Gold Third Scenario , Depend On Breakout , What`s Your Opinion ?Here is the update for the last idea i post for Gold , if we take a look now we will see that he price moving in sideway and still not touch my support , so do yo uthink the price will go up without retest it ? or should we keep the first analysis ?
Xauusdsetup
Gold: Directional Break ImminentYesterday’s market remained calm without any significant swings, unlike the strong movements we’ve seen previously. Today, however, appears to be a critical turning point as the market prepares for a directional breakout.
📊 Technical Overview:
Gold is showing signs of retesting the resistance around 3240, while short-term support lies at 3194–3188. If this resistance holds and the price fails to break above, a double-top pattern may form—potentially triggering a major drop between Wednesday and Thursday.
If the price breaks above 3240, there may be around $30 of additional upside, but this is likely to mark the formation of a short-term top, followed again by a decline.
🎯 Key Bearish Target Zones: 3137-3106
Whether it breaks upward or downward, a bearish opportunity is building. Stay patient, follow the price action, and avoid emotional decisions to catch the move at the right moment.
Gold Faces Resistance at $3,220 — Short Setup Targeting $3,180 SEarlier, gold prices surged to an all-time high of $3,245/oz, but soon encountered selling pressure, triggering a pullback that briefly broke below the $3,200 psychological level, touching intraday lows near $3,193. As of now, the price is consolidating around $3,210, with short-term momentum appearing to fade.
From a technical perspective:
$3,220 represents the right shoulder resistance of a potential short-term head-and-shoulders pattern.
$3,190 acts as a secondary support level.
The $3,180–$3,160 zone marks the lower bound of the intraday base on the hourly chart.
If price action remains capped below $3,220, there is a high likelihood of a downside retest toward the $3,180–$3,170 support band.
📌 Trading Strategy:
Initiate short positions near $3,220, with a protective stop above $3,228. Downside targets lie at $3,180–$3,170, in line with the hourly support range.
Gold: It may Fall below 3180 todayOver the weekend, Trump announced a pause on tariffs for popular consumer electronics, prompting gold to gap down to 3210 at today’s open;
✅ Our recommended short entries at 3230–3260 are already in profit;
New semiconductor tariff announcements are due during the U.S. session today — the key driver for gold’s next move;
Given the fragile U.S. political/economic backdrop, escalating tariff conflict is unlikely, increasing the chance of bearish impact on gold;
With gold already trading at a premium, any "tariff relief" narrative will likely trigger speculative sell-offs;
If you're holding short positions, consider being patient — avoid premature exits due to emotional reaction to minor pullbacks.
Maintain key short entry zone: 3230 – 3260;
Expect gold to test below 3180 if market sentiment shifts
Bullish momentum is strong, keep an eye on key positions
📌 Driving events
Last week, China imposed a 125% tariff on US goods in retaliation for the US's 145% tariff, but then hinted that it would not respond to any further escalation of tariffs. Last weekend, President Donald Trump proposed the idea of levying a separate 20% tariff on Chinese semiconductors and electronics, suggesting that his strategy may shift from comprehensive tariffs to more targeted trade measures.
📊Commentary and analysis
Although there was a technical correction in the 1-hour gold trend, gold once retreated below 3197 to around 3195, but soon it was supported by bargain hunting again, suggesting that the underlying logic of this century's market is rock solid. When Fed officials are about to speak intensively, March PPI data hides inflation mystery, and geopolitical black swans continue to hover, every pullback of gold is accumulating power for the next round of charge. Historical experience shows that when there is a century-long divergence between physical assets and financial assets, it often indicates a large transfer of wealth at the civilization level.
Therefore, the gold price and the buying volume are maintained, and the upward trend continues: 3250, 3260
💰 Strategy package
Upper pressure - 3260-3280
Lower support - 3210-3200
Start time: Continue to go long near 3220
Take profit near 3240
Stop loss 3210
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
GOLD 2 Excepted Scenarios Very Clear , Which One You Prefer ? Here is my opinion on GOLD Chart , the price broke the highest Res , and continue to upside , so i think we have 2 ways in this pair right now , if the price go back to retest the broken res area and give us a good bullish Price Action we can enter a buy trade with smal lot size cuz the price at very high price , and if we have a clear closure below it , we can enter a sell trade with 500 pips target .
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, I break down the key forces pushing gold to record highs. Learn how factors such as US-China trade tensions, global inflation pressures, and geopolitical uncertainty—combined with a weakening US Dollar and safe-haven demand—are reshaping the gold market.
In this quick analysis, we cover:
🔹 Inflation & Economic Uncertainty: How rising prices and central bank policies continue to drive interest in gold.
🔹 Trade Tensions & Geopolitical Risks: The impact of US-China disputes and global instability on market sentiment.
🔹 US Dollar Weakness: Why a softer USD is making gold a more attractive asset for international investors.
🔹 Technical Insights: Pinpointing key price levels and exploring potential trend continuations or reversals ahead of US retail sales data.
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Constantly assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
#GoldMarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradeTensions #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading
XAU/USD15-Min Chart –Bullish Setup with RBR Zone & Breakout TRG🔷 Chart Structure
* 📊 Ascending Channel
↗️ Price is moving within an upward-sloping channel
• Higher Highs
• Higher Lows
* 🔍 Short-Term Trend: Bullish momentum is intact
🟦 Key Zones
* 🟦 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally)
📌 Support area where buyers stepped in
🔄 Price bounced from this zone
* 🟥 Resistance Zone
🚫 Around 3,250 – sellers previously active here
👀 Watch for breakout confirmation
✅ Trade Setup
* 🎯 Entry Point: 3,226.38
* ⛔ Stop Loss: 3,216.30
* 🥅 Target: 3,267.00
* 💰 Potential Gain: 38.67 points (1.20%)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 — very favorable!
📍 Indicators
* 📉 EMA (7) — acts as short-term support
🟡 Price is consolidating near EMA — possible setup for next move.
📌 Outlook
* 🟢 Bullish Bias – As long as price stays above RBR zone
* 🔔 Breakout Alert – A break above resistance may lead to sharp upside move toward the target.
Gold's main rise is not over yet, long is still the core strategHeading into next week, we maintain a bullish medium-term outlook on gold, with a continued preference for trend-following long positions.
Although short-term bearish attempts persist, the broader upward structure remains intact, with pullbacks presenting tactical buying opportunities.
Key support is observed around $3,200/oz, which serves as a strategic level for initiating low-risk long entries within the ongoing uptrend.
Gold (XAU/USD)Trade Setup – Bullish RBR Zone & High Reward Poten🔹 Key Levels:
📍 Entry Point: 3211 🔵
📍 Stop Loss: 3185.109 🔴
📍 Target Point: 3300 🟢
🔹 Market Structure:
📈 The price has formed a Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) zone 📊, which is a bullish continuation pattern 🚀.
🔄 The market surged and is now consolidating within the RBR zone 📦 before potentially resuming its uptrend 📢.
🔹 Trading Plan:
✅ Buy Entry: If price retraces into the RBR zone (around 3211), consider a buy position. 🛒📊
🔻 Stop Loss: Set below the base at 3185.109 to limit risk. ⚠️🚫
🎯 Take Profit: Aiming for 3300, a major resistance level. 🎯📈
🔹 Indicators & Confluence:
📏 DEMA (9): 3223.297 (Currently acting as resistance 🛑)
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup (High Reward Potential ✅)
🔹 Potential Risks:
⚠️ If price drops below 3185, it could indicate a trend reversal 🔄⛔.
🌎 Economic News & Geopolitical Factors may impact Gold prices significantly. 📰📉
🔹 Conclusion:
📊 Bullish Opportunity 🦅📈 – If the price respects the RBR zone, it may continue upwards towards 3300! 🚀💰
XAU/USD 11 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per my analysis dated 04 April 2025 by targeting weak internal high and printing bullish iBOS.
We currently do not have an indication of bearish pullback phase initiation. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH.
It is possible for price to potentially print higher highs in order to reposition CHoCH closer to current price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I will continue to monitor internal structure following the printing of a bearish CHoCH.
Price has continued higher without a meaningful pullback, therefore, I will not classify previous iBOS, which is marked in red, as a bullish iBOS.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
"Gold on Fire: Demand Zone Bounce with Bullish Target Ahead! "Key Zones & Levels:
Demand Zone 🔵
Area: 3099.36 – 3110
This is where buyers stepped in strongly before – price bounced up from here twice!
Strong support zone!
Resistance / Mini Consolidation ⚠️
Around 3125 – 3135
Price is hesitating here – needs to break this box for continuation.
Target Point 🎯
Level: 3168.17
Based on previous highs – this is the bullish target zone!
Stop Loss ❌
Level: 3099.36
Placed just below the demand zone to limit losses if price breaks down.
Trade Idea Summary:
Entry Zone: ✍️ 3110–3125
Stop Loss: ❌ 3099.36
Target: 🎯 3168.17
Risk-Reward Ratio: 5:1 ⭐️ (Great setup!)
What to Watch For:
✅ If price holds above demand and breaks the mini consolidation, expect bullish continuation.
❌ If price drops below the demand zone, setup is invalid – risk of further decline.
Gold bulls are rising higherGold's 1-hour moving average continues to spread upwards and bulls are spreading. Gold bulls are full of strength. Gold still has upward momentum. The pullback will continue to give opportunities to go long.
Trading idea: Go long near gold 3175, stop loss 3165, target 3210
The above is only a sharing of trading ideas and does not constitute investment advice. You need to be responsible for your own profits and losses.
XAUUSD: Investors are more interested in Gold than ever! Gold reversed successfully after touching our entry point, moving to over 1400 pips. We previously advised closing the idea, but now we see a strong bullish market likely to create another record high. The ongoing tariff war between China and the US will likely create more fear in the global market.
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GOLD At Interesting Res Area , Should We Sell Now Or Wait ?Here is my GOLD Chart and this si 1H Time Frame , i`m looking to sell it if i have a bearish price action to confirm that the price will go down , i think the price will go up a little to make some wicks and take all stop losses before going down again maybe tomorrow, so i think we will see some stop hunts before the price going going down for 500 pips and then move again to upside very hard .
Gold's Downtrend PersistsGold's Bearish Outlook Continues Despite Temporary Upside Spike
Market Overview:
The overall outlook for gold remains bearish, even though the market recently experienced a surprising and sharp upward movement. While a deep correction was anticipated and in line with prior expectations, the nature and timing of the recent surge raised some eyebrows among analysts and traders alike.
The unexpected bullish reaction came shortly after former U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 90-day suspension on reciprocal tariffs—a development that typically would not warrant such a dramatic price rally in gold. Normally, easing geopolitical or economic tensions would dampen safe-haven demand, causing gold to retreat. In this case, however, the opposite occurred, which suggests the possibility of non-fundamental drivers at play, potentially even artificial market influence or manipulation.
Technical Outlook:
Despite the sudden upward movement, gold’s larger technical structure has not changed significantly. The overall trend remains bearish unless we see a sustained breakout above the 3167 resistance level. A clean breach above that threshold would be uncharacteristic based on current fundamentals and could indicate external interference or speculative overreaction rather than a genuine shift in sentiment or macroeconomic conditions.
The price action continues to favor the bears, with lower highs and lower lows still forming on the larger timeframes. Until there’s clear evidence to the contrary, any rallies should be viewed with skepticism and treated as potential selling opportunities rather than the start of a new bullish trend.
Key Support Zones:
Looking at potential areas where gold may find some temporary footing, the following support levels should be closely monitored:
3054 – Minor support; could serve as a short-term pause point.
3000 – A psychological level and round number that often acts as a magnet for price action.
2925 – More significant historical support zone with prior buying interest.
2840 – Deeper support, aligning with the longer-term bearish trajectory.
Conclusion:
In summary, while gold has shown a sudden upward burst, the broader picture remains cautious. The technical indicators, market context, and recent price behavior all point toward a continuation of the downtrend unless key resistance levels are convincingly breached. Traders are advised to remain vigilant, avoid emotional reactions to short-term volatility, and refer closely to technical signals when making decisions.
The chart provides further clarity on this setup—feel free to review it for a more visual representation of the analysis.
Thank you for reading, and best of luck in the markets!
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout Setup – Bullish Reversal from RBR Zone!🔹 Trade Idea: Long (Buy) Setup
📈 Targeting a price rally from a demand zone!
---
🔵 .ENTRY ZONE (Buy Area)
🟦 Marked between 3,039.773 – 3,043.052
📍 Located in the RBS + RBR zone (Resistance becomes Support + Rally-Base-Rally)
💡 Price dipped here and bounced — showing bullish intent
🔻 .STOP LOSS
🚨 Placed at 3,014.537
🛡️ Protects you in case the price drops below the zone
✋ Risk is clearly defined here
🎯 .TARGET POINT (Take Profit)
🚀 Aiming for 3,115.910
💸 A high reward area if momentum continues
🔥 Great R:R ratio (~1:3) — solid risk/reward
📊 .Technical Confirmation
📌 Price has moved above the 9-period DEMA (3,043.052)
⚡ Signals bullish momentum
🕯️ Strong bullish candles forming after the bounce — confirming entry.
🔍 .Market Structure Notes
⬇️ Previous trend was down
🔄 Now forming a potential reversal
🧱 Support holding strong near 3,014–3,030
✅ Summary: 💥 Buy idea from demand zone
🔝 Targeting new highs
🛑 Stop loss tightly managed
⚖️ Clean setup with momentum on your side
"Gold Price Rejection Setup – Trendline + Resistance Combo"XAU/USD 1H Chart Analysis 🪙📉
🔹 Trendline 📐
* Descending trendline marked by 3 touches
* Shows consistent bearish pressure
* Price is respecting it—watch for rejections
🔹 Resistance Area ⛔
* Blue zone between $3,014 - $3,025
* Strong supply zone—price failed to break it before
* Potential reversal zone if price touches again
🔹 Entry Point 🎯
* Suggested short entry at $3,014.29
* Just under resistance + near trendline
* Great spot for catching a downward move
🔹 Stop Loss ⚠️
* Placed at $3,025.13
* Above resistance = smart protection
* Keeps risk under control if breakout happens
🔹 Target Point 💰
* Take-profit marked around $2,964.45
* Down at a key support level
* Clean risk-to-reward around 1:5 (sweet setup!)
🔹 Moving Average (DEMA 9) 📈
* Dynamic resistance (line hugging candles)
* If price closes below, confirms bearish move
Summary ✅
This setup is a classic trendline + resistance short. You're betting on price respecting resistance and heading lower.
Bias: Bearish 🔻
Entry: $3,014.29
SL: $3,025.13 🛑
TP: $2,964.45 ✅
Gold has won two consecutive games, continue to short?Gold continued to be in a dead cross downward short position at 1 hour. The strength of gold short positions has not diminished. Gold fell near the resistance of 3017, and the gold moving average resistance has now moved down to near 3021. After gold rebounds, it is still mainly short selling.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3015, stop loss 3025, target 2990
The above is only a sharing of personal opinions and does not constitute investment advice. Investment is risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
Gold is Bullish, Target 3030-3060At the market open today, we signaled a buy opportunity near the 2980 level for gold. Since then, the price has surged over $30, and those who followed the strategy have already secured solid profits.
Gold is now approaching a short-term resistance, so a minor pullback may occur. However, the overall uptrend for the day remains intact, and our strategy continues to favor buying on dips.
Based on the current chart pattern, there's potential for the price to rise toward the 3030–3060 zone later today.
Stay alert for retracement opportunities, manage your position size wisely, and trade with discipline.
If you missed this entry, don’t worry — the next opportunity is just around the corner!
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Blue MA Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout then make your move at (3000) - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the Support level Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (3050) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2960
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a chance to move bearishness),., driven by several key factors.👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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