Gold is still weak, rebound can still be shortedThe 1-hour moving average of gold still continues to cross downwards, and the strength of gold shorts has not weakened; gold rebounds are still mainly short selling. Although gold rose after covering the gap for one hour, the upper shadow line soon fell. Gold is still weak overall, and gold is under pressure near 3050 in the short term.
Trading idea: short gold near 3042, stop loss 3052, target 3022
The above is purely a sharing of personal opinions and does not constitute trading advice. Investments are risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
Xauusdsetup
"Gold Spot (XAU/USD) -Trend Reversal or Continuation? tradesetup📊 Key Levels & Zones
🔵 Target Point: 📈 3,055.65 (Upper blue box) – The expected bullish target.
🟠 Demand Zone: 📉 3,009 - 3,019 (Orange box) – A strong support area where buyers might step in.
🔴 Stop Loss: ⛔ 3,009.47 – Safety exit if the price drops below this level.
📉 Trend Analysis
📍 Trend Line (🔽 Downward Sloping): Indicates a declining price movement.
📍 Potential Breakout (📈): If price breaks above the trend line, it may trigger an upward move toward the target point.
🛠️ Strategy
🔹 Wait for confirmation – A bullish candle above the trend line can signal a buy entry.
🔹 Watch demand zone – If price holds above this area, it could support the bullish move.
🔹 Manage risk – SL (⛔) ensures minimal losses in case of a breakdown.
XAU/USD 07 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed as per last Friday's analysis by targeting weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish iBOS indicating bullish phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15/H4 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,970.215
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionThe price of gold (XAUUSD) surged to a new all-time high last week following former President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs, only to face a strong retracement that plunged it to a 7-day low of around $3,015. The market then saw a recovery after Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted that inflation could reaccelerate due to the economic impact of tariffs.
In this video, I break down:
✨ Gold price action and how markets are reacting to significant headlines
📉 A complete technical analysis of XAUUSD
📍 Key price levels, the current trend, and market structure
💡 Potential trade setups for the week ahead
We’re standing at a critical juncture in the gold market—and how traders respond could shape the next major move.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #GoldPrice #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #GoldForecast #FOMC #JeromePowell #TrumpTariffs #InflationData #MarketUpdate
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Always assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
Gold opens lower and moves lower, the rebound continues to be beThe gold 1-hour moving average crosses downwards and the short positions are arranged, and it continues to open downwards. So gold is now the home of the shorts. Gold rebounds or continues to be short. Gold is now in a short trend under the gap. Gold rebounds around 3050 and continues to be short.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3050, stop loss 3060, target 3030
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
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XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a chance to move bearishness),., driven by several key factors.👇
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Gold Price Drops on Tariff Selloff
Gold, long considered a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty, experienced a sharp reversal of fortune this Friday, tumbling as much as 2.4% and extending losses from the previous session. This significant decline came as a surprise to many who had witnessed the precious metal steadily climb to record highs in recent weeks, fueled by persistent inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and expectations of easing monetary policy. However, the resurgence of tariff anxieties has triggered a broad selloff across various asset classes, including gold, as investors recalibrate their risk exposure in the face of heightened economic uncertainty.1
The catalyst for this sudden shift in market sentiment has been the renewed threat of escalating trade tensions.2 While the specifics of the "tariff shock" are crucial in understanding the market reaction, the general principle is that the imposition or threat of tariffs can disrupt global supply chains, increase costs for businesses and consumers, and ultimately dampen economic growth.3 This increased uncertainty and the potential for negative economic consequences have prompted investors to reassess their portfolios and, in many cases, reduce their exposure to assets perceived as riskier or less liquid, even those traditionally considered safe havens.4
Gold's traditional role as a safe haven stems from its historical use as a store of value, its limited supply, and its lack of correlation with traditional financial assets during periods of stress.5 In times of economic turmoil, investors often flock to gold as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility.6 This flight to safety typically drives up the price of bullion.7
However, the current market reaction suggests a more nuanced dynamic at play. The tariff shock appears to have triggered a broader reassessment of risk, leading to a selloff that encompasses not only equities and other riskier assets but also traditional safe havens like gold. Several factors could be contributing to this phenomenon.
Firstly, the prospect of tariffs can lead to concerns about slower global growth.8 If economic activity contracts, it could reduce overall demand, potentially impacting even safe-haven assets like gold, particularly if investors anticipate lower inflation in the long run. While gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, a significant deflationary shock could negatively affect its price.
Secondly, the imposition of tariffs can create uncertainty about future economic policies and international relations.9 This uncertainty can lead to increased volatility across all asset classes, prompting investors to reduce overall exposure and move towards cash or other highly liquid assets. In such scenarios, even assets perceived as safe havens might be sold off as part of a broader de-risking strategy.
Thirdly, the recent run-up in gold prices to record highs might have made it a target for profit-taking. After a significant rally, any negative news or shift in market sentiment can trigger a wave of selling as investors look to lock in gains. The tariff shock could have provided the catalyst for such profit-taking, exacerbating the downward pressure on gold prices.
Furthermore, the interconnectedness of global financial markets means that negative sentiment in one area can quickly spread to others.10 The fear of a trade war can impact equity markets, leading to margin calls or a general desire to reduce risk across portfolios, which could include selling gold holdings.
The extent of the gold selloff – a 2.4% drop in a single day is significant for a traditionally stable asset – underscores the severity of the market's reaction to the tariff news. This move also highlights the fact that even safe-haven assets are not immune to broad market dislocations and shifts in investor sentiment.
Looking ahead, the trajectory of gold prices will likely depend heavily on how the tariff situation unfolds and its actual impact on the global economy. If the tariff threats escalate into a full-blown trade war with significant negative consequences for growth and corporate earnings, we could see further volatility across all asset classes. In such a scenario, the initial reaction might be continued selling pressure on gold as investors prioritize liquidity and de-risking.
However, if the economic fallout from tariffs becomes more apparent and concerns about stagflation (slow growth with high inflation) resurface, gold's traditional safe-haven appeal could reassert itself. In a stagflationary environment, gold could once again become an attractive asset as a hedge against both economic stagnation and the erosion of purchasing power.
Moreover, any signs of easing monetary policy by central banks in response to slowing economic growth could also provide support for gold prices. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and can also be inflationary in the long run.
In conclusion, the recent tumble in gold prices following the tariff shock demonstrates that even traditional safe-haven assets are susceptible to broad market selloffs triggered by significant economic uncertainties. The initial reaction appears to be driven by a general de-risking across asset classes and potential profit-taking after gold's recent record highs. However, the future performance of gold will depend on the evolving economic landscape, the actual impact of tariffs, and the response of monetary policy. While the immediate reaction has been negative, gold's role as a potential hedge against economic turmoil and inflation could see it regain its footing if the negative consequences of the tariff shock become more pronounced. Investors should closely monitor developments in trade policies and their broader economic implications to gauge the future direction of gold prices. The current volatility serves as a reminder that even in the realm of safe havens, market dynamics can shift rapidly and unexpectedly.
Gold Rebound Looms: Don’t Miss the $50 OpportunityDuring his ongoing speech, Powell mentioned that tariffs may push inflation higher in the coming quarters. While inflation is currently close to the 2% target, it still remains above it. The market has already begun to anticipate a Fed rate cut, which is a potential bullish signal for gold.
From a technical perspective, the recent drop has partially corrected the previous bearish divergence. However, the divergence on the 1D chart still requires more time to be fully resolved.
At the current level, gold appears oversold. I do not recommend chasing short positions here. A short-term rebound is very likely, with a potential upside target between 3078-3096. If you manage the trade well, there’s an opportunity to capture at least $50 in profit.
If you’re currently holding long positions that are under pressure, stay strong. Don’t give up before the dawn — yesterday was a great example of why persistence matters.
