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Xauusdsetup

XAU/USD 14 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Previous analysis was not met as price printed a bullish iBOS. Support in the rise of price is largely due to the trump trade and tariff war which is causing market jitters. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has further printed a bullish BOS. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 13 March 2025 Analysis and bias has not been met, largely due macroeconomic events, particularly the Trump trade tariff war, which is causing uncertainty within the markets which is supporting Gold price. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. Within the structure following the iBOS, price has printed a several bearish CHoCH's with very minimal pullbacks before continuing bullish. In order not to distort internal structure range I will apply discretion and not classify bearish CHoCH without considerable pullback. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print Bearish CHoCH which is supported by a pullback relative to recent price action. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar Metals Market Money Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar Metals market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 1H or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / swing low level Using the 3H timeframe (2930) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: Primary Target - 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target Secondary Target - 2750 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction: XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar Metals Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. 1. Fundamental Analysis with All Factors📌 Interest Rates: Rising Fed rates (e.g., 5.25% post-March hike) increase gold’s opportunity cost, pushing prices down from 2888. Inflation: Cooling global inflation (e.g., U.S. CPI at 2.5%) undermines gold’s hedge appeal, signaling overvaluation. Dollar Strength: USD rally (e.g., DXY to 102-105) suppresses gold, marking 2888 as a peak. Global Economic Health: Improving growth (e.g., U.S. GDP above 3%) reduces safe-haven demand, favoring bears. 2. Macroeconomic Factors📌 Bearish macro conditions: U.S. Economy: Strong jobs (e.g., unemployment below 4%) and PMI above 50 weaken gold’s case at 2888. Eurozone: Recovery signs (e.g., GDP at 1.5%) bolster EUR, pressuring gold. China: Industrial rebound shifts focus from safe-haven assets, softening gold. Central Bank Policies: Fed hawkishness and ECB/BOJ tightening cap upside. 3. Geopolitical Factors📌 Bearish geopolitical shifts: U.S.-China Trade: Tariff de-escalation reduces uncertainty, eroding gold’s premium at 2888. Russia-Ukraine: Ceasefire talks lower risk-off flows, targeting sub-2800. Middle East: Stabilizing oil supply (e.g., Iran deal) eases inflation fears, weakening gold. Political Uncertainty: Resolved U.S./Europe tensions diminish volatility, favoring bears. 4. Supply and Demand Factors📌 Bearish supply/demand dynamics: Supply: Increased production (e.g., new Canadian mines) or no disruptions flood the market, pressuring 2888. Demand: Physical: Western retail demand fades as prices peak. Central Banks: Slowed buying (e.g., Russia, China pausing) removes support. Investment: ETF outflows accelerate as investors sell at 2888. 5. Commitment of Traders (COT) Data (Latest Update)📌 Hypothetical COT data as of March 4, 2025: Non-Commercial (Speculators): Longs at 340,000, shorts at 70,000, net position +270,000—bullish unwind from 295,000 signals profit-taking. Commercial: Longs 65,000, shorts 400,000—heavy hedging bets on a drop. Open Interest: 525,000 (down 5,000), showing reduced speculative interest. Interpretation: Speculator liquidation and commercial shorts confirm bearish momentum below 2850. 6. Technical Factors📌 Bearish technicals at 2888: Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (e.g., 2850) crossing below 200-day SMA (e.g., 2870) signals reversal. Support/Resistance: Resistance at 2888-2900 holds; support at 2850 breaks, eyeing 2800. RSI: 70+, overbought, triggers selling. MACD: Bearish crossover confirms downward momentum. 7. Sentiment Factors📌 Bearish sentiment signals: Retail: Social media posts shift to fear at 2888, citing USD strength. Institutional: COT hedging aligns with bearish media (e.g., “Gold overbought”). Media: “Fed hikes crush gold” headlines fuel sell-offs. 8. Seasonal Factors📌 Bearish seasonal trends with added points: March Profit-Taking: Q1 tax season in the U.S. drives profit-taking, historically pressuring gold from peaks like 2888. Post-Rally Fatigue: Early-year rallies (e.g., January-February) often fade in March, amplifying bearish momentum. Lack of Festivals: Without India’s seasonal boost, global demand softens, leaving Western selling unchecked. Historical Q1 Declines: Gold’s average March performance (ex-India) shows declines as investors rebalance, targeting sub-2850. Central Bank Pause: Q1 often sees reduced central bank buying announcements, removing a key prop at 2888. 9. Intermarket Analysis📌 Bearish intermarket signals: USD: DXY rallying to 105 crushes gold to 2800. Yields: 10-year yield at 4.5% competes with gold, driving declines. Equities: Stock rallies (e.g., MSCI World above 3100) divert capital. Commodities: Oil at $70/barrel signals deflation, weakening gold. 10. Market Sentiment Analysis of All Types of Investors📌 Bearish investor sentiment: Retail: Panic selling at 2888 as USD rises; X shows fear. Institutional: Speculators trim longs (COT); hedgers pile into shorts. Central Banks: Pause buying, letting prices slide. Speculators: Futures traders short 2888, targeting 2800. 11. Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction (Bearish Focus)📌 Short-Term (1-4 weeks): Bearish Target: 2820-2850. Drop to 2820 as USD hits 102 and RSI confirms overbought. Bias: Strongly bearish, driven by technicals and COT liquidation. Medium-Term (1-3 months): Bearish Target: 2700-2800. Decline to 2700 with Fed hikes, DXY at 105, and easing tensions. Bias: Bearish, with macro stabilization. Long-Term (6-12 months): Bearish Target: 2500-2600. Fall to 2500 if growth rebounds, DXY hits 110, and inflation drops below 2%. Bias: Bearish, as safe-haven demand fades. 12. Overall Summary Outlook📌 At 2888 on March 10, 2025, XAU/USD is set for a bearish slide. A strong USD (DXY to 105), rising yields (4.5%), Fed hawkishness, cooling geopolitics, and seasonal softness (Q1 profit-taking, post-rally fatigue) dominate. Short-term outlook is short/bearish, targeting 2820-2850 as overbought technicals (RSI 70+) and COT unwinding trigger a sell-off. Medium-term is bearish, eyeing 2700-2800 with macro improvement. Long-term is bearish, forecasting 2500-2600 as growth stabilizes. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
VELOCITY:GOLDShort
by Thief_Trader
XAUUSD Showing Strength on the 4H Chart📈 XAUUSD Gold 🟡 has been demonstrating strong resilience, maintaining a clear bullish trend on this 4H timeframe. Price action continues to align with an upward trajectory, with my target set at the previous high marked on the chart 🎯. A pullback is expected, potentially offering an opportunity to enter at a discount before a continuation toward the target zone 🚀. ⚠️ Not financial advice—always manage risk appropriately!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
XAU/USD 11 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 07 March 2024. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023. As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price. On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent . Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD Today's strategyAnalyzing from the current market situation, in terms of the daily chart, it closed down on Monday, effectively breaking through the support of the middle Bollinger Band. However, currently, the daily Bollinger Band is narrowing, and there is no obvious tendency of strength or weakness in the market. This means that the daily chart may not necessarily continue to close down today. If the daily chart closes up, the market may reverse and rise today; if the daily chart closes down again, forming three consecutive negative lines, then it may drop to a low of 2860 at the lowest, and then the possibility of long - short conversion can be explored. In the daily cycle, the key highs above are 2915 and 2930. In the H4 cycle, after the decline on Monday, the Bollinger Band opened. Although the current market shows a certain pattern of unilateral weakness, attention should be paid to the cyclical changes today. If the price can stabilize above 2900 during the Asian and European sessions, the H4 cycle may form a low - level rebound, and the Bollinger Band will narrow again. At that time, the upward movement will be the main trend today, and the target above can be seen at the high of 2915 on Monday. If it fails to stand above 2900, the price of gold may continue to be weak and keep falling. In the unilateral weak market, it may drop to 2860. Therefore, the key to judging the strength or weakness of the market today lies in the gain or loss of the 2900 level. From the perspective of the small cycle, the market tends to rise. As mentioned before, the bulls are still the main theme of the market at present. Therefore, the decline is an opportunity to go long. The hourly Bollinger Band is narrowing, and the 2880 level has not been broken after several tests. Then, opportunities to go long can be found above 2880. In the European session, it is expected that the price will rise above 2900, and in the American session, it is expected to hit the target of 2915. Overall, in the short - term operation of gold today, it is recommended to focus on buying on dips and selling on rallies. Pay attention to the resistance level of 2920 - 2930 in the short - term above, and the support level of 2890 - 2880 in the short - term below. XAUUSD sell @2915-2920 tp: 2880-2890 XAUUSD Buy @2880-2890 tp: 2915-2920 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad If you also aspire to achieve financial freedom，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by BenGray9
XAU/USD 10 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 07 March 2024. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023. As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price. On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent . Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 06 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023. As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price. On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent . Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 05 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023. As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price. On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent . Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Updated XAU/USD (Gold) Multi-Timeframe Analysis – March 4, 2025Analyzing M15, M30, H1, H4, and D1 charts for a precise trade execution strategy. 1. Market Structure Overview (Multi-Timeframe) M15 (15-Minute Chart) CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates bullish momentum. Currently testing equilibrium (~$2,888 - $2,890). Weak high at PDH (Previous Day’s High) around $2,893, which may act as resistance. M30 (30-Minute Chart) Break of structure (BOS) confirms bullish short-term trend. Price is hovering near PDH ($2,893). If it fails to break above $2,895, a short-term rejection is possible. H1 (1-Hour Chart) Bullish CHoCH confirms the short-term uptrend. PDH ($2,893) remains a crucial level. If broken, a rally toward $2,910 - $2,920 is likely. H4 (4-Hour Chart) Testing supply zone at PDH ($2,893). Potential retracement to $2,865 - $2,870 before continuation higher**. D1 (Daily Chart) Price bounced from a key demand zone around $2,850. Still bearish on the higher timeframe unless price reclaims $2,920 - $2,950. If $2,900 - $2,920 rejects, more downside is expected. 2. Expected Scenarios & Probability Scenario 1: Short-Term Bearish Rejection (60% Probability) If price fails to break $2,895 - $2,900, expect a rejection down to $2,870 - $2,865. Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle at PDH ($2,893). Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout (40% Probability) If price closes above $2,895, expect a move toward $2,910 - $2,920. Confirmation: Strong breakout and candle close above $2,895. 3. Trading Plan Sell Setup: (Primary Trade - 60% Probability) Entry: $2,893 - $2,895. SL: $2,905 (Above resistance). TP1: $2,880 (First liquidity level). TP2: $2,870 (Discount zone). TP3: $2,865 (Major demand zone). Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3. Buy Setup: (Countertrend - 40% Probability) Entry: $2,895 - $2,900. SL: $2,885 (Below weak low). TP1: $2,910 (Short-term liquidity). TP2: $2,920 (Key supply zone). Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3. 4. Final Trade Execution Summary: Trade Type Entry Stop-Loss Take-Profit 1 Take-Profit 2 Take-Profit 3 R:R Sell Setup $2,893 - $2,895 $2,905 $2,880 $2,870 $2,865 1:3 Buy Setup $2,895 - $2,900 $2,885 $2,910 $2,920 - 1:3 📌 Additional Execution Tips: Watch for a rejection at $2,893 - $2,895 before shorting. If price closes above $2,895, shift to buy mode. Use M5/M15 for precise entries and candle confirmations. Avoid entering during high-impact news releases. Risk per trade: 1-2% of capital for optimal risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by wizzywise1
Gold Market Forecast: Next Week’s Trading Setup & Key Price ZoneGold is under pressure, trading at a three-week low while the US Dollar rises amid trade policy fears and recession concerns. With Trump's tariff plans—a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada plus an extra 10% on China—set to take effect next week, will gold fall further or attract safe-haven flows? In this quick analysis, I share my trading approach for the coming week. Subscribe for concise market insights and stay ahead in your trading journey! Disclaimer: Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Always assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
SAXO:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
3
XAUUSD (GOLD) TRADE PLAN 26/2/20251. XAU/USD presents a promising buy opportunity, targeting the $2,920 level as gold continues its bullish trajectory. 2. Strong fundamental drivers, including economic uncertainty and inflationary pressures, support a sustained rally. 3. Technical indicators confirm bullish momentum, with key support holding near recent lows. 4. Institutional demand and central bank purchases further reinforce the upside potential. 5. A weaker USD and dovish Fed stance create an ideal environment for gold’s appreciation. 6. Geopolitical tensions and global risk factors contribute to safe-haven demand. 7. Breakout above key resistance zones suggests a continuation toward the $2,920 target. 8. Gold remains resilient amid market volatility, attracting long-term investors. 9. Trend-following strategies align with bullish sentiment, favoring buy positions. 10. Risk management remains crucial, with stop-loss placements ensuring optimal trade execution.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by XAUUSD-Trade-ideas
3
XAU/USD 28 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bearish iBOS as per alternative scenario mentioned over the last few weeks. Price is now trading within an internal high and fractal low. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bearish iBOS in accordance with analysis and bias dated 26 January 2025. You will note price has printed several bullish CHoCH's followed by bearish iBOS's, however, I have left them unmarked due to low volume candles printing erratically. This would in-turn distort internal structure. Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation, however, I will continue to monitor price action. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,851.115. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD Potentially Bearish #XAUUSD over time has seen some very good bullish run and I still hold a bias for the bullish potential however given the map market is currently showing, OANDA:XAUUSD looks potentially bearish. This may likely be for the short term with immediate targets at the 2,875 zone. Before taking the short, I will love to see this current H4 candle close as a bearish candle. Results are not typical, do your homework and make your decision yourself, past results does not guarantee future results
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mbjoey
XAU/USD 26 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 February 2025. Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias. Price has printed a bearish CHocH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,954.955 Alternative scenario: Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed as per alternative scenario analysis whereby I mentioned that as we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS, which price printed. As a result of the bearish iBOS, we now have a confirmed swing high. Price has also printed a bearish CHoCH and traded in to premium of internal 50% EQ. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal low priced at 2,888.180. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK