Gold Investors Beware: Bears Are Quietly AssemblingGold’s candlestick chart has displayed multiple upper shadows above the 3025-3030 zone, widely regarded as a clear rejection signal. With repeated failures to break through this resistance, gold is showing signs of forming a potential short-term top. This not only caps the upside but could also act as a key indicator of a possible bearish reversal.
Following the Asian session's opening, gold experienced a slight gap up but failed to sustain its momentum, maintaining a range-bound movement instead. The lack of strong bullish follow-through reflects weak buying interest.
Additionally, recent statements from Trump suggest a softened stance on tariff policies, with his rhetoric appearing less aggressive. If the tariffs are implemented in a more moderate manner or market reactions are less severe than anticipated, risk-off sentiment could subside, leading to a significant pullback in gold prices.
But given the presence of strong buying interest and bullish sentiment consolidation, expectations for an extensive decline remain limited. The primary support to monitor lies in the 3110-3100 range. If gold break below this zone, it may trigger an accelerated drop, with the next downside target at the 3095-3085 region.
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Xauusdsignal
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Price Analysis – Key Zones & Potential Movem🔵 Key Price Levels:
Current price: 🟠 $3,130.99
DEMA (9): 🔵 $3,138.21
Target price: 🎯 $3,174.92
📌 Zones Identified:
🟢 Demand Zone (Support) ⬇️: Strong buying interest, potential bounce area. If price falls here, buyers may step in.
🟡 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally) 🔄: A mid-level area where price could consolidate before moving up.
🔴 Supply Zone (Resistance) ⬆️: Sellers might emerge, causing a reversal or slowdown in price movement.
📈 Potential Price Action:
🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish 🐂): A retrace to the RBR Zone 🟡 could lead to a bounce 📈 toward the Target 🎯 at $3,174.92.
🔹 Scenario 2 (Bearish 🐻): If price drops below the Demand Zone 🟢, it may signal a trend reversal 📉.
🔹 Breakout Confirmation: If price breaks above the Supply Zone 🔴, it may continue rallying 🚀 toward the target point.
Gold- Way, way too deviated from the MEAN!!!As I’ve mentioned many times in my analyses, my trading approach focuses on identifying the next big move (500 to 1,000 pips) rather than chasing small gains of 30-50 pips, which often feels more like staying busy than truly making money.
In this post, I’ll explain why I believe the next major move in Gold is downward rather than upward.
I’ll take a slightly different approach than usual, focusing on the bigger picture and using a simple 20-period moving average (MA) to smooth price action.
Looking at the posted chart, since the beginning of the recent bull market—highlighted in the chart at the 1,600 zone back in November 2022—Gold has been in a strong uptrend. A key observation is that the 20-period moving average has been forming higher lows.
After the second higher low in October 2023, the trend became even more aggressive, with only two notable higher lows since (looking on MA)—one in July 2024 and another in January 2025.
However, even during these sharp bullish legs, the market has consistently reversed to the mean—with the mean being the 20-period moving average.
At the time of writing, Gold is trading around 3,110, which is significantly deviated from the mean, currently around 2,990.
Conclusion:
Based on this pattern, we could expect either a deep retracement or at least a period of consolidation to allow the moving average time to catch up with the price.
Of course, shorting into such a strong bull run carries high risk, especially without a clear stop-loss level. However, even if Gold spikes to 3,150 or even 3,170, I strongly believe that the price will eventually drop and touch the 20-period moving average.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Good news for bears, gold will fall back to 3095-3085Driven by Trump’s tariff policies and geopolitical risks, gold has sustained a strong upward trajectory. However, after reaching around 3128, its momentum has visibly slowed, with multiple signs of pullbacks emerging within the short-term structure.
From the candlestick chart, it’s evident that gold has faced repeated rejection signals above 3125, characterized by long upper shadows. The 3125 level has now formed a notable resistance zone and appears to be acting as a short-term consolidation high. This price action increases the likelihood of a potential top formation.
Moreover, gold’s recent strength is largely attributed to growing concerns of a global trade war sparked by Trump’s tariff policies, prompting investors to rotate out of risk assets like equities and into safe-haven assets such as gold. However, if Trump softens his stance on the tariffs or adopts a more diplomatic approach to maintain confidence in the U.S. dollar, risk appetite may recover. This would likely drive funds back into equities and other risk assets, leading to an outflow from gold.
For gold trading, I prefer to avoid aggressively chasing long positions at this stage, as downside risks persist. If gold fails to decisively break through the 3125-3135 resistance zone, the bullish momentum may weaken, increasing the likelihood of a downward move. If gold break below the 3100 level during a pullback, it could accelerate further declines, with potential targets in the 3095-3085 range.
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3/31 Gold Trading StrategiesThe five-wave upward movement in gold has been completed. Next, we expect a period of consolidation around 3130, forming a short-term top before a potential pullback. However, during this consolidation phase, there is a possibility of a price surge, though the probability is low.
Trading Suggestions:
For conservative traders: Avoid rushing into positions. It’s better to wait for a pullback and the confirmation of a secondary top before entering trades.
For aggressive traders: You may enter at the current price, but be cautious with your position sizing and leave room for potential additions.
Based on the magnitude of the previous upward movement, the expected retracement zone is around 3110-3096, where a minor support level may form.
Trading Strategy:
📉 Sell in the 3121-3131 range
📈 Buy in the 3105-3090 range
Trade carefully
GOLD: What to do if you Hold a Short position?Gold is rebounding. Pay attention to the resistance above 3020. At present, we can see obvious selling pressure on the 2H chart. MACD has formed a divergence. 2H is a larger period. Its form is short, which means that tomorrow or the day after tomorrow, the market will fall sharply.
In addition, the divergence of MACD is sometimes repaired by shock market. This situation is not uncommon, so when trading, we need to focus on the support.
Judging from the current candlestick chart arrangement, there is support near 3100, followed by the 3096-3088 range. If a larger divergence pattern is to be formed, the price may reach the 3036-3048 range. At that time, there is no need to hesitate too much, just sell it.
Multiple top signs appear, short gold!Although gold rebounded quickly after hitting 3100, it does not rule out the process of testing and confirming the top. I think that in the short term, we can still short gold in batches with the help of 3025-3035 zone suppression. Then wait patiently for gold to retrace!
If gold can fall below the 3100-3095 zone during the decline, gold may accelerate downward to the area around 3085 under the stimulation of selling. Let us wait and see!
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Short gold, pullback to 3110-3095 zoneToday gold rebounded sharply after falling back to around 3076. The current highest rebound is around 3128. The current highest rebound is around 3128. Although part of the reason is due to the support of the market's risk aversion, I think it is more of a catharsis of the market's bullish sentiment.
So at this time, we should not chase long gold; because with the sharp rebound of gold, the risk of going long is gradually accumulating; secondly, we can refer to the trend of silver. After reaching the high point, it has begun to fall. I think gold may refer to the trend of silver and choose to fall in the short term.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, you may wish to consider shorting gold in the 3125-3135 zone, and the 3105-3095 zone is the first focus of our attention to long gold levels after a short-term correction.
You must keep your trading mind active, only in this way can you avoid too many stupid trading signals.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Gold's Historic Ascent: Breaking the $3,100 Barrier
Gold, the timeless safe-haven asset, has surged to unprecedented heights, breaching the $3,100 per ounce mark for the first time in history. This remarkable rally, fueled by a confluence of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties, underscores gold's enduring appeal as a hedge against uncertainty. The recent surge, surpassing the previous record set just days prior, signals a potent shift in investor sentiment, driven significantly by the United States' imposition of new levies.
The Catalyst: US Levies and Geopolitical Turmoil
The primary catalyst for gold's dramatic ascent is the escalating geopolitical landscape, particularly the United States' implementation of new levies. These levies, often associated with trade disputes and economic protectionism, inject uncertainty into global markets. Investors, seeking to mitigate potential losses, flock to safe-haven assets like gold, driving its price upward.
Beyond the immediate impact of US levies, a broader sense of economic fragility permeates the market. Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns have created a climate of apprehension. In such environments, gold's historical role as a store of value becomes increasingly attractive, bolstering its demand.
Gold's Safe-Haven Status: A Time-Tested Phenomenon
Gold's allure as a safe-haven asset is deeply rooted in its intrinsic properties and historical performance. Unlike fiat currencies, which are susceptible to inflation and government policies, gold retains its value over long periods. In times of economic and political instability, gold tends to outperform other asset classes, serving as a reliable hedge against market volatility.
This safe-haven status is further reinforced by gold's limited supply and its universal recognition as a valuable asset. The precious metal's physical nature and its role in various industries, from jewelry to electronics, contribute to its enduring demand.
The Market Reaction: A Surge in Investor Confidence
The surge in gold prices reflects a significant shift in investor confidence. As traditional investment avenues become increasingly risky, investors are turning to gold as a means of preserving capital. The influx of funds into gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other gold-related investments underscores this trend.
The market's reaction also highlights the interconnectedness of global economies. The US levies, while originating from a single nation, have reverberated across international markets, triggering a flight to safety. This demonstrates the profound impact of geopolitical events on investor behavior and asset prices.
Analyzing the Price Surge: Factors at Play
Several factors contribute to gold's current price surge:
• Currency Fluctuations: A weakening US dollar can make gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies.
• Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation erodes the purchasing power of fiat currencies, increasing the appeal of gold as an inflation hedge.
• Interest Rate Policies: Lower interest rates can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, as it does not generate interest income.
• Geopolitical Instability: Political conflicts, trade disputes, and economic sanctions create uncertainty, driving demand for safe-haven assets.
• Central Bank Purchases: Central banks often hold gold reserves as a hedge against currency fluctuations and economic instability. Their purchasing activity can influence gold prices.
•
Looking Ahead: The Future of Gold Prices
Predicting future gold prices is inherently challenging, as they are influenced by a complex interplay of factors. However, several trends suggest that gold's upward trajectory may continue:
• Persistent Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing political conflicts and trade disputes are likely to sustain demand for safe-haven assets.
• Economic Uncertainty: Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns are expected to persist.
• Increased Investor Interest: The recent surge in gold prices has attracted significant investor attention, potentially leading to further inflows of funds.
However, potential headwinds could also impact gold prices:
• Strengthening US Dollar: A stronger US dollar could make gold less attractive to international investors.
• Rising Interest Rates: Higher interest rates could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold.
• Improved Economic Outlook: A more optimistic economic outlook could reduce demand for safe-haven assets.
The Significance of Gold's Milestone
Gold's breach of the $3,100 mark is a significant milestone, reflecting the profound impact of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties on global markets. It underscores gold's enduring role as a safe-haven asset and its ability to preserve value in times of uncertainty.
As investors navigate the complexities of the global economy, gold is likely to remain a key component of diversified investment portfolios. Its historical performance, intrinsic properties, and universal appeal make it a compelling asset in an increasingly uncertain world.
Expect gold to retreat to the 3100-3090 zoneOn a crazy Monday, gold fell back to around 3076 and then rebounded, and continued to rise to around 3128. It has now fallen back slightly and is fluctuating in a narrow range around 3120!
Although gold does maintain a strong position at present, what makes me more alert is that once gold retreats $3-5, it will be enough to make more buyers crazy and actively rush into gold long transactions. This is an extremely dangerous signal in my opinion! Because if with the withdrawal of large funds and panic selling, more bulls will be defeated.
So I explicitly refuse to chase long gold above 3120, because as gold rises rapidly, the risk of going long is gradually accumulating, so the liquidity of gold is gradually weakening, so gold may need to retreat more to increase liquidity before continuing to rise! And if the tariff policy introduced on April 2 is carried out in a more moderate way, then market sentiment will be greatly eased, and gold may also collapse.
So I think in short-term trading, we can still short gold in batches in the 3125-3135 zone, and expect gold to at least fall back to the 3100-3090 zone.
XAUUSD:Place short positions during the rebound I conducted resistance tests at the levels of 3,100 and 3,115. However, in the early trading session, the price of gold surged rapidly, soaring all the way to around 3,027. In the later period, choosing to stand by and observe to avoid risks could also be regarded as a sound strategy. Now, the market has approached a stable state. The resistance test at 3,027 has proven to be effective. One can place a short position near 3,025 during the rebound.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
sell@3125
TP:3115-3105
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GOLD:Short positions are dominant in New York sessionToday, gold jumped higher and opened higher. After filling the gap, it continued to rise, breaking through the 3100 mark and approaching 3130. The excessive and rapid rise caused the MACD indicator to diverge, giving us the opportunity to short this time, from which we gained 1000+ points of profit. Together with the profit of nearly 2000 points in the Asian session, we have gained more than 3000 points of profit today.
At present, the price is still falling, with weak support roughly around 3107 and strong support around 3098. Before the start of the US session, the price is expected to fluctuate in the 3100-3130 area. There will be large fluctuations after the opening, and the possibility of falling from a high position is greater, so the US session can pay more attention to the opportunity to short at a high position.
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold surged to a record high of $3,086 last week as investors dumped Equities and Crypto for safe-haven assets. With rising inflation concerns and uncertainty surrounding Trump’s tariffs, fears of a US recession or stagflation are driving the market.
📈 Will Gold continue its rally, or is a pullback coming? In this video, I break down my thought process and how I’m strategically positioning for the next big move.
#GoldPrice #XAUUSD #MarketAnalysis #GoldTrading #Forex #Inflation #SafeHaven #TradingStrategy
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Always assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
Next week’s opening trend forecast and layout!Early layout plan for gold: long and short strategies in the real market, all the way to profit, rich profits, witnessed by the whole network!
Technical analysis of gold: Gold rose again at the end of Friday, and finally closed the daily line with a bald positive line. After a brief adjustment, it rose again. Then, there will be high points to see next week. Continue to maintain the main decline and long, and do not guess the top for the bullish trend. This week is also a long and short strategy to stop profit all the way, and the intraday harvest is rich! The daily support is near 3057, but the strong will not have too much retracement, otherwise it will turn into shock, and the low point of the fall is near 3073. On Monday, the strong will rely on this position to be bullish. The upper pressure is near 3087. Don’t chase more before breaking the position. Breaking the position will gradually see above 3100! Next week, we will continue to focus on retracement and long, but don’t chase more. After all, the technical side needs to step back and adjust. Stepping back and long is the way to go with the trend. Maintain the main retracement and long, and watch more and move less in the middle position. Be cautious and chase orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, please pay attention to it in time. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate with us!
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to 3070-60.
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions. Follow your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes. Once there are changes, we will inform you in time, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
(Note: The above strategy is based on the current trend, and will be adjusted according to real-time fluctuations during trading. It is for reference only)
NEXT HIGH is 3100 It's coming !! XAUUSD GOLD next move We have seen the gold rally from 2978 to 3058 , toped the level of 3058 which is the last all time high in last week , last fri day in US session we have seen some profit booking and also it retested the last swing low of asia of this week .
I'm predicting now that XAUUSD GOLD will make a new ALL TIME HIGH again in upcoming day's .
XAUUSD:Tomorrow, focus on going long on pullbacksLast Friday, influenced by both the evening market sentiment and capital flows, gold had a relatively high probability of rising overall. However, after the release of the PCE inflation data, the market reaction was poor as the data was bearish.
Gold failed to directly break through the previous high and reach a new peak. It was evident that the gold price did not hold firm above 3086, dropping rapidly after touching that level twice. Thus, one should not blindly chase long positions. If the gold price breaks below 3060, a genuine adjustment may ensue.
Overall, for tomorrow's short-term trading of gold, the trading approach should mainly involve going long on pullbacks and be supplemented by selling short on rebounds. In the short term, closely monitor the resistance level at the 3095-3100 range on the upside, and the support level at the 3070-3065 range on the downside.
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3/31 Gold Trading StrategiesThis seems to be a 5-wave upward trend, and GOLD is currently in the final phase of the upward movement. Given the strength of the bullish momentum, a rise towards the 3100 level is highly probable. Therefore, in tomorrow's trading, it would be reasonable to continue buying with a take-profit target in the 3095-3105 zone. Once the take-profit area is reached, consider switching to a short position.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD:Analysis of the Gold Market Trend for Next WeekOn Friday, the gold price fluctuated between 3,086 and 3,066, but there was no sign of peaking. Currently, the bullish trend in the gold market remains intact, and it is expected to reach new highs next week.
In the early trading session on Thursday, it was already indicated that the trend would turn bullish, and the consecutive upward movements on Thursday and Friday were in line with our expectations. At present, the gold price closed at around 3,085.
On next Monday, one needs to be wary of the risks of a gap-up or gap-down opening. The upper resistance lies between 3,090 and 3,094. If it firmly stands at this level, it will test the position of 3,111. The lower support is at 3,070-3,065.
In terms of operation, Xu Gucheng suggests that on next Monday, the main strategy should be to go long on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds.
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Gold Bullish Frenzy? Watch for Reversal SignalsAt present, it seems that the situation for the bulls is promising. However, the market is not necessarily so. This kind of behavior to induce more long positions is quite normal in the market.
Market makers often operate in a strategic way. After they have reaped the profits from the bulls, it's highly likely that the next target will be the bears.
Looking at the gold market specifically, the price of gold is currently at a high level and is bound to decline. This frenzied bullish trend simply cannot be sustained, and this is an inevitable outcome. The current gold price has seriously deviated from its normal track. One could even
say that it has completely derailed or "strayed from the norm". Such a situation is clearly unreasonable, and a return to a reasonable level is inevitable.
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#XAUUSD:$3200 Next Big Move, Bulls Are Like to DominatePrice has been bullish since many months as US Dollars continue to decline, the fear of further decline in dollar value is triggering the gold market to go all time high. There is a big possibility that price is likely to go upwards of region of 3200$. We will have to monitor the market next week since we have big news week coming up.
Like and Comment to Show us the support 🚀❤️
Team Setupsfx_
Sell@3080Today, the XAUUSD market is mired in extraordinary volatility. The uptrend in prices has continued unabated, with values rocketing to $3086. This powerful rally has inflicted heavy losses on bearish traders, leading to a mass liquidation of their positions.
Currently, the market is in a “double - whammy” situation, where both bulls and bears are feeling the pinch. This is the result of large - scale capital inflows. Savvy institutional investors and market players are deploying capital strategically, aiming to maximize profits.
Despite this current upward surge, we remain steadfast in our bearish outlook. Our in - depth analysis of multiple factors—including long - term economic trends, geopolitical developments, and technical indicators—reinforces our conviction. Many fundamental indicators suggest that the current rally is likely a short - lived market aberration. As the market continues to digest various macroeconomic data, we anticipate downward pressure to build, eventually reversing the current upward trend.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@3085 - 3080
🎁 TP 3040 3030 3020 3010 3000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates