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New ATH looks imminent, but how will the break be?Yesterday's CPI report failed to provide a clear direction for Gold's mid-term movement. After initial volatility, during which the $2500 level held as support for the fourth time in two days, Gold once again closed the day near the middle of its range. While we can't draw a definitive conclusion from the price action, it seems that the price is pressing towards the previous all-time high, and a new high appears imminent. In the short term, the outlook remains bullish as long as the $2500 level holds. The key mid-term question is: What will the nature of the potential breakout be (if one occurs)? Given the more than one-month consolidation, we could see a strong breakout with upward acceleration. However, the $2540 zone, which serves as resistance in the newly formed upward channel, poses a technical challenge. A failure to break above this level could see Gold retreat below $2500. In conclusion: Short-term outlook remains bullish, but mid-term direction is still unclear.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
XAUUSD: Trading in support or resistance areasAfter the CPI inflation data released yesterday, the market predicts that the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at the meeting next week has dropped from 44% a week ago to 13%, so the probability of a 25% basis point rate cut in September has basically become a foregone conclusion. Smaller and more conservative rate cuts are not good news for gold, but it is still a certainty that the rate cut will be beneficial to gold. However, after the impact of the rate cuts in the past 1-2 months, most of the gold price has been digested in the process of rising. So I think that if the gold price cannot set a new record high in the next 1-2 weeks, then there will be a downward trend in gold. From the perspective of the gold market, the gold price is now at 2516, which is the middle position between the lower support of 2500 and the upper resistance of 2530. It is not good to be bullish or bearish here, so we need to wait for the market to approach the support or resistance before formulating a trading plan today. The trading plan is as follows: If the gold price reaches around 2530, you can sell here without breaking a new high If the gold price reaches the 2500-2510 area, you can buy without breaking support Based on the fundamentals of smaller interest rate cuts, I prefer to be bearish at high levels rather than bullish at lower levels. Risk data to watch out for today: European Central Bank Deposit Facility Rate U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Data U.S. August PPI Data
TVC:GOLDShort
by AntonyTP
6
PPI ! Catalyst for Uptrend ! XAU INCREASE⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) have pared some intraday gains but remain above the $2,500 mark during early European trading on Thursday. Wednesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed persistent inflation, dampening hopes for a larger Fed rate cut. This boosted US Treasury yields and the Dollar, weighing on gold. A positive tone in equity markets also limits gold’s upside. However, expectations of a Fed rate cut in September, and more easing later this year, help support prices. Traders are cautious, awaiting the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for further direction. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: The long-term frame supports the Uptrend. We hope to see a new ATH soon ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2503 - $2505 SL $2498 TP1: $2510 TP2: $2520 TP3: $2530 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2492 - $2490 SL $2485 TP1: $2497 TP2: $2503 TP3: $2510 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2543 - $2545 SL $2550 TP1: $2535 TP2: $2520 TP3: $2510 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
5
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailLast week, Gold (XAU/USD) remained range-bound, trading within the $2,510 and $2,530. This followed a rebound fueled by weak Nonfarm Payrolls data, which showed a significant slowdown in US hiring. Traders reacted quickly, with Fed interest rate cut probabilities fluctuating. At one point, a 50 bps cut was priced in with 70% odds, but by the end of the week, a 25 bps cut became the most likely scenario. Adding to the dovish sentiment, several Fed policymakers, including John Williams, Christopher Waller, and Austan Goolsbee, have signalled their openness to easing monetary policy. With the Fed leaning towards rate cuts, what does this mean for Gold's price in the coming week? Join me in this video as I analyze the latest developments and discuss the potential path for Gold. XAUUSD Technical Overview: This week, we're focusing on the $2,485 zone. This could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone, Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights! 📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market! #GoldPrice #XAUUSD #Forex #MarketAnalysis #FedRateCut #GoldOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #NonfarmPayrolls #CMEFedWatchTool📺🔔💼 Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
SAXO:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
XAUUSD: 11/9 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2550, support below 2450 Four-hour resistance 2530, support below 2493 Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the technical side of gold fluctuated and stabilized at the 2500 mark, ushering in a strong bottoming out and rebounding for many days, and closed above resistance. The overall price of the daily chart continued the recent wide range of long and short fluctuations, and the moving average system also moved closer to the bulls. In the short term, it once again approached the previous high point, and whether it can continue to break through this time is still an unknown. Today, the support below focuses on the 2500-05 area, and the pressure above focuses on the 2525-2530 area. This position is also an important breakthrough point in the European session, and the support below is maintained at the low point of 2500-2505, which was retreated many times yesterday. Once this position continues to break down, the short position in the later period will also be likely to continue to open up space, and the first target below is maintained near 2460-2470. The NY market also has CPI data, which is likely to change the entire situation again. Continue to rely on this range to maintain the rhythm of the layout of the long and short wide range of shocks. BUY:2494near SL:2490 BUY:2510near SL:2505 Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold Analysis==>> Attack to Support lines==>Short termThe Gold moved and hit the targets as I expected in the previous post . Gold is currently moving near a Heavy Resistance zone($2,532-$2,523) and broke the Uptrend line . According to the Elliott Waves theory , Gold has successfully completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) in the 15-minute time frame. I expect Gold to attack the Heavy Support zone($2,484-$2,431) and Support lines in the coming hours. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
6
A sharp reaction to the news A sharp reaction to the news The XAU/USD market is driven by several macroeconomic factors, including interest rates, inflation expectations, geopolitical tensions, and overall risk sentiment in global financial markets. To understand how the price of XAU/USD might behave in the near term, let's examine the key factors at play: 1. Current Market Environment: Global Inflation: Persistently high inflation typically supports gold prices as gold is considered a hedge against inflation. If inflation remains elevated, investors might continue to seek gold as a store of value. US Dollar Strength: Gold prices are inversely related to the US dollar. A strong dollar can push gold prices lower as gold becomes more expensive for buyers in other currencies. Conversely, if the dollar weakens, gold prices can rise. Interest Rates: Central bank policies, particularly the US Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, play a significant role. Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold (which doesn’t pay interest), potentially leading to lower demand. On the other hand, a dovish stance or rate cuts support gold prices.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by seventhlab
CPI blockbuster data hits, will it break through or fall again?At present, the controversy over whether the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points or 50 basis points in September is still uncertain. Since March this year, the US CPI data has continued to decline, and this CPI is the last heavy data before the Fed's September meeting, and it is also the last chance to shake the expectation of interest rate cuts. As of now, the market expects a 69% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September and a 31% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut. Therefore, the results of today's CPI data release are likely to affect the sharp fluctuations in gold. Regardless of the results of today's data release, we must be cautious in trading, because the results of large fluctuations are difficult to judge. At the same time, in addition to the direct impact on the economy, it will also affect the expectations of interest rate cuts. At that time, the large fluctuations in gold prices up and down also need to be prevented. As can be seen from the 4H chart, there is a strong resistance near the 2530 line. So far, it has failed to break through 7 times. Whether it will fall again or set a new high depends on the results of the CPI release. Here I give the following trading strategies for your reference: The first option is to sell at a high level, with a target of around 2505. The second option is to wait for the price to fall back to around 2505 and buy.
TVC:GOLD
by AntonyTP
XAUUSD CORE CPI NEWS FORCAST 11.09.24REASON FOR FALL Core inflation is the change in the costs of goods and services, but it does not include those from the food and energy sectors. This measure of inflation excludes these items because their prices are much more volatile. It is most often calculated using the consumer price index (CPI), which is a measure of prices for goods and services. Key Takeaways Core inflation is the change in the costs of goods and services but does not include those from the food and energy sectors. Food and energy prices are exempt from this calculation because their prices can be too volatile or fluctuate wildly. Core inflation is important because it's used to determine the impact of rising prices on consumer income.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD Short/Sell Swing Trade Analysis| Huge Profit Inside Reason for Sell A major announcement in the market! There's a big event coming up soon. Wednesday, 11 September, 12:30 p.m. UTC: the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. On September 11th at 12:30 p.m. UTC, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index report. In July 2024, the US annual inflation rates dropped to 2.9% and 3.2% for headline and core inflation, respectively. The market anticipates a 0.2% increase in monthly inflation and a 2.6% annual rise. The report will influence whether the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 or 25 basis points in September. If the figures fall below expectations, the U.S. dollar may weaken, impacting EURUSD and XAUUSD positively. Conversely, better-than-expected figures could strengthen the U.S. dollar, pushing EURUSD and XAUUSD down. How will this event affect your trading routine? Share in the comments! Are you interested in trading with this information? Follow the link in our bio to get started! #Trading #Forex #WeeklyTradingCalendar #MarketUpdates
OANDA:XAUUSD
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD: Before CPI is announced, buy if 2500 does not breakFrom the hourly chart, we can see that the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement is 2507, and the swing level of 2500-2505 has now formed a breakout pattern, so this range has now turned into support. Now as long as it can break through 2507, the gold price is likely to form a high again and try to touch the 2530 line. So far this week, the volatility is not large. The market seems to be waiting for tomorrow's CPI data. Before the release of CPI, there is almost no data that can affect the trend of gold. Therefore, I think before CPI, the support below is solid. The key is to look at the 2500 integer mark. As long as it is not broken, I will be bullish before CPI.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AntonyTP
Gold Analysis==>>Double Bottom Pattern==>>Short termGold is near the Heavy Support zone($2,484-$2,431) and moving Support lines . In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in forming a Double Bottom Pattern . Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect Gold to rise to at least $2,518 . Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
6
XAU/USD Outlook: Short-Term Bullish but Downside Risks LoomAs previously explained, I believe XAU/USD is poised for a significant decline, and I indicated my sell zone between 2505 and 2510. However, after the initial drop from this zone, Gold found strong support at the 2500 level, which led me to close my sell position. Looking ahead, at this moment, the price seems well-bid and is steadily rising within a channel. Channels often signify the final leg of a move before a reversal, but confirmation is needed. This confirmation would come from a drop below the established inflection zone around 2505 level. If this happens, the 2475 zone will likely be exposed again, with a potential move further down to 2440. Until then, in the short term, the price outlook remains bullish. Short-term traders may look to buy on dips, anticipating a potential new all-time high following today's inflation data release.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
7
Gold may hit around 2520 again before CPIToday's gold market seems a bit boring. Most of the time, it fluctuates in the 2502-2506 area. There is basically no trading space. Just now, gold stopped below 2510 during the rebound process, and the rise did not continue; and gold failed to fall below the 2500 mark during multiple declines, and the bullish potential still exists. Just now, gold rebounded to around 2510, but I was not in a hurry to short gold. Because gold has rebounded since 2485, it has built a "W" bottom structure at the technical level to support the rebound of gold; and today, gold has tested the 2500 mark many times but has not fallen below it, proving that the "W" bottom structure support is effective, and gold may still continue to rise, and may even hit the area around 2520 again. This is also the reason why I am not in a hurry to short gold near 2510! At present, gold is in a narrow range of fluctuations. On the other hand, it may also be waiting for the guidance of CPI data. Gold may try to hit the 2520 area again before the CPI is released; if gold tries to hit the 2520 area before the CPI data is released, then we will boldly short gold in the 2520 area! I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by alongwineer