#XAUSUD: Small Time Bearish Correction With Three Take Profit! After reaching a record high of $3,150, the XAUUSD currency pair has experienced a decline. Analysis conducted over the past few hours has led us to anticipate that the price may experience minor corrections within a short time frame.
Upon analysing the data and price movements, we have identified three distinct zones or targets that could serve as potential price levels for the XAUUSD pair.
For further insights into chart analysis, please consider liking and commenting on our content. We appreciate your continuous support.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx_
#XAUUSD: Last Sell Idea Dropped +300 Pips, Bias Changed? XAUs price behaviour has deviated from previous analysis, which had anticipated a +300 pips increase. However, we now anticipate the price to continue its upward trend, potentially reaching another record high. Our next target price range is estimated to be between 3170$ and 3200$.
We extend our best wishes for your successful trading endeavours. To enhance your trading outcomes, we strongly recommend employing accurate risk management techniques.
Team Setupsfx_
🚀❤️
Gold Price Analysis:Key Supply & Demand Zones with Potential Bkl🔥 Key Levels & Zones
🔵 Supply Zone (3,135-3,140 USD) 📉
Acts as resistance where selling pressure increases.
If price reaches here, expect a potential pullback.
🟢 Demand Zone (3,085-3,095 USD) 📈
Strong support area with buying interest.
Price has tested this zone multiple times = accumulation.
🎯 Target Point (~3,167 USD) 🚀
If price breaks out, it may rally towards this level!
❌ Stop Loss (~3,080 USD) ⛔
Marked below demand zone to limit risk.
---
📊 Trend Analysis
🔹 Trend Line Break ⚡
The price broke the previous uptrend = potential reversal or deeper correction.
🔹 Market Structure 🏗️
Price consolidating inside the demand zone = possible bullish move ahead.
🔹 Double Bottom Formation (DBF) at Supply Zone 🔄
Shows failed breakout attempts = strong resistance.
---
🔍 Indicators & Insights
📌 DEMA (9 close) at 3,099 USD 📈
Price hovering around this moving average = market indecision.
---
🚦 Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If price holds the demand zone & breaks above 3,110 USD, it could rally to supply zone (~3,135 USD).
A breakout above 3,140 USD could lead to the target zone (~3,167 USD) 🚀.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below 3,085 USD, it may hit stop loss (3,080 USD) and continue lower.
---
🎯 Trading Plan
🟩 Long Entry ➡️ Around 3,090-3,100 USD 📊
🛑 Stop Loss ➡️ Below 3,080 USD 🚨
🎯 Target ➡️ 3,135-3,167 USD 🎉
IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY?TRADE WAR WARNING – IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY?
In the last 24 hours, global financial markets were rattled after Donald Trump unveiled a sweeping set of new global tariffs. This wasn’t just a political move — it may well mark the beginning of a new wave of global economic instability.
Markets across the board took a hit:
📉 US, European, and Asian equities
📉 Gold (XAU/USD), the US Dollar Index (DXY), and even crypto — all plunged into the red.
🔍 So, What Actually Happened?
Gold dropped by over 100 points in a single session — and strangely, the US dollar also fell.
Normally, a weaker USD would support gold. So why did gold sell off this time?
➡️ One likely explanation is that institutional investors sold gold positions to cover losses in equity markets, or to free up margin amidst the chaos.
📉 This wasn’t just a correction — it might be the early signal of a global BIG SHORT forming across multiple asset classes.
🧨 The Start of Something Bigger?
Markets aren’t just reacting to tariffs. They’re pricing in the risk of a full-scale trade war, which could disrupt global supply chains and hammer corporate earnings.
Industries like construction, healthcare, logistics, and manufacturing are already showing signs of strain.
If this escalates, we could be looking at something far more serious than a short-term sell-off.
📉 The Data Doesn’t Look Great Either
While inflation in the US continues to cool, other key data points are deteriorating:
ISM Services PMI (March): 50.8 (vs 53.0 expected)
Employment sub-index: 46.2 (down sharply from 53.9)
New orders, export orders and backlogs also fell
👉 These are real signs of economic slowdown, especially considering that services make up over 70% of the US economy.
🧠 Market Sentiment: FOMO, Fear, and Panic
At the moment, it’s hard to ignore how unsettled sentiment has become.
Retail and institutional traders alike are acting on fear. And that’s dangerous.
🔔 Tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report could either calm things down — or add more fuel to the fire.
🏦 Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner?
Markets are rapidly shifting their expectations:
A rate cut could come as early as May or June 2025
Traders are now pricing in 2 to 4 cuts this year (previously just 2)
There’s now a strong chance the Fed pivots earlier than expected
If jobs data continues to soften, the Fed may have no choice but to act faster — despite core inflation not yet fully under control.
⚠️ Trading Strategy: Observation Over Action
Right now, your best position might be… no position.
"Sometimes, the most profitable trade is the one you don’t take."
This isn’t the time to chase wild price action.
It’s the time to prepare and plan with logic — not emotion.
📊 Key Technical Levels on XAU/USD
🔺 Resistance:
3110 – 3119 – 3136 – 3148 – 3167
🔻 Support:
3086 – 3075 – 3055 – 3040 – 3024
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3056 – 3054
SL: 3050
TP: 3060 – 3064 – 3068 – 3072 – 3076 – 3080
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150
SL: 3154
TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120
💬 Final Thoughts
The combination of tariffs, recession fears, and rate cut speculation is building into what could become a perfect storm.
Gold is in the eye of that storm.
Now is not the time to panic — but to trade with clarity and control.
📌 Don’t let emotion drive your trades.
Stick to the chart. Stick to your plan. Protect your capital.
🧠 Patience is what separates the lucky from the consistently profitable.
XAU/USD 04 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed as per yesterday's alternative scenario whereby price has printed a bearish iBOS due to H4 TF being in, although not as yet confirmed, in bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has already traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ, therefore, price to target weak internal low priced at
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold is under dark clouds, waiting for opportunitiesThe 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and gold bulls have suffered heavy losses. After gold rebounds and repairs, we can only continue to short. The support below the range of gold 1 hour ago was 3110, and now it has fallen below. Then gold 3110 has formed an effective suppression in the short term.
Trading idea: short gold near 3110, sl: 3120, tp: 3090
The above is purely a sharing of personal views and does not constitute trading advice. Investments are risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
Data will be Bearish for GOLDAffected by tariffs and inflation news, gold fluctuated sharply before the market closed. The market was in a situation of double kills for both long and short positions, and the sentiment was still fermenting. At present, the bulls also took this opportunity to successfully break through the resistance, and the price returned to above 3140 again. From the perspective of the pattern, there is still room for growth in the short term.
Before the US market, you can look for trading opportunities in the 3158-3123 range. The unemployment benefit data will be released during the US market, and the data is expected to be bearish for gold. Therefore, within 30 minutes before the data is released, if you hold a long order, please be cautious. At that time, I will also send you the latest trading plan based on the market situation.
If you are currently in trouble and need help, you can leave me a message.
XAUUSD Analysis: Why I’m Not Buying Gold at the Highs!Gold’s Rally: A Strategic Plan for the Next Buy Setup!
✨ Gold (XAUUSD) has experienced a strong rally recently, fueled by the stock market sell-off. However, I’m waiting for a better entry point rather than buying at the current highs, as price is trading at a premium. 📉 My focus is on a potential retracement on the daily and 4-hour timeframes, targeting a pullback into the swing low-to-high range. Specifically, I’m watching for price to return to the equilibrium zone around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. 🔄 If price pulls back and we see a bullish break of market structure in this area, it could present a solid buying opportunity. Until then, patience is key! 🛠️
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and conduct your own analysis.
Gold's trend has too many friendsThere’s a well-known saying in trading: “The trend is your friend.”
I firmly believe in this principle. However, when price movements become too extreme—too fast and too far—it’s wise to exercise caution, even if you’re not ready to take the opposite side of the trade.
And right now, I believe that’s exactly the case with Gold.
