XAU/USD 07 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As highlighted in my analysis dated 31 October 2024: We should remain aware that the daily timeframe has been showing early signs of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation, suggesting that price could print a bearish iBOS despite H4 internal structure being bullish.
This printed as anticipated, with price printing a bearish iBOS that also confirmed the swing structure.
Price is now trading within an established swing range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the start of a bullish pullback phase.
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As detailed in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 06 November 2024, I noted that price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price printed to this expectation, successfully targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
Following this, price has printed an additional bearish iBOS and a bullish CHoCH, confirming the internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to target the weak internal low after reacting from either the premium of 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone.
Note: Considering the Fed’s softer stance, and rising geopolitical tensions, price volatility is likely to remain elevated.
M15 Chart:
Xauusdsetup
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 4th NovLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
XAUUSD: Buy@2660-2652 TP 2686-2702The result of the election, with Trump becoming the President of the United States, led to a significant drop in gold prices. The original target range for this week was between 2786-2752, but due to the news impact, the target was reached earlier than expected, so the upcoming trading plan needs to be adjusted.
Today's trading was quite volatile. The long positions entered early were closed near 2728, resulting in some losses. However, these losses were effectively compensated during the subsequent rebound. At the same time, short positions brought in substantial profits .
Currently, gold prices have dropped to around 2760.. It's important to note that gold's price corrections often come with strong rebound signals. If you're currently holding long positions and temporarily trapped, it's advisable to remain patient, as a rebound is expected soon. My personal target for this rebound is around 2700. The potential for this rebound is worth watching closely.
XAUUSD: 300+ Pips Daily 1 HR View! Dear Traders,
Price dropped from 2792 to 2733 record 600 pips, now we are looking at the price correct the fair value gap that it has created due to that massive drop. Now we are looking at the nice correction and price might reject from the 2772 area. Good luck.
Trade safe!
XAU/USD 06 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As outlined in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 05 November 2024, I mentioned that price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price printed to this expectation, successfully targeting the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
While price has not yet printed a bullish CHoCH, it has moved up to the premium of 50% EQ, allowing me to confirm the internal structure.
Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to target the weak internal low.
Note: Given the ongoing Presidential elections, the Fed’s softer stance, and heightened geopolitical tensions, price is expected to remain highly volatile.
M15 Chart:
Going Long on Gold During the Election PeriodTomorrow, gold is expected to experience significant volatility, as market sentiment may be influenced by a range of events, particularly the outcome of the elections. Based on the current technical setup, my plan is to maintain a bullish bias in the short term, especially if gold continues its upward trend. However, if the election results turn out to be unfavorable for the bulls and the market reverses, I will add short positions to my existing bullish trades to capitalize on potential downside risks. I will closely monitor price movements and adjust my strategy based on market reactions.
Additionally, after the end of this week, given the increasing market uncertainty, my focus will shift to short positions, with the aim of targeting the 2686-2652 range. This area is likely to provide strong support and will be an important level to watch.
Gold : When Could the Next Surge or Trend Begin...?At present, gold is experiencing a range-bound market, with the upper resistance level identified at approximately $2,754 and the lower support level around $2,710. This price consolidation indicates a period of indecision among traders, as they assess various economic factors and market dynamics. It is anticipated that a breakout from this range could occur soon, likely favoring an upward movement given the current market sentiment.
This phase of consolidation is generally viewed as a positive development, as it allows for the accumulation of strength and provides a solid foundation for a potential new trend. Once a breakout occurs—whether to the upside or downside—it could signal a shift in market momentum, possibly leading to increased volatility and trading opportunities. Observing this range will be essential for traders looking to make informed decisions about entering or exiting positions in the gold market.
XAU/USD 05 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As highlighted in yesterday's intraday analysis dated 04 November 2024, I mentioned that price was expected to continue targeting the weak internal low.
Price followed this expectation, reaching the weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS.
Subsequently, price has printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Internal structure has also been confirmed.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to react at either premium of the 50% EQ or the M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionIn this video, we dive into the latest Gold (XAU/USD) market analysis and review the impacts of recent U.S. economic data on Gold prices. On Friday, Gold saw high volatility, with prices hitting the $2,760s following a weaker-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. However, a sell-off brought prices back down to the $2,740s as additional data from the Institute of Supply Managers (ISM) showed mixed economic signals.
Will gold continue its strong performance, or could a new catalyst shift the trend?
📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market!
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #GoldPrice #NFP #ISMData #SafeHaven #GoldMarketAnalysis #WeeklyGoldOutlook #EconomicData #GoldTrading#economicuncertainty📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GOLD W Closure Very Bearish , Easy Short Setup To Get 500 PipsThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAU/USD 04 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As noted in my analysis dated 01 November 2024, I mentioned that I would confirm internal structure if the price reached the premium of the 50% EQ of the internal range. Price has now achieved this, confirming the internal structure.
Although price has made attempts to target the weak internal low, it has not yet succeeded.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionAs we head into the new week, gold prices remain resilient, fueled by heightened Middle East tensions and U.S. election uncertainty that keeps investors seeking safe-haven assets. Despite dollar strength and recent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, gold has surged over 32% this year, reflecting sustained demand in the face of global instability.
In this analysis, we cover critical areas for buyers and sellers alike, focusing on structural patterns, market psychology, and potential trade opportunities you won’t want to miss. Whether you're watching the price action or setting up entry points, these insights will equip you with a clear roadmap for the week ahead.
Will gold continue its strong performance, or could a new catalyst shift the trend?
📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market!
#goldprice #goldtrading #investing #commodities #marketanalysis #tradingstrategy #goldforecast #geopolitics #election2024 #safehaven #financialmarkets #forex #daytrading #swingtrading #middleeast #usdollar #economicuncertainty📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD: NFP//Short-first, Then-longAfter the initial rebound from a significant drop, it appears the market is ready for a secondary retest of the bottom support range. Keep a close eye on the 2742-2732 support zone. Should prices drop into this range before the data release, and if the data turns bearish, expect further downside with targets in the 2718-2712 range; in case of a stronger bearish impulse, prices may fall to the 2708-2703 region.
Alternatively, if the data supports bullish movement, prices could rise above 2760. Given recent data, bearish probability seems higher, so a “short-first, then-long” strategy is advised, with careful attention to entry and exit points.
GOLD To The Moon Very Soon , Don`t Miss It To Make 500 Pips !We Have a daily broke for daily res , so i think the price will test this broken res and then go up at least 500 pips , it will be very risky entry but let`s see what will happen
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAUUSD: Wait for a drop before rising, target 2800Yesterday, Wednesday, the United States released the October "small non-farm" data. The ADP employment in October recorded 233,000, the largest increase since July 2023. These figures are contrary to expectations of economic slowdown after the Boeing employee strike in October and the two brutal hurricanes and attacks on the US East Coast ports.
The subsequent release of the US third quarter real GDP annualized growth rate recorded 2.8%, lower than the expected and previous value of 3%. Consumer spending, which accounts for the largest share of economic activity, increased by 3.7%, the largest increase since the beginning of 2023. At the same time, data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that the initial value of the annualized quarterly rate of the core PCE price index in the third quarter of the United States rose by 2.2%, roughly in line with the Fed's goals.
Spot gold continued to hit a record high, hitting the $2,790 mark during the day, but failed to get above this level.
From the current point of view, 2,790 is very likely not the high point of gold, but the risk of retracement also needs to be considered.
Therefore, we can't blindly be bullish, but need to wait for a retracement before considering buying
XAUUSD: Short In The 2780-2800 RangeYesterday, gold prices experienced a significant surge, reaching a high of 2790, which is very close to the psychological level of 2800. In the near term, bullish sentiment is likely to continue probing this important threshold until prices approach 2800. However, it's important to note that due to this substantial increase, market indicators have begun to show divergence, and there is a high probability of a deeper pullback in the short term. From a technical standpoint, the expected pullback should occur in the range of 2770 to 2760. Only after repairing these indicators is there a likelihood for another price increase. Thus, the high point near 2790 will certainly not be a singular peak; there should at least be one more opportunity to revisit this price level.
Additionally, this week is an important data week that occurs once a month, and market volatility on Thursday and Friday will likely intensify. Regarding the data being released this Friday, I believe it poses a significant downside risk for gold. Therefore, if you are holding short positions and find yourself trapped, as long as your account balance is sufficient, there is no need to worry excessively. You can navigate market fluctuations through hedging strategies or multiple directional trades, making it entirely feasible to extricate yourself from this predicament.
#XAUUSD: On the way to $2800! 600+ Pips Swing Buy**XAUUSD: 1-Hour Chart Analysis**
Hello Traders,
Gold experienced a surge, reaching 2605 before reversing its direction. Investors anticipated a decline below 2700$. However, the price rebounded to 2743$, filling the volume gap and subsequently dropping to 2715$, which marked the last low. Despite this, the price failed to establish another lower low. Subsequently, it fluctuated within the vicinity before exhibiting a shift in price character.
The upcoming chart analysis indicates an exceptionally bullish outlook. Price has the potential to create another higher high, supported by robust fundamentals and technical indicators signaling a strong bullish sentiment. Traders with open buy positions may consider holding them.
Best of luck and trade safely.
XAUUSD: Beware of the pullback, sell at high today, target 2730The trend of gold perfectly replicated my idea yesterday. I explained yesterday's trading strategy and future gold price trend very clearly. Yesterday's closing price is very important to the future trend of gold. If the price can close above 2740-2735, the gold price will start to rise. Otherwise, it will continue to adjust if it closes below.
Yesterday’s closing price was just above 2740, and today’s opening price continued to rise, with the highest point once again reaching the historical high of 2757.
Next, I don’t think gold will directly set a new historical high again, because the monthly NFP data will be released this week. It is unlikely that it will set a new high before the data is released. There is a high probability that it will adjust first and then when the data is released. Refresh the high of 2757.
As for today's trading direction, I think it is feasible to choose to short at a high level
XAUUSD: Sell, Target 2745-2736Today, I highlighted the likelihood of a gold pullback near 2754, with support in the 2745-2736 range. As expected, the price dipped to around 2746, delivering solid profits for those who followed this strategy.
Currently, DXY shows signs of an uptrend, which could intensify during the U.S. session, likely pressuring gold to drop further. Support remains focused on the 2745-2736 range, with a stronger DXY potentially pushing gold down to around 2732. For resistance, continue to reference the 2752-2758 zone.