Xauusdshort
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!"💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
🏁Buy entry above 3070
🏁Sell Entry below 2950
📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy (or) sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
🚩Thief SL placed at 2960 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 3050 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers : TP 3260 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers : TP 2800 (or) Escape Before the Target
⚒💰XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a neutral to bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.... 👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Gold's slow rise approaches key resistance! Follow 3020Early layout plan for gold: On Tuesday, the public strategy suggested shorting gold at 3015, which was perfectly hit again, and successfully obtained high-altitude profits. In the real market, short orders near 3014 were also arranged, and the market closed at 3000-2998, and then 14-16 points of profit were collected!
Gold technical analysis: On Monday, gold went long and short, and then rushed up and fell back! Yesterday, it was also mentioned that it was still a high-opening strategy, and then gold rebounded and plummeted in the evening; from a technical point of view, the previous gold daily chart encountered resistance near the historical important resistance level of 3135 and then went down, pulling out a big negative line, which is a strong message for the shorts! Although the current gold price is close to the lower track of the Bollinger band below, the shorts are still very strong.
But at present, our general direction is still bearish. In addition, according to the current 4-hour chart, gold formed a double top pattern correction in the early stage. Although the short-selling force is strong at present, the long-selling force is not weak. The slow rise and pullback in the early trading has some strength. The upper resistance is still around 3020, and the key pressure is above 3035!
Gold operation strategy: short around 3015-3020, defend the key resistance of 30-35, and target 2990-80!
Investing shouldn't be so difficult. I will provide one-on-one real-time guidance and tracking services for each customer, and will also share professional opinions in time to closely grasp the market dynamics. Here, you don't need to face the complex market alone. I will help you capture opportunities accurately and keep a close eye on the market. You just need to go to work as usual and accompany your family with peace of mind. When the trading opportunity comes, I will notify you as soon as possible. You just need to do a good job of entry and exit operations and reasonable position control. Don't ignore risks due to greed or negligence to avoid major losses due to sudden changes in the market. At the same time, the market is like sailing against the current. If you don't advance, you will retreat. Investors need to continue to pay attention to market dynamics, continue to learn and improve their investment capabilities, and adjust investment strategies in time to cope with the ever-changing market. This is the relaxed state that investment should have. Only 1-5 orders a day, follow a stable strategy, and continue to reap profits. Whether it is to recover the cost or to achieve several times the growth of funds, you can do it. When the market trends come, I'll be there! Please follow and contact me in time!
Gold is Bullish, Target 3030-3060At the market open today, we signaled a buy opportunity near the 2980 level for gold. Since then, the price has surged over $30, and those who followed the strategy have already secured solid profits.
Gold is now approaching a short-term resistance, so a minor pullback may occur. However, the overall uptrend for the day remains intact, and our strategy continues to favor buying on dips.
Based on the current chart pattern, there's potential for the price to rise toward the 3030–3060 zone later today.
Stay alert for retracement opportunities, manage your position size wisely, and trade with discipline.
If you missed this entry, don’t worry — the next opportunity is just around the corner!
gold (update)Hello friends
Due to the price growth, we have given you the analysis that the price will fall and the same thing happened. Now, due to the sharp decline, the price has entered the channel and the 3 specified areas are important support areas for us, where we can buy with risk and capital management and move towards the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*
Gold's HUGE drop - Where we going next?📉 Gold Market Update: Key Levels & Strategy Ahead
Gold has experienced a significant decline, dropping over 1,000 pips in just the past three trading days. Currently, we’re seeing consolidation just above the $3,000 mark, with the price struggling to hold this psychological level.
While the broader trend appears bullish, we are now in a range-bound phase, which often leads to false breakouts and stop hunts. Given the current conditions:
🔸 Short Bias: The overall setup favors short positions, but patience is key. Look for higher price levels to enter shorts with better risk-to-reward ratios.
🔸 Scalp Opportunities: If you’re considering a long position, it should be strictly short-term (scalping) and only from well-defined support levels.
🔸 Capital Protection: This is not the time to over-leverage or chase moves. Gold is known for volatility in tight ranges—stay protected and use tight risk management.
⚠️ Bottom line: Gold is in a bearish consolidation zone. The safest play is to wait for clearer setups, preferably at resistance for shorts or strong support for scalps. Avoid getting chopped up in the range.
If you found this breakdown helpful, don’t forget to give it a boost! 🚀
XAUUSD - 2950 As the market is continuing its bearish order flow, I'm expecting it to react from the current supply range. Which is 1H supply zone and 15 refined supply zone.
Here’s the expected sequence of movement:
1. It gave a fake out from the channel pattern.
2. I expect a push higher to take out the previous LTF swing high, resulting in an iBoS.
3. Following that, I need market to give CHoCH and tap in the supply zone which caused the
CHoCH and continue to fall until it reaches the price lvl of 2950 range.
Even if the price starts to fall from the current trading price the plan is still the same 📉.
This is my current plan for now. If there's any changes arise, I will update the outlook accordingly.
Thanks you for your time..
GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK – Investor Panic After Fake News🟡 GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK – Investor Panic After Fake News, Bearish Bias Remains
📉 Current Strategy: Focus on SELL setups at key resistance zones – short-term bearish outlook remains valid
📌 US Session Recap:
Gold saw a sharp sell-off after a fake news report circulated about the US delaying its planned tariff policy.
→ While the White House later confirmed it was misinformation, the damage was done — panic selling hit across global markets.
💥 As a result, gold dropped aggressively and reached the 295x zone, aligning perfectly with AD’s previous short bias.
Meanwhile, US equities also continued to bleed red.
🧠 Market Sentiment: “Cash is King” is Back
With global instability and fear on the rise:
🔹 Investors are hoarding cash
🔹 USD demand increases, along with inflows into US government bonds
🔹 Risk assets like gold, stocks, and crypto are being dumped
💡 This could be part of Trump’s larger play — forcing global capital to flow back into US Treasuries while applying pressure on speculative markets.
🔮 AD’s View:
Unless we see a clear shift in investor sentiment, the base case remains: → Sell rallies through midweek, then reassess.
🧭 Key Technical Zones to Watch:
🔺 Resistance: 3005 – 3016 – 3035 – 3056 – 3076
🔻 Support: 2980 – 2969 – 2956 – 2930 – 2912
🎯 TRADE PLAN:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2930 – 2928
SL: 2924
TP: 2934 – 2938 – 2942 – 2946 – 2950
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3034 – 3036
SL: 3040
TP: 3030 – 3026 – 3022 – 3018 – 3014 – 3010 – ???
📌 Keep an Eye on DXY:
The US Dollar Index is currently testing a major 3-year support level.
→ If equities fail to recover and fear persists, DXY could bounce — and gold would likely continue its correction lower.
⚠️ Final Note:
We’re in a highly volatile and uncertain environment.
→ Stick to the plan. Respect your SL/TP levels. Avoid emotional decisions.
—
📣 Found this perspective useful? Follow for daily macro-backed trade ideas and real-time market structure breakdowns.
Clarity. Consistency. Risk Management.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Reversal Setup – April 8, 2025Gold is expected to reverse from the resistance zone near $3013. A sell trade is triggered at 3013, indicating a potential downward movement. The chart highlights multiple target levels as the price is likely to decline.
Trade Setup:
🔽 Sell Entry: 3013
🎯 Target 1: 3009
🎯 Target 2: 3005
🎯 Target 3: 3000
🛑 Stop Loss: 3020
Bias: Bearish
Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
The strong rejection from the resistance zone and the highlighted red area suggest selling pressure. A downward move is anticipated, as marked by the blue arrow.
Gold's decline is not over yet, go short on the rebound!The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross the downward short arrangement, the momentum of gold shorts is still there, and gold rebounds and continues to short. Of course, gold has been falling sharply in the past few days, and the market may gradually begin to recover. You must wait patiently for opportunities to rebound, and do not chase short positions easily.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3017, stop loss 3027, target 2090
The above is purely a sharing of personal opinions and does not constitute trading advice. Investments are risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Blue MA Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout then make your move at (3000) - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the Support level Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (3050) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2960
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a chance to move bearishness),., driven by several key factors.👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Gold (XAU/USD) Sell Setup – April 8, 2025Gold is expected to move downward after hitting resistance around the $3000 level. A sell position is suggested at 3000, targeting the following take-profits:
TP1: 2998
TP2: 2996
TP3: 2994
TP4: 2992
TP5: 2990
TP6: 2988
🔻 Stop Loss (SL): 3013
🔻 Bias: Bearish
📊 Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
A downward move is anticipated from the resistance zone, as marked by the red zone and the blue arrow pointing down.
Gold Analysis April 7The D1 candle on Friday clearly identified selling pressure and the amount of fomo pushed the price to 2972.
The H4 structure is still showing that the downward force will continue to be maintained when 3054 was rejected by the buyers.
Back to the trading plan The 3018 and 3035 border areas are considered sideways compression borders. If the price breaks 3018, wait for a retest and sell to 3003. If the US session breaks 3003, then push to 2955.
If the 3018 border remains strong, wait for a break of 3035 to BUY to the exchange price zone of 3054. BUY signals for short-term city and are considered to be against the trend at the moment. When the US session fails to break 3055, you can sell and hold long. If it breaks 3055, waiting for 3080 to sell will be safer than fomo to BUY against the trend.
Trump is controlling the world marketFear gripped global markets earlier this week as major economies clashed over tariffs that threatened to push the United States and the world into recession.
Donald Trump said on Sunday that the United States was taking “medicine” to cure its trade “disease.” But the pressure on the Trump administration is growing as Americans’ investment and retirement accounts have plummeted. Even Trump’s staunchest supporters, including Sen. Ted Cruz, Rep. Mitch McConnell and Elon Musk, have begun to voice concerns.
JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon warned that the tariffs would push up commodity prices and slow economic growth, potentially leading to “stagflation.”
The market is currently pricing in five rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, totaling 1.25%. Many investors believe the Fed could make an emergency rate cut before its next policy meeting.
Technically, despite the weakness in gold prices, buyers still have the technical advantage in the short term. The overnight rebound suggests that sellers may be exhausted. The buyers’ target is to close above the resistance level of $3,201.60/ounce (the contract high). On the other hand, sellers want to push prices below the support level of $2,950/ounce.
Gold's 4-hour range has been broken, waiting for further declineTechnical analysis of gold: Gold continued to fall in the US market, and the price continued to return to the low point of the Asian market. The rise was not continuous, and the impact of tariffs remained. The market reported that the tariffs would be suspended for 90 days. It can be seen that US stocks, crude oil, gold and silver all rose rapidly, and then it was confirmed to be false news, and then fell back quickly. It can be seen that as long as the impact of the tariff news does not change, all assets will continue to be sold. However, the current fluctuations are too fast and the amplitude is too large. Short-term operations may not be easy to start, but the direction is still the most important, followed by the position. In other words, gold will continue to fall sharply. Gold continued to rebound at the opening today. The rebound amplitude actually exceeded our expectations, but the recent market is actually volatile. Because the fluctuations are relatively large, it is reasonable to have a larger amplitude, but it increases the difficulty of operation. Gold fell back after rising again, and now it is caught in a large range of fluctuations, but the overall trend is still bearish. The US market rebound is still bearish.
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to cross the downward short divergence, and the short force has not weakened; the rebound is still short. Although gold rushed up after filling the gap in 1 hour, the upper shadow line quickly came down. The overall situation is still weak. It is under pressure near 3050 in the short term. The US rebound is under pressure at 3012 resistance, so it can continue to be short. The market is changing rapidly. Although gold seems to rebound strongly, it will eventually rush up and fall back. Gold is still the home of the shorts. However, it is now volatile. Pay attention to patiently wait for the rebound, and the volatility should not be underestimated. However, the thinking is still to maintain a high-altitude thinking. On the whole, the short-term operation of gold today is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds and long-selling on callbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3012-3015 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2950-2956 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation.
Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: short gold rebound near 3012-3015, stop loss 10 points, target near 2980-2970, break to see 2956
Long order strategy: long gold callback near 2953-2956, stop loss 10 points, target near 2970-2980, break to see 3000
Gold rebounded sharply. Will gold climb again?Gold trend analysis: There are many points worth interpreting in the intraday market. Let's review and replay:
Today, the market bottomed out and rebounded in the morning. Did you chase the short position after the opening fell sharply? The 2980 first-line support was tested many times without breaking, which is a move to lure shorts, waiting for you to get trapped.
