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GOLD (XAU/USD) Trading Plan: Can Gold Surge Past $3100?🚀Published by MMFlowTrading on 20 March 2025 📊 Market Snapshot Gold (XAU/USD) is riding a strong uptrend on the H1 chart, moving within a clear ascending channel 📈. After breaking the $3000 psychological barrier, bullish momentum remains intact 💪. However, with key resistance ahead and US economic data on the horizon, volatility could spike. Let’s break down the setup for today’s trading session! 🧠 🔍 Technical Analysis Ascending Channel: Gold is trading in a well-defined ascending channel (highlighted in orange on the chart) 📉📈. The price has respected both the upper and lower boundaries, confirming a solid uptrend. It’s currently testing the upper channel resistance at $3070.612 🚧 Key Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance at $3070.612, a high-volume area (VPOC) where sellers may step in 🛑 A break above could target $3081.053, then $3097.774, with $3100 as the next psychological level 🎯 Key Support Levels: Nearest support at $3031.774, aligning with the channel’s lower boundary and a prior VPOC 🛡️. A deeper pullback might test $3024.254 or $3017.197, where buyers previously defended (marked by yellow circles) 📍 Additional Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3054 - $3061 - $3070 🚧 Support: $3044 - $3038 - $3031 - $3026 🛡️ 🌍 Fundamental Insights US Dollar Dynamics: Gold often moves inversely to the USD 💱. Today, 20 March 2025, markets are focused on the US Jobless Claims data (due at 13:30 GMT) and Fed speeches, which could sway the Dollar 📅. A weaker-than-expected US report may weaken the USD, boosting Gold towards $3100 🚀. Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions (e.g., Middle East unrest, US-China trade talks) continue to support Gold as a safe-haven asset 🛡️. This underpins the bullish outlook for now. Interest Rate Environment: The Fed’s dovish tone in early 2025 has lowered the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting its upward trajectory 📉. Meanwhile, keep an eye on UK inflation data this week, as it could impact GBP and indirectly influence Gold. 📝 Trading Plan Buy Opportunity (Buy Zone: $3032 - $3030) 🟢 Stop Loss (SL): $3026 ⛔ Take Profit (TP): $3038 - $3042 - $3046 - $3050 - $3060 💵 Sell Opportunity (Sell Zone: $3069 - $3071) 🔴 Stop Loss (SL): $3075 ⛔ Take Profit (TP): $3065 - $3060 - $3055 - $3050 💵 ⚠️ Market Alert Gold has been hitting all-time highs following the FOMC meeting earlier today 🌪️. With US data due during the London session, expect volatility—stick to your TP/SL to safeguard your account! 🛡️💡
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Fed policy drove XAUUSD higherThe Federal Reserve released its latest interest rate decision, keeping the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25% - 4.5%, which is in line with market expectations. The Federal Reserve released its latest interest rate decision, maintaining the target range for the federal funds rate at 4.25% - 4.5%, which met market expectations. The Fed anticipates two 25 - basis - point rate cuts in 2025. Additionally, the Fed significantly lowered its projection for US GDP growth this year, reducing the economic growth expectation from 2.1% to 1.7%, and raised the core PCE inflation projection to 2.8%. These announcements had the following impacts on gold: Enhanced Safe - Haven Appeal: Gold has safe - haven properties. When market uncertainties increase, investors often turn to gold for wealth preservation and appreciation. The Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged and its indication of potential rate cuts, along with the downward - revised economic growth forecast and upward - revised inflation projection, reflect a cautious stance on the economic outlook. This heightens market uncertainties and strengthens the safe - haven appeal of gold, prompting investors to buy gold and driving up its price. Reduced Holding Costs: The Fed's indication of rate cuts leads to a decline in market interest rate expectations, thereby reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold. Since gold is a non - interest - bearing asset, when the yields of other interest - bearing assets decrease, the relative attractiveness of gold increases. As a result, investors are more inclined to hold gold, pushing up its price. Weakening of the US Dollar: The Fed's policies have a significant impact on the US dollar exchange rate. Generally, expectations of rate cuts reduce the attractiveness of US dollar - denominated assets to international capital, leading to the depreciation of the US dollar. Given that gold is priced in US dollars, a weaker US dollar makes gold relatively cheaper for investors holding other currencies, attracting more investors to buy gold and driving up the gold price. Affected by the above - mentioned news, the gold price reached an all - time high. After the Fed's announcement, spot gold once broke through the 3,050 - per - ounce mark, setting a new historical record. 💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎 🎁 Buy@3035 - 3040 🎁 SL 3027 🎁 TP 3050 3055 3060 🎁 Sell@3060 - 3063 🎁 SL 3069 🎁 TP 3050 3045 3040 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad If you also aspire to achieve financial freedom，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BenGray9
Gold- I'm looking to sell for 500+ pips targetAs I explained before, when I trade TRADENATION:XAUUSD , I aim for targets of 400-500 pips , sometimes even more. That’s why I always try to determine where "the BIG move" is. In Gold’s current situation, I believe this move is down, not up (though, of course, I don’t have a crystal ball). Let me explain... Since the beginning of March, Gold has surged by more than 2000 pips. While we need to adjust our pip calculations given Gold’s current price levels , this is still an enormous rise. More importantly, out of these 2000 pips, 1700 were gained just since last Wednesday. This makes a correction highly likely, especially considering that if we look at the chart, we see almost no pullbacks in the past week—only a consolidation in a rectangle. From a technical standpoint, the trend is undoubtedly up. However, even if Gold drops to 2990, the overall uptrend would still remain intact. Additionally, looking at the chart, we can spot a rising wedge—typically a reversal pattern. My Take: Currently, I’m out of the market, but I expect a strong correction of 500+ pips. I’m looking to sell if there’s an upward spike followed by signs of exhaustion. Conclusion: In my opinion, "the big move" is down, not up. I expect Gold to drop below 3000 and at least test the 2990 zone. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
9
Gold analysis This chart presents a bullish setup for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1H timeframe, indicating a potential long (buy) trade. Key Analysis: 1. Bullish Trend: The price is in an uptrend, showing strong momentum. A pullback has occurred, forming a potential higher low, suggesting a continuation of the uptrend. 2. Entry & Risk-Reward Setup: Entry Zone: Around $3,030 Stop-Loss (Red Zone): Below the recent support (~$3,017) Target Levels (Blue Arrows): First Target: $3,040 (+0.22%) Second Target: $3,051 (+0.28%) 3. Volume Profile & Support Levels: Strong volume support around $3,020, making it a solid stop-loss placement. Resistance levels at $3,040 and $3,051, which align with profit-taking zones. Trading Strategy: Bullish bias: Look for a long entry in the yellow zone, confirming strength with bullish price action. Risk Management: A favorable risk-reward ratio is maintained, ensuring a controlled downside. Breakout Potential: If price clears $3,051, further upside may follow. This setup is based on technical confluence, making it a valid buy trade as long as market conditions remain supportive. However, keep an eye on fundamental factors like U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve policy for additional confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
2
Gold is Pulling Back to Support lines & PRZ – Another Rally!?As I expected in my previous post , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) finally touched Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) (of course with a lot of volatility). From Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to have completed the main wave 3 and is currently completing the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 is likely to end near the Support lines and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . I expect Gold to attack Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) at least once more after completing the main wave 4 . Can Gold make a new All-Time High(ATH) or Correction? Note: There is also a possibility that the main wave 5 is a truncated wave because in PRZ we have the $3,000 round number. Note: If Gold falls below $2,940, we can expect further declines. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
7
Open your eyes and watch the bear dance!Bros, I have clearly pointed out in the last article update that gold will continue to rise and hit the 3030-3040 area, and the highest will only reach around 3040; gold has risen to this area as expected, and has reached a maximum of around 3038. I have doubled my short position in gold around 3038; gold has risen sharply due to fundamental support and has seriously deviated from the technical side, so the faster gold rises, the more dangerous it is! After the market calms down, gold may experience a deep retracement. So I’m looking forward to when the bears dance next! And I am always optimistic about gold falling back to the 3015-3005 area! Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
15
XAUUSD Today's strategyToday, gold rose again to its latest high of $3,045, an increase of $165 from last week's lowest point of $2,880. Such an increase is rare in the history of gold, indicating that the recent geopolitical factors and international situation have caused market risk aversion to heat up again. Investors are closely awaiting the Federal Reserve's policy statement and the press conference of Federal Reserve Chairperson Jerome Powell. If the Federal Reserve sends a hawkish signal, it may have some suppression on the price of gold. If the policy is more dovish or the economic outlook is concerned, the price of gold is expected to rise further. Today's xauusd trading strategy sell@3040-3050 SL:3055 tp:3025-3030 There are risks in trading. If you are not sure about the timing, it is best to leave me a message. This will better confirm the timing of the transaction, It can also better expand profits and reduce losses.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HenryClarke
2
XAU/USD Trading Plan – Preparing for Volatility Ahead of FOMC! ⚠️This week, all eyes are on the FOMC meeting on March 19, where the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision and economic outlook. Gold remains in a bullish trend, but it has now reached a key resistance zone that could trigger a correction before determining the next move. ⚠ Important Note: This plan is only valid before the FOMC meeting. As the announcement approaches, traders are advised to close their positions to protect their accounts, as high volatility is expected. 🔥 Fundamental Analysis – What to Expect from the FOMC This Time? 📌 1️⃣ The Fed is Expected to Keep Rates at 4.25% - 4.5%, But… Dot Plot & Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) will shape market expectations for the future. If the Fed remains hawkish, the USD could strengthen, putting pressure on gold. If the Fed signals a dovish stance, the USD could weaken, potentially pushing gold higher. 📌 2️⃣ Global Central Banks Continue to Buy Gold China, Russia, Poland, and India continue to increase their gold reserves, reducing their reliance on the USD. This trend supports long-term bullish prospects for gold, although there could be short-term corrections. 📉 Technical Analysis – Key Levels for XAU/USD 🔹 Main Trend: Bullish, but facing strong resistance. 🔹 Price Channel: Gold is still in an uptrend, but a short-term correction may occur. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 📍 Resistance: 3,055 - 3,071 – If gold fails to break through this level, a correction could follow. 📍 Support: 3,021 - 3,009 – Watch this area in case of a pullback. 2,986 - 2,948 (FVG Zone on H1) – A deeper liquidity level if selling pressure increases. 🎯 Trading Plan – Pre-FOMC Strategy BUY ZONE: 3010 - 3008 SL: 3004 TP: 3015 - 3020 - 3024 - 3028 - 3032 SELL ZONE: 3054 - 3056 SL: 3060 TP: 3050 - 3046 - 3042 - 3038 - 3030 ⚠ Important Warning: Ahead of the FOMC, consider closing all positions to avoid unnecessary risks, as market reactions can be unpredictable. 🔥 A major wave from the FOMC is coming – trade wisely and protect your capital! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
XAUUSD Strategy AnalysisGold has been on a consecutive rally, and caution is warranted for every attempt to chase long positions. After surging to 3045 in the afternoon, prices quickly reversed lower and failed to immediately retest the high, indicating overhead resistance. If gold cannot break out sustainably, a significant correction may be imminent. Gold trading strategy： sell @：3049-3054 buy @：3030-3035，3002-3007 If you are currently not satisfied with your gold trading performance, and if you also need to obtain accurate trading signals every day, you can check the information in my profile. I hope it can be of some help to you.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by UnknownUnicorn91193145
XAUUSD trading strategy: Keep going longThe 1-hour moving average of gold is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross pointing upwards, and it is still diverging upwards without any signs of turning. Therefore, the bullish momentum of gold remains. The support level of gold on the 4-hour chart is in the 3028 area. Today's trading strategy is to go long directly when the price retracts to the 3028 area. XAUUSD trading strategy: buy@3028 TP:3045-3050 I always firmly believe that profit is the sole criterion for measuring strength. I will share accurate trading signals every day. Follow my lead and wealth will surely come rolling in. Click on my profile for your guide
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by UnknownUnicorn91242686
1
Gold’s Meteoric Rise: What’s Next After Breaking $3,000?Yesterday, TRADENATION:XAUUSD broke the $3,000 mark, a significant achievement from multiple perspectives. As I mentioned yesterday, I didn’t expect the price to revisit the $2,950 support level, as it seemed too obvious. Unfortunately, my pending order at $2,970 wasn't triggered either, as the bulls were too strong, quickly forming a new support at $2,980. This forced me to trade the breakout of the rectangle pattern, something I typically avoid —trading breakouts. Now that we’ve reviewed the situation, let’s take a closer look at what we might expect in the near future. Current Trend: Strong Upward Momentum As is evident to everyone, gold is in a powerful uptrend, and trying to sell is risky. The key strategy here is to focus on buying on dips, rather than trying to catch a top. The first level to keep an eye on for potential buy opportunities is the $3,000 mark, followed by the support formed yesterday at $2,980. Both of these levels are crucial in maintaining the bullish structure of the market. If the price dips to these levels and holds, they could provide excellent entry points for long positions. Target Zones: Understanding Potential Resistance Levels While targets in a ATHs defined market are arbitrary, historical price movements in gold suggest that certain price levels tend to act as either support or resistance. Specifically, levels in at $20, $40, $60, and $80 ranges have historically been key turning points. Given this, if gold continues its ascent, targets at $3,020 and $3,040 could be reasonable. These levels align with the typical points that gold has faced during strong movements. Looking Ahead: Volatility and Potential for Extreme Moves Expect extreme volatility as gold continues to push higher. The bullish sentiment is strong, but with high volatility comes both risk and opportunity. Keeping a watchful eye on key levels, such as the $3,000 and $2,980 support zones, will be crucial for gauging potential retracements and entry points. In conclusion, the strategy moving forward should focus on buying on dips, with an eye on $3,020 and $3,040 as logical targets for the next phase of gold's rally. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
1
Gold is on Fire—But Can Bulls Hold the Line?Gold has been surging, and while I expected it to hit $3,000 this year, I definitely didn’t anticipate it happening in the first semester... So, let’s address the big question: Can the bulls maintain this level? Looking at the chart, since early March, TRADENATION:XAUUSD has climbed 2,000 pips (around 7%), but what stands out is that 1,500 of those pips (5%) came in just one week. No matter how strong the bullish momentum and fundamentals are, I believe this kind of rally is unsustainable. Technical Outlook After pulling back from its all-time high of 2,950, gold made a false breakout, followed by an almost vertical move upward, briefly interrupted by two consolidation phases. Fundamental Factors The FOMC meeting is today, and while rates are expected to remain unchanged, the real market mover will be Jerome Powell’s press conference. His comments could trigger significant price action. My Take I expect gold to start correcting after the press conference, regardless of what Powell says. However, this is a highly risky trade, so I’ll stay on the sidelines until I see a clear reversal signal. Final Thoughts At the time of writing, gold is consolidating within another rectangular range, with resistance at 3,040. If we see a spike above and then a drop back to around 3,030, that would signal ( for me ) that gold has topped—at least for now. In that case, I’ll be looking to short with a target of at least 500 pips. Until then, my approach is simple: wait and see. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
13
Unpacking the Bitcoin-Gold Correlation and its Current Dynamics The narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" has gained significant traction, fueled by its perceived scarcity, decentralized nature, and potential as a hedge against economic uncertainty. Recent market movements, particularly the surge in gold prices and the subsequent, albeit delayed, reaction in Bitcoin, have brought this correlation into sharp focus. While the relationship isn't always perfectly synchronized, the underlying dynamics suggest a fascinating interplay between these two assets. Gold's recent climb to an all-time high is largely attributed to escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly the resurgence of tariff war concerns. In times of uncertainty, investors often flock to traditional safe-haven assets like gold, seeking stability and protection against inflation. This surge in gold prices has naturally sparked renewed interest in Bitcoin, which, despite its volatility, is increasingly viewed as a viable alternative store of value. However, the correlation isn't a simple, immediate mirroring of price movements. There's often a noticeable delay, with gold leading the way and Bitcoin following suit. This lag can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, gold's established status as a safe-haven asset gives it a head start in attracting investor capital during times of crisis. Secondly, Bitcoin's relatively nascent market is more susceptible to speculation and sentiment-driven fluctuations, which can introduce delays and variations in its price response.1 Currently, Bitcoin is navigating a period of consolidation, trading within a narrow range of $82.3k to $84.5k.2 This consolidation follows a "sell-the-news" event, likely related to a major market catalyst that failed to meet overly optimistic expectations. Consequently, Bitcoin is facing significant bearish pressure, evidenced by the accumulation of short positions. The pattern breakdowns observed by analysts further reinforce this bearish sentiment, suggesting a potential retest of the $78k support level. Despite these challenges, the renewed interest in Bitcoin, driven by gold's surge, offers a glimmer of hope for a potential rebound. The "digital gold" narrative is gaining momentum, particularly among younger investors who are more comfortable with the digital asset landscape. If Bitcoin can successfully decouple from the immediate bearish pressures and capitalize on the broader trend of safe-haven asset allocation, it could witness a significant recovery. However, several factors could impede this recovery. The significant short positions indicate a strong bearish sentiment, which could lead to further price declines if not countered by substantial buying pressure. Moreover, Bitcoin's inherent volatility remains a significant risk factor. Sudden market events or regulatory changes could trigger sharp price swings, disrupting any potential recovery. Looking ahead to 2025, the Bitcoin price prediction remains a subject of intense debate. While some analysts foresee a potential breakout, fueled by increasing institutional adoption and the diminishing supply of new Bitcoin, others remain cautious, citing the persistent bearish pressures and the potential for further market corrections. The "Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025: BTC Eyes Breakout, But Sellers Still In Control" sentiment accurately reflects the current market dynamics. The long-term potential for Bitcoin remains undeniable, but the short-term outlook is clouded by uncertainty. The interplay between bullish and bearish forces will likely continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming months. The correlation with gold, while not a perfect predictor, provides valuable insights into Bitcoin's potential as a safe-haven asset. As gold continues to attract investor capital amid global uncertainties, Bitcoin's appeal as "digital gold" is likely to grow. However, the delayed response and the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market necessitate a cautious approach. To navigate this complex landscape, investors should closely monitor both gold and Bitcoin price movements, paying attention to key technical indicators and fundamental developments. The accumulation of short positions, the potential retest of support levels, and the broader macroeconomic environment should all be considered when making investment decisions. In conclusion, the Bitcoin-gold correlation provides a fascinating lens through which to understand the evolving dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. While the delayed response and the inherent volatility of Bitcoin present challenges, the growing recognition of its potential as "digital gold" offers a compelling narrative for long-term growth. However, in the immediate future, Bitcoin must navigate the current bearish pressures and capitalize on the renewed interest driven by gold's surge to achieve a meaningful rebound. The battle between buyers and sellers will continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory, and only time will tell whether the "digital gold" narrative will ultimately prevail.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by bryandowningqln
XAUUSD Today's strategyXAUUSD has climbed to 3017, clearly demonstrating the continuous upward trend of the gold price. This upward movement is mainly driven by the surging demand for risk aversion and the strong market expectations of interest rate cuts. Specifically: Escalation of Geopolitical Tensions: The additional tariffs imposed by the Trump administration on EU goods have significantly intensified global trade tensions. At the same time, the deterioration of the situation in Yemen has further heightened geopolitical risks. These unstable factors have made investors deeply concerned, prompting them to seek the safe-haven function of gold. Consequently, the demand for gold has soared, driving up its price. Key Influencing Factors in the Future: The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision meeting from March 18th to 19th will be a core factor influencing the future trend of the gold price. If the meeting sends out dovish signals, further strengthening the market's expectations of interest rate cuts, the gold price is expected to continue its upward trend. Conversely, if the Federal Reserve emphasizes the stickiness of inflation and is cautious about interest rate cuts, the gold price may face some correction pressure. XAUUSD 🎁 Sell@3020 - 3025 🎁 SL 3030 🎁 TP 3005 - 3000 🎁 Buy@3000 - 3005 🎁 SL 2992 🎁 TP 3015 - 3020 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad If you also aspire to achieve financial freedom，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BenGray9
XAUUSD:Consider flipping to shortThe morning's bullish gold strategy has turned profitable. Gold has seen a rapid spike-and-drop on the 1-hour chart, indicating emerging short-term resistance. As long as it fails to hit a new high, the resistance around 3028 will solidify, potentially triggering a reversal. Caution is needed when chasing long at current highs to avoid a sharp correction. Market conditions are real - time. Gold had a strong bullish trend, but high market enthusiasm calls for prudence. Try shorting at high levels under the resistance. Latest trading strategy: sell@3021 sl:3030 tp:3000-2900 I always firmly believe that profit is the sole criterion for measuring strength. I will share accurate trading signals every day. Follow my lead and wealth will surely come rolling in. Click on my profile for your guide.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by UnknownUnicorn91242686
1
Historic Milestone for Gold: My Outlook and Key Support LevelsLast Friday, for the first time in history, Gold printed a "3" handle, and since the beginning of the year, it has already climbed an impressive 4,000 pips. However, what matters most now is what Gold will do next. As we can see on the chart, after reaching a new all-time high (ATH) at 3005, Gold has started to pull back slightly and has recently formed a support level around 2980. As I also mentioned in my Friday analysis, although I expect a correction, I don’t see Gold dropping all the way back to test the previous ATH zone at 2950 , which should now act as a strong support. Instead, even if Gold breaks below the newly formed 2980 support, I will be watching for reversal signs between 2965 and 2970, and from there, I expect a new bullish wave and a fresh all-time high. In conclusion, my strategy remains unchanged: buy the dips. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
4