The Calm Before the Storm: A Waterfall-like Decline is Coming...
Today is Thursday, and with key data releases scheduled for New York trading hours and tomorrow’s much-anticipated NFP and unemployment figures, the market is far from quiet. My advice for today is to focus on selling, despite the possibility of some upward movement. However, from a daily chart perspective, the likelihood of a downturn is much stronger.
The 5-day moving average (MA5) has already turned downward, and it’s just a matter of time before the bearish trend takes hold. When it does, this won’t be just a simple correction like we saw last time. I’m predicting a waterfall-like decline.
Here’s my anticipated price action: a drop to around 2600, followed by a short rebound to approximately 2630, and finally, a deeper plunge to the 2570 region.
Xauusdsetup
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD 15M BUY PROJECTION 04.10.24Reason for Gold Bullish
It is known to be a “safe-haven” asset, it is expected to increase its value in times of volatility and economic uncertainty. The XAU/USD pair tells the trader how many US Dollar (the quote currency) are needed to purchase one Gold Ounce (the base currency).
XAUUSD: The bears are about to strike back
In the past few days, I lost my grandmother, and it has been a deeply sad time. After attending her funeral today, I found myself reflecting on many things. Life is short, and whether we pursue fame or wealth, nothing is as important as the health and happiness of our loved ones. I sincerely hope that everyone here can live a healthy and joyful life, with all your wishes coming true.
Turning back to the gold market, after a significant rally, we’ve seen a pullback to test support before another rebound to resistance, followed by another decline. We’re now at a critical turning point. From the 30-minute chart, we can observe a pattern resembling a double top. If it breaks the trendline, a decline to the $2600 level seems inevitable—there’s no need to doubt it.
My mid-term target remains $2568-$2490, and I believe we may see this play out sooner than expected.
GOLD +220 Pips 0 Drawdown , Second Entry Valid After 4H Closure This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAUUSD: Swing Buy Reversal is Coming! From 2450 to 2560! Dear Traders,
WE have an important entry coming up on Gold, possibly the one which will shape the gold market. After creating a record high and touching the 2530 for the first time, price exhausted and started dropping and ranged between the area. However, if we look into it with areas that gold may reverse from, the area that we find attracting is 2440 to 2450 in which we may see a large volume of buy volume kicking in the market. Good luck.
XAUUSD: Lows not yet seen, continue to sell at high levelsYesterday, the US dollar index began to rise after Powell's speech, reaching 100.9, and US bond yields also rebounded collectively. Affected by the rise of the US dollar and US bond yields, as well as the influx of a large amount of profit-taking funds into the Chinese stock market, gold has continued to fall recently, and yesterday's lowest point reached 2624 US dollars.
So is this the low point?
I think gold is currently in a downward trend and has not yet formed a bottom pattern. It will only rebound but not reverse.
From the trend in the hourly chart, we can see that the gold price is running along the downward trend channel. Now it is again above the trend channel of 2645, so I think the possibility of a breakthrough is not great, so I am going to short around 2645.
XAUUSD Gold Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 XAUUSD (Gold) is currently retracing into a potential buy zone. In the video we discuss what to look for and how to get involved when the next opportunity presents itself. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. 📊✅
GOLD Creating H&S Pattern , Be Ready To Sell It To Get 500 Pips This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAUUSD: Are We Heading Towards $2700?Dear Traders,
XAU touched $2400 region and then left a strong wick, the fundamental site has strong support for the gold to continue the bullish move due to the current war like scenario happening in the world. However we can enter a buy entry at our target area and target 500 pips at least from the entry. Good luck
XAUUSD: +400 PIPS Intraday Opportunity! Dear Traders
Gold has created a record higher high after touching 2670, price has made a minor correction after that, however, in our opinion it was a small correction due to liquidity emerged as the London Session opened. We think from current trending price we can see a clean move towards 2700$. Good luck.
XAUUSD: How long can the bull market sustain its momentum?
Amid escalating geopolitical tensions and the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts, gold has been on a persistent upward trajectory. After breaking through the key 2600 level, it is now approaching the 2700 mark. Over the past couple of days, it has consolidated above 2650, leaving short positions severely pressured. While bulls celebrate, bears are licking their wounds. I believe that after enduring this challenging phase, bears will stage a strong, retaliatory comeback.
Thus, the best strategy now is patience. Wait for the right moment—if you’ve missed the bull's rally, don’t miss the bear’s counterattack.
XAU/USD 25 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued to surge printing all time highs as US economic data and geopolitical tensions have influenced market sentiment which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH, we therefore have established an internal range.
Intraday expectation: As price has made it's first indication of pullback by printing a bearish CHoCH, this could potentially initiate H4 pullback phase with price pulling back to discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Yesterday's intraday analysis was correct as price did target weak internal high, printing a further bullish iBOS.
Price is now contained within an internal range and is in discount of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high. Expecting reaction from discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone.
Alternative scenario: Due to all HTF's requiring a pullback, it would not surprise me if price printed a bearish iBOS.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD WEEKLY ANALYSIS 4HRS TIMEFRAMEXauusd is likely to keep moving up but there is a probalilty to make a pull back before continue going upward so is very important to keep watch the market till is make a strong support before considering of buying . So entry level for buy should like 2584.690 - 2569.669 with a traget profit of 2610.374 and 2650.453. Use money management
Gold is just one step away, the Sell opportunity is comingIn today's Asian session, gold rose in the short term, and the historical high was refreshed again, reaching 2640.
Driven by the Fed's expectations of a rate cut in November and the decline in US Treasury yields, the price of gold hit a new record high. The growing tension between Israel and Hezbollah has increased the appeal of safe havens, which may further boost demand for gold.
From the 4-hour chart, we can see that referring to the rule that the price of gold rises by $50-60 each time, the price of gold is likely to have room for an increase of $10.
This is almost the last short-term rise in gold. The high point of this time is likely to be around the range of 2640-2650.
Trading strategy:
Now chasing the rise, there is not much room above, and there is a risk of an imminent correction, so I don't recommend it.
Go short now, because there may be more than ten dollars of room for growth above, and now is not a good selling position, so we can wait until the 2640-2650 range to sell, preferably at 2650.
I personally did not close the sell order I held last week. If the gold price reaches 2650, I will continue to increase my position and pull the average price to 2615-2620
Gold Rally Slows, Pullback Imminent
Since yesterday, gold has been fluctuating within the 2615-2635 range, with the bullish momentum clearly slowing down. In my view, it is likely to decline to 2606 by Friday at the latest.
Why 2606? This level serves as a key support in the ongoing upward trend. A healthy trend relies on robust technical support levels, which is the foundation of my prediction.
Continue to sell, and patiently wait for the price to drop, allowing the profits to materialize.
XAUUSD: Mid-Term Target Set Below 2550
Gold's upward trend has noticeably slowed as it approaches the 2630 level, which is likely to act as a new resistance zone. Before confirming any further upside potential, it is crucial to see a retest of the 2600 support level. Until this support is validated, the recommended strategy is to focus on high-level sell trades.
If the 2600 support is confirmed, it may present a buying opportunity. However, if the support is breached, selling into any rebound should continue to be the dominant strategy, with long positions only used as a secondary approach. In the medium term, I maintain a bearish bias, with downside targets in the 2530-2500 range.
XAUUSD: End of the bullish move? OANDA:XAUUSD
Price on today rose to 2589 which is the record all time high on gold, and rejected from that point. Since that price has been consolidating in range. After looking at how price have behaved now we are certain that price is likely to drop. We need to monitor the price in asian session and see if we can see a huge drop in price.
XAUUSD:Bearish intraday
Last Friday, gold made a strong breakout above resistance, stabilizing above 2600. Today’s opening continues to show slight consolidation at high levels. From a technical perspective, the short-term outlook is bearish, indicating that at least one retest of the 2600 support is needed to determine if there is further upward momentum.
In my personal view, a deeper pullback is more likely. By early October, there’s a high probability of a return to the 2550 level. Thus, my mid-term strategy will focus on short positions. For intraday trading, the key focus will be on the 2600 support area—if it holds, a long position around that level could be considered.
XAUUSD: As long as it doesn’t break 2600, boldly sellYesterday's gold market was really frightening. First, the Federal Reserve announced an interest rate of 50 basis points, which was higher than market expectations. The price of gold rose from 2567 to 2600, setting a new historical high again. Then Powell's speech showed hesitation and uncertainty, and pointed out that the Fed was not in a hurry to cut interest rates. It would proceed at a suitable pace or slow during the interest rate cut cycle. This dovish speech led to a decline in investors' attractiveness to gold. The gold price plummeted from 2600 by $50 and stabilized the decline in the 2550-2560 range.
However, since the 50 basis point interest rate cut is already on the table, the Federal Reserve has launched a monetary easing policy and the first rate cut is larger than before. This makes the market believe that there may be another 50-100 basis point interest rate cut before the end of this year. Therefore, gold is now back again The high area of 2590.
Although there is still the possibility of interest rate cuts before the end of the year, I think that is a long-term problem, and for us who are short-term traders, it is not the focus of attention.
From the market point of view, after yesterday's sharp decline that started at 2600, the shape of gold has changed, and it is in line with the short-term peak signal.
Therefore, my view on the current gold is that it is bearish in the short term and bullish in the long term.
Trading strategy:
Now the gold price has reached the high range of 2600-2590. As long as it does not set a new high again, you can boldly sell here
XAUUSD Gold Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 XAUUSD Gold has broken its market structure to the downside. On the daily and 4-hour charts, we observe a pullback into equilibrium, presenting a potential buying opportunity. In this video, we discuss market structure, price action, and, most importantly, the trend. We also outline a possible trade setup if the price moves as outlined in the video.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this video is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📊✅