t forget to accumulate your knowledge!
XAUUSD: Short In The 2780-2800 RangeYesterday, gold prices experienced a significant surge, reaching a high of 2790, which is very close to the psychological level of 2800. In the near term, bullish sentiment is likely to continue probing this important threshold until prices approach 2800. However, it's important to note that due to this substantial increase, market indicators have begun to show divergence, and there is a high probability of a deeper pullback in the short term. From a technical standpoint, the expected pullback should occur in the range of 2770 to 2760. Only after repairing these indicators is there a likelihood for another price increase. Thus, the high point near 2790 will certainly not be a singular peak; there should at least be one more opportunity to revisit this price level.
Additionally, this week is an important data week that occurs once a month, and market volatility on Thursday and Friday will likely intensify. Regarding the data being released this Friday, I believe it poses a significant downside risk for gold. Therefore, if you are holding short positions and find yourself trapped, as long as your account balance is sufficient, there is no need to worry excessively. You can navigate market fluctuations through hedging strategies or multiple directional trades, making it entirely feasible to extricate yourself from this predicament.
Gold: It's Time To FallAfter the Asian session opened, gold initially dropped but found support around 2739, consolidating for an hour before a direct rise. The MA5 and MA10 support levels remained strong, but with these now broken, it's likely time to aim for MA60.
I’ve taken significant sell positions above 2750 and plan to hold until the 2747-2742 range.