GOLD-Sell in the 3128-3138 rangeThe buy orders placed at 3121-3124 yesterday successfully reached the take-profit zone of 3132-3138 today, after which the price also entered the short-selling zone of 3135-3145, leading to another profitable trade.
As of now, the 3124 support remains intact, but bullish momentum has significantly weakened. Without further fundamental catalysts, a technical-based approach suggests prioritizing short positions, as the recent surge of over $130 makes a technical correction increasingly imminent.
Trading Strategy for Today:
📉 Sell in the 3128-3138 range
📈 Buy in the 3103-3093 range
Xauusdsignal
Gold’s Unsustainable Rally: A Strong Correction Ahead?
In my analysis yesterday, I explained that XAU/USD is significantly deviated from the mean, with its 20-period moving average nearly 1,500 pips below the current price. This level of divergence is unsustainable.
As always, trading against the trend is risky—especially when there’s no clear guide, such as a resistance level, to structure the trade.
Although my sell trade from yesterday hit its stop loss this morning, my outlook remains the same: a strong correction is likely.
Looking at a smaller time frame, we can see that Gold has risen sharply since last week, gaining 1,000 pips. The 3,125–3,130 zone is acting as a key short-term confluence support.
At the time of writing, the price is hovering just above this level with significant volatility. Typically, strong volatility signals potential reversals, and considering all factors, a downward move is highly probable.
In conclusion, I maintain my expectation of a strong downside reversal. A break below the confluence support would confirm this move, and I anticipate at least a 500+ pip drop in the coming days.
With that in mind, I will be looking to re-enter short.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD: Long or short?Real-time trading.Does the continued rise of XAUUSD make you panic? Don't know how to make a good trade?
This is correct, because you don't understand the market and are not in my analysis circle, so you can't capture the first real-time trading opportunity.
As shown in the figure, the market is digesting bearish sentiment. Although there is some decline, the space is not large. The current trading opportunity is mainly buying, with the double support below plus geopolitical uncertainty and the certainty of tariffs. Under multiple supports, it is difficult for XAUUSD to achieve a substantial decline in the entity, so long is still the key.
The trend shows signs of retracement, but we need to pay attention to the impact of market news. I have said this before. Under the influence of news, it is difficult for the trend to go out of the independent market, and trading must be in line with the trend. The key support of 3120-3100 will continue from today to tomorrow and there is still room for significant growth. If you are a seller, remember to stop loss in time. Control risks. If you are a buyer, remember the purpose of swing trading, make money and leave. Trading is simply to resell the difference to make a profit.
So don't let your trading mentality and greed overcome your reason and cause your account to be cleared. If you can't control the profit growth of your account well. Remember to leave me a message. I am absolutely professional in this regard.
GOLD: Potential RisksIf the price reaches the 3136-3148 range, there is no need to hesitate, just sell. This is the gold trading strategy for today provided to you before yesterday's closing. I wonder if any friends have grasped this profit?
After getting support near 3125, the price rebounded again. It is still in the rising stage. The resistance continues to focus on the vicinity of 3148.
Here is a reminder for everyone: During the trading process, the technical pattern of the 2H and above cycle level has a turning point. This is not a joke, so everyone must be cautious when chasing highs.
Even if there is news supporting the market now, news is something we cannot control. Once there is news of easing the situation, the risk aversion of gold will subside, and the decline will definitely not be small.
So while we follow the trend, we must also learn to think against the trend!
#XAUUSD: Smaller Time Frame With More Accurate Entry Areas! We currently have several active ideas in the Gold analysis section. However, we would like to share a comprehensive chart analysis that clearly demonstrates a market trend and potential entry points. The analysis identifies two entry types: “safe” and “risky.” A “safe” entry is only valid if the “risky” entry is invalidated. You may choose to take either entry if it aligns with your trading bias and chart analysis.
If you find this analysis valuable, please consider liking and commenting on it, as this feedback will help us post more detailed analyses in the future.
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Investors Beware: Bears Are Quietly AssemblingGold’s candlestick chart has displayed multiple upper shadows above the 3025-3030 zone, widely regarded as a clear rejection signal. With repeated failures to break through this resistance, gold is showing signs of forming a potential short-term top. This not only caps the upside but could also act as a key indicator of a possible bearish reversal.
Following the Asian session's opening, gold experienced a slight gap up but failed to sustain its momentum, maintaining a range-bound movement instead. The lack of strong bullish follow-through reflects weak buying interest.
Additionally, recent statements from Trump suggest a softened stance on tariff policies, with his rhetoric appearing less aggressive. If the tariffs are implemented in a more moderate manner or market reactions are less severe than anticipated, risk-off sentiment could subside, leading to a significant pullback in gold prices.
But given the presence of strong buying interest and bullish sentiment consolidation, expectations for an extensive decline remain limited. The primary support to monitor lies in the 3110-3100 range. If gold break below this zone, it may trigger an accelerated drop, with the next downside target at the 3095-3085 region.
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Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Price Analysis – Key Zones & Potential Movem🔵 Key Price Levels:
Current price: 🟠 $3,130.99
DEMA (9): 🔵 $3,138.21
Target price: 🎯 $3,174.92
📌 Zones Identified:
🟢 Demand Zone (Support) ⬇️: Strong buying interest, potential bounce area. If price falls here, buyers may step in.
🟡 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally) 🔄: A mid-level area where price could consolidate before moving up.
🔴 Supply Zone (Resistance) ⬆️: Sellers might emerge, causing a reversal or slowdown in price movement.
📈 Potential Price Action:
🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish 🐂): A retrace to the RBR Zone 🟡 could lead to a bounce 📈 toward the Target 🎯 at $3,174.92.
🔹 Scenario 2 (Bearish 🐻): If price drops below the Demand Zone 🟢, it may signal a trend reversal 📉.
🔹 Breakout Confirmation: If price breaks above the Supply Zone 🔴, it may continue rallying 🚀 toward the target point.
Gold- Way, way too deviated from the MEAN!!!As I’ve mentioned many times in my analyses, my trading approach focuses on identifying the next big move (500 to 1,000 pips) rather than chasing small gains of 30-50 pips, which often feels more like staying busy than truly making money.
In this post, I’ll explain why I believe the next major move in Gold is downward rather than upward.
I’ll take a slightly different approach than usual, focusing on the bigger picture and using a simple 20-period moving average (MA) to smooth price action.
Looking at the posted chart, since the beginning of the recent bull market—highlighted in the chart at the 1,600 zone back in November 2022—Gold has been in a strong uptrend. A key observation is that the 20-period moving average has been forming higher lows.
After the second higher low in October 2023, the trend became even more aggressive, with only two notable higher lows since (looking on MA)—one in July 2024 and another in January 2025.
However, even during these sharp bullish legs, the market has consistently reversed to the mean—with the mean being the 20-period moving average.
At the time of writing, Gold is trading around 3,110, which is significantly deviated from the mean, currently around 2,990.
Conclusion:
Based on this pattern, we could expect either a deep retracement or at least a period of consolidation to allow the moving average time to catch up with the price.
Of course, shorting into such a strong bull run carries high risk, especially without a clear stop-loss level. However, even if Gold spikes to 3,150 or even 3,170, I strongly believe that the price will eventually drop and touch the 20-period moving average.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Good news for bears, gold will fall back to 3095-3085Driven by Trump’s tariff policies and geopolitical risks, gold has sustained a strong upward trajectory. However, after reaching around 3128, its momentum has visibly slowed, with multiple signs of pullbacks emerging within the short-term structure.
From the candlestick chart, it’s evident that gold has faced repeated rejection signals above 3125, characterized by long upper shadows. The 3125 level has now formed a notable resistance zone and appears to be acting as a short-term consolidation high. This price action increases the likelihood of a potential top formation.
Moreover, gold’s recent strength is largely attributed to growing concerns of a global trade war sparked by Trump’s tariff policies, prompting investors to rotate out of risk assets like equities and into safe-haven assets such as gold. However, if Trump softens his stance on the tariffs or adopts a more diplomatic approach to maintain confidence in the U.S. dollar, risk appetite may recover. This would likely drive funds back into equities and other risk assets, leading to an outflow from gold.
For gold trading, I prefer to avoid aggressively chasing long positions at this stage, as downside risks persist. If gold fails to decisively break through the 3125-3135 resistance zone, the bullish momentum may weaken, increasing the likelihood of a downward move. If gold break below the 3100 level during a pullback, it could accelerate further declines, with potential targets in the 3095-3085 range.
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3/31 Gold Trading StrategiesThe five-wave upward movement in gold has been completed. Next, we expect a period of consolidation around 3130, forming a short-term top before a potential pullback. However, during this consolidation phase, there is a possibility of a price surge, though the probability is low.
Trading Suggestions:
For conservative traders: Avoid rushing into positions. It’s better to wait for a pullback and the confirmation of a secondary top before entering trades.
For aggressive traders: You may enter at the current price, but be cautious with your position sizing and leave room for potential additions.
Based on the magnitude of the previous upward movement, the expected retracement zone is around 3110-3096, where a minor support level may form.
Trading Strategy:
📉 Sell in the 3121-3131 range
📈 Buy in the 3105-3090 range
Trade carefully
GOLD: What to do if you Hold a Short position?Gold is rebounding. Pay attention to the resistance above 3020. At present, we can see obvious selling pressure on the 2H chart. MACD has formed a divergence. 2H is a larger period. Its form is short, which means that tomorrow or the day after tomorrow, the market will fall sharply.
In addition, the divergence of MACD is sometimes repaired by shock market. This situation is not uncommon, so when trading, we need to focus on the support.
Judging from the current candlestick chart arrangement, there is support near 3100, followed by the 3096-3088 range. If a larger divergence pattern is to be formed, the price may reach the 3036-3048 range. At that time, there is no need to hesitate too much, just sell it.
Multiple top signs appear, short gold!Although gold rebounded quickly after hitting 3100, it does not rule out the process of testing and confirming the top. I think that in the short term, we can still short gold in batches with the help of 3025-3035 zone suppression. Then wait patiently for gold to retrace!
If gold can fall below the 3100-3095 zone during the decline, gold may accelerate downward to the area around 3085 under the stimulation of selling. Let us wait and see!
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Short gold, pullback to 3110-3095 zoneToday gold rebounded sharply after falling back to around 3076. The current highest rebound is around 3128. The current highest rebound is around 3128. Although part of the reason is due to the support of the market's risk aversion, I think it is more of a catharsis of the market's bullish sentiment.
So at this time, we should not chase long gold; because with the sharp rebound of gold, the risk of going long is gradually accumulating; secondly, we can refer to the trend of silver. After reaching the high point, it has begun to fall. I think gold may refer to the trend of silver and choose to fall in the short term.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, you may wish to consider shorting gold in the 3125-3135 zone, and the 3105-3095 zone is the first focus of our attention to long gold levels after a short-term correction.
You must keep your trading mind active, only in this way can you avoid too many stupid trading signals.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Gold at New Record—Will the Rally Continue?Spot gold opened higher and rose further in the early trading on Monday (March 31st). It once broke through the level of $3,090 per ounce and reached a new all-time high of $3,128 per ounce. This market movement was mainly driven by geopolitical risks and market concerns about the global trade war, which attracted investors to flock to safe-haven assets.
This week, multiple factors in the market have interwoven to affect the price of gold. On Wednesday, the tariff policy was finally determined, and the ADP data also caused fluctuations in the market. On Friday, the non-farm payrolls data will once again test the nerves of the market, presenting both risks and opportunities. Against this backdrop, gold has demonstrated the charm of a safe-haven asset. The economic slowdown in the United States, the intensification of the US debt crisis, and the tense geopolitical situation in the Middle East have all provided impetus for the rise in the price of gold.
From a technical perspective, gold surged after opening in the morning and then quickly declined, but it stabilized and rebounded later. The weekly, daily, and 4-hour charts all show a bullish trend, with strong upward momentum. On the hourly chart, gold maintains a good upward trend, with previous highs and lows continuously rising, and the bulls are in the dominant position. Currently, the upper resistance is in the range of $3,135 - $3,138, while the lower support is in the range of $3,070 - $3,080. In terms of operation, it is recommended to go long on pullbacks as the main strategy and go short on rebounds as a supplementary strategy.
XAUUSD
buy@3090-3100
tp:3120-3130-3150
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Gold's Historic Ascent: Breaking the $3,100 Barrier
Gold, the timeless safe-haven asset, has surged to unprecedented heights, breaching the $3,100 per ounce mark for the first time in history. This remarkable rally, fueled by a confluence of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties, underscores gold's enduring appeal as a hedge against uncertainty. The recent surge, surpassing the previous record set just days prior, signals a potent shift in investor sentiment, driven significantly by the United States' imposition of new levies.
The Catalyst: US Levies and Geopolitical Turmoil
The primary catalyst for gold's dramatic ascent is the escalating geopolitical landscape, particularly the United States' implementation of new levies. These levies, often associated with trade disputes and economic protectionism, inject uncertainty into global markets. Investors, seeking to mitigate potential losses, flock to safe-haven assets like gold, driving its price upward.
Beyond the immediate impact of US levies, a broader sense of economic fragility permeates the market. Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns have created a climate of apprehension. In such environments, gold's historical role as a store of value becomes increasingly attractive, bolstering its demand.
Gold's Safe-Haven Status: A Time-Tested Phenomenon
Gold's allure as a safe-haven asset is deeply rooted in its intrinsic properties and historical performance. Unlike fiat currencies, which are susceptible to inflation and government policies, gold retains its value over long periods. In times of economic and political instability, gold tends to outperform other asset classes, serving as a reliable hedge against market volatility.
This safe-haven status is further reinforced by gold's limited supply and its universal recognition as a valuable asset. The precious metal's physical nature and its role in various industries, from jewelry to electronics, contribute to its enduring demand.
The Market Reaction: A Surge in Investor Confidence
The surge in gold prices reflects a significant shift in investor confidence. As traditional investment avenues become increasingly risky, investors are turning to gold as a means of preserving capital. The influx of funds into gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other gold-related investments underscores this trend.
The market's reaction also highlights the interconnectedness of global economies. The US levies, while originating from a single nation, have reverberated across international markets, triggering a flight to safety. This demonstrates the profound impact of geopolitical events on investor behavior and asset prices.
Analyzing the Price Surge: Factors at Play
Several factors contribute to gold's current price surge:
• Currency Fluctuations: A weakening US dollar can make gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies.
• Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation erodes the purchasing power of fiat currencies, increasing the appeal of gold as an inflation hedge.
• Interest Rate Policies: Lower interest rates can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, as it does not generate interest income.
• Geopolitical Instability: Political conflicts, trade disputes, and economic sanctions create uncertainty, driving demand for safe-haven assets.
• Central Bank Purchases: Central banks often hold gold reserves as a hedge against currency fluctuations and economic instability. Their purchasing activity can influence gold prices.
•
Looking Ahead: The Future of Gold Prices
Predicting future gold prices is inherently challenging, as they are influenced by a complex interplay of factors. However, several trends suggest that gold's upward trajectory may continue:
• Persistent Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing political conflicts and trade disputes are likely to sustain demand for safe-haven assets.
• Economic Uncertainty: Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns are expected to persist.
• Increased Investor Interest: The recent surge in gold prices has attracted significant investor attention, potentially leading to further inflows of funds.
However, potential headwinds could also impact gold prices:
• Strengthening US Dollar: A stronger US dollar could make gold less attractive to international investors.
• Rising Interest Rates: Higher interest rates could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold.
• Improved Economic Outlook: A more optimistic economic outlook could reduce demand for safe-haven assets.
The Significance of Gold's Milestone
Gold's breach of the $3,100 mark is a significant milestone, reflecting the profound impact of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties on global markets. It underscores gold's enduring role as a safe-haven asset and its ability to preserve value in times of uncertainty.
As investors navigate the complexities of the global economy, gold is likely to remain a key component of diversified investment portfolios. Its historical performance, intrinsic properties, and universal appeal make it a compelling asset in an increasingly uncertain world.
Expect gold to retreat to the 3100-3090 zoneOn a crazy Monday, gold fell back to around 3076 and then rebounded, and continued to rise to around 3128. It has now fallen back slightly and is fluctuating in a narrow range around 3120!
Although gold does maintain a strong position at present, what makes me more alert is that once gold retreats $3-5, it will be enough to make more buyers crazy and actively rush into gold long transactions. This is an extremely dangerous signal in my opinion! Because if with the withdrawal of large funds and panic selling, more bulls will be defeated.
So I explicitly refuse to chase long gold above 3120, because as gold rises rapidly, the risk of going long is gradually accumulating, so the liquidity of gold is gradually weakening, so gold may need to retreat more to increase liquidity before continuing to rise! And if the tariff policy introduced on April 2 is carried out in a more moderate way, then market sentiment will be greatly eased, and gold may also collapse.
So I think in short-term trading, we can still short gold in batches in the 3125-3135 zone, and expect gold to at least fall back to the 3100-3090 zone.
XAUUSD:Place short positions during the rebound I conducted resistance tests at the levels of 3,100 and 3,115. However, in the early trading session, the price of gold surged rapidly, soaring all the way to around 3,027. In the later period, choosing to stand by and observe to avoid risks could also be regarded as a sound strategy. Now, the market has approached a stable state. The resistance test at 3,027 has proven to be effective. One can place a short position near 3,025 during the rebound.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
sell@3125
TP:3115-3105
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GOLD:Short positions are dominant in New York sessionToday, gold jumped higher and opened higher. After filling the gap, it continued to rise, breaking through the 3100 mark and approaching 3130. The excessive and rapid rise caused the MACD indicator to diverge, giving us the opportunity to short this time, from which we gained 1000+ points of profit. Together with the profit of nearly 2000 points in the Asian session, we have gained more than 3000 points of profit today.
At present, the price is still falling, with weak support roughly around 3107 and strong support around 3098. Before the start of the US session, the price is expected to fluctuate in the 3100-3130 area. There will be large fluctuations after the opening, and the possibility of falling from a high position is greater, so the US session can pay more attention to the opportunity to short at a high position.