Setupsfx_ | XAUUSD(Gold):07/07/2025 Update | Gold dropped nicely when the market opened last night, dropping around 600 pips. However, it couldn’t hold on to the gains and came right back to the selling zone. There are two entry points and two potential targets.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
Xauusdsetup
#XAUUSD: Early Mitigation Or Sellers Trap! Let's See Gold dropped after touching 3365 taking price to 3318.Currently ranging market showing confusion over how gold would react to NFP data which is coming out tomorrow. At this moment we are quite certain that price would drop tomorrow either from entry one or entry two. Please use accurate risk management while trading.
Good luck and trade!
Team Setupsfx_
XAU/USD – 45-Minute Chart Breakdown **Date:** July 7, 2025 # 📊 XAU/USD – 45-Minute Chart Breakdown
**Date:** July 7, 2025
**Current Price:** $3,326.97
**Bias:** 📈 Bullish Breakout
---
## 🔹 Key Market Structure:
- **Trendline Breakout**: ✅
Price broke cleanly out of the descending trendline that had held since the $3,362 high.
- **LL → HL Shift**:
The structure is transitioning from Lower Lows to potential Higher Lows (HL) – a strong sign of **reversal**.
- **BOS Zone** (Break of Structure):
BOS has been confirmed; further upside is now **probable**.
---
## 🔸 Trade Zone:
| Type | Level | Description |
|------------|------------|--------------------------|
| **Entry** | ~$3,326 | Breakout confirmation 🔓 |
| **SL** | ~$3,319 | Below recent HL 🛡️ |
| **TP1** | $3,362 | Top of previous range 🎯 |
| **TP2** | $3,385+ | Momentum extension 📈 |
---
## 📌 Indicators & Labels:
- **Structure:** `Bullish` 🟢
- **Efficiency:** `Efficient` ✅
- **MSU:** Bearish (short-term countertrend, being invalidated)
- **VTA:** Active ⚡️
---
## 🧠 Strategy Note:
This breakout is occurring **after a full liquidity sweep** and a **strong bullish reaction** off the $3,290s. Volume is supporting the move and **confluence** builds toward continuation.
> 💬 *"The best trades come when structure, liquidity, and timing converge."* – Let's ride this wave with confidence.
---
### 👑 For Persian Princes of the Market 🇮🇷
We don’t guess. We **track, adapt, and lead**.
---
## 🟢 Potential Breakout from the Descending Channel
As observed in the **45-minute timeframe**, Gold (XAU/USD) has been respecting a classic **descending channel** formed by a sequence of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL), leading to an overall bearish structure.
However, in the latest candles, price has **broken above the upper boundary of the channel**, signaling a potential shift in market structure.
---
### 🔍 Technical Highlights:
- ✅ **Breakout above the channel** = First sign of bullish reversal
- ✅ **Formation of Higher Low (HL)** after a strong rally = Added confirmation
- ✅ **Efficient bullish move** with momentum pushing toward previous Highs
---
### 🎯 Forecast Scenario:
If price holds above the breakout zone (around **$3,327**), we can expect a bullish continuation toward:
- 🥇 **Target 1:** $3,362
- 🥈 **Target 2:** $3,385+
A **successful retest** of the broken channel would serve as a powerful confirmation for this setup.
---
> ⛳️ *This move reflects not just a breakout — but a disciplined journey through structure, liquidity, and price behavior. Pure technical elegance.*
> — *Mohsen Mozafari Nejad*
---
📈 **Structure:** Bullish
⚡️ **Momentum:** Efficient
🕰 **Timeframe:** 45 Min
💰 **Current Price:** ~$3,327
XAUUSD – High-Precision Sell Setup with 1:2.70 R/RGreetings, traders.
After a brief tactical pause, we’ve identified a **high-conviction short setup** on **XAUUSD**.
Despite the U.S. Independence Day holiday, structural momentum suggests there’s still room for meaningful movement in gold during today’s session. The risk-to-reward profile on this setup is exceptional — clocking in at **1:8.70**, it meets our highest-tier execution standards.
If momentum stalls or price consolidates excessively, the trade will be manually closed by **23:00 (UTC+4)**, regardless of outcome.
