Gold Prices Take a Breather: First Weekly Decline in Nine Weeks◉ Overview
● Gold prices have risen for eight consecutive weeks, driven by safe-haven demand and a weaker US dollar.
● However, with US inflation data scheduled for release, investors are becoming cautious, leading to a decline in gold prices.
● The US inflation data will provide insight into the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy decisions.
◉ Technical Observations
● After hitting an all-time high near $2,956, the prices are now declining.
● In the weekly chart, a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern could be observed, indicating negative market sentiments.
● A support level is expected at $2,790, which is nearly 3% below the current market price.
Xauusdshort
Short gold, Target: 2940-2930Bros, I want to say that 2868 is definitely not the lowest point at the current stage, and the bears have not stopped roaring. After gold falls below 2970, market panic will lead to deep selling, which will drive gold prices further down.
So the bears have not left yet, and any rebound is an opportunity to short gold. As the center of gravity of gold prices moves down, the current resistance has moved down to the 2895-2905 zone again. If gold remains below this area, I think gold is likely to move towards the 2940-2930 zone next!
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
XAUUSD: Is there a bottom reversal opportunity coming soon?
Overnight gold prices once again rebounded from the lowest position.
The lowest touched 2900.
There were a lot of data news released in the early morning.
This gave gold prices a certain degree of rebound opportunities.
The highest impact reached 2930,
but then it fell sharply, the lowest to 2905.
It has now returned to the normal level of 2914.
From the big trend. The long-short conversion has become a foregone conclusion.
The operation suggestion is to sell high. Of course, if the sudden news distorts the market trend, there is an exception.
Gold prices continued to fall again following my instructions, reaching a minimum of 2890, forming a double bottom structure at the bottom. There are currently no major factors driving gold prices down in terms of news. Therefore, the current pullback is just a correction, so there is a probability of a sharp rebound after the double bottom support. Focus on the rebound range of 2900-2912. Operation suggestions: Mainly long.
GOLD, Is a correction on the way ???Hello Traders, Hope you are doing great.
GOLD is forming a Rising Wedge Reversal pattern these days and it seems that Bulls aren't able to raise the price at least for now. So I expect a downward correction in upcoming days.
Remember that this kind of corrections are temporary and gold price will probably see higher price this year; so Don't forget to use proper risk management .
and finally tell me What are your thoughts about GOLD ? UP or DOWN ? comment your opinion below this post.
Gold is falling, how to trade?Yesterday, the technical side of gold fluctuated repeatedly in the Asian session and traded sideways, and it was suppressed and fell at the 2950 mark. It continued to fall before the US session in the evening, breaking through the 2925 mark and stabilizing and rebounding. Finally, the US session hit a second high and was suppressed by the 2945 line, ushering in an accelerated waterfall decline. Finally, the gold price fell back in the early morning, pierced the 2900 mark and reached around 2888, rebounded and fluctuated to close.
From the daily chart, a negative line with a long lower shadow appeared on the gold daily chart. The MACD indicator double lines in the figure have entered the dead cross operation process, but the price has not shown obvious decline. The moving average cluster still maintains a long arrangement. After the rebound, the KDJ three lines now also have signs of a dead cross, indicating that the gold price still has a downward trend. The 4-hour chart shows that gold has failed to break through the position near 2956 US dollars after many upward efforts. The support below continues to take effect at the 2888 line. Today's upper short-term resistance opened at 2930-2935 near the hourly line yesterday. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. The target below focuses on the stabilization of the support at the 2900 mark.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to short at 2930-2928, stop loss at 2937, and target at 2915-2910;
XAUUSD Trading SignalsFrom the current 4-hour analysis, the support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 2930, and the short-term pressure above focuses on the 2950-55 line. The overall main tone of relying on low-long participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to the 2930-35 line, and cover long positions when it falls back to the 2920-25 line, stop loss at 2814, and target 2950-2955 line.
XAUUSD SignalAt the 4-hour gold level, long lower shadow K-lines were closed for many consecutive times, and the price repeatedly closed at the middle track and above it, indicating that the short-term bullish momentum is still relatively strong and relatively resistant to declines; at the hourly gold level, there was a wave of decline in the morning today, and it closed with a long lower shadow K-line at 10 o'clock. For the volatile market, this is a bullish signal, and it is in line with a wave of bottoming out and rising in the afternoon; then it stepped back to confirm that the middle track stabilized and continued to be bullish, and the European session was in line with a wave of rise; so for tonight, the support to be paid attention to is still the middle track. As long as it stabilizes and closes above this position, a long lower shadow K-line or a big positive K-line appears to bottom out. These are all opportunities to follow the bullish trend again. The resistance target is the upper track of the yellow channel at 2952. If it breaks through the upper track, it will be the daily trend pressure at 2962. If the middle track is lost and goes down, then tonight will basically be treated as an ups and downs, and the support below 2925-2920 will be watched for stabilization and consolidation.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to short at 2950-2948, stop loss at 2955, target at 2940-2930. It is recommended to long at 2925-2927, stop loss at 2920, target at 2935-2945.
XAUUSD SHORT 4H (Results 3 Targets)Taking into account the existing formation structure, the logical and correct decision now would be to move the stop order to $2929.56.
part of the volume in position is held in accordance with the expectations of the targets:
4 - $2864.330
5 - $2834.270
6 - $2817.215
SCALPING ! XAU , waiting for entry SELL 2928 , TRENDLINE⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said Tuesday he will take a wait-and-see approach on interest rates until there's clear evidence that inflation is returning to the Fed's 2% target.
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan suggested that, in the medium term, the Fed should focus on buying more short-term securities to better align its portfolio with Treasury issuance, according to Bloomberg.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is still moving in the H1 downtrend line, the price zone is correcting and accumulating above 2900.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2928 - $2930 SL $2933 scalping
TP1: $2924
TP2: $2920
TP3: $2915
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
2025.02.24 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders,
Gold is currently in a very extreme market situation. One can imagine the development process of a black swan event as follows:
- **Liquidity Tightening** → Institutions sell paper gold
- **Physical Hoarding Wave** → Bank vaults are overflowing
- **Futures Delivery Obstacles** → COMEX premiums rise
- **Increased Risk Aversion** → Physical gold bars are out of stock
- **Final Outcome**: Paper gold prices drop + physical gold premiums continue to rise!
Currently, there are three major challenges looming over gold prices, facing a critical decision.
**1. Dual Impact of Global Liquidity Tightening**
The tsunami of U.S. debt is coming: Starting last Thursday, the U.S. is issuing $183 billion in ten-year treasuries all at once, equivalent to draining a large reservoir from the market. Banks and institutions must free up huge cash amounts to buy bonds, directly leading to less liquidity in the market. It's worth noting that at this time last year, the weekly bond issuance was around $50 billion; now it has tripled, and bond yields are likely to be pushed above 4.4%.
On the other hand, there's a massive withdrawal of Japanese funds: After the USD/JPY fell below the psychological barrier of 150, it triggered a chain reaction. Over the past three months, arbitrage trades borrowing yen to buy U.S. treasuries now need to close positions worth 1.2 trillion yen (approximately $8 billion) daily. This capital is flowing back to Japan, which is equivalent to the global market losing the liquidity support of a medium-sized central bank every day.
**2. Historical Lessons: Insights from the Oil Futures Incident**
Event Recap: On April 20, 2020, U.S. WTI crude oil futures unprecedentedly fell to -$37 per barrel. The Bank of China's "Crude Oil Treasure" product faced a loss of 9 billion yuan for 60,000 investors due to the inability to complete physical delivery. This disaster exposed the core contradiction: when paper trading encounters bottlenecks in physical delivery, futures prices may completely detach from reality.
Current Reflections on the Gold Market:
1. **Underlying Rush for Physical Gold**: The U.S. imported 2,000 tons of gold in two months (40% of global annual production), but exchange inventories only increased by 674 tons, indicating a significant amount of gold is being hoarded directly.
2. **Paper Gold Bubble Risk**: Gold ETF holdings dropped by 5%, while open futures contracts increased by 23%, showing speculative funds are trying to profit in the derivatives market without actual holdings.
3. **Rehearsal of Delivery Crisis**: If a sudden large-scale delivery demand arises, COMEX might repeat the "negative oil price" moment—paper gold plummets, while physical gold premiums soar.
**3. The Ghost of Inflation Returns**
Two dangerous warning signals have lit up: The raw material payment price indices from the Philadelphia and New York Federal Reserves suddenly jumped to a two-year high. This leading indicator suggests that this month's PCE price index may remain stubbornly high. It's crucial to note that the data that Fed Chair Powell cares about most is this one; if it exceeds a month-over-month increase of 0.4% for three consecutive months, the hope for a rate cut in June will essentially vanish.
The Fed's awkward position: Current interest rates are nearly 2 percentage points lower than the theoretical values calculated by traditional formulas. The market is beginning to bet that if inflation data continues to soar, the Fed may not only hesitate to cut rates but could even be forced to reconsider rate hikes before the end of the year.
Wait for a 4-hour confirmation signal, and look for shorting opportunities in gold on the 1-hour chart.
The shorting targets currently only consider the support levels at the bottom of the top consolidation, namely:
TP1: 2906
TP2: 2880
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
Gold Reversal Confirmed: Bearish Targeting 2,878 SupportThis chart shows a clear double-top pattern at the resistance zone around 2,960, indicating potential bearish momentum. The price has broken below a trendline, confirming weakness. A retest around 2,934 has occurred, and the price is now declining. The next key support level is around 2,878, which could act as a potential target for sellers. If bearish momentum continues, a deeper drop may follow.
- First target: 2,900 (psychological level and minor support)
- Second target: 2,878 (major support zone)
If bearish momentum continues and 2,878 breaks, the next possible target could be around 2,860 for an extended move.
XAUUSD Potentially Bearish #XAUUSD over time has seen some very good bullish run and I still hold a bias for the bullish potential however given the map market is currently showing, OANDA:XAUUSD looks potentially bearish. This may likely be for the short term with immediate targets at the 2,875 zone. Before taking the short, I will love to see this current H4 candle close as a bearish candle.
Results are not typical, do your homework and make your decision yourself, past results does not guarantee future results
XAUUSD analysis looking for short.This is a candlestick chart showing the price movement of Gold (XAU) against the US Dollar (USD) on an hourly timeframe (1H).
The chart shows price action with red and yellow candlesticks indicating bearish and bullish movements. After a period of choppy, sideways movement, there’s a sharp downward price drop followed by a small recovery.
An "Entry Zone" is marked in a shaded red area between roughly 2,914 and 2,922, indicating a potential area where traders might look to enter short positions. Above this zone, a red-shaded region represents a stop-loss area around 2,931.765.
Two potential downward price movement projections are illustrated with black arrows, both suggesting a continuation of the downtrend after possible retests of the entry zone. The ultimate target for this move is marked near 2,865.335, suggesting a bearish outlook.
This chart reflects technical analysis aimed at identifying a short-selling opportunity, with a defined entry zone, stop-loss area, and target for taking profit.
Precious metals declined due to tariff policiesPrecious metals declined due to US President Donald Trump's unpredictable tariff policies but remained anchored at high levels because of this.
On February 25, Mr. Trump directed a study of the possibility of imposing new tariffs on imported copper to rebuild US production of metals critical to electric vehicles, military hardware, power grids and many other consumer goods. He also announced he would soon expand his trade war to include a 25% tariff on goods from the European Union (EU)...
Investors are waiting for the US personal consumption expenditures index (PCE) report, a favorite inflation measure of the Federal Reserve (FED), scheduled to be announced on February 28. How inflation develops can affect the FED's interest rate policy this year and impact the precious metals trend.
Higher-than-expected inflation could strengthen the possibility that the US Central Bank will continue to delay further interest rate cuts. Meger added that as one of the key hedges against inflationary pressures, gold should appreciate more.
XAUUSD:Breaking news, the rise will continue to 2927-2932In the afternoon of London, after notifying the lowest position to buy and make a big profit, gold rebounded to 2914 without more energy, causing the gold price to continue to rise. After reaching 2918, it quickly returned to the position near 2914 and continued to fluctuate. After the market closed, the market was ignited by big news again.
Latest news: The situation between Russia and Ukraine has been further affected by drone attacks.
This has led to the spread of risk aversion and panic in the market. This has led to a sharp increase in demand for XAUUSD.
At present, the price of gold still remains at 2916, and there has not been a significant increase, so it is still a reasonable buying position. The estimated space is about 10-15 points.
Buy at the current price of 2916, tp2927-2932.sl2905
Remember to control trading risks when operating,
XAUUSD Bearish Trend Started for Correction ABCXAUUSD Bearish Trend Started for Correction ABC
Based on recent analyses, gold (XAUUSD) has been on an upward trajectory, reaching record highs above $2,900 in early February 2025. This surge is attributed to factors such as newly imposed tariffs and inflation concerns.
However, some Elliott Wave analyses suggest that gold may be entering a bearish correction phase. For instance, a head and shoulders pattern has been identified, indicating potential for a downward move if key support levels are breached.
Additionally, forecasts indicate that the XAUUSD pair is correcting and may continue to decline, with an estimated pivot point around 2,788.71.
In summary, while gold has recently achieved record highs, certain technical indicators and patterns suggest a possible bearish correction in line with Elliott Wave Theory.
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2890) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2930 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2830 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook:
╰┈➤XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis
Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB/BoJ lower—neutral to bearish.
Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, global 2.5-3%—bullish.
Demand: Central banks, ETFs strong—bullish.
Geopolitics: Tariffs, Russia-Ukraine—bullish.
USD: DXY 106.00, slight softness—mildly bullish.
╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.: Weak PMI (50.4), jobless claims up—bullish.
Global: China 4.5%, Eurozone 1.2%—safe-haven lift.
Commodities: Oil $70.44—supports gold premium.
Trump: Tariffs inflate costs—bullish.
╰┈➤COT Data
Speculators: Net long 55,000—cooling but bullish.
Hedgers: Net short 65,000—stable.
Open Interest: 125,000—sustained interest.
Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 59% short—contrarian upside risk.
Institutional: Bullish to $3000, short-term caution.
Corporate: Miners hedge 2920-2940—neutral.
Social Media : Mixed, bearish near-term (2880-2906).
Broker: 60% long—crowded.
╰┈➤Positioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs to 2949, shorts to 2880.
Retail: Shorts at 2918-2924—squeeze risk.
Institutional: Balanced, inflation bets.
Corporate: Hedging stabilizes.
╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis
SMAs: 50-day 2850, 200-day 2650—bullish.
RSI: 48—neutral.
Bollinger: 2890-2930—consolidation.
Fibonacci: 50% at 2909.47—pivot.
Volatility: 12%, ±35 points daily.
╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis
DXY: 106.00, soft—bullish.
EUR/USD: <1.0500—caps gains.
Gold: Aligns with CHF/JPY—safe-haven.
Equities: S&P 5960-6120—neutral.
Bonds: U.S. 3.8% yield—pressures gold.
╰┈➤News and Events Analysis
Recent: Tariffs, weak U.S. data—bullish.
Upcoming: PCE (Feb 28)—key USD driver.
Impact: Bullish short-term, bearish risk if PCE hot.
╰┈➤Next Trend Move
Technical: Support 2906-2891, resistance 2949-2955.
Short-Term: Dip to 2906-2880, rebound to 2949.
Medium-Term: Range 2850-3000.
Triggers: Bullish—soft PCE; Bearish—hot PCE.
╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook
XAU/USD at 2910.00: Bullish fundamentals (inflation, tariffs) vs. bearish USD strength. Short-term dip to 2880, medium-term to 3000 if catalysts hit.
╰┈➤Future Prediction
Bullish: 2980-3000 by Q2 2025 (soft USD, tariffs).
Bearish: 2850-2864 (hot PCE, Fed hawkish).
Prediction: Bearish to 2880 short-term, bullish to 2980 mid-2025.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
continue to decrease, return to price zone 2904⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US consumer confidence saw its biggest drop since August 2021, falling to 98.3 in February from 105.3, according to the Conference Board.
Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said on Tuesday that he favors a wait-and-see approach on interest rates until there is clear evidence that inflation is returning to the Fed’s 2% target.
Meanwhile, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan suggested that, over time, the Fed should prioritize purchasing shorter-term securities to better align its portfolio with Treasury issuance, as reported by Bloomberg.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Still a downtrend today, back to the price range of 2900, 2890 to accumulate the uptrend
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2905 - $2903 SL $2900 scalping
TP1: $2908
TP2: $2912
TP3: $2920
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2889 - $2887 SL $2882
TP1: $2895
TP2: $2903
TP3: $2910
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2946 - $2948 SL $2953
TP1: $2940
TP2: $2930
TP3: $2920
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE :
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account