GOLD with two probabilities for 10/28/2024GOLD with a high probability to make the decision for 10/28/2024 ✅️ :
🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss.
🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
Xauusdshort
Gold's next probable direction & a safe zone for a Buy entry
I am also starting to see some downturn in Gold and Silver prices, mostly from momentum indicators which simply can't sustain the bullish momentum session after session.
But I don't think its a big correction, only 4% down from the current Gold price, this is a Fib level of support for price but this Fib level also coincides (ties-in) with recent market structure support.
Down below I will give some details of a Gold short I took today in Asia Friday and about 1 hour ago. Interestingly, the Gold price started to slightly sell off Lol, as if I am the only Gold-trader today in the Asia region.
XAUUSD: Head And Shoulders, Continue To SellYesterday, after experiencing a rebound, gold faced resistance again and pulled back, which is largely in line with our expectations, allowing everyone to achieve good profits. Currently, the short-term trend remains downward. As I mentioned yesterday, we are primarily watching the key support zone between 2718 and 2712.
Today, gold touched this support area again and rebounded, but it did not break through the resistance of the downward trend. Therefore, our trading strategy continues to focus on selling.
At the same time, we should closely monitor the performance of the support zone. If this support is effectively breached, I believe the subsequent decline could be significant, and breaking below 2700 is likely, with an expectation to reach below 2690.
This encapsulates my main trading thoughts for the near future.
Continue short-term correction 2709 ! XAU⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) dipped during the Asian session on Friday, reversing part of the previous day's gains but staying within the week's trading range. With less than two weeks to the November 5 US presidential election, polls indicate a close race, adding political uncertainty. Combined with tensions in the Middle East, this uncertainty supports demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
However, the impact is tempered by renewed US Dollar (USD) strength, driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will take a cautious approach to easing policy. Recent US economic data has shown resilience, reducing the likelihood of a large rate cut in November, which supports the USD and pressures gold prices.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
H1 frame continues to adjust slightly downward - expected price range 2709 - 2680 for seller liquidity
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2750 - $2752 SL $2758
TP1: $2740
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2720
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2709 - $2711 SL $2704
TP1: $2718
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2740
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Short gold bravelyBros, I have been optimistic about shorting gold in the past two days. Today, I shorted gold near 2730 and closed the order at 2720, making a profit of 100 pips, which is relatively a good profit.
At present, gold has rebounded to around 2730 again, but judging from the strength of the rebound, it is expected that the rebound space of gold will be relatively limited, and the short-term resistance is in the 2730-2735 area. So for short-term trading, I am still optimistic about shorting gold. I think gold will at least try to test the 2705-2700 area.
Bros, fuck the bull market, let's sell gold happily together!
GOLD ready to sell possibly? shorts from 2,750This Week's Analysis for Gold:
This week, I'm expecting gold to weaken and potentially consolidate. The slight bearish reaction we've observed may indicate that bullish momentum is losing strength. Additionally, with the recent Change of Character (CHOCH) to the downside, an unmitigated 7-hour supply zone has been created, which could prompt a revisit from price.
From that level, I anticipate a potential selling opportunity. Once price taps into this zone, I'll be looking for distribution on the lower timeframe to refine my entry.
Confluences for Gold Sells:
DXY has shown strong bullish movement, and I expect the dollar to keep strengthening.
Gold has shifted to a bearish character, signalling weakness.
A clean, unmitigated supply zone is in place, where price may retrace.
Significant liquidity to the downside and an imbalance that needs filling.
Gold has been heavily bullish and may require a corrective move.
P.S. If this turns out to be a retracement and price continues upward, I’ll look for potential buys at the 2,680 level. Have a great trading week!
Gold Analysis ==>> Bearish Quasimodo(QM) Pattern!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in the ✅ previous post ✅.
Gold is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and inside the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) , and the loss of the Lower line of the Ascending Channel can indicate weakness in the upward movement .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Gold has managed to complete the main wave 5 , and now we have to wait for Corrective Waves .
From the point of view of Technical Analysis , it seems that Gold has succeeded in forming the Bearish Quasimodo(QM) Pattern , which can be another sign of the reduction of gold .
I expect Gold to decline to at least the Support zone($2,720-$2,708) , and if the support zone is broken , we should expect Gold to continue falling to the Next Support zone($2,686-$2,666) .
⚠️Note: If Gold can goes over $2,760, we can expect more pump for Gold.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Week of Consistent Wins: Gold Strategy PositioningThis week’s gold strategy has achieved a remarkable 100% success rate, with those who closely followed the trades seeing a 200% profit—congratulations to everyone on consistent gains! Today marks the final trading day of the week, and this key setup will define our closing profitability for the week.
Fundamental Analysis:
The “U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 19” was a significant bearish driver for gold yesterday, leading to a sharp price drop. This further confirms the strengthening U.S. economy, which continues to weigh on gold. Today’s “October University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Final” will also reflect U.S. economic conditions and likely adds to the bearish sentiment on gold, presenting another trading opportunity.
Technical Analysis:
Although the daily chart previously formed a bullish engulfing pattern, this setup has invalidated as gold prices moved higher, and buying pressure increased. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has ceased its decline and is resuming an upward trajectory in the bullish region, signaling renewed buyer interest.
Today's Strategy:
Based on a combined analysis of fundamental and technical factors, today’s first move is to go long on gold, with a profit target at the 2733-2734 level. After the long position reaches the target, a short position can then be initiated with a profit target between 2720-2718.
Given the complex nature of today's trades, if you require my guidance or wish to join the VIP for more real-time strategies, feel free to reach out!
XAUUSD: Key support 2718-2712As expected, gold rebounded today, reaching a high of around 2743, and then the price fell again. The shorts who entered at high levels made profits again, and everyone made good profits.
The current price is still falling, and the upper resistance is dense. Shorts seem to have become the focus of short-term trading.
From the perspective of pattern construction, there are signs of head and shoulders. If it is formed, then falling below 2700 will become inevitable. 2718-2712 is the support area that needs to be paid attention to.
Gold Trading Strategy: Continued Selling and Rebound ObservationAfter the rebound, gold has dropped again, now breaking below MA60, with short-term moving averages acting as resistance. I believe it’s prudent to continue selling today, with signals already shared at the market open—our regulars have already enjoyed some profits.
With the current rebound, I recommend using MA60 and MA30 as reference prices for selling, targeting around 2712. We can then assess the market reaction before deciding whether to buy back in.
Gold: A Rebound to 2730 is Not a ProblemYesterday, gold experienced a dramatic decline. I'm curious how everyone fared—did you make a profit or incur a loss? If you made money, you can continue to profit today; if you lost, follow my lead today, and I’m sure I can help you.
In scenarios like yesterday's drop, a rebound is inevitable. Remember this: after a significant decline, a rebound will follow, and after a significant rise, a correction will occur. These are major trading opportunities that every trader should seize.
For this rebound, we won’t set overly ambitious targets. Although my psychological expectation is above 2740, I’m not willing to take that risk. I’d prefer to close my buy positions before hitting 2740 and patiently wait for it to rise before considering selling.
That’s all for now. If you want to see more detailed and specific signals, reach out to me, and you'll gain access.
World gold prices recovered slightlyGold prices reversed to increase when receiving information that Russia proposed that BRICS member countries create their own precious metals trading floor.
The news follows a statement adopted by the leaders of BRICS countries on Wednesday, advocating increased precious metal exchanges between members on the basis of common quality standards.
“This mechanism will include the creation of metal price indicators, standards for the production and trade of bullion, recognition of market participants, settlement of bullion,” said Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov. Clearing and auditing in BRICS countries. Participating countries will have a reliable method for stable exchange transactions.”
The Russian Ministry of Finance added that it expects the BRICS precious metals exchange “to become the main regulator of precious metals prices.”
☄️. Important support and resistance levels: The nearest support zone is 2712,000 - 2715,000, while the strong resistance zone is at 2740,000 - 2743,000. If the price surpasses 2750,000, the upward momentum could extend to the highest level from the beginning of the year at 2758,000 and beyond to 2800,000.
XAUUSD: Party is over? SELL!!!Hi traders, even though XAUUSD is still flying high, we are seeing potential consolidation and chart has failed to create another higher peak in M30.
There is potential XAUUSD will pause its bullish rally and reverse price towards 2700 price point.
In the smaller timeframe as shown in the chart, you can see that XAUUSD is already breaking the trendline and have higher chance to continue downside movement
Good luck!
World gold price todayWorld gold costs increased, with spot gold growing through 20.five USD to 2,736.three USD/ounce. Gold futures closing traded at 2,748.four USD/ounce, up 19.four USD as compared to the day gone by morning.
Prices for the yellow steel rose 1% on Thursday and remained close to document highs hit in advance withinside the week, boosted through growing safe-haven call for because of fears of geopolitical tensions.
According to marketplace analyst Carlo Alberto De Casa of Kinesis Money, gold`s restoration from the day gone by's low is a high quality sign confirming the extremely good hobby of buyers in bullion. This professional believes that, withinside the context of a complex political situation, buyers will pour into gold to guard their assets. He brought that robust call for from principal banks is likewise supplying a lift to the treasured steel's rally.
🔴Mid-term: Gold price is still in an uptrend, but the upward momentum shows signs of slowing down due to risk factors.
🔴Short-term: Price forms a sideway zone, suitable for trading strategies based on support and resistance zones.
➡️Buying range: 2712,000 - 2715,000
➡️Selling range: 2740,000 - 2743,000
Sell XAU/USD (Gold) Triangle BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2722
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2702
2nd Support – 2687
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 2744. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
XAU ! 10/24 ! Adjustment and price decreaseXAU / USD trend forecast October 24, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to the $2,736-$2,737 range during the European session, recovering some losses from the previous day’s pullback from a record high. Ongoing Middle East conflicts and uncertainty around the upcoming US Presidential election on November 5 boost demand for the safe-haven asset. Additionally, a slight dip in the US Dollar from its near three-month high and falling US Treasury yields further support gold's upward movement.
Gold price continues to be in the long-term uptrend - however, there needs to be adjustments for the market to stabilize and rebalance. Expected price range 2700 - 2680 in the short term
/// SELL XAU : zone 2740-2743
SL: 2748
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2713)
Safe and profitable trading
XAUUSD: Buy@2716-2700 TP2728-2738Today's fluctuations in gold have been massive, dropping from 2758 to 2708. Anticipating a decline, I mentioned continuing to short in my initial strategy, but I didn't expect the bears to be so aggressive, driving the price down by $50. Given this situation, even if there are sudden negative news reports today, it's unlikely that gold will drop more than $15 again.
Therefore, from now until the U.S. market opens tomorrow, the trading direction should focus on buying. I believe that before Friday's close, the price could at least return to 2732, or even higher. However, when trading, we shouldn’t set our take profit too high; we should leave some buffer space.
The rise should not be abrupt but rather a gradual upward movement. For those who prefer not to trade frequently, after buying, setting the take profit around 2728 should be sufficient. As for future trades, we can decide based on market conditions.
Sell gold again in the 2740-2750 areaBros, yesterday, gold retreated and once fell below 2710, laying a good foundation for the decline. Although gold has rebounded to around 2740 again, compared with the previous period, the attitude of gold rising is not firm, so relatively speaking, the current gold short position is more attractive.
The current rebound of gold may be a trap set to trap more bulls, so I am definitely not willing to go long on gold at present; from the technical structure, gold has signs of building a head and shoulders top in the short term. So in terms of short-term trading, I prefer to short gold. So now we can short gold in batches again in the 2740-2750 area.
Bros, are you optimistic about shorting gold?
Bearish pattern - XAU correction ! 2700⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices are recovering part of Wednesday’s decline from the record high of $2,759 early Thursday. The rebound is supported by a pause in the US Dollar's rise, as US Treasury bond yields stabilize ahead of the preliminary S&P Global US PMI data.
Gold is now awaiting the US PMI data for further direction. The slight pullback in the USD and yields is likely due to improving market sentiment in Asia after Wall Street's tech sell-off. US equity futures are also recovering, helped by Tesla Inc.’s positive earnings report, which provided some relief to investors.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
A HEAD AND SHOULDERS model is forming, long-term H2 frame RSI bearish divergence. Expect gold's correction to approach 2700 - 2680
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2763 - $2765 SL $2770
TP1: $2755
TP2: $2747
TP3: $2740
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2739 - $2741 SL $2744 scalping
TP1: $2735
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2720
Note the support zone: 2680
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2701 - $2703 SL $2696
TP1: $2710
TP2: $2718
TP3: $2725
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Bearish Retracement and Pre-Data PositioningYesterday's sharp bearish move in gold resulted in significant pullbacks, and those who followed the strategy have reaped substantial profits. Congratulations to everyone who acted accordingly. For those still on the sidelines, please carefully review my strategy. When the market reaches the anticipated levels, you must act decisively—hesitation only leads to missed profits.
Fundamental Analysis:
Due to ongoing conflict in the Middle East and significant uncertainty surrounding the U.S. elections, gold remains supported by safe-haven demand in the medium to long term, which limits its downside potential. Overall, the big picture for gold still leans towards an upward trend. However, the recent decline is largely driven by the strengthening U.S. dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields, reflecting positive developments in the U.S. economy. Today's "Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 19th" is likely to add bearish pressure on gold. In anticipation of this data, we can initiate short positions before its release.
Technical Analysis:
On the daily chart, the market is showing a clear "avalanche" pattern, with a large bearish candlestick breaking through the previous two days' bullish momentum. Prices have rebounded to a key resistance level around 2740, forming a bearish engulfing pattern at this short-term top. Therefore, the ideal short entry point is around 3738.
Today's Strategy:
Before the data is released, short positions should be initiated around 3738. If the data proves bearish for gold, and prices fall to 2725, we can switch to long positions.
Today's trading setup is somewhat complex. If you're unsure how to execute these trades or need detailed guidance, feel free to reach out to me for personalized support.