XAUUSD Technical Outlook – Rebound or Trap?1. Market Overview
After a sharp rejection near the 0.618 Fibonacci level, XAUUSD has pulled back and is now trading around 3,323 USD. Although price has stabilized somewhat, technical indicators suggest this is likely a corrective move within a prevailing downtrend.
2. Technical Analysis
Price Action
XAUUSD is currently hovering near 3,323 USD after a failed attempt to break above the resistance zone at 3,373–3,392 USD — an area marked by:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent downtrend
Repeated historical rejections.
The upper boundary of a sideways consolidation range from early June.
Recent candlesticks show indecision and rejection from higher levels, suggesting sellers are still in control.
Support Zone Behavior
The price recently bounced from the 3,294–3,317 USD range, where strong historical support and the 0.382 Fibonacci level align.
This zone continues to hold, but if broken, could open the door to deeper declines toward the 3,250 or even 3,224 USD levels.
RSI Indicator
RSI remains flat around the neutral zone, indicating a lack of bullish momentum.
No significant divergence or breakout signals are currently visible on the daily RSI chart.
3. Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
3,373 – 3,392 USD: Confluence resistance zone (0.618 Fib + historical supply).
3,435 – 3,453 USD: Previous swing high – key medium-term benchmark
Support:
3,294 – 3,317 USD: Immediate support, holding for now.
3,250 – 3,224 USD: Potential next target zone if bearish pressure resumes.
4. Trade Setup Scenarios.
Scenario 1 – Buy if support holds and bullish confirmation appears
Entry: 3,295 – 3,305 USD.
Stop-loss: Below 3,289 USD.
Take-profit: 3,340 – 3,355 – 3,370 USD.
Condition: Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., Bullish Engulfing, Pin Bar) on H1–H4.
Scenario 2 – Sell on rejection from resistance zone
Entry: 3,370 – 3,375 USD.
Stop-loss: Above 3,392 USD.
Take-profit: 3,330 – 3,310 – 3,290 USD.
Condition: Clear bearish rejection candlestick with diminishing volume
Note:
XAUUSD remains in a vulnerable state. The current move may be a technical rebound rather than a true reversal. Traders should watch closely how price behaves around the 3,373–3,392 USD zone in the coming sessions. A breakout could signal a new bullish leg, while another rejection would likely confirm a continuation of the bearish trend.
Xauusdsignal
Gold fluctuates at high levels, intraday trading points📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial unemployment claims data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold has begun to show signs of bottoming out in the short term in the past two days. Since the daily line bottomed out and pulled up, the daily line closed positive yesterday, and the bulls began to counterattack, and the 1H low was rising. If it doesn't fall further in the short term, it will most likely bottom out and rebound. The upper pressure is at the Bollinger middle track of 3355, which is also the high point of Tuesday's decline. If gold breaks and stabilizes at this price, it will have a larger upward space, and the upper side will look at 3385. In the 4H chart, MACD temporarily forms a golden cross, which is a bullish signal; but the BOLL track pressure is still there, and gold bears still have momentum in the short term. Therefore, on the whole, in the short term, gold should pay attention to the 3350-3360 resistance above. If it encounters resistance under pressure here, it can consider shorting. Pay attention to the 3330-3320 support area below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3350-3360
TP 3340-3330-3320
BUY 3330-3320
TP 3340-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Escalating U.S. Debt Crisis Coupled with Weaker U.S. DollarPowell Unleashes Rare Dovish Signal, Gold Rebounds to $3,330
In yesterday's speech, Powell remarkably signaled policy easing, explicitly stating the Fed "will take appropriate actions to sustain economic expansion," driving gold's short-term rebound to the $3,330 threshold. Technically, gold is now locked in a strong consolidation range of $3,300–$3,350, with the Bollinger Bands midline at $3,325 emerging as the focal point of long-short battles.
The U.S. Dollar Index hit a new low today, while the U.S. debt crisis is set to raise the borrowing ceiling again—both tailwinds for gold's upward momentum.
Trading Strategy Recommendations:
- Short at Resistance: Enter light short positions between $3,345–$3,350, set stop-loss at $3,360, and target a pullback to $3,320.
- Long at Support: Initiate staggered long positions in the $3,310–$3,300 support zone, set stop-loss at $3,290, and target a rally to $3,340–$3,345.
- Volatility Trading: Exploit range-bound movements around the $3,330 midline, aiming for 8–12 dollar profits per trade.
Market Note: With the dollar weakening and debt ceiling tensions resurfacing, gold's safe-haven appeal is reinforced. Maintain position sizes below 5% and strictly enforce $15 stop-loss orders to navigate news-driven volatility.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAU/USD – Smart Money Building Toward $3360? |26 June 2025Gold (XAU/USD) is pushing into fresh highs around $3337, and we may be approaching a key inflection point. But beneath the surface of candles and wicks lies the real story — one written by liquidity, displacement, and smart money positioning.
This outlook breaks down gold’s price action using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), price structure, and Fibonacci confluence, to help identify the most probable high-value trade zones for both swing and intraday traders.
4H Outlook – Institutional Flow & Structure
Market Structure
Gold recently broke above the $3310–$3320 resistance, confirming a bullish Break of Structure (BOS). This keeps the market in a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, validating continued bullish pressure.
Smart Money Insights
BOS: Clean break above $3320 signals strength.
CHoCH: None yet — trend remains bullish.
Liquidity Sweep: Sell stops below $3295 have already been taken.
Buy-Side Liquidity: Sits above $3350 — price may gravitate there next.
FVG: Unfilled Fair Value Gap between $3314–$3322 — possible retracement zone.
Bullish OB: Identified between $3300–$3310, aligned with FVG and BOS level.
Equilibrium: Using $3275 (swing low) and $3342 (swing high), the midpoint sits near $3308, acting as fair re-entry value.
Key Zones
Buy Zone (Demand): $3295–$3310 — OB + FVG + Fib confluence.
Sell Zone (Supply): $3350–$3360 — next likely liquidity target.
Bias Summary
As long as price remains above $3295, the bullish structure stays valid. Watch for a retracement into $3308–$3316 for potential continuation toward $3350–$3360. Price may briefly dip below $3310 to trigger liquidity before moving higher.
1H View – Precision Entries
Structure
Following the high at $3342, price has pulled back slightly and is forming what appears to be a bullish flag — often a continuation pattern.
Smart Money Zones (1H)
FVG: $3315–$3322 — potential short-term reaction zone.
Order Block: $3305–$3312 — 1H bullish OB aligned with 4H bias.
Sell-side Liquidity: Swept at $3295 earlier this week — supports continuation.
Trade Setups
Long Setup #1 – Optimal Entry
Entry: $3308–$3315
Stop: Below $3295
TP: $3342 (partial), $3350–$3360 (full)
Why: Strong zone combining FVG, OB, and Fib support.
Long Setup #2 – Aggressive Entry
Entry: $3316–$3320
Stop: $3300
TP: $3340–$3350
Why: Quicker entry inside the imbalance — riskier but valid.
Short Setup – Countertrend (Low Conviction)
Only valid on a clear break below $3310 + CHoCH
Entry: Below $3310 (confirmed)
Target: $3295
Note: Lower confidence unless 1H structure turns bearish.
Final Notes
The bias remains bullish above $3301–$3308. This is a high-probability area to look for long setups on retracement. Avoid shorts unless we see a confirmed structural shift with a CHoCH and OB breakdown.
Expect the market to potentially hunt stops below $3310, then aim for liquidity sitting above $3350–$3360.
The Direction After Sideways Fluctuation at 3330Trump's announcement of an Israel-Iran ceasefire dented safe-haven sentiment, curbing safe-haven buying 🛑. Gold opened with a sharp plunge, then extended losses as Powell later stated that more time is needed before considering rate cuts—dovish expectations eased, sending gold further lower ⬇️. The price briefly fell below the 3,300 level, nearing 3,295 at its lowest, but failed to breach the 3,290-3,300 support zone 📊. As I indicated yesterday, traders could test rebound strength near support; once news impacts faded, gold rebounded to close at 3,323 🔄.
Currently trading sideways around 3,330, gold faces resistance at 3,350 while downside support remains at 3,290-3,300 📈📉. We therefore maintain a bearish stance
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3345 - 3335
🚀 TP 3325 - 3315 - 3305
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD), with the current price at 3,282.080, reflecting a decrease of 45.740 (-1.37%). The chart includes a downward trendline indicating a potential bearish trend, with key support and resistance levels marked at 3,245.627 and 3,316.901, respectively. The chart covers data from June to July 2025, with the latest update at 01:22:46.
Gold is weak. Can it continue?Gold is still fluctuating and falling slightly today. Gold is weak, so gold is likely to be short-term. If the price rebounds, it will be a short opportunity.
We need to pay attention to the release of US PCE data later.
From the 1-hour chart
the moving average continues to cross the short arrangement and diverge downward. After gold fell below the early support near 3340, it began to move downward weakly. The current upward pressure is around 3295-3310.
From the daily chart, the price is below the MA20 cycle and the 50 cycle, but remains above the 100 cycle. The technical indicators turned higher, but the momentum indicator is at a neutral level, and the RSI index is around 42.7, which does not point to an upward trend.
Since the upcoming data may have some impact on the price, the price may have a short-term high opportunity. Steady trading is still waiting for the price to rise and then short. Of course, if your trading strategy is more aggressive, you can use a long strategy before the price rises.
Operation suggestions:
Radical: Buy near 3280, stop loss at 3265, profit range 3305-3310.
Conservative: Wait for the price to rise and then bear pressure, sell near 3310, stop loss at 3320, profit range 3290-3285.
XAU/USD GOLD 4H + 1H PREMIUM TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – JUNE 27, 20254-HOUR TIMEFRAME – HIGHER TIMEFRAME BIAS
Gold continues to trade near its all-time highs, consolidating just below a recent swing high of $3,315. Despite minor pullbacks, the macro trend remains bullish, with bullish structure still intact. Recent price action shows shallow retracements and strong rejections of key fib levels, a typical sign of underlying smart money accumulation.
Price Action & Market Structure
Gold recently printed a Break of Structure (BOS) at $3,290, followed by a retest of the broken level.
We observed a Change of Character (CHoCH) near $3,300, quickly invalidated by bullish strength – further confirming accumulation behavior.
Market remains in bullish alignment unless $3,250 is broken decisively.
Key Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance $3,315–$3,320
Demand $3,275–$3,282
Support $3,250
Targets $3,340 / $3,355
Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Liquidity Grab beneath $3,275 likely triggered retail stop hunts
4H Bullish Order Block between $3,275–$3,282 remains unmitigated
Imbalance Zone: $3,283–$3,289 – price may wick into this before launch
Sell-side liquidity taken below $3,275 → bullish reaction
Buy-side liquidity sits above $3,315 → likely short-term magnet
ZOOMING INTO 1-HOUR CHART – INTRADAY SETUPS
The 1-hour chart aligns with the bullish higher-timeframe bias, offering two potential premium-level setups:
Setup #1: Bullish Rejection from 4H OB
Entry Zone: $3,275–$3,282
This setup targets a liquidity sweep beneath $3,275 followed by bullish mitigation of a clean order block and imbalance zone. Confluence across fibs, OB, and structure support increases probability.
Setup #2: Breakout Retest Play
Trigger: Clean breakout and retest of $3,315
Entry: On successful retest (bullish confirmation candle)
Ideal if momentum pushes through local resistance, clearing buy-side liquidity. Reclaim of structure suggests smart money continuation.
Bearish Contingency (Low Probability for Now)
If price breaks below $3,250 and confirms below structure:
Look to short on retests into $3,275
Target next demand around $3,235
Until that happens, bullish bias remains dominant.
Gold remains one of the most structured and responsive instruments to smart money technicals right now. A well-planned entry around demand, imbalance, or breakout levels provides excellent RRR potential if structure holds.
Analysis and layout of the latest gold trends during the day📰 Impact of news:
1. PCE and Consumer Index
📈 Market analysis:
Judging from the 4H chart, the Bollinger Bands are closing and the MACD is showing a trend of forming a death cross, indicating that the short-selling momentum is still relatively strong in the short term. However, as the overall upward structure has not been destroyed, there is still a possibility of a rebound and repair in the future. During the day, we need to pay special attention to the support strength of the MA5 and MA10 moving averages. It is recommended to adopt the idea of shorting at high levels and going long at low levels. The key support below is the 3305-3295 area, and the upper resistance is the 3340-3350 range. However, judging from the chart, in the short term, there may be a rebound near 3313. At present, it has indeed rebounded to around 3319 as expected. If it falls weakly to this week's low of 3295, you can buy if it does not break. On the whole, if it rebounds to 3335-3345, you can consider shorting, and if the support below 3305-3295 is not broken, go long. Today is Friday, and as it is near the end of the month, market liquidity is strong. Please be cautious in your operations today and be sure to set stop losses strictly.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3335-3345-3350
TP 3320-3315-3300
BUY 3305-3295
TP 3310-3320-3330
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
Gold is sideways. Is a new trend brewing?Information summary:
On June 23, Trump announced that Iran and Israel reached a comprehensive ceasefire, but the asymmetric terms of the agreement caused the conflict to continue. Israel launched another air strike on Iran, and Israel threatened to kill Iranian senior officials. The uncertainty of geopolitical risks continues to support gold prices.
Market analysis:
From the 4-hour chart, the MA5-day and 10-day moving averages show signs of upward divergence, and the K-line stands firm on the moving average support and fluctuates upward. In the short term, pay attention to the breakthrough and decline of the 3350 pressure level. The current market's downward momentum has weakened, and the overall market remains volatile. We need to be wary of the risk of short-term adjustments after continuous surges. Be alert to the short-term adjustment risks after continuous highs.
Operation strategy:
Short near the price rebound of 3345, stop loss 3355, profit range: 3330-3320.
Gold volatility intensifies. Waiting for direction?The price of gold fluctuated greatly this week, which means that the end point of sentiment will not disappear so easily for the time being; in the short-term K-line pattern, there are continuous ups and downs. If you want to trade steadily, you can wait and see for a while.
From the hourly chart, the MA5-day and 10-day moving averages cross downward, and the RS indicator hovers around 40.7. This shows that the market trend is weak. The current price has bottomed out near 3310 and rebounded to fluctuate around 3320. The price may continue to decline after a slight rebound.
Today, focus on the long opportunities near 3305 and the pressure position above 3345.
Quaid has always believed that only by insisting on detailed analysis of the market and reducing losses, can we slowly accumulate the principal of the account.
Good luck to everyone.
Gold Builds Bullish Momentum After $3,294.0 ReboundGold bounced from $3,294.0, forming a double bottom pattern as XAU/USD consolidates near $3,330.0. Stochastic has exited oversold territory, signaling strengthening bullish momentum.
If $3,294.0 holds as support, the uptrend may continue toward the $3,393.0 target.
Gold continues to fluctuate. Waiting for a trend?Today, gold has been suppressed below the high of 3345, and the hourly line tends to be weak. Looking at the number of Yin and Yang lines on the hourly line during the fluctuation, we can see that the typical Yin line is continuous and the Yang line is few, plus the weak suppression of the previous day, from the rhythm point of view, it is a weak signal.
From the hourly chart, around 3312, this is the 0.618 position of the retracement of the 3295-3337 fluctuation range. The decline is slow during the day, and the 0.618 position has become a support rebound.
And the current trend, like the previous day, may continue to rebound and then fall. At the same time, there was no cyclical decline in the early Asian session. Instead, it fluctuated sideways, bottomed out and rebounded, and then continued to return to the high of the previous day.
Judging from the current market situation, the Asian market bottomed out and rebounded in the morning, reaching a high of around 3343, and then began to fall back, and is currently fluctuating around 3335.
The trend of the European session is very critical, and the focus is on the watershed below 3328. If this position falls below, the price will most likely continue to fall.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3340, stop loss 3350, profit range 3320-3310.
Gold may continue to rebound to 3350-3360If gold can stand above 3330 today, it will stimulate long trading behavior to a certain extent, especially the self-rescue behavior of trapped longs. Gold may continue to rebound and is expected to reach the 3345-3355 area. So there is no need to risk shorting gold near 3330 for the time being; although gold may continue to rebound, it is still under pressure in the 3350-3360-3370 area; and gold is still weak overall, so we can consider shorting gold in the 3350-3360 area and look at the target area of 3325-3315.
The Premium privilege of my account will end on June 26, and it will stop updating here from tomorrow. Friends in the channel have already made a lot of money by following my trading strategy. Friends who have not joined yet can join and receive the latest trading strategies and trading signals as soon as possible to escort your trading!
BTC continues to short at high levels during the day📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical impact
📈 Market analysis:
BTC has reached an intraday high of 108,125, just one step away from the all-time high of 112,000. With the increase in trading volume and institutional sentiment turning bullish, the momentum seems to be in the bulls' favor. In addition to institutional buying, the ceasefire agreement in the Iran-Israel war is also an important factor in Bitcoin's sharp rebound. Trump's announcement of the end of the war almost immediately triggered a surge in the cryptocurrency market. However, the overall pattern has not changed, and the range resistance has not been broken, so we still keep the idea of shorting at high levels.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 108000-107500
TP 104500-103500
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
XAU/USD: Long-Short Battle at $3,300 ThresholdAccurate Verification of Middle East Situation Analysis
Yesterday's morning strategy focused on analyzing the authenticity of the Middle East ceasefire agreement. By deconstructing the policy logic and strategic intent behind Trump's statement, we accurately predicted that the "Israel-Iran ceasefire" had not reached an official consensus. Although logical analysis confirmed doubts about the news, gold prices still broke below the psychological integer threshold of $3,300 driven by market sentiment, highlighting the irrational feature of "emotion dominating facts" in the current market.
Escalating Trade War Risks Intensify Market Volatility
While the Middle East conflict remains unresolved, the EU issued an official statement last night, clearly stating it will launch retaliatory tariffs to force the U.S. to reach more favorable trade agreements. This move marks a further escalation of transatlantic trade friction, and market concerns about global economic growth may resurface.
Three Key Events to Monitor Closely
Gold prices are currently in a long-short stalemate at the $3,300 threshold, with the following events set to determine the short-term trend:
1.Signals of Fed Policy Pivot
Focus on the degree of rate cut expectations released in Powell's speech. A dovish signal will strengthen gold's safe-haven appeal.
2.Progress of EU-U.S. Tariff Game
Whether the EU substantially initiates counter-tariffs directly affects market assessments of global trade system stability.
3.The Legislative Process of the One Big Beautiful Bill
If the act passes smoothly this week, it may reconstruct North American trade rules—be vigilant against sudden policy shocks.
Short-Term Market Outlook
Before the above events materialize, gold is likely to oscillate within the range of $3,280-$3,350. Traders are advised to adopt a "buy low, sell high" range strategy:
- Light short positions can be taken at the upper resistance of $3,350 with a stop-loss at $3,370.
- Long positions can be initiated at the lower support of $3,280, targeting $3,320.
Note: The current market is significantly driven by news. All operations must strictly set stop-loss orders, with position sizes controlled within 15%.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Short gold after reboundGold rebounded after touching 3312, and has now rebounded to 3330, but the rebound strength is far less than the decline strength, so the overall performance of gold is still weak. Because gold fell sharply yesterday, the market bullish confidence suffered a heavy blow, and there are many resistances above after gold fell and broke, and it is under pressure at 3340-3350 in the short term, and there is a technical gap above that suppresses the 3360-3370 area.
Therefore, before gold stabilizes in the 3360-3370 area, the short-selling force still has the upper hand, so we still focus on shorting gold in trading. We can consider shorting gold with the 3340-3350 area as resistance, and look at the target area of 3320-3310.
The Premium privilege of my account will end on June 26, and it will stop updating here from tomorrow. Friends in the channel have already made a lot of money by following my trading strategies. Friends who have not joined yet can join and receive the latest trading strategies and trading signals in the first time to protect your trading!
Gold fluctuates upward. Trend change?Yesterday, the gold daily line closed with a middle-yin candlestick with a lower shadow. The closing price has lost the middle and lower rail positions one after another, and the short-term downward pressure adjustment will continue.
The hourly level shows a bottoming out and rebound, and it rose in the early Asian session, breaking through the pressure resistance of 3328-3332 in the European and US sessions yesterday, but it did not continue the rebound and fell into a narrow range. At present, there is still great resistance above 3340, and it has failed to break through after many attempts, but the hourly line track has not been completely lost.
Pay attention to the 3315 support for long positions, and pay attention to the 3340-3355 short position range for upward movement. For the period of shock, strong support or resistance will inevitably produce inertial puncture behavior, and some errors are normal. We need to pay attention to the market trend at all times and change strategies in time.
Today we need to focus on the response strategies for resistance and support levels, which will determine whether we can achieve profits within the fluctuation range.
Good luck to everyone.
Suppression remains unchanged, the latest layout of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. Powell's testimony
2. Geopolitical impact
📈 Market analysis:
The short-term rebound of gold is the release of energy for the accumulated bulls. From the current market trend, 3340 above is the key point of the short-term watershed between bulls and bears. The short-term resistance above is around 3342-3348, and the short-term support below is around 33220-3315. If it falls below this, it will continue to look towards yesterday's low of 3290-3280. The daily level is under pressure and continues to see a decline and adjustment. If it touches 3340-3350 above, you can try to short. After it retreats to 3320-3315 and obtains effective support, you can consider going long.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3330-3320-3315
BUY 3320-3315
TP 3330-3340-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Bulls have made profits, gold layout in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. Powell's testimony
2. Geopolitical impact
📈 Market analysis:
I have completed the long trade according to the previous trading strategy, and the long order has generated profit. In the short term, the overall trend of gold is still bearish. Only if it breaks through and stabilizes above 3350 can the bulls continue. If it rebounds to the 3330-3335 line and encounters resistance under pressure, you can consider shorting. If it rebounds to 3340-3350 but fails to stabilize, you can increase your short position. Pay attention to the support of 3320-3300 below. If it falls below 3300, it is expected to reach 3280
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3330-3335-3340-3350
TP 3320-3310-3300-3280
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD