Gold: Directional Break ImminentYesterday’s market remained calm without any significant swings, unlike the strong movements we’ve seen previously. Today, however, appears to be a critical turning point as the market prepares for a directional breakout.
📊 Technical Overview:
Gold is showing signs of retesting the resistance around 3240, while short-term support lies at 3194–3188. If this resistance holds and the price fails to break above, a double-top pattern may form—potentially triggering a major drop between Wednesday and Thursday.
If the price breaks above 3240, there may be around $30 of additional upside, but this is likely to mark the formation of a short-term top, followed again by a decline.
🎯 Key Bearish Target Zones: 3137-3106
Whether it breaks upward or downward, a bearish opportunity is building. Stay patient, follow the price action, and avoid emotional decisions to catch the move at the right moment.
Xauusdshort
Gold: It may Fall below 3180 todayOver the weekend, Trump announced a pause on tariffs for popular consumer electronics, prompting gold to gap down to 3210 at today’s open;
✅ Our recommended short entries at 3230–3260 are already in profit;
New semiconductor tariff announcements are due during the U.S. session today — the key driver for gold’s next move;
Given the fragile U.S. political/economic backdrop, escalating tariff conflict is unlikely, increasing the chance of bearish impact on gold;
With gold already trading at a premium, any "tariff relief" narrative will likely trigger speculative sell-offs;
If you're holding short positions, consider being patient — avoid premature exits due to emotional reaction to minor pullbacks.
Maintain key short entry zone: 3230 – 3260;
Expect gold to test below 3180 if market sentiment shifts
Bullish momentum is strong, keep an eye on key positions
📌 Driving events
Last week, China imposed a 125% tariff on US goods in retaliation for the US's 145% tariff, but then hinted that it would not respond to any further escalation of tariffs. Last weekend, President Donald Trump proposed the idea of levying a separate 20% tariff on Chinese semiconductors and electronics, suggesting that his strategy may shift from comprehensive tariffs to more targeted trade measures.
📊Commentary and analysis
Although there was a technical correction in the 1-hour gold trend, gold once retreated below 3197 to around 3195, but soon it was supported by bargain hunting again, suggesting that the underlying logic of this century's market is rock solid. When Fed officials are about to speak intensively, March PPI data hides inflation mystery, and geopolitical black swans continue to hover, every pullback of gold is accumulating power for the next round of charge. Historical experience shows that when there is a century-long divergence between physical assets and financial assets, it often indicates a large transfer of wealth at the civilization level.
Therefore, the gold price and the buying volume are maintained, and the upward trend continues: 3250, 3260
💰 Strategy package
Upper pressure - 3260-3280
Lower support - 3210-3200
Start time: Continue to go long near 3220
Take profit near 3240
Stop loss 3210
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
Gold’s decline is not over yet, aim at: 3160-3150Gold fell below the 3200 mark several times during the test. Although it recovered above 3200 several times, the rebound momentum is gradually weakening, giving short sellers the opportunity to counterattack.
From the perspective of the morphological structure, gold has perfectly constructed an arc top structure, laying a solid foundation for gold to usher in a retracement at any time. The 4-hour candle chart shows that the fall has just begun, so gold still has plenty of room for retracement. At present, gold has rebounded slightly after touching around 3200, but if it cannot break through the 3216-3220 zone during the rebound, it will further confirm the downward trend of gold, then gold will inevitably retreat to the 3160-3150 zone, and in the process of decline, once the profit chips are cashed in or even panic selling is triggered, gold may even have the opportunity to retreat to the 3130-3120 zone!
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, I still advocate shorting gold in batches. The decline of gold has not ended. Let us look forward to gold bringing us huge profits during the retracement!
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4/14 Gold Trading StrategiesLast Friday, gold showed a strong unidirectional rally followed by tight-range consolidation at high levels. Our bearish-biased strategy yielded limited profits, and some traders may still be holding trapped positions due to delayed exits. However, structurally, gold’s current posture signals early signs of exhaustion, and a pullback remains likely.
🔥【Key Headlines to Watch】
🇺🇸 The U.S. has suspended tariffs on popular consumer electronics, causing gold to gap down by $30 at today’s open.
🛠️ Trump is expected to unveil details on semiconductor tariffs — a reduction or pause will likely pressure gold lower.
💬 Two Fed officials speak today:
Barkin: Speech on “Navigating Through Economic Fog”
Cook: Remarks on the Fed’s evolving role in the economy.
📊 The NY Fed 1-Year Inflation Expectations report will be released — market expectations are bearish for gold.
🔍【Technical Outlook】
Gold remains near historic highs, trading at an extended premium;
The recent rally has been largely driven by speculative inflows, not solid demand;
If sentiment flips or profit-taking begins, a sharp sell-off could follow;
Structurally, gold appears to be forming a top — favor short setups at elevated levels.
🎯【Trade Setup for Today】
🔻Sell Zone: 3230 – 3250
Look to short near resistance on failed breakouts
🔺Buy Zone: 3128 – 3104
Consider long entries only on healthy pullbacks to strong support
🔄Range Zones:
3220 – 3195
3158 – 3206
Tactical range trading — adapt to intraday momentum shifts
ONGOING TRADE IN XAUUSD(GOLD)🚨 **XAUUSD – Major Rejection Incoming?** 🚨
📉 *Golden Setup Alert – April 14, 2025*
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently showing **clear signs of exhaustion** at the top of a well-respected ascending channel on the 4H chart. After a sharp bullish rally, price is now facing **resistance near $3,235**, failing to break higher and showing early signs of a potential reversal. 👀
### 🔍 Technical Breakdown:
- 🔺 **Ascending Channel:** Price has been respecting the rising channel structure — higher highs & higher lows.
- 📌 **Rejection at Upper Boundary:** The latest candle suggests **bearish pressure** right at the top of the channel.
- 📉 **Expected Retracement:** The projection indicates a move toward **$3,135**, then potentially **$3,100** — a key demand zone and midpoint of the channel.
- 🔄 **Break Below $3,135** would confirm bearish momentum.
---
### 📲 *Trader’s Takeaway:*
Now is the time to **watch closely for confirmation** of a reversal. If bearish momentum kicks in, we could see a clean short opportunity all the way to the mid-channel zone. Great R:R setup loading!
💡 *Risk Management is key — patience pays profits!*
3270, waiting for new ATH gold price⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices eased during Monday's Asian session as risk sentiment improved, prompting a shift away from safe-haven assets. The upbeat market tone followed Wall Street’s strong rebound on Friday and encouraging developments in the ongoing US–China tariff dispute, temporarily reducing upward pressure on the yellow metal.
Last week, China retaliated against the US’s 145% tariff hike by imposing 125% duties on American goods but later signaled it would not respond to any additional escalations. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump floated the idea of targeting Chinese semiconductors and electronics with a separate 20% tariff—indicating a possible shift in strategy from across-the-board tariffs to more focused trade measures.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price, buying volume maintained, continuing the upward trend: 3260, 3270
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3270- 3272 SL 3277
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3240
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3168 - $3166 SL $3161
TP1: $3175
TP2: $3190
TP3: $3200
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Risks gradually accumulate, and short gold in batchesAt present, the highest price of gold has reached around 3244, but it soon fell back to below 3240; and the PPI data is obviously bullish for gold, but gold has not shown a significant upward fluctuation, indicating that as gold rises sharply, market sentiment tends to be more cautious, so that liquidity is insufficient. So from this point of view, gold still has a need for a correction!
In the past three trading days, the increase in gold has reached $270. So even if gold remains strong at present, we should not blindly chase more gold. On the contrary, we can still gradually establish short positions in batches. As long as we strictly control the number of transactions in the transaction, we don’t have to worry too much about the transaction risk!
Let us wait patiently for the market to gradually accumulate risk sentiment. Once it accumulates to the critical point, it only takes one opportunity for gold to collapse soon.
SHORT ON GOLD (XAU/USD)Gold has found a ceiling and has given a bit of a double top with a change of market structure from up to down.
Its currently retesting the supply area that provided the choc (change of character)
I will be selling gold to the next support level looking to make a $50 move which is 500 pips.
$XAUUSD Gold | Are We Looking at a Local Top Here?Looking at Gold again, I’m going a bit out on a limb and saying: There’s a good chance we’ve just seen a local top — at least for the coming weeks.
Last time I was pretty spot on with my target after being wrong about the top. I wanted to see $2,955, and Gold ended up reaching $2,956.5 — missing my level by just $1.50. Totally fine, especially considering the huge rally that followed.
But now it looks like that rally might be losing steam. We’re currently trading between the 127.2% and 138% Fibonacci extension levels, specifically between $3,225 and $3,250. That’s a zone I see as highly likely for a short-term correction.
Possible downside targets?
First $3,146, then lower at $3,034, and ideally even a move back toward $2,900.
Of course, a lot will depend on macro news, especially from the US — tariffs, geopolitical risks, and overall market sentiment. If Gold pushes above $3,300, then this whole scenario gets invalidated and I’d switch to an alternative setup that I haven’t detailed here yet.
The RSI is also sitting deep in overbought territory, with multiple bearish divergences building — which supports the idea of a pullback.
But as always: Just because the RSI is overbought doesn’t guarantee an immediate drop. We still need price confirmation.
GOLD 2 Excepted Scenarios Very Clear , Which One You Prefer ? Here is my opinion on GOLD Chart , the price broke the highest Res , and continue to upside , so i think we have 2 ways in this pair right now , if the price go back to retest the broken res area and give us a good bullish Price Action we can enter a buy trade with smal lot size cuz the price at very high price , and if we have a clear closure below it , we can enter a sell trade with 500 pips target .
gold on bullish reversal#XAUUSD trying to form new pattern on bearish, but price needs to fall below 3210 before the sell is possible.
The H1 candle shows a reversal on buy but firstly price needs to retrace and close above 3229 on H4 before buying, target 3252, stop loss 3215.
Below 3210 holds sell, Target 3196-3177.
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, I break down the key forces pushing gold to record highs. Learn how factors such as US-China trade tensions, global inflation pressures, and geopolitical uncertainty—combined with a weakening US Dollar and safe-haven demand—are reshaping the gold market.
In this quick analysis, we cover:
🔹 Inflation & Economic Uncertainty: How rising prices and central bank policies continue to drive interest in gold.
🔹 Trade Tensions & Geopolitical Risks: The impact of US-China disputes and global instability on market sentiment.
🔹 US Dollar Weakness: Why a softer USD is making gold a more attractive asset for international investors.
🔹 Technical Insights: Pinpointing key price levels and exploring potential trend continuations or reversals ahead of US retail sales data.
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Constantly assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
#GoldMarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradeTensions #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading
Resistance Holds at $3,245; Bearish Targets in FocusGold (XAU/USD) has recently encountered resistance near the $3,245 level, failing to sustain a breakout during the Asian session. The market opened with a downside gap, which was subsequently filled, indicating a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers.
Currently, price action suggests a potential liquidity sweep above recent highs before any significant downward movement. Traders should monitor for signs of stop-loss hunts or false breakouts, as these could precede a bearish reversal.
The short-term outlook remains bearish, with the previous all-time high (ATH) near $3,170 serving as an initial target. A break below this level could open the path towards the $3,000 FVG as well as support zone, aligning with key technical indicators and market sentiment.
It's essential to stay vigilant for any developments in U.S.-China trade relations, as these geopolitical factors continue to influence gold's price dynamics. Adjusting trading strategies in response to such news can help manage risk and capitalize on market movements.
XAUUSD Today's strategyLast week, the price of gold fluctuated sharply. It reached a low of $2,955, a high of $3,245, and finally closed at $3,238. The maximum cumulative increase throughout the week was $290, and the trading activity in the market reached a new high for the current stage.
This rally is also extremely rare in the historical price trends of gold over the past few decades. The driving factors are far beyond traditional logic – not only driven by the heightened inflation expectations and the weakening of the US dollar, but also more deeply induced by the intensification of the cracks in the global trade system and the continuous spillover of geopolitical risks. The uncertainty pervading the market has dampened investors' confidence. Central banks and sovereign wealth funds around the world have turned to increasing their holdings of physical gold one after another to avoid the systemic risks of the US dollar and other financial assets.
We maintain our bullish view unchanged. For short-term operations, it is recommended to continue with the strategy of going long on dips. Pay special attention to the key support level of $3,200, and you can consider placing long positions near this price level.
XAUUSD
buy@3210-3220
tp:3250-3260
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Will gold first fall and then rise today?
The gold 1-hour moving average is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross. Now the price is gradually approaching the moving average, but the gold bull trend has not changed for the time being. Patiently wait for the opportunity to adjust. Pay attention to the support near the previous low of 3185. The moving average support has now moved up to the line near 3177. Overall, gold may form a strong support near 3180. For today's gold trend, I personally think it will fall first and then rise.
Golds about to CRASH next and here's why....Gold has been in a sustained uptrend for some time, but it appears we may now be approaching a significant resistance level. I believe the market is either set for a correction or will enter a broad consolidation range, and we are currently trading near the upper boundary of that range.
XAU/USD is about to reach the 3300 - point level.The long-term upward trend remains unchanged. Tariffs are still a major variable causing significant fluctuations in gold.
U.S. Tariff Policies
Since April 9th, the United States has imposed tariffs ranging from 10% to 25% on goods from China, the European Union, Canada, and other regions, covering key sectors such as automobiles, steel, and semiconductors.😒
Countermeasures of Various Countries
China: On April 4th, China announced that it would impose a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting from April 10th. On April 9th, the tariff rate was further increased to 84%, covering all U.S. goods.😠
The European Union: Announced that it would impose a 25% tariff on U.S. motorcycles, diamonds, and other goods starting from May 16th.😤
Canada: Imposed a 25% retaliatory tariff on U.S. automobiles on April 9th, but exempted auto parts.😏
At present, the rise of gold is still driven by the demand for a safe haven. It remains uncertain whether the 104% tariff will actually be implemented. Once relations deteriorate, it will truly be bullish for gold again. In the short term, this is definitely something that needs to be closely monitored.🤔
This upward movement has led to the clearing of many traders' accounts or significant losses 😫. You can follow my signals and gradually recover your losses and achieve profitability 🌟.
💰💰💰 XAUUSD 💰💰💰
🎯 Buy@3220 - 3230
🎯 TP 3270 - 3300
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
Tariffs remain a major driver of XAUUSD swingsThe long-term upward trend remains unchanged. Tariffs are still a major variable causing significant fluctuations in gold.
In April 2025, the global trade war was in a severe situation. The adjustment of the United States' tariff policies triggered a series of countermeasures from various countries. The specific situation is as follows:
U.S. Tariff Policies
Since April 9th, the United States has imposed tariffs ranging from 10% to 25% on goods from China, the European Union, Canada, and other regions, covering key sectors such as automobiles, steel, and semiconductors.😒
Countermeasures of Various Countries
China: On April 4th, China announced that it would impose a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting from April 10th. On April 9th, the tariff rate was further increased to 84%, covering all U.S. goods.😠
The European Union: Announced that it would impose a 25% tariff on U.S. motorcycles, diamonds, and other goods starting from May 16th.😤
Canada: Imposed a 25% retaliatory tariff on U.S. automobiles on April 9th, but exempted auto parts.😏
Impacts of the Trade War
Price Increases: Imported automobiles, electronic products, etc. are likely to increase in price. If U.S. agricultural products are subject to tariffs imposed by China, the prices of items such as meat and edible oil may fluctuate.😫
Employment Market Impact: Enterprises relying on exports may lay off employees. For example, the manufacturing industry in China and European automobile factories are affected. In the United States, certain industries such as agriculture and retail also face pressure.😔
Financial Market Volatility: The global stock market has experienced increased short-term volatility. Investors have shifted to safe-haven assets such as gold and treasury bonds. The stock price of Tesla plummeted by 40% due to tariff policies.😱
Supply Chain Disruption: There may be delays in the delivery of chips and auto parts due to trade barriers. The supply of some imported pharmaceuticals and industrial raw materials may also be affected. The prices of some products on cross-border e-commerce platforms may increase, and the costs of purchasing agents and cross-border logistics will rise.😣
At present, the rise of gold is still driven by the demand for a safe haven. It remains uncertain whether the 104% tariff will actually be implemented. Once relations deteriorate, it will truly be bullish for gold again. In the short term, this is definitely something that needs to be closely monitored.🤔
This upward movement has led to the clearing of many traders' accounts or significant losses 😫. You can follow my signals and gradually recover your losses and achieve profitability 🌟.
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