Gold new ATH at 3,168: A Final Push Before the Drop?Yesterday was a high-volatility day, and we all know why.
Gold surged to yet another all-time high at 3,168, and luckily, I had already closed my sell trade around break-even—otherwise, my stop loss would have been triggered.
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Gold Still Set for a Hard Drop?
Despite the rally, my outlook remains unchanged—I still believe Gold is due for a significant correction.
📉 3,100 Held as Support – But buyers are struggling to hold onto gains around 3150
📉 Every New High is a Selling Opportunity – So far, Gold has failed to sustain its breakouts, reinforcing a potential distribution phase.
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Trading Plan: Selling the Rallies
🔻 Target: At least 3,080
🔻 Preferred Strategy: Continue selling into rallies
For now, I remain bearish and will keep looking for opportunities to short the market. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Xauusdsignal
Data will be Bearish for GOLDAffected by tariffs and inflation news, gold fluctuated sharply before the market closed. The market was in a situation of double kills for both long and short positions, and the sentiment was still fermenting. At present, the bulls also took this opportunity to successfully break through the resistance, and the price returned to above 3140 again. From the perspective of the pattern, there is still room for growth in the short term.
Before the US market, you can look for trading opportunities in the 3158-3123 range. The unemployment benefit data will be released during the US market, and the data is expected to be bearish for gold. Therefore, within 30 minutes before the data is released, if you hold a long order, please be cautious. At that time, I will also send you the latest trading plan based on the market situation.
If you are currently in trouble and need help, you can leave me a message.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish trend Demand Zone –Trend Analysis & ts🔵 Demand Zone (Support Area):
This blue zone represents a strong buying area where buyers are expected to step in.
If the price touches this zone and bounces, it confirms bullish strength.
📉 Trend Line Break:
The previous trendline has been broken ⛔, signaling a possible retest before a move up.
🛑 Stop Loss (Risk Management):
Positioned at 3,108.52 🔴, meaning if the price drops below this, the trade setup becomes invalid.
🎯 Target Point (Take Profit Level):
3,167.77 ✅ is the potential profit zone if the price moves upward from the demand area.
🟠 Expected Price Movement:
The orange dotted line 🔶 suggests a likely move:
1. Price dips into the demand zone (🔵).
2. Bounces back up 🔄.
3. Breaks minor resistance 🟦.
4. Rallies to the target zone 🎯.
Overall, bullish movement 📈 is expected if the demand zone holds! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) : Bullish Setup with Key Demand Zone🔹 Trend Line & Demand Zone 📈
* The trend line shows an upward trend. 🚀
* The demand zone 🟦 acts as strong support, where buyers are likely to step in.
🔹 Price Action 🔍
* Price is bouncing off the demand zone ➡️ Bullish Signal 📊🔥
* Higher lows forming, indicating potential upward momentum.
🔹 Trade Setup 🎯
✅ Entry Point: Near the demand zone 🟦
❌ Stop Loss: 🔽 3,099.26 (Below demand zone)
🎯 Target Point: ⬆️ 3,148.58 (Key resistance area)
🔹 Expected Movement 🏆
* A slight pullback 📉 before a strong push up 📈💪
* If price holds the demand zone, 🚀 potential rally ahead!
🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio ⚖️
* Favorable trade setup ✅ High reward, controlled risk 🎯
🔹 Final Verdict 🔥
📊 Bullish Bias ✅ As long as demand zone holds!
🚨 Warning: If price breaks below 3,099.26, expect further downside!
XAUUSD Analysis: Why I’m Not Buying Gold at the Highs!Gold’s Rally: A Strategic Plan for the Next Buy Setup!
✨ Gold (XAUUSD) has experienced a strong rally recently, fueled by the stock market sell-off. However, I’m waiting for a better entry point rather than buying at the current highs, as price is trading at a premium. 📉 My focus is on a potential retracement on the daily and 4-hour timeframes, targeting a pullback into the swing low-to-high range. Specifically, I’m watching for price to return to the equilibrium zone around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. 🔄 If price pulls back and we see a bullish break of market structure in this area, it could present a solid buying opportunity. Until then, patience is key! 🛠️
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and conduct your own analysis.
Gold prices cool after tariff announcement⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) surged to a new all-time high during the Asian session on Thursday as investors flocked to safe-haven assets amid heightened risk aversion. Market sentiment took a sharp downturn after US President Donald Trump unveiled sweeping reciprocal tariffs on Wednesday evening, igniting fears of a global economic slowdown and a potential US recession.
