THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
We’ve had an extremely decent week on the markets so please take it easy and remember the trade comes after they have made the move. Let them take it to where they want, wait for the exhaustion, identify the reversal, and then look for the trade. Most likely, the best trades come next week!
We have the breakout we were looking for out of the 2650-55 region which has now flipped. The resistance above is sitting at 2680-85 and above that 2695-2700. This level needs to be watched, a RIP here and we could see this come all the way back down into the order region again 2655-60 with extension of the move. This region for us would represent an opportunity to take the long trade back for the shorter capture.
On the flip, if they take this down during the move, we’ll be looking at the levels below shown on the chart, 2660-55 is a key level, our bias stands at 2645 in extension of the move. These levels may give us opportunities to then long back up if the higher levels are untouched!
Although all our bullish targets completed yesterday, we’ll share the Red box levels below as a guide for the intra-day strategy.
KOG’s Bias for the day:
Bullish above 2645 with targets above 2685, 2694 and 2700
Bearish on break of 2645 with targets below 2635
RED BOXES
Break above 2691 for 2700, 2702, 2710 in extension of the move
Break below 2675 for 2668, 2655 and 2645 in extension of the move
The circled question marks on the chart are our hot spots!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Xauusdsignal
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 So Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the NFP news.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 2730.00 (or) Before
Bearish Robbers TP 2630.00 (or) Before
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The XAU/USD is looking bullish right now, with the gold price sticking to its intraday gains near a multi-week top. The Fed's hawkish stance and elevated US bond yields are capping gains, but traders are still optimistic about the precious metal's potential.
From a technical perspective, the breakout through the $2,665 horizontal resistance is seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders. The gold price seems poised to climb further to the $2,681-2,683 intermediate hurdle and then aim to reclaim the $2,700 round-figure mark.
However, there are also some bearish signals to watch out for, such as the potential for a stock market crash and the rising yield curve. If the XAU/USD breaks below the $2,655 area, it could be seen as a buying opportunity, with support near the $2,635 region and the weekly low around the $2,615-2,614 zone.
Overall, the XAU/USD is expected to move in a bullish direction, with a potential upside target of $2,700. But, as always, it's essential to keep an eye on the market and adjust your strategy accordingly.
Some key factors to watch out for include the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report, which could impact the gold price, as well as the overall sentiment in the market. The gold-to-silver ratio is also an important indicator to keep an eye on, as it can provide insights into the relative strength of gold versus silver .
So, to sum it up, the XAU/USD is looking bullish right now, but it's crucial to stay informed and adapt to any changes in the market.
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Gold Pre-NFP Analysis - As Simple as PossibleGold Pre-NFP Analysis - As Simple as Possible
I have 4 levels on upside to watch as Sell levels
➡️15m level 2684ish (high risk)
➡️H1 level 2690ish (medium risk)
➡️H4 level 2708ish (low risk)
➡️ Day/week level 2733ish (extremely low risk)
I would prefer start taking sell risk form H1 levels with 70 to 100 pips SL, depending on the entry I got.
For buy Risk I have 2 levels marked on charts
➡️H4/Day levels 2633ish for medium to low-risk entry
➡️Weekly level 2612ish for reentry once 2633ish failed.
This is the game plan for now for full NFP day, any change would try to convey on time.
Ignore all previous VIP inactive signals if any and follow NFP levels and updates for next move.
Today is 1st NFP data of year 2025 that can be seen as wide range move that can make leveraged traders rich in no time if entered in right side of trades with open TP. I personally stick with SL and TP
Scalping BUY - Follow the main trend today ! GOLD ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
A Labor Department report revealed that Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 201,000 for the week ending January 4, the lowest level since February 2024, indicating a steady labor market.
Minutes from the December FOMC meeting highlighted policymakers' views of a gradual easing in labor market conditions and their support for slowing the pace of rate cuts due to stalled disinflation.
On Wednesday, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield surged to its highest since April 25, strengthening the US Dollar near a two-year high and putting pressure on Gold prices.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Short term frame shows price breaking trend, continuing to increase. Waiting for correction in higher price zones 2674, 2686
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2663 - $2661 SL $2657 scalping
TP1: $2667
TP2: $2672
TP3: $2680
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bulls Dominate - Long Frame Uptrend⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) edge lower during Thursday’s Asian session, retreating from the four-week high near $2,670 reached the previous day. The US Dollar (USD) remains strong, hovering near its two-year peak following the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish stance. The Fed signaled a slower pace of rate cuts in 2025, citing a resilient US economy, a robust labor market, and persistent inflation pressures, which weigh on the appeal of the non-yielding yellow metal.
However, concerns over President-elect Donald Trump’s protectionist trade policies and ongoing geopolitical risks provide some support for Gold’s safe-haven demand. A slight pullback in US Treasury yields has limited aggressive USD buying, further helping to cushion Gold’s decline. Traders remain cautious ahead of Friday’s release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which could offer fresh directional cues for the XAU/USD.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Long term frame is still showing uptrend, buyers are dominant
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2636 - $2634 SL $2629
TP1: $2645
TP2: $2652
TP3: $2660
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2684 - $2686 SL $2691
TP1: $2675
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2650
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
1/9 Gold Trading StrategiesThe previous decline has been almost fully recovered, and from a rebound perspective, it is nearing its conclusion. A pullback of about 1/3, roughly $30, is expected next, which presents a trading opportunity.
Sell between 2670 and 2685, with a take profit (TP) target at 2638-2628.
Gold is Ready to Pump Again==>>Short-term!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is currently moving near the Resistance zone($2,670-$2,653) and the 50_SMA(Daily) .
Regarding Classic Technical analysis , Gold is moving in the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern .
According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that Gold has completed microwave 4 , and we should wait for microwave 5 .
I expect that Gold can have an upward trend in the coming hours and can attack the Resistance zone($2,670-$2,653) for the umpteenth time.
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($2,639-$2,630), we can expect more dumps⚠️.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Based on this chart for Gold (XAU/USD), here’s an analysis:
Based on this chart for Gold (XAU/USD), here’s an analysis:
Observations:
1. **Current Price Level**:
The price is at approximately **2,652.53**, moving upward within a curved trendline pattern, suggesting bullish momentum.
2. **Support Zone (Red Area)**:
- A demand/support zone lies below **2,640**, where the price previously reacted with strong buying momentum.
3. **Intermediate Resistance (Light Gray Zone)**:
- A resistance area is visible near **2,665**, where price may face initial selling pressure. It has been tested and rejected recently, but buyers are pushing back toward this zone.
4. **Upper Resistance Zone (Dark Gray Zone)**:
- The primary resistance zone lies around **2,680 to 2,700**, marking a potential target for the upward move. This area has acted as a strong reversal point in the past.
5. **Bullish Cup-and-Handle/Curved Trendline**:
- The blue curved line indicates a potential **cup-like bullish formation**, which often leads to a breakout if sustained momentum persists.
Potential Scenarios:
1. **Bullish Continuation**:
- If the price breaks above the **2,665** resistance zone, it could quickly move toward the next resistance zone at **2,680–2,700**.
- Buyers will likely target **2,700** as the final upside level for this move.
2. **Resistance Rejection**:
- A rejection at **2,665** could lead to a pullback toward the support at **2,640** or even the demand zone near **2,620**.
Strategy:
- **For Buyers**:
- Wait for a confirmed breakout above **2,660** and target the **2,680–2,700** zone.
- Alternatively, consider entering on pullbacks around **2,640**, with stops below **2,620**.
- **For Sellers**:
- Look for rejection signals at **2,665** or the upper resistance zone (**2,680–2,700**) to short toward **2,640** or **2,620**.
ADP - NF news impact XAU trend at the beginning of the year⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) steadies after retreating from the $2,665 resistance level, as traders remain cautious ahead of the FOMC Minutes release on Wednesday. Expectations of slower Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts keep US Treasury yields elevated, posing a challenge for the non-yielding yellow metal. Additionally, the strong bullish trend in the US Dollar (USD) adds further pressure, limiting Gold's upward potential.
However, the downside for Gold remains limited amid uncertainty surrounding President-elect Donald Trump's proposed tariff policies. Anticipation that his protectionist measures could fuel inflation supports Gold's appeal as a hedge against rising prices. Combined with trade war concerns, geopolitical tensions, and a risk-averse market sentiment, these factors are likely to sustain demand for the safe-haven asset, urging caution before taking decisive positions on Gold's intraday direction.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is still maintaining the accumulation price zone, buyers have a slight advantage. Waiting for ADP-NF and NF news to expect gold price to increase more.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2619 - $2617 SL $2612
TP1: $2625
TP2: $2638
TP3: $2650
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2633 - $2631 SL $2628 SCALPING( Asian and European sessions )
TP1: $2637
TP2: $2642
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2684 - $2686 SL $2691
TP1: $2675
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2650
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Scalping ! sideway - accumulation below 2655⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
President-elect Donald Trump's planned tariffs and protectionist measures are anticipated to drive inflation and disrupt global trade, boosting demand for safe-haven assets like Gold.
On Sunday, Ukraine launched an offensive in Russia's western Kursk region, where Russia’s Defense Ministry reported Ukrainian losses of up to 340 soldiers.
Meanwhile, Israel's ongoing strikes on Gaza show no signs of slowing, and the Israeli military confirmed it has carried out operational raids in Syria amidst allegations of cease-fire breaches.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Sideway price range 2630-2655, gold price accumulates. Resistance 2655 waiting for correction
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2652 - $2654 SL $2657 scalping
TP1: $2647
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Analysis==>>Second Attack!!!Gold ( PYTH:XAUUSD ) attacked the Support lines and Support zone($2,639-$2,630) as I expected but failed to break them ( Fake Break ).
Gold is currently moving near the Resistance zone($2,670-$2,653) and within the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold seems to have completed 5 bearish wave s and is currently completing upward corrective waves .
I expect Gold to attack the Support lines and the Support zone($2,639-$2,630) again and most likely succeed in breaking them this time .
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the 50_SMA(Daily) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , we should expect Gold to rise further.⚠️
⚠️Note: At most, you can keep the Short position up to $2,668.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAU tries to recover above 2650 - January ,2025 ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) inches higher during the Asian session on Tuesday, attempting to extend its rebound from the $2,615-2,614 zone seen on Monday, but with limited upward momentum. Market expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump's proposed tariffs and protectionist policies could fuel inflation support gold's appeal as a hedge against rising prices. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and unrest in the Middle East, provide underlying support for the safe-haven asset.
However, the outlook for slower interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2025 continues to drive higher US Treasury yields, creating a headwind for non-yielding gold. Moreover, renewed demand for the US Dollar (USD) limits further gains for the yellow metal. Investors remain cautious, avoiding strong moves ahead of the release of the FOMC minutes on Wednesday and the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Buyers and sellers are fighting over the price zone of 2600 - 2650, still maintaining accumulation today.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2615 - $2617 SL $2610
TP1: $2625
TP2: $2638
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2647 - $2649 SL $2654
TP1: $2640
TP2: $2630
TP3: $2620
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionWelcome back, everyone!
XAU/USD dipped on Friday, falling to the $2,635 zone as market sentiment shifts in the new year. Federal Reserve's Tom Barkin noted lower interest rates in 2024, easing inflation and unemployment, which could ease pressure on the US Dollar—potentially supporting gold prices.
With a busy week of high-impact events, the gold market is at a critical juncture. In this video, I discuss key technical levels and fundamental factors shaping the market, along with actionable trading ideas for the upcoming week.
#XAUUSD #GoldMarket #FedRates #TrumpTariffs #TradingStrategy
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gold prices continue to decline after a correction on Tuesday Gold prices continue to decline after a correction on Tuesday
When news of Trump's tariffs broke earlier, the US dollar fell nearly 1% and gold took the opportunity to turn higher and approach the 2650 level. However, given that the 2639 level was broken in the morning, it is difficult for gold to return to strength immediately. Therefore, it is necessary to close positions at this time and move to sell. The rise and fall of the market price has also been confirmed. my judgment.
Next, focus on the support line formed by the lows of 2610-2615. It is important to note that even if there is a price buffer in late trading, you can still consider selling around 2640. Pay attention to. the 2610-2615 support situation below. If there are signs of stability, you can strike back in time.
Gold trading tip: sell around 2640-2645 after a bounce SL 2652 TP 2620.
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