Gold's Aggressive Rally. Still looking for correction thoughWith Gold making new all-time highs every day since Friday and no resistance levels in sight, it's challenging to time and find an entry point for a short trade.
Although my short position from yesterday hit the stop-loss, my view remains the same: Gold should correct by at least 500 pips.
Technically, since the low last Thursday, Gold has surged by 1,200 pips, with this move contained within a very aggressive uptrend channel, which is often a sign of a final leg in a rally.
Currently, the price is testing the median support, but more confirmation is needed before entering a short position.
This could happen with a daily close below 2630 or if there's a failed attempt to reach a new ATH during the day.
In conclusion, while I remain bullish in the medium term, at this moment, I am focused on identifying a strong entry point for a short trade, expecting a 500 pips correction.
Xauusdsignal
9/25 ! XAU increased strongly ! New ATH 2682XAU / USD trend forecast September 25, 2024
Following the data release, US Treasury yields fell slightly, with the 10-year note dropping to 3.73%. The US Dollar Index (DXY) also declined by 0.42%, hitting a two-day low of 100.48. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, known for her hawkish stance, emphasized significant inflation risks and supported a gradual approach to rate cuts to avoid reigniting inflation.
Based on M30, NEW ATH to set up SELL signal
/// SELL XAU : zone 2681-2684
SL: 2689
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2654)
Safe and profitable trading
XAUUSD: What Should You Do If Your Short Position Is Trapped?
Recently, I've maintained a short position in gold, admittedly missing out on the recent upward momentum. However, at the current levels, I have no intention of chasing the rally. Instead, I will continue to hold my bearish outlook, waiting for a pullback to the 2580-2550 zone.
Chasing the price at this stage poses unnecessary risks, as technical indicators suggest the potential for a retracement. The focus remains on capturing profits as the price corrects, reaffirming my commitment to the short strategy.
ATH XAU ! 2645 ! Continuing uptrend⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) reached a new all-time high during Tuesday's Asian session but saw limited follow-through as traders await more clarity on the Fed's rate-cut plans. The focus is now on upcoming FOMC speeches and Friday's US PCE Price Index release.
Expectations for further Fed easing, which has limited the US Dollar's recovery after last week's large rate cut, support gold. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, US political uncertainty, and economic slowdown fears also continue to bolster demand for the safe-haven metal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
After yesterday's PMI news - gold price continued to positively increase, creating a new ATH. Today, the new ATH trend continues to increase slightly - then it needs to decrease to get liquidity - stabilizing the market
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2591 - $2589 SL $2584
TP1: $2600
TP2: $2610
TP3: $2620
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2604 - $2602 SL $2599
TP1: $2610
TP2: $2618
TP3: $2625
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2650
TP1: $2630
TP2: $2615
TP3: $2600
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold- Correction loomingGold began the week by setting new all-time highs, with the latest at 2644.
However, the bulls appear to be losing momentum, and the recent rise has formed a small rising wedge, which suggests a potential pullback.
In conclusion, while the medium-term outlook remains very bullish, in the short term, I’m looking to sell in anticipation of a test near the 2600 zone or just slightly below.
XAUUSD WEEKLY ANALYSIS 4HRS TIMEFRAMEXauusd is likely to keep moving up but there is a probalilty to make a pull back before continue going upward so is very important to keep watch the market till is make a strong support before considering of buying . So entry level for buy should like 2584.690 - 2569.669 with a traget profit of 2610.374 and 2650.453. Use money management
Gold Analysis==>>End of the Rally!!!Gold entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , as I expected in the previous post .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has succeeded in completing the main wave 5 . One sign of this completion is the breaking of the Uptrend line .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
It should be noted that the Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI will be published today, and we expect Gold to react when it is published .
I expect Gold to drop at least $2,590 in the next hours, and if the Support line breaks, we should wait for Gold to drop to the Support zone($2,574-$2,560) .
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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XAU is up strongly! 2640XAU / USD trend forecast September 24, 2024
On Monday, Fed regional presidents noted rising risks in the labor market but opposed a 50 bps rate cut, signaling a cautious approach for future meetings. This slowed the XAU/USD rally. However, escalating tensions between Israel and Hezbollah, with the US sending more troops to the Middle East, could boost Gold prices as risk appetite declines.
Based on M45, NEW ATH to set up SELL signal
/// SELL XAU : zone 2639-2642
SL: 2647
TP: 50 - 150 - 250 pips (2617)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold is just one step away, the Sell opportunity is comingIn today's Asian session, gold rose in the short term, and the historical high was refreshed again, reaching 2640.
Driven by the Fed's expectations of a rate cut in November and the decline in US Treasury yields, the price of gold hit a new record high. The growing tension between Israel and Hezbollah has increased the appeal of safe havens, which may further boost demand for gold.
From the 4-hour chart, we can see that referring to the rule that the price of gold rises by $50-60 each time, the price of gold is likely to have room for an increase of $10.
This is almost the last short-term rise in gold. The high point of this time is likely to be around the range of 2640-2650.
Trading strategy:
Now chasing the rise, there is not much room above, and there is a risk of an imminent correction, so I don't recommend it.
Go short now, because there may be more than ten dollars of room for growth above, and now is not a good selling position, so we can wait until the 2640-2650 range to sell, preferably at 2650.
I personally did not close the sell order I held last week. If the gold price reaches 2650, I will continue to increase my position and pull the average price to 2615-2620
XAU in correction range as it hits ATH 2600⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) gained traction during the Asian session on Thursday, breaking a two-day losing streak and halting the pullback from its recent record high. The US Dollar's recovery following the Federal Reserve meeting lost momentum after a brief rise, which supported renewed demand for gold. Additionally, concerns over potential economic slowdowns in both the US and China, along with escalating tensions in the Middle East, boosted the safe-haven appeal of gold.
However, the Federal Reserve signaled a cautious approach to large interest rate cuts, leading to a rise in US Treasury yields, which may limit further gains for gold. Traders are now awaiting key US economic data, including Jobless Claims, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, and Existing Home Sales, for additional direction.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price completed the upward cycle reaching the expectation of $2,600 - within the H1 frame's downward cycle, moving within two H1 trend lines.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2531 - $2529 SL $2524
TP1: $2545
TP2: $2560
TP3: $2573
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2575 - $2573 SL $2578 scalping
TP1: $2568
TP2: $2560
TP3: $2550
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2583 - $2585 SL $2590
TP1: $2570
TP2: $2560
TP3: $2550
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Rally Slows, Pullback Imminent
Since yesterday, gold has been fluctuating within the 2615-2635 range, with the bullish momentum clearly slowing down. In my view, it is likely to decline to 2606 by Friday at the latest.
Why 2606? This level serves as a key support in the ongoing upward trend. A healthy trend relies on robust technical support levels, which is the foundation of my prediction.
Continue to sell, and patiently wait for the price to drop, allowing the profits to materialize.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Short Trade Setup - 1:10 RRI'm am currently in a short position on Gold (XAU/USD) as the price shows signs of weakening after a steady uptrend.
Entry: 2627.79
Stop Loss (SL): 2635.6 (above recent highs and trendline)
Take Profits (TP):
TP 1: 2615.24 (Move SL to breakeven)
TP 2: 2615.305 (support level close to TP 1)
TP 3: 2586.490 (significant support zone)
TP 4: 2575.1 (deeper retracement level)
Full TP: 2546.86 (ultimate downside target, aligning with a previous major low)
The trade is based on the idea of a rejection near resistance and trendline breakout. I’m expecting a pullback towards the previous lows, supported by multiple levels of take profit to secure gains as the trade progresses.
XAUUSD: Mid-Term Target Set Below 2550
Gold's upward trend has noticeably slowed as it approaches the 2630 level, which is likely to act as a new resistance zone. Before confirming any further upside potential, it is crucial to see a retest of the 2600 support level. Until this support is validated, the recommended strategy is to focus on high-level sell trades.
If the 2600 support is confirmed, it may present a buying opportunity. However, if the support is breached, selling into any rebound should continue to be the dominant strategy, with long positions only used as a secondary approach. In the medium term, I maintain a bearish bias, with downside targets in the 2530-2500 range.
ATH XAU ! 2638 and adjusted DOWN⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) hit a record high on Monday, driven by a weaker US Dollar and expectations of deeper Federal Reserve rate cuts. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are also boosting demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Traders are watching the US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data, due later Monday. A stronger-than-expected result could strengthen the USD, potentially pressuring Gold prices.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Buying pressure is still strong - wait for new ATH areas: 2638 then steadily reduce liquidity below
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2603 - $2601 SL $2596
TP1: $2610
TP2: $2620
TP3: $2630
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2638 - $2640 SL $2645
TP1: $2630
TP2: $2615
TP3: $2602
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Surges Above 2600—Prepare for a Potential Reversal
After enjoying a pleasant weekend, we’re back to the action-packed market. Gold unexpectedly broke through 2600, reaching a high of 2631 today. Unfortunately, our short positions from Friday were caught in a trap.
However, there's no need to worry—trust me, a significant drop is inevitable, and it might be more dramatic than we anticipate.
Currently, the 15-minute chart indicates a potential for a small rebound, while the 2-hour chart signals bearish momentum. Based on this setup, it's likely that a head and shoulders pattern could form. Our strategy should be to increase our short positions above 2620 and patiently wait for the decline to unfold.
XAUUSD (GOLD) → JUST a perpectivehello guys.
let's talk about the potential!
Gold touched the top line of the main ascending channel and hunted a little bit!
on the other side, it touched the 1.61 line of the breaking channel as well!
so we can expect the price will start a downward movement but we have not any confirmation in this time frame!
the lower time frame shows a changing structure but we cannot count on it yet! So we will save this perspective until the short confirmation releases!
___________________________
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#XAUUSD 15MINThe lower timeframe shows the price consolidating within a range, presenting two scenarios:
1. If the price closes above 2633.00, we will look for a long opportunity.
2. If it closes below 2625.00, we will seek a selling opportunity down to the support area.
Avoid placing advance orders for now; wait for solid confirmations before entering.
#XAUUSD