XAUUSD:Bearish intraday
Last Friday, gold made a strong breakout above resistance, stabilizing above 2600. Today’s opening continues to show slight consolidation at high levels. From a technical perspective, the short-term outlook is bearish, indicating that at least one retest of the 2600 support is needed to determine if there is further upward momentum.
In my personal view, a deeper pullback is more likely. By early October, there’s a high probability of a return to the 2550 level. Thus, my mid-term strategy will focus on short positions. For intraday trading, the key focus will be on the 2600 support area—if it holds, a long position around that level could be considered.
Xauusdsignal
New ATH XAU above 2630 next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 9/23 - 9/27/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices surged past $2,600 to a new record high, fueled by expectations of further rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and rising tensions between Israel and Hezbollah. XAU/USD is trading at $2,621, up 1.37%.
Risk aversion is evident as Wall Street's major indices posted slight losses. Fed Governor Christopher Waller supported a 50-basis-point rate cut, expecting low August PCE inflation data.
🔥 Identify:
FOMO to create new ATH for XAU is still very large - continue to expect higher price zones next week, before the market corrects again. New ATH target: 2643-2665
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2638, $2650, 2665
Support : $2584, $2558, 2529
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold’s Rally Continues, Correction in Sight?After a brief correction at the start of last week, Gold rebounded strongly, setting new all-time highs (ATHs) daily, including earlier today. While it's clear that no asset rises indefinitely, and a correction is likely at some point, pinpointing the exact level from where this will occur is challenging.
On the flip side, 2590 now stands as strong support. In the event of a pullback to this level, it would likely present a buying opportunity.
Monday Market Analysis and SignalsGold fluctuated in a narrow range near its historical high in the Asian market on Monday, and is currently trading around 2628. Gold prices broke through the $2,600 mark for the first time last Friday, and once refreshed the historical high to 2625, continuing the rally boosted by further US interest rate cuts and increased tensions in the Middle East.
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points last Wednesday, launching an easing cycle, which has added vitality to the latest rise in gold prices. Gold prices have risen 27% so far in 2024, and are set to hit the largest annual increase since 2010, as investors seek to hedge against uncertainties caused by long-term conflicts in the Middle East and other regions.
Investors need to continue to pay attention to changes in market expectations for future Fed rate cuts and news related to the geopolitical situation. This week, the US PCE data for August will also be released, which is the inflation data that the Federal Reserve focuses on monitoring. The manufacturing PMI data for September in the United States and other Western countries will be released on this trading day. In addition, several Federal Reserve officials will give speeches, which investors need to pay close attention to.
There is no major change in the technical aspect, and the strong bullish trend is still maintained. The daily MA10/7-day moving average is upward, moving up to 2571/2588, the price is running on the upper track of the Bollinger Band, and the RSI indicator is at a high of 70. The short-term four-hour chart shows that the price continues to run in a trend, and the moving average opens upward and increases in volume. The RSI indicator needs to pay attention to coming above the value of 70 again. Generally, it is considered overbought when it reaches above the value of 80. Technically, gold continues to run in a trend structure, and the layout is mainly low and long. The historical high is unknown.
Trading strategy:
2608-2610 long, stop loss 2600, target 2630-2640;
2635-2637 short, stop loss 2646, target 2610-2600;
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we plotted the potential range and play pre-event (FOMC) giving the resistance level above which we said would present the opportunity to short if targeted and held. This gave traders a fantastic trade into that range low where we gave the targets 2565 and 2555, which were both achieved. We then update traders with the FOMC KOG Report and again gave the levels for the short if resistance was targeted, which worked well. We had identified the same order region which is where price tapped and bounced, giving traders that long we suggested to break above the 2600 level to complete KOGs weekly bias level targets.
Once that trade was taken, we decided to call it a week and wait for the close, giving us another fantastic week in Camelot, not only on Gold but also the other pairs we trade and apply the algo to.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we will say play caution on going long unless we get a pullback! Ideally, we want to see price attempt that 2630-35 region, with the extension of 2640, and if we see signs of a reversal there, we feel an opportunity to short the market is available, initially into the 2610 region and below that 2595 as shown with the red arrows on the chart. We need to monitor this move carefully as there are initial signs we may see a deep pull back next week, so please monitor the levels and watch the red boxes for the breaks!
On the flip, if we do start the week with a move downside, we will be looking at the 2610 level first for a RIP, and if achieved and defended we feel the long trade is available into that 2635 region where again we will look for signs of a reversal.
In summary, unless we break above the 2640 level we want price to give us better opportunities as the last thing we want to do is start taking losses, even small ones while price is still finding it’s feet up here. Hope that is clear for everyone!
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2595 with targets above 2630, 2635 and extension level 2640
Bearish on break of 2595 with target below 2570
RED BOXES:
Look for red box breaks above 2626 to confirm move higher
Look for red box breaks below 2613 to confirm lower
As usual, please look out for the red boxes, KOG’s bias of the day and the updated analysis which is posted for the wider community.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold is moving from an upward phase to a correction phase!!!It has completed 5 ascending waves and considering that the price has reached the ceiling of the channel, we can expect price correction from this point.
Previous Analysis
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
I'm sorry, I have been short againBros, you all know that I shorted gold some time ago. Although I was stuck for a few days, gold still gave me a chance to close the position near 2553, and finally closed the position with a profit of $90K.
At present, gold has risen above 2620 again. I think there should be many brothers chasing gold. I am sorry, I started shorting gold again and plan to hold it in the medium term. Bros, I calculated in advance that if gold can fall to 2575, I can make more than $50K in profit. If gold unexpectedly falls to 2550, there will be another huge profit! I am looking forward to such a result!
Bros, let's wait and see!
Bearish - weekend correction after reaching ATH $2600⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) gained for the second consecutive day on Friday, approaching the record high reached after the Federal Reserve's significant interest rate cut earlier this week. The Fed also hinted at more cuts, weakening the US Dollar and supporting gold.
Concerns about economic slowdowns in the US and China, along with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, further boost gold’s appeal. However, the global stock market rally limits strong gains for the safe-haven metal, keeping upward momentum in check during the Asian session.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price reached ATH this week: 2600, In the context of many concerns about the impending economic recession - the psychology of waiting will cause gold prices to quickly adjust downwards.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2580 - $2578 SL $2573
TP1: $2588
TP2: $2595
TP3: $2603
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2567 - $2565 SL $2560
TP1: $2573
TP2: $2580
TP3: $2590
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2613 - $2615 SL $2620
TP1: $2600
TP2: $2585
TP3: $2560
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD: As long as it doesn’t break 2600, boldly sellYesterday's gold market was really frightening. First, the Federal Reserve announced an interest rate of 50 basis points, which was higher than market expectations. The price of gold rose from 2567 to 2600, setting a new historical high again. Then Powell's speech showed hesitation and uncertainty, and pointed out that the Fed was not in a hurry to cut interest rates. It would proceed at a suitable pace or slow during the interest rate cut cycle. This dovish speech led to a decline in investors' attractiveness to gold. The gold price plummeted from 2600 by $50 and stabilized the decline in the 2550-2560 range.
However, since the 50 basis point interest rate cut is already on the table, the Federal Reserve has launched a monetary easing policy and the first rate cut is larger than before. This makes the market believe that there may be another 50-100 basis point interest rate cut before the end of this year. Therefore, gold is now back again The high area of 2590.
Although there is still the possibility of interest rate cuts before the end of the year, I think that is a long-term problem, and for us who are short-term traders, it is not the focus of attention.
From the market point of view, after yesterday's sharp decline that started at 2600, the shape of gold has changed, and it is in line with the short-term peak signal.
Therefore, my view on the current gold is that it is bearish in the short term and bullish in the long term.
Trading strategy:
Now the gold price has reached the high range of 2600-2590. As long as it does not set a new high again, you can boldly sell here
Gold Roadmap!!!After the announcement of the US Federal Funds Rate (The Federal Reserve lowered the US Federal Funds Rate by 0.5% to 5.00%.), Gold started to rise again after the bear trap from the Support zone($2,574-$2,560) .
Gold is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Resistance lines .
According to Elliott wave theory , Gold is completing microwave 5 of main wave 5 , which can be completed in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to start falling from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and the first target would be to break the Uptrend line and the Support zone($2,574-$2,560) .
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Analysis of gold price trend on FridayGold fluctuated at a high level on Friday and is currently trading around 2597. Gold prices rose more than 1% on Thursday, reaching an intraday high of 2594, approaching the historical high set on Wednesday. Although the performance of U.S. initial jobless claims was good, which once put pressure on gold prices during the session, the Federal Reserve launched a monetary easing cycle, which still attracted bargain-hunting buying to support gold prices, and data showed that the U.S. real estate market was still struggling; in addition, the escalation of the conflict between Israel and Lebanon attracted safe-haven funds to support gold.
The U.S. dollar fell in volatile trading on Thursday, providing support for gold prices. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.38% to 100.64 on Thursday after reversing the early gains; the market struggled to digest the Federal Reserve's sharp 50 basis point interest rate cut and the shift to an accommodative monetary policy stance. If you combine geopolitical risks with our current deficits, coupled with a low-yield environment and a weaker U.S. dollar, the combination of all these factors is the reason for the sharp rise in gold.
It should be noted that data showed that the number of initial jobless claims in the United States last week fell to the lowest level in four months, and the number of people continuing to receive unemployment benefits fell to the level since early June, suggesting that employment growth in September was solid and confirming that the economy continued to expand in the third quarter. This may limit the upside of gold prices. Investors need to pay attention to the interest rate decision of the Bank of Japan on this trading day, pay attention to news related to the geopolitical situation and speeches of Federal Reserve officials.
Technical side, gold has experienced a roller coaster ride and then rose sharply on Thursday, with prices rushing back above 2590. The daily line pattern is quite ugly, forming a red and blue alternation. The daily chart ended with a strong positive, and the price once again stood above the MA7/10 daily moving average at 2574/55. The price stood on the middle of the Bollinger band again and was in the current upper track channel. The RSI indicator was adjusted above the middle axis. Considering the large amplitude of the adjustment range, Friday's trading reference 2570/2600 intraday shock layout
Asian trading strategy:
2570-2573 long, stop loss 2562, target 2590-2600;
2596-2600 short, stop loss 2609, target 2580-2570;
Gold: Calm Market Expected: Focus on Short Positions
Yesterday's trades were very successful. I bought at 2552 and closed at 2578, then sold at 2588 and closed at 2572, resulting in solid profits.
It's Friday, and with no significant news scheduled for release—aside from uncontrollable events like natural disasters—the market should remain calm today. A $20 range would already be considerable movement.
An upward move is unlikely. On a day like this, relying purely on technical patterns, a breakout above 2600 is a pipe dream. Instead, the probability of dropping to 2572 is much higher.
So, the strategy for today is to focus on selling. There's no need to consider bullish trades.
Gold's Wild Ride: Rebound Completed, Time to Short Again
Crazy gold! The market has regained all of yesterday’s losses in today’s rally. This market is always full of surprises!
Now it's clear that the resistance at 2600 is very strong. Since it couldn't break through, it's time to switch back to short positions. What rose from here is likely to fall back down to the same level.
Sell, with a target profit (TP) at 2572.
XAUUSD: It may fall below 2500
The price is hovering around the resistance level once again, and the difficulty in breaking through remains high. Therefore, today's trading strategy should prioritize short positions.
If there is no significant change over an extended period, I believe there is a strong likelihood that this drop will eventually break below 2500. This is a judgment that requires time to confirm, so let's wait and see with patience.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would like to see price attempt an undercut low and then start the incline into the higher levels. We gave KOG’s bias of the week as bullish above 2385 with the targets for the week 2510, 2515 and 2530, which we all completed.
We then continued with the path shown in the updates while Excalibur tracked price taking us up into our final take profit target at 2580. Please have a look at the previous reports to see how the algo has tracked the price from the highs to the lows, lows to highs, no matter where it goes we've traded it and moved with the market. Hats off to the team!
A phenomenal week on Gold as well as the other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We have FOMC this week so shall await more choppy price action as well as the potential per-event range that may form from Tuesday onwards. We’re a little high to long at the moment which is what most traders will be thinking but sentiment is strong now so there is a chance they open and stretch this a little higher. For that reason, we will be waiting to see how last week’s high and the levels of 2580-83 react to the price if attacked in the early session. If rejected we feel an opportunity toto short is available into the lower levels of 2565 and below that 2555.
Many traders will now be looking for the 2600 level so please be careful as breaking above the 2585 level will make it a lot easier to be achieved during the early part of the week. Ideally, we want the pullback into the lower support regions and then want to assess the price action before attempting to go long and take this above 2600.
Due to FOMC this week this report will be provisional as we’ll update the idea specifically for FOMC before the release.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2550 with targets above 2600 and above that 2610
Bearish on break of 2550 with target below 2535
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD Gold Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 XAUUSD Gold has broken its market structure to the downside. On the daily and 4-hour charts, we observe a pullback into equilibrium, presenting a potential buying opportunity. In this video, we discuss market structure, price action, and, most importantly, the trend. We also outline a possible trade setup if the price moves as outlined in the video.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this video is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📊✅
FOMC! The most important news in September 2024⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) found support from buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, halting the previous day's pullback near record highs. Expectations of aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have kept the US Dollar from fully recovering, helping to support gold prices. Additionally, concerns over potential conflict escalation in the Middle East and political uncertainty in the US ahead of the November elections continue to boost the safe-haven appeal of gold.
However, investors are likely to remain cautious ahead of key central bank meetings this week. The Fed will announce its decision on Wednesday, followed by the Bank of England on Thursday and the Bank of Japan on Friday, which could drive market volatility and impact gold prices.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price decreased slightly - sideway around 2560-2590 before FOMC, Lower interest rates brought positivity to XAU. Waiting for the new ATH to reach 2603 and then drop sharply to gain liquidity below
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2564 - $2562 SL $2557
TP1: $2570
TP2: $2580
TP3: $2590
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2545 - $2547 SL $2540
TP1: $2550
TP2: $2560
TP3: $2570
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2603 - $2605 SL $2610
TP1: $2595
TP2: $2580
TP3: $2570
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest