Gold's Range-Bound Market: Patience for the Downside OpportunityYesterday, gold spent its last 7 hours hovering within the 2740-2746 range. I was constantly waiting for a breakout to the downside, holding short positions in the 2739-2746 zone, but it didn’t deliver by the close. If it weren’t for trading USOUL, which kept me engaged, I might have dozed off!
After recent volatility, this calm has felt quite unsteady. Today, I still expect a drop. Many of my regulars needed to rest, so I advised them to set their take-profit at 2739 before logging off. I’ll stay on, keeping an eye out for the market to drop.
For now, the focus is solely on 2739. Once the order closes, I’ll rest and resume trading after the European session opens. I’ve marked zones on the gold chart; if you want to trade on your own before I release a new signal, feel free to use these references. The range is tight, so any gains or losses should be modest.
If you profit, fantastic! If not, don’t worry; I’m confident I can help recover those few pips in no time.
Xauusdsetup
XAUUSD: Future ups and downs depend on today's closing priceThe conflict in the Middle East broke out again over the weekend. Israel attacked Iran's military facilities, which led to a surge in risk aversion over the weekend. However, a different voice appeared in the market. Israel's retaliation against Iran was more like an explanation to the people. Since the attack did not pose a major threat, the market believed that Iran would not respond to it.
This also explains why gold opened more than ten dollars lower today, and crude oil opened significantly lower than more than 3 dollars.
Let's get back to the point. My opinion on today's gold is that it needs to be observed. Today's closing situation is very important for the future trend of gold. If the gold price can close above 2735-2740 tonight, then the gold price will start to rise.
On the contrary, if it closes below 2735-2740, there may be adjustments.
For the day, I am more optimistic about buying at low levels and bullish
XAUUSD: Trading In The 2720-2740 RangeI'm not sure if everyone followed the signals before last Friday's close, but if you did, today's trade should definitely be profitable.
Currently, after filling the gap from today’s lower opening, gold has once again begun to decline, forming a pattern similar to a double top. While there is some support at the current level, it is not strong. From the perspective of the ascending trend, strong support should be around 2722, while the horizontal support from the head and shoulders pattern lies in the 2718-2712 range.
By connecting the high point from last Friday's close to the high point of today's rebound, we can identify a downtrend, with resistance located near 2737. Therefore, today's subsequent trading will primarily focus on the range between 2740 - 2720. If the trend breaks, we will need to adjust our strategy accordingly.
XAU/USD 28 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 27 October 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists amid the Fed’s dovish tone and heightened geopolitical tensions, solidifying its safe-haven appeal.
Price has printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling, but not yet confirming, the start of bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation: Despite the bearish CHoCH, price has yet to pull back into the internal 50% EQ discount. We could see a reaction at the H4 supply level before any confirmation of bearish pullback initiation.
Technical Note: The strong high at 2,758.525 is anticipated to remain protected. However, with CHoCH positioning on the daily timeframe somewhat distant, price may print a bullish iBOS in the near term to align with the daily timeframe’s movement.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 24 October 2024.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met, as price failed to target the weak internal high and instead printed a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This aligns with the H4 timeframe being in a pullback phase.
As previously highlighted, price remains highly volatile, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's softer stance.
Price has since printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting but not confirming the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Currently, price is trading within a well-established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is reacting around the 50% equilibrium of the internal range and may also react at nested H4 and M15 supply levels before targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD: Head And Shoulders, Continue To SellYesterday, after experiencing a rebound, gold faced resistance again and pulled back, which is largely in line with our expectations, allowing everyone to achieve good profits. Currently, the short-term trend remains downward. As I mentioned yesterday, we are primarily watching the key support zone between 2718 and 2712.
Today, gold touched this support area again and rebounded, but it did not break through the resistance of the downward trend. Therefore, our trading strategy continues to focus on selling.
At the same time, we should closely monitor the performance of the support zone. If this support is effectively breached, I believe the subsequent decline could be significant, and breaking below 2700 is likely, with an expectation to reach below 2690.
This encapsulates my main trading thoughts for the near future.
XAUUSD: There is a possibility of falling below 2700 todayYesterday we waited for the gold price to meet resistance at 2740 before selling, and the effect was very good. Today my strategy is still bearish. As long as 2740 is not effectively broken, the bearish view can be maintained.
From the 1H chart, after yesterday's failure to break through the 2740 resistance, the bearish pattern of the head and shoulders top has basically formed, and there is no problem with the lowest position of the head and shoulders top pointing below 2700 points. Therefore, even if today's sharp decline in the market after Black Friday is out, I am not surprised.
With the formation of a downward trend, the high point is definitely moving down, so today's selling point can be appropriately lowered a little, in the range of 2730-2740, the target is 2715 first, and then 2700
The above is today's trading strategy. Friends who need to copy my detailed signals and real-time operations can contact me, good luck everyone!
XAUUSD: Key support 2718-2712As expected, gold rebounded today, reaching a high of around 2743, and then the price fell again. The shorts who entered at high levels made profits again, and everyone made good profits.
The current price is still falling, and the upper resistance is dense. Shorts seem to have become the focus of short-term trading.
From the perspective of pattern construction, there are signs of head and shoulders. If it is formed, then falling below 2700 will become inevitable. 2718-2712 is the support area that needs to be paid attention to.
Gold Trading Strategy: Continued Selling and Rebound ObservationAfter the rebound, gold has dropped again, now breaking below MA60, with short-term moving averages acting as resistance. I believe it’s prudent to continue selling today, with signals already shared at the market open—our regulars have already enjoyed some profits.
With the current rebound, I recommend using MA60 and MA30 as reference prices for selling, targeting around 2712. We can then assess the market reaction before deciding whether to buy back in.
XAUUSD: Buy@2716-2700 TP2728-2738Today's fluctuations in gold have been massive, dropping from 2758 to 2708. Anticipating a decline, I mentioned continuing to short in my initial strategy, but I didn't expect the bears to be so aggressive, driving the price down by $50. Given this situation, even if there are sudden negative news reports today, it's unlikely that gold will drop more than $15 again.
Therefore, from now until the U.S. market opens tomorrow, the trading direction should focus on buying. I believe that before Friday's close, the price could at least return to 2732, or even higher. However, when trading, we shouldn’t set our take profit too high; we should leave some buffer space.
The rise should not be abrupt but rather a gradual upward movement. For those who prefer not to trade frequently, after buying, setting the take profit around 2728 should be sufficient. As for future trades, we can decide based on market conditions.
XAUUSD: Today’s target is 2700 points, short on rebound highToday's trading strategy:
The support area of 2725-2720 was broken yesterday, and the overall trend of gold prices has been destroyed, so we can no longer maintain a bullish view.
From the hourly chart, the current gold price may form a head and shoulders top pattern. If this pattern is confirmed, it will enter a correction cycle.
The resistance area we need to pay attention to above is around 2740. As long as this position is not effectively broken, the gold price will start to fall, and it is very likely to test 2700 points.
Gold +100 Pips 0 Drawdown , New Entry Valid To Who Missed It !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Bearish P.A On Gold , Short Entry Ready To Give Us 500 Pips !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Gold Trading Strategy: Focus on Selling TodayYesterday, we bought and made some profits, and today we’ll primarily focus on selling.
The trading signal I released before the market opened suggests selling in the 2746-2752 range, with a TP set at 2738-2734. Some friends may have already traded based on the signal they received earlier; you can still join in.
Gold is currently within the selling range, and if you’re looking to place this order, now could be an even better position.
I will continue to monitor market trends, and any changes in trading will be communicated promptly. Stay tuned, and feel free to leave me a message if you have any questions.
XAUUSD: Sell, Add Positions At 2746-2751Today, gold broke through the resistance around 2728 and returned to the vicinity of 2738. Indicators show that resistance remains significant, so I recommend continuing to sell within the 2738-2743 range.
If prices continue to rise, I expect to encounter strong resistance in the 2746-2751 range. At that point, the market is likely to experience a pullback, and a return to around 2738 should not pose too much of a problem.
Therefore, today’s trading strategy is to sell in the 2738-2743 range and add to the sell position in the 2746-2751 range.
XAUUSD: Sell above 2756Today, gold prices rose to around 2758 before retreating. From previous trends, there is support around 2748, and the 2743-2738 range is also significant.
Currently, the market structure is not favorable for bulls, making support crucial. In terms of trading strategy, I am leaning towards short positions today, with a key entry point at 2756, which I shared yesterday, and an additional position in the 2760-2764 range.
If the price breaks below support directly, we may need to adjust the strategy and consider going long around the main support levels, but the target should be kept modest, ideally within $6.
Additionally, there will be news releases half an hour before the New York session, which could have a substantial impact on the market, so please pay close attention while trading.
XAUUSD: The rise is not over yet, 2740 is not the topYesterday, our strategy of waiting for the 2720-2725 area to stabilize before buying was still correct. Although the gold price hit a low of 2714, it continued to rebound and reached a high of 2738. We bought near 2720 yesterday and have taken profits today.
From the 1H chart, we can see that the decline in gold prices yesterday touched the rising trend line of 2715. As time goes by, the price of the trend line will gradually rise. The 2720-2725 area is where the next trend line is located. Therefore, my thinking today will continue to follow yesterday's trading method. If the gold price falls back to the 2720-2725 area again, I will buy long orders again, with the target at 2750.
Gold stays high despite rising U.S. yields and a stronger dollarGold prices (XAU/USD) reached a new record high on Wednesday, surpassing $2,750 in the European trading session. Risk-averse sentiment and the threat of escalating tensions in the Middle East have driven capital into the precious metal. Political instability in the U.S. and accommodative monetary policy have also supported gold prices.
Despite the U.S. dollar rising to its highest level since early August, bullish sentiment remains strong. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates less and concerns about spending deficits following the presidential election have pushed U.S. Treasury yields to a three-month high, which could hinder further growth in XAU/USD amid light overbought conditions.
Personal opinion:
XAU/USD has faced resistance near the $2,750 level, followed by the $2,767 area, which is the upper boundary of a two-week upward channel. If this barrier is cleared, it’s likely that the price of gold will continue to grow. If that happens, we could see gold reaching the $2,800 mark.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy Zone: 2738 - 2736
SL: 2731
Buy Scalp: 2749 - 2747
SL: 2742
Sell Zone: 2767 - 2769
SL: 2774
XAU/USD 23 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge.
As a result of this strong bullish momentum, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action, reducing the need for a deep pullback to indicate the initiation of a bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation: Price is not currently showing any signs of a pullback, so I will remain on standby.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met, as price failed to target the weak internal low and instead printed a bullish iBOS.
As previously mentioned, price remains extremely volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's softer stance.
After a bullish iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, of a bearish pullback phase initiation would be a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line.
Price is currently trading between an internal low and a fractal high.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Update and How To Day Trade GOLD👀👉 This is an update to my previous video. In that session, I discussed the importance of identifying a retracement and waiting for a bullish structure break to enter long positions. In this video, we will analyze gold on a lower timeframe, specifically focusing on strategies for engaging with the trend on a 15-minute chart. Disclaimer: This video is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
Gold will rise again to 2740The buy signal released before yesterday's close perfectly hit the take-profit target at today’s opening, bringing in substantial profits. Currently, gold is hovering near MA5, with MA60 and MA30 acting as support. I believe we can continue to buy, setting a take-profit target in the 2737-2743 range.
GOLD Bulls Are Still In Control. Next Stop 2800?Gold has been rallying and is at a new all time high. Looking for price to consolidate or pull back before the next rally. It's also possible we could get a breakout above recent highs.
Key Intraday Sup around 2740
Key Res 2750
If QP 2750 turns support, we will target the next large QP then the next major QP.
1st Target 2775
2nd Target 2800
XAUUSD: Continue To Sell, TP 2719-2713Recently, due to escalating international tensions, gold prices have soared, leaving Friday’s short positions in a losing state. From a technical perspective, short positions should have started to push back if it weren’t for the news. Currently, the MACD shows a continuous top divergence, but the ongoing war has rendered technical analysis somewhat powerless, which is a major reason for the predicament.
I believe that news will also have a buffering period, during which the market will return to technical patterns, creating crucial opportunities to turn losses into profits. In today’s U.S. session, there is a high probability of a downturn in gold, with my expectation around 2716, so short positions will remain my primary focus for trading today.
If your positions are also trapped, please reach out to me so we can work together to find a way out.
XAU/USD 22 Ocotober 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remain unchanged from yesterday's analysis dated 20 October 2024.
Price has printed both a bullish iBOS and a subsequent BOS.
Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge.
The swing low has been brought significantly closer. A break of this swing low would confirm the initiation of a pullback phase across all higher timeframes (HTFs).
Following the BOS and iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, would be price printing a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line.
At this stage, there are no signs of a pullback, so price could continue higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, with price targeting weak internal high.
However, internal structure bullish momentum was not sustained, as price printed an iBOS. This was expected, given that all higher timeframes (HTFs) are in need of a pullback.
Price has reacted from M15 supply level.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target weak internal low.
M15 Chart: