World gold prices fall when the USD index is anchored highInvestors are expressing caution ahead of the US Presidential election and the upcoming decision of the US Federal Reserve (FED) on interest rates.
Today (November 5), the US presidential election will take place. Public opinion polls show that Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and Republican candidate Donald Trump are closely tied in the race for the White House.
UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo shared: "The driving force for gold this week will be the US presidential election. If Donald Trump wins, the gold price will move faster closer to the target of 2,900 USD/ ounces, gold will likely fall if Ms. Kamala Harris wins.
Meanwhile, the Fed's interest rate decision is unlikely to create much change, because the bank will likely signal further cuts in line with market expectations."
🔥 XAUUSD BUY LIMIT 2727 - 2725🔥
✅TP1: 2755
✅TP2: 2765
✅TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2724
🔥 XAUUSD SELL LIMIT 2753 - 2751🔥
✅TP1: 2745
✅TP2: 2735
✅TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2760
Xauusdshort
Adjustment - gold price drops! Waiting for the new US president⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) remains positive on Monday as US election risks and Middle East tensions continue to support the safe-haven asset. However, stronger demand for the Greenback and rising US bond yields could limit Gold’s gains, as higher yields make non-yielding assets like Gold less appealing.
Investors are focused on Tuesday's US presidential election, with the market’s attention shifting to the Federal Reserve’s rate decision on Thursday. Given the election uncertainty, it’s anticipated that the Fed will opt for a standard 25 basis point rate cut, rather than a larger half-point easing.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price officially decreased - legalized adjustment with the US presidential election. The US economy will have a new breeze - boosting the economy and other investment areas. Gold will wait for the next interest rate information
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2757 - $2759 SL $2762 scalping
TP1: $2750
TP2: $2740
TP3: $2730
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2771 - $2773 SL $2778
TP1: $2765
TP2: $2750
TP3: $2740
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2717 - $2715 SL $2710
TP1: $2725
TP2: $2732
TP3: $2740
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD: Continue to Monitor Resistance at 2750-2758Gold has once again tested support without breaking it, indicating short-term upward momentum. During the Asian and European sessions tomorrow, consider focusing on low buys, with resistance continuing to be monitored around the 2750-2758 area.
The upcoming election news during the US session is likely to have a significant impact on the market, so while seizing opportunities, be mindful of potential risks.
XAU / USD ! 11/4! Downtrend - correction continuesXAU / USD trend forecast November 4, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) sees modest gains around $2,740 during early Asian trading on Monday, breaking a two-day losing streak. Safe-haven demand for gold may rise due to uncertainties surrounding the US presidential election and Middle East tensions. The upcoming US presidential election on Tuesday is a key focus this week. Analysts at JPMorgan suggest that any decline in gold prices, regardless of the election results, could be a buying opportunity.
Gold price continues downtrend H1 - waiting for the US presidential election move and the decision to lower interest rates or not in November 2024
/// SELL XAU : zone 2747-2750
SL: 2755
TP: 50 - 120 - 200 pips (2730)
/// BUY XAU : zone 2717-2714
SL: 2709
TP: 50 - 120 - 200 pips (2734)
Safe and profitable trading
XAUUSD 2738 +0.08% SHORT IDEA PRICE ACTION MULTI TF ANALYSIS HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at GOLD from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
GOLD DAILY TF
* Still in a strong bullish momentum, with Friday coming with some signs of bearish sentiment.
* The weekly & daily TF show signs of bullish continuation on Gold.
* As Gold took internal range LQ, looking for that external range LQ to be taken.
* Friday closed leaving a FVG- This is where I would be looking for long entries.
* With PO3 looking to open bullish to confirm a move lower on GOLD.
GOLD 4H TF
* Looking for the week to open bullish because our HTF BIAS is BULLISH (PO3) .
* WEEK open I will probably be looking for short positions before looking long.
* We will see what does the market dish.
* On the hourly ERL > IRL.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,BOOST & LETS TAKES SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT SOPPORT BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Seize the opportunity and welcome Super WeekMarket Analysis: No need for lengthy discussions; the best strategy in the current market is to initiate long positions in gold at lower levels. With the U.S. elections and Federal Reserve decisions approaching, the gold market remains bullish. Recent rumors of Iranian retaliation against Israel, coupled with disappointing employment reports, suggest the Fed may lower interest rates, all of which will likely drive gold prices higher.
Technical Analysis: Gold has retraced to the strong support level of 2733-2735. This area represents a robust support zone from the past few days. In the absence of bearish news, it is unlikely that this support will be broken. Thus, our trading strategy this week will pivot from last week’s approach, focusing on going long at lower levels.
Today’s Trading Strategy:
Entry Strategy: Go long on gold near the support level
Take-Profit Target: 2748-2750
Stop-Loss: 2718-2720
Conclusion and Recommendations: This week marks a super week for the month, with numerous major events and data set to impact market trends. How should you navigate these trading conditions? What will the market trend look like? After reviewing my analysis, you’ll have a clearer sense of direction. For specific trading strategies, please reach out to me, and I’ll share the comprehensive trading plan for the week with all my VIP members.
Short gold, TP: 2730-2725Gold may still fall back and test the support of 2725 area again
At present, gold maintains a volatile market as a whole. Although gold has failed to fall below 2730 several times, it is still in a rebound structure at the short-term level. But it is still relatively weak at present, and the rebound strength is not strong, so the continuity of gold rebound remains to be seen.
At present, it is still suppressed by the trend in the short term, so gold may still fall back to around 2725, so I do not recommend aggressively chasing long gold for the time being, and you can still seize the appropriate opportunity to short gold.
GOLD W Closure Very Bearish , Easy Short Setup To Get 500 PipsThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
The gold market will stabilize after the electionThe focus of the financial market is the US presidential election, which is about to enter a key moment. According to poll results, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris compete fiercely. However, investors are taking cues from the betting market, which has shifted in Mr. Trump's favor.
The USD hit a 3-month high on data showing the US economy remains strong and Trump's victory is likely.
Fed policymakers are almost certain the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates at its November meeting. The Fed's next policy meeting is expected to begin immediately after the election US President on November 5. The Fed's first rate cut in September brought the policy rate down to a range of 4.75-5%.
Data released last week showed that the core personal consumption expenditure index (excluding food and energy prices) increased 2.7% in 12 months. Inflation has remained at this level for the past 3 months.
🔥 XAUUSD BUY LIMIT 2733 - 2731🔥
✔️ TP1: 2755
✔️ TP2: 2765
✔️ TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2724
🔥 XAUUSD SELL LIMIT 2753 - 2751🔥
✔️ TP1: 2745
✔️ TP2: 2735
✔️ TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2760
Gold retracement to 2717Gold to retracement 2717 is the next step on xauusd, as dollar falls to euro going upwards and Au going a bit down in price in the market, maybe you can short even more Xaueur, not sure (cause I didn't make the analysis) at the spot (euro)
Gold going down, euro going up, and usd going down, be careful with the elections day
XAU/USD shorts from 2,760 or Longs from 2,720This week, my analysis suggests that gold may continue to drop, targeting the trendline liquidity formed below. Once that liquidity is taken out, I anticipate a bullish reaction, potentially around the demand zone I have identified. If the price retraces up to the supply zone, I’ll look for potential sell opportunities to follow this short-term bearish trend.
Since my overall bias is bullish, I am more inclined towards long positions due to the higher time frame outlook. However, if the price surpasses any of my nearby Points of Interest (POIs), I’ll watch for a deeper retracement around the demand at 2,680 or the supply at 2,780.
Confluences for Gold Sells:
- Price has shown a bearish shift on the higher time frame.
- Supply zones remain on both the 1-hour and daily charts.
- There is significant trendline liquidity below, providing a target for further downside movement.
- The dollar has been moving bullishly, which aligns with a potential drop in gold.
- Gold has been in a strong bullish trend and may be showing signs of exhaustion, hence the recent heavy decline.
P.S. I’ll stay vigilant and assess where the price moves first. If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll have a stronger inclination to sell.
Have a great trading week!
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NF - the market becomes negative! XAU decrease⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) regain some ground on Friday, supported by uncertainty around the US presidential election and ongoing Middle East tensions, both of which increase demand for safe-haven assets.
However, rising US Treasury yields and a stronger US Dollar (USD) could weigh on Gold. Traders are awaiting Friday’s October employment data, including Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings, for further direction. Strong results could reduce expectations for a softer policy approach by the Federal Reserve (Fed), potentially adding pressure on the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
After yesterday's unemployment data - good for the dollar - gold fell sharply. This could be a sign of a major correction as important NF data is released today
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2762 - $2764 SL $2767 scalping
TP1: $2755
TP2: $2748
TP3: $2740
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2788 - $2790 SL $2795
TP1: $2780
TP2: $2770
TP3: $2760
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2712 - $2710 SL $2705
TP1: $2720
TP2: $2730
TP3: $2740
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold's Local Minimum: A Magnet for Price Action?So, the trading week is behind us, and it’s time to kick back a bit, assess the price action, and build a trading plan for the upcoming week, keeping the main drivers in mind. Today, let’s focus on Gold.
Looking at the COT reports: there’s a divergence between the positions of the Commercials and the movement of the underlying asset.
What does that mean? It suggests that hedgers don’t see the need to increase their hedge positions (in the case of Gold, that means short positions). The interpretation here is that there’s a high probability of a correction in the underlying asset.
Retail positions show an average aggregated long position around $2707 (according to open-source data). So, for now, the average positions are in the green, which means the bulls are feeling good, but that’s not all... Remember that level $2707; we’ll come back to it later.
The options sentiment is mixed, with some repositioning in portfolios targeting both up and down, but with a slight bias. The specifics of these adjustments tell me that a correction is expected, but overall, the options traders still see the trend moving upward.
Now, let’s take a look at the chart and summarize.
Remember that level $2707 I mentioned earlier? Let’s find it on the chart. Oops... turns out that’s a local minimum. So, here’s the deal: there’s a level with liquidity (open positions + local minimum), in other words, we have a "magnet" that will definitely attract the prices.
Personally, I stick to a trading strategy of not trading against the trend, even if a correction is confirmed by my analysis. But for some, that potential downside might look appealing enough to open a short position.
Good Luck and Have a Nice Weekend!
Consolidation for XAUUSD
On monthly chart XAUUSD recent price level rose up about 2 of the markup started in 2018.
Volume on Oct 2024 is the highest and similar with Apr 2022.
On weekly chart, the last bar appears to be a bearish since it has a long wick and closed near open.
2790 and 2640 are likely the current resistance and support levels.
From daily chart
The recent bearish engulfing may signify an upthrust formation.
The next possible external liquidity maybe near 2628.
Silver XAG/USD Let's take a step back and have a look at bigger picture. I see two scenarios that could play out. The first is a minor retracement back toward $30-$29. The second scenario is where we have a deeper retracement down to $26-$24. In any case, both are opportunities to load up. I believe it won't be there for long.
Gold Analysis==>>Falling(Signs)Today's data release included the Core PCE Price Index , Employment Cost Index (ECI) , and Unemployment Claims . Core PCE, the Fed's key measure of inflation, saw slower-than-expected growth, suggesting some cooling in consumer prices. This could lead to a potential moderation in the Fed's rate policy if inflationary pressures continue to ease.
The ECI also grew slower than forecasts, indicating wage growth remains somewhat controlled, which also alleviates inflationary concerns. Meanwhile, the higher-than-expected unemployment claims hint at challenges in the labor market.
According to the recent economic data and the possible reduction of inflationary pressures, the desire to reduce the interest rate has increased, and this has caused the price of gold to decrease . Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD )is attractive as a safe-haven asset in times of high inflation, and deflation has reduced its demand.
Regarding Technical Analysis , Gold started to fall, as I expected in the previous post.
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has completed main wave 5 , and we should wait for Corrective Waves .
One sign of a further decrease in Gold can be the formation of a Bump and Run Reversal Top Pattern , which is currently in the Run phase .
I expect Gold to continue its downward trend due to the high momentum of the decline experienced in the previous hours. Drop targets can be the Support zone($2,720-$2,708) in the first step and then the Lower line of the Ascending Channel .
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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