Gold Unstoppable to get to 3000, but we might see a pullbackOn Gold futures I clearly see this going for new historical highs, but since everyone is joining the ride a pullback is around the corner.
Liquidity has just been swept on the 4Hr, so this would be a perfect scenario to squeeze the longs all the way down to a bullish order block/demand zone at 2853,2
Xauusdshort
Downward pressure on XAUUSD concerning geopolitical developmentReports of a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon have emerged. If confirmed, this could reduce gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, potentially exerting downward pressure on its price .
On February 8, 2025, Lebanon formed a new government led by Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, ending a prolonged political deadlock. The new administration aims to implement reforms to address Lebanon's economic crisis and to ensure the reconstruction of areas damaged during the recent conflict with Israel. The ceasefire agreement with Israel, initially set to expire, has been extended to February 18, 2025.
OANDA:XAUUSD
$XAUUSD ShortGold showed a **double purge** signal, which could indicate a **bearish correction** move. This correction aims to seek liquidity in a discounted region, allowing the continuation of the **bullish** movement afterward. It's important to note that the correction can be seen as an opportunity for accumulation before the trend resumes upward, with the market looking for support levels to fuel further gains. However, we should remain alert to reversal signals or external events that could alter this scenario.
Gold Under Pressure: Potential Bearish Reversal from Resistance
🚨 XAUUSD Bearish Reversal Setup at Key Fibonacci Levels 🚀📉
Gold (XAUUSD) is approaching a critical resistance zone between the 1.272 (2846.09) and 1.618 (2866.24) Fibonacci extension levels, where price often shows signs of exhaustion. After an extended bullish rally, momentum is slowing down ⚡—hinting at a possible reversal.
📊 Technical Breakdown:
• 🔑 Fibonacci Confluence: Price is reacting strongly around 1.272 and heading towards 1.618—classic reversal zones for trend exhaustion.
• ❌ Rejection Signals: Multiple wick rejections suggest strong selling pressure from institutional levels.
• 📉 Trendline Support Target: A rising trendline around 2790.57 could act as the next bearish target if momentum shifts.
• 🎯 Risk-Reward Edge: Stop loss secured above 2867 to avoid fakeouts, targeting a high-probability move towards trendline support.
💼 Trade Setup:
• 🔻 Sell Entry: 2840–2850
• 🛡️ Stop Loss: 2867 (above resistance)
• 🎯 Take Profit: 2790 (trendline support)
📈 Market Outlook:
If price fails to break above the resistance zone, expect a bearish correction towards the trendline. A strong breakout above 2867 would invalidate this setup, signaling continued bullish strength.
🤔 What’s your outlook on XAUUSD? Drop your analysis below! 👇🔥
SCALPING XAU ! resistance 2882 entry SELL today⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield dropped to its lowest level since December 12 this week, driven by expectations of two Fed rate cuts by the end of 2025, further boosting demand for non-yielding gold.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee attributed the recent inflation stagnation to base effects, emphasizing the need to balance overheating risks with economic stability. Meanwhile, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan acknowledged significant inflation progress but noted that the labor market remains too strong to justify imminent rate cuts. However, this did little to strengthen the US Dollar.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Nova still thinks the market today will have a surprise for NF, the market will fall freely, going against the current majority psychology.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2881 - $2883 SL $2888
TP1: $2870
TP2: $2860
TP3: $2850
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Textbook XAUUSD Short – Clean Setup, Precise Execution,Solid TP
🔔 Trade Recap: XAUUSD 15m – Precision Entry & Clean Execution 🎯
Just wrapped up a successful short position on XAUUSD! Spotted a clear liquidity grab above resistance around 2869.88, followed by strong bearish confirmation. 📉 This setup perfectly aligned with my ICT concepts strategy, focusing on market structure and liquidity zones.
📍 Entry: 2869.35
🛑 Stop Loss: 2873.00 (above the liquidity sweep)
🎯 Take Profit: 2856.10 (targeting recent lows)
Price respected the resistance zone and moved sharply in my favor, hitting TP for a solid risk-to-reward ratio. 💪 Patience and discipline paid off once again!
Key Takeaway: Trust your analysis, stay consistent, and let the market come to you. 🚀
Long Gold Bulls may take a nap, and dips would be likely to buyGold trading around 2862/2861
Expectedly gold bullish momentum paused around suggested level 2879 by making high of 2882.xx, it is assumed that bulls may take a dip around 2840/2828 witnessed that is my Sell Goal and from where upon rejection we may witnessed a bounce towards 2865/2882 once again and that my buy goals on dips.
Hence Short and long both possible on right levels like we suggested a sell around 2879 yesterday that worked perfectly well.
I am looking for you feedback and response on latest analysis and wish you good luck on your trading decisions.
SELL XAUUSDSELL XAUUSD
I am selling XAU/USD (Gold against the US Dollar) due to a combination of technical, fundamental, and macroeconomic factors that suggest a potential decline in the price of gold relative to the US dollar. Here’s a detailed explanation of my reasoning:
---
### 1. **Strengthening US Dollar (USD)**
- The US dollar has been showing signs of strength due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish monetary policy, including interest rate hikes or the expectation of tighter monetary conditions. A stronger dollar typically puts downward pressure on gold prices, as gold is priced in USD and becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies.
- Positive economic data from the US, such as robust GDP growth, low unemployment, or rising consumer confidence, further supports the dollar's strength, making gold less attractive.
---
### 2. **Rising Interest Rates**
- Gold is a non-yielding asset, meaning it does not generate interest or dividends. When interest rates rise, the opportunity cost of holding gold increases, as investors can earn higher returns from interest-bearing assets like bonds or savings accounts.
- The Federal Reserve's commitment to combating inflation by maintaining higher interest rates for longer reduces the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.
---
### 3. **Declining Inflation Expectations**
- Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. However, if inflation expectations are moderating or falling, the demand for gold as an inflation hedge diminishes.
- Recent data showing easing inflationary pressures in the US or globally could reduce the urgency for investors to hold gold.
---
### 4. **Technical Analysis**
- From a technical perspective, XAU/USD may be showing signs of a bearish trend. Key support levels may have been broken, or moving averages may indicate a downward momentum.
- Overbought conditions on indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) could suggest a potential reversal or correction in gold prices.
---
### 5. **Risk-On Market Sentiment**
- Improved risk appetite in financial markets, driven by optimism about economic growth or resolution of geopolitical tensions, can lead investors to shift away from safe-haven assets like gold and into riskier assets such as equities or cryptocurrencies.
- A reduction in geopolitical risks or market uncertainty reduces the demand for gold as a protective asset.
---
### 6. **Central Bank Gold Reserves**
- While central banks have been net buyers of gold in recent years, any slowdown in their purchasing activity or a shift in their reserve management strategy could reduce demand for gold, putting downward pressure on prices.
---
### 7. **Seasonal or Cyclical Factors**
- Gold prices often exhibit seasonal patterns, with demand fluctuating based on cultural or economic factors. If the current period aligns with a historically weaker season for gold, this could contribute to a price decline.
---
### Conclusion:
Selling XAU/USD aligns with my analysis of the current macroeconomic environment, technical indicators, and market sentiment. While gold remains a valuable long-term asset and a hedge against uncertainty, the current conditions suggest a potential short-to-medium-term decline in its price relative to the US dollar. As always, I will monitor the market closely for any changes in trends or new developments that could impact this outlook.
---
NF - Will the BIG SELL happen or not?⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
China has imposed tariffs on select US goods in response to President Trump’s 10% levy on Chinese imports, escalating trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies and reinforcing demand for safe-haven gold.
On the economic front, the US Department of Labor (DoL) reported that initial jobless claims rose to 219K for the week ending February 1, up from the previous week’s revised 208K. Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration is less concerned about the Federal Reserve’s rate path and is instead focused on lowering 10-year Treasury yields.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The market is too expecting a price increase - big FOMO will have high risks. NF news will shock the market today, BIG SELL will happen
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2851 - $2949 SL $2845 scalping
TP1: $2855
TP2: $2860
TP3: $2865
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2813 - $2811 SL $2806
TP1: $2820
TP2: $2828
TP3: $2835
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD - Gold need correction till golden zone of retracement!Hello Mates!
As we all watching XAUUUSD making ATH from last Two weeks and every time breaking its Higher Highs but here we need a good correction in gold to continue its trend here i have shared my analysis for gold read chart carefully and description.
As gold has made two parallel channels in bullish trend internal and external parallel channels and following respecting external channel for impulsive wave and internal channel for pull back/retest/ and correction.
i have drawn those both channel and marked all levels of movement!
Gold Next Move
Gold needs to take a corrective move till internal channel's down trendline which is very good zone of support and buying zone. where market can react with high volume candle to make a new ATH.
Key Points
Support: 2791
Resistance: 2895
Fib Golden Zone: 2815-2827
OB and FVG Level:2771-2792
Gold will give good move till 2791 and this is my target for sell, and buying zone for gold
if you like my analysis support me and like my ideas
gold on 2 formation#XAUUSD price have finally breakout new high, now based on what happens on past 2 hour following the fast drop at 2877, if price retracment happens above 2877 then target is 2891, but if the H1 time drops and close below 2855 then target is below 2825-2800. SL ON buy 2866, SL ON sell 2866.
XAUUSD Gold Short Trade For Swing TradersEvery day, the market sets new highs. According to the study, we should expect a good corrective move in the next days.
We have SL in the last two transactions. We intend to execute a swing sell trade with a risk-reward ratio of 1-10; if this fails, we will proceed with a 1-12 risk-reward ratio.
The market is at a point where a correction should occur, but the outlook for gold remains favorable.
Because the market is already at an all-time high, preparing a long trade now may be riskier, thus in order to be active in long trades this month, we must wait for at least 70-100 points of price correction.
You are all respectfully requested to use proper risk management when following these assessments and executing the suggested trades.
XAU/USD Short Trade for swing tradersThe market is reaching an all-time high every day. According to the analysis, we should see a good corrective move in the coming days.
We have SL in the past two trades. We are planning a swing sell trade with a 1-10 risk-reward ratio; if this fails, we will plan the next swing trade with a 1-12 risk-reward ratio.
The market is at levels where a corrective move should occur, but the view on gold is still bullish.
Because the market is already at an all-time high, planning a long trade, for now, can be more risky, so to be active in long trades for this month, we need to wait for at least 70-100 points of correction in price.
you are all kindly requested to follow proper risk management to follow these analyses and execute the provided trades.
Signal gold📉 Signal 1: Entering a Short Trade
🔹 Entry Conditions:
If the price fails to break 2,806 - 2,813 and shows bullish weakness, a short trade can be considered.
Entry around 2,789 is suitable.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Above 2,800
🔹 Take Profit:
First target: 2,777
Second target: 2,764
Third target: 2,764 (if the downtrend continues)
🔹 Risk Management:
If the price stabilizes above 2,813, reassess the trade.
If 2,777 support is broken, the downtrend will strengthen.
📈 Signal 2: Entering a Long Trade
🔹 Entry Conditions:
If the price holds the 2,777 - 2,789 support and reversal candles appear, a long trade can be considered.
Entry around 2,818 is suitable.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Below 2,806
🔹 Take Profit:
First target: 2,850
🔹 Risk Management:
If 2,764 is broken, reassess the long trade.
If the 2,813 resistance is broken, the uptrend will strengthen.
✅ Overall Conclusion:
If the price reaches 2,806 - 2,813 and shows weakness, a short (sell) trade is preferable.
If the price reaches 2,777 - 2,789 and shows bullish reversal signs, a long (buy) trade is logical.
Entry confirmation should be based on price action and candlestick patt
XAU/USD Short Trade for swing tradersThe market is reaching an all-time high every day. According to the analysis, we should see a good corrective move in the coming days.
From our previous analysis, we gained almost 200 pips from 2830 to 2808. Now, we are planning a swing sell trade with a 1-5 risk-reward ratio; if this trade fails, we will plan the next swing trade with a 1-8 risk-reward ratio.
you are all kindly requested to follow proper risk management to follow these analyses and execute the provided trades.