Gold may continue to fall in the short term
Trading sometimes does require some luck, but in the long run, good luck and bad luck will offset each other. To continue to succeed, you must rely on skills and apply good principles. Always remember; "Trading gold: half science, half art, all discipline."
📌 Driving events
The continued uncertainty of President Donald Trump's tariff policy and its broader impact on global economic growth have exacerbated market anxiety. These factors have triggered a new wave of safe-haven demand, pushing investors back into the gold market.
📊Commentary analysis
Gold prices are still facing selling pressure and are consolidating below the downward trend line. Trading prices are around 3,300 or lower.
💰Strategy Package
Short position:
Participate around 3320-30 points, profit target around 3290-80 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Xauusdshort
The gold shorts aren’t over yet
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to turn downward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold forms a death cross downward, then there is still room for gold to go down in the 1-hour period. Gold has been under pressure from the 3340 resistance line for many times in the US market and has fallen. Gold has hit a new low again in the US market, falling to the 3260 line. The lows of gold continue to hit new lows, so the gold short position has not ended yet. The resistance of the 1-hour moving average of gold has moved down to around 3366. Gold continues to be shorted at highs below 3366.
Thu 24th Apr 2025 XAU/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAU/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
"The tariff war" continues to manipulate the market.As evident from the chart, the drastic ups and downs triggered by tariffs this month have persisted, with the number of days seeing gold fluctuate by over $100 surpassing the historical total. Any speech, statement, or even minor move by Trump can sway market direction. We believe this essentially constitutes market manipulation, even transforming the market into a "battlefield" for the U.S. government to siphon off capital. However, since we cannot alter the status quo, we can only choose to accept it.
Currently, gold has entered an adjustment phase, and market trends could reverse at any moment due to a single news event. During this period, we need to stay calm, observe more, think critically, and carefully assess market dynamics.
Gold peaked and plummeted, entering a correction mode!Analysis of gold market trend:
Technical analysis of gold: Today, the highest price of gold is 3386, and the lowest price of US market is 3260, which is also a drop of 126 points. Although gold has continued its decline, it is not like yesterday. The decline is accompanied by a rebound. The trend of Asian market is a back and forth, and the trend of European market is also a back and forth. Needless to say, the US market fell after the opening and the current rebound, the overall rhythm is bearish, but it is not as clean as Tuesday. This trend reflects the opposition of market sentiment. After the risk aversion subsided, the gold price fell from the high of 3500, but after the long position was sold at a high level, some people still took over at a low level, so it led to a rebound trend after the decline.
Now from the daily chart, the daily K is likely to close with an upper shadow line as on Tuesday. Now the upper shadow line has been formed, so the closing price should be below the opening price of 3320. Now we need to pay attention to whether the lower shadow line can continue to spread downward. In other words, after this wave of rebound in the US market, there will be another wave of decline, and there will be a small rebound; returning to the short-term trend, in 1 hour, after the gold price fell below the two key positions of 3356 and 3285 today, the support moved down to around 3245. Although there was a rebound in the US market, it is likely to go to the range of 3228 to 3245 before rebounding, so the support references are 3260 and 3245; on the other hand, the resistance level, now the gold price pierces 3285 and then rebounds, and is now trading near this. The only reference is 3315 in the Asian session, and then up is the European session rebound high of 3340. If it is effectively crossed here, the bearish outlook will be suspended.
The direction of the end of the session is bearish. The steady operation is to intervene in short orders near 3320 to protect the area near 3330. Of course, you can intervene in short orders near 3310 to see if it can reach the range of 3260 to 3245. This is up to you. Even if it touches this range and rebounds later, I do not recommend participating in long orders. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on rebound shorting. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3315-3320 line resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3260-3245 line support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
The rise of the US dollar index suppressed gold.From the perspective of technical analysis, the gold daily chart shows a large negative line pattern and then forms an inverted hammer reversal prototype structure. Today, the key support level below has moved down to the 3300 integer mark area. In the US hourly chart cycle, after the gold price short-term touched the price of 3290 US dollars/ounce, the technical indicators showed oversold repair characteristics, suggesting the existence of technical rebound momentum. The upper resistance level of the current price range is locked in the 3350-3360 US dollars/ounce area, and the core defense level below is still 3300 US dollars/ounce. I think if this support level is effectively broken, it may trigger a technical bottoming out of the price in the 3250 US dollars/ounce area.
It is worth noting that the US dollar index has a short-term technical retracement. This kind of currency market fluctuation may provide a phased rebound support for the gold price through the exchange rate transmission mechanism. However, we need to be alert that the gold price has fallen below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward trend started from $2,900/ounce. If the 38.2% retracement level of $3,289/ounce is confirmed to be lost, it may trigger the resonance of technical stop loss orders and programmatic trading systems, forming further selling pressure. The current market structure shows typical characteristics of long-short game. It is recommended to pay close attention to the significance of gains and losses of $3,300/ounce for trend judgment.
Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to short gold when it rebounds around 3,310, with the target at 3,290.3250
XAUUSD Gold Possible Move 23.04.2025Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – April 23, 2025
The market is currently showing bearish momentum following a retracement from the recent highs near the 3,500 mark. Price is now approaching key Fibonacci levels, presenting potential shorting opportunities for intraday and swing traders.
Key Levels to Watch:
📉 Short Opportunity 1:
Zone: 3400-3410 USD (Fibonacci 0.5 to 0.618)
Analysis: This is a premium supply zone and a retracement area aligning with the Fibonacci golden pocket. If the price revisits this region and shows bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejections, or lower timeframe structure break), it's a high-probability short entry zone.
Signal: Look for price rejection patterns in this zone to initiate a short position.
Stop-Loss: 3,430
Target: 3,292 initially, then lower if structure breaks
📉 Short Opportunity 2 (Breakout Trade):
Zone: 3,292 – 3,300 USD (Major Support)
Analysis: This is a major support zone. A clean break below and successful retest from underneath would signal continuation to the downside.
Signal: Wait for a break and retest below 3,292 for confirmation before entering short.
Stop-Loss: Above 3,300 on retest
Target: 3,240 and potentially 3,215 – 3,220 zone
Overall Bias:
Bearish below 3,396. Price action confirms lower highs and lower lows. Structure supports selling rallies or breakdowns.
4/23 Gold Trading StrategyGold saw a sharp decline from 3500 to around 3360 yesterday, and our selling strategy delivered significant returns.
Over the weekend, Trump stated he has no intention to fire Powell and hinted at easing trade tensions. This quickly dampened market risk aversion, causing gold to plunge at the open today to near 3320. The downward momentum remains strong.
In this kind of market, flexibility is key. A sharp drop is usually followed by a rebound, but the strength of that rebound is what matters. Technically, the potential bounce is estimated at around $50, but whether the price continues to rise or resumes its decline will depend on how the market digests the news.
Technical levels (excluding news impact):
Key resistance: 3410–3440
Key support: 3328–3303
Considering the news:
Key resistance: 3346-3372
Key support: 3298–3268
Trading Strategy for Today:
Sell between 3410–3440
Buy between 3297–3267
Trade flexibly within 3386–3332 / 3296–3328
XAU/USD Short Setup | M15 Trend Reversal OpportunityGold (XAU/USD) M15 timeframe par bearish signals show kar raha hai. Price ne key resistance zone reject kiya hai aur lower highs bana raha hai — possible short opportunity.
Trade idea includes:
Resistance rejection
Bearish candlestick pattern
Volume confirmation
Tight stop loss & clear TP levels
Disclaimer: Educational purpose only. Always manage your risk and use proper risk-reward ratio.
Trump's remarks and policy moves: Stirring the financial marketsTrump's remarks have sent shockwaves through financial markets and had a substantial impact on gold prices😰! He declared that he would not dismiss Fed Chair Powell, yet simultaneously called for interest rate cuts. His prior threats to remove Powell had stoked fears among investors regarding the Federal Reserve's policy, compelling them to turn to gold as a safe haven, which caused the price of gold to soar🚀. However, his most recent statement alleviated investors' concerns, leading funds to flow back into dollar - denominated assets and causing gold to decline from its peak levels📉
When it came to trade, Trump showed signs of leniency during the talks with China, aiming to reach a swift agreement that would reduce tariffs by 145% (although not to zero)🤝. The past unpredictability in trade relations had driven up the price of gold, and potential future easing measures might dampen the demand for gold as a safe haven asset⏳
Currently, the upward movement of XAU/USD has been put on hold⏸️. A large amount of capital has rushed into the virtual currency market, resulting in a significant surge in the price of BTC📈
⚡⚡⚡ XAUUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@3300 - 3280
🚀 TP 3260 - 3240 - 3220 -3200
The market has been extremely volatile lately 📈📉 If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others 💰
Gold shorts are rampant! Can the 3300 mark be maintained?Yesterday, the international gold price fell from 3,500 USD/ounce to 130 USD, breaking through several important support levels. As of today, the lowest price reached 0.328, around 3291, which has given up all the gains this week. Focus on 0.382, 3291, within the day. If there is no break, the bulls will resist. After the break, the bears will continue to attack and look at around 3243-3228.
Spot gold today's operation strategy and key points analysis
Core view: The daily pressure adjustment continues, pay attention to the effectiveness of 3293 support in the short term, and the 3228-3240 area may become the end point of the adjustment;
The rebound is mainly high-altitude, pay attention to the 3340-3356 resistance area, and maintain a bearish outlook before stabilization;
1. Spot gold intraday operation plan
Resistance and short-selling area
Rebound: 3340-3356-3471 (4-hour middle track and MA5 daily resistance golden section 0.236)
Strategy: If the rebound is under pressure near 3340 (hourly chart K-line closes negative or stagflation signal), try shorting with a light position, stop loss above 3358, and target 3293-3280.
Aggressive short order: If the rebound is unable to break through 3335 (MA10 hourly moving average), you can enter the market in advance.
Support and potential bottom-picking area
First support: 3291 (Daily MA10 382 retracement)
Observation signal: If it rebounds and recovers 3291 after a rapid decline, you can short (light position), stop loss 3285, target 3340.
Strong support area: 3228-3240 (50% retracement, previous starting point)
Strategy: When it touches around 3228 for the first time, combined with bottom divergence or long lower shadow, try long with light position, stop loss 3210, target 3280-3300.
Breakthrough market response
Unexpectedly break through 3358: If the hourly chart closes at 3358, short orders will be temporarily exited, pay attention to the counter-pressure of 3380 (4-hour middle track), and short orders can still be tried.
Potential opportunities for bottom-picking in the market: focus on 3240-3228-3167
IV. Summary
Main idea: rebound high and high, focus on 3340-3356-3371*, if it does not break, continue to adjust;
Bottom-picking opportunity: wait for the stabilization signal in the 3228-3240-3167 area, and it is safer to trade on the right side;
Short-term trading depends on the system, and the market depends on the level. Short-term trading is high frequency, fast in and fast out. It is obviously impossible to pursue a high success rate in this model. Therefore, it can only rely on the system to win. There is a clear trading system, stop loss and stop profit system and risk control system. As long as these are done well, short-term trading can also make money. Moreover, short-term trading is a compulsory course for every trader. The market is the core of the real path to profitability, leapfrogging and successful trading, which requires considerable accumulation and precipitation, including the accumulation of mentality, funds, and technical level, and the market is also the path that every trader must reach and must eventually reach and move towards.
3280 becomes the key for bulls!The previous surge in gold prices was mainly due to the market pricing of "stagflation" risks, but as this risk is gradually eliminated, gold may experience a significant correction, especially considering that "long gold" has become one of the most crowded trades in the market, and its parabolic rise is an obvious signal.
From a larger cycle perspective, gold is still in an upward trend, because the actual yield may continue to decline under the background of the Fed's easing policy. But in the short term, if the good news about tariffs continues to be released, the price of gold may fall further, and the market will adjust according to the new environment.
Views on gold tonight!
In fact, the market has a warning for today's retracement. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so there must be a continuation in the trend of gold. Moreover, after yesterday's gold rose to the 3500 line, the trend weakened, and the market fell all the way to break the 3400 mark and the 3300 mark, and fell to the lowest 3290 line! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive, the market ushered in the suppression of the market retracement, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation! In my opinion, the key entry point for long orders today is the previous starting point of 3280. The short-term retracement of gold is obviously continuing, and in the medium and long term, gold is still bullish. So our entry point is actually relatively simple. When it retreats to 3280, we can directly enter the market. There are still many opportunities for long orders. The retracement is not the peak!
GOLD UPDATEHello friends
As you can see in the picture, everything is clearly defined.
After a strong rise, we see a double top pattern at the top of the channel, which indicates that we should gradually wait for a correction.
Now, how far will the correction continue? In the picture, we have identified the support levels that the price can reach.
*Trade safely with us*
Trump sends out a major signal of tariffs, gold prices plummet
📌 Driving events
On Tuesday evening, local time, US President Trump said that he had no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. Trump also said that tariffs on Chinese imports would be "substantially" reduced from the current 145%.
In addition, Trump said that he would not take "tough measures" against China during the tariff negotiations, and was "optimistic" that he could reach an agreement with it "fairly quickly" and "substantially reduce" the huge 145% tariff imposed on Chinese imports.
Because of President Trump's erratic tariff policy changes, investors' confidence in the outlook for the US economy continues to weaken.
📊Commentary analysis
The slowdown and decline in gold prices are inevitable. The profit-taking mentality and the cooling of news on tariffs and Russian-Ukrainian military operations led to a decline in gold prices.
💰Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate at 3350 points, profit target is around 3290 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
The gold market suddenly "changed its face"Gold plunged down from the high of 3500 yesterday, mainly due to the fact that US President Trump said at the swearing-in ceremony of Atkins, chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission, on Tuesday local time that he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell, although he was disappointed that the Fed did not cut interest rates faster. The cooling of risk aversion directly affected the gold price, which once fell to $3366, and then closed near 3382, with the largest drop of 134 points on Tuesday. This wave of gold correction is still continuing. After opening today, it fell straight to 3315. Although it has completely recovered the decline, I think the short position still has continuity, so today's operation strategy is still mainly high-altitude.
Gold is currently trading below 3357. There are signs of a rebound in gold prices at the beginning of the European session. Now the upper suppression level can be moved down. The short-term suppression reference is 3330 here, followed by the second highest point on the way up to 3357; the lower support focuses on the vicinity of 3285, and after effectively breaking it, it can focus on the vicinity of 3245. Now the gold price is trading near the Asian low of 3315. The prudent operation idea is to short at 3331 to protect the gold price near 3320 and wait for the gold price to reach 3285. After the break, wait for the rebound to 3300 and then go short to 3245. It is not recommended to participate in long orders.
Gold is down 100 points, but it still remains high and short.Technically speaking:
① Yesterday's daily line hit a high and fell back to close with a hanging neck line with a long upper shadow, which represents a short-term peak signal. Today's opening opened low and rebounded to repair the gap, which can determine the bottom support in the short term. Therefore, today's range has become a large range of 3313-3500.
From the daily Fibonacci retracement extension line, the current support is around 3291, that is, the range of 3291-3371, and the middle 0.236 is located at 3370.
②The 4-hour indicator macd is dead cross at a high level and runs with large volume, and the smart indicator sto is running near oversold, which means that the 4-hour market is still volatile and weak. In the short term, pay attention to the middle track and the moving average MA5 and MA10 corresponding to the 3403-3358-3404 line, and the short-term moving average MA30 corresponds to the 3350 line. From the 4-hour perspective, the current range is 3291-3371.
③ The current MACD of the hourly line is dead cross with shrinking volume, and the dynamic indicator STO is hooked upward, which represents the rebound trend of the hourly line. At present, we focus on the MA60 moving average, the middle track and the MA30 moving average, which currently correspond to the 3397-3354-3405 line, but will gradually move down over time.
In summary: short-selling in the area near the upper pressure of 3321-3351-3371, and maintaining high altitude as the main theme
Summary: In the short term, the high altitude callback is the main focus, and the key support level is arranged in batches for long orders to follow the long-term trend.
XAUUSD Today's strategyThere has been a remarkable negative correlation between DXY and gold prices for a long time. Although this internal logic is short-term disturbed by multiple complex factors, the core correlation has always dominated the market rhythm. Recently, the joint remarks by the U.S. Treasury Secretary and Trump on easing tariff issues may boost the U.S. dollar emotionally in the short term, thereby suppressing the bullish momentum of gold. However, this impact needs to be examined within the macro framework.
Currently, the high uncertainty of the global economy, the intermittent escalation of geopolitical risks, and the reconstruction of inflation expectations in some economies jointly form a long-term supporting logic for the safe-haven attribute of gold. From a trading perspective, the above-mentioned short-term disturbances instead provide a window for strategic allocation —
Long-term investors who have not yet positioned or exited midway can take the opportunity of market sentiment fluctuations to build positions in batches, with key attention paid to the test opportunities of the critical support range of $3,250-$3,280。
Short-term traders need to strengthen discipline and strictly follow the established stop-loss and take-profit rules. Given the amplified volatility and enhanced randomness of the current market, it is recommended to appropriately shorten the operation cycle and closely track the intraday dynamics to adjust strategies.
Overall, the marginal changes in tariff policy expectations only constitute small-level fluctuations in the trend process, and the medium-to-long-term upward logic of gold remains undamaged. Investors can grasp structural opportunities under the premise of controlling positions according to their own risk preferences.
XAUUSD
buy@3250-3280
tp:3300-3340
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
The president's words instantly changed the gold market
📌 Driving events
Today, Wednesday, Trump said that although he was frustrated that the Federal Reserve had not been able to lower interest rates faster, he had no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.
The remarks marked a huge shift in Trump's attitude. He has recently stepped up his criticism of Powell and refused to rule out the possibility of taking the unprecedented step of firing Powell.
After Trump said he had no intention of firing Powell, the situation between Russia and Ukraine slowed down, and the market's optimism about the possible easing of trade tensions heated up, U.S. stock index futures soared and the dollar strengthened.
Asian spot gold opened directly at a gap down on Wednesday, and then the decline widened further, reaching a low of $3,293. It is only $10 away from the 3,283 support line I predicted before.
📊Comment analysis
Gold has some signs of a head and shoulders top, and the current shoulder position is almost here at 3,340-50.
So, if there is a chance to pull back to 3,340-50 next. The support line is still around 3282.
Be sure to enter the market and short without hesitation.
💰Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate at 3350 points, profit target is around 3290 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold: Building Momentum for a SurgeThere has been a remarkable negative correlation between DXY and gold prices for a long time. Although this internal logic is short-term disturbed by multiple complex factors, the core correlation has always dominated the market rhythm. Recently, the joint remarks by the U.S. Treasury Secretary and Trump on easing tariff issues may boost the U.S. dollar emotionally in the short term, thereby suppressing the bullish momentum of gold. However, this impact needs to be examined within the macro framework.
Currently, the high uncertainty of the global economy, the intermittent escalation of geopolitical risks, and the reconstruction of inflation expectations in some economies jointly form a long-term supporting logic for the safe-haven attribute of gold. From a trading perspective, the above-mentioned short-term disturbances instead provide a window for strategic allocation — long-term investors who have not yet positioned or exited midway can take the opportunity of market sentiment fluctuations to build positions in batches, with key attention paid to the test opportunities of the critical support range of $3,250-$3,280 short-term traders need to strengthen discipline and strictly follow the established stop-loss and take-profit rules. Given the amplified volatility and enhanced randomness of the current market, it is recommended to appropriately shorten the operation cycle and closely track the intraday dynamics to adjust strategies.
Overall, the marginal changes in tariff policy expectations only constitute small-level fluctuations in the trend process, and the medium-to-long-term upward logic of gold remains undamaged. Investors can grasp structural opportunities under the premise of controlling positions according to their own risk preferences.
XAUUSD
buy@3250-3280
tp:3300-3340
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Gold: Beware of the Impending Mid-to-Long Term Bearish Trend💥 Post-market surprise news shook the gold market:
About a week ago, Trump publicly hinted at “considering firing” Powell. But just after today’s market close, he suddenly walked it back, saying he “never thought about it.”
At the same time, he dropped signals of easing trade tensions — this combo crushed gold’s safe-haven sentiment, causing a gap-down open that nearly broke below 3300!
🗣 Looks like Trump might be happily trading gold himself! 😂
Now, gold has recovered most of that drop and filled the gap, so this round of quick rebound profits is mostly over.
📉 What’s next? Strategy outlook:
🔺 Short-term resistance to watch:
Key level at 3400
If broken, 3420–3440 is a strong short-entry zone
If price pushes further, consider scaling into shorts between $3440–3540, targeting $3268
🔻 Short-term support:
A gap still exists around 3313
If price fails to break above 3440, apart from shorting near 3420, watch for buying opportunities near 3300
📉 Mid-term view:
If gold climbs past 3440 again this week and holds, expect a mid-term correction
Mid-term targets: 3190–3128
A drop below 3000 is not out of the question — the rally from 2000 to 3500 is simply too steep!
🧭 In summary: The rebound opportunity is nearly over. Don’t chase blindly at these highs — the market is entering a highly volatile decision zone. We could be looking at bull traps followed by a meaningful correction.
🎯 Long positions — manage your rhythm!
If price shows signs of exhaustion or stalls in the 3400–3440 zone,
🔔 Take profits promptly to avoid giving gains back!
If a clear breakout fails, it’s time to switch back to shorts and follow the trend.
4/22 Gold Trading StrategyGold continued its upward movement yesterday. Short positions around 3380 yielded limited gains, while those near 3410 are currently underwater. Many traders may be in a similar position, and I want to emphasize: there’s no need to panic—today offers a strong opportunity for the bears.
Technically, gold is now in the final stage of a five-wave upward structure . The bullish momentum is fading. The remaining upside is likely limited to within $50 , while the downside potential could exceed $80. In short, there’s an 80%+ chance of a pullback or consolidation today, offering a solid exit or profit opportunity for short positions.
The price is expected to retrace below 3360, and once profit-taking begins, the decline may accelerate.
Trading Strategy for Today:
Sell between 3450–3480
Buy between 3330–3310
Trade flexibly within 3440–3400 / 3410–3355