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Xauusdsetup

Keep shorting gold, target 2730-2720Dear traders, During today’s retracement, gold reached an intraday low near 2736 before rebounding above 2750. Will gold continue its upward momentum? In my opinion, the recent pullback to the 2736 level is far from sufficient to establish a complete correction. Although gold has rebounded above 2750, it has yet to break yesterday’s high. If a lower high forms near the 2760 technical resistance zone, gold is likely to maintain its current downward trend. Furthermore, the formation of a single candlestick with a long lower shadow on the lower timeframes does not constitute strong and reliable support, which suggests limited upside potential. This rebound could also serve as a bull trap, enticing buyers before resuming the decline. From a short-term trading perspective, I continue to advocate for shorting gold, targeting the 2730–2720 support zone. Bros, are you still optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
XAU/USD 24 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action. Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range. Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later. Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line. It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price printed as per yesterday's analysis by trading down to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high. Price has printed a bullish iBOS and subsequently as bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pulback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,778.455. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD Potentially BullishOANDA:XAUUSD has remained bullish on the H4 time frame. I would however love to see price coming to retest a key zone around the 2,720 area which was a key resistance area initially. Price has clearly and significantly broken through the resistance and is attempting to find that level as a support. If the zone holds as a new found support, going long will be the next move and I would target the 2,786 area which only falls slightly below the all time high. On the other hand, if the 2,720 area does not hold as a new found support but price breaks through it and does a retest of same area and then it holds as a new found resistance, we just might see price dropping to the 2695 and may drop even further if the bears remain dominant Until either scenarios play out, fingers crossed. #XAUUSD about to make another significant move Do your due diligence, past results does not guarantee future results
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mbjoey
XAU/USD 23 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action. Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range. Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later. Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line. It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per yesterday's analysis, price printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, however, you will note I have marked the bearish CHoCH and bullish BOS in red. This is because pullback depth was not sufficient as price did not retrace to either discount (or anywhere near) of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone, therefore, I will monitor and continue to reevaluate as price prints. Price has printed a higher high with a further bearish CHoCH. We are now trading within an established internal structure which I will continue to evaluate. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,763.435 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Stick to shorting goldAs mentioned in my previous analysis, although gold remains in a clear uptrend, the signs of a short squeeze are increasingly evident. Therefore, in short-term trading, we should refrain from chasing long positions at this stage. If gold fails to decisively break through the 2760–2765 resistance zone, a significant corrective move could occur at any time, which is why my current focus remains on shorting gold. From the current price structure, we can observe a pattern where gold rallies by $60–65 following each confirmed bullish signal, only to retrace by $40 thereafter. Since the last confirmed bullish signal, gold has already advanced $62, indicating a high probability of a $40 correction based on this historical pattern. This means gold could retrace to test the 2740–2730 support range or even approach the 2720 level during this phase of consolidation. This is precisely why I prefer shorting gold in the current scenario. As my trading plan, I initiated a short position near the 2760 level and continue to hold it. Let’s aim to capitalize on this opportunity and secure profits from the downside ahead of most market participants. Here's to a promising outcome! Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Stick to shorting goldDear Traders, As I mentioned in my previous update, we can still consider shorting gold around the 2785 level, anticipating a short-term pullback to the 2770-2760 range. Currently, gold has reached a high of 2785, just a step away from the previous high of 2790. At this stage, technical indicators have become less significant, with the 2790 resistance zone and the psychological level of 2800 serving as the primary reference points for initiating short positions. Although gold is demonstrating strong bullish momentum, I sense some signs of a "short squeeze." If profit-taking or a sell-off of profit-holding positions occurs, gold could experience a sharp correction. For this reason, despite the strong uptrend, I remain cautious and refrain from chasing the rally. Instead, I continue to utilize the **2790-2800** resistance zone as a basis for attempting short positions. Bros, are you still optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
The Highest Place To Sell Gold And Get 500 Pips Very Clear !Now the price are moving to upside without any correction , so i`m waiting the price at the highest place we can sell from it , it was a very good res area and it forced the price to go down very hard , so it`s my fav and last place to sell gold and i`m targeting 500 pips target at least ! This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FX_Elite_Club
XAU/USD 22 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action. Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range. Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later. Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line. It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Yesterday's bias and analysis was met with price targeting weak internal high and printing a further bullish iBOS Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,758.670. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
First attempt to short goldDear traders Yesterday I consistently maintained that gold would reach the 2740-2750 target zone, and as expected, gold has now hit that target.Today, the plan was to buy gold again if it retraced to the 2715-2710 zone, but gold did not retrace to this area, so we didn’t get the opportunity to enter a long position. Gold is clearly in a bullish trend, with strong upward momentum. However, since gold is currently near 2740, I am hesitant to enter a long position directly. I am cautious because if gold retraces from here, I could get trapped at high levels. I believe many market participants share my sentiment and are reluctant to buy gold at these elevated levels.For the market to increase liquidity or for gold to consolidate and accumulate more bullish momentum for a continuation of the upward trend, a short-term pullback is necessary. Therefore, in the short term, I believe we can look to initiate a short position in the 2740-2750 zone, anticipating a corrective move in gold's price action.Bros, do you expect gold to retrace in the short term like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Gold Market Insight: Preparing for the Next Opportunity👀 👉 XAUUSD has been in a strong bullish trend following an earlier liquidity sweep that sparked a rally. Currently, the price appears overextended, and I’m expecting a retracement into the Fibonacci 50% to 61.8% levels as a potential entry point for a long position. The approach will ultimately depend on how price action unfolds. In the video, I dive deeper into my strategy for seizing the next opportunity. Please note, this is not financial advice.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
2
Gold Giving Amazing Bearish P.A , Short Valid To Get 500 Pips !We Have a very good bearish price action as i mentioned in the chart , and we have a very good touch for the trend line , also we have a very good rejection area , i`m targeting 500 pips in this setup , i will wait the price to go up a little before enter a sell trade to make my sl not too much . This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FX_Elite_Club
Gold Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionThe market is buzzing with mixed feelings as we approach Donald Trump's inauguration as US President-elect. Gold prices have retreated from a one-month peak, with some investors jumping on the opportunity to buy the US Dollar at perceived dips. Despite this, gold remains heavily influenced by the geopolitical and domestic political climate in the US. Recent inflation data, combined with comments from Fed Governor Waller, have put pressure on the Dollar, with traders betting on an earlier rate cut. Waller hinted at the possibility of a rate cut as soon as the March meeting, noting that inflation is nearing the Fed's 2% target. In this video, we explore how these developments could shape the gold market moving forward. #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldPrice #TrumpInauguration #USDIndex #InflationData #FedRateCuts #GoldTrading #ForexAnalysis #MarketTrends Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
SAXO:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
8
XAU/USD 20 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price printed as per my intraday expectation dated 17 January 2024 by printing a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Internal range is now established as a result of the bearish CHoCH. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone to then target weak internal high priced at 2,724.785. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 17 January 2025. You will also note how price attempted to target strong internal low but failed to close below. Price Action Analysis: Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Within the sub-structure there is further bullish iBOS, however, price did not pullback deep enough to warrant a bullish iBOS. I will therefore apply my discretion, which may need a revisit. H4 TF has printed a bullish iBOS and it appears bearish pullback phase initiation is underway, however, we currently do not have any indication, or confirmation. Current internal low and H4 TF CHoCH positioning are the same, priced at 2,690.050, therefore, despite M15 internal range dynamics being bullish, it is highly likely price will print a bearish iBOS Intraday Expectation: Technically, price should show reaction at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,724.785, however, the above mentioned scenario is also highly probable to assist H4 in it's bearish pullback phase. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 So Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout. Buy entry above 2725.00 Sell Entry below 2690.00 Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks. Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 2790.00 (or) Escape Before the Target Bearish Robbers TP 2660.00 (or) Escape Before the Target Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ The XAU/USD (Gold) market is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors. BULLISH FACTORS: Global Economic Uncertainty: The ongoing global economic uncertainty, including the COVID-19 pandemic and trade tensions, is expected to increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Central Bank Policies: The central banks' dovish monetary policies, including interest rate cuts and quantitative easing, are expected to support gold prices by increasing liquidity and reducing the costs. Inflation Expectations: The rising inflation expectations, driven by the increasing money supply and the potential for higher commodity prices, are expected to support gold prices as a hedge against inflation. Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the US-China trade war and the Middle East conflicts, are expected to increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS: US Federal Reserve Meeting: The upcoming US Federal Reserve meeting is expected to result in a decision to keep interest rates low, which could support gold prices. US GDP Growth: The upcoming US GDP growth report is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. China's Economic Data: The upcoming China's economic data, including GDP growth and industrial production, is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Commodity Prices: The upcoming commodity prices report is expected to show an increase in commodity prices, which could support gold prices as a hedge against inflation. MARKET SENTIMENT: Bullish Sentiment: 60% Bearish Sentiment: 30% Neutral Sentiment: 10% Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Thief_Trader
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at anypoint, however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 2740.00 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ Based on the fundamental analysis, the XAU/USD is expected to move in a bullish direction. Here are some key factors that support this prediction: Increasing Demand: Central banks and investors are increasing their gold reserves, driving up demand and prices. Inflation Concerns: Rising inflation expectations and a potential decline in the US dollar's value could boost gold's appeal as a hedge against inflation. Geopolitical Tensions: Escalating tensions between major economies and global hotspots could lead to safe-haven buying and drive up gold prices. Dovish Central Banks: Central banks' dovish monetary policies, such as low interest rates and quantitative easing, could weaken currencies and boost gold prices. Technical Analysis: Bullish technical indicators, such as the ascending Ichimoku Cloud, suggest a potential upside move in gold prices. Seasonal Trends: Gold prices tend to rise during the summer months, driven by increased demand from jewelers and investors. Weakening US Dollar: A decline in the US dollar's value could make gold more attractive to investors and drive up prices. Increasing Investment Demand: Growing demand from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other investment products could drive up gold prices. Supply Constraints: Limited gold supply and potential production disruptions could lead to higher prices. Monetary Policy Uncertainty: Uncertainty surrounding central banks' monetary policies could lead to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. These bullish factors suggest that gold prices could potentially rise in the near future. However, it's essential to consider both bullish and bearish factors and stay up-to-date with market news and analysis to make informed trading decisions. Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at anypoint, however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 2760.00 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ Based on the fundamental analysis, the XAU/USD is expected to move in a bullish direction. Here are some key factors that support this prediction: Global economic uncertainty: The ongoing global economic uncertainty, including trade tensions and geopolitical risks, is likely to drive investors towards safe-haven assets like gold. Low interest rates: The low interest rate environment, particularly in the US, is making gold a more attractive investment option, as the opportunity cost of holding gold is lower. Inflation expectations: The rising inflation expectations, driven by the ongoing economic recovery and monetary policy easing, are likely to support gold prices. Central bank buying: The continued buying of gold by central banks, particularly in emerging markets, is likely to support gold prices. Technical factors: The technical analysis suggests that gold is forming a bullish trend Fundamental Indicators: Global economic uncertainty: High Interest rates: Low Inflation expectations: Rising Central bank buying: Ongoing Technical factors: Bullish trend Market Sentiment: Bullish sentiment: 70% Bearish sentiment: 30% Neutral sentiment: 0% Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
XAU/USD 17 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has finally printed a bullish iBOS in accordance with scenario one of my analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price Action Analysis: After bullish iBOS, we expect bearish pullback. First indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation is for price to print a bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. This would also establish internal structure. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Within the sub-structure there is further bullish iBOS, however, price did not pullback deep enough to warrant a bullish iBOS. I will therefore apply my discretion, which may need a revisit. H4 TF has printed a bullish iBOS and it appears bearish pullback phase initiation is underway, however, we currently do not have any indication, or confirmation. Current internal low and H4 TF CHoCH positioning are the same, priced at 2,690.050, therefore, despite M15 internal range dynamics being bullish, it is highly likely price will print a bearish iBOS Intraday Expectation: Technically, price should show reaction at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,724.785, however, the above mentioned scenario is also highly probable to assist H4 in it's bearish pullback phase. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 16 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Weekly and Daily TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Recent Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal low, by printing a bullish iBOS. It would be noteworthy to remember that H4 and Daily TF internal structure is bullish. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. Price seems to be targeting weak internal high, which, in my view, is premature, however, I will remain structured in my approach. At the time of preparing analysis M15 candle remains open. Intraday Expectation: Price has yet to trade in to discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,702.260 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK