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NF - Will the BIG SELL happen or not?⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: China has imposed tariffs on select US goods in response to President Trump’s 10% levy on Chinese imports, escalating trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies and reinforcing demand for safe-haven gold. On the economic front, the US Department of Labor (DoL) reported that initial jobless claims rose to 219K for the week ending February 1, up from the previous week’s revised 208K. Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration is less concerned about the Federal Reserve’s rate path and is instead focused on lowering 10-year Treasury yields. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: The market is too expecting a price increase - big FOMO will have high risks. NF news will shock the market today, BIG SELL will happen ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2851 - $2949 SL $2845 scalping TP1: $2855 TP2: $2860 TP3: $2865 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2813 - $2811 SL $2806 TP1: $2820 TP2: $2828 TP3: $2835 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
4
Gold's Rally and Bitcoin's Dip: Decoding the SignalsIs Gold's Glitter a Warning Sign? Bitcoin-Gold Ratio Plummets as Physical Gold Demand Soars Gold, the timeless safe-haven asset, has been experiencing a resurgence, raising eyebrows and sparking discussions about potential economic headwinds. Its recent outperformance, coupled with a dramatic drop in the Bitcoin-gold ratio and a surge in physical gold deliveries, suggests growing concerns about the global financial landscape. Are these developments harbingers of fiscal worries ahead? Gold's Allure Returns Gold's appeal as a store of value and hedge against uncertainty has been rekindled. While the yellow metal has historically played a crucial role in portfolios seeking diversification and stability, its recent performance has been particularly noteworthy. Gold prices have reached all-time highs, driven by a confluence of factors, including geopolitical tensions, inflationary pressures, and fears of economic slowdown. One significant factor contributing to gold's rise is the escalating trade tensions between major economic powers. Past trade disputes, such as the tariff exchanges between the US and China, have historically fueled safe-haven demand, benefiting gold. The current geopolitical climate, marked by increasing uncertainty and potential for conflict, further strengthens this narrative. Bitcoin-Gold Ratio Plummets: A Shift in Investor Sentiment? The Bitcoin-gold ratio, a metric that compares the price of Bitcoin to that of gold, has recently plummeted to a 12-week low. This decline suggests a shift in investor sentiment, with many seemingly favoring the traditional safe haven of gold over the more volatile cryptocurrency. While Bitcoin has often been touted as "digital gold," its price volatility and perceived regulatory risks may be driving investors back to the established stability of physical gold. This shift could indicate a broader move away from riskier assets and towards more traditional safe havens. Physical Gold Demand Soars: A Flight to Tangible Assets Adding fuel to the gold fire is the dramatic increase in physical gold deliveries. Reports indicate a surge in gold shipments to the U.S., with traders actively loading the precious metal onto planes bound for American shores. Furthermore, major financial institutions are playing a significant role in this trend. Investment banking giant JPMorgan, for example, is reportedly planning to deliver a staggering $4 billion worth of gold to New York this month. This substantial demand for physical gold underscores a preference for tangible assets, potentially signaling a lack of confidence in the stability of financial markets or fiat currencies. Global Gold Demand Hits Record High: India Sees Uptick The global appetite for gold is not limited to the U.S. According to the World Gold Council, global gold demand has reached record highs in 2024. Even in price-sensitive markets like India, gold demand has seen a 5% uptick. This widespread increase in gold consumption further reinforces the narrative of a flight to safety and a growing unease about the global economic outlook. Is Gold's Outperformance a Sign of Fiscal Worries Ahead? The confluence of factors driving gold's resurgence – geopolitical uncertainty, trade tensions, declining Bitcoin-gold ratio, and soaring physical gold demand – raises the critical question: are these indicators of deeper fiscal worries on the horizon? While it's impossible to predict the future with certainty, the historical precedent suggests a strong correlation between periods of economic uncertainty and increased demand for gold. Gold's role as a hedge against inflation and economic turmoil is well-established. When investors perceive heightened risks in the global economy, they often flock to gold as a safe haven, driving up its price. The current environment certainly exhibits many of the characteristics that have historically triggered such a flight to safety. The Potential Implications If the current gold rush is indeed a sign of growing fiscal concerns, the implications could be significant. Increased demand for gold could put further upward pressure on prices, potentially exacerbating inflationary pressures. Furthermore, a shift away from riskier assets could lead to increased volatility in financial markets and potentially trigger a broader economic downturn. A Word of Caution While the evidence suggests a potential link between gold's outperformance and fiscal worries, it's essential to exercise caution. Market dynamics are complex and influenced by a multitude of factors. Gold's price can be volatile, and past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. It's crucial to avoid drawing hasty conclusions based solely on gold's price movements. Conclusion Gold's recent surge, coupled with the decline in the Bitcoin-gold ratio and the surge in physical gold deliveries, presents a compelling narrative. While it's too early to definitively declare a looming fiscal crisis, the confluence of factors driving gold's resurgence warrants close attention. Investors should carefully consider these developments and assess their potential impact on their portfolios. Whether gold's glitter is a mere reflection of market jitters or a harbinger of deeper economic troubles remains to be seen. However, the current trends certainly raise important questions about the health of the global economy and the potential for increased volatility in the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
SIDEWAY and go up to make ATH 2800⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: In January, the US ADP National Employment Change showed private sector job growth accelerating from 176K to 183K, surpassing expectations of 150K. Meanwhile, the ISM Services PMI came in at 52.9, slightly above the 52.8 forecast but down from December’s 54.0. Similarly, the S&P Global Services PMI fell from 56.8 to 52.9, still exceeding projections of 52.8. Money markets are now pricing in 52 basis points (bps) of Fed rate cuts in 2025. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold price is sideways around 2855 - 2882, accumulating and will continue to go up: resistance price zone to pay attention to: 2900 ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2898 - $2900 SL $2905 TP1: $2890 TP2: $2860 TP3: $2850 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2832 - $2834 SL $2827 TP1: $2840 TP2: $2850 TP3: $2860 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
3
Gold’s Price Action: New Highs or Correction Ahead?Yesterday, gold reached yet another all-time high, slightly above 2,880. However, the price quickly dropped by 200 pips, finding support at 2,660. Since then, gold has been consolidating, but a correction appears to be looming. In the posted 30-minute chart, we can see a small head-and-shoulders pattern forming. A break below the newly established support and the neckline of the pattern could lead to a further drop to 2,640. Although trading at this stage is extremely risky, I believe gold is more likely to correct at this point rather than make a new ATH.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
10
Gold is soaring, has it reached its all-time high?Gold still maintains the trend of bullish structure in the rising channel, and the daily line hits a new record high of 2882, ending the rising streak. The upward trend has expanded to $300 since 2582 on December 19. From the technical perspective of gold, how much upward space is there in this round of upward trend? When will the trend change? First of all, the daily and weekly RSI indicators are both at a high level close to 80 values. After the weekly chart hit a record high, the price deviated from the MA10 daily moving average, and the price was above the upper track of the Bollinger band. From the weekly and daily charts, as the increase further expands, the upward space is gradually compressed. Pay attention to the high and low after the historical high and the turning of the indicator signal after overbought. Trading ideas: Buy at a low price in the callback, but hold short-term and do not chase high prices. Pay attention to the opportunity of long-term band short at the historical high! The short-term structure is still relatively obvious, and the strong market is rising unilaterally. The bullish buyers of gold are almost out of control. Is 2900 no longer the target in February? This frequent rise may really reach an unprecedented high of 3,000 at the beginning of 2025! The current trend of gold is relatively resistant to declines. Without news or data catalysis, the bulls will not take profits and enter the market again for the time being. If it falls today, it will give an opportunity to adjust the low-price buying entry. Today, it is still bullish with 2,850 as the defense point. February is destined to have a historical high. Today, continue yesterday's low-price buying idea! Key points: First support: 2860, second support: 2852, third support: 2840 First resistance: 2878, second resistance: 2886, third resistance: 2898 Operation ideas: BUY: 2851-2854, SL: 2842, TP: 2880-2890; SELL: 2895-2898, SL: 2907, TP: 2860-2850;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
ADP - NF ! News to help gold price reach next new ATH⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices surge, supported by declining US yields. Real yields, measured by the 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), drop nearly six basis points from 2.13% to 2.072%, while the US 10-year Treasury bond yield slips four bps to 4.51%. Meanwhile, the latest JOLTS report reveals a slowdown in job openings, signaling labor market strength. Openings fell to 7.6 million in December, down from November’s 8.156 million and below the expected 8 million. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold is setting consecutive ATHs, FOMO has not stopped yet, waiting for new ATH with today's ADP-NF results ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2858 - $2860 SL $2863 scalping TP1: $2855 TP2: $2850 TP3: $2845 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2879 - $2881 SL $2886 TP1: $2870 TP2: $2860 TP3: $2850 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2807 - $2809 SL $2802 TP1: $2815 TP2: $2822 TP3: $2830 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold Hits New ATH – How Much Higher Can It Go?In yesterday's XAU/USD analysis, I mentioned that a correction could occur, potentially bringing Gold down to the 2770 zone. I even opened a trade based on this idea. However, after an initial drop to the 2810 zone, Gold reversed and surged to a new all-time high. Fortunately, I had not entered a large-volume trade, and with active management throughout the day, I kept my losses minimal. Now, the key question is: How much higher can Gold go? Looking at the chart, as I previously explained, Gold has been steadily rising within an ascending channel. Yesterday, it even broke above the channel’s resistance, and at the time of writing, it is trading at 2860. In my opinion, buying at this price carries too much risk. I prefer to wait for a blow-off top and signs of weakness before considering a sell trade. For now, I am staying out of the Gold market.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
Is XAUUSD Gold Overextended? Key Levels to Watch PLUS Trade Idea👀 👉 In this video, we take a detailed look at XAUUSD (Gold). Although the higher timeframe shows a bullish trend, the price is currently trading into resistance and appears overextended. On the four-hour chart, there’s a bearish break in structure. My overall bias remains bullish, but I’m waiting for a break above the current high, followed by a retest and rejection, before considering an entry. This is not financial advice.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSD
by fxtraderanthony
1
Gold entered into a bearish structureHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000
price trend up - waiting for ATH 2843⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: The US 10-year Treasury yield declines by 1.5 basis points to 4.537%, while real yields, measured by 10-year TIPS, remain steady at 2.095%. Meanwhile, the ISM Manufacturing PMI for January climbs to 50.9, exceeding expectations of 49.8 and improving from December’s 49.2, signaling stronger business activity. A deeper look into the data reveals rising input costs, with the prices paid sub-index increasing from 52.5 to 54.9. Additionally, the employment index jumps from 45.4 in December to 50.3, indicating improved labor conditions in the sector. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold price is maintaining above $2800, long-term uptrend, fomo from the market creating ATH has not stopped ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2843 - $2845 SL $2850 TP1: $2838 TP2: $2830 TP3: $2820 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2829 - $2831 SL $2834 scalping TP1: $2824 TP2: $2818 TP3: $2810 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2772 - $2770 SL $2765 TP1: $2780 TP2: $2790 TP3: $2800 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️ NOTE : Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
2
Gold could start a correctionYesterday, after an intraday correction during the Asian session, OANDA:XAUUSD bulls regained control and pushed the price to a new all-time high of 2830. Since the start of the year, gold has been trading within a tight ascending channel. Given that the price touched the upper boundary of this channel yesterday, a test of the lower boundary could be expected next. At the time of writing, the price is hovering around minor support, and a break below this level could expose the 2770 zone. Despite the strong uptrend, my strategy is to sell into rallies—though this approach carries significant risk. A new all-time high would invalidate this scenario.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
3
Short gold when it hits 2820-2830 areaDear traders, gold has shown exceptional strength after breaking through the 2800 level, with aggressive buying flows providing strong support while simultaneously limiting downside retracements. Based on the current gold market structure, there remains upside potential, with prices likely to revisit the 2620-2630 range. However, market sentiment currently plays a more dominant role than technical factors. As strong buying pressure fuels a short squeeze rally, a shift in sentiment could lead to the formation of a high wave candle on the chart, with gold potentially retesting the 2800-2790 support zone. Given these conditions, I do not advocate chasing long positions at current levels for short-term trades. Instead, a more prudent approach would be to consider initiating long positions if gold retraces to the 2800-2790 support and holds above it. Conversely, if prices reach the 2620-2630 region, we can look for opportunities to short gold again. Bros, do you still have the courage to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Will Economic Data Push Gold to New ATH or Cause a Reversal?Yesterday, the Federal Reserve announced the Funding Rate , and Jerome Powell's speech followed. These events created market volatility, influencing traders’ sentiment towards gold. Now, we turn our attention to today's key economic data releases . Today's Key Data Releases & Gold Impact : Advance GDP : The reported 2.3% is weaker than expected (2.7%), which may create mild support for gold as it signals slower economic growth. A stronger GDP reading would have strengthened the USD, putting downward pressure on gold. Unemployment Claims : The 207K claims are better than expected (224K), suggesting a strong labor market, which may limit gold’s upside as the USD gains strength. Advance GDP Price Index : The reported 2.2% inflation is lower than the expected 2.5%, which could reduce gold’s appeal, as it suggests easing inflationary pressure. Given today’s key economic data, gold is likely to face downward pressure due to stronger labor market data and lower inflation, although the weaker GDP might provide some support in the short term. Expect volatility based on the combination of GDP growth and inflation trends. ------------------------------------ Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is approaching its Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and All-Time High(ATH=$2,790.17) . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . The main wave 5 can be completed in PRZ . ( Of course, if the other wave counting scenario happens, we should have a correction from PRZ ). I expect Gold to follow the Roadmap I specified in the chart. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
11
Gold remains bullish, but watch closely 2770 zoneLast week, gold reached a new all-time high of 2,815. However, profit-taking on Friday led to a weekly close below the key 2,800 level. A few hours ago, as the new week opened, the correction continued, but the price is now starting to recover. Despite this pullback, the overall trend remains bullish. The key support zone for buyers is between 2,765 and 2,770. As long as this zone holds, the strategy remains to buy on dips.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Gold price analysis February 3⭐️Fundamental Analysis US President Donald Trump imposed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and 10% on China, starting from 05:01 GMT on Tuesday. The reason is to combat illegal immigration and drug trafficking. Canada and Mexico responded with retaliatory tariffs, while China announced it would file a lawsuit at the World Trade Organization (WTO). Markets reacted negatively, with the S&P 500 down 1.40% in particular, and money flows into the US dollar instead of gold. However, if China retaliates, gold, which is considered an inflation hedge, could rise. Traders will also pay attention to US and Chinese manufacturing PMI data, along with speeches from the Federal Reserve, which could impact gold prices. ⭐️Technical Analysis Gold prices were pushed down by sellers around 2777 after hitting an all-time high. The important support of 2765 plays a role in pushing the gold price back to its upward trajectory. When the 2765 zone is broken, pay attention to the next 2 zones around 2746 and 2727. When the uptrend resumes, it will meet the reaction of the sellers around 2791 and the all-time high zone around 2814.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader