Aussie Gold Holds Up UP, Okay. Not For Long Baby! Please, below.
As the saying goes in Australia, 'the bigger they are - the harder they fall'.
Aussie Gold-hat-wearers & officials, might like to think their 'dinki-di-oze-gold' is an exception to panic heavy short-selling. Did I just say panic?
Well, the plan is to take Aussie Gold & it's hanging M_TOP on the weekly chart right down to the neckline for some serious scratching & hold onto your hat once it breaches the itchy neckline.
I don't think the VIX index, the Gold-god's or the market-makers' are going to let us bid up the Gold-price much at all in the lead-up to Thursday the 19th, less than 2 weeks away now. That is why I wouldn't be surprised to see the Gold-price explode upwards 20% or 30% on the big day for Jerome H. Powell FED Chair Boss, that is if they keep a lid on the Gold-price from rising in the meantime.
So, in the meantime, I am gonna Short the Cripes out of XAUAUD because I'm a loyal & patriotic Aussie who's only trying to make a buck or 2 from the markets.
Seriously, but I was serious, I see the USDX coming out of hibernation next week. I will post a couple of charts below & you will see where I am coming from. Please, in the interests of the trading sport, see also my methodology below.
Cop ya later,
Chris
* First below is the Weekly-Chart: XAUUSD
Xauusdshort
Strong level / best time to sell on correction from the level (all signals on real account )
The situation with gold (XAU/USD) is currently characterized by several key factors that affect its value. First, the gold price often reacts to changes in economic data and the political environment. The unpredictability of global financial markets, inflation, and changes in U.S. interest rates particularly affect the demand for gold as a safe haven.
Second, there has been a recent increase in interest from central banks in gold holdings as they seek to diversify their foreign exchange reserves. This could lead to additional demand for gold in global markets.
In addition, a strengthening US dollar usually has a negative impact on gold as it becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies. At the same time, geopolitical instability and conflict situations can contribute to the rise in prices for the precious metal as investors look for ways to protect their assets.
At the moment, volatility in XAU/USD quotes can be observed, which creates both risks and opportunities for traders. Technical analysis shows important support and resistance levels that can influence further price movement.
XAUUSD: SELL@2514-2528
Gold has a significant support level around 2488. If it breaks this level again, the price is likely to fall further to around 2452. Tomorrow's NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) data will be released, and given today's ADP data being bullish for gold, there is a high probability that tomorrow's NFP data will also be favorable for gold, barring any unexpected outcomes. However, it is important to watch the market before the data release—if there is an early rally, there is a possibility that the price may see a brief spike after the data release, followed by a sharp decline. If the data comes in surprisingly negative and is bearish for gold, a short position can be taken directly.
NFP Data: Key Trading Opportunities for Gold
Gold has returned to around 2520, with resistance still quite evident. With only one and a half hours left before the data release, market volatility is expected to remain limited. Based on yesterday's data, the likelihood of today’s data being bullish is higher.
There are two trading strategies to consider: The first is to go long before the data release, but keep a tight stop-loss to guard against a surprise bearish outcome. If there’s a profit, close the position promptly. I estimate that if the data is bullish, the price could rise by approximately $15.
The second approach is to wait for the data release and then enter a short position, aiming for a medium-term trade. Given that the current price is already at a relatively high level, even if there is a spike after the data release, it will be challenging for the price to maintain a sustained upward trend.
NF September! Opportunities or challenges for XAU⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are struggling to build on their recent recovery, hovering in a narrow range below the $2,525 mark during Friday's Asian session. Traders are cautious, awaiting the key US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Meanwhile, expectations of a larger Fed rate cut later this month keep the US Dollar in check, supporting gold.
Mixed US employment data this week has raised concerns about the weakening labor market, further fueling demand for the safe-haven metal amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. As a result, gold is poised for a potential breakout and modest weekly gains, with its upside prospects looking favorable.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
There will still be a bearish VIEW for XAU, before the news of FED's interest rate reduction. Today's NF is also expected to be good for the dollar
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2499 - $2497 SL $2494 scalping
TP1: $2503
TP2: $2508
TP3: $2515
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2450 - $2452 SL $2445
TP1: $2460
TP2: $2470
TP3: $2480
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2529 - $2532 SL $2536
TP1: $2520
TP2: $2510
TP3: $2500
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD At Perfect Res ,Can We Sell It To Get 500 Pips This Week ? This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
XAU ! NF ! decision for the market to fall sharplyXAU / USD trend forecast September 6, 2024
The ADP National Employment Report released Thursday showed that US private-sector jobs increased by 99,000 in August, the smallest rise since January 2021, missing the forecast of 145,000. July’s figure was also revised down to 111,000 from 122,000. Additionally, job openings fell to 7.673 million in July, a three-and-a-half-year low, indicating a weakening labor market.
Sideway below 2500 is a good signal for Gold in the near future, waiting for interest rate cut in September 2024
Based on H4, resistance and EMA 200 line to set up SELL signal
/// SELL XAU : zone 2528-2531
SL: 2536
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2501)
Safe and profitable trading
XAU decreased! PMI ! Important data today⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices edged higher during the Asian session on Thursday, building on their rebound from near two-week lows around $2,472. A US labor market report on Wednesday showed job openings dropping to a three-and-a-half-year low, fueling speculation of a larger Fed rate cut in September, which supports the non-yielding metal. Concerns about the US economy also drive investors toward safe-haven assets like gold.
However, strong buying momentum is lacking as traders remain cautious ahead of Friday’s key Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Thursday’s ADP employment report, Weekly Jobless Claims, and ISM Services PMI may offer short-term opportunities, but expectations for upcoming Fed rate cuts continue to support gold prices.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The financial market was shaken by the news that the FED lowered interest rates in September, fearing an economic recession. Gold also found it difficult to avoid the general sentiment, continuing to reduce and adjust more strongly.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2472 - $2470 SL $2467 scalping
TP1: $2478
TP2: $2483
TP3: $2490
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2451 - $2453 SL $2446
TP1: $2460
TP2: $2470
TP3: $2480
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2506 - $2508 SL $2513
TP1: $2495
TP2: $2480
TP3: $2460
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD Prices : Bounce Back or Drop Further!Hello traders! My technical indicators and analysis suggest that gold is likely to be a buy if it breaks out above the level of 2497-2498 and subsequently retests this level as support. On the other hand, if gold breaks down below the support level of 2493-2494 and then retests it, we may consider a potential sell opportunity, similar to yesterday.
Why WAITING on XAU Will pay BIG TIME The charts cover different timeframes of the XAU/USD (Gold/US Dollar) pair, and they reveal several key technical structures and patterns that are useful for trading analysis.
1. Flag Pattern and Breakout (5-Minute and 15-Minute Charts)
- On the 5-minute and 15-minute charts, there is a visible **flag pattern** following a strong upward move (bullish flag). This pattern typically indicates a continuation of the prevailing trend after a consolidation phase.
- The flag's lower trendline (support) and upper trendline (resistance) are marked in yellow. The price consolidated between these lines, and the breakout occurred upwards, confirming the bullish continuation. This breakout could be a potential entry point for a long position, with the stop loss below the flag's lower trendline and a target based on the flagpole's length (the initial strong upward move preceding the flag).
2. Descending Channel and Potential Reversal (1-Hour and 4-Hour Charts)
- The 1-hour and 4-hour charts display a **descending channel** (marked with yellow trendlines). The price recently touched the lower trendline and bounced back, showing signs of a potential reversal.
- If the price continues to break above the upper trendline of the descending channel, it could signal a bullish reversal, providing a possible entry for a long trade. The risk management strategy should include placing a stop loss below the recent low (or the channel's lower trendline) and targeting previous resistance levels or the channel's upper boundary.
3. Broadening Wedge Formation (4-Hour Chart)
- The broader view on the 4-hour chart shows a **broadening wedge pattern**, where the price has been making higher highs and lower lows. This pattern is generally considered a sign of increasing volatility and potential trend reversal.
- If the price breaks above the broadening wedge's upper trendline, this could further confirm a bullish reversal. Conversely, a break below the lower trendline would suggest further downside potential.
4. Support and Resistance Zones (Highlighted on All Charts)
- Several horizontal lines mark significant **support and resistance levels** around $2,507 and $2,532.144, respectively. These levels could serve as potential entry or exit points based on how the price reacts when approaching them.
- Observing how the price interacts with these levels can provide clues for future price action. For example, a sustained move above $2,507 could confirm a bullish sentiment, whereas a rejection or false breakout might suggest the continuation of the bearish trend.
Trading Strategy Recommendations:
1. Flag Pattern (Short-Term Bullish) If looking for short-term trades, consider entering a long position on a confirmed breakout of the flag pattern, with a stop loss below the flag's lower trendline. Target a move equal to the height of the flagpole added to the breakout point.
2. Descending Channel (Potential Reversal):If trading based on the descending channel, a break above the upper trendline could signal a reversal and a potential buying opportunity. In contrast, if the price rejects the upper trendline, consider shorting with a stop above the recent highs and target the lower boundary.
3. Broadening Wedge (Cautious Approach): For traders cautious about volatility, wait for a confirmed breakout from the broadening wedge to determine the trend direction. Enter long if it breaks upwards and short if it breaks downwards, setting stop losses just beyond the breakout points.
4. Support and Resistance Levels (Decision Zones): Use the marked support and resistance zones as decision points. Enter trades based on confirmation signals near these levels, and manage risk by adjusting stop-loss orders accordingly.
By combining these observations with confluence factors such as higher time frame trends, candlestick patterns, and multi-touch confirmations, you can refine your entry and exit points and enhance your trading strategy.
WILL GOLD AGAIN MAKE A ATH?Hello guys After Some Time I'm back Again.
So Gold Has make A Massive Move Last Week And This Week As Well. And Yesterday Was Quit Rush Day. Daily Candle Has Sweep Daily Low Liquidity And Fly Higher. If Gold Can Breck 2504 With Today Day Candle Cold Could Possible to Reach 2512 - 2514 Zone (Swap Zone)then market will Decide what is the direction is.
will See Guys. this Is A High Probability To Reach 2512 Zone As i Can See
Long USOIL, short XAUUSD
It's Thursday, and today is expected to be a highly volatile day in the markets. OIL has the EIA data release, while gold will be affected by the ADP employment report and initial jobless claims data, both of which will likely have a significant impact on price movements.
Based on the already released API data, the upcoming EIA data is highly likely to be bullish for OIL. Therefore, the primary trading strategy today should focus on buying on dips. As I previously pointed out, both candlestick patterns and other indicators show clear signs of a bottom formation in oil prices. So, barring any unexpected events, today should be a day of gains.
As for gold, with two important data releases today, I expect one to be bullish and the other bearish, primarily setting the stage for Friday’s NFP report. Therefore, today's trading range is expected to widen, with resistance around the 2506-2514 zone and support in the 2468-2452 region.
From an overall perspective, short positions at higher levels offer better risk/reward potential. Hence, today's strategy should be to short first, then look for long opportunities on a pullback, and once the market rebounds, resume short positions after the upward move.
Gold may directly point to the 2465-2455 areaToday I made more gold near 2480 and around 2474, and then lock the profit at the nearby position near 2484. In fact, I have explained very clearly about the trading strategy in the short term.
Because gold faces the resistance of 2486-2488 in the short-term, this is why I chose to close our bulls in 2484 in advance. And the shorts are relatively obvious at present, and we do more gold just to do the game gold will not fall below the support area near 2470. In addition, many people should have a plan to wait for the gold to rebound to short gold in the 2486-2490 area. Therefore, in order to lock the profit in time, I must choose to make a profit near 2484.
At present, the golden short mood is strong. We first observe the performance of gold in the 2486-2490 area. If gold touches the area fall, then we can observe the support of the 2475-2470 region again, and consider making more gold with the support of the area; if the gold breaks through the area in the short term , or even the possibility of continuing to rebound to the 2505 area, then there is no doubt that we can take short gold again!
The operation may be less profitable, but it is undoubtedly a safer operation strategy. Once the gold rebounds to the 2505 area, there is no doubt that the gold is short. If the gold falls and falls below the 2470 region, the gold will directly fall to the 2465-2455 area, pointing directly to our stage goals!
I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
Gold price tends to decrease - sellers try to prevail⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices rebounded from multi-day lows on Wednesday but stayed under the $2,500 mark as the US Dollar gained strength. Despite this, ongoing geopolitical tensions and expected Fed rate cuts could support gold in the near term.
Later in the day, the release of JOLTS Job Openings and the Fed's Beige Book will be closely watched. Investors are eagerly awaiting Friday's US August Nonfarm Payrolls report, which could influence the Fed's rate decisions in September. A weaker-than-expected report might heighten recession fears and prompt faster rate cuts, potentially boosting gold further as lower rates make it more attractive.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold broke 2500, fell back to 2470 after yesterday's PMI news, moving in the short-term H1 downtrend.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2462 - $2460 SL $2455
TP1: $2470
TP2: $2480
TP3: $2490
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2505 - $2507 SL $2510 scalping
TP1: $2500
TP2: $2495
TP3: $2490
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2513 - $2515 SL $2520
TP1: $2500
TP2: $2485
TP3: $2470
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest