Gold market analysis: 17-MAR-2025Good morning! Happy New Week! Happy New Day! Here's your daily Gold market analysis. Learn, grow, and trade wisely.
Xauusdshort
The impact of the war on XAUUSDMay the world be at peace
If the U.S. war with the Houthis escalates further and the fighting broadens, the XAUUSD could top 3,200
The resurgence of war in the Middle East, specifically the conflict between the United States and the Houthi armed group, has the following impacts on gold:
Safe-haven demand drives up prices: Wars and geopolitical conflicts can trigger market panic. Investors are concerned about the turbulence in financial markets and the decline in the value of their assets, and they often turn to gold as a safe-haven asset. After Trump announced military actions against the Houthi armed group on March 15, the main contract of gold futures rose by more than 1.8% in a single day, pushing the price of gold to firmly stand at the historical high of 3,000 per ounce.
Changes in market sentiment lead to portfolio adjustments:
The uncertainty brought about by the war causes investors to reduce their holdings of risky assets such as stocks. Some large institutional investors and hedge funds will also adjust their investment portfolios by increasing their gold holdings to hedge against risks. This leads to an imbalance between supply and demand in the gold market and drives up prices.
Expectations of monetary policy adjustments:
If the conflict in the Middle East leads to a slowdown in global economic growth, central banks may adopt more accommodative monetary policies to stimulate the economy, such as interest rate cuts or quantitative easing. In such cases, the price of gold often rises because lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. Currently, the market has increased expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. If the Federal Reserve implements interest rate cuts in the future, it will further support the price of gold.
The trend of the US dollar has an indirect impact:
Generally, there is an inverse relationship between the US dollar and the price of gold. The war in the Middle East may make investors uneasy about the prospects of the US economy or prompt the Federal Reserve to adopt a more dovish monetary policy stance, leading to a weakening of the US dollar and, in turn, driving up the price of gold.
Rising inflation expectations:
Wars may lead to an increase in the prices of commodities such as crude oil, thereby triggering inflation expectations. As an effective hedge against inflation, the price of gold will be boosted when inflation expectations rise.
However, the specific trend of the gold price still needs to take into account other macroeconomic factors, policy changes, and the sentiment of market participants.
Gold Price Analysis: Potential Head and Shoulders Breakdownhello guys.
In the 30-minute chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD), A head-and-shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a potential bearish reversal. The price is currently consolidating near the right shoulder, and if a breakout below the neckline occurs, it could lead to a further downside.
The volume profile indicates a strong support zone around $2,962 - $2,965, which aligns with a key liquidity area. As illustrated by the red arrows, the expected price action suggests a minor pullback before continuing toward this support zone.
Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakdown before entering short positions, with a target near the highlighted demand area.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Head & Shoulders Pattern Analysis**📈 Gold (XAU/USD) – Head & Shoulders Pattern Analysis**
This chart represents the **Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-hour timeframe** and shows a potential **Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern**, which is a bearish reversal signal. Let's break it down:
**🛠 Key Elements of the Chart:**
1. **📉 Head & Shoulders Formation (Bearish Sign)**
- **Left Shoulder**: Price makes a peak, then retraces.
- **Head (ATH – All-Time High at ~$3,005)**: The highest point before pulling back.
- **Right Shoulder**: Another peak, lower than the head, indicating weakness.
- **Neckline (Support Zone)**: Marked in red. A breakdown below this level confirms the pattern.
2. **📊 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)**
- **EMA50 (Black Line)**: Indicates medium-term trend support.
- Price is testing this moving average, which acts as a dynamic support level.
3. **🔴 Resistance & Support Zones**
- **Resistance (Green Box near ATH)**: Selling pressure is strong at these levels.
- **Support (Red Zones)**: Price could test these areas if the H&S pattern plays out.
4. **📉 Bearish Projection (Blue Arrow)**
- If price **breaks below the neckline (~$2,974)**, it could drop to the next major support at **$2,940–$2,920**.
5. **📈 Bullish Scenario (Gray Arrow)**
- If price **rebounds from EMA50 and the support zone**, it could attempt another rally towards **$3,005 and beyond**.
### **📌 Trading Implications:**
✅ **Bearish Breakdown:**
- Sell below **$2,974** with targets at **$2,950–$2,920**.
- Confirmation comes from increased volume on breakdown.
✅ **Bullish Reversal:**
- If price holds above EMA50 and **breaks $2,990**, it could **retest ATH at $3,005+**.
- Strong buying interest could push gold to **$3,020–$3,050** in a risk-off environment.
### **🔎 Conclusion:**
📊 **Gold is at a critical level**—watch for a **breakout or breakdown** confirmation. A confirmed **H&S breakdown** could signal a retracement, while a **bounce above EMA50** keeps the **bullish trend intact**. 🚀💰 #XAUUSD
XAUUSD Today's strategyLast week, the gold market surged sharply, touching the long-awaited $3,000, and the world continued to increase its gold reserves with relatively large intensity, providing a solid bottom support for gold prices.
After such a sharp rise, a short-term pullback is normal, but the short-term bullish trend remains strong. If it can break through the key psychological level of $3,000 and gain a foothold, there is potential for further gains.
Today's xauusd trading strategy
buy@2965-2975
SL:2960
tp:3008
XAUUSD - Short Trade after Resistance Test ($3,005 - $3,010)Short after Resistance Test ($3,005 - $3,010)
📌 Entry: Sell within the $3,005 - $3,010 range if there is a clear rejection and price weakness.
🎯 Take-Profit 1: $2,985 (immediate support)
🎯 Take-Profit 2: $2,970 (recent lows)
🛑 Stop-Loss: $3,015 (above resistance)
🔹 Probability: High – Confirmed by weak volume on rallies and strong resistance.
Trade Rationale:
Key Resistance Zone ($3,005 - $3,010): This level has historically acted as a supply zone, where sellers step in to push prices lower. If price action shows rejection (e.g., wicks or bearish engulfing candles), it confirms a high-probability short setup.
Weak Volume on Rallies: Volume analysis suggests that bullish momentum lacks strong participation. A rising price with decreasing volume often signals an exhaustion of buyers, increasing the probability of a reversal.
Technical Indicators Align:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Overbought or showing bearish divergence, signaling potential downside pressure.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Losing bullish momentum or forming a bearish crossover, indicating potential for a pullback.
Donchian Trend & Moving Averages : Price is testing upper Donchian bands and key moving averages are suggesting overextension.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
> The stop-loss at $3,015 ensures protection against false breakouts.
> The first take-profit ($2,985) targets the nearest support, locking in quick profits.
> The second take-profit ($2,970) aligns with recent swing lows, maximizing the downside potential.
Final RRR (TP2) is 1 : 3,4
Conclusion:
A rejection from the $3,005 - $3,010 resistance zone presents a solid short opportunity, backed by weak bullish momentum, technical confluence, and favorable risk-reward. If the price fails to break higher and shows signs of rejection, this trade setup has a strong probability of success.
⚠️ Final Warning: Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management and never trade with money you can't afford to lose. This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
What do you think about this setup? Would you take this trade? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇
Gold trading ideas for next Monday!On Friday, the gold bulls and bears were in a stalemate, and the overall market fluctuated around 2978-3005. As the weekly line closed higher, it means that the bulls have been released and will start to plummet next week.
From the time window, next Thursday is exactly the 89th trading day since gold rose from 2536 on November 14 last year. If it rises from 2832 on February 28, it is almost 13 trading days, which is in line with the law of market change time. In addition, the Federal Reserve will also announce the interest rate decision and press conference in the early hours of Thursday. Perhaps only under the promotion of the Federal Reserve's news can a new round of collapse be triggered! ! !
In the short term, gold rose and fell last Friday. The daily chart has a $15 upper shadow line, and the upper shadow line indicates that the upper pressure is strong and the market has a clear downward trend. Therefore, the overall market next Monday tends to fall first and then rise! ! !
