XAU/USDGold (XAU/USD) is currently showing bearish momentum on the 5-minute chart. Based on the recent price action and my analysis, a sell zone has been identified.
Key Points:
Sell Zone: The highlighted area above indicates strong resistance, where price is expected to face selling pressure.
Bearish Trend Confirmation: Price has consistently respected the downward trend, creating lower highs and lower lows.
Entry Point: A potential short trade can be considered near the resistance zone (red area), with confirmation from candlestick patterns or additional bearish signals.
Target Levels:
First Target: $2,620.
Second Target: $2,600 (depending on market momentum).
Stop Loss: Place stop-loss just above the resistance zone to manage risk effectively.
💡 Strategy:
This setup aligns with the current bearish sentiment in the market. Traders are advised to wait for proper confirmations before entering a trade.
📉 What do you think? Let me know your thoughts or if you see an alternate perspective!
Xauusdshort
XAUUSD - Todays PlanWe are back after the festive period! Here is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for after the Holiday season and start of the New Year.
Let’s take a step back and take a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we are attaching the long-term overview on the pair.
We are still following the sell bias we have published on November 27th.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2635 .
Scenario 1: SELLS from 2636 or 2630
That would confirm our pullback to the upside and breaking below 2630 would give us an opportunity to drop back down to 2611 or 2604 which is still one of our major Key Levels. Next we would be targeting a very important KL (Key Level) 2590.
Scenario 2: BUYS from 2645
We broke above 2636 and are trading above it. We should see more upside towards 2645 potentially reaching and breaking 2660. If 2660 is broken, it would invalidate our long-term analysis on XAUUSD.
Personal opinion:
We are still extremely bearish on XAUUSD. Safe sells would be placed at breaks of 2630 and we could potentially reach our target today (2611 - 2604). On the other hand if we start breaking above 2636 and breaking 2645, we would be looking to finally change our long-term bias and look for further buys reaching 2714 again.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking below 2630 would confirm sells down to 2611 - 2604.
- XAUUSD breaking above 2645 would confirm further buys up to 2660.
- DXY is still holding strength and shows no signs of stopping.
Thank you everyone for your amazing support lately. We will continue to provide value to you.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Gold Roadmap==>Short-term!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($2,670-$2,653) and near 50_SMA(Daily) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that Gold has finished the main wave 3 , and we should wait for the main wave 4 and correction .
I expect Gold to rise again after touching the Uptrend lines or after approaching the Support zone($2,639-$2,631) .
⚠️Note: First, Short position, then Long position.
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($2,639-$2,631), we should expect Gold to fall further.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Price Eyes 2653 Before Expected DeclineGold Technical Analysis
The price is approaching the resistance level at 2,653. A 4-hour candle closing above this level will confirm further bullish momentum, potentially pushing the price toward 2,665.
Alternatively, if the price stabilizes below 2,653, it is expected to decline to 2,636. A 1-hour candle closing below 2,636 will strengthen a bearish trend, targeting 2,623.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2640
Resistance Levels: 2653, 2665, 2678
Support Levels: 2636, 2623, 2603
Trend Outlook:
Bullish Trend: Above 2,653
Bearish Trend: Below 2,636
Levont - XAU/USD: Testing Key ResistanceXAU/USD Analysis (Gold Spot/USD)
📊 Timeframes Analyzed:
- 1H Chart:
The price is currently trading at $2,657 , consolidating near the key resistance zone between $2,659 and $2,660 . This area aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level , which has historically acted as a strong supply zone. Price action shows multiple attempts to break above this level, but bearish pressure has kept it contained so far.
A potential rejection here could lead to a pullback toward the $2,654-$2,650 support range , while a breakout above $2,660 could trigger a bullish continuation toward $2,666 .
- 5m Chart:
Zooming in, the price is moving within a rising channel , showing short-term bullish momentum. However, the channel's upper boundary aligns with the higher timeframe resistance zone ( $2,659-$2,660 ), suggesting that the bullish move may face exhaustion soon. A rejection from this level could result in a breakdown of the channel and a retest of lower supports around $2,652-$2,650 .
🔑 Key Levels:
- Resistance Zone: $2,659 - $2,660
- Support Levels: $2,654 and $2,650
📈 Outlook:
The current price action suggests that gold is at a critical juncture:
- Bullish Scenario:
- A breakout above the resistance zone at $2,660 (confirmed by strong candle closures and volume spikes) could lead to a continuation toward higher targets like $2,666 or $2,670 .
- This scenario would align with the broader bullish sentiment seen in recent sessions.
- Bearish Scenario:
- If the price fails to break above $2,660 and shows signs of rejection (e.g., long upper wicks or bearish engulfing patterns), we could see a pullback toward immediate support levels at $2,654 or $2,650 .
- A breakdown below $2,650 could open the door for further downside toward $2,644 .
💡 Note: Watch for confirmation signals such as volume spikes or clear candlestick patterns before entering trades.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis:
Positive Factors Supporting Gold:
- Global Economic Uncertainty:
Concerns about slowing global growth and geopolitical tensions (e.g., ongoing instability in Eastern Europe) are driving demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
- Weaker U.S. Dollar:
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has shown signs of weakness recently due to expectations that the Federal Reserve may pause rate hikes in early 2025. A weaker dollar typically supports gold prices as it becomes cheaper for holders of other currencies.
- Seasonal Demand:
January often sees increased demand for gold due to seasonal factors such as jewelry purchases in Asian markets and portfolio rebalancing by institutional investors.
Risks/Negative Factors for Gold:
- Hawkish Federal Reserve Policy:
Despite speculation about a pause in rate hikes, any unexpected hawkish commentary from the Fed in its upcoming January meeting could strengthen the dollar and pressure gold prices downward.
- Profit-Taking Near Resistance:
With gold nearing key resistance levels ( $2,660 ), short-term traders may take profits, leading to temporary pullbacks.
- Equity Market Recovery:
If global equity markets continue their recovery into early 2025, it could reduce demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Xauusd sell signal Gold price reverses earlier gains and returns to the red near $2,650 in Friday's European trading. US President Biden discussed contingency plans to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities, which helped Gold price sustain its upswing. But sellers returned amid profit-taking ahead of top-tier US PMI data.
Xauusd sell 2654
Support 2630
Support 2620
GOLD. Approaching the zone of the beginning of sales GOLD. Approaching the zone of the beginning of sales
Current Structure:
The upward correction is approaching the selling zone around 2637 USD/oz (labeled as “sell zone”).
The trend line below keeps the structure within the expected decline.
The zone of interest for a potential decline is labeled with a target level at 2548 USD/oz.
Key factors:
The 4-hour EMAs (exponential averages) are crossing and acting as resistance. This strengthens the probability of a decline.
The 61.8% Fibonacci 61.8% also coincides with the sell zone, confirming its significance.
Prediction:
If the price reaches 2637 USD/oz, there is a high probability of a reversal and the beginning of the decline.
The target is 2548 USD/oz.
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XAUUSD - what will happen before the Holiday season?Here is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for before the Holiday season starts.
Let’s take a step back and take a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we are attaching the long-term overview on the pair.
We are still following the sell bias we have published.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2625 with lower volume than usual.
Scenario 1: SELLS from 2620
That would confirm our pullback to the upside and breaking below 2620 would give us an opportunity to drop back down to 2604 or 2600 flat. Next we would be targeting a very important KL (Key Level) 2590.
Scenario 2: BUYS from 2638
We broke above 2638 and are trading above it. We should see more upside potentially reaching new highs at around 2666 which was also an important KL (Key Level) before.
Personal opinion:
The direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. A safe sell trade could be taken at 2620 or a safe buy at the breaks of 2638. Be patient and stay tuned for updates on this pair. For now we are sticking to the sell bias from the long-term overview.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking below 2620 would confirm sells down to 2604 - 2600.
- XAUUSD breaking above 2638 would confirm further buys up to 2666.
- Volume is lower as the business year is coming to an end and Holiday season is about to start.
Thank you everyone for your amazing support lately. We will continue to provide value to you. Happy Holidays!
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Gold Spot Analysis (1H Timeframe)Gold is currently testing a strong resistance zone around $2,658 - $2,676. This level has historically acted as a significant barrier, with prior attempts to break through resulting in sharp reversals.
Key points to note:
The resistance zone is clearly defined, and price action shows hesitation near this level.
A potential rejection from this zone could lead to a pullback towards the support levels at $2,637 and further down to $2,619, as indicated by the green target areas.
On the other hand, a breakout above $2,676 with strong momentum could signal a bullish continuation, invalidating the resistance.
Trading Plan:
Watch for bearish candlestick patterns or confirmation signals near resistance for potential short entries.
If entering short, aim for the support targets at $2,637 and $2,619, keeping the stop-loss just above $2,676.
In case of a breakout, wait for a retest of the resistance zone as support before considering long entries.
📊 Risk management remains key—always trade with a clear plan and disciplined execution.
Gold price forecast: XAU is on the cusp of a strong breakoutGold price has had an exceptional year in 2024; rallying by over 25% year to date. So exceptional was its performance that it hit a fresh all-time high at $2,790 an ounce in late October. It has since erased some of those gains as a hawkish Fed weighed on the precious metal in favor of the US dollar and interest-yielding assets like the US Treasuries. Last week, the bullion dropped to a one-month low at $2,583 before rebounding to trade at $2,624 as at the time of writing. The metal may trade within a range as investors await fresh catalysts. A look at its daily chart shows the 20 and 50-day EMAs joining at $2,640. ...
XAUUSD SellFrom a technical standpoint, I believe we are in for a long ride down on gold.
This play takes us only to 2,386, but I believe we will end up around 2,150.
On the daily we have a shallow fib retracement of less than 23.6 with a stall out and weekly resistance that formed. I anticipate price to travel back to at least the daily 38.2 with potential for a deeper retracement before we can look at next potential move.
Gold Trading Strategies 2025/1/2Gold is currently forming an irregular head and shoulders bottom pattern on the 30-minute chart. It is now at a horizontal resistance zone (2632-2638), with key support at 2628-2621. If the support within this triangle consolidation area holds, the focus will shift to a potential breakout above the resistance. Over time, the probability of a breakout is likely to increase.
Therefore, the main focus for today's trades is on buying in the 2628-2618 range. During the New York session, the strategy should favor long positions. The key resistance today and tomorrow is around 2640, with support at 2623.
Next week, the focus will shift to the resistance zone at 2652-2661, with support needing close attention in the 2632-2623 area.
Today's and Tomorrow's Trading Strategy:
Buy at 2624-2618
Sell at 2644-2648
Based on the chart, here’s a potential trade setup for **gold Based on the chart, here’s a potential trade setup for **gold (XAU/USD)**:
**Key Levels:**
- **Resistance Zone:** Around 2,640-2,645 (gray area in the chart).
- **First Support Level:** 2,620.
- **Second Support Level:** 2,610.
- **Deeper Target:** Below 2,610, likely toward 2,600.
---
**Trade Setup (Sell):**
1. **Entry:**
- Wait for a bearish rejection near the 2,640-2,645 resistance zone. Look for signs like a bearish engulfing candle or wicks rejecting the resistance.
2. **Stop Loss:**
- Place your stop loss slightly above the resistance zone at around 2,650 to protect against false breakouts.
3. **Take Profit Targets:**
- **1st Target:** 2,620 (Support zone).
- **2nd Target:** 2,610 (Deeper support).
- **3rd Target (Optional):** 2,600 if the price breaks below 2,610 with strong momentum.
---
Alternate Scenario (If Resistance Breaks):**
- If gold breaks and closes above 2,645 on the 1-hour chart, this would invalidate the sell setup.
- Look for a potential **buy opportunity** on a pullback to 2,640 with a target of 2,660.
---
**Tips for Execution:**
- **Confirmation:** Wait for confirmation (candlestick patterns or momentum indicators like RSI divergence) before entering.
- **Risk Management:** Use a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure profitability.
- **Monitor News:** Be aware of economic news that could impact gold (e.g., USD strength or weakness).
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Gold Pattern FormationThis commodity has been forming a rising flag for the past few days (which IMO is a strong indicator of a bullish momentum.
I was waiting for the price to hit the bearish order block at 2629 with the SL at 2640 but my entry will be at 2620, SL at 2635 and targets at 2581 and 2535.
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at anypoint.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 2586.00 or Before
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Fundamental Outlook 📰 Economic Factors
US Interest Rate Hikes: The Federal Reserve's potential rate hikes in 2025 could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it less attractive to investors.
Stronger US Dollar: A stronger US dollar could make gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, potentially reducing demand.
Improving Global Economic Growth: If global economic growth improves, investors may shift their focus away from safe-haven assets like gold.
Sentiment Analysis
Reduced Investor Appetite: If investor appetite for gold decreases, it could lead to reduced demand and lower prices.
Increased Gold ETF Outflows: Increased outflows from gold ETFs could indicate reduced investor interest in gold.
Other Factors
Increased Gold Supply: An increase in gold supply due to increased mining production or recycling could lead to lower prices.
Cryptocurrency Competition: Increased competition from cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin could reduce demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Gold short position XAUUSD - Medium TermOANDA:XAUUSD
#Gold #XAUUSD has been declining since March, and has shown an accelerated move to the downside (mid april to mid may) signaling a short position. After almost a month of moving side ways and failing to reclaim above the broken trendline, a bearish continuation is now in play aiming at 1721 and 1687
The third continuation wave should bring the price lower to these levels.
Short position can be taken between 1829 - 1845 $
TP1 1721 $
TP2 1687 $
SL = 1D close above 1880 $
Risk/Reward = 2.9
GOLD / Consolidation Near Resistance Ahead of Year-End MovesGold Technical Analysis
The price is about to reach the resistance line which is 2636 and then will consolidate between 2636 and 2620 until a breakout occurs.
If the price breaks above 2638 with a 4-hour candle close, it signals a continuation of the bullish trend toward 2653.
Conversely, stability below 2620 could drive the price down to 2605.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2628
Resistance Levels: 2636, 2645, 2653
Support Levels: 2620, 2605, 2591
Trend Outlook:
Bearish below 2620
Bullish above 2623