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Xauusdshort

XAU/USD Bearish Retest in Play – More Downside Expected?### **Title: GOLD | Bearish Retest at Key Resistance – More Downside Ahead?** ### **Analysis & Description:** This **1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)** presents a clear **bearish structure**, with price currently testing a key **support-turned-resistance zone**. The downward trajectory suggests a **potential continuation to the downside** after a minor pullback. #### **Key Observations:** 1. **Break and Retest Pattern:** - Price has **broken below** a critical support level and is now **retesting it as resistance** (marked by horizontal lines). - This classic **bearish retest** setup suggests that sellers may step in to push prices lower. 2. **Two Possible Scenarios:** - **Scenario 1 (Primary Bearish Case):** - If price rejects this resistance, we could see **a strong continuation downward**, targeting **$2,820 – $2,780 levels**. - This aligns with the **trend structure of lower highs and lower lows**. - **Scenario 2 (Less Likely Bullish Case):** - If bulls manage to reclaim and break above **$2,860**, we may see a short-term reversal, with the next resistance near **$2,880 – $2,900**. 3. **Trading Strategy:** - **Short Setup:** - Look for rejection signals at resistance (**$2,850 – $2,860**), such as bearish engulfing candles or wicks. - Enter short positions with **stop-loss above $2,865**. - Target price zones around **$2,820 – $2,780** for profit-taking. - **Alternative Bullish Setup:** - A confirmed breakout above **$2,860** could open the way for a short-term rally. ### **Conclusion:** Gold remains **bearish**, and this current pullback into resistance could provide a **selling opportunity** if rejection confirms. However, traders should monitor key **economic news events** that could impact gold’s movement. 📉 **Do you think gold will continue dropping, or will bulls take control? Let me know in the comments!** 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
Continue to short gold after the reboundToday, the fluctuation space of gold was compressed and fluctuated in the range of 2844-2854. Because there was no breakthrough, there was no continuous market, so gold did not reach the rebound position I expected. Although gold did not reach the rebound position I expected, I shorted gold many times with the support near the 2855 position, and I made a good profit in the short-term level. Then we will focus on the breakthrough of 2845-2850. If gold successfully breaks through, the market will definitely continue to a certain extent. We only need to follow the trend to trade gold. However, according to the current market, we should not be too bearish on gold. It is expected that gold will rebound first and then fall back when it encounters resistance. Focus on the resistance area of ​​2850-2865 above. Friends who have already entered the bottom article have all obtained very good returns as long as they followed my trading signals. If you want to receive detailed trading signals, if you want to get out of the gold long order, if you want to learn the latest trading thinking and trading logic, you can move your fingers and join my bottom article to prevent losses from happening again and make making money a pleasure. If you want to make money happily, you can join my bottom article!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
I have been emphasizing that gold is in a bearish trend recentlyI have been emphasizing that gold is in a bearish trend recently. Gold tested the support of 2830 as expected, and I made a lot of profit in all short trades. However, after gold touches 2930, you cannot directly chase short gold. According to the structure of gold, there is a certain degree of technical support near 2830, so gold may rebound to 2850 again after touching this level; and once gold fails to break through the 2850-2860 area as expected during the rebound, gold will fall again. Then gold will easily pierce the 2830 mark during the second decline, and once gold effectively falls below 2830, gold will continue to fall and test the 2820-2810 area, and may even go lower to the area near 2800. At present, shorting gold near 2850 has made a lot of profits. I wonder if you have followed the trading signals of shorting gold? Then the short-term will still focus on the resistance area of ​​2850-2860 above, and the break of 2830 below.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel1
Gold will continue to fall, so be bold and short goldBros, today is critical, because today coincides with the closing of the weekly and monthly lines, so we must be extra careful about the gold price jumping back and forth to avoid losses. From the current structure, gold has no strength to attack and is still in a weak position, indicating that the purchasing power of gold is not strong and the bulls are not confident; today gold continued to fall to around 2951, and the space below was completely opened. In this market, gold is easy to form a new round of trend market, rather than a band market, so gold is likely to continue the downward trend. In terms of short-term trading, we still follow the trend to short gold. The current short-term resistance is in the 2870-2880 zone. We can use this area as resistance to short gold. Especially friends who have already missed the profits of the rising trend market due to fear in the early stage, but now in the falling trend market, do not miss the profit again because you dare not short gold. Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Gold Price Analysis: Bearish Breakdown Below Key Support at 2888Gold (XAU/USD) has broken below the strong support level of 2888, indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend. This breakdown suggests increasing bearish momentum, and traders should be prepared for further declines. Downtrend Scenario & Targets If the bearish pressure continues, gold is likely to move toward the following downside targets: ✅ Target 01: 2866 – A minor support level where price may consolidate before further movement. ✅ Target 02: 2855 – A stronger support zone that could act as a temporary stopping point for sellers. ✅ Target 03: 2835 – A key demand zone, where buyers may step in to slow the decline. Possible Retracement Before Further Drop Despite the bearish outlook, gold may experience a temporary pullback before continuing lower. A retracement toward the previous support-turned-resistance at 2888 or even 2898 is possible. If the price fails to break above these levels, it could serve as confirmation for further downside movement. Trading Strategy Considerations 🔸 Sell on Retracement: If gold retraces to 2888 or 2898 and shows rejection (bearish candlestick patterns, wicks, or resistance confirmation), it could provide a good short-selling opportunity. 🔸 Break & Retest Confirmation: If gold retests 2888 and fails to break above, it would signal further downside movement. 🔸 Risk Management: Set stop-loss above 2900 to manage risk in case of unexpected bullish reversals.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pipsview_Analysis
trend towards 2845, trend continues to strengthen! gold ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) declines for the second consecutive day, hitting a two-week low around $2,860 during Friday's Asian session. The US Dollar (USD) continues its recovery for the third straight day, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain its hawkish stance due to persistent inflation. This strengthens the USD and weighs on the non-yielding gold. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: The gold price adjustment is mandatory, along with the influence of the world financial sectors, selling off at the same time. The trade war is very close, gold is also negatively affected by investors. ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2891 - $2893 SL $2898 TP1: $2885 TP2: $2878 TP3: $2870 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2846 - $2844 SL $2839 TP1: $2852 TP2: $2860 TP3: $2870 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE : Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
GOLD, Will the correction continue or not ??Hello Traders, Hope you are doing great. As you can see below this post, We expected a correction in GOLD yesterday because it was forming a Rising Wedge Reversal pattern. The price corrected about 500 pips and then it began to retrace to 61.8 Fibo level. But what happens now? will the correction continue or not ? The answer of this question is a Hesitant Yes, it will probably continue its downward correction, but PCE data that comes Friday can change everything, so Don't forget to use proper risk management. and Remember that these kind of corrections are temporary and gold price will probably see higher price this year and finally tell me What are your thoughts about GOLD ? UP or DOWN ? comment your opinion below this post.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by aminrzb
5
Gold Prices Take a Breather: First Weekly Decline in Nine Weeks◉ Overview ● Gold prices have risen for eight consecutive weeks, driven by safe-haven demand and a weaker US dollar. ● However, with US inflation data scheduled for release, investors are becoming cautious, leading to a decline in gold prices. ● The US inflation data will provide insight into the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy decisions. ◉ Technical Observations ● After hitting an all-time high near $2,956, the prices are now declining. ● In the weekly chart, a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern could be observed, indicating negative market sentiments. ● A support level is expected at $2,790, which is nearly 3% below the current market price.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NaranjCapital
Short gold, Target: 2940-2930Bros, I want to say that 2868 is definitely not the lowest point at the current stage, and the bears have not stopped roaring. After gold falls below 2970, market panic will lead to deep selling, which will drive gold prices further down. So the bears have not left yet, and any rebound is an opportunity to short gold. As the center of gravity of gold prices moves down, the current resistance has moved down to the 2895-2905 zone again. If gold remains below this area, I think gold is likely to move towards the 2940-2930 zone next! Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
GOLD, Is a correction on the way ???Hello Traders, Hope you are doing great. GOLD is forming a Rising Wedge Reversal pattern these days and it seems that Bulls aren't able to raise the price at least for now. So I expect a downward correction in upcoming days. Remember that this kind of corrections are temporary and gold price will probably see higher price this year; so Don't forget to use proper risk management . and finally tell me What are your thoughts about GOLD ? UP or DOWN ? comment your opinion below this post.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by aminrzb
SCALPING ! XAU , waiting for entry SELL 2928 , TRENDLINE⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said Tuesday he will take a wait-and-see approach on interest rates until there's clear evidence that inflation is returning to the Fed's 2% target. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan suggested that, in the medium term, the Fed should focus on buying more short-term securities to better align its portfolio with Treasury issuance, according to Bloomberg. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold price is still moving in the H1 downtrend line, the price zone is correcting and accumulating above 2900. ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2928 - $2930 SL $2933 scalping TP1: $2924 TP2: $2920 TP3: $2915 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
2025.02.24 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders, Gold is currently in a very extreme market situation. One can imagine the development process of a black swan event as follows: - **Liquidity Tightening** → Institutions sell paper gold - **Physical Hoarding Wave** → Bank vaults are overflowing - **Futures Delivery Obstacles** → COMEX premiums rise - **Increased Risk Aversion** → Physical gold bars are out of stock - **Final Outcome**: Paper gold prices drop + physical gold premiums continue to rise! Currently, there are three major challenges looming over gold prices, facing a critical decision. **1. Dual Impact of Global Liquidity Tightening** The tsunami of U.S. debt is coming: Starting last Thursday, the U.S. is issuing $183 billion in ten-year treasuries all at once, equivalent to draining a large reservoir from the market. Banks and institutions must free up huge cash amounts to buy bonds, directly leading to less liquidity in the market. It's worth noting that at this time last year, the weekly bond issuance was around $50 billion; now it has tripled, and bond yields are likely to be pushed above 4.4%. On the other hand, there's a massive withdrawal of Japanese funds: After the USD/JPY fell below the psychological barrier of 150, it triggered a chain reaction. Over the past three months, arbitrage trades borrowing yen to buy U.S. treasuries now need to close positions worth 1.2 trillion yen (approximately $8 billion) daily. This capital is flowing back to Japan, which is equivalent to the global market losing the liquidity support of a medium-sized central bank every day. **2. Historical Lessons: Insights from the Oil Futures Incident** Event Recap: On April 20, 2020, U.S. WTI crude oil futures unprecedentedly fell to -$37 per barrel. The Bank of China's "Crude Oil Treasure" product faced a loss of 9 billion yuan for 60,000 investors due to the inability to complete physical delivery. This disaster exposed the core contradiction: when paper trading encounters bottlenecks in physical delivery, futures prices may completely detach from reality. Current Reflections on the Gold Market: 1. **Underlying Rush for Physical Gold**: The U.S. imported 2,000 tons of gold in two months (40% of global annual production), but exchange inventories only increased by 674 tons, indicating a significant amount of gold is being hoarded directly. 2. **Paper Gold Bubble Risk**: Gold ETF holdings dropped by 5%, while open futures contracts increased by 23%, showing speculative funds are trying to profit in the derivatives market without actual holdings. 3. **Rehearsal of Delivery Crisis**: If a sudden large-scale delivery demand arises, COMEX might repeat the "negative oil price" moment—paper gold plummets, while physical gold premiums soar. **3. The Ghost of Inflation Returns** Two dangerous warning signals have lit up: The raw material payment price indices from the Philadelphia and New York Federal Reserves suddenly jumped to a two-year high. This leading indicator suggests that this month's PCE price index may remain stubbornly high. It's crucial to note that the data that Fed Chair Powell cares about most is this one; if it exceeds a month-over-month increase of 0.4% for three consecutive months, the hope for a rate cut in June will essentially vanish. The Fed's awkward position: Current interest rates are nearly 2 percentage points lower than the theoretical values calculated by traditional formulas. The market is beginning to bet that if inflation data continues to soar, the Fed may not only hesitate to cut rates but could even be forced to reconsider rate hikes before the end of the year. Wait for a 4-hour confirmation signal, and look for shorting opportunities in gold on the 1-hour chart. The shorting targets currently only consider the support levels at the bottom of the top consolidation, namely: TP1: 2906 TP2: 2880 GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
Gold Reversal Confirmed: Bearish Targeting 2,878 SupportThis chart shows a clear double-top pattern at the resistance zone around 2,960, indicating potential bearish momentum. The price has broken below a trendline, confirming weakness. A retest around 2,934 has occurred, and the price is now declining. The next key support level is around 2,878, which could act as a potential target for sellers. If bearish momentum continues, a deeper drop may follow. - First target: 2,900 (psychological level and minor support) - Second target: 2,878 (major support zone) If bearish momentum continues and 2,878 breaks, the next possible target could be around 2,860 for an extended move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
2
XAUUSD Potentially Bearish #XAUUSD over time has seen some very good bullish run and I still hold a bias for the bullish potential however given the map market is currently showing, OANDA:XAUUSD looks potentially bearish. This may likely be for the short term with immediate targets at the 2,875 zone. Before taking the short, I will love to see this current H4 candle close as a bearish candle. Results are not typical, do your homework and make your decision yourself, past results does not guarantee future results
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mbjoey
Precious metals declined due to tariff policiesPrecious metals declined due to US President Donald Trump's unpredictable tariff policies but remained anchored at high levels because of this. On February 25, Mr. Trump directed a study of the possibility of imposing new tariffs on imported copper to rebuild US production of metals critical to electric vehicles, military hardware, power grids and many other consumer goods. He also announced he would soon expand his trade war to include a 25% tariff on goods from the European Union (EU)... Investors are waiting for the US personal consumption expenditures index (PCE) report, a favorite inflation measure of the Federal Reserve (FED), scheduled to be announced on February 28. How inflation develops can affect the FED's interest rate policy this year and impact the precious metals trend. Higher-than-expected inflation could strengthen the possibility that the US Central Bank will continue to delay further interest rate cuts. Meger added that as one of the key hedges against inflationary pressures, gold should appreciate more.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD Bearish Trend Started for Correction ABCXAUUSD Bearish Trend Started for Correction ABC Based on recent analyses, gold (XAUUSD) has been on an upward trajectory, reaching record highs above $2,900 in early February 2025. This surge is attributed to factors such as newly imposed tariffs and inflation concerns. However, some Elliott Wave analyses suggest that gold may be entering a bearish correction phase. For instance, a head and shoulders pattern has been identified, indicating potential for a downward move if key support levels are breached. Additionally, forecasts indicate that the XAUUSD pair is correcting and may continue to decline, with an estimated pivot point around 2,788.71. In summary, while gold has recently achieved record highs, certain technical indicators and patterns suggest a possible bearish correction in line with Elliott Wave Theory.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ikhtiarfx