Xauusdshort
XAUUSD Retracement and Sell OpportunityGreetings, dear traders!
Just a reminder, the overall trend for gold remains bullish. However, we are currently witnessing a potential sell opportunity around the 3035 level. From this point, you can consider taking an entry for a move of 100 pips or more. For a more confirmed sell trade, look for entries in the 3046-3050 area.
For targets, gold's support at 3020 will serve as TP1. The current pivot is at 3010. If gold successfully breaks this level, we may see prices move down to 3000, with the final target at 2980.
It's also important to note that geopolitical tensions are impacting the market. Recent positive news could cause gold prices to cool off, pushing the price lower.
If we look at the behavior of smart money, it appears they booked their profits around the 3050 level. Now, they are likely to re-enter the market, but before doing so, they will likely pull gold back to the downside. This pullback creates a potential sell opportunity.
As smart money positions itself for the next move, we can look for a selling entry during this pullback to capitalize on the downward movement.
Good Luck traders
Gold focuses on suppression near 3038 aboveThe hourly chart suppression point of gold is around 3038. As long as the trend line is not stable, gold may still retreat. At present, we need to pay attention to whether 3038 can be stabilized. As long as you do not stand firmly above this position, you can rely on the 3030-40 range to go short.
The trend of gold has been weakFrom the current market analysis, the 4-hour chart shows that the gold price is weak, while the 1-hour chart tends to fluctuate and correct. Therefore, short-term operations can rely on $3030 and $3020 to bearish gold.
Note:
1. Determine the trading cycle, set the direction in the big cycle, and enter the market in the small cycle.
2. Follow the trend: 3 waves up and down without breaking the high and low points is a shock, and 3 waves of high and low points rising or falling is a trend. Don't do shocking market, don't stop if you don't understand it, and control your hands.
3. Wait for the position, pay attention to the profit and loss ratio when entering the market. Set a stop loss.
4. Don't trade emotionally, respect market uncertainty, and accept stop loss.
5. Finally, repeat the execution unconditionally.
I wish you a smooth transaction
Another Strong Start to the Week!Gold opened the week on a positive note without a significant pullback, rebounding quickly after touching a low of 3013. The overall price action remains range-bound with a bullish bias, though gold is still trading within the lower to middle Bollinger Bands. A clearer upside move may emerge once the correction phase concludes.
In the short term, resistance remains at the 3030-3040 zone. If this level holds, short positions can be considered. On the downside, key support levels to watch are 3012 and 3005, with the 3005-3000 range offering a potential buying opportunity.
Trading Strategy:
- Sell near 3030-3040resistance if it remains intact.
- Buy around the 3005-3000 support zone.
- Adopt a range-trading approach, focusing on shorting near resistance and buying near support.
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Gold Price Analysis March 24Fundamental Analysis
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) is struggling to capitalize on a three-day rally from multi-month lows amid expectations that a tariff-driven US economic slowdown could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle soon. This, coupled with geopolitical risks, acted as a non-yielding driver for Gold and helped limit downside momentum. Hence, it would be prudent to wait for a strong follow-through before confirming that XAU/USD has topped out in the near term and positioning for any meaningful corrective slide.
Technical Analysis
Friday's D1 saw strong selling pressure with the sharpest drop from 3046 to 3000. Late in the day, bulls pushed the price back 50% of the D candle. This shows that bears have entered the market but the downtrend will take some time.
The h4 structure is quite nice to see the buy and sell wave structure.
Scenario 1: In the 3026 zone of the European session, selling pressure has appeared. If the price pushes up to break the 3026 zone at the end of the session, it will give a BUY signal, break 3026, target 3037. When the US session breaks 3037, keep the order until 3045. The 3045 zone gives a good SELL signal for today if the price finds it. When the price reaches 3037 and cannot break this zone when the US enters, it can SELL to 3026, further than 3018. Scenario 2: The price does not break 3026 but falls, then wait for support around 3013 and support 3003.
Bearish Bias Under Head and Shoulders Formation📍Gold is currently leaning towards a bearish trend under the pressure of a well-defined head and shoulders pattern. Therefore, our primary trading approach remains focused on short positions.
📍In the short term, the key resistance to watch is in the 3030-3040 zone. However, it's worth noting that on Friday, gold quickly recovered most of its losses after testing the 3000 level, indicating the presence of strong buying interest and solid support below.
📍From a trading perspective, there is still an opportunity to capture profits from potential technical rebounds. The main support levels to monitor are:
📌3010-3000 as the initial support zone
📌2995 as the secondary support level
🔎Trade Idea:
1. Xauusd: Sell at 3035-3045
TP:3020-3010
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
📎But if gold shows signs of holding support, a short-term rebound could provide opportunities for counter-trend trades.
2. Xauusd: Buy at 3015-3005
TP:3025-3035
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
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XAU/USD: Today's Trading StrategyAfter a series of consecutive rallies, gold has started to decline. Currently, pay attention to the short-term resistance level around 3035. You can start shorting when the price reaches this area.
xauusd sell@3035-3040
tp1:3006
tp2:2986
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XAU/USD: Today's Trading StrategyCurrently, the resistance level for gold is around 3035. The market is likely to experience another decline. Once the price reaches this resistance level, you can continue to go short.
xauusd sell@3035
TP1:3010
TP2:3000
TP3:2980
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XAUUSD:Continue short - selling at night.As long as gold doesn't stage a strong rally this week, the hourly moving averages of gold may continue to head downward. Eventually, if a bearish death cross and a short - biased arrangement are formed, the downside potential of gold can be truly unlocked. The resistance of the gold moving averages has now shifted down to around 3036. Therefore, there is still some resistance within this range.
Continue to engage in short - selling at high levels around the resistance of 3033. As long as this level remains unbroken, the strategy of shorting at highs between 3030 - 3033 remains unchanged. Set a stop - loss at 3040 and a take - profit at 3010. Be cautious of risks.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
sell@3030-3035
TP:3010
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Gold starts to pull back, continue to shortSince gold has already started to adjust at a high level, and gold bears have gradually started to exert their strength, can gold fall below 3000 again? We will wait and see.
Operation ideas:
It is recommended to go short at 3035-3030, stop loss at 3045, and target at 3005-3000;
XAUUSD:If you don’t know how to trade. You can see here.Last week, a large number of traders followed my exclusive trading opportunities and made great progress on XAUUSD, and they all made good profits.
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XAUUSD: The geopolitical preparations between Russia and Ukraine have ended, and the tariff issue has also been eased. So some investors thought that the bear market would come, and seemed to be fully prepared. However, the news that reversed again over the weekend brought some support to the decline of XAUUSD. The relationship between Gaza, Israel, Russia, and Ukraine intensified again over the weekend. The London market has a short-term slight pressure of 3026-3030.
From the trend, it does look like a bear, but remember that under the influence of the dominant news, technical indicators have no auxiliary reference function. So in the short term, if XAUUSD retreats to 2915, it is mainly long.
If you don’t know where to follow. Remember to pay attention to the latest real-time news in the analysis circle. Or leave me a message. In this way, you can get exclusive trading opportunities and successfully expand profits. Remember to like and support after reading! !
Go short first, then go long, and grasp the rhythmGold overall rose and fell last week. After three consecutive positive weekly lines, the upper shadow line was closed. On Friday, it walked out of the adjustment space. The short-term rise slowed down slightly, and it was more inclined to fluctuate at a high level. The daily line turned negative and retreated to correct, and it was in a partial adjustment stage. In the 4H cycle, it did not stabilize above the 3047-57 mark mentioned earlier, so it walked out of the second downward exploration space, but combined with the intact structure of the three-month rising channel, the current retracement is more inclined to technical correction rather than trend reversal. From a spatial point of view, the 3030 line as the midpoint of the channel constitutes the primary resistance. If this position cannot be effectively broken through, the gold price may test the support of the 3000 integer mark downward. It is worth noting that the static resistance formed near 3050 resonates with the recent fundamental negatives, further suppressing the upward space.
The current strategy needs to focus on whether the 3026 opening high can be recovered in the oscillation range. If it stabilizes, it will be seen to 3035 last week's opening point; on the contrary, if it falls below the 3010 short-term moving average support, the shorts can follow the trend to the expected 3000 mark. It is recommended to adopt the range trading mode, and operate back and forth between high and low in the range of 3000-3035. Technically, we need to be alert to the stagflation signal formed by the continuous shortening of MACD and the closing of Bollinger Bands. It is recommended to avoid chasing highs and focus on the impact of US CPI data on the market.
Gold operation advice: Go short after rebounding around 3030-3040. Go long after stepping back to 3010-3000.If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can follow me. I will release specific signals in real time. Remember to pay attention in time.
XAU/USD: Next Week's Short - Selling Tactic on BounceThe closing price of XAU/USD on Friday was 3,022.790.
Indeed, gold prices have broken through that key $3,000 support level, just as we anticipated.
Although the $3,000 support level was quite strong—it's always been a tough nut to crack—it still failed to hold firm.
Given the current market conditions, gold prices are set to continue their downward trend next week, no doubt about it.
Now, for the trading strategy: when the price rebounds to the $3,030 - $3,040 range, that's when you might want to consider short - selling.
Make sure to set the stop - loss slightly above $3,057 and the target price at $2,980. Simple as that, isn't it?
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Gold: Trading signals during the European sessionGold is now making its first attempt at resistance. In this process, we can use the black trend line below and the purple trend line as reference support.
If the price does not actually fall below the test, there is a high probability that it will reach the 3037-3044 area. Therefore, during the European trading period, the 3037-3044 area can be used as an opportunity to enter the short position.
At the same time, pay attention to the long opportunities brought by the support area. For conservative trading, the area near 3025 can be used as an entry time.
(XAU/USD) Bearish Reversal After Head & Shoulders Formation."
Overview:
The price action of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe indicates a potential bearish move. A Head & Shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a possible trend reversal. The market recently tested a resistance level and is now showing signs of weakness.
Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance: $3,044 - $3,055 (Rejection Zone)
🔹 Sell Entry: Below $3,028 (Break of Support)
🔹 Support Level: Around $2,980 (First Key Level)
🔹 Target: $2,940 - $2,931 (Final Bearish Target)
Analysis:
✅ Price has broken below the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming a potential sell-off.
✅ A retest of the broken support as resistance could offer a better entry for shorts.
✅ If the price holds below $3,028, further downside toward $2,940 is expected.
✅ Bullish invalidation if price breaks back above $3,044.
Trade Idea:
📉 Sell below: $3,028
🎯 Target: $2,940
🛑 Stop Loss: Above $3,044
This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, with risk-to-reward favoring sellers. Monitor price action for confirmation before entering a trade.
🚀 What’s your view on Gold? Comment below!
XAU/USD – Triple Top Formation & Bearish Breakdown Potential📌 Overview of the Chart
This chart presents the XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD) price action on a 15-minute timeframe, highlighting a classic Triple Top pattern. The Triple Top is a well-known bearish reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend. It signals that buyers have attempted to push the price higher multiple times but failed, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
This pattern is crucial for traders as it often precedes a trend reversal. The breakdown below the neckline (support level) confirms that selling pressure is taking over, leading to a potential decline.
📊 Identifying the Triple Top Formation
A Triple Top pattern consists of three peaks (Top 1, Top 2, and Top 3) at nearly the same resistance level. Here’s a detailed breakdown of its formation:
🔹 Step 1: Price Uptrend Leading to Resistance
Before the pattern develops, the price follows a strong uptrend with buyers dominating.
The price reaches a key resistance level and faces rejection (Top 1), signaling initial weakness.
🔹 Step 2: Repeated Attempts to Break Resistance
After pulling back slightly, buyers make another attempt to break through resistance (Top 2), but fail again.
This signals that sellers are actively defending this price zone.
🔹 Step 3: Final Rejection & Breakdown Setup
The third attempt (Top 3) fails to break resistance once more.
This repeated rejection confirms a Triple Top formation.
The price then moves toward the neckline (support level), which is a critical area for the bearish breakdown.
📉 Trading Setup & Execution Strategy
✅ Entry Point – When to Open a Short Position?
A short position is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline with a strong bearish candlestick.
A breakdown with high volume strengthens the bearish confirmation.
Conservative traders may wait for a retest of the broken neckline before entering.
❌ Stop Loss Placement – Managing Risk
The stop loss should be placed above the highest peak ($3,039.076), ensuring protection against false breakouts.
If the price moves above this level, the Triple Top pattern fails, and the bearish setup is invalidated.
🎯 Profit Targets – Where to Exit?
After the breakdown, price action usually follows a measured move based on the height of the pattern. The following target levels are identified:
1️⃣ First Target: $3,000.962 → A key support level where price may pause.
2️⃣ Second Target: $2,991.766 → A deeper support area that aligns with the price projection from the pattern.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it an attractive opportunity for short sellers.
📈 Confirmation Signals to Strengthen the Setup
To increase the probability of a successful trade, look for additional confirmations:
🔸 Volume Analysis:
A spike in selling volume at the neckline breakdown suggests strong bearish conviction.
Low volume breakdowns may indicate a false move, requiring extra caution.
🔸 Retest of the Neckline:
Sometimes, after breaking below the neckline, the price retests the level before continuing downward.
This provides a secondary entry opportunity for traders who missed the initial breakdown.
🔸 RSI & Momentum Indicators:
If RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows bearish divergence, it adds confidence to the downside move.
Momentum indicators like MACD crossing bearish further confirm selling pressure.
📍 Key Considerations & Risk Management
🔹 False Breakout Risk: If price bounces back above the neckline after the breakdown, it could be a false move. Waiting for confirmation reduces this risk.
🔹 Macro Fundamentals: Gold prices are sensitive to economic news, interest rates, and geopolitical events. Unexpected fundamental shifts can impact the pattern’s reliability.
🔹 Trailing Stop Strategy: To protect profits, traders can use a trailing stop-loss, adjusting as the price moves toward targets.
🔍 Summary & Trading Plan
📊 Pattern: Triple Top (Bearish Reversal)
📉 Bias: Bearish (Short Setup)
🛠️ Entry: Sell below neckline confirmation
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: $3,000.96
Target 2: $2,991.76
🚨 Stop Loss: Above $3,039
💡 Final Thoughts
The Triple Top pattern on XAU/USD suggests a high-probability bearish setup. A confirmed neckline breakdown signals selling pressure, with price targets well-aligned with historical support zones. Patience and confirmation are key—watch for a clean breakdown or a potential retest before entering.
Would you like any modifications or additional insights? 🚀
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading Decision🚀 XAUUSD Key Update & Market Outlook
Gold continues to hold a bullish trend, but price action has pulled back after setting a new record high. The key $3,000 level will play a significant role in guiding our trading decisions next week. A hold above this zone could fuel further bullish momentum, while a breakdown could trigger strong bearish moves.
📌 Major Market Drivers:
🔹 US Dollar Strength: Gold retreated as the USD gained traction, with traders booking profits ahead of the weekend.
🔹 Trump's Trade Policies: Uncertainty surrounding new tariffs remains a key influence on market sentiment.
🔹 Federal Reserve’s Stance: Powell & Fed officials maintain that rate cuts aren’t urgent, reinforcing the current restrictive policy.
🔹 Market Sentiment & Early-Week Price Action: We’ll be closely watching how price behaves around the $3,025 zone for potential trading signals.
📅 Key Economic Events Next Week:
🗓️ Tuesday: US S&P Global PMI Publications – Key insight into economic activity and inflation pressures.
🗓️ Thursday: US GDP (Q4 Final) – A crucial report on economic growth that could impact USD and Gold.
🗓️ Friday: US Core PCE Index – The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, highly significant for rate expectations.
We’ll break all of this down in detail during tomorrow’s Forex Morning Mastery livestream. Stay tuned, and let’s get ready for the new trading week! 🔥📊 #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #MarketOutlook
Is Gold Ready to Drop? Key Levels & Strategy for the Next Move!📉🔥 Right now, XAUUSD (Gold) is pulling back from the highs and consolidating in a range. I'm watching for a buy opportunity if price breaks below the current range low and retraces into the previous swing equilibrium.
🎯 In the video, we dive into imbalances as key pullback targets, analyze price action and market structure, and discuss a potential trade setup—if the market presents the right conditions.
🚨 Not financial advice—trade smart! 🚀
Golden Signal: Go Short in the 3027-3037 AreaLast Friday, gold rebounded to near resistance. Although the indicator in the 30M level chart shows that there is still some rebound momentum, the space is not very large, because the head and shoulders pattern has appeared in the early stage, and the pressure on the bulls is still very large.
Therefore, in the intraday trading on Monday, we can focus on short trading around the resistance area of 3027-3040. The single needle bottoming provides good support, so TP does not need to be set too large for the time being. The previous rising point of 3007 is used as a reference support, and TP is controlled in the range of $10-$16. Personally, it is expected to be in the 3018-3011 area.
I will update the specific trading information during the intraday, please pay attention to the content of the intraday update. If you have any questions, you can leave me a message, and I will reply to you in time when I see it.
I wish you all a prosperous new week!