Gold in Correction Mode – How Low Can It Go!?As I expected in the previous post , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to decline from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and with good momentum .
Gold is moving near the Resistance zone($2,916-$2,905) and the 100_SMA(1-hour) . 100_SMA(1-hour) was an important support for Gold so that every time Gold hit this moving average, it started to increase.
Also, Gold's movements seem to be corrective since the market opened .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Gold is in Corrective Waves , and according to Gold's falling momentum , it is possible that Gold will have a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) in front of it.
In addition, if you look at the Gold chart in the 4-hour or Daily time frame , you will notice that there is a possibility of Adam & Adam Double Top Pattern(AADT) .
I expect Gold to attack at least the Support zone($2,890-$2,879) in the coming hours, and if this zone breaks , we should wait for Gold to drop to at least $2,865 .
Note: If Gold can go above 100_SMA(1-hour) again, or rather, if Gold touches $2,920, we should expect more pumps.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Xauusdsignal
Gold short term recovery, bulls try⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US real yields, which typically move opposite to gold prices, fell by four basis points to 2.039%, providing support for XAU/USD.
Meanwhile, the World Gold Council (WGC) reported that central banks acquired over 1,000 tons of gold for the third year in a row in 2024. Following Trump’s election victory, central bank purchases soared by more than 54% year-over-year, reaching 333 tons, according to WGC data.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Short recovery at the beginning of the week, still in the accumulation process, no important news, gold is not affected too much
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2916 - $2918 SL $2921 scalping
TP1: $2912
TP2: $2907
TP3: $2900
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2940 - $2942 SL $2947
TP1: $2930
TP2: $2920
TP3: $2910
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2878 - $2880 SL $2873
TP1: $2885
TP2: $2892
TP3: $2900
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Long xauusd again made a big profitAfter the last transaction, the order successfully reached tp. The trader who followed made a good profit on the last transaction because the increase was more than 30 p.
The current position of gold price is around 2930, facing the upper pressure level. Combining technical indicators and trend lines to judge that the short-term gold price will be blocked and then sharply corrected and fell.
The upper pressure level that needs to be paid attention to is around 2940.
If you are concerned about when the gold price will fall and have seen this article, then you can consider following the trading plan to short.
Xauusd: Sell, 2930. Sl2945. Tp2900.
Gold–A Bullish Revival or Just a Correction After Friday's Drop?Yesterday was a very quiet day for TRADENATION:XAUUSD traders.
After a normal rebound from the 2880 support, the price hovered around 2900 in a low-volatility environment.
Overnight, bulls found some strength and pushed the price to a high of 2916. At the time of writing, Gold is trading around 2910.
In my view, this is merely a correction following Friday’s sharp drop, not a resumption of the bullish trend. As I mentioned yesterday, I am looking to sell rallies.
My idea would be invalidated by a daily close above Friday’s high.
As for the target, in the medium term, we could see the price drop to 2850.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD → Bullish, News-Driven PriceGold (XAU/USD) Outlook: Navigating Key Support Amid Economic Uncertainty
Gold prices remain in a bullish trend, rebounding from previously tested trend support and signaling a potential upside continuation. The metal’s safe-haven appeal remains intact as global economic uncertainties persist, driving investor interest. However, market sentiment is influenced by key geopolitical and macroeconomic developments.
Geopolitical & Economic Factors Influencing Gold
Investors remain highly cautious ahead of the upcoming US-Russia discussions in Saudi Arabia, where efforts to negotiate a resolution to the Ukraine conflict will take center stage. Any significant breakthroughs or escalations from these talks could inject volatility into the markets, impacting gold’s movement.
Meanwhile, a weak risk appetite is currently supporting the US dollar. The greenback is benefiting from cautious rhetoric by Federal Reserve officials, who continue to express concerns about inflation. Policymakers are urging patience in easing monetary policy, which reduces the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. The market’s focus now shifts to upcoming Fed speeches and the release of the January FOMC meeting minutes, which could provide further insights into the central bank’s stance on interest rates.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels & Market Structure
In the Asian trading session, gold successfully broke above the 2905 level, which now serves as a critical support zone. This level has historically played a key role in price action, and its ability to hold could determine gold’s short-term trajectory.
Immediate resistance levels: 2922 and 2938
Support levels: 2905 and 2893
The most probable scenario is a retest of the 2905 support zone, given the existing liquidity interest below this level. However, the broader bullish trend suggests that any dips are likely to be met with renewed buying pressure. Additionally, an imbalance in favor of buyers could continue pushing the price upward.
A decisive breakout and consolidation above 2915 could act as a catalyst for further gains, potentially driving the price toward the next key resistance levels. Conversely, if gold fails to maintain support, a deeper retracement toward 2893 could unfold before any renewed bullish momentum takes over.
Conclusion
Gold’s price action remains highly sensitive to both economic and geopolitical developments. While the broader uptrend remains intact, short-term fluctuations driven by risk sentiment, Federal Reserve commentary, and geopolitical negotiations will play a crucial role. Traders and investors should closely monitor price reactions at key support and resistance levels, as well as upcoming macroeconomic events, to assess the next move in XAU/USD.
Gold Teeters on the Edge: 2942 Retest Before the Big Leap!XAU/USD: Gold Eyes New Highs as Market Dynamics Align for Further Upside
Gold (XAU/USD) is once again testing its all-time high (ATH), a critical technical level that historically increases the probability of continued upward momentum. With the psychological 3000 level gradually coming into focus, the market remains on edge, closely monitoring key economic data and geopolitical developments that could fuel the next leg higher.
Current Market Conditions & Fundamental Drivers
Gold’s latest consolidation phase follows an impressive rally, maintaining its long-term uptrend while digesting recent gains. The metal remains well-supported by a combination of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors that continue to favor bullish sentiment:
Trump’s Tariff Plans: Former U.S. President Donald Trump has reiterated his stance on imposing tariffs if re-elected, a policy move that historically strengthens gold as investors hedge against trade uncertainty and inflationary pressures.
Federal Reserve’s Dovish Shift: Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to initiate rate cuts remain elevated. While Fed Chair Jerome Powell has hinted at the necessity of monetary easing, he has refrained from providing a specific timeline. This uncertainty has kept the dollar under pressure, indirectly benefiting gold.
Weakening Dollar & Falling Bond Yields: Recent Producer Price Index (PPI) data reinforced a dovish sentiment, signaling softening inflationary pressures. The dollar and U.S. Treasury yields have reacted accordingly, weakening in response and creating a more favorable environment for non-yielding assets like gold.
Markets have also digested the delay in tariff implementations and mixed messages from policymakers. While the rhetoric from Powell and Trump suggests a growing consensus on the need for lower interest rates, the lack of concrete action leaves room for speculation-driven volatility.
Technical Landscape: Key Levels & Price Structure
Gold is currently consolidating just below its ATH, with a delicate balance between profit-taking and renewed buying pressure. The key technical levels to watch include:
Resistance Levels:
$2942.6 – The immediate barrier gold needs to clear to confirm a breakout.
$2950 – A psychological and technical level that, if breached, could accelerate bullish momentum toward the much-anticipated 3000 mark.
Support Levels:
$2929 – A critical short-term support zone that has previously acted as a springboard for renewed buying interest.
$2922 – A deeper support level where buyers may step in to defend the uptrend.
$2908 – A major pivot point; a break below this level could signal a temporary shift in momentum.
Potential Scenarios & Market Outlook
Direct ATH Retest & Breakout
If gold manages to sustain its momentum and push past $2942-$2950, a test of ATH will be imminent. A decisive breakout above this level could open the doors for a rapid move toward $2975 and beyond, with $3000 becoming a realistic short-term target.
Support Retest Before Further Upside
Should gold fail to break above immediate resistance, a pullback toward $2929-$2922 remains a plausible scenario. This retracement would likely serve as a healthy correction, providing stronger support for the next leg higher.
Deeper Correction Toward $2908
While less likely in the absence of a major catalyst, a sharper decline could see gold testing $2908. Such a move would challenge the uptrend in the short term but might present an attractive buying opportunity for long-term bulls.
Market Catalysts Ahead: U.S. Retail Sales Data
The upcoming U.S. retail sales report is poised to be a key market-moving event. Strong consumer spending data could momentarily boost the dollar, exerting short-term pressure on gold. Conversely, weaker-than-expected retail numbers would reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance, adding fuel to gold’s bullish narrative.
Final Thoughts: Bullish Momentum Intact, Eyes on ATH
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with macroeconomic factors and technical signals aligning in favor of further gains. While a support retest is possible before another rally, the overall trajectory remains bullish, with the 3000 milestone inching closer. Traders and investors should keep a close eye on resistance levels and upcoming economic data, as they could dictate the next major move in gold’s journey toward new highs.
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry at market price
Sell Entry at 3020.00
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at 2835.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
Thief SL placed at 3060.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 3020.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2780.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔰 Fundamental Analysis
1. Supply and Demand: Gold's demand is increasing due to its use as a safe-haven asset and central banks' purchases.
2. Global Economic Trends: A potential global economic slowdown could increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
3. Mining Production: Gold mining production is expected to decrease in the next few years, which could put upward pressure on prices.
🔰 Technical Analysis
1. Trend: The current trend is bullish, with gold prices increasing by 15% in the last quarter.
2. Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend.
🔰 Market Sentiment
1. Investor Sentiment: Institutional investors are 50% bullish, 20% bearish, and 30% neutral on gold.
2. Retail Sentiment: Retail investors are 60% bullish, 15% bearish, and 25% neutral on gold.
3. Market Mood: The overall market mood is cautious, with investors waiting for further economic data before making investment decisions.
🔰 COT Report
1. Non-Commercial Traders: 40% long, 60% short
2. Commercial Traders: 50% long, 50% short
3. Non-Reportable Traders: 30% long, 70% short
🔰 Positioning
1. Institutional Traders: 50% bullish, 20% bearish, 30% neutral
2. Banks: 45% bullish, 25% bearish, 30% neutral
3. Hedge Funds: 55% bullish, 20% bearish, 25% neutral
4. Corporate Traders: 40% bullish, 30% bearish, 30% neutral
5. Retail Traders: 60% bullish, 15% bearish, 25% neutral
🔰 Overall Outlook
1. Bullish: Gold prices are expected to increase due to increasing demand and a potential global economic slowdown.
2. Volatility: Gold prices are expected to be volatile, with potential price swings of 5-10% in the short-term.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
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XAUUSD Gold has reached a strong demand zone around 2882/2878. After a sharp decline, price action shows signs of reversal, with potential bullish momentum building up.
Price is expected to rebound from the support zone and push towards key resistance levels:
✅ Target 1: 2894
✅ Target 2: 2907
A bullish engulfing candle or a strong rejection from the support zone could validate the move.
Breaking above 2894 may accelerate the bullish momentum.
⚠️ Bearish In-validations:
A breakdown below 2882/2878 may signal further downside to 2863, the next strong support level.
Look for confirmation before entering a long trade.
Use a tight stop-loss below the demand zone for risk management.
Gold’s Wild Ride: From Record Highs to Sudden Sell-OffsLast week was highly volatile for Gold prices.
After reaching a new all-time high on Tuesday, the price dropped sharply by approximately 800 pips. However, it began recovering on Thursday and climbed back to the 2940 zone on Friday.
In the final hours of trading, Gold experienced another sharp decline, closing the week exactly at the 2880 support level.
These repeated sell-offs from the all-time high suggest that a deeper correction may be underway, potentially confirming a double-top pattern. If this scenario unfolds, the measured target for the drop could be around 2820.
With this in mind, I will look to sell rallies against the recent 2940 all-time high.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold at PRZ—Will Bears Take Over Soon!?Today, U.S. Retail Sales data will be released:
Core Retail Sales (Forecast: 0.4%) → If lower than expected, it may indicate weaker consumer spending, potentially weakening the USD ( TVC:DXY ).
Retail Sales (Forecast: 0.4%) → A lower-than-expected reading would signal economic weakness and increase expectations for Fed rate cuts.
Given recent economic trends and previous reports like CPI (inflation) and PPI (producer inflation) coming in higher than expected, retail sales data is more likely to be stronger than forecasted or at least in line with expectations.
Potential Market Impact : If the data is stronger than expected : USD strengthens → Gold declines .
There is a slightly higher probability that the data will be stronger than expected (or in line with forecasts). However, if the data disappoints , the market could react sharply .
If the indexes are close to or match the forecasts, there will be less expectation of emotional market movement.
--------------------------------------------------
Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise, as I expected in the previous post . Currently, Gold is near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the upper line of the Ascending Channel , Monthly Resistance(2) , and Yearly Resistance(1) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . One of the confirmation signs of the end of wave 5 can be the breaking of the lower line of the ascending channel .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to go down to at least $2,920 first after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel, and if the Support zone($2,915-$2,905) is broken, we should wait for an attack on the 100_SMA(1-hour) and the Support line .
Note: If Gold breaks the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , we can expect more pumps.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD: A new Bias On Gold, What you all think?Dear Traders,
Our last two Gold Setups did not work out in our favour, and that is why we had to rethink about our bias. Now we expect a continuous growth in gold prices as we expected changes in government policies.
Show support by liking and commenting our ideas that will means a lot to us!
Thank you
Gold continues to maintain sideways below 294x, accumulating⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) continues to climb during Friday’s Asian session, supported by concerns over US President Donald Trump’s tariff plans and a drop in US bond yields.
However, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain its hawkish stance and keep interest rates high could limit further gains for the non-yielding metal. Traders are now focused on the upcoming US Retail Sales data for January, set to be released later in the day.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The uptrend is still going on, however profit-taking selling pressure still exists around 294x, gold will still accumulate around 2900 or more.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2942 - $2944 SL $2949
TP1: $2935
TP2: $2927
TP3: $2920
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2903 - $2905 SL $2898
TP1: $2912
TP2: $2920
TP3: $2930
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD "GOLD" POTENTIALLY BULLISHWe have seen OANDA:XAUUSD continue in the strong bullish rush creating higher highs and higher lows along the line. In the most recent time, price broke out on the most recent high (2,883.097) and not only found it as a support zone but also gave a price action candle showing some rejection of same zone.
My take, if this current H4 candle closes as a bullish candle in the next few hours, I will be going long with my first targets at 2,935 and then ride the move with a "breath-able" trailing stop
Disclaimer: Past results does not guarantee future results, trading instruments like gold is high risk
Gold's Bear Trap—Ready for a Bullish Breakout?Today’s US inflation data came in hotter than expected, reinforcing concerns about persistent price pressures. Core CPI rose 0.4% (vs. 0.3% expected ), while headline CPI jumped 0.5% (vs. 0.3% expected ). Annual inflation also exceeded forecasts at 3.0%. In his speech , Fed Chair Powell signaled no urgency in cutting rates, further strengthening the US dollar ( TVC:DXY ).
According to the published US indexes , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) suddenly fell but started to rise again from the Support line and created a Bear Trap .
Educational Tip : Basically, after every Bull or Bear Trap , the market moves against the created Trap.
Gold is moving near the Support zone($2,889-$2,878) , 100_SMA(1-hour) and has managed to break the Resistance line , any pullback can be a good opportunity for us to take a Long position . Of course, you can enter the position in another way ( be sure to follow the capital management ).
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold seems to have completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) . One of the signs of completion can be the breaking of the resistance line .
I expect Gold to attack the Resistance zone($2,915-$2,905) in the coming hours .
Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($2,889-$2,878), we should expect more fall and break the support line. Especially if Gold goes below $2,863.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Stick to shorting goldDear Traders,
As I clearly mentioned in my previous post, we could short gold in the 2920-2930 resistance zone, and as expected, gold retraced to the target zone I anticipated: 2910-2900. Our short position thus yielded a significant profit.
Currently, gold has bounced off the 2910-2900 support zone and has moved back up to around 2920. However, gold has been repeatedly rejected near 2920 and has not broken higher, confirming that the 2920-2930 zone is providing effective resistance. From a technical perspective, if gold forms a triple top pattern at this level, it could likely experience another downward correction and retest the 2910-2900 support zone.
Therefore, for short-term trading, we can continue to short gold at the 2920-2930 resistance zone.Bros, do you have the courage to short gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold to $3,000? Key Levels to Watch-XAU/USD AnalysisGold has been on a tear lately, pushing up towards $2,942, and the big question now is: Do we see a pullback, or is $3,000+ on the horizon?
Here’s what I’m watching:
🔹 $2,942 – Key resistance level. If we break above, momentum could take us straight to $3,000.
🔹 $2,875 – A potential pullback zone where buyers might step in before another leg up.
Markets are moving fast, and this could get interesting. Are you bullish or bearish on gold right now? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
XAUUSD - Possible Long Trade?Here is our quick view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a quick overview on the pair.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2900s .
As the price on XAUUSD has failed to break below 2880 , we are still overall bullish on OANDA:XAUUSD and due to this reason, and yesterdays news and statements, we are looking for further buys on the pair. Possible buys from this smaller KL (Key Level) at around 2908 with potential 2950 as a new ATH (All Time High) for our target. Stops would be around 2892 . Keep in mind we might get deeper pullbacks and further buys. This trade is only valid if we stay above 2910 .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2908
- SL: 2892
- TP: 2950
Personal opinion:
XAUUSD has tried to break below 2880 and failed. Due to this reason from a TA (Technical Analysis) point of view, we are still bullish on gold. Golds drop yesterday was also faded out due to inflation. As Powell was speaking and said that the Fed is in no rush to cut rates faster.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD failed to break below 2880.
- Breaks below 2892 would result in deeper pullbacks.
- XAUUSD remains bullish.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
XAUUSD TODAY'S MAPPING IS HERE Hello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of XAUUSD ( GOLD ) in 15-M TF
Ascending triangle pattern: Trendlines indicating higher lows and a horizontal resistance level.
Breakout and retest: The price has broken above the resistance and appears to be retesting the breakout level.
Trade setup:
Entry Level: Near the breakout retest point.
Take-profit: Near 2951
Stop-loss: Around 2900
This analysis indicates a bullish sentiment, expecting gold to rise further if the breakout holds.