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Xauusdshort

SCALPING XAU ! Gold sideway trend DOWN⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: The US central bank indicated last week that it plans to ease the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025. This supports elevated US Treasury yields, helping the US Dollar (USD) maintain its strength near a two-year high, which limits gains for the non-yielding Gold price. With trading volumes thin, it seems wise to wait for sustained buying momentum before anticipating a continued recovery from the one-month low reached last week. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold sideways price range 2610-2620, H1 trendline downtrend ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2618 - $2620 SL $2623 scalping TP1: $2614 TP2: $2608 TP3: $2602 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
Gold at a Crossroads: Key Correction to Avert Deeper DeclineXAUUSD Analysis: Navigating a Complex Gold Market Amid Volatility The XAUUSD pair is currently navigating a critical juncture as it tests key zones of interest within an ongoing counter-trend correction. This comes after successfully breaching a significant resistance level earlier. However, the broader market landscape remains challenging, with bearish sentiment taking the forefront. Fundamental Overview The downward pressure on gold is largely driven by a combination of factors, primarily stemming from the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance. Persistent concerns about inflation, the uncertain trajectory of Trump's future policy, and mixed economic data from the past two weeks have all contributed to a negative outlook for the yellow metal. One critical point to note is the speculation surrounding the Federal Reserve's approach to monetary policy in 2025. The cycle of interest rate cuts, initially expected to be more aggressive, now appears to be slowing, with projections indicating only two potential cuts for the year. This cautious stance has diminished gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, adding to the bearish tone in the market. The correction observed on Friday was largely influenced by the release of PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data, which acted as a temporary catalyst for price movement. However, this correction does not appear sufficient to alter the broader bearish narrative. As the year draws to a close, liquidity in the markets is expected to decline further. This seasonal trend could exacerbate volatility, particularly if assets become mispriced in thinner trading conditions. Traders are advised to exercise heightened caution during this period. Despite the prevailing bearish sentiment, it is essential to acknowledge the ongoing geopolitical risks that continue to underpin the gold market. Escalating tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe have provided a degree of support, acting as a counterbalance to the otherwise negative fundamental backdrop. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, gold appears to be forming a flag pattern following its recent sharp decline. The price is currently trading within the boundaries of this consolidation pattern. For traders, the critical focus should be on the local channel's support and resistance levels, as they will likely dictate the next significant price movement. Resistance Levels: 2620: A pivotal level where bearish momentum could intensify if broken and defended by sellers. 2631: Secondary resistance that could act as a hurdle for any upward attempt. 2640-2650: This zone could serve as a testing ground if the price attempts to break above the channel resistance. Support Levels: 2606: Immediate support level that may provide short-term stability. 2560: A deeper support level, which, if breached, could signal a more substantial downside move. The 2620 level deserves particular attention. Should sellers manage to push the price below this threshold and maintain control, it could significantly amplify bearish pressure, potentially triggering a more pronounced price drop. Conversely, the possibility of a breakout above the flag pattern's resistance cannot be entirely dismissed. In such a scenario, the price might retest the 2640-2650 zone before resuming its downward trajectory. Market Outlook and Final Thoughts As we approach the final stretch of the year, market participants should prepare for heightened volatility fueled by reduced liquidity. Mispriced assets during this period could lead to unexpected price swings, making risk management a top priority. While the bearish narrative remains dominant, traders should remain vigilant for any developments that could shift the balance of power, including geopolitical escalations or unexpected shifts in monetary policy. In summary, the gold market presents a complex mix of technical setups and fundamental drivers. Navigating this environment requires a careful balance of short-term tactical positioning and a broader understanding of the macroeconomic landscape. Keep an eye on key levels and stay prepared for potential surprises in this volatile market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
XAUUSD ShortGold Bias is Sell. We plan 2 entries if 1 SL hit then we enter 2nd trade. Remember 1 thing Both entries trigger before downside liqudity sweeps that mark in the chart. Gold Price Overview: Consolidation Amid Bearish Bias Sentiment: Bearish - Key Factors: - USD Strength: Fed’s hawkish projections and higher US Treasury bond yields keep the Dollar supported. - Thin Trading Conditions: Holiday season liquidity could lead to exaggerated moves but favor the safe-haven USD. - Bearish Technical Setup: Gold remains below key moving averages, with the RSI signaling selling pressure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by maliabid
XAUUSD 99% confirm Gold (XAU/USD) is trading with a moderate positive tone on Friday following the sharp sell-off earlier this week. Cooler-than-expected US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data on Friday has increased selling pressure on the US Dollar, although the precious metal is struggling to put a significant distance from the one-month lows hit this weekPCE Inflation has increased 0.1% in November, against expectations of a 0.2% increment. The yearly rate accelerated to 2.4% from the previous month's 2.3% reading, still below the 2.5% anticipated by the market consensus. Likewise, the Core PCE eased to 0.1% from 0.3% in October while the yearly inflation remained steady at 2,8% against market expectations of an uptick to 2.9%from heavily oversold levels. The broader trend, however, remains bearish. The pair is struggling to find acceptance above $2,600 and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the 4-hour chart remains flat at levels below the 50 threshold, highlighting the bearish momentum. Immediate resistance is at the $2,605 intra-day high, with the key resistance area to challenge the bearish trend at the $2,625-$2,630 area (November 28, December 2 lows). On the downside, supports are at Wednesday’s low at around $2,580, ahead of November’s trough at $2,540.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingForex078
XAU recovers - returns to downtrend retest zone⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates at its December meeting as anticipated but signaled a slower pace of future reductions. The updated dot plot, which outlines projected rate trends, now suggests a half-percentage-point cut in 2025, down from the full percentage-point reduction forecasted in September. This shift continues to strengthen the US Dollar (USD) and weigh on USD-denominated Gold, as rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. On the other hand, weaker-than-expected US inflation data may help limit gold’s downside. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose to 2.4% year-over-year in November, up from 2.3% in October but slightly below the 2.5% market estimate. Meanwhile, Core PCE remained steady at 2.8% but fell short of the expected 2.9%. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold H1 frame recovered and retested the break zone in the downtrend, mainly sideways price below 2650 zone ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2651 TP1: $2635 TP2: $2620 TP3: $2610 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2606 - $2604 SL $2599 TP1: $2615 TP2: $2628 TP3: $2640 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
Gold: Navigating a Range-Bound Phase After the DropGold (XAU/USD): Consolidation in a Bearish Territory Amid Uncertainty The gold market has entered a consolidation phase, trading within a defined bearish range following a sharp sell-off on Wednesday. This pullback comes as the precious metal adjusts to a complex interplay of technical and fundamental factors, with current attention focused on the critical price levels of 2622 – 2581. A deeper look into the backdrop reveals that sentiment remains subdued due to broader market dynamics, and the technical setup underscores the vulnerability of gold prices as they test recent lows. Fundamental Overview: Fed’s Conservative Stance and Market Implications The Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting on Wednesday had ripple effects across global markets. Adopting a more cautious stance, the Fed announced plans for just two rate cuts in 2025. This decision disappointed investors hoping for a more dovish approach and weighed heavily on risk-sensitive assets, including gold. Meanwhile, the dollar emerged as the clear beneficiary, strengthening to new local highs as traders flocked to safe-haven assets tied to U.S. monetary policy. The dollar’s rally placed additional pressure on gold, which often moves inversely to the greenback. However, the broader implications extend beyond just this week. Gold's recent struggles highlight the ongoing challenge of balancing inflation expectations, geopolitical risks, and macroeconomic trends. Looking ahead, today’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index—widely regarded as the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation—could introduce another layer of volatility. A surprise deviation from expectations in the PCE data, whether upward or downward, could significantly impact gold prices. Furthermore, any unexpected escalation in political uncertainty, whether domestic or international, has the potential to act as a short-term catalyst for the metal, possibly leading to a recovery attempt toward resistance levels. Technical Analysis: Testing the Lows in a High-Volatility Environment From a technical perspective, gold remains entrenched within a consolidation zone after the steep decline earlier this week. Such a pattern is not uncommon at this time of year, characterized by thin liquidity and heightened volatility as institutional players wind down for the calendar year. Price action suggests that the market is trading in a relatively wide range, bounded by key resistance levels at 2616 – 2622 and notable support levels at 2589, 2581, and 2560. Currently, prices hover near the lower end of this range, testing the support levels repeatedly. If the support at 2581 holds, it may trigger a short-term recovery toward the upper boundary of the range. However, any failure to defend these levels could lead to a retest of deeper support at 2560, further cementing the bearish outlook. Conversely, on the upside, resistance around 2616 – 2622 remains critical. A breakout above this zone may entice bullish momentum, but such a move is likely to be capped or short-lived, given the overarching fundamental headwinds. In fact, a retest of this resistance could result in a false breakout scenario, where prices temporarily breach the level before reversing sharply back into the range, targeting local lows. Trading Strategy and Broader Market Context For traders navigating the current environment, the focus should remain on the boundaries of the consolidation range. Range-bound strategies, such as buying near support and selling near resistance, could be effective in the short term. However, caution is warranted given the heightened sensitivity to macroeconomic events, including today’s PCE data release and potential geopolitical developments. In the longer term, the bearish undertone suggests that gold may continue its descent unless a significant shift in fundamentals alters the market narrative. Any sustained rally would require a combination of favorable catalysts, such as a dovish pivot from the Fed, a weakening dollar, or heightened geopolitical tensions. Conclusion Gold’s journey through this consolidation phase is emblematic of the broader uncertainty gripping financial markets. While the precious metal has shown resilience in the past, the current setup underscores the challenges it faces in a bearish environment. Resistance at 2616 – 2622 and support at 2581 – 2560 serve as pivotal levels to monitor, with price action within this range offering opportunities for tactical trades. In the grander scheme, the coming weeks will likely determine whether gold can break free from its consolidation or succumb to further selling pressure. As we approach the end of the year, reduced liquidity and heightened volatility will remain defining features of the market, setting the stage for potentially significant price swings in early 2024. (The market decides how much profit you make. You decide how much you lose.)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
XAUUSD - what will happen before the Holiday season?Here is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for before the Holiday season starts. Let’s take a step back and take a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we are attaching the long-term overview on the pair. We are still following the sell bias we have published. XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2625 with lower volume than usual. Scenario 1: SELLS from 2620 That would confirm our pullback to the upside and breaking below 2620 would give us an opportunity to drop back down to 2604 or 2600 flat. Next we would be targeting a very important KL (Key Level) 2590. Scenario 2: BUYS from 2638 We broke above 2638 and are trading above it. We should see more upside potentially reaching new highs at around 2666 which was also an important KL (Key Level) before. Personal opinion: The direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. A safe sell trade could be taken at 2620 or a safe buy at the breaks of 2638. Be patient and stay tuned for updates on this pair. For now we are sticking to the sell bias from the long-term overview. KEY NOTES - XAUUSD breaking below 2620 would confirm sells down to 2604 - 2600. - XAUUSD breaking above 2638 would confirm further buys up to 2666. - Volume is lower as the business year is coming to an end and Holiday season is about to start. Thank you everyone for your amazing support lately. We will continue to provide value to you. Happy Holidays! Happy trading! FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FxPocket
1
Gold Trade Plan for the next 4hrs.Trade Plan for the Next 4 Hours Time Direction Entry Take Profit Stop Loss 2024-12-24 02:30:00 Short 2612.48 2612.31 2612.65 2024-12-24 02:45:00 Short 2609.88 2609.24 2609.24 2024-12-24 03:00:00 Short 2609.09 2608.39 2608.39 2024-12-24 03:15:00 Long 2612.27 2612.75 2611.79 2024-12-24 03:30:00 Long 2616.03 2617.61 2614.45 2024-12-24 03:45:00 Long 2615.98 2617.23 2614.73 2024-12-24 04:00:00 Long 2614.56 2615.12 2614 2024-12-24 04:15:00 Long 2614.27 2614.65 2613.89 2024-12-24 04:30:00 Short 2612.6 2612.41 2612.41 2024-12-24 04:45:00 Short 2611.4 2610.92 2610.92 2024-12-24 05:00:00 Short 2611.23 2610.84 2610.84 2024-12-24 05:15:00 Short 2611.53 2611.36 2611.36 2024-12-24 05:30:00 Short 2610.73 2610.39 2610.39 2024-12-24 05:45:00 Short 2610.57 2610.29 2610.29 2024-12-24 06:00:00 Short 2611.6 2611.46 2611.74 2024-12-24 06:15:00 Long 2611.74 2611.93 2611.55
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheBullsEye1
GOLD WAS SUPPORTED LAST LATE 🥇 Gold was supported late last week by the release of Core PCE data from the US showing a slowdown in inflation. This eased concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for a longer period of time, supporting gold prices. However, the upside momentum was limited as the Fed earlier signaled a more cautious stance on rate cuts next year under President Trump. Gold broke above its recent high around 2626 to extend its rally to 2632 late last week, but failed to hold above this level and is now falling.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradeAdvisory
Gold Trading Strategy 12/23Last Friday, we successfully hit our long target in the 2623-2632 range, after which gold faced resistance near 2632 and pulled back. With no major news over the weekend, the focus shifts back to technical trading. For this week, we are mainly looking at: Long positions in the 2615-2605 support zone. Short positions in the 2636-2648 resistance zone. Key Considerations for the Week: Pay close attention to the support and resistance lines . Any breakout above or below these levels will require a quick adjustment to your trading strategy. Stay vigilant and be ready to adjust positions as market conditions evolve.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuide_Dean
XAUUSD 99% confirm Gold (XAU/USD) is trading with a moderate positive tone on Friday following the sharp sell-off earlier this week. Cooler-than-expected US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data on Friday has increased selling pressure on the US Dollar, although the precious metal is struggling to put a significant distance from the one-month lows hit this weekPCE Inflation has increased 0.1% in November, against expectations of a 0.2% increment. The yearly rate accelerated to 2.4% from the previous month's 2.3% reading, still below the 2.5% anticipated by the market consensus. Likewise, the Core PCE eased to 0.1% from 0.3% in October while the yearly inflation remained steady at 2,8% against market expectations of an uptick to 2.9%from heavily oversold levels. The broader trend, however, remains bearish. The pair is struggling to find acceptance above $2,600 and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the 4-hour chart remains flat at levels below the 50 threshold, highlighting the bearish momentum. Immediate resistance is at the $2,605 intra-day high, with the key resistance area to challenge the bearish trend at the $2,625-$2,630 area (November 28, December 2 lows). On the downside, supports are at Wednesday’s low at around $2,580, ahead of November’s trough at $2,540.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingForex078
Gold entered into a bearish structureHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ForexMasters2000
Gold UpdateGold has formed: 1- Valid ascending channel (in blue) with multiple touches . 2- Head & Shoulders (in yellow). 3- Resistance on the right shoulder. As long as the right shoulder resistance still stand with no broken candle, both 2 & 3 are still valid and considered as good strategies Now we’re waiting for an H8 candle to broke and close clearly under the last touch (trigger point) of the our blue channel and to retest and get rejected from below of the channel so we can enter a Short (sell) trade Follow us for more ideas and updates
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HazTheTrader
Gold will Go Down Again!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD )started to decrease yesterday after the release of the US indexes(Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Economic Projections, FOMC Statement) . Gold is moving near the Resistance zone($2,642-$2,620) and Resistance lines . In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Gold appears to be forming a Rising Wedge Pattern . According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold is completing wave 4 . The probability that the wave structure of wave 4 will be complicated is very high. Of course, it depends on today's US indexes (Final GDP, Unemployment Claims) . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. I expect Gold to start declining again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and AFTER breaking the lower line of the wedge pattern , it will fall to at least $2,611 and attack the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) . ⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Resistance lines, we can expect more Pumps.⚠️ 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
11
Bears dominate - gold selling pressure below 2600⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Thursday's US economic data revealed a decline in unemployment claims, while the final Q3 GDP report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis confirmed 3.1% year-over-year growth. Despite these figures, market attention remains focused on projections for 2025. The Federal Reserve (Fed), led by Chair Jerome Powell, reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, though the decision was not unanimous, with Cleveland Fed's Beth Hammack dissenting in favor of maintaining current rates. Fed officials have also shifted focus to inflation, as reflected in the dot plot. Their projections indicate two 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025 and another two in 2026. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Strong Bearish Trend - Pressure on Market Maintains Around 2600 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2626 - $2628 SL $2633 TP1: $2620 TP2: $2610 TP3: $2600 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2576 - $2574 SL $2569 TP1: $2582 TP2: $2590 TP3: $2600 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
6