XAUUSD: Before CPI is announced, buy if 2500 does not breakFrom the hourly chart, we can see that the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement is 2507, and the swing level of 2500-2505 has now formed a breakout pattern, so this range has now turned into support. Now as long as it can break through 2507, the gold price is likely to form a high again and try to touch the 2530 line.
So far this week, the volatility is not large. The market seems to be waiting for tomorrow's CPI data. Before the release of CPI, there is almost no data that can affect the trend of gold. Therefore, I think before CPI, the support below is solid.
The key is to look at the 2500 integer mark. As long as it is not broken, I will be bullish before CPI.
Xauusdsetup
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 10th SeptLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
XAUUSD: 2505-2500 resistance is not broken, boldly sellThe August NFP data released by the United States last Friday was 142,000, lower than the expected 160,000 and higher than the previous value of 89,000. At the same time, although the unemployment rate was in line with market expectations, it was actually the first decline in 5 months, which caused the gold price to rebound to 2529 and then fall to 2485.
From the daily chart, the K-line decline this time is very similar to the previous decline. If we calculate the next three trading days according to the previous rules, it will fluctuate in the range of 2470-2505. We can sell high and buy low during this period. And after 3 trading days, it happens to be the node when CPI is announced.
Therefore, from the perspective of trend and time, the probability of copying the previous market is also very high.
Now the gold price is close to the resistance of 2500-2505. I have mentioned the support and resistance of this range countless times before. Everyone knows its importance. Therefore, if nothing unexpected happens today, I will sell near this range.
Key Levels and Targets for Gold Trading
Following Friday's significant decline, gold's technical indicators are showing signs of recovery, suggesting a short-term buying opportunity at lower levels. The upper resistance zone is between 2508 and 2514, which appears strong based on current market conditions.
The probability of a direct breakout above this zone is low. Therefore, if the price reaches this resistance area, consider short-selling opportunities. For this week, the initial short-term target for the downside is in the 2478-2472 range.
Bold Maverick vs. Cautious Rabbit: XAUUSD Wedge Breakout BattleMaverick Approach: As a Maverick, you're always looking for opportunities to make aggressive moves when the risk/reward seems enticing.
Here's what stands out:
Retracement into a Key Support Zone:
The price is pulling back near the lower support channel and hovering around 2,498.860, just above the earlier consolidation zone. A Maverick would see this as a potential buying opportunity, betting that price will bounce off this support level and move back toward the previous high around 2,531.861. Given the structure, it's a chance to enter a long trade while the market is still within the rising wedge.
Action: Jump in for a quick buy at this level, looking to ride the bounce. Your bold side may put a take-profit target near the ATH or just shy of it, around 2,525 to avoid getting caught in the resistance zone.
Stop-Loss Strategy: To protect from a breakdown, you'd want to place a tight stop-loss just below the wedge, around 2,490. The Maverick thrives on action, but with controlled risk in case the price falls.
Rabbit Approach: The Rabbit focuses on digging deeper into the structure, ensuring everything is aligned before taking a position.
Here’s how the analytical approach works:
Rising Wedge and Bearish Implications: The rising wedge pattern you're trading within is typically a bearish signal. This pattern suggests a potential breakdown, especially if the price doesn't hold the current support level.
The Rabbit would want to see multiple confirmations that buyers are stepping in before entering long. Waiting for a strong reaction or a higher low at the wedge boundary (around 2,490-2,495) would be ideal before considering a position.
Caution: Be wary of a break below the wedge, which could signal a bearish continuation back down to 2,470.907 or even lower.
Consolidation Zones for Reentry: The Rabbit would focus on the previous consolidation zone around 2,470.907, treating this as a potential re-entry point for longs if the price breaks the wedge support. That zone has shown strong buying pressure, making it a safer play.
Plan: If price revisits this zone with a strong bounce, it would offer a much lower-risk buy with a greater reward potential, aligning with the Rabbit’s need for precision.
Combined Strategy:
Aggressive Entry (Maverick): Buy at the current level (2,498), targeting a bounce back toward 2,525 or higher, with a stop-loss under the wedge (2,490). This setup is more for short-term profits before any wedge breakdown occurs.
Conservative Entry (Rabbit): Wait for confirmation at 2,498 or for a break below to re-enter near the 2,470 support. Ensure that the wedge pattern doesn’t break down entirely before committing to a long trade.
Conclusion:
For the Maverick: Act now if you see this as a low-risk bounce trade, aiming for quick profits near the ATH, but with the understanding that momentum could shift fast.
For the Rabbit: Be patient, observe price action at key levels, and avoid chasing a move that doesn't align with the bigger structure. Waiting for a retest of 2,470 or a clear bounce is your higher-probability play.
Whichever archetype you're channeling, stay sharp, and don’t let emotions get in the way!
Aussie Gold Holds Up UP, Okay. Not For Long Baby! Please, below.
As the saying goes in Australia, 'the bigger they are - the harder they fall'.
Aussie Gold-hat-wearers & officials, might like to think their 'dinki-di-oze-gold' is an exception to panic heavy short-selling. Did I just say panic?
Well, the plan is to take Aussie Gold & it's hanging M_TOP on the weekly chart right down to the neckline for some serious scratching & hold onto your hat once it breaches the itchy neckline.
I don't think the VIX index, the Gold-god's or the market-makers' are going to let us bid up the Gold-price much at all in the lead-up to Thursday the 19th, less than 2 weeks away now. That is why I wouldn't be surprised to see the Gold-price explode upwards 20% or 30% on the big day for Jerome H. Powell FED Chair Boss, that is if they keep a lid on the Gold-price from rising in the meantime.
So, in the meantime, I am gonna Short the Cripes out of XAUAUD because I'm a loyal & patriotic Aussie who's only trying to make a buck or 2 from the markets.
Seriously, but I was serious, I see the USDX coming out of hibernation next week. I will post a couple of charts below & you will see where I am coming from. Please, in the interests of the trading sport, see also my methodology below.
Cop ya later,
Chris
* First below is the Weekly-Chart: XAUUSD
XAUUSD: SELL@2514-2528
Gold has a significant support level around 2488. If it breaks this level again, the price is likely to fall further to around 2452. Tomorrow's NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) data will be released, and given today's ADP data being bullish for gold, there is a high probability that tomorrow's NFP data will also be favorable for gold, barring any unexpected outcomes. However, it is important to watch the market before the data release—if there is an early rally, there is a possibility that the price may see a brief spike after the data release, followed by a sharp decline. If the data comes in surprisingly negative and is bearish for gold, a short position can be taken directly.
Trading Area for Gold based on S/RMy idea is based on the Support & Resistance levels observed on 1H TF
I'm anticipating price bounce from the identified support areas (Support-1 & Support-2) My plan is to enter long position when the price reach these support levels and close the trade at the resistance level
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Long from the Support-1 & Support-2
Take Profit: at Resistance area
Stop Loss: Below Support-2
Good Luck
XAUUSD: NFP data is coming, how to make a trading plan?Yesterday's ADP data showed an increase of 99,000 jobs, the lowest since January 2021, significantly lower than the expected 145,000 and the previous value of 122,000. This provided a significant positive for gold. Fortunately, the subsequent initial jobless claims and two PMI data were negative, which suppressed the rise of gold and prevented the expectation of a consistent recession in all economic data.
It is precisely because of this that the price of gold fell to our buying range of 2500-2505 and then rose again, giving us the opportunity to buy at 2505 and take profits at 2516.
There are less than two weeks before the Fed's September rate cut, whether it is a 25 basis point or 50 basis point cut. Today's NFP data will play a decisive role. Everyone must pay attention to it. The fluctuation may be very large at that time.
Everyone knows the importance of the monthly NFP data, and I don't need to explain too much. Therefore, today's technical reference is not as significant as the data. Everything has to wait for the results of the data release, so it is difficult to judge.
Given the uncertainty in today's market, I can't give you a specific trading strategy in advance, because it needs to be adjusted according to the actual market conditions. But I prefer to wait for a pullback and buy bullish, or make a trading plan based on the data performance after the data is released.
I hope the above strategy is useful to everyone. In fact, you can be more cautious and give up today's trading, or make a trading plan based on the specific market trend after the data is released.
GOLD At Perfect Res ,Can We Sell It To Get 500 Pips This Week ? This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAUUSD: The most likely time to set a new high is comingIn yesterday's article, we pointed out the importance of the support area of 2470-2480, and the trend of this decline is almost the same as that in August, so we bought bullish in this range, and the result was very good.
Judging from the strength of the last rebound, the highest gold price tried to break through 2532. Similarly, I am optimistic that gold will test new highs again this time. In addition, there are many important economic data released today, and there will be a monthly NFP tomorrow. Once the data is good for gold, this time is most likely to refresh the historical high.
From the 1H chart, we can see that yesterday's strong rebound has broken the downward trend, and today's Asian and European sessions have broken through the key resistance of 2500-2505 again. Now this range has turned from resistance to support.
Trading strategy:
Although we are very optimistic about gold today, we still cannot take the risk of chasing the rise, because once the gold price falls back to the support, there is a room for a decline of 10-15$.
Therefore, today we'd better wait for the gold price to pull back to the 2500-2505 support area before buying. The target can be seen at 2520-2530, and after a new high, it can be seen at 2550.
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 5th SeptLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
XAUUSD: The recent low has been confirmed, buy boldlyYesterday, the price of gold bottomed out and rebounded after falling to 2473. Now the price of gold has come here again. I think the low point of this decline is likely to be here.
From the 4H chart, we can see that the range of 2470-2480 is the key resistance level that has not been broken in the previous many attacks. After breaking, it has turned into support.
At the same time, during the correction last month, it also played a key supporting role, and its support strength has been verified yesterday and just now.
In addition, the important data ADP and NFP data this week will not be released until the next two days, so it is unlikely to fall below this key support level before the data.
Trading strategy:
Since we have determined the short-term low, the choice for us is very clear. Buy in the range of 2470-2480. The first target is 2500-2505, and the second is 2520-2530.
I have bought at 2480 and added positions at 2475. Now I can wait for the rise with peace of mind.
GOLD +680 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Entry Valid To Who Missed It !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Gold At Very Interesting Res Area ,Are You Ready To Get 300 PipsThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
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Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GOLD, raid for liqudity! Ver thik, her ek kom!Gold just took liquidity from the previous day's low (PDL) and previous week's low (PWL). It had the first market structure (MS) shift on the 15-minute chart, and now, after some consolidation and testing of the 15-minute order block (OB), it will most likely continue higher to take out liquidity from the equal highs (EQH) in the 2528-2531 area (which also includes the previous month's high (PMH) and previous week's high (PWH)). This aligns with the monthly theory that suggests price manipulation at the beginning of the month, followed by the real move during the 2nd and 3rd weeks of the month.
I would wait until the price moves higher to the 2507 area, breaks above it, and closes on the 15-minute chart with the candle body above the London open high (LOH). Only then would I open a long position targeting the previous week's high (PWH).
Always follow risk management: after a 1:1 risk-to-reward (RR) move, adjust the stop-loss to the entry point. At 1:2 RR, either take full profit (TP) or trim 80% of the position.
GOLD +450 Pips 0 Drawdown , Free Long Trade Shared For Free !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
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Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAU/USD "GOLD" Robbery plan to steal the gold in long SideHola ola My Dear,
Robbers / Money Makers & Losers,
This is our master plan to Heist XAU/USD "GOLD" Mines based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
XAUUSD:Bullish resistance 2513-2527
This week features a significant amount of data with substantial impact, which is likely to lead to considerable market volatility. This presents both risks and opportunities—if managed well, doubling profits is achievable.
In Monday’s gold trading, start by taking long positions since the market is still consolidating within a flag pattern and has not broken below the support near 2488. Focus on the resistance levels at 2509-2515 and then around 2527. This resistance level is well-known and has been tested four times without an effective breakout, so it’s prudent to trade within this range for now.
Given the recent instability in the broader environment, there’s potential for gold bulls, but this assumes further deterioration in the situation. If the market remains indecisive, bulls may lack the strength to drive a significant rally. From a mid-term perspective, I personally believe that selling at higher levels may be more favorable.
GOLD H1 Analysis: Two Different Perspectives GOLD: Two Different Perspectives
Yesterday, I provided a broader time frame perspective on GOLD and detailed why it might move down again.
Given the market’s lack of clear direction, we should remain cautious as the price evolves.
This time, I am sharing my opinion on two possible scenarios, acknowledging that traders have different perspectives and the price is at a critical juncture.
Bearish Scenario:
The price is testing a strong zone near 2530 for the fourth time, as seen in the chart. If this zone holds, we could see GOLD moving down to 2504. A move below 2504 could push the price further down to 2483.
Bullish Scenario:
A move above 2530 today could push the price up to 2550, which might become the next resistance zone where we could see potential bearish momentum again.
However, I am more focused on the bearish move, as I have explained my opinion several times.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
XAUUSD:It could break through 2530
The price continues to fluctuate within the resistance zone. Looking at the 4-hour chart, both the indicators and the current pattern favor the bulls. If the price doesn’t break below the 2517-2511 area before tomorrow’s New York session, we can expect an upward move.
At the same time, the DXY is starting to show signs of forming a bottom, the likelihood of it moving in the same direction as gold is low. Once the DXY successfully bottoms out (which I expect to happen around the 99.5-99 level), it will likely mark the medium-term top for gold. At that point, the trading strategy should focus on selling at high levels.