________________________________________
Why a Major Gold Correction is Likely
As I’ve been repeating like a broken record since Monday, Gold’s price is severely deviated from the mean, signaling that a brutal correction is on the horizon.
After reaching a new all-time high of 3,150, Gold retraced yesterday, dropping to 3,100—a support level formed earlier in the week. A rebound followed, but as I’ve explained in an educational article, this price action looks more like a stepwise distribution rather than true buying strength.
The key point?
➡️ Support isn’t holding because buyers are stepping in—it’s holding because big sellers have paused selling.
________________________________________
Still Bullish, But a Drop is Coming
There’s no doubt that Gold is in a strong uptrend. But even if it drops 1,000 pips, the overall bullish trend would still be intact.
Key Technical Signs of Weakness
📉 Trendline Break – Yesterday, Gold broke below the rising trendline, marking the first sign of weakness.
📉 Failed Rebound – Despite a short-term bounce, the price is now more likely confirming the break rather than invalidating it.
📉 Lower High in Progress? – The next minor support sits at 3,120. If Gold breaks below this level, we’ll have confirmation of a lower high, which strengthens the bearish case.
________________________________________
Targeting the Correction
If Gold breaks below 3,120, I expect a move below 3,100, targeting:
🎯 Soft target: 3,080
🎯 Likely target: 3,030 – 3,040
I believe it’s only a matter of time before this brutal correction plays out.
Let’s see how it unfolds! 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD: May fall below 3100So far, gold has continued to fluctuate in the 3110-3136 range. Although the candle chart has many long lower shadows, the high point is moving down. If this trend is not broken, the probability of falling below 3100 today is very high, so when trading, everyone must be cautious. Personally, I suggest selling as the main method.
4/1 Gold Analysis & Trading SignalsThe combination of fundamental influences and technical patterns led to a sharp surge in gold prices after the market opened yesterday. The upward momentum only slowed during the New York session, but prices remained above 3100. However, after this rally, the technical setup is not particularly favorable for bulls. That said, if fundamental factors continue to support the market, any technical pullback could provide another buying opportunity for bulls.
Key Considerations:
🔸 Besides technical factors, we need to monitor geopolitical tensions—if the situation eases, demand for gold as a safe haven could decrease.
🔸 If tensions escalate further, gold is likely to rise, making it unwise to blindly short the top. Instead, we should adjust our trading strategy based on market developments while using technical patterns for entry and exit points.
🔸 If a pullback occurs, support is seen around 3109.
🔸 If the price continues upward, given current market conditions, a single rally is unlikely to exceed $30, so the first resistance zone is estimated at 3136-3145.
Trading Strategy for Today:
📈 Buy in the 3111-3101 range
📉 Sell in the 3135-3145 range
Stay flexible, follow the market closely, and adjust strategies accordingly. Let me know if you need further insights!
GOLD: Potential RisksIf the price reaches the 3136-3148 range, there is no need to hesitate, just sell. This is the gold trading strategy for today provided to you before yesterday's closing. I wonder if any friends have grasped this profit?
After getting support near 3125, the price rebounded again. It is still in the rising stage. The resistance continues to focus on the vicinity of 3148.
Here is a reminder for everyone: During the trading process, the technical pattern of the 2H and above cycle level has a turning point. This is not a joke, so everyone must be cautious when chasing highs.
Even if there is news supporting the market now, news is something we cannot control. Once there is news of easing the situation, the risk aversion of gold will subside, and the decline will definitely not be small.
So while we follow the trend, we must also learn to think against the trend!
#XAUUSD: Smaller Time Frame With More Accurate Entry Areas! We currently have several active ideas in the Gold analysis section. However, we would like to share a comprehensive chart analysis that clearly demonstrates a market trend and potential entry points. The analysis identifies two entry types: “safe” and “risky.” A “safe” entry is only valid if the “risky” entry is invalidated. You may choose to take either entry if it aligns with your trading bias and chart analysis.
If you find this analysis valuable, please consider liking and commenting on it, as this feedback will help us post more detailed analyses in the future.
As always, we express our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support.
Team Setupsfx_