What was the result? Did it rebound at the 2980 first-line support? From the low point of 2972 to the high point of 3054, the hourly single-yang rebound amplitude reached 82 US dollars, which did not give you a chance to escape at all.
The position of 3054 is in line with the 3050-3060 regional pressure we mentioned at the weekend. It is a top-bottom conversion position. The low point of last Thursday broke the support and turned into pressure on Friday. Today, it must be shorted anyway.
Of course, there is also a false move here at 3054. The first time it touched the pressure and fell to 3036, and then it attacked again to test 3054 again. Did you chase the long position? Once you chase it, you're done. Then it fell to 3017, and the drop of 37 US dollars directly wiped out your extra money.
So, if you say whether technical analysis is useful or not, it is definitely useful. Of course, there are times when it fails, such as the straight-line decline of the whole process like last Thursday and Friday. Any analysis is meaningless, but this is a minority after all. The technical reliability of returning to normal trend is still trustworthy.
Gold technical analysis: Today is the third consecutive day of decline. From a technical point of view, such a continuous sharp decline generally lasts for about 3 days, and no more than 4 days at most, and it will turn positive. Therefore, the decline of gold today has slowed down significantly.
The intraday rebound is under pressure at 3054 and it is sideways. The European session is volatile and ready to guard against a high and fall at night. Focus on the break of the 3054 line of pressure. If it breaks through the intraday low of 3013 at night, then look at the second drop to the low of 2980-2972, and pay attention to whether a double bottom support structure can be formed here.
gold The plunge exceeded 100 points,The bearish trend is crazy!This week brings new trading opportunities, as well as new market opportunities. Nowadays, the market fluctuates greatly every day. Being a short-term trade means high frequency, fast in and fast out. As long as you do these well, you can make money in short-term trading. Don't be greedy for more. The most important thing in trading is stability. Going fast is not as good as going steadily. Do a good job in daily trading. If you can get two or three waves of profits, it will be enough for you. If you do not have the ability to flexibly respond to the market during trading, and are not good at adjusting your trading thinking and rhythm to the market rhythm in a timely manner, you can contact me and let us pursue more profits flexibly and stably in the volatile market!
The K-line of the Golden Week closed at a medium-sized Yin high with a long upper shadow. forming a top heavy-volume adjustment in the short term. The daily negative adjustment engulfed the previous rising space. In terms of form, there is still room for adjustment this week, which can be continued to 2972 and 2956, while the top touches 3168 to explore the high and fall back pattern. , there is a high probability of forming a short-term high, but whether the trend will change needs to be further observed. Beware of weekly negative singles without consecutive negatives. The short-term pressure remains at 3058 and 3076. It will bottom out at the opening and rebound. First look at the strength of the rebound. At the top, focus on the pressure of 3055 first, and then look at 3076 if it breaks. Do not blindly chase shorts. Don't blindly chase the short position.
Operation suggestion: Gold is short near 3070-75, stop loss at 3080, and look at 3055 and 3020; if it is weak, pay attention to the 3055 pressure to short!
Gold: Focus Remains on Buy-the-Dip Strategy
Gold witnessed another round of extreme volatility today, plunging below the 3000 level before quickly rebounding. Since then, the price has repeatedly tested support in the 3030–3018 range. So far, this support zone has held up well, suggesting buyers remain active at lower levels.
However, traders should keep a close eye on the 3047 resistance area, which may temporarily cap upward momentum. In the short term, the overall strategy remains focused on buying at lower levels, with the potential for prices to revisit the 3080 region in the coming days.
That said, due to the sharp price swings recently, caution is advised for those looking to chase the rally above 3040. Unless your account has sufficient margin and risk tolerance to withstand a potential pullback toward the 3000 level, it is not recommended to enter aggressively at higher prices.
Trading Strategy Summary:
Bias: Short-term bullish (buy-the-dip)
Support zone: 3030–3018
Resistance: 3047 (short-term), 3080 (medium-term target)
Risk warning: Avoid chasing above 3040 unless risk control is well in place
Stay agile, and adjust your positions according to intraday price action. I will continue to provide real-time updates as the situation evolves.
GOLD short-term analysis. Entering the selling phaseAfter the tariff policy was implemented, gold was sold off in the market on Friday. Gold was under pressure from the upper track of the rising channel trend line at 3160/3165. At present, the correction is gradually approaching the lower track of the rising channel. The daily line fell sharply and closed. The New York closing broke through the MA10 daily moving average at 3070. The RSI indicator turned down after the previous 80-value high overbought value and fell back to around 50!
The weekly RSI indicator turned down and the price lost the MA5-day moving average in the Asian session. The short-term four-hour chart MA10/7-day moving average high dead cross remains open downward, currently moving down to 3063/3075, the RSI indicator runs below the middle axis, and the hourly and four-hour chart Bollinger bands open downward. Gold continued to fluctuate downward in the weak bear market in the Asian session. The trading idea at the beginning of the week continues to sell at high levels and buy at low levels.
Gold once again started a dramatic frenzy mode last Friday, with long and short positions tug-of-war and large fluctuations. In the end, the short position was slightly better, which was an eye-opener for the market. With the continuous rise of gold, large fluctuations are also commonplace. Large fluctuations make the market uneasy. In the face of the large decline last Friday, gold may continue to maintain a downward trend in the later period, and the short-term bottom position below is maintained at the 3000 integer mark!
This position is also the bottom and starting point of the previous period. There is a high probability of a rebound, and the upper pressure is maintained near the top and bottom conversion position of 3054-3057, which is also the top position of the last falling candle last Friday. This position will be an ideal short position on Monday. Once the pressure is effective, it may still fall again in the later period.
The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross downward, so the gold shorts still have power. The short-term gold can only rebound. Gold will continue to sell after the rebound, and then gold will enter a shock. After the high-level plunge of gold, sellers will have more advantages in the short term. Unless there is a big positive, it will be difficult for gold to rise directly. The gold rebound resistance is 3054. If it is under pressure, it will continue to sell at highs.
Key points;
First support: 3000, second support: 2990, third support: 2976
First resistance: 3040, second resistance: 3054, third resistance: 3068
Operation ideas;
Buy: 2983-2985, SL: 2974, TP: 3000-3010;
Sell: 3051-3054, SL: 3063, TP: 3030-3020;
2025.04.07 Monday Logical analysis + opportunity analysisHello traders,
Monday: Trump reshapes world assets, commodity fundamentals upend our perceptions
I. US stocks: structural break and emotional panic tipping point
1. Options market trading volume is record
Data: Trading volume in the US options market hit a record high of 100 million contracts on Friday, nearly five times the historical average.
Interpretation: Against the backdrop of a VIX close to 40, high interest rates and limited fiscal/monetary policy, record options trading is not an optimistic sign, but a sign that the financial system is deleveraging systematically and retail investors are selling off in panic.
2. The VIX curve is extremely inverted
Data: The spot VIX reached 45.31, the third VIX futures was only 26.39, and the inverted value reached-18.92 vol points.
Interpretation: This extreme inversion suggests that the market is expecting very high volatility over the next 30 days, while expectations for volatility over the next three months have fallen sharply, indicating extreme market panic about short-term risks.
3. Hedge funds are shorting ETFs on a large scale
Data: The flow of individual stock trading in hedge fund prime brokerage accounts has seen its lowest net inflow in nearly a decade (-3σ), while shorting ETFs (SPY, QQQ, IWM) has reached an all-time high (+22%).
Interpretation: It is a typical "systemic risk avoidance" behavior for hedge funds to quickly establish short positions by shorting ETFs while selling existing positions substantially, which usually occurs on the eve of a major market decline.
4. The cost of market liquidity in ES has soared
Data: In the ES (S&P 500 futures) market, bulk sweep costs soared from a normal 2-3 basis points to 12. 9 basis points.
Interpretation: This extreme anomaly indicates that the market's trading depth is almost exhausted, and once there is a stir, prices will jump sharply, potentially triggering a liquidity flash crash.
The VIX curve is extremely inverted + option trading volume hits record highs + extreme negative feedback risk in the Gamma structure + net selling of individual stocks by Prime Book VS historical maximum ETF short selling + surge in ES liquidity costs, prelude to structural break = U.S. stocks are at a critical point of "structural break + extreme market panic + excessive derivatives leverage."
Gold: the game between risk aversion and liquidity black hole
1. The dollar liquidity black hole
Data: The DOLLAR index jumped 3.2% to 109.7 in a single day, the biggest one-day gain since 2002; the offshore dollar funding cost (LIBOR-OIS spread) widened to 83 basis points.
Interpretation: The dollar liquidity black hole leads the market into an extreme risk aversion mode of "cash is king", and the holding cost of gold as a zero coupon asset is surpassed by the real interest rate of US Treasury bonds.
2. Derivatives market chain crash
Data: The world's largest gold ETF (GLD) suffered a net redemption of $2.1 billion, equivalent to the liquidation of 48 tons of gold holdings.
Interpretation: Margin Call Gold futures surged, leveraged funds sold physical gold, COMEX inventories fell by 27 tons in a single day, market makers' liquidity dried up, and the spot price and futures prices were $50 apart.
3. Performance of gold prices
Recent trend: Despite the high level of market panic, gold prices have not risen significantly. Instead, they have been under pressure due to the strength of the dollar and the sell-off in derivatives markets.
Technical analysis: Gold prices have broken below the key support level of $3,100 / oz and may continue to fall in the short term. Technical indicators show that gold is in an oversold zone but lacks momentum to rebound.
Short-term strategy: Investors are advised to avoid holding futures gold for the time being due to the combined impact of market panic and a strong dollar.
Crude oil: U.S. oil prices fell below $60 a barrel
1. Oil prices continued to fall on Sunday night, dragged down by the trade war. Investors are worried that the trade war will hit the global economy hard and lead to lower demand for crude oil.
U.S. crude futures fell 3.3% to $59.94 a barrel after falling 14% over the previous two sessions and closing down last week.
2. Global benchmark Brent crude fell 3. 2% to $63. 46 a barrel.
If oil prices remain near $60 a barrel for a long time, U.S. shale producers may slow drilling and will have to reassess spending levels for the rest of this year and 2026.
4. Focus on data this week
Thursday: 8:30 PM U.S. March unquarterly CPI data
Friday: 8:30 PM US March PPI data
The fundamental shift last week led to a technical reversal of gold's all-time high.
The daily line reversal signal of the twilight star is clear, with the K-line already running below the EMA; short-term rebounds should not be considered. On the 4-hour chart, the EMA tightly suppresses the upward momentum of the K-line. The K-line with a long lower shadow that appeared in early Asian trading on Monday failed to effectively alter the short-term downward trend of gold.
Looking for the European and American market, 1 hour chart bearish signal, enter short gold, target
TP1: 2970
TP2: 2925
TP3: 2915
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
GOLD WEEKLY OPEN – Sentiment-Driven Marke🟡 GOLD WEEKLY OPEN – Sentiment-Driven Market as Asian Sellers Hit Early
Gold kicked off the new week with a sharp drop during the early Asian session, falling over 40 points from last week’s highs into the 297x zone — a move that reflects lingering sell-side pressure from last Friday’s close.
However, price quickly rebounded nearly 40 points, showing clear buy-side interest at the 297x zone — which acts as a key structural support on the H4 and D1 timeframes.
📌 If price breaks below this level convincingly, it could trigger a deeper move toward 295x.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
The overall structure on H4 and D1 remains bullish
But right now, investor sentiment is leading, not just technicals
On H1 and H2, price is reacting to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone
If gold closes below 3030, we could see another leg down into the 295x area
🧠 Sentiment Is In Control (For Now)
So far, only Asia and Australia have shown their hand
We’re waiting on London and New York to step in before confirming trend direction
With price whipping around inside a broad range — only trade from key zones with clear price reaction
🧭 Key Technical Zones:
🔺 Resistance:
3055 – 3076 – 3107
🔻 Support:
3024 – 3005 – 2970 – 2952
🎯 Trading Plan:
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2980 – 2978
SL: 2974
TP: 2984 – 2988 – 2992 – 2996 – 3000
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3076 – 3078
SL: 3082
TP: 3072 – 3068 – 3064 – 3060 – 3056 – 3050
📅 What To Watch This Week:
This week brings major market movers:
CPI → PPI → Fed speakers — all lined up midweek.
→ Be selective with your trades and keep tight risk control.
AD will continue updating intraday zones across sessions.
✅ Trade smart. Respect your risk. Let the market come to you.
— AD | Money Market Flow