Gold price analysis November 22Gundamental analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) maintained its strong intraday gains in early European trading and is now trading near a two-week high, just below the $2,700 mark. Persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the worsening Russia-Ukraine conflict helped the safe-haven precious metal extend its weekly rally for a fifth straight day. In addition, expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump’s expansionary policies could stoke inflationary pressures turned out to be another factor in favor of the commodity, which is seen as an inflation hedge.
Meanwhile, buying of the US dollar (USD) remained unabated amid growing acceptance that higher inflation could limit the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Furthermore, expectations of a less dovish Fed, coupled with concerns over a larger fiscal deficit, still favor rising US Treasury yields, although they have not significantly dampened the bullish sentiment around non-yielding Gold. XAU/USD bulls have even ignored the prevailing risk-on sentiment, suggesting that the path of least resistance for bullion is to the upside.
Technical Analysis
2708-2710 is emerging as a technical resistance zone at the moment with corrective waves expected. 2673 and 2675 are the two targets we are aiming for. Note that today is the weekend so huge volatility is still waiting for the US session.
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GOLD: Correction Likely After Impulse RallyThe 4-hour XAU/USD chart shows a completed Elliott Wave (1-5) structure, with wave (5) reaching the $2,655-$2,660 resistance zone, indicating a potential reversal. A corrective ABC pattern is expected:
Wave A: Targeting $2,620-$2,630 (middle support zone).
Wave B: Minor retracement below $2,655.
Wave C: Extending to $2,600-$2,610 (lower support).
As gold prices are highly sensitive to macroeconomic events, traders should use proper position sizing and stop-loss levels to mitigate risks. Keep an eye on upcoming economic releases and geopolitical tensions that might affect market volatility.
Good luck
Gold and War: The Hidden Signal Behind the RallyIt is well-known that wars have a significant impact on gold prices, and the key factor often lies in the stance of the U S. Before the election, geopolitical tensions and inflation created favorable conditions for gold’s rise.
However, with Trump winning the presidency, gold prices experienced a sharp decline. The primary reason was his campaign statements about actively mediating the Russia-Ukraine war if elected. As a result, the market anticipated an end to the war, triggering a rapid sell-off in gold. Although gold prices have recently started to recover, this seems more like a technical correction to the previous drop.
Yesterday, an intercontinental missile was deployed in the war for the first time. On the surface, this appears to signal an escalation in the conflict, but I believe it may actually hint at the war nearing its end. This “last frenzy” could be both sides vying for the strongest position at the negotiating table.
In this context, how long can the current gold rally last? How high might it go? These are difficult questions to answer. However, one thing is clear: when peace talks are finalized, gold could retreat to the 2480-2350 range.
The best signal for goldGold has been fluctuating at a high level during the day on Thursday. So far, it has reached the highest level of 2671. Now it is still fluctuating at the level of 2668. From the overall trend, gold bulls are still very strong, but the pressure from the upper 2680 level is also relatively strong. Therefore, we do not recommend going long at high levels, because the technical side may fall back at any time. Therefore, we mainly operate steadily and wait for a short-term decline to continue going long.
Judging from the current 4-hour gold trend, the important upper pressure is at 2675-2680, the short-term support below is at 2648-50, and the support below is at 2640
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long when gold falls back to 2648-2650, add to long position when it falls back to 2640, stop loss at 2633, target at 2660-65, break to 2675-80;
2. Go short when gold rebounds to 2675-2680 but does not break, stop loss at 2687, target at 2648-2652, break to 2640;
XAU ! Nov 21 ! waiting for resistance 2674XAU / USD trend forecast November 21, 2024
Gold prices (XAU/USD) hold onto their upward momentum as the European session approaches, currently hovering near the $2,660 mark, a one-and-a-half-week high reached earlier this Thursday. This marks the fourth consecutive day of gains, driven by heightened geopolitical risks arising from the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict, which supports demand for the safe-haven metal. Additionally, a slight weakening of the US Dollar (USD) provides further support for the commodity.
The price increase continues - gold price recovers strongly. Waiting for reaction at resistance levels: 2674 - 2682 - 2710. The price increase continues - gold price recovers strongly. Waiting for reaction at resistance levels: 2674 - 2682 - 2710. World military tension will ease from next year with more peaceful policies of President Trump.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2672-2675
SL: 2680
TP: 50 - 150 - 300pips (2645)
Safe and profitable trading
Short gold, TP:2660-2650Bros, gold has risen sharply under the support of risk aversion, and is currently near 2672. Although gold continues to rise in a cycle, it has not yet effectively broken through the 2675-2680 area. When facing this area, gold is expected to have a round of technical retracement. It is very difficult to chase the rise of gold at present, and there is no good position to participate in long gold, so at least wait until gold falls back to the 2660-2650 area before there is a better position to participate in gold long transactions.
Obviously, before gold breaks through the 2675-2680 area, I will try to short gold first; after gold falls back to the 2660-2650 area in the short term, I will consider going long on gold!
Gold Market Update and Trading InsightsMarket Performance and Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices climbed further today, affirming our bullish stance since the beginning of this week. Traders who have followed this strategy are already seeing solid returns.
1. Geopolitical Risks Driving Safe-Haven Demand
The escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict has heightened global market concerns, boosting the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset. Additionally, uncertainties surrounding global economic growth continue to underpin gold demand.
2. US Economic Data and Federal Reserve Outlook
Key U.S. data to watch today includes initial jobless claims, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, and existing home sales. However, these releases are expected to have minimal impact on gold’s upward trend, with geopolitical risks being the dominant driver.
Trading Strategy
Focus on long positions. Consider accumulating long positions below 2670, targeting the resistance level at 2683. A breakout above this level could pave the way for further gains.
Key Levels to Monitor
Support: 2660-2665;
Resistance: 2683 and 2690;
adjusted for individual risk tolerance.
Risk Advisory and VIP Support
While VIP users have reported strong profits, some traders may have experienced losses or trapped positions due to deviation from recommended strategies. If you need assistance, feel free to reach out for tailored solutions.
To help new traders experience our methodology, I am offering a free VIP trial session. Contact me to learn more and gain exclusive insights.
Reminder: Gold markets are highly volatile. Manage your positions wisely, adhere to your trading plan, and trade with discipline to ensure sustainable profitability.
Gold Trading Strategy 11/21Based on the recent gold market movements, the following analysis and strategy are proposed:
Market Overview:
Previous Decline: Gold prices have declined from around 2670, causing long positions entered near 2700 to be trapped.
Current Situation: As prices rebound to approximately 2650, some traders are closing positions to realize profits, leading to sustained fluctuations at this level.
Remaining Positions: High-level positions remain trapped, requiring prices to rise to around 2670 for breakeven.
Strategic Insights:
Resistance at 2670: Upon reaching 2670, there is an 80% probability of price decline or consolidation, with only a 20% chance of further increase.
Optimal Shorting Zone: The 2663-2673 range presents a favorable opportunity for short positions, offering potential high returns with manageable risk.
Trading Strategy:
Initial Positioning at 2652:
Minimal Short Position: Enter a small short position to test market response.
Minimal Long Position: Alternatively, enter a small long position to capitalize on potential upward movement.
Adjustments Based on Price Movements:
If Price Rises Above 2660:
Close long positions.
Add to short positions.
If Price Falls Below 2640:
Close short positions.
Add to long positions.
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss Orders: Implement appropriate stop-loss levels to mitigate potential losses.
Position Sizing: Ensure position sizes align with individual risk tolerance and account size.
XAUUSD Next RoadmapHi traders,
We are seeing XAUUSD is creating secondary and might reaching the resistance soon.
The area of fibonacci 50% area 2658-2675 together with the resistance from the trendline might be the destination of the current temporary bullish movement.
Lets look for the potential reversal pattern and looking for short position.
Good luck!
XAU ! 11/20 ! Gold sideways, holding above 2600XAU / USD trend forecast November 20, 2024
Gold prices (XAU/USD) continue their intraday retreat from the $2,642 level, a one-and-a-half-week high reached earlier on Wednesday, dropping to a new daily low during the early European session. The US Dollar (USD) gains support from dip-buying, fueled by a notable rise in US Treasury yields amid expectations of a more cautious approach to policy easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This shift in sentiment diverts investment flows away from the non-yielding yellow metal.
Gold price recovered, still maintaining above 2600, sideways price range 2600-2645
/// SELL XAU : zone 2629-2632
SL: 2637
TP: 50 - 100 - 300pips (2602)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold’s profit this week has been 280%After hitting a two-month low, gold rebounded in the short term, mainly because US President Biden announced that Ukraine could use long-range missiles provided by the United States to carry out deep strikes into Russian territory. Russia said it would respond to this reckless decision, which would directly involve the United States in the conflict. This has increased the uncertainty of the major geopolitical event of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and boosted gold's safe-haven demand. Safe-haven buying has driven gold prices higher.
Driven by yesterday's positive line that broke through the 5-day line, the gold market sentiment today is obviously bullish. During the Asian session, it rebounded and tested the pressure at 2627, without breaking the expected 60-day line pressure. On the hourly chart, this also completed the short-term three-wave rebound action. However, during the European session, gold suddenly rose again, testing the pressure at 2636. Such a trend is a 4-wave small rebound rhythm on the hourly chart. This state is acceptable, but it also reflects that there is an extreme sentiment in the current market.
The United States continues to stir up tensions in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and the market's risk aversion sentiment has heated up. Safe-haven buying has pushed gold prices up. In terms of operations, it is recommended to treat it with a volatile mindset. Affected by the cooling of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, it is difficult to determine that the current rebound is a reversal unless the tension further intensifies. The support for gold below is $2,620, followed by $2,610, and the pressure above is $2,650, followed by $2,660. Overall, today's short-term gold operation strategy is recommended to focus on callbacks and high shorts. The upper short-term focus is on the 2650-2660 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2620-2615 line of support.
Gold Trading StrategiesGold continues to fluctuate around 2648. If you want to take a break, just close the order and take a break. Today is profitable overall. There is no need to stay up late and hurt your body because of a $2 fluctuation. I will share signals with you again during tomorrow's trading. Making a stable profit every day will accumulate over time, which is not bad.
Gold Market Analysis and Strategy
Based on the current market trends, there is a strong likelihood that gold prices will continue to rise beyond the 2650 level. At this point, a shorting opportunity may emerge, as there appears to be a potential downside of approximately $28, targeting a price around 2622.
Key Considerations:
Upward Momentum: Gold’s recent movements indicate strong bullish momentum, likely driven by market sentiment and technical factors.
Resistance at 2650: The 2650 level serves as a significant resistance zone where the upward trend may stall.
Shorting Opportunity: After reaching this resistance, there could be a reversal, offering a window for shorting with a measurable target.
Trading Plan:
Entry Point: Monitor gold prices closely as they approach 2650. Prepare to open short positions once signs of reversal appear, such as bearish candlestick patterns or a decline in momentum indicators.
Target: Set the target at 2622, capturing the $28 potential downward movement.
Risk Management: Use a stop-loss above 2660 to minimize potential losses in case of unexpected bullish breakouts.
Gold Market Analysis and Strategy
Gold prices continue to fluctuate around the 2640 level. The initial short position has already reached the target of 2622. Currently, prices are rising again, and it is expected that the previous high of 2641 will be broken.
Trading Strategy:
Long Opportunity:
Close around 2645
Short Opportunity:
Alternatively, wait for the price to rise into the 2646-2655 range, which is anticipated to serve as a resistance zone, before opening short positions (selling).
Expected Target:
For the short position, a potential downside of approximately $19 is anticipated, targeting a drop back to the 2627-2636 range.
Try to short gold with 2660-2670 area as resistanceGuys, I'm a professional trader! So I don't like to exaggerate my trading ideas too much. I like to record my trading strategies in a simple way and keep steady profits!
Today, when gold tried to fall below 2420, I believe many people are expecting gold to continue to fall and fill the gap below, at least many people expect gold to fall to the 2610-2600 area. When gold failed to effectively fall below 2620 three times, I chose to buy gold and ended our transaction by hitting TP: 2645, which was a very good profit!
At present, gold has touched around 2650. Obviously, I will not continue to buy gold here. Instead, I will look for opportunities to short gold! So where will gold rise? I think there will not be much room for growth in the short term, and it will face resistance in the 2660-2670 area in the short term. So I will try to short gold with resistance in this area.
So trading strategy: short gold at 2655-2665, TP: 2645-2635
Gold Market Update and Strategy InsightsToday, gold prices rebounded sharply from the lows, driven by heightened safe-haven demand following news of North Korea’s potential involvement in the Ukraine conflict. Prices surged from 2622 to 2650, aligning with my recent emphasis on prioritizing long positions in gold. Those who followed this approach should have seen significant gains in their accounts!
Market Outlook and Strategy Suggestions
A technical pullback is likely in the near term, with 2640 identified as a key support level. If the price dips to this level, it is expected to trigger the next upward trend.
Trading Plan for Today:
Enter light short positions near 2650, targeting 2640;
Increase long positions around 2640, aiming to ride the next bullish wave;
Risk Management: Place stop-loss for shorts above 2660 and for longs below 2635.
Risk Advisory and VIP Support
While VIP users have reported strong profits this week, some traders may have experienced losses or trapped positions due to deviation from recommended strategies. If this applies to you, I am here to assist with tailored solutions.
For those considering joining VIP but hesitant, I am offering a free trial session to showcase my strategic approach. Reach out if interested!
Reminder: The gold market remains highly volatile. Always manage your positions wisely, avoid over-leveraging, and trade with discipline to secure sustainable profits.
100% accurate gold trading strategyGold daily level: Yesterday, it continued to squeeze out and pull up, closing with a small positive, standing above the 10-day moving average. After a sharp drop of 250 US dollars in the previous few weeks, there was an oversold rebound correction, and this correction was rapid, in one go, without a decent retracement in the middle. So in the process of the original short-term weak decline, there was suddenly such a wave of pull-ups. It seems strong, but it is actually internally empty and it is difficult to gain a foothold. Once it is suppressed, the speed will be relatively fast; 2643 line belongs to the 6 rebound of 2710-2536 18 division resistance, today's highest 2642 has been basically tested, and the European session ushered in a wave of decline. Once it closes below the 10-day moving average, there will be suppression signals, and if it falls below the 5-day moving average, it can be basically judged that the rebound is over and returns to suppression and adjustment; the current 10-day moving average support is 2617, and the 5-day moving average support is 2597. Pay attention to gains and losses; Gold 4-hour level: the 66-day moving average began to be under pressure, and the 10-day moving average also broke down. Pay attention to the middle track 2602 line if it declines tonight. Once it can't be maintained, this cycle will return to the weak suppression structure.