XAUUSD Gold Trade Idea👀👉 XAUUSD Gold has rallied, evidenced by this break in market structure on the four-hour timeframe. I’m monitoring for a potential buying opportunity on a retracement, as outlined on the chart. Please remember, my analyses are purely educational and should not be considered financial advice. 📉✅
Xauusdsetup
Targeting 2687 After Solid GainsToday, after buying near 2658, we reached our target of 2666-2673 and made a good profit. The market then pulled back, releasing some selling pressure before returning to around 2670. We still need to watch the resistance at 2673. Based on the current trend, it looks likely to break. Therefore, the next target could be higher, ideally 2687. If the selling pressure is too strong, once the price hits 2680, it's a good point to close the position.
XAU/USD 10 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
#XAUUSD 4HXAUUSD 4-Hour Analysis
The XAUUSD pair has formed a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern on the 4-hour chart, indicating strong selling pressure. This pattern suggests a potential downside move, especially if the price breaks below nearby support levels, confirming the bearish sentiment.
Technical OutloOK
Pattern: Sell Engulfing
Forecast: Bearish (Sell Opportunity)
Entry Strategy: Enter a sell position after confirmation of further bearish momentum, such as a break below immediate support.
Traders should watch for continued selling pressure supported by indicators like RSI or MACD showing bearish divergence. Proper risk management is crucial, with stop-loss orders placed above the high of the engulfing candlestick. Profit targets can be set at the next key support zones for optimal returns.
Gold Market Analysis 12/09During the U.S. trading session today, gold surged again but faced strong selling pressure in the 2673-2678 range, causing the price to drop. It is now at the first support level, and we expect a short-term bottom to form in the 2658-2648 range. This support zone presents a buying opportunity, with a rebound target near 2666-2673.
Prepare to go long gold nextBros, today is destined to be an extraordinary day. Our short position turned from profit to loss, and then successfully turned loss into profit again! Indeed, when gold broke through 2675, I changed from calmness at the beginning to nervousness, but I saw that gold failed to continue to break through several times, so I chose to add positions near 2675 to short gold again. Obviously, it turned out that my trading idea was correct. Gold then gradually fell back and has now reached around 2660. I just closed my short position manually near 2660. Although gold may continue to fall back to the shock range, the 2660-2655 area below has been transformed into a support area, so to avoid gold rebounding again with the support area, I no longer took risks and manually closed the order near 2660 to lock in profits in time.
Although there were some twists and turns in the trading process today, the results proved that I was right, so we were able to successfully turn losses into profits in the gold short trading! A very good trading experience, the most satisfying is turning losses into profits! If you follow my trading strategy, I believe you have also made a good profit, congratulations!
Then next, if gold cannot effectively fall below the 2660-2650 area during the decline, then I may look for a suitable opportunity to go long on gold!
Bros, have you followed me to short gold? So how do you trade gold next?If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD 09 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
#XAUUSD 4HBased on the 4-hour analysis, the price is currently consolidating within a defined range. A decisive breakout will provide the next trading opportunity:
Bullish scenario: If the price closes above 2668.00, we will consider a buying opportunity.
Bearish scenario: If the price closes below 2606.00, we will look for a selling opportunity.
We will monitor closely to see how the price unfolds.
#XAUUSD #MarketAnalysis
Gold's Short-Term Volatility and Long-Term OutlookExplosive Weekend News: The Syrian President Assad has abandoned the country, and the anti-government forces have won in this wave of unrest. The biggest beneficiary of this is not Israel, but the United States! Their control over the Middle East has reached its peak, and many domestic issues will now open breakthrough opportunities, significantly boosting the speed of economic recovery.
Syria’s loss has been devastating for Russia and Iran due to tactical errors. Iran’s strategic arc has been broken, and Russia has lost important strategic points, undoing over a decade of planning.
The unrest caused gold to gap higher today, but the expectations for the U.S. economy have led to a pullback in gold prices. Despite the ongoing turmoil, if this situation continues to develop, the U.S. dollar will inevitably emerge as the ultimate winner. Gold prices may gradually retreat after reaching a peak
This is based on an analysis of the international situation, and it represents a long-term strategic outlook.
Short-Term Outlook: Due to the ongoing turmoil, gold’s safe-haven demand remains intact. Technically, 2628-2618 is an important support zone, with resistance still focusing on the 2643-2652 area.
Don't trade XAU/USD in the middleGold is currently in a phase where it’s too early to establish an uptrend channel, but the conditions are ripening for a retest of its previous all-time high in the $2,793 area. What’s crucial at this stage is the formation of a rounded bullish pattern, which could set the stage for further upward momentum.
Short-Term Movement: Retest and Cooling Down
Retest of $2,793:
A rally to retest the $2,793 level appears likely, as gold capitalizes on recent bullish momentum.
Cooling Phase:
After rejecting the all-time high, gold could cool down, first retreating to the $2,650 zone, and then further to $2,550. This corrective move will allow the market to consolidate before the next significant push.
Two Possible Scenarios for 2025–2026:
Scenario 1: Bullish Channel and New High by April 2025
Timeline: Between January and February 2025, XAU/USD could start forming a clear bullish channel.
Target: This structure could lead to a new all-time high in the $2,800–$2,900 range by March–April 2025.
Outlook: This scenario represents a continuation of the bullish trend with steady growth.
Scenario 2: Prolonged Range and Significant Drop by 2026
Timeline: Gold may remain in a range-bound phase until November 2025, oscillating between key levels ($2,700-$2,500)
Target: A lack of upward momentum during this time increases the probability of a significant decline to $2,300 by May 2026.
Outlook: This scenario reflects market exhaustion after prolonged consolidation, leading to a bearish correction.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $2,793 (ATH), $2,800–$2,900 (potential new high).
Support: $2,650, $2,550 (corrective phases), $2,300 (long-term bearish target).
Summary:
XAU/USD is preparing for a retest of the $2,793 all-time high, followed by a likely cooling phase to $2,650–$2,550. Beyond this, gold’s trajectory depends on its ability to establish a bullish channel in early 2025:
Bullish Outcome: New ATH of $2,800–$2,900 by April 2025.
Bearish Outcome: Prolonged range followed by a drop to $2,300 by May 2026.
Traders and investors should monitor key levels and the market’s ability to build a rounded bullish pattern to gauge the next significant move.
XAU/USD 06 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD GOLD Scalp / Day Trade Idea👀 👉 In this video, we analyze the 4-hour chart, highlighting a clear break of structure with evident lower lows and lower highs. While my bias leans toward a short opportunity, we explore both scenarios: a potential long opportunity if the price breaks upward, and a possible short opportunity if it breaks downward. As always, this is not financial advice. 📈
XAU/USD 05 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 04 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold Market Analysis 12/04Yesterday, gold tested the 2635 support multiple times without breaking below it. At one point, prices rose above 2650, which aligns with our expectations. During this consolidation, long positions were quite profitable.
Current Market Outlook:
The consolidation range is gradually narrowing, and today we are likely to see a breakout in one direction.
If prices break upward, the previous high around 2666 will act as a new resistance.
If prices break downward, gold could return to around 2625.
2628 remains an important support level to watch.
Key Factors to Monitor:
Technical Levels:
Support at 2635, 2628, and 2625.
Resistance at 2666.
Geopolitical Considerations:
Keep an eye on the situation in Syria. While the current geopolitical developments have not shown significant positive news for gold bulls, unexpected events could still have an impact on the market.
Risk management is crucial, especially with potential geopolitical volatility.
Risk Management:
Ensure appropriate stop-loss orders are in place, especially given the uncertainty in the geopolitical landscape.
Conclusion:
Gold is currently in a consolidation phase, and a breakout in either direction is imminent. Stay vigilant and adjust your strategy based on market developments and technical signals. Let me know if you have any questions or need further assistance!
XAUUSD Potentially BearishOANDA:XAUUSD topped out at almost 2800 and there after we have seen some consistent lower lows and lower highs. If price continues to hold around the 2650 area with some significant rejections, we just might see price creating a new lower high and potentially targeting the 2542 key zone area. Although we might see price dropping lower than that, I will rather lock in some profits when price comes to that zone
Always do your analysis before taking any trade. Past results does not guarantee future results
Xauusd Buy Limit OrderHi everyone.
I think before we get to our previous sell entry setup point, It's possible that we grab all liquidities below that level and touch the 30Min OB and then go up again...
Let's see what happens...
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Israel's Shift to Syria and Its Impact on Gold PricesOver the weekend, the fighting between Israel and Lebanon paused, and Israel turned its attention to Syria, hoping to use this move to weaken the Russia-Ukraine war situation. However, as of now, the situation remains deadlocked, and Ukraine has not gained any significant advantage.
Many of you may not understand the connection between these events, but here’s a simplified explanation: Ukraine and Israel are in the same camp. While Ukraine has been facing difficulties in the Russia-Ukraine war, Russia holds over 80 strategic points in Syria. If Russia loses these, it would be a significant blow. So, Israel, as an ally of Ukraine, attacked Syria, hoping to help Ukraine gain an upper hand before a ceasefire, thus securing more significant benefits. However, up to now, things have not gone as smoothly as expected. Russia deployed troops to Syria, and in the process of attacking, they destroyed a command center of the four-nation alliance. Reports suggest that the leader of the Shams Liberation Organization may have been killed in the strike.
Due to the stalemate in the war, gold's price movement has been unclear. In this situation, the focus should be on the developments in Syria. If Israel gains the upper hand, the probability of gold rising increases significantly.
From a technical standpoint, the bulls currently have a slight advantage. Key support is at around 2635. As long as this support holds, the bullish momentum is likely to continue, and we may see a rapid rally at any time.
Gold Market Analysis 12/2At the start of the Asian session today, gold continued its downward movement, reaching back to the previous low near 2620. Typically, previous lows often provide some support. Today, we have seen multiple candlesticks with lower wicks at this level, indicating that the support is holding well at the moment.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
2615 remains a key level of support. If this level holds, a rebound is expected.
Resistance:
The resistance zone is between 2635-2643. Watch for potential price action around this area, as it could signal either a break higher or a reversal.
Market Outlook:
Given the current support at 2620 and the signs of a potential rebound, I expect a move higher, with the next target being the 2635-2643 resistance zone.
Gold Hits 2635 Target, Next Focus on 2646 ResistanceDuring today's Asian session, I shared a long strategy with a target of 2635-2643. Currently, the price has risen above 2635, and we have secured our first profit of the week. Congratulations to all who followed the strategy!
The price is still on an upward trend, and a rise to around 2640 should be achievable. At that point, we need to pay attention to the resistance near 2646 and observe if it breaks. A slight pullback is expected, with key support around 2632-2628. If the support holds, we could see the price push back above 2650.
XAU/USD 02 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart: