Strong Economy = Weak Gold | XAUUSDPositive unemployment data is indirectly bad news for gold. Because good unemployment data = low probability of recession , Gold price was going up because of the probability of crisis increases.
That's why I think gold will lose this tiny reaction from the range low point at full speed and go to the boxes below.
I don't overcomplicate things and add a ton of dirty crap to my charts, but you can check out the success of my analysis below.
I approach trading with confidence backed by experience and past success in identifying high-probability setups.
While I don’t claim to be the best, my track record speaks for itself, and I strive to let my analysis and results do the talking. Watch these levels closely—markets can confirm what charts already whisper. Let’s see how this plays out together.
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Xauusdshort
Gold’s Key Support at RiskGold is once again in a downtrend, and the key level to watch is the support zone between 2618-2609. If this support holds, gold may form a double bottom, increasing the chances of a rebound.
However, if the support breaks, this could likely be the final leg of a five-wave downtrend, and the decline could be the largest of the current cycle, potentially breaking below 2600 and reaching 2580, or even lower.If you're looking to go long on gold (trend trading), you will need to wait for the end of the five-wave decline and for a clear bottoming pattern to form before making your move.
XAU ! Scalping , trade under 2700 ! The bears will prevailSCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US President-elect Donald Trump's promise to impose tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China sparked renewed safe-haven demand for Gold.
Meanwhile, Ukraine reported its largest Russian drone attack to date, alongside reports of Russia using a hypersonic missile last week and advancing at its quickest pace since the 2022 invasion. Allegations of North Korean troops being deployed in Ukraine further complicate the situation, while Ukraine's strikes on deep Russian targets using Western-supplied missiles increase the risk of further conflict escalation.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is recovering. If it breaks through 2662, the buying force will still be strong and will wait for a stronger resistance area at 2688.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2688 - $2690 SL $2693
TP1: $2680
TP2: $2670
TP3: $2660
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Sorry, I've already started shorting goldBros, gold rose to the 2650-2660 area as expected, and we made a very good profit on the long position we held since yesterday. At present, gold has reached a high of around 2654. Then it is obvious that since gold fell from 2721 to 2604, its 50% split line is exactly in the 2660-2665 area; and in the short term, since gold fell from 2688 to 2604, its 61.8% split line is exactly in the 2655-2660 area. So gold faces resistance in the 2655-2665 area in the short term.
If the current rebound of gold is just a correction to the downward trend, then gold may still fall again when facing this resistance area. So I have reminded everyone that you can short gold near 2653, bros, wish us good luck!
Bros, have you shorted gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Building a Bottom Before ReboundWhether from the perspective of the 5-wave pattern or the support levels established during the previous uptrend, both suggest that the current price is forming a bottom region before a potential rebound. We need to be patient during this phase. Of course, I’m sure there are some traders who enjoy scalping—if that's the case, you can trade smaller intraday swings during the bottoming process. However, I would recommend focusing on buying at lower levels for better entry points.
Will gold continue to rise?
For now, can gold continue to rally next week? Will there be a new rise? The answer is, of course! Remember, continuity is the key to an uptrend anyway, and look at crude oil to see what rhythm is.
Fundamentals from the overall pattern, risk aversion has not subsided, gold is still in an upward pattern.
The current plate technical point of view, last week's weekly line big Yin and this week's weekly line big Yang echo, rise and fall are also 150 dollars range, the only difference lies in a negative line, a positive line. This week's pull up broke the weekly four consecutive Yin closed a big Yang column, the solid effectively stabilized the upward channel, and closed above the short-term weekly average, the intensive support on the cycle average line is more prominent, the cycle index also maintained upward, weekly long strong;
Therefore, weekly deep V reversal, superpose daily 5 even Yang, a little bit in the long run must be to test the previous high 2785-2790, this position may directly break through, may also be regress after the adjustment to break through.
Either way, the direction is up, so the trading mind only needs to be long, and a pullback is an opportunity to be long. This is also evidenced by our continued bullish thinking this week.
Detailed trading strategies will be updated later, so join me in the discussion
Hold on to the short position and don't give up!Bros, gold once rose to around 2658. Seeing the sharp rise in gold in the short term, have you given up your short position?
I still insist on holding short orders near 2653. Although gold rose sharply to near 2658 in a short period of time, it did not break through the 50% dividing line in the 2660-2665 area; and the daily level resistance is also located near 2660. and the daily level resistance is also located near 2660. So I have reason to believe that after gold fails to effectively break through the 2660-2665 area, it will usher in a wave of retracement in the short term, and the retracement target is 2640-2635 area.
Therefore, I still continue to hold a short position in gold and look forward to a good result and continue our winning streak!
Bros, have you shorted gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Rebound 2661 - still moving DOWN! XAU⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold’s decline was limited by the escalating Ukraine-Russia conflict, which helped XAU/USD hold above the $2,600 per ounce level, despite the Greenback regaining some strength.
On the data front, the US Conference Board's Consumer Confidence for November came in stronger than both expectations and October's figures.
Looking ahead, key US economic reports this week include Durable Goods Orders, Initial Jobless Claims, and the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
H1 frame shows signs of Gold breaking the rising trend, expected to recover to the 2662 area then follow the main trend DOWN by the end of 2024
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2661 - $2663 SL $2668
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2630
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2607 - $2605 SL $2602 scalping
TP1: $2612
TP2: $2618
TP3: $2625
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2582 - $2580 SL $2575
TP1: $2590
TP2: $2600
TP3: $2610
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
The most accurate gold trading signalsGold 4-hour level: Last night, it was under pressure and fell below the 10-day moving average, which was in line with the principle of weakness; and today, the Asian and European sessions fluctuated slowly upward and broke through the 10-day moving average, which showed some rebound strength. For tonight, the middle track 2658 is the next test. Once it fails to break through it, it will rise and fall again; Gold hourly level: From yesterday to now, the trend has been in the oscillating upward channel in the figure. Before the upper and lower tracks have broken through effectively, we should rely on the upper track to be bearish on highs and the lower track to be bullish on lows; At present, the upper track 2653 has some There are signs of pressure. The lower rail supports the upper rail in the range of 2633-30. If it repeatedly tests the upper rail, the derived pressure will be 2656. The important data tonight is 23 points of PCE. Once it rises as expected, it will suppress the gold price, which will easily swallow up the day's gains. Therefore, tonight, we tend to be bearish on rallies below 2653-56, and pay attention to the gains and losses of the lower rail support 2633-30. If it stabilizes and stabilizes, consider a rebound. If the big negative is lost, the weak pressure will continue, and then pay attention to the support of 2605.
It is recommended to go short near 2660, stop loss at 2670, target at 2648-2640; it is recommended to go long near 2630, stop loss at 2625, target at 2650-2658;
Gold rebounded beyond expectations, what to do?Today, gold successfully broke through the high of 2640 in the European session and has reached near 2655. The short-term bullish and bearish situation changed quickly, but the huge negative decline in the daily line laid the foundation for bearishness. Tonight's US session is expected to be a trend of rising and falling. Pay attention to the pressure near 2658 on the top and the support of 2630 on the bottom. If it falls below, it will continue to test the 2620 mark. The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a short-term arrangement of a dead cross downward. After the sharp drop in gold on Monday, gold continued to bottom out and rebounded yesterday, but it was still oscillating back and forth. Today, the rebound continued, but gold was still under the pressure of the previous low of 2658 in the 1-hour. Gold is still a rebound. The market is changing rapidly. It is normal to rebound after falling too much, but it is too early to define that gold has reversed. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on rebound shorting and supplemented by callback longing. The short-term focus on the upper side is 2658-2660 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2610-2605 support.
Target Achieved, Future OutlookAfter a prolonged period of consolidation, gold has finally reached above 2650, just as we predicted, bringing in great profits! The price is now in a selling pressure zone, with key data releases approaching. In this case, it's prudent to pause trading and observe the selling pressure around 2660. If the selling pressure is strong, you can follow the trend to short, but be mindful of the strong support zone below. As long as it holds, gold is likely to continue its upward movement. Therefore, do not hold short positions too long. If there's a second surge in volume and a breakout occurs, gold could rise towards the 2680 zone.
XAUUSDHello Trader; Gold is currently finding support at two key levels:
$2680
$2620
These levels are critical for traders looking to capitalize on price movements.
Effective trading, however, hinges not just on identifying support levels but on disciplined money management.
Taking on more risk requires a clear strategy, as success in trading is fundamentally tied to how well you manage your capital.
XAUUSD OUTLOOK H4 XAU/USD (Gold) with key features highlighted. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
1. Order Block and FVG:
The upper blue zone represents an Order Block, an area of institutional interest where selling pressure may emerge.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) is also marked, indicating a potential imbalance that the price might fill before continuing its movement.
2. Supply Zone:
The mid-level blue zone indicates a Supply Zone, where selling pressure is likely to push the price downward if tested.
3. CHoCH (Change of Character):
The dotted line labeled CHoCH signifies a structural shift from bullish to bearish momentum, marking the beginning of a downtrend.
4. Break of Structure (BOS):
BOS levels are identified, confirming bearish continuation with successive lower lows.
5. Future Projections:
If the price breaks through the resistance in the Supply Zone, it could potentially test the higher Order Block before a reversal.
Alternatively, failure to break resistance may result in a continuation of the bearish trend.
Gold no more bullish? (XAU/USD)The daily XAU/USD chart reveals a completed Elliott Wave (1-5) structure, with wave (5) peaking near the $2,720 resistance level. This marks a potential reversal zone for gold prices.
Expected Corrective ABC Pattern:
Wave A: The initial decline is anticipated to target the $2,605-$2,620 support zone.
Wave B: A minor retracement is expected to occur, likely staying below the $2,720 resistance level.
Wave C: The final wave may extend the decline towards the $2,560-$2,580 lower support zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $2,720
Support Zones:
Middle support: $2,605-$2,620
Lower support: $2,560-$2,580
Trading Strategy:
Given the high sensitivity of gold prices to macroeconomic events, traders should exercise caution. Proper position sizing and setting appropriate stop-loss levels are crucial to mitigate potential risks. Monitoring upcoming economic releases and geopolitical developments is essential, as these factors can significantly impact market volatility.
Keep an eye on the evolving market conditions and adjust your trading strategy accordingly. Good luck!
Trading Strategy Amid Geopolitical and Economic DataMarket Review and Outlook:
During the Asian session on Wednesday, gold attracted some follow-up buying, successfully holding support around the 2630 level and moving up to face significant resistance near the 2650 mark. The ongoing geopolitical risks related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, coupled with concerns over President-elect Trump's tariff plans, have continued to drive safe-haven flows into precious metals for the second consecutive day.
However, the upward momentum seems to be lacking strength, and with today's key economic data releases—including the initial jobless claims and the U.S. October core PCE price index year-over-year—the market may see more defined direction. Thus, we will adopt a two-way strategy for trading gold today.
Today's Trading Strategy:
Sell Zone: Short positions can be considered between the 2645-2650 range.
Buy Zone: If the price falls back to 2630, look for opportunities to go long.
Market Watch: Given the economic data releases, anticipate increased volatility and stay prepared for quick adjustments.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always adhere to proper risk management practices and avoid overleveraging your trades.
The bears are strong at the end of the year! H1 downtrend⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) dropped over 3% on Monday, wiping out much of last week’s strong rally, which had marked its best performance since March 2023. The decline was driven by Scott Bessent's nomination as US Treasury Secretary and reports suggesting Israel was nearing a ceasefire with Hezbollah in Lebanon, sparking a global risk-on sentiment. This overshadowed slight weakness in the US Dollar and pressured the precious metal.
However, the decline paused near the $2,600 level during the Asian session on Tuesday as renewed safe-haven demand emerged following President-elect Donald Trump’s tariff threats. Even so, expectations of a less dovish Federal Reserve, rising US Treasury yields, and renewed USD strength may limit gold’s recovery. Traders now await the release of the FOMC meeting minutes for further direction.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The combination of many factors causes gold prices to almost certainly continue to decline: Fibo H1, seller liquidity, touching EMA, trendline H1
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2646 - $2648 SL $2651 scalping
TP1: $2640
TP2: $2630
TP3: $2620
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2688 - $2690 SL $2695
TP1: $2675
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2650
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2607 - $2605 SL $2600
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2622
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Key Resistance at 2630 Ahead of FOMC MinutesMarket Review and Outlook:
As anticipated in my previous post, gold has been trading within a range, primarily between the 2600 and 2630 levels. Although there was a brief breakout above 2630, the price ultimately formed a long upper wick on the daily candle, indicating strong resistance at this level. This reinforces the idea that 2630 remains a crucial resistance zone for the short term.
With the release of the Federal Reserve’s November meeting minutes in about an hour, we can expect the potential for gold to find a new directional bias. From my perspective, the expectations for further rate cuts have diminished significantly, and the overall outlook for the U.S. economy remains relatively stable. With a new president in office, it is unlikely that the U.S. economy will face significant challenges in the near term. Therefore, there is a high probability that the minutes could turn out to be bearish for gold.
Trading Strategy:
Given the current market conditions and the upcoming event, my recommendation is to continue focusing on shorting gold:
Short Position: If gold rises above 2630 again, consider shorting.
Resistance Target: Watch for further downside if 2630 holds as resistance.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always ensure strict risk management and avoid excessive leverage when trading.