🧠 Trade Parameters:
• **Timeframe:** 1-Hour (H1)
• **Direction:** Sell
• **Entry:** 3337.09
• **Take Profit:** 3312.16
• **Stop Loss:** 3345.63
• **Risk/Reward Ratio:** 1:2,70
• **Trade Management Note:** Will be closed manually by 23:00 (UTC+4) if momentum conditions are not met.
🔗 Signal Source
All trade setups are published directly by Velatrix Capital — a high-discipline trading desk focused on FX, crypto, and global indices.
No opinions. No hype. Just statistically-grounded execution.
All signals are posted via our TradingView desk:
👉 (www.tradingview.com)
📈 **We don’t chase hype. We build edge.**
🔔 **Subscribe for future setups and institutional-grade trade intelligence.**
**Velatrix Capital**
XAU/USD Eyes Key Resistance Amid Fresh Tariff Fears🟡 TVC:GOLD Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Eyes Key Resistance Amid Fresh Tariff Fears
OANDA:XAUUSD Spot gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from intraday lows near $3,296, now trading around $3,330 as fears over renewed U.S. tariffs fuel safe-haven demand. President Trump has begun issuing formal letters announcing fresh import tariffs—25% on South Korea, additional measures on Japan, and a 10% universal tariff on countries aligning with BRICS. With the 90-day tariff pause expiring August 1 and no trade progress in sight, geopolitical and economic uncertainty continue to support gold’s floor.
📉 Technical Structure
XAU/USD remains within a descending channel on the 1H chart, with price currently approaching the $3,338–$3,340 Resistance Zone 1. A clean breakout above the upper channel boundary could trigger a move toward the broader $3,364 Resistance Zone 2. Conversely, failure to break above Resistance Zone 1 would keep the bearish channel intact, with downside targets toward the $3,302–$3,305 support zone.
📌 Key Technical Zones
Resistance Zone 1: $3,338–$3,340
Resistance Zone 2: $3,364
Support Zone: $3,302–$3,305
Channel Structure: Bearish unless broken to the upside
📘 Strategy Summary
XAU/USD is showing signs of short-term recovery, but remains technically capped unless it breaks through $3,340 resistance. As long as the descending channel holds, rallies may be sold into. A confirmed break above $3,340 could shift bias toward $3,364, while rejection may reopen the path to $3,305 and potentially lower.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 7 July 2025Welcome to the new week traders
as we have FOMC meeting minutes report due this week so firs market is fell down from 3350 Psychological level now is testing 3300 psychological level
all eyes on breakout of 3300 level for now if market breaks 3300 level then it will move towards 3280 then 3350
only clear breakout of 3335 will clear path for towards 3368 level
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 2-Hour Chart2-hour chart from OANDA displays the recent price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar. The current price is $3,336.615, up by $10.585 (+0.32%). The chart highlights a recent upward trend with a buy signal at $3,336.970 and a sell signal at $3,336.260. Key price levels include a resistance zone around $3,364.828 and a support zone near $3,309.957, with the price showing a potential breakout above the recent consolidation range.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour chart from OANDA displays the recent price movement of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) against the U.S. Dollar. The current price is $3,325.120, reflecting a decrease of $11.320 (-0.34%). The chart highlights a recent upward trend with a buy signal at $3,325.410 and a sell signal at $3,324.830, indicating a potential trading range. A shaded area suggests a possible price target or support/resistance zone around $3,355.478, with historical price levels marked on the right side. The timeframe covers the period around July 7-8, 2025.
"GOLD Bandit Strategy: Loot Pips Like a Pro!🏆 GOLD HEIST ALERT! 🏆 XAU/USD Bandit Strategy (Swing/Day Trade)
Steal Pips Like a Pro! 💰🔓 Bull vs. Bear Raid Plan
🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates! 🌟
"The trend is your accomplice—time to loot!"
🔮 Thief’s Technical & Fundamental Intel:
XAU/USD (The Gold Vault) is flashing BEARISH signals, but we’re ready to raid both sides! Follow the heist blueprint below 👇
🎯 ENRY POINTS (Where to Strike!)
🏴☠️ LONG RAID (Bullish Thieves):
Break & Grab: Enter above 3450.00 (Pullback Zone)
"Wait for the breakout, then ambush!"
🐻 SHORT RAID (Bearish Bandits):
Sneak Attack 1: Sell below 3300.00
Sneak Attack 2: Sell below 3260.00 (Support Wall Cracked!)
🛑 STOP-LOSS (Escape Routes)
Bullish Trade: SL at 3230.00 (Guard your loot!)
Bearish Trade 1: SL at 3360.00 (Don’t get caught!)
Bearish Trade 2: SL at 3280.00 (Risk = Reward!)
(Adjust SL based on your risk appetite & lot size!)
💰 TAKE-PROFIT (Cash Out & Flee!)
Bullish Thieves: TP at 3270.00 (Or escape early!)
Bearish Bandits (1): TP at 3270.00
Bearish Bandits (2): TP at 3210.00 (Big score!)
⚠️ WARNING: Market Traps Ahead!
News = Danger Zone! 📢 Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! Lock profits & evade reversals.
📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works)
Bearish momentum fueled by macro trends, COT data, & sentiment.
Stay sharp—markets shift fast!
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Like & Share to strengthen our pirate crew! 🚀 More alerts = More profits!
🚨 Next Heist Coming Soon… Stay Tuned! 🚨
4‑Hour Technical Framework- 8th July 2025Current Price: ~$3,330
Timeframe Focus: 4‑Hour and 1‑Hour
Directional Bias: Neutral-to-Bearish
Methodologies Used:
✅ Price Action, Fibonacci Levels, Support & Resistance
✅ Supply & Demand Zones
✅ ICT / Smart Money Concepts (BOS, CHoCH, Liquidity, OB, FVG)
4‑Hour Market Structure Analysis
Gold has shifted into a neutral-to-bearish regime on the 4‑hour timeframe, after a decisive Break of Structure (BOS) below prior swing lows at ~$3,345 and a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) as bulls failed to sustain above the ~$3,350 level. Price currently hovers around ~$3,330, consolidating within a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) left by the recent impulsive drop.
Key Observations:
A liquidity grab above $3,349 (stop sweep) preceded a sharp reversal, validating this as a sell-side liquidity zone.
The 4H supply zone / bearish Order Block (OB) at $3,345–$3,350 remains unmitigated and likely to attract sellers.
Immediate downside is cushioned by a 4H demand zone & FVG at $3,300–$3,305, which has acted as support during the prior dip.
A deeper daily demand zone rests around $3,280–$3,290, which aligns with historical support and unmitigated buy‑side liquidity.
Key 4‑Hour Levels to Watch
Price Level Type Notes
$3,360–$3,365 Supply / Fib 61.8% Strong resistance
$3,345–$3,350 Supply / OB + 50% Fib Primary sell zone
$3,330–$3,334 Bearish FVG Active imbalance
$3,300–$3,305 Demand / FVG Primary buy zone
$3,280–$3,290 Demand (daily OB) Secondary buy zone
The neutral-to-bearish bias is reinforced by the fact that price has failed to reclaim prior support and continues to respect supply zones.
1‑Hour Intraday Trade Ideas
Zooming into the 1‑hour chart, we align intraday setups with the broader 4H directional bias: selling into supply and covering into demand.
Setup 1: Short at 4H Imbalance
Entry: ~$3,332–$3,334 (inside active FVG)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,335
Targets:
TP1: $3,305
TP2: $3,280
Confluences: BOS + CHoCH, 4H FVG, sell‑side liquidity above.
Setup 2: Short on Retracement
Entry: ~$3,345–$3,350 (50% Fib + OB)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,352
Targets: Same as Setup 1.
Setup 3: Aggressive Long (Countertrend)
Entry: ~$3,300–$3,305 (demand + FVG)
Stop-Loss: Below $3,295
Target: $3,327
Note: Only valid if strong bullish reaction occurs in demand.
The Golden Setup
Sell at ~$3,332–$3,334 (active 4H imbalance) with a target of $3,300.
This setup offers maximum confluence — bearish FVG, BOS, and supply rejection — with tight risk parameters and favorable reward/risk ratio.
Summary Table
Bias Levels of Interest
Directional Bias Neutral-to-Bearish
Strong Sell Zones $3,330–$3,334 and $3,345–$3,350
Strong Buy Zones $3,300–$3,305 and $3,280–$3,290
Closing Notes
Gold continues to respect Smart Money footprints on the 4‑hour chart, suggesting more downside unless bulls reclaim $3,350 decisively. Today’s focus remains on short opportunities at premium levels into supply and imbalances, targeting well‑defined demand areas below.
Watch price action closely in the $3,332–$3,334 zone for the highest‑probability short entry of the session — The Golden Setup.
XAUUSD Outlook: How Risk Sentiment Could Shape the Next MoveI’m currently analysing XAUUSD (Gold) 🟡, which has come under bearish pressure 📉, showing signs of downside momentum. In the video 🎥, we also explore the inverse correlation between Gold and risk assets like the NASDAQ 📊.
Keep a close eye on NASDAQ movements—if risk assets break bullish 🚀, we may see further weakness in Gold. On the other hand, if risk sentiment shifts and risk assets break bearish 🛑, Gold could attract safe-haven demand and gain strength 💪.
We also dive into the price action, market structure, and pull up the volume profile 🧩. Gold is currently trading around the Point of Control (POC) ⚖️—a key level where significant volume has accumulated. A clean break above or below this area could act as a technical trigger for the next move 📈📉.
As always, this is not financial advice ⚠️—just my market view.
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update for 8 July 2025Hello Traders
Gold is still in a range between 3300 - 3350 Psychological level, all eyes on breakout of both mentioned psychological levels for now
Intraday Strong support zone is located 3290-3300
Intraday Strong Resistance zone is located 3350-3360
US TARIFF WAR remains agenda for now
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
7/8: Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern, Support at 3321–3312Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold broke below the 3321 support during the session, dropped to around 3296, then staged a strong rebound back toward the opening price—forming a classic deep V-shaped reversal and regaining support above the MA60 on the daily chart.
The market remains in a consolidation phase between the MA20 and MA60 on the 1D chart, with no clear directional breakout yet.
On the 30-minute chart, the previous head-and-shoulders top pattern has been completed with the recent decline. The current structure can be tentatively viewed as the formation of a head-and-shoulders bottom.
If this bullish reversal pattern holds:
The 3321 level must act as valid support during any pullback; deeper confirmation may come from 3312, which corresponds to the previous left shoulder low. Although this was partially driven by a data-related spike, most candle bodies remained around 3321—so 3321 is the primary support, and 3312 is the backup.
If confirmed, the price may advance toward the 3360 target zone.
If the pattern fails, watch for the development of a double bottom formation, with MA60 on the daily chart remaining a key support level.
📌 For today, focus on trading within the 3312–3352 range, using a buy-low/sell-high approach, and stay flexible in response to evolving chart patterns.
Consolidating Below Trendline Resistance, Bearish Bias IntactTechnical Structure:
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues to trade below the descending trendline TL1, having failed multiple times to breach the $3,338–$3,345 resistance zone. After retesting Support Zone 1 ($3,303–$3,310), the price is showing signs of a short-term bounce. However, the broader structure remains bearish unless the price can break above TL1.
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance Zone: $3,338 – $3,345
Support Zone 1: $3,303 – $3,310
Support Zone 2: $3,260 – $3,253
Trendline: TL1 continues to act as dynamic resistance
Strategy Insight:
If TVC:GOLD gold remains below the descending TL1, bearish pressure is likely to resume. A short opportunity may arise if the price retests the resistance area and stalls. A confirmed break below Support Zone 1 would expose targets at $3,260 and $3,253.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
renderwithme | XAUUSD - GOLD Pre-NFP Technical AnalysisCurrent Market ContextPrice Levels: Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,341.79 as of July 4, 2025, with recent price action showing consolidation between $3,300 and $3,400 after a pullback from highs near $3,500.
Recent Performance: Gold rose slightly by 0.27% to $3,335.17 per troy ounce on July 4, supported by positive momentum from trading above the 50-day EMA. However, it has faced resistance near $3,400 and experienced low liquidity due to the U.S. Independence Day holiday.
Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment remains cautiously bullish, driven by a weakening U.S. dollar amid concerns over U.S. fiscal imbalances (e.g., Trump’s tax-cut bill adding $3.4 trillion to the national debt) and expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve policy. However, short-term volatility is expected due to holiday-thinned liquidity and upcoming economic data
# Technical Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If gold holds above $3,300 and breaks $3,353, it could retest $3,400 and potentially climb toward $3,435–$3,451. A weekly close above $3,400 would negate near-term bearish risks and signal a continuation of the broader uptrend.
Bearish Scenario: A sustained break below $3,300 could trigger a deeper correction toward $3,248 (monthly low) or $3,226–$3,203. A drop below $3,203 would challenge the medium-term uptrend, potentially opening the door to $3,150 or lower.
Range-Bound Expectation: Due to low liquidity and pending NFP data, gold may consolidate between $3,320 and $3,340 early next week, with volatility increasing post-NFP
Disclaimer --
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
#Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
GOLD Massive Bullish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price just
Made a massive bullish
Breakout of the falling
Resistance line and the
Breakout is confirmed
So after a potential pullback
We will be expecting a
Further bullish continuation !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
XAUUSDHello traders. After a short break, we’ve identified a promising sell opportunity on the XAUUSD pair.
Despite the U.S. Independence Day holiday, I believe we may still see solid movement in gold during today's session.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1)
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2.70
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 3337.09
✔️ Take Profit: 3312.16
✔️ Stop Loss: 3345.63
🕒 If momentum fades or the price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll close it manually—whether in profit or loss—depending on how price action evolves.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Still short gold before breaking 3355After the release of NFP yesterday, gold began to fall sharply from 3352, reaching a low of around 3312; although it has gradually rebounded above 3340, the time span is not short, so the rebound is not strong; and the double top structure successfully constructed by gold in the 3365-3360 area in the short term still plays a technical suppression role in the short term, greatly weakening the rebound potential; and with the decline of gold yesterday, I think before gold recovers the 3352 starting point, gold will also be under pressure in the 3345-3355 area in the short term. If gold cannot successfully break through this area during the rebound, gold is expected to retest the 3330-3320 area again.
Because of the US Independence Day, the gold market will be closed in advance today. It is expected that gold will not have a breakthrough today, so it may be difficult to break through the 3345-3355 area in the short term, so we can still continue to maintain the trading rhythm of shorting gold in terms of trading.
So I think shorting gold still has a lot of profit potential. We can short gold with 3345-3355 area as resistance and look to the target area: 3335-3325-3315.
Indicates the target for potential bearish liquidity grab.BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity):
Marked near $3,360 at the top (gray zone).
Represents an area where buy stops may be resting above recent highs.
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity):
Marked around $3,260 at the bottom (red zone).
Indicates the target for potential bearish liquidity grab.
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
Highlighted in yellow near $3,270–$3,280.
Unfilled imbalance that may attract price.
ChoCH (Change of Character):
Two ChoCH labels are marked:
One minor bullish ChoCH around the $3,328 area indicating a short-term shift in structure.
One bearish ChoCH below $3,310, suggesting a possible return to bearish bias if broken.
Blue Supply Zone:
An area of previous supply or resistance where price may reverse.
📉
Projected Price Path:
Initial move up into the blue supply zone, possibly to induce buyers or sweep short-term highs.
Followed by a strong bearish rejection, breaking below the lower ChoCH level (~$3,310).
A drop is anticipated all the way to the SSL zone (~$3,260), possibly filling the FVG on the way.
🧠 Summary:
This chart implies a smart money bearish setup:
Short-term liquidity sweep to the upside.
Break of structure (ChoCH) to confirm reversal.
Bearish continuation targeting:
Fair Value Gap (FVG) → ~$3,270s
Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) → ~$3,260
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 4 July 2025As you can see that GOLD is still in consolidation range above 3300 Psychological Level
Currently prices are still standing @ 3340 nearby Psychological Level, only if market breaks 3368 clearly then it will consider Bullish other below 3368 market still in Bearish Move
Reminder: Today is US Bank Holiday
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky