Gold is still in a long term uptrend.At the beginning of the trading session on December 19 (US time), the world gold price continued to decrease after the US announced the number of unemployment benefit applications was 220,000, down from the forecast of 230,000 applications. This prompted the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the future.
Previously, gold investors were disappointed when the Fed sent out an unfavorable signal right after the monetary policy meeting on December 18. The US Central Bank issued a new forecast, showing that there will be 2 rounds of 25 basis point interest rate cuts next year.
According to independent metal trader Tai Wong, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell revealed that he will slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the context of persistent inflation.
This message from the Fed will make the gold price trend worse in the long term.
Multinational investment bank Goldman Sachs predicts that demand for gold will remain strong as central banks seek to diversify their reserves, especially after Russia's assets are frozen in 2022.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2607 - 2609🔥
💵 TP1: 2600
💵 TP2: 2590
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2615
Xauusdshort
#GOLD READY FOR A PULL BACK ...XAU/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near resistance, suggesting a potential pullback could be on the horizon. Traders should keep an eye on key levels for confirmation, as the price could retest lower support zones. A retracement here might offer fresh buying opportunities if the overall uptrend remains intact. Stay alert for breakout or reversal signals to plan your next move effectively!
Will the interest rate cut in late 2024 happen? XAU UP OR DOWN ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 12/16 - 12/20/2024
🔥 World situation:
Although gold posted some losses, it remains up nearly 1% for the week, supported by a mix of US economic data. While inflation figures were varied, the latest Initial Jobless Claims report strengthened investor confidence in a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Attention now shifts to the Fed’s December 17-18 policy meeting, with traders pricing in a 93% likelihood of a 25 basis point cut, according to CBOT data. Following the announcement, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference for insights into the policy direction for 2025.
🔥 Identify:
H4 is seeing price close to the bullish trendline - which will be validating the last rate cut of the year. There will be some upside but it will still be difficult to break above the 2723 price zone
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2678, $2723
Support : $2613, $2590, $2535
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Xauusd sell Gold resumes its decline after the early advance and trades below $2,600 early in the American session. Stronger than anticipated US data and recent central banks' outcomes fuel demand for the US Dollar. XAU/USD nears its weekly low at $2,582.93.
Gold now sell 2592
Support 2580
Support 2570
Resistance 2600
Negative News - XAU Continues Bearish Cycle ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounds from a one-month low near the $2,584-$2,583 region seen during the Asian session on Thursday, halting a two-day losing streak. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears, combined with the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish shift on Wednesday, have weighed on global risk sentiment. The resulting declines in equity markets have driven safe-haven demand for gold.
However, the Fed's signal of a more cautious approach to rate cuts next year has kept US Treasury yields near multi-month highs and supported the US Dollar (USD), which remains close to a two-year peak. These factors could limit gold's upside, urging caution for bullish traders. Market participants now await US economic data, including the final Q3 GDP figures and Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, for short-term trading cues.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The FED cut 0.25 points as expected, however the statements about future plans are very negative for the market, along with the end of the year transactions will be liquidated by investors causing continued selling pressure.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2633 - $2635 SL $2640
TP1: $2625
TP2: $2610
TP3: $2600
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2585 - $2583 SL $2578
TP1: $2595
TP2: $2607
TP3: $2624
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Drops $65 as Bearish Momentum Dominates Post-Fed DecisionGold Technical Analysis
Gold prices dropped approximately $65 yesterday following the Federal Reserve's rate decision. The market continues to exhibit bearish momentum as long as it trades below 2623 and 2612, targeting 2585. A break below 2585, confirmed by a 1-hour or 4-hour candle close, could push the price further down to 2558.
The gold market is expected to remain volatile, with the upcoming GDP report playing a crucial role:
If GDP comes in below the expected 2.8%, this could support a bullish move.
If GDP exceeds 2.8%, this could reinforce the bearish trend.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2612
Resistance Levels: 2623, 2638, 2653
Support Levels: 2585, 2572, 2558
Trend Outlook
Bearish below 2623 and 2612
Bullish above 2623
#XAUUSD 1HBased on the 1-hour analysis, bearish momentum is currently dominant, and the price is likely to reach 2545.00 in the near term.
I am personally monitoring the resistance zone around 2635.00–2640.00 for potential selling opportunities.
Target levels: 2620.00, 2600.00, 2590.00, and 2560.00.
For now, avoid placing any pending orders. Ensure strong bearish confirmation before entering a trade.
Gold Trading Strategy 12/19Yesterday's interest rate decision caused gold to break below 2600, reaching around 2580. Currently, the price has rebounded to 2610, but 2600 remains a key support/resistance level, and it’s expected that gold may test this level again.
Today's trading strategy will focus on the 2693-2623 range.
Look for shorting opportunities within the 2618-2628 range
If the price drops into the 2603-2593 range, consider going long
XAUUSD - sells in play?Here is our in-depth view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair updated from the previous one.
Last time, we took a step back and took a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective (H4 time-frame). We are still using H4 to show you the sells we have in play.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2670s .
If you remember our previous long-term view on OANDA:XAUUSD you should remember that after hitting the top of the area at around 2714 (a bit higher) we were automatically looking for sells. We are currently holding a few sell positions at 2680s as the price failed to break higher.
Personal opinion:
The direction for now is bearish in our opinion. We are looking for sells and we do believe gold could see some massive sell-offs in December before the year of 2024 ends.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD completed the predicted long-term move to the upside.
- XAUUSD sells were called at the top of the area (2714).
- XAUUSD failed to break higher and is following the long-term analysis.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
#GOLD NEXT TARGET?The Fed is set to cut interest rates for the third time in a row, by 25 basis points.
➡️➡️- Rate estimates in the Fed's "dot plot" from September forecast 100 basis points of cuts in 2025.
➡️➡️- Wall Street is predicting fewer cuts next year, for a total of 75 basis points. And some are predicting just 50 basis points, a level consistent with swap market pricing.
➡️➡️- Fewer cuts in 2025 are also consistent with the U.S. economy proving more resilient than officials expected just a few months ago. Recent data show inflation is falling more slowly than officials had expected and the labor market is not weakening as much as feared.
➡️➡️- The most important piece to watch is Fed Chairman Powell's remarks and press briefings.
#XAUUSD 1HXAUUSD Based on the 1-hour analysis, I am observing the resistance zone around 2660.00 and 2665.00 for potential selling opportunities.
Target levels: 2655.00, 2640.00, 2625.00, 2614.00, and 2605.00.
Key pattern: Bearish engulfing near the resistance area.
Important note: Avoid placing any pending orders at this time. Wait for strong bearish confirmation signals before entering a trade.
If the price successfully closes above 2672.00, it is recommended to avoid taking sell positions.
Gold Influenced by Various Factors, Focus on The Fed's DecisionGold prices need to clear $2,664-$2,664 levels for investors to gain control of the short-term market.
From a technical perspective, any subsequent up-move might face hurdles near the weekly highs, around the $2,664-$2,666 area touched on Monday, ahead of the $2,677 area.
A sustained strength beyond the latter should allow Gold prices to reclaim the $2,700 round figure.
The up-move could extend towards the monthly swing highs, around the $2,726 zone, above which XAU/USD is likely to resume its upward trajectory.
On the flip side, the overnight swing low, around the $2,633 region, now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of the monthly trough, around the $2,614 zone.
This is followed by the $2,600 level, which, if broken decisively, will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and make Gold prices vulnerable to extending the recent sharp decline from the one-month highs touched last week.
XAUUSD TODAY CHART OUTLOOKBased on the analysis of this chart, the market demonstrates a cyclical trend of rising and falling movements. This pattern of fluctuations presents opportunities for significant earnings, as it allows investors to capitalize on both upward and downward trends. Understanding these market dynamics and strategically timing investments during these shifts can lead to substantial financial gains. By leveraging this predictable volatility, individuals or institutions can position themselves to maximize profits in both bullish and bearish market conditions.
Accumulated gold - information about interest rates is comming ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) inch higher during Tuesday's Asian session but struggle to sustain momentum, hovering near the one-week low reached on Monday. Market participants remain cautious, awaiting the conclusion of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting on Wednesday before making new directional moves.
Attention will center on the Fed's policy statement, the updated dot plot, and remarks from Chair Jerome Powell during the post-meeting press conference. Investors are keen for insights into the future path of rate cuts, which could influence the US Dollar (USD) and provide clearer direction for gold prices.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The market is currently waiting for important information to lower interest rates tomorrow. The positivity will return when it reduces another 0.25 points tomorrow.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2678 - $2680 SL $2685
TP1: $2670
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2663 - $2665 SL $2668 scalping
TP1: $2655
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2630
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2626 - $2624 SL $2619
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2648
TP3: $2655
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Buying opportunity at 2643-2628Gold is currently facing some selling pressure near 2648, but the overall trend remains bullish with a high probability of breaking through. In the coming days, prices are likely to rise above 2660, making buying the primary trading direction for now.
In a weak market, gold may fluctuate multiple times within the 2643-2628 range to build up momentum. In a strong market, prices could rally after just one retest today.
However, there’s also a possibility of breaking below the support. If that happens, the likelihood of a short-term drop to 2580 will increase significantly.
Gold range fluctuations, short-term profit strategyOn the daily level, the pressure is at 2665-2675, and the support below is around 2640. If it continues to weaken, the rebound may not be too large, but it is a small deviation, so it is not easy to chase the short for the time being, waiting for the rebound to go short. If it breaks 2640 further below, then it will be a small rebound and go short, but for now, it is still tentatively set at 2640-2675 for the beginning of the week! Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on rebound shorting and callback longing. The short-term focus on the upper side is 2670-2675 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2640-2643 support.