The announcement triggered a broad sell-off in equity markets, reinforcing the risk-off mood and further fueling demand for gold as a traditional store of value.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold hits 3167 peak, buying pressure gradually decreases. Adjustment waiting for new moves from other countries on Trump's tariff policy
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL 3165 - 3168 SL 3172
TP1: $3160
TP2: $3150
TP3: $3140
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3108 - $3110 SL $3103
TP1: $3115
TP2: $3130
TP3: $3140
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Trade Idea: XAUUSD (Gold 15m Chart)Trade Idea: XAUUSD (Gold 15m Chart)
Price is holding above the short-term FVG and showing bullish intent after reacting from a higher timeframe zone. A continuation move is likely if this zone holds, targeting the next premium zone above.
Bias: Bullish
Context: Market structure is bullish; price is building a base for a potential expansion toward the upper inefficiency. A clean liquidity run is expected toward the premium zone.
Wait for confirmation before entry. Trade with proper risk management.
Gold's trend has too many friendsThere’s a well-known saying in trading: “The trend is your friend.”
I firmly believe in this principle. However, when price movements become too extreme—too fast and too far—it’s wise to exercise caution, even if you’re not ready to take the opposite side of the trade.
And right now, I believe that’s exactly the case with Gold.
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Why a Major Gold Correction is Likely
As I’ve been repeating like a broken record since Monday, Gold’s price is severely deviated from the mean, signaling that a brutal correction is on the horizon.
After reaching a new all-time high of 3,150, Gold retraced yesterday, dropping to 3,100—a support level formed earlier in the week. A rebound followed, but as I’ve explained in an educational article, this price action looks more like a stepwise distribution rather than true buying strength.
The key point?
➡️ Support isn’t holding because buyers are stepping in—it’s holding because big sellers have paused selling.
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Still Bullish, But a Drop is Coming
There’s no doubt that Gold is in a strong uptrend. But even if it drops 1,000 pips, the overall bullish trend would still be intact.
Key Technical Signs of Weakness
📉 Trendline Break – Yesterday, Gold broke below the rising trendline, marking the first sign of weakness.
📉 Failed Rebound – Despite a short-term bounce, the price is now more likely confirming the break rather than invalidating it.
📉 Lower High in Progress? – The next minor support sits at 3,120. If Gold breaks below this level, we’ll have confirmation of a lower high, which strengthens the bearish case.
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Targeting the Correction
If Gold breaks below 3,120, I expect a move below 3,100, targeting:
🎯 Soft target: 3,080
🎯 Likely target: 3,030 – 3,040
I believe it’s only a matter of time before this brutal correction plays out.
Let’s see how it unfolds! 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD:Short at highs primarily, long on pullbacks secondarilyThe 4-hour chart shows that the short-term moving averages of gold are converging, and the lower shadows of the K-lines appear frequently. The downward momentum is weakening, which may indicate a technical correction after a period of sideways consolidation, and there is a possibility of a second upward pull.
The hourly chart shows that the price range is narrowing, and the technical pattern is gradually being adjusted into place. Currently, the upper resistance levels are between 3137 and 3142, and the lower support levels are between 3111 and 3107.
In terms of trading operations, I suggests mainly taking short positions near the end of the trading session, with going long on the pullback as a secondary strategy.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
sell@3130-3135
TP:3120-3110
buy@3110-3115
TP:3125-3130
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Tariff highlights, gold price up or down ?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) find support from dip-buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, pausing the previous day’s pullback from a fresh record high. Investors continue to seek shelter in safe-haven assets amid uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump’s sweeping reciprocal tariffs and their potential repercussions on the global economy.
Additionally, escalating geopolitical tensions provide further support for bullion. Mounting concerns over a potential US recession, coupled with growing expectations of additional Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts, fuel demand for the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is still in a very stable uptrend, market tariff information waiting for the next price increase fomo
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 ATH : SELL 3173 - 3175 SL 3180
TP: 3165 - 3150 - 3140
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3058 - $3060 SL $3053
TP1: $3070
TP2: $3080
TP3: $3090
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3106 - $3108 SL $3103 scalping
TP1: $3113
TP2: $3118
TP3: $3125
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD: May fall below 3100So far, gold has continued to fluctuate in the 3110-3136 range. Although the candle chart has many long lower shadows, the high point is moving down. If this trend is not broken, the probability of falling below 3100 today is very high, so when trading, everyone must be cautious. Personally, I suggest selling as the main method.
Gold Under Pressure In Head And Shoulders PatternGold's 1-hour moving average has gradually begun to show signs of turning, and gold's 1-hour moving average is also in the form of a head and shoulders. Even if it pulls back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a wide range. There are more data in the second half of this week, and there is news about important events, so gold still needs to wait for news or data to take gold out of a new direction.
Trading ideas: short gold around 3130, sl: 3140, tp: 3115
The above is purely a personal opinion sharing. Investment involves risks and you are responsible for your profits and losses.