GOLD MELTDOWN INCOMING? THE ONLY BREAKDOWN YOU NEED!Welcome back, traders! Mr. Blue Ocean FX here, breaking down the latest price action on gold (XAUUSD) . Let’s dive straight into the technicals and see what the market is telling us.
Market Overview
Gold has been on a strong bullish run since December 30th, surging from the 2620 area all the way to 2942, marking an aggressive impulse move. However, last week, we saw signs of exhaustion, particularly with a rejection wick forming on February 10th, signaling potential downside pressure.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, price action printed a double top around 2929, followed by a strong bearish engulfing candle that closed on Friday. This indicates a potential momentum shift from buyers to sellers. We also placed a key level at 2881, marking the recent wick low. This level is crucial because if price breaks below it, it would confirm sellers stepping in with conviction.
H4 Timeframe Analysis
Scaling down to the 4-hour (H4) chart, we can see a clearer structure:
• Price spiked high, retraced, and formed a higher low before another push up.
• The latest move shows a break and retest pattern, where price broke structure and is now testing previous support as resistance.
• While the H4 candle looks promising, we are waiting for a solid close to confirm the momentum shift before executing a trade.
H1 Timeframe Execution Plan
On the 1-hour (H1) chart, here’s our trade setup:
1. Waiting for a pullback after the breakdown.
2. Looking for price to form a lower high at 2896.
3. Entry confirmation comes with strong bearish volume and a small retest.
4. Short position at 2896, with a stop loss just above the 2906.55 wick high.
5. First target: Recent lows near 2881 for a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio (RRR).
6. If price breaks below the daily low, we could see further downside continuation.
Final Thoughts
This setup is in play, and we are watching how price reacts at key levels. If the market confirms our bias, this could be a solid high-probability short trade.
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Xauusdshort
XAUUSD 15-Minute Chart Analysis! 2840!Overview:
Gold is currently trading around $2,900, showing a potential bearish setup based on key technical levels. The chart highlights an important Fair Value Gap (FVG), support and resistance levels, and a possible price movement scenario.
Key Levels:
🔸 Resistance Zone: $2,940 - $2,950
A strong supply zone where price previously reversed.
If price reaches this level, sellers might step in.
🔸 Fair Value Gap (FVG: $2,915 - $2,918)
A price imbalance that could act as a short-term resistance.
If price taps into this zone, it may reject downward.
🔸 Support Level: $2,879
A key horizontal level that has acted as support before.
If price holds here, a bounce is possible.
A break below could trigger further downside movement.
🔸 Target Zone: $2,840 - $2,830
A demand zone where buyers could re-enter.
Projected Price Movement:
📉 Bearish Scenario (Main Outlook):
1️⃣ Price moves into FVG ($2,915 - $2,918) and rejects.
2️⃣ Drops towards support at $2,879 for a retest.
3️⃣ A break below $2,879 confirms further downside.
4️⃣ Targeting the $2,840 - $2,830 zone.
📈 Bullish Invalidations:
If price breaks and holds above $2,920, it could push higher toward $2,940 - $2,950 resistance.
A breakout above $2,950 would shift bias to bullish.
How to Use This on TradingView:
✅ Look for bearish signals (rejection wicks, strong red candles) near FVG before shorting.
✅ Watch for a breakdown below $2,879 to confirm further downside.
✅ If price holds above $2,920, reconsider bearish bias.
Gold Market Forecast: Next Week’s Trading Setup & Key Price ZoneGold dipped below $2,900 on Friday but is set to close the week with over 0.80% gains as traders book profits. In this video, we break down the latest market moves: sharply plunging US Retail Sales, a weakening US Dollar, and improving US Industrial Production. Central banks continue ramping up their gold purchases, with the World Gold Council reporting over 1,000 tons bought in 2024. With Fed funds rate futures pricing in 38.5 basis points of easing for 2025, what does this mean for gold's future? Join me as I analyze these trends and prepare to capture the next move in the gold market this week.
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Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GOLD XAUUSD ShortGold is struggling at the 2906–2907 resistance on both H1 and D1 timeframes. it is failed to break this level in H1 time frame , Now we could see a drop toward the 2883/2880 support zone. A break below that could extend the bearish move to 2864.
However, if gold manages to break and hold above 2907, expect bullish momentum to continue. Keep an eye on price action around these key levels!
Gold (XAU/USD) (15M) Analysis & Trading OpportunityGold (XAU/USD) is at a crossroads.
Upside Possibility? 🤔 If the price maintains stability above $2,906-$2,909, there could be room for a move toward $2,914+, but only if the market sentiment remains favorable.
Downside Concerns? 🧐 A slip below $2,899 might encourage some downward momentum, possibly testing $2,880, though it depends on how the price reacts at key zones.
🎭 Conclusion: A watchful approach is advised—momentum may or may not build in either direction, so it’s essential to assess confirmations before committing.
Markets have a way of surprising traders!
Would you like me to refine this with a stronger directional bias while keeping it subtle? 😏
Gold (XAU/USD) (15M) Analysis & Trading OpportunityGold (XAU/USD) is at a crossroads.
Upside Possibility? 🤔 If the price maintains stability above $2,906-$2,909, there could be room for a move toward $2,914+, but only if the market sentiment remains favorable.
Downside Concerns? 🧐 A slip below $2,899 might encourage some downward momentum, possibly testing $2,880, though it depends on how the price reacts at key zones.
🎭 Conclusion: A watchful approach is advised—momentum may or may not build in either direction, so it’s essential to assess confirmations before committing.
Markets have a way of surprising traders!
Would you like me to refine this with a stronger directional bias while keeping it subtle? 😏
XAUUSD BuyXAUUSD Buy now Target 2926
Or 2909
XAUUSD today strong buy.
As of February 17, 2025, gold (XAU/USD) continues its upward trajectory, recently surpassing the $2,900 per ounce mark. This surge is primarily driven by escalating global trade tensions and economic uncertainties, notably following President Trump's announcement of 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Such geopolitical developments have heightened gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Analysts project that if current conditions persist, gold prices could approach or even exceed the $3,000 per ounce threshold in the near future. For instance, J.P. Morgan has forecasted an average gold price of $2,950 for 2025, with potential peaks reaching $3,000, citing gold's effectiveness as a hedge against macroeconomic uncertainties.
Gold price starts to adjust down sharply yet, next week?✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 02/17/2025 - 02/21/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold price dipped below $2,900 on Friday but remains on track for a strong weekly gain of over 0.80% as traders take profits ahead of the weekend. Despite mixed US economic data, the Greenback hit yearly lows, and US Treasury yields tumbled. XAU/USD is currently trading at $2,883, down 1.48% for the day.
US retail sales saw a sharp decline in January, further weakening the dollar. However, gold found support as traders adjusted their positions, benefiting from safe-haven demand. Following the data, investors priced in multiple Fed rate cuts, driving the US 10-year Treasury yield down to 4.472%. Meanwhile, Industrial Production rebounded in January after a weak previous month.
🔥 Identify:
The H4 frame is still in an increasing range, gold prices may soon adjust down more strongly, in the context of waiting for the Trump administration to take actions to impose taxes on other countries in the world.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2908, $2942, $2957
Support : $2831, $2790, $2722
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold continues to maintain sideways below 294x, accumulating⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) continues to climb during Friday’s Asian session, supported by concerns over US President Donald Trump’s tariff plans and a drop in US bond yields.
However, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain its hawkish stance and keep interest rates high could limit further gains for the non-yielding metal. Traders are now focused on the upcoming US Retail Sales data for January, set to be released later in the day.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The uptrend is still going on, however profit-taking selling pressure still exists around 294x, gold will still accumulate around 2900 or more.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2942 - $2944 SL $2949
TP1: $2935
TP2: $2927
TP3: $2920
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2903 - $2905 SL $2898
TP1: $2912
TP2: $2920
TP3: $2930
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD is still on bullish rally In our previous commantary we mentioned have 2930 on mark.
As we have closed our buy orders at 2928 and
our entry was 2908.
What possible scenario do we have?
At moment selling is limited, we are expecting a little correction at 2930-28 ,where we have possible buying options till 2950 first 2963 in extension.
On the other hand, if 2930 invalidated then our buying will be invalid and we'll wait for the structural support at 2920.
Below 2920 we have 2880 on mark.
Short GoldDear Traders,
Currently, gold reached a high of around 2932 but quickly retraced and failed to establish support above 2930, indicating strong resistance from the bulls. Given the current momentum conditions, the bullish momentum is insufficient to support a sustained breakout to the upside. This suggests that after the price push higher, the market has become more cautious and is not blindly chasing long positions in gold.
On the other hand, as gold's volatility contracts, there is a need for a pullback to enhance market liquidity. Gold may therefore retrace and potentially test the 2910-2900 support zone again.
For short-term trading, I will continue to focus on small-scale short positions on gold.Bros, do you have the courage to short gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold Alert: Testing 2881 Risk Zone!Gold at a Crossroads: Awaiting Key Triggers
XAUUSD is navigating a critical juncture, testing a pivotal risk zone that could dictate its next major move. From this level, we either witness a trend continuation or a deeper corrective phase.
Key Drivers: CPI Data & Policy Uncertainty
All eyes are on the upcoming US CPI report, which could inject fresh momentum into the market. Inflation figures will play a decisive role in shaping expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next steps, influencing both gold and the broader financial landscape.
Meanwhile, geopolitical and economic uncertainties add complexity. The Wall Street Journal reports that the Biden administration is preparing new tariffs, which could introduce fresh volatility and global economic risks. At the same time, Fed Chair Jerome Powell has signaled a cautious stance, reinforcing expectations of only a single rate cut in July. This has pushed bond yields higher, creating additional headwinds for gold.
Technical Outlook: Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 2898, 2910, 2929
Support: 2881, 2870, 2855
Potential Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Case: A false break below 2881 could signal ongoing bullish momentum. If buyers defend the 2881 – 2885 zone, gold may stage a rally towards 2930 – 2950 in the short to medium term.
🔹 Bearish Case: A decisive break and consolidation below 2881 could trigger a wave of liquidation, driving prices lower towards 2855 – 2848.
Market Sentiment: A Stalemate Before the Storm
With crucial news ahead, the market is at a tipping point. Whether gold surges or sinks depends on inflation data, Fed policy clarity, and potential tariff developments. Traders should brace for volatility as these catalysts unfold.
Gold price recovers, BULL and PPI news⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) edges higher during the Asian session on Thursday, extending its rebound from the $2,864 level seen after strong US inflation data. Concerns over a potential global trade war, fueled by President Trump's new tariffs on commodity imports, support demand for the safe-haven metal. Additionally, a slight dip in the US Dollar (USD) further boosts gold's appeal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
In the uptrend, gold price has recovered to the price zone of 2920, accumulating to find the old ATH of 2944.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2927 - $2929 SL $2932 scalping
TP1: $2923
TP2: $2918
TP3: $2910
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2941 - $2943 SL $2948
TP1: $2935
TP2: $2928
TP3: $2920
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2877 - $2879 SL $2872
TP1: $2885
TP2: $2892
TP3: $2900
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
People still want to invest in gold.World gold prices at times dropped sharply when inflation data in the US heated up. Specifically, the consumer price index (CPI) in January 2025 increased by 0.5%, higher than the forecast increase of 0.3%.
This information has reinforced the message of the US Federal Reserve (FED) not to rush to reduce interest rates due to the unstable economy.
"Higher-than-expected CPI in the US put pressure on gold prices and market expectations for any interest rate cuts were almost extinguished."
The recovery of world gold prices from lows in the past two days shows that investors continue to favor having a safe asset to combat inflationary pressures.
Gold Uptrend is Breaking Don’t Miss This High Probability ShortGold has been on an incredible 49-day bullish run, but signs are emerging that the momentum is fading. Is the reversal finally here? In this analysis, I break down why I believe gold is setting up for a potential short opportunity and how I plan to execute it.
Starting from the weekly timeframe, we identify a key rejection at $2943, signaling potential exhaustion after an extended bullish trend. On the daily timeframe, price has failed to hold above $2897, forming a critical rejection zone that could lead to further downside.
Diving deeper into the H4 and H1 timeframes, we observe a key structure break around $2900, followed by price failing to create a new high. This shift in market structure suggests a weakening bullish trend, increasing the probability of a bearish follow-through.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Break & Retest Setup: Waiting for a clean break below $2881 (yesterday’s daily low), followed by a retest to confirm the sell-side momentum.
🔹 Bearish Target Zones: Liquidity levels at $2854, $2788, and $2747, with a final downside objective near $2746.
🔹 Risk Management: Stops will be determined based on price action confirmation, ensuring a controlled approach to the trade.
With buyers struggling to push higher and multiple liquidity pockets below, we could see a sharp pullback before any further upside continuation. This is not a long-term bearish call on gold but rather a short-term high-probability short setup to capitalize on potential downside movement.
📉 Will gold break lower, or will buyers regain control? Watch the full analysis, boost this idea, and share it with fellow traders so you don’t miss the next big move! 🚀💰