Xauusdshort
Gold Under Pressure: Stay Bearish as Trend ContinuesMarket Review and Outlook:
Dear traders, today’s shorting strategy around 2688 has likely provided profits for those who followed the signal—congratulations to those who seized this opportunity! For those who missed it, don’t worry; there are still plenty of chances ahead as the market continues to offer ample trading opportunities.
The sharp decline in gold prices recently has been driven by expectations of a ceasefire agreement in the Middle East, which has significantly reduced safe-haven demand. This, coupled with a drop in geopolitical tensions, has caused gold to remain under pressure. While some traders may consider going long at current levels in anticipation of a rebound, I must emphasize that trading is not gambling. The key to success lies in aligning with the prevailing trend to minimize unnecessary risks.
From both a fundamental and technical perspective, a reversal in gold prices appears unlikely in the short term. Bearish sentiment remains strong, and the trend is firmly in favor of the bears. Therefore, a short-biased trading approach should continue to dominate under the current market conditions.
Today's Trading Strategy:
Gold has formed a significant short-term resistance level around 2640. If the market experiences a slight rebound, this will offer another opportunity to enter short positions. The upside potential is limited, while the downside has substantial room to move.
Recommendation: Look to short again around 2640 during any brief upticks.
Risk-to-Reward: The downside potential remains strong, while the upside is limited.
Advisory Note:
The broader trend is clear, and for those unsure how to navigate the market, feel free to reach out for assistance. Recent VIP strategies have shown solid performance, but as these are based on trend analysis and not precise trading signals, some users may have misunderstood the approach, resulting in losses or trapped positions. If you find yourself in such a situation, please contact me for help.
For those considering joining our VIP service, now is a great time to apply for a free trial to gain a clearer understanding of the value we offer. Feel free to reach out for more information!
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always use sound risk management practices and avoid overleveraging in your trades.
Let me know if you'd like to further refine or adjust any details!
XAUUSD short for near future game planGold Trading Strategy Update: November 25, 2024
Several factors are currently putting selling pressure on gold:
Geopolitical Developments: The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon has eased market uncertainty, reducing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
New Gold Reserves in China: Recently discovered reserves in China, valued at approximately USD 83 billion, are expected to lead to an oversupply in the market. This oversupply could stabilize gold prices in China's domestic market, potentially reducing its demand from the global market.
Technical Outlook:
After the U.S. elections on November 5, gold prices began a corrective phase, with spot gold dropping to the 2538 level. However, given that gold prices have risen by more than USD 1000 over the past two years, the initial correction has been relatively mild. A deeper correction, possibly retracing 50% of the recent impulse leg, could occur over the medium term.
Short-Term Analysis:
Following the recent drop to the optimal trade entry (OTE) level and a liquidity sweep, today's trading session (Monday, November 25) has already witnessed a significant 3% decline in spot gold prices. With technical indicators pointing towards further downside, we project a near-term target for spot gold at 2430, based on Fibonacci levels and the monthly fair value gap (FVG).
The summary:
The combination of geopolitical developments, increased supply expectations, and technical corrections suggests further downside potential for gold in the near term. Traders should monitor key support levels and market sentiment to refine entry and exit strategies.
XAUUSD Buy After recovering toward $2,700 during the European trading hours, Gold reversed its direction and dropped below $2,650. Despite falling US Treasury bond yields, easing geopolitical tensions don't allow XAU/USD to find a foothold.
The daily chart for XAU/USD shows the risk skews to the downside. The pair accelerated south after breaking below a now bearish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), while technical indicators turned sharply lower within negative levels after failing to overcome their midlines. The 100 and 200 SMAs maintain their upward slopes, with the shorter one currently at around $2,563, a critical support level in the upcoming sessions.In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, XAU/USD is also at risk of extending its slide. The pair fell below all its moving averages, with the 100 SMA gaining downward momentum at around $2,655. Finally, technical indicators head firmly south within negative levels without showing signs of bearish exhaustion.Spot GOLD trades around $2,630, having shed roughly $30 after Wall Street’s opening. The bright metal has been under selling pressure since early in Asia, maintaining a sour tone as the day comes to an end. XAU/USD fell despite the broad US Dollar’s weakness, as a better market mood pushed investors away from safe-haven assets.
Fibo extension xauusdscenario 1: Watch the 2611 - 2615 area if there is a rejection in the area, gold will be pulled up at least 250 pips.
scenario 2: sell if it has entered the liquidity block / fibo 0.5 (2657)
scenario 3: buy sell breakdown / breakout if above 2639 and 2625 (scalping)
Technical used: (basepinbar) follow the trend, fibo extension, auto fibo H1.
prioritize direct execution over pending orders.
Gold sideways below 2700 price zone ! Scalping XAU / USD trend forecast November 25, 2024 ! SCALPING
Gold prices (XAU/USD) remain under significant selling pressure during the early European session on Monday, though they manage to stay above the $2,650 mark and hold support at the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart. The nomination of Scott Bessent as US Treasury Secretary has removed a key source of uncertainty for the markets. Additionally, reports suggesting that Israel is nearing a ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah in Lebanon have bolstered investor confidence, reducing demand for the safe-haven yellow metal.
Monday gold price is under a lot of selling pressure below $2700, sideways and accumulating below this price range
/// SELL XAU : zone 2685-2688
SL: 2691
TP: 40 - 80 - 150 pips (2673)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold Market Outlook: ReboundToday, the news about the Israel-Palestine ceasefire triggered a sharp drop in gold prices, highlighting the significant impact that war news can have on gold. Recently, updates on the Russia-Ukraine peace talks are also expected to emerge gradually. Traders should remain cautious and avoid blindly chasing highs, because if there is positive news regarding the peace process, gold will likely experience sharp volatility. Although there will undoubtedly be various conflicts during the peace talks, I believe the ultimate outcome will be a successful agreement—it’s just a matter of which side gains more benefits.
Earlier, I posted a strategy for trading gold during the Russia-Ukraine peace talks. If you're interested, feel free to check it out.
As for current trading, after the large amount of selling pressure has been released, gold is expected to experience a corrective rebound. I’ve already provided specific trade signals—buy in the range of 2636-2621, with a target above 2650.
If you'd like to receive signals in real time, you're welcome to follow me.
Scalping ! Find short-term FIBO retracement pointsSCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) dropped over 1% on Monday, trading in the $2,670 range, as markets reacted positively to the appointment of a steady and experienced figure to succeed Janet Yellen as the next US Treasury Secretary.
President-elect Donald Trump selected hedge fund manager Scott Bessent for the role, set to begin in January 2025. Bessent's reputation for cautious decision-making and his potential to temper some of Trump’s more extreme economic and trade policies appear to have eased market concerns, reducing the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Price decreased at the beginning of the week on Monday - price recovered at 2690 entry FIBO, SELL SCALPING
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2690 - $2692 SL $2696
TP1: $2685
TP2: $2678
TP3: $2670
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD SHORT SWING TRADEGold's Bearish Outlook for December: An Analysis Using Vinnie's Trading Cheat Code
Gold's price action is a reflection of global market sentiment, economic trends, and technical signals. Based on the analysis using **Vinnie's Trading Cheat Code (VTCC)**, the December outlook for gold suggests a bearish trend. Here’s a detailed explanation grounded in both technical and macroeconomic factors:
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**1. Technical Signals from Vinnie's Trading Cheat Code**
**A. CC Sell Signal on Higher Timeframes**
The VTCC system has triggered **CC Sell signals** on the **daily and 4-hour charts**, indicating a shift in market momentum. These signals are confirmed by:
- **Bearish Divergence in the CC MACD**: The Cheat Code MACD shows declining momentum despite previous price spikes, a precursor to potential trend reversals.
- **Trend Continuation Markers**: Recent price action has failed to break above key resistance levels, reinforcing a continuation of the bearish trend.
**B. Trendline Break Confirmation**
A critical ascending trendline, which supported gold prices since early Q3, has been decisively broken. VTCC confirms this as a bearish trigger when combined with a CC Sell Alert.
**C. Lack of Volume on Retracements**
During recent upward retracements, VTCC's volume-based Confirm Indicator flagged weak buying interest. This suggests that sellers remain in control.
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**2. Macro Factors Supporting the Bearish Thesis**
**A. Strengthening U.S. Dollar**
Historically, gold moves inversely to the U.S. dollar. With robust U.S. economic data and the Federal Reserve's hawkish tone, the dollar is poised to strengthen further. This diminishes gold's appeal as a safe haven.
**B. Rising Treasury Yields**
Higher yields on U.S. Treasury bonds make non-yielding assets like gold less attractive. VTCC's Fundamental Sentiment Scanner has highlighted increased bearish sentiment in gold as bond yields rise.
**C. Seasonal Weakness**
Gold tends to experience seasonal weakness in December due to reduced physical demand and increased profit-taking ahead of the new year. VTCC's historical pattern analysis aligns with this seasonal trend.
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**Conclusion**
Gold's bearish outlook for December is well-supported by VTCC's technical indicators and macroeconomic trends. The combination of CC Sell signals, declining momentum, seasonal factors, and macroeconomic headwinds create a compelling narrative for a bearish move. Traders leveraging **Vinnie's Trading Cheat Code** can capitalize on this trend with confidence, knowing the system’s precision in identifying high-probability setups.
Safe-Haven Demand Eases, Bears Take Control in the Gold MarketFundamental Analysis:
Gold prices have reversed last week’s upward momentum as safe-haven sentiment continues to diminish. Positive developments in the Middle East have contributed to this shift, with Israel’s ambassador to the United States confirming that a ceasefire agreement with Lebanon’s Hezbollah could be reached within days. This news has triggered a significant retreat in safe-haven buying.
Meanwhile, the nomination of Scott Bassett as Treasury Secretary by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has bolstered market stability, further improving risk appetite. Although U.S. Treasury yields have declined—a factor typically supportive of gold prices—the broader improvement in market sentiment has left gold under pressure. With bearish sentiment prevailing from the week’s outset, the gold market is now dominated by a clear downward trend.
Technical Analysis:
Gold prices have experienced a sharp pullback, with immediate support found near 2660. Key resistance is identified at the 2690 level, with the short-term ceiling at 2700. The technical outlook remains bearish, with limited prospects for a near-term reversal.
Trading Strategy for Today:
Recommendation: Enter short positions in the 2688-2691 range, with a stop loss above 2700.
Target Levels: First target at 2675, followed by 2665 for further downside potential.
Advisory Note:
While VIP strategies have performed well recently, some users may experience losses or trapped positions due to a lack of understanding of trend-based analyses. If you are facing such challenges, feel free to reach out for personalized assistance. For those considering joining the VIP program, a complimentary trial session is available to help you better understand the value of our services. Interested parties are encouraged to contact me directly.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please manage your risk carefully and avoid overleveraging.
Will the rise in gold prices continue? Latest trading strategiesGold risk aversion eased on Monday, and gold broke down directly. The bullish trend of gold was temporarily eased. After the decline of gold, the bulls did not have a strong counterattack. It is difficult for the bulls to make a big move for the time being. Gold rebounded and continued to be short. Gold broke down with the easing of risk aversion, and then the hourly moving average of gold began to turn around. The strength of the bullish rise of gold weakened. The resistance of the gold moving average now moved down to the 2685-90 line. Gold rebounded in the US market and went short at highs below the 2685-90 line.
Judging from the current 4-hour analysis chart, the upper side focuses on the short-term suppression of 2785-90, and the lower side focuses on the short-term support of 2658-60.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold's (xauusd) perspective for starting the weekKey Observations:
Ascending Channel: Gold is trading within a well-defined upward channel. The recent rejection near the upper boundary confirms resistance at higher levels.
Pullback Underway: The price has shown a pullback from the highs and is approaching the internal trendline around $2,642, which could act as interim support.
Major Support Zone: The key support zone lies between $2,500-$2,550, coinciding with the lower boundary of the channel. This area is crucial for maintaining the bullish structure.
Expected Movement:
The price may first retest $2,642, followed by another drop to the $2,500-$2,550 support zone.
A bullish bounce from this zone would reaffirm the long-term uptrend.
Bearish Scenario: A break below the $2,500 support zone could invalidate the ascending channel, exposing gold to deeper declines.
XAU / USD ! 25 Nov ! Gold price adjusted downXAU / USD trend forecast November 25, 2024
Gold prices (XAU/USD) surge to approximately $2,720 during the early Asian session on Monday, supported by a weakening US Dollar (USD). The USD's sell-off lends support to the USD-denominated Gold price, while escalating geopolitical tensions further bolster demand for safe-haven assets like the yellow metal.
Investors remain focused on developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Last week, Russian President Vladimir Putin lowered the threshold for a nuclear strike in response to an expanded range of conventional attacks, following reports that the US had permitted Ukraine to use American-made weapons for deeper strikes into Russian territory. This situation is likely to sustain safe-haven flows, benefiting Gold prices.
Gold adjusts H2 fibo, downtrend creates more liquidity for the market
/// BUY XAU : zone 2651-2648
SL: 2643
TP: 50 - 150 - 300pips (2678)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold Profits Realized, Next Moves in FocusAfter opening, the gold price peaked around 2721 before beginning to decline, falling short of the 2726 level for adding positions. Ultimately, a profit of 1,000–1,800 points was achieved.
Looking ahead, continue to monitor the 2710–2720 area. If bearish momentum remains strong, this zone can serve as an opportunity to short again. If the price moves higher, our focus will stay on the 2726–2732 range.
Gold Market Analysis and Strategy 11/25Last week, gold prices opened with a steady upward momentum, rising for five consecutive days. Each day closed as a bullish candlestick on the daily chart. On Friday, gold made a significant move, breaking above the MA30 and MA20 resistance levels with a strong bullish candlestick.
From a momentum perspective, prices are expected to continue rising. Key attention should be given to the resistance zone between 2726-2737, where selling pressure is likely to emerge.
Trading Recap:
On Friday, I shared a sell signal at 2710, and later suggested closing the position near 2707 if you didn’t want to hold over the weekend. Some traders might have closed their positions at that time.
For Those Still Holding the Short Position:
Be mentally prepared to hold the position, as gold may climb further to around 2732.
Expect a Pullback:
Don’t panic, as a retracement is inevitable.
Suggested Trading Plan:
Enter a long trade at the opening price.
Close the long position around 2722-2728 to lock in profits.
Open a Short Position After the Rally:
Once prices rise to 2726-2734, begin adding short positions.
Target Levels:
I expect gold to at least retest 2707, with a probable downside target around 2678.
Risk Management:
Use stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively.
Ensure position sizes are within your risk tolerance.
Final Thoughts:
This strategy allows you to take advantage of both upward momentum and the anticipated pullback. Monitor price action closely and make timely adjustments to your positions. If you have any questions or need further guidance, feel free to reach out.
Short-Term Short Opportunity at 2710 Resistance ZoneAfter reaching around 2710, gold tested the support at 2686 as expected and then rebounded above 2700, in line with our forecast. The long positions in the short-term swing trade have been closed, and we are now seeking new opportunities to sell. From a technical perspective, there is still strong selling pressure around 2710, which acts as a key resistance zone.
Technical Analysis: At the 2710 level, gold is facing noticeable selling pressure. Previously, this area acted as a support level, but now it has turned into resistance. If the price encounters resistance here and starts to decline, it could test the support zone below once again.
Considering the current market sentiment and technical pattern, the 2710-2722 range presents an ideal opportunity for short entry. We recommend initiating sell orders within this range with a small position size as an initial attempt.
Trade Strategy:
Sell Entry Range: If the selling pressure at 2710 holds and the price fails to break above this level, the 2715-2722 range becomes a potential short-entry area. The resistance in this region could drive the price lower.
Stop-Loss: To protect against the risk of a breakout above this zone, a stop-loss can be set in the 2725-2730 range. This would limit potential losses in case the market continues to rise above the resistance zone.
Take-Profit: The take-profit target can be set around the support area at 2686, or adjusted based on real-time price action. If the price declines to this support zone and shows signs of a rebound, partial or full profit-taking may be considered.
Risk Management: Given the volatility in the gold market, it’s crucial to control position size in every trade and apply proper risk management strategies to avoid significant losses. Each trade should not risk more than 2-3% of the total account balance.
Shorting gold againWe have won consecutive victories in trading today. As in the previous article, we shorted gold near 2695 and 2710 respectively, hitting our TP: 2690-2685.
Now that gold has risen to around 2710 again, we can try to short gold again, TP: 2700-2695
Brothers, if you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Bullish Momentum Continues, Strategic Entry OpportunitiesMarket Overview and Weekly Recap
On the final trading day of the week, gold remains in a bullish trend, with minor pullbacks offering opportunities to re-enter the market. This aligns with the bullish strategy I have advocated since Monday. Traders following this approach have likely enjoyed significant gains this week.
Trading Strategy for Today
Key Approach: Buy the Dip
Entry Levels: Accumulate long positions below 2700;
Target: Look for resistance around 2720;
Stop-Loss: Place stops below 2690, adjusted to personal risk tolerance.
VIP Performance and Support
Most VIP members have achieved notable profits this week by adhering to the strategy, though some may have faced losses or trapped positions due to deviations from the plan. If you need assistance resolving such issues, feel free to reach out.
To help more traders experience the benefits of precise trading strategies, I am offering a free VIP trial session. Contact me to take advantage of this opportunity!
Reminder
As the week concludes, volatility may increase. Manage your positions wisely, avoid chasing highs, and focus on disciplined, value-driven trading. Seize every opportunity with a steady and strategic approach!
Friday Gold Chart for PMI services Alert!For Sell side there is 2 scenario.
First there is strong supply area in day candel and there is more chance to market is extent supply and Fall again
Second is There is trend line in One hour time frame so Gold respect the Area of 2685 again so We took sell from 150 pips here easily