Judging from the gold hourly chart, there are several positions to focus on next Monday. First, the hourly chart rising trend line support level is 2982. If it breaks below, it will fall further to around 2940. Second, the 61.8% position of the golden ratio of 3005-2978 is around 2995. Third, last Friday’s high is 3005, and a breakthrough is impossible.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
$XAUUSD IdeaWhen analyzing gold, we observe a monthly chart with a bullish structure. However, the monthly candle left a low without an apparent wick, which may indicate a region to be liquidated in the future.
On the weekly chart, the asset confirmed a break in structure, reinforcing the continuation of the bullish movement. On the daily timeframe, we identify a possible CRT formation, suggesting that the price might correct to seek liquidity in a discounted region before resuming its bullish trend.
Based on this analysis, our main Draw on Liquidity are the PDL and the CRT low, which coincide with an FVG in the discounted zone. This could be the region where the price finds support to continue its upward movement.
On the 1H chart, we identify a formed range and are focusing on a key level in the premium region. On the 15M timeframe, we observe an order pairing that aligns with the 1H key level, making it a potential reaction point for a sell-off. This could be the ideal area to look for short trades. For stronger confirmation, it would be ideal to see an SMT with silver during this mitigation.
It is important to note that this is only an initial projection. The true confirmation that the price will hold in this FVG will depend on the market’s reaction upon reaching this zone.
XAUUSD Strategies for tomorrowHow should one operate when XAUUSD opens on Monday?
After the significant rally last week, how should we plan for the subsequent trading?
We ought to capitalize on the very first moment to initiate our buy - in, aiming to secure a prime position in the market. Right after that, it's crucial to meticulously track the price
If the price keeps climbing and the upward momentum persists, we can set a TP around the 2990 - 2995 range. Concurrently, we need to closely observe whether the price can break through the significant upper resistance point at 3000.
Should there be a powerful breakthrough, XAUUSD may well continue to surpass the current upper limit and sustain its strong upward movement, potentially hitting the second resistance point at 3020.
So we can set the SL at 2978 when making the first buy. If the price drops to 2978, please contact me and I will teach you how to take further actions.
XAUUSD
🎁 Buy@2983-2985
🎁 SL 2980
🎁 TP 2995-3000
If you're struggling to find direction or generate profits in finance,
I'm here to help. As a seasoned financial analyst,
I'm great at decoding market signals for profit - making chances.
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How to get a head start on MondayHow should one operate when XAUUSD opens on Monday?
After the significant rally last week, how should we plan for the subsequent trading?
Just as I analyzed yesterday, the current support level is in the range of 2,970 to 2,975. Once it breaks below 2,970, it may continue to correct and reach the second support level at 2,960, while the upper resistance level is around 3,000.
So we can set the SL at 2978 when making the first buy. If the price drops to 2978, please contact me and I will teach you how to take further actions.
XAUUSD
🎁 Buy@2983-2985
🎁 SL 2978
🎁 TP 2995-3000
If you're struggling to find direction or generate profits in finance,
I'm here to help. As a seasoned financial analyst,
I'm great at decoding market signals for profit - making chances.
I'll customize a plan for you. Contact me now to start seeing financial gains!
Bitcoin Rejection at Resistance – More Downside Ahead?BTC/USD is trading within a descending channel, and price is now testing a key resistance zone near $84,500. If sellers step in, we could see a strong rejection leading to a further drop.
📍 Trade Setup:
Short Entry: Near $84,500 - $85,000 (resistance zone)
Stop Loss: Above $87,400 (to invalidate bearish setup)
Target: $71,700 - $71,500 (lower boundary of the channel)
🔍 Technical Factors:
✔️ Bearish market structure with lower highs and lower lows
✔️ Resistance zone acting as a strong supply area
✔️ Descending channel guiding price lower
💡 Trading Plan:
Look for rejection signs (bearish wicks, engulfing candles, or trendline rejections) before confirming a short position.
A break above $87,400 could invalidate this setup and signal a potential reversal.
📢 What’s your view? Will Bitcoin break down, or are the bulls ready to take control? Let’s discuss! 🚀👇
XAU/USD Reversal Setup – Potential Drop Incoming!Gold (XAU/USD) has recently tested a key resistance zone around $2,990, where price action is showing signs of rejection. The market made a strong bullish push, but the momentum appears to be fading near this supply zone.
📉 Possible Scenario:
A bearish reaction from this resistance level could lead to a retracement towards the next key demand zone between $2,860 - $2,840.
If selling pressure continues, we might even see a retest of the $2,822 support level.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Price is currently at a resistance zone, making it a high-probability short setup.
Confirmation with bearish candles or trendline breaks could provide more confidence for sell entries.
Targets for shorts are set at $2,860 and potentially $2,822.
💡 Trading Plan:
Look for bearish confirmations (rejections, engulfing patterns, trendline breaks) before entering short trades.
A daily close above $3,000 would invalidate this setup and could signal further bullish movement.
What do you think? Are you bearish or bullish on Gold? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 📊🔥
Analysis of XAUUSD Trend Next Week: Interweaving of Bullish and
This week, the gold market has shown a highly remarkable performance. The spot gold price once surged strongly and broke through the historical high of $3,004 per ounce. Although it subsequently retreated to some extent, the weekly gain remained quite notable, vividly demonstrating the robust market momentum. Looking ahead to next week, the gold market will be influenced by a complex web of multiple factors, and its price trajectory is fraught with uncertainties.
I. Impact of News
(A) Geopolitical Situation
The U.S. decision to levy a 200% tariff on European wines has stoked profound concerns within the market regarding the potential further deterioration of the global trade landscape. The exacerbation of trade frictions typically heightens market risk - aversion sentiment substantially. Gold, as a traditional haven asset, generally stands to benefit from such circumstances. Additionally, the progress of the Russia - Ukraine peace talks has been commanding significant market attention. Should the talks culminate in a substantive peace accord, market risk - aversion sentiment is likely to experience a sharp decline, thereby exerting downward pressure on the gold price. Conversely, if the talks collapse or progress falters, the haven demand for gold is expected to escalate further.
(B) Economic Data and Policies
The performance of U.S. economic data wields a pivotal influence over the gold price. Recently, the emerging changes in U.S. economic data have lent a certain degree of support to the gold price. Simultaneously, the market's anticipations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction are in a state of continuous flux. The Federal Reserve is scheduled to hold a policy meeting from March 18th to 19th. Prior to this, it enters a quiet period. The consumer price index (CPI) data for February, set to be released next week, will emerge as the central focus of the market. If the core CPI registers a month - on - month increase of 0.2% or less, it might significantly fuel market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in May, thus powerfully driving up the gold price. Conversely, if the data records an increase of at least 0.5%, it could markedly enhance the allure of the U.S. dollar, rendering the upward movement of the gold price more challenging.
Furthermore, the improvement in global risk sentiment has also exerted a certain degree of suppression on the haven demand for gold. When global stock markets perform robustly and investors' risk appetite surges, funds tend to flow away from haven assets like gold and into risk - on assets. For instance, the recent substantial rallies in the U.S. stock market and the across - the - board upswings in the European stock markets have both exerted a bearish impact on the gold's price trend.
II. Technical Analysis
(A) Daily Chart Level
This week, the daily chart of gold presented a robust three - consecutive - day upward streak, convincingly highlighting the formidable strength of the bulls. In terms of the moving average system, the gold price closed above the 20 - day simple moving average for the majority of this week, clearly signaling an upward short - term trend. Meanwhile, the relative strength index not only successfully pierced through the 50 - level but also advanced further towards the 60 - level, indicating a strong market condition. However, currently, the RSI is edging close to the overbought zone, suggesting a high probability of profit - taking in the short - term.
Analyzing through the lens of Fibonacci retracement, the confluence of the upper trend - line resistance and the Fibonacci 2618 level occurs in the vicinity of 3025. This area will emerge as a crucial resistance level for the gold price's upward movement next week. If the gold price manages to breach this resistance zone successfully, it is likely to further unlock the upward potential and strive for higher historical highs. Nevertheless, it is worth noting that on Friday, the gold price experienced a rapid retreat upon reaching the 3,000 - level, underscoring the intense profit - taking pressure among the bulls at this key psychological threshold. The 2,956 level below, which represents a bottom - to - top conversion point, becomes a vital support level. Should the gold price retrace to around this level and secure effective support, the bullish trend stands a good chance of persisting. Conversely, if the gold price breaks below this support level, it may trigger a more extensive retracement.
(B) Hourly Chart Level
During the U.S. trading session on Friday, the gold price underwent a relatively mild correction, bottoming out at 2,978. At present, the hourly moving average system exhibits a bullish golden - cross upward pattern, indicating that the bullish forces still hold sway in the short - term. Nevertheless, vigilant attention must be paid to the evolution of the moving average system. Should the moving average system reverse its course next week, it may signify a waning of the bullish momentum. Designating the 2970 - 2975 range as the bull - bear demarcation line, if the gold price can maintain stability above this range, it will offer favorable trading opportunities for short - term bulls. Once the gold price drops below this range, it may weaken at any moment and initiate a retracement.
III. Comprehensive Analysis and Trading Recommendations
Taking into account both the news - driven and technical aspects, the gold market's trend next week will be shaped by the intricate interplay of bullish and bearish factors. On one hand, the uncertainties in geopolitical risks and the market's expectations of a potential Federal Reserve rate cut furnish the internal impetus for the gold price to ascend. On the other hand, the improvement in global risk sentiment and the profit - taking pressure on gold at elevated levels concurrently pose a certain degree of constraint on the gold price.
For investors, during the trading activities next week, it is imperative to closely monitor the release of key events and data. Prior to the data release, the market is likely to adopt a cautious stance, and the gold price may exhibit relatively subdued fluctuations. Particular attention should be directed towards the market's response subsequent to the release of the February CPI data. If the data aligns with expectations, trading operations can be executed in line with the gold price's trend. For example, if the data is bullish for gold and the gold price breaks through the key resistance level around 3025, appropriate consideration can be given to chasing long positions. Conversely, if the data is bearish for gold and the gold price breaks below the critical support level of 2956, short - selling positions can be prudently considered.
From a technical vantage point, if the gold price retraces to the vicinity of the 2970 - 2975 range at the onset of next week and receives effective support, a modest long - position entry can be attempted. Set the stop - loss order below 2965, with the target set at the 3000 - 3025 area. If the gold price surges directly to around 3025 and encounters resistance and retraces, short - selling positions can be contemplated near this location. Set the stop - loss order above 3,030, with the target set at the 2975 - 2956 area.
It is crucial to emphasize that the gold market is characterized by extreme volatility. During trading, investors must stringently control their positions, rationally set stop - loss and take - profit levels, and effectively safeguard against significant losses that could be precipitated by sudden market shifts.
If you're struggling to find direction or generate profits in finance,
I'm here to help. As a seasoned financial analyst,
I'm great at decoding market signals for profit - making chances.
I'll customize a plan for you. Contact me now to start seeing financial gains!
GOLDHello friends
Given the high price growth, we are now witnessing a trend continuation pattern, but we also need a price correction.
So we have identified important ranges for you, which if reached can be traded with capital and risk management...
*Trade safely with us*
Expect a strong pull back on Gold next week!Hello traders,
We have seen that Gold experienced a significant bullish trend last week, culminating in surpassing the $3,000 per ounce milestone for the first time on March 14, 2025.
Several factors contributed to this surge:
1. Market Uncertainty Driving Safe-Haven Demand – With ongoing global economic tensions, particularly due to U.S. trade policies, investors are turning to gold as a reliable hedge against instability.
2. Central Banks Boosting Gold Reserves – Many central banks are increasing their gold holdings, adding steady buying pressure that supports rising prices.
3. Speculation on Interest Rate Cuts – Expectations that major central banks, especially the Federal Reserve, may lower interest rates have made gold more attractive, as it benefits from a low-rate environment.
4. Inflation Concerns Fueling Demand – With fears of rising inflation, investors see gold as a traditional store of value that can help preserve wealth over time.
For a long time, many investors expected gold to hit the $3000 mark. Gold broke through that level on Friday, but it ended the day below it. We can anticipate a significant pullback in gold by next week based on recent price action. And these are my thoughts: We will be looking for shorting possibilities below 2978.620, with an initial target of 2961.524 and an overall objective of 2931.979. On the other hand, we can disregard the initial assumptions and assume that the price will continue to grow if we observe that it keeps rising and closes above Friday's high.
How do you plan to trade gold next week traders? Let me know your thoughts in the comment section.
Analysis of the Gold Price Trend Next WeekThis week, the spot gold price witnessed a breakthrough market trend. Influenced by the continuous gold purchases by central banks of multiple countries, the heightened global economic uncertainties, and the expectations of trade frictions, the gold price soared to as high as US$3,005 per ounce at one point, reaching a historical high. Although the short-term overbought signals and the pressure of profit-taking may trigger market volatility, the long-term bullish pattern has already been established.
The key resistance level on the daily chart is at 3025, which is the combination of the previous high and the 2.618 Fibonacci retracement level. The support level below is at 2956, which is the recent level where the top has transformed into the bottom. The hourly chart shows that during the U.S. trading session, the price correction only reached 2978 before gaining support. If the price stabilizes within the range of 2970 - 2975, there will still be short-term upward momentum.
Suggestions for gold trading operations next week:
buy@2970-2975
SL@2963
TP:2998
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2890) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2930 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook:
╰┈➤XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis
Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB/BoJ lower—neutral to bearish.
Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, global 2.5-3%—bullish.
Demand: Central banks, ETFs strong—bullish.
Geopolitics: Tariffs, Russia-Ukraine—bullish.
USD: DXY 106.00, slight softness—mildly bullish.
╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.: Weak PMI (50.4), jobless claims up—bullish.
Global: China 4.5%, Eurozone 1.2%—safe-haven lift.
Commodities: Oil $70.44—supports gold premium.
Trump: Tariffs inflate costs—bullish.
╰┈➤COT Data
Speculators: Net long 55,000—cooling but bullish.
Hedgers: Net short 65,000—stable.
Open Interest: 125,000—sustained interest.
Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 59% short—contrarian upside risk.
Institutional: Bullish to $3000, short-term caution.
Corporate: Miners hedge 2920-2940—neutral.
Social Media : Mixed, bearish near-term (2880-2906).
Broker: 60% long—crowded.
╰┈➤Positioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs to 2949, shorts to 2880.
Retail: Shorts at 2918-2924—squeeze risk.
Institutional: Balanced, inflation bets.
Corporate: Hedging stabilizes.
╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis
SMAs: 50-day 2850, 200-day 2650—bullish.
RSI: 48—neutral.
Bollinger: 2890-2930—consolidation.
Fibonacci: 50% at 2909.47—pivot.
Volatility: 12%, ±35 points daily.
╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis
DXY: 106.00, soft—bullish.
EUR/USD: <1.0500—caps gains.
Gold: Aligns with CHF/JPY—safe-haven.
Equities: S&P 5960-6120—neutral.
Bonds: U.S. 3.8% yield—pressures gold.
╰┈➤News and Events Analysis
Recent: Tariffs, weak U.S. data—bullish.
Upcoming: PCE (Feb 28)—key USD driver.
Impact: Bullish short-term, bearish risk if PCE hot.
╰┈➤Next Trend Move
Technical: Support 2906-2891, resistance 2949-2955.
Short-Term: Dip to 2906-2880, rebound to 2949.
Medium-Term: Range 2850-3000.
Triggers: Bullish—soft PCE; Bearish—hot PCE.
╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook
XAU/USD at 2910.00: Bullish fundamentals (inflation, tariffs) vs. bearish USD strength. Short-term dip to 2880, medium-term to 3000 if catalysts hit.
╰┈➤Future Prediction
Bullish: 2980-3000 by Q2 2025 (soft USD, tariffs).
Bearish: 2850-2864 (hot PCE, Fed hawkish).
Prediction: Bearish to 2880 short-term, bullish to 2980 mid-2025.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Gold Head & Shoulder Pattern, Possible shorting opportunities.Gold has recently formed a head and shoulders pattern on the chart, a classic bearish reversal signal that could indicate a potential decline in price. If the neckline is broken with strong volume, it may present a shorting opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on downside momentum. However, confirmation and risk management are essential before making any trading decisions. This is not financial advice.
Gold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 levelGold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 level, navigating through a well-defined ascending channel where the upper boundary has acted as long-term resistance and the lower boundary as dynamic support. The price has respected this structure, with multiple touches reinforcing its integrity. However, a recent double top near the upper boundary signals potential bullish exhaustion, increasing the probability of a downside move. If the price remains below this key level, further declines are likely, with $2,720 emerging as a crucial support zone—aligned with the golden pocket on the Fibonacci retracement, making it a prime area for a reaction.
The Alternative Scenario: The New Economy's Bullish Case
Despite the bearish structure, gold in the new economy presents an alternative bullish outlook. A smaller bullish channel has formed between $2,789 and $2,855, suggesting that buyers are still in control within this range. If this mini uptrend holds, it could fuel another breakout attempt above recent highs, invalidating the bearish scenario and positioning gold for a renewed push toward higher levels.
For now, gold is at a crossroads, with $2,720 as the primary target on the downside—but if buyers defend this level or sustain the new bullish channel, the uptrend may persist in the evolving economic landscape.
3000 Target goldThis is a 1-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from OANDA. The analysis suggests a bullish outlook, with price action currently testing a key resistance level around 2,934. The chart includes the following key elements:
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
A previous resistance zone (marked in dark teal) has been broken and is now acting as potential support.
The next major resistance is around 2,980, with an all-time high target of 3,000.
2. Trendline Support:
A white ascending trendline indicates a bullish structure, with price respecting higher lows.
3. Projected Move:
The yellow arrow suggests a pullback to the support zone (previous resistance) before bouncing higher.
A successful retest could lead to an upward move towards 3,000.
This analysis suggests that gold remains in an uptrend, and traders might look for confirmation of support before entering long positions.
Unlock self-rescue guide hereNotice! The gold market has suddenly changed! Gold, which had been rising all the way, has now shown a peak signal, and a decline has become inevitable.
The current big Yinxian is falling straight, and the market is completely shrouded in a bearish atmosphere. From a technical perspective, the evening star pattern is significant, which is often a strong signal of trend reversal. At the same time, the gold price deviates seriously from the moving average. This deviation is difficult to maintain in the market for a long time, and returning to rationality is an observable rule.
Looking at the four-hour line again, the big Yinxian entity strongly engulfs the Yangxian, directly breaking through the support line, forming an extremely strong bearish engulfing pattern, which means that the space below has been opened, and a plunge may be just around the corner. Are you ready to meet this storm in the gold market? Opportunities always coexist with risks, and now is the time to test investors' decisiveness.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
Gold is falling as expectedThe market has started to decline. Whether the 3,000 will become history remains unknown, but the current decline is real! In the evening, it is necessary to avoid emotional trading. Those who blindly follow the trend and go long are hoped to stay rational. After continuous rises, it has now started to fall. Currently, the market is in a slump. This situation won't be in a high-level range bound. If it doesn't rise, it will fall.
Today is already Friday. Only after the gold price drops to the support level below will it rise further! So, go short in the evening and pay attention to the 2,970 as the dividing line!
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Golden milestone moment, about to fall!Gold hit a new all-time high on Friday, reaching the psychologically critical $3,000 mark, with the precious metal up nearly 15% since the start of the year, fueled by trade war fears and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Trump's tariffs have been a key driver of safe-haven buying in gold. The global trade war has roiled financial markets, sparking recession fears, and Trump threatened on Thursday to impose a 200% tariff on imported alcohol from Europe, a trade war that is escalating. But in the short term, there is absolutely no reason to chase gold higher. Reaching $3,000 today is clearly a long position in the market to pull up shipments. What happens when the longs are exhausted? That could usher in a wave of retracements, so don't chase the highs now. Gold is about to plunge.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
