Non-agricultural data is coming. Will it affect the market trendBecause there will be non-agricultural data next week, Quaid thinks that the market will not be in a hurry to perform at the beginning of the week. And Friday is the US Independence Day, and the market will be closed in advance; maybe only Wednesday and Thursday are really needed.
This week, gold closed below 3300, and the daily line was also broken, and gold officially entered a bearish trend.
First look at the monthly line chart
Because next Monday is the last day of June, the monthly line will start to close, so you can still pay attention to the support of the monthly line. The MA5 moving average below the monthly line is currently around 3170. Moreover, with the support of non-agricultural data next week, the possibility of touching around 3170 is not ruled out.
Secondly, from the weekly line chart
The weekly line is basically the same as the monthly line. The MA20 moving average below is also around 3170. So next week, I think we should focus on around 3170. The monthly line and the weekly line resonate, so the probability of touching this position is very high.
Finally, let's look at the daily chart. The daily chart shows a downward trend and the short-term support has been broken. The current support is around 3250. I think there is a high probability of a small sideways consolidation at the beginning of the week. If the market conditions are eager to change, it may rebound slightly and then continue to decline. If it falls below 3250, it will continue to fall towards 3200. If this level is broken, it may hit the low point of 3170-3175.
Xauusdsignal
Reverse Head & Shoulders Setup | Gold Spot | 15min | by Mohsen M
🔸 **Chart:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD)
🔸 **Timeframe:** 15min
🔸 **Method:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Pattern Recognition
🔸 **Focus:** Reverse H&S, Order Blocks, TLQ, BOS
---
## 🔍 Market Context:
- **Market Structure:** Bearish on higher TF
- **Short-Term Trend:** MSU (Market Structure Up)
- **Efficiency:** ✅ Confirmed — clean price delivery
- **Key Pattern:** Bullish **Inverse Head & Shoulders**
---
## 🧠 Technical Breakdown:
1. **Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder** perfectly forming within a high-value demand zone
2. Price reacted strongly from **Order Block (OB)** + TLQ marked at the bottom wick (Head zone)
3. BOS confirms bullish attempt to shift structure
4. Anticipating neckline break at ~3345 level for further upside
5. Potential resistance and liquidity resting above 3400 (HH region)
---
## 📌 Trading Plan (Pre-London Open / Monday 1:30 AM UTC+3:30):
- **Entry Idea:**
Watch for bullish confirmation after price stabilizes above Right Shoulder zone (~3300–3320)
Or re-entry on a retest of neckline after breakout
- **Stop Loss:**
Below "Head" and OB zone (~3260)
- **Take Profits:**
- TP1: Neckline break zone (~3345)
- TP2: 3400 – Liquidity pool
- TP3: Final HH sweep (~3420+)
---
## ⚠️ Alternate Bearish Case:
> If price breaks below the "Head" zone and OB fails to hold,
> → Expect bearish continuation to the next liquidity zone near **VTA @ 3200**
---
## ✅ Summary:
This is a clean **bullish reversal setup** using SMC logic and a classic H&S pattern:
**OB + TLQ + BOS + Efficient Market + Clear Pattern ➝ High-Probability Setup**
Structure: 🟥 Bearish (macro)
Trend: 🔼 MSU (micro)
Efficiency: ✅ Efficient
Pattern: 🟩 Inverse Head & Shoulders
---
📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
"Stealing Gold Profits: XAU/USD Long Setup (Risk-Reward Heist)"🔥 GOLD HEIST ALERT: XAU/USD Breakout Robbery Plan (Long Setup) 🔥
🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟
Attention, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💰💸✈️
Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), we’re plotting a heist on XAU/USD (GOLD). Follow this master plan for a bullish escape near the high-risk ATR zone. Beware—overbought signals, consolidation traps, and bearish robbers lurk! Take profits fast and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 🏆💸
📈 ENTRY: THE HEIST BEGINS!
Wait for Resistance Breakout (3400.00) → Then strike!
Buy Stop Orders: Place above Moving Average.
Buy Limit Orders: Use 15M/30M pullbacks (swing lows/highs).
Pro Tip: Set a chart ALERT to catch the breakout live!
🛑 STOP LOSS: DON’T GET CAUGHT!
For Buy Stop Orders: Never set SL before breakout!
Thief’s SL Spot: Recent swing low (4H timeframe).
Adjust SL based on your risk, lot size, and order count.
Rebel Traders: Place SL wherever—but you’ve been warned! 🔥
🏴☠️ TARGET: 3480.00
Scalpers: Long-only! Use trailing SL to lock profits.
Swing Traders: Join the robbery crew for bigger gains.
📊 MARKET CONTEXT:
XAU/USD is neutral but primed for bullish moves 🐂. Watch:
Fundamentals (COT Reports, GeoPolitics, News).
Intermarket Trends & Sentiment.
Positioning & Future Targets (Check our bio0 for analysis linkss!).
⚠️ TRADING ALERTS:
News Releases = High Volatility!
Avoid new trades during major news.
Use Trailing SL to protect open positions.
💥 SUPPORT THE HEIST!
Hit the Boost Button 💖→ Strengthen our robbery team!
Profit daily with the Thief Trading Style. 🏆💪🚀
Stay tuned for the next heist—more loot awaits! 🤑🐱👤🎉
Gold’s Big Heist—Will You Join the Loot or Get Robbed?🔥 GOLD HEIST ALERT: XAU/USD Breakout Robbery Plan (Swing & Scalp Strategy) 🔥
🌟 Greetings, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🌟
Ready to loot the gold market? 🏆💰 Based on Thief Trading Style analysis (technical + fundamental), here’s how we execute the heist on XAU/USD—escape with profits before the bears trap us!
📈 ENTRY: The Heist Begins!
"Break the Wall!" Wait for RESISTANCE (3370.00) to crack, then strike!
2 Ways to Rob:
✅ Buy Stop above Moving Average (breakout confirmation)
✅ Buy Limit near pullback zones (15m/30m recent swing lows)
Pro Tip: Set a chart alert 🚨—don’t miss the breakout!
🛑 STOP LOSS: Protect Your Loot!
"Yo, listen! If you’re buying after breakout, DO NOT set SL until price confirms!
Thief’s SL Rule: Place at recent swing low (4H timeframe)—adjust based on your risk & lot size.
Rebels, beware! 🔥 Your risk, your rules… but don’t cry if the market robs you back!
🎯 TARGET: Escape Like a Pro
Main Take Profit: 3480.00 (or exit early if the market turns shady!)
Scalpers: Only LONG plays! Use trailing SL to lock profits.
Swing Traders: Ride the trend & split the loot wisely! 💰
⚠️ WARNING: News = Market Chaos!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing stops = your best friend to protect profits.
💎 WHY THIS HEIST?
XAU/USD Trend: Neutral (but bullish potential! 🐂)
Key Drivers: Geopolitics, COT data, macro trends—do your homework! 🌍📰
🚀 BOOST THE HEIST!
Like this plan? Smash the Boost Button! 🔥 Helps us steal more profits & share next robbery targets! Stay tuned—more heists coming soon! 🎯🤝
🎉 Happy Trading, Thieves! May the market favor your loot! �💸
Next Week Aims for 3300 Break💎 Last week, gold opened gap-up on Monday 🔼 but then trended lower 🔽. However, the 3290-3300 support zone remained robust from Mon-Thu ⚡. It plunged to ~3255 on Fri before rebounding 🌱. Next week's open may surge to 3290-3300 🔥!
🚀 Sell@3260 - 3270
🚀 TP 3280 - 3290 -3300
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSD: We must adapt to the market conditions! Bears in ChargeGold prices dropped as Trump announced a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, causing a significant decline. We anticipate this trend to persist, as recent price data, including volume and price momentum, indicates a strong seller’s control in the current market conditions. We have two targets for you to set your own based on your analysis, along with a stop-loss based on your strategy.
We appreciate your unwavering support throughout the years. Please like and comment.
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
Gold Prices Retreat, Short-term Bearish Trend PrevailsOn Friday, gold prices rebounded to $3,328 at the start of Asian trading but were resisted, followed by a sustained decline. Influenced by the U.S. May PCE price index data during the U.S. session, prices hit a low of $3,255 and closed at around $3,274, forming a large bearish candlestick with a long lower shadow on the daily chart.
Influencing Factors: Optimistic expectations on trade agreements boosted market risk appetite, weakening gold's safe-haven appeal.
Technical Analysis:
- Daily chart: Gold has broken below the 5-day moving average, with short-term moving averages in a bearish arrangement.
- 4-hour chart: The Bollinger Bands have widened, and prices are trending lower along the lower band. The key resistance level at $3,310 is critical—failure to reclaim this level may intensify short-term selling pressure.
Outlook for Next Week: Events such as the global central bank governors' meeting, non-farm payroll data release, and discussions on Powell's potential resignation will disrupt the market. Gold is expected to fluctuate sharply around $3,270, with caution advised for a secondary bottoming.
Comprehensive Judgment: The bearish probability is high:
- Upper Resistance: Focus on the $3,310–$3,300 range, a key bull-bear dividing line. A breakthrough here could reverse the trend.
- Lower Support: Watch the $3,250 level—breaking below it may open further downside.
Indicator Signals:
- MACD: Bearish crossover below the zero line with expanding green bars, indicating accelerating downward momentum.
- RSI: At 39 in the oversold zone, showing potential for a short-term bottom, but bearish momentum remains dominant.
XAUUSD
sell@3290~3280
sl:3310
tp:3260~3250
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold has been falling continuously. Will it continue next week?Market review:
The conflict between Israel and Iran intensified, and gold surged in the early stage, and then continued to fluctuate downward. Affected by the situation in the Middle East and weak data from the United States, it fell severely in three trading days, and most of the other time periods were in the stage of repeated washing.
The first round of decline began at the high point of 3452. Affected by the situation in the Middle East, the price rose rapidly, but the rapid rise led to insufficient upward momentum, and the departure of buyers led to continuous declines in a single trading day. The second round of decline was affected by the easing of the conflict between Iran and Israel, and the US dollar, crude oil, and gold all plunged sharply; the third round of decline was Powell's wait-and-see attitude towards the interest rate cut policy, and some US data were bearish for gold, leading to a new round of decline.
Market outlook for next week:
The breaking of the key support bands of 3303 and 3295 means that the downward adjustment has not ended, but after touching the support near 3250, there was a clear bottoming out and recovery. It means that there is strong support below, and the focus of next week's opening is the emergence of price rebound. There were rebounds to varying degrees after the previous two rounds of decline, so this round of decline still needs to be paid attention to. The strategy mainly revolves around shorting on price rebound, with a focus on the upward suppression range of 3285-3310.
If the rebound is small, then at the beginning of next week, it is likely to maintain a small fluctuation in the range of 3270-3285.
The data is negative. Will the price rebound from the bottom?Gold prices have continued to fall since the high near 3450. This trading day started the downward mode near 3328, and the European session continued to fall, breaking a new low. The negative PCE data also continued the downward mode. So far, it has rebounded after hitting the lowest level near 3255. However, the rebound is small, and the upper pressure is still very strong.
From the 4-hour chart, short-term resistance focuses on the vicinity of 3295-3300, followed by important pressure near 3315. The short-term support below focuses on the vicinity of 3265-3270. The overall strategy of shorting at high positions remains unchanged based on this range.
Operation strategy:
Short at the price rebound near 3295, short covering at the high point of 3315, stop loss 3325, profit range 3370-3360.
At present, the price fluctuates greatly. If you want to try scalping transactions, you can trade with a light position and float up and down 5 points to stop loss or profit in time.
This is the last trading day of this week. I hope you all will gain something and have a happy weekend with your family.
Gold Analysis and Trading Outlook – June 27Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold encountered resistance in the 3348–3352 zone and fell back to around 3310 before rebounding toward the 3336 resistance area. Today’s session opened with renewed weakness, and so far, the overall price action has closely followed our expectations. Whether it was selling near resistance, buying after the dip, or shorting the rebound, each opportunity yielded solid profits.
Some traders have asked about my strategy’s win rate. Those who’ve followed consistently already know—the overall win rate has remained above 80%, with very few instances of error. Even in the rare case of a misjudgment, I apply specific recovery strategies to minimize risk and avoid large losses. That’s the core reason why I’m confident I can help many traders.
Technically, the daily chart still shows a bearish trend, and prices are now approaching the key 3300 support zone. While the current geopolitical uncertainty adds complexity, it doesn't prevent us from executing flexible intraday trades. In fact, range-bound markets can still be highly profitable with a disciplined approach.
Key intraday levels to watch:
Dynamic support: 3318–3313
Major support: 3300–3287
Resistance levels: 3336, 3348–3352, and 3370
Today’s trades can continue to focus on these levels, using a sell-high, buy-low strategy with flexibility.
"Gold Vault Breach! XAU/USD Heist Plan in Motion"🏴☠️💰 XAU/USD Gold Heist Blueprint 💰🏴☠️
“The Vault’s Open… Time to Load Up!”
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Market Robbers 🤑💰💸✈️
Get ready to execute the Golden Robbery with style and precision! Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 using both technical & fundamental weapons, we’ve decoded the latest gold vault password: XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) is showing bullish bias!
🎯 Heist Instructions:
📈 Entry Point –
“The vault is wide open!”
Enter long anytime — but for the sharp shooters, place buy limits on the most recent 15/30min swing lows or pullback zones for a stealthier entry. Let the retracement pull the guards away 😏🔐
🛑 Stop Loss –
🔒 Set your Thief SL just below recent swing lows on the 4H timeframe (around 3310.0).
🔧 Adjust based on risk tolerance, lot size, and number of open trades — every heist has its escape plan!
🏁 Target Zone –
🎯 Aim for 3395.0 — or vanish before the cops show up!
Trail the stop as you go and don’t get greedy — wealth is preserved when exits are clean! 🏃♂️💨
🧲 Scalper's Advisory:
Only steal on the Long Side! Bulls are funding this operation.
💼 Big pockets? Dive in.
💳 Small stack? Swing with the pros & follow the plan.
🎯 Use Trailing SL to keep the loot safe.
📊 Market Insight – Why We Rob Gold Now?
XAU/USD shows bullish momentum 🐂 backed by:
Macro & Fundamental Data 🧠
Geopolitical & Intermarket Trends 🌍
COT Reports & Sentimental Outlook 💼
Dollar Weakness + Safe Haven Flow 💸
📚 Always cross-check the news wires & reports to validate the path! Fundamentals are the lockpick tools behind every breakout! 🔓📈
⚠️ Stealth Warnings:
📆 News Events = Increased Surveillance!
🚫 No new entries during high-volatility news drops.
🛡 Use Trailing SL on live trades to secure the bag.
💖 Wanna Support Our Heist Style?
Smash that 🚀 BOOST BUTTON 🚀
It fuels our Thief Army and helps you & your crew loot the market with confidence and flair!
Every day’s a new caper — follow the plan, manage your risk, and stay outta jail! 🏆💪🤝🎉
🔐 See you in the next Robbery Blueprint — Stay Locked & Loaded!
🐱👤💼📈💣💸
Gold Fails to Hold the Fear – Ceasefire Triggers 500+ Pip DropIn yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out that despite the weekend escalation in the middle-east, which triggered a gap up in Gold, the price action didn’t confirm the fear narrative. Gold failed to hold its gains – a clear sign of weakness.
📌 What happened next?
Throughout the day, Gold attempted multiple pushes toward 3400 – but each effort was met with strong selling pressure.
Then came the ceasefire announcement… and Gold dropped hard, now trading around 3320, locking in over 500 pips of profit from my short setup.
________________________________________
❓ More importantly, what’s next for Gold?
More important than the short-term noise is what the charts are now telling us:
📉 Weekly chart? Bearish.
🕯️ Daily chart? Also turned bearish after last week’s indecisive price action.
________________________________________
📌 Strategy remains the same:
I continue to sell rallies, and I’m now watching the 3280 support zone for a possible test in the coming hours.
Patience. Discipline. Let the market come to you. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Waiting for data release to rebound and short📰 Impact of news:
1. PCE and Consumer Index
📈 Market analysis:
The current price of 3280 has a higher profit and loss ratio advantage. Technical indicators show that the hourly chart is severely oversold. Combined with the top and bottom conversion of 3300 above, there is a 20-point rebound space in the short term. If the PCE data is in line with the trend, gold prices are expected to quickly regain the 3,300 mark. Note that negative data beyond expectations may cause a brief decline.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3295-3280-3275
TP 3298-3300-3310
SELL 3300-3310
TP 3290-3280-3260-3250
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 4 Hour Chart (OANDA)4-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar, with the current price at 3,282.135, reflecting a decrease of 45.685 (-1.37%). The chart includes a descending trendline, support and resistance zones (highlighted in pink and teal), and key price levels ranging from 3,244.835 to 3,400.000. The analysis suggests a potential downward movement as the price approaches a support zone near 3,244.975, with indicators like the U.S. flag and lightning bolt possibly signaling significant market events or volatility.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD), with the current price at 3,282.080, reflecting a decrease of 45.740 (-1.37%). The chart includes a downward trendline indicating a potential bearish trend, with key support and resistance levels marked at 3,245.627 and 3,316.901, respectively. The chart covers data from June to July 2025, with the latest update at 01:22:46.
Gold is weak. Can it continue?Gold is still fluctuating and falling slightly today. Gold is weak, so gold is likely to be short-term. If the price rebounds, it will be a short opportunity.
We need to pay attention to the release of US PCE data later.
From the 1-hour chart
the moving average continues to cross the short arrangement and diverge downward. After gold fell below the early support near 3340, it began to move downward weakly. The current upward pressure is around 3295-3310.
From the daily chart, the price is below the MA20 cycle and the 50 cycle, but remains above the 100 cycle. The technical indicators turned higher, but the momentum indicator is at a neutral level, and the RSI index is around 42.7, which does not point to an upward trend.
Since the upcoming data may have some impact on the price, the price may have a short-term high opportunity. Steady trading is still waiting for the price to rise and then short. Of course, if your trading strategy is more aggressive, you can use a long strategy before the price rises.
Operation suggestions:
Radical: Buy near 3280, stop loss at 3265, profit range 3305-3310.
Conservative: Wait for the price to rise and then bear pressure, sell near 3310, stop loss at 3320, profit range 3290-3285.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from late June to mid-July 2025. The current price is $3,290.270, reflecting a decrease of $37.475 (-1.13%) as of 09:42. The chart highlights a recent upward trend followed by a potential support zone around $3,200-$3,300, with a marked resistance level near $3,380. The analysis suggests a possible reversal or consolidation phase.
Gold Breakdown Confirmed — Bearish Pennant Targets UnfoldingGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to decline as I expected in my previous idea after the lower lines of the Ending Diagonal broke .
Gold is moving near the Resistance zone ($3,349-$3,325) . And Gold seems to be crossing the 50_SMA(Daily) .
From a Classical Technical Analysis perspective , the Bearish Pennant Pattern seems to indicate a continuation of the downtrend in Gold .
From an Elliott wave theory perspective , it seems that Gold has completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC) , and we can expect the next 5 downwaves .
I expect Gold to continue to decline at least to the Support zone($3,281-$3,243) and Monthly Pivot Point .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,360
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAU/USD GOLD 4H + 1H PREMIUM TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – JUNE 27, 20254-HOUR TIMEFRAME – HIGHER TIMEFRAME BIAS
Gold continues to trade near its all-time highs, consolidating just below a recent swing high of $3,315. Despite minor pullbacks, the macro trend remains bullish, with bullish structure still intact. Recent price action shows shallow retracements and strong rejections of key fib levels, a typical sign of underlying smart money accumulation.
Price Action & Market Structure
Gold recently printed a Break of Structure (BOS) at $3,290, followed by a retest of the broken level.
We observed a Change of Character (CHoCH) near $3,300, quickly invalidated by bullish strength – further confirming accumulation behavior.
Market remains in bullish alignment unless $3,250 is broken decisively.
Key Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance $3,315–$3,320
Demand $3,275–$3,282
Support $3,250
Targets $3,340 / $3,355
Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Liquidity Grab beneath $3,275 likely triggered retail stop hunts
4H Bullish Order Block between $3,275–$3,282 remains unmitigated
Imbalance Zone: $3,283–$3,289 – price may wick into this before launch
Sell-side liquidity taken below $3,275 → bullish reaction
Buy-side liquidity sits above $3,315 → likely short-term magnet
ZOOMING INTO 1-HOUR CHART – INTRADAY SETUPS
The 1-hour chart aligns with the bullish higher-timeframe bias, offering two potential premium-level setups:
Setup #1: Bullish Rejection from 4H OB
Entry Zone: $3,275–$3,282
This setup targets a liquidity sweep beneath $3,275 followed by bullish mitigation of a clean order block and imbalance zone. Confluence across fibs, OB, and structure support increases probability.
Setup #2: Breakout Retest Play
Trigger: Clean breakout and retest of $3,315
Entry: On successful retest (bullish confirmation candle)
Ideal if momentum pushes through local resistance, clearing buy-side liquidity. Reclaim of structure suggests smart money continuation.
Bearish Contingency (Low Probability for Now)
If price breaks below $3,250 and confirms below structure:
Look to short on retests into $3,275
Target next demand around $3,235
Until that happens, bullish bias remains dominant.
Gold remains one of the most structured and responsive instruments to smart money technicals right now. A well-planned entry around demand, imbalance, or breakout levels provides excellent RRR potential if structure holds.
Gold breaks down. It may reach a low point.From the current market daily chart
The absolute support of gold is around 3280. Gold is basically in the process of maintaining this daily trend support line. Therefore, I personally think that around 3280 is a long-short dividing line for gold. If gold falls below 3280 on the daily line, it is very likely that the decline will just begin. On the contrary, be careful. If 3280 does not fall below, there is still a possibility of rebounding.
In the 4-hour chart, from the high point of 3450 to now, the 0.382 position is just around yesterday's high point of 3350. The 0.618 position is at 3325, and the final 100% position is around 3280. 3280 also coincides with the daily chart.
Therefore, gold must at least test around 3280 today, and it is not ruled out that there will be lower positions.