Gold is superb bullishAs we all knows that Chin and US trade war bringing gold to more higher and I still believe that it may not pause. Better to look buying on every dip.
Xauusdsignal
XAUUSD Weekly Forecast: Probable Price Range and Trade PlanAs of April 12, 2025, gold (XAU/USD) has experienced significant volatility, reaching record highs amid global economic uncertainties. Here's an analysis based on the latest data:
📅 Economic Calendar Highlights (April 2025)
Key upcoming events that could influence gold prices include:
April 15: U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release
April 17: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims
April 18: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
📈 XAU/USD Technical Overview
Trend & Momentum: Current Price: Approximately $3,236.21 per ounce.
Trend: Strong uptrend, with prices surging past the critical $3,200 mark.
RSI (14): 64.826 – approaching overbought territory, suggesting strong buying pressure.
MACD (12,26): Positive value of 21.21 – indicating bullish momentum.
ADX (14): 33.482 – confirming a strong trend.
Moving Averages: All major moving averages (MA5 to MA200) are signaling a 'Buy,' reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $3,245.69 – recent intraday high.
Next Resistance Target: $3,300 – as projected by analysts amid ongoing market dynamics.
Immediate Support: $3,174.14 – recent intraday low.
Key Support Levels: $3,048 and $2,953 – potential pullback zones if a correction occurs.
Candlestick Patterns:
A “shooting star” pattern has emerged, which may signal a short-term reversal or consolidation phase.
Price Projection for April 14–18, 2025
Considering the current technical indicators and market conditions:
Projected Minimum Price: $3,180 – accounting for potential short-term corrections.
Projected Maximum Price: $3,280 – if bullish momentum continues without significant resistance.
Gold & Silver Soar: Trade War RallyAnatomy of a Rally: How US-China Trade Tensions Propelled Gold to Record Highs and Lifted Silver
Introduction
The global financial landscape is frequently reshaped by geopolitical events, and few have cast as long a shadow in recent memory as the trade tensions between the United States and China. During periods of heightened friction, characterized by escalating tariffs, retaliatory measures, and pervasive economic uncertainty, markets often witness significant shifts in asset allocation. One of the most prominent beneficiaries during such times is gold. This document explores the dynamics behind gold prices reaching record highs amidst a US-China trade war, examining the multifaceted reasons for its ascent and noting the concurrent, significant rise in silver prices, which often move in tandem with the yellow metal due to overlapping market drivers.
The US-China Trade War: A Catalyst for Uncertainty
The trade conflict between the world's two largest economies represents more than just a dispute over tariffs and trade balances. It embodies a fundamental clash over technology, intellectual property, global influence, and differing economic models. The imposition of tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars worth of goods creates direct economic consequences:
1. Increased Costs: Businesses face higher import costs, which can be absorbed (reducing profits), passed onto consumers (potentially fueling inflation), or lead to shifts in supply chains (causing disruption and inefficiency).
2. Reduced Trade Flows: Tariffs act as barriers, potentially dampening global trade volumes and impacting export-oriented economies.
3. Economic Growth Concerns: The uncertainty surrounding future trade policies makes businesses hesitant to invest and expand, potentially leading to slower global economic growth or even recessionary fears.
4. Supply Chain Disruptions: Companies reliant on cross-border supply chains face significant operational challenges, needing to find alternative suppliers or routes, often at higher costs and lower efficiency.
5. Currency Volatility: Trade disputes can lead to fluctuations in exchange rates, particularly involving the US dollar and the Chinese yuan, adding another layer of risk for international businesses and investors.
This pervasive uncertainty becomes a powerful driver pushing investors towards assets perceived as safe.
Gold: The Quintessential Safe Haven
Gold's reputation as a safe-haven asset is deeply ingrained in financial history. During times of economic stress, political instability, or market turmoil, investors flock to gold for several key reasons, all amplified by a US-China trade war:
1. Store of Value: Unlike fiat currencies, which can be devalued by inflation or government policy, gold is seen as retaining its intrinsic value over the long term. Fears that trade wars could lead to competitive currency devaluations or necessitate inflationary monetary policies (like extensive quantitative easing) make gold particularly attractive.
2. Hedging Against Uncertainty: When the outlook for traditional assets like stocks and bonds becomes cloudy due to geopolitical risks like a trade war, gold offers a perceived refuge. Its price often exhibits a low or negative correlation to equity markets during downturns, making it valuable for portfolio diversification.
3. Geopolitical Risk Premium: Major international conflicts or tensions invariably add a risk premium to gold prices. A trade war between global superpowers significantly elevates perceived geopolitical risk, prompting safe-haven buying.
4. Weakening US Dollar Potential: While the US dollar itself can act as a safe haven, a protracted trade war could raise questions about the US economic outlook or lead to policies aimed at weakening the dollar to boost exports. Since gold is typically priced in US dollars globally, a weaker dollar generally makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, potentially increasing demand and pushing the dollar price higher.
5. Central Bank Demand: In an environment of heightened geopolitical tension and questions surrounding the dominance of the US dollar, central banks (particularly those in emerging markets or nations seeking to reduce reliance on the USD) often increase their gold reserves. This diversification strategy provides a steady source of demand, underpinning prices. A US-China trade conflict could accelerate this trend among various nations.
6.
The Mechanics of the Price Surge
The record high in gold prices isn't just a passive reaction; it's driven by active market dynamics:
• Increased Investor Demand: Retail and institutional investors increase allocations to gold through physical bullion, gold futures contracts, and gold-backed Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Large inflows into major gold ETFs are often a visible indicator of this heightened demand.
• Speculative Activity: Traders in the futures market anticipate further price increases driven by the ongoing trade tensions and safe-haven flows, adding upward momentum.
• Sentiment: Market psychology plays a crucial role. As prices rise and news headlines focus on the trade war and gold's rally, a positive feedback loop can emerge, drawing in more buyers afraid of missing out (FOMO).
Silver's Ascent: Riding Gold's Coattails and Its Own Merits
Silver prices registering a steep rise alongside gold during such a period is a common phenomenon, though its drivers are slightly more complex:
1. Monetary Asset Correlation: Silver, like gold, has a long history as a monetary metal and store of value. It often trades as "poor man's gold," attracting investors seeking safe-haven exposure at a lower price point per ounce. During strong gold rallies driven by macroeconomic fear, silver typically follows suit.
2. Industrial Demand Component: Unlike gold, silver has significant industrial applications (electronics, solar panels, medical devices). This is a double-edged sword during a trade war. While safe-haven demand pulls prices up, fears of a trade-war-induced global economic slowdown could theoretically dampen industrial demand, potentially capping silver's gains relative to gold. However, in scenarios where safe-haven buying dominates market sentiment, this factor often takes a backseat initially.
3. Higher Volatility: Silver markets are smaller and typically more volatile than gold markets. This means that significant inflows driven by safe-haven sentiment can lead to sharper percentage gains (and potentially sharper losses during corrections) compared to gold. The "steep rise" noted is characteristic of silver's higher beta.
4. Gold-Silver Ratio: Traders often watch the gold-silver ratio (the number of silver ounces needed to buy one ounce of gold). When this ratio reaches historical extremes, some investors may buy silver, betting that it is undervalued relative to gold and that the ratio will revert closer to its historical mean. A major gold rally can stretch this ratio, triggering such trades and boosting silver demand.
Global Trends and Context
While the US-China trade war serves as a potent catalyst, it often occurs within a broader context of global trends that can support precious metal prices. These might include accommodative monetary policies from major central banks (low interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold), existing geopolitical hotspots beyond the US-China relationship, concerns about sovereign debt levels, or nascent inflationary pressures. The trade war acts as an accelerant, amplifying the impact of these underlying factors on gold and silver.
Conclusion
The surge of gold prices to record highs during a period marked by an intense US-China trade war is a textbook example of the metal fulfilling its traditional role as a premier safe-haven asset. The conflict breeds deep economic uncertainty, stokes fears of currency devaluation, heightens geopolitical risk perception, and potentially influences central bank reserve policies – all factors that historically drive capital towards gold. The simultaneous sharp rise in silver prices underscores its strong correlation with gold as a monetary asset, benefiting from the same wave of risk aversion, albeit with the added complexity of its industrial demand profile. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for investors navigating volatile periods, highlighting gold's enduring appeal as a portfolio diversifier and a refuge when storm clouds gather over the global economy, particularly when sparked by friction between major world powers.
A Weekly Summary of Gold: Continuously Breaking New Highs! This week, the gold market has been performing remarkably. It has continuously broken through all - time highs within just two days. Spot gold opened at $3088.17 per ounce, and its price has been oscillating upwards all the way, reaching a high of $3248 per ounce.
The gold market has witnessed a significant rally under the combined effect of various factors. Geopolitical risks have continued to provide a safe - haven support for gold. Factors such as the impact of tariff policies at the economic policy level have promoted the rise in gold prices from different perspectives. Market sentiment has also shifted from the previous panic selling to positive buying.
In the future, the economic data released by the United States and the policy expectations of the Federal Reserve will have an impact on the price of gold. The market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are constantly changing, and we need to keep a close eye on the relevant information.
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
XAUUSD will it break through 3200?At present, the price of gold is just one step away from its all-time high. Will it break through to a new high?
3,168 is a strong resistance point. Once this level is broken through, gold may have a chance to surpass the 3,200 mark.
Leave your opinions in the comments, and let's discuss them together.
Gold Shows Downward Correction, Short Strategy Timely EnteredIn the previous trading signal, it was advised to take profits around $3235. Based on the latest market analysis, gold prices are expected to experience a downward correction. Therefore, it is recommended to open short positions around $3230. Investors should closely monitor market trends and adjust stop-profit levels in response to price fluctuations to secure profits. Please remain flexible and responsive to market changes, capturing every trading opportunity with precision.
Gold Prices Decline, Short Strategy Successfully Captures ProfitCurrently, gold prices are showing a clear bearish trend, previously fluctuating around $3240. Based on market predictions, there is a potential for further downward movement in gold. A short position was suggested around the $3240 level, and as the market corrected, gold prices have indeed dropped, allowing short-positioned investors to lock in profits. Congratulations to those who successfully capitalized on this short opportunity and secured gains. Stay alert to market developments and carefully adjust your stop-profit levels to ensure the stability of your returns.
Gold's safe-haven demand surgesThis week, concerns over a global economic slowdown have swept across Wall Street, becoming the dominant market sentiment. In this context, U.S. President Trump's erratic messaging on tariff policies has triggered a panic sell-off in U.S. stocks, bonds, and the dollar, highlighting gold's position as a safe-haven asset. Gold prices have surged sharply, breaking through all previous resistance levels and maintaining an upward trend. Given the ongoing risk-off sentiment, the bullish momentum in gold remains strong, and the market may continue to trend higher in the near term.
In this market environment, it is recommended that investors take long positions near $3220 and consider taking profits around $3230 to fully capitalize on the current uptrend in gold. For additional trading signals, Please stay tuned.
Gold Breaks $3240, Shorting Opportunity EmergesGold prices have now surged to around $3240, continuing the recent strong upward momentum. Based on the previous trading signal, a long position at $3220 was suggested; however, due to the high volatility, many investors may have missed the opportunity to go long at that level. At this point, with prices approaching $3240, it may be an opportune time to establish short positions, with a target profit around $3225. Please note that this is just personal advice, and actual trading decisions should be made with attention to changes in key price levels.
Gold (XAU/USD)Trade Setup – Bullish RBR Zone & High Reward Poten🔹 Key Levels:
📍 Entry Point: 3211 🔵
📍 Stop Loss: 3185.109 🔴
📍 Target Point: 3300 🟢
🔹 Market Structure:
📈 The price has formed a Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) zone 📊, which is a bullish continuation pattern 🚀.
🔄 The market surged and is now consolidating within the RBR zone 📦 before potentially resuming its uptrend 📢.
🔹 Trading Plan:
✅ Buy Entry: If price retraces into the RBR zone (around 3211), consider a buy position. 🛒📊
🔻 Stop Loss: Set below the base at 3185.109 to limit risk. ⚠️🚫
🎯 Take Profit: Aiming for 3300, a major resistance level. 🎯📈
🔹 Indicators & Confluence:
📏 DEMA (9): 3223.297 (Currently acting as resistance 🛑)
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup (High Reward Potential ✅)
🔹 Potential Risks:
⚠️ If price drops below 3185, it could indicate a trend reversal 🔄⛔.
🌎 Economic News & Geopolitical Factors may impact Gold prices significantly. 📰📉
🔹 Conclusion:
📊 Bullish Opportunity 🦅📈 – If the price respects the RBR zone, it may continue upwards towards 3300! 🚀💰
"Gold on Fire: Demand Zone Bounce with Bullish Target Ahead! "Key Zones & Levels:
Demand Zone 🔵
Area: 3099.36 – 3110
This is where buyers stepped in strongly before – price bounced up from here twice!
Strong support zone!
Resistance / Mini Consolidation ⚠️
Around 3125 – 3135
Price is hesitating here – needs to break this box for continuation.
Target Point 🎯
Level: 3168.17
Based on previous highs – this is the bullish target zone!
Stop Loss ❌
Level: 3099.36
Placed just below the demand zone to limit losses if price breaks down.
Trade Idea Summary:
Entry Zone: ✍️ 3110–3125
Stop Loss: ❌ 3099.36
Target: 🎯 3168.17
Risk-Reward Ratio: 5:1 ⭐️ (Great setup!)
What to Watch For:
✅ If price holds above demand and breaks the mini consolidation, expect bullish continuation.
❌ If price drops below the demand zone, setup is invalid – risk of further decline.
Gold bulls are rising higherGold's 1-hour moving average continues to spread upwards and bulls are spreading. Gold bulls are full of strength. Gold still has upward momentum. The pullback will continue to give opportunities to go long.
Trading idea: Go long near gold 3175, stop loss 3165, target 3210
The above is only a sharing of trading ideas and does not constitute investment advice. You need to be responsible for your own profits and losses.
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM ROUTE MAP ANALYSISMonthly Time Frame Analysis for GOLD
Dear Traders,
Attached is the Monthly Chart Route Map for GOLD. Since October 2023, we have consistently analyzed and traded GOLD with 100% target accuracy. The Golden Circle areas marked on the chart highlight our precise analysis and successful target achievements.
Key Highlights:
* After successfully hitting TP1 and TP2, the candle has closed above TP2.
* EMA5 has crossed and locked above the TP2 level at 2603, confirming upward momentum.
* The EMA5 detachment process has been completed successfully.
* As previously noted, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) provided robust support at 2535, facilitating the upward push.
What’s Next for GOLD?
Based on these confirmations, we anticipate hitting TP3 this month. However, we have identified two significant GOLDTURN levels at 2702 and 2603.
In the short term, we may see some bearish movements, but the monthly chart reveals the bigger picture: a sustained long-term bullish trend. This kind of temporary reversal strengthens the bullish trend and offers an excellent opportunity to buy at dips near support levels, reducing risk.
Recommendations:
To understand the support structure in greater detail, refer to our smaller time frame analyses, which will help you identify optimal dip-buying opportunities while keeping the long-term gaps in mind.
As always, we’ll keep you updated with daily insights. Don’t forget to check our analyses on weekly, daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H time frames.
We appreciate your continued support! Please show your encouragement by liking, commenting, and sharing this post.
The Quantum Trading Mastery
After the gold frenzy, there will soon be a sharp correctionTo be honest, I must admit that I still hold a short position. I think there should be many people holding short positions now, but they are unwilling to admit that they hold short positions because they are losing money.
I think it is not shameful to hold a short position now. Although gold has violently risen to around 3220, from the perspective of trading volume, gold is rising without volume. Without the support of trading volume, gold is destined to usher in a round of correction in the short term.
And I have reason to believe that the accelerated rise of gold is suspected of being manipulated by large institutional funds. There are two purposes. One is to accelerate the rise to attract more retail funds to flow into the market to take over; the other is to raise prices arbitrarily to make it easier to sell. So the faster gold rises, the easier it is to collapse! We first aim at the retracement target: 3150-3130 area，or even 3120.
So for short-term trading, I think we can still continue to short gold, and I am optimistic about the short position of gold! The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Gold: Sell@3188-3200Gold has continued its strong rally, hitting a new all-time high, with bullish sentiment running extremely hot.
However, we must approach this rationally — every new high is usually followed by a technical pullback.
Currently, the 3200 level is a significant psychological resistance, as well as a key threshold for short-term bullish momentum.
From a technical perspective, the sharp recent rally has shown signs of momentum exhaustion, with clear overbought signals emerging.
📌 Strategy Suggestion:
Consider building short positions around the 3188–3200 zone
If 3137 is broken, further downside could extend to 3112–3090
⚠️ Risk Management Notes:
The larger the rally, the stronger the pullback potential
Avoid chasing long positions at these levels to prevent getting trapped at the top
Keep position sizes under control and set stop-losses to guard against sudden volatility
Wishing everyone smooth trades and solid profits!
4/11 Gold Trading StrategyFresh High Above 3170 – Momentum Continues, but Chasing Longs Is Risky
Gold delivered a strong one-sided rally yesterday, rising from around 3078 to above 3170, setting a fresh short-term high. While CPI and jobless claims data were modestly bullish, most of the rally occurred before the data release, suggesting that the move was primarily technically driven rather than fundamentally triggered.
As we anticipated yesterday, the price did reach above 3170 , and as clearly stated, we did not recommend chasing long positions at those highs. This view remains unchanged today.
🔍【Technical Insights】
The recovery from 2955 back to 3160+ took just 2 sessions, versus 4 sessions for the prior drop from 3167 — a clear sign of momentum dominance.
The daily chart shows two strong bullish candles, typically a sign of follow-through potential.
However, new highs reached under this structure tend to attract profit-taking and possible pullbacks.
If a technical correction occurs, look to 3143–3128 as a meaningful support zone for long opportunities.
🎯【Today's Gold Trade Setup】
🔻Sell Zone: 3188 – 3215
Look for short entries near resistance after overextension
🔺Buy Zone: 3134 – 3112
Wait for a healthy pullback to consider long positions
🔄Range Zone: 3178 – 3143
Flexible trading range — favor quick in/out trades in the zone
XAU/USD Gold Price Analysis – Bulls Reclaim Key Levels📊 Gold (XAU/USD) is showing bullish momentum after bouncing from a key demand zone. Will we see a breakout toward $3,141?
🔥 Key Technical Levels
🔹 Major Support Zone: $2,979 – $3,011 (Strong demand area, where buyers stepped in)
🔹 Mid-Range Resistance: $3,061 (Key reaction level; breakout here could fuel more upside)
🔹 Major Resistance Zone: $3,141 – $3,160 (Supply zone; strong seller interest in this area)
📉 Price Action Breakdown
✅ Gold recently dropped into a high-volume demand zone (orange area) around $2,979, where buyers aggressively pushed the price back up.
✅ Now, price is approaching $3,061, a key pivot level. If bulls break above this, a push toward $3,141 becomes highly likely.
✅ If price struggles to break $3,061, we could see a retest of $2,979 before another potential bounce.
📢 Trading Plan & Market Outlook
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A strong close above $3,061 could open the door for a rally toward $3,141 – $3,160. Traders may look for breakout buys above $3,061 with stop-losses below recent swing lows.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If price fails to break $3,061, sellers could regain control and push gold back toward $2,979, making it a key decision point.
💬 What’s your bias? Are you buying the breakout or waiting for confirmation? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇
#gold #XAUUSD #forex #trading #supplyanddemand #pricetrading
Bull market hides falling crisis!Gold rose sharply to around 3170 in the short term. Gold is in an obvious bull market. I think we should not be too optimistic! Don't blindly chase gold in trading!!!
Although it is only one step away from the previous high, it not only faces the psychological resistance of 3200, but also multiple integer resistance. After the fundamental positive factors are exhausted, it is difficult for gold to have enough power to continue to rise and break through the heavy resistance.
So the sharp rise of gold is likely to be a bull market trap, in order to confuse more people to chase gold, and large institutional funds take the opportunity to sell! So in terms of short-term trading, I still will not vigorously chase long gold, I will start to short gold gradually in batches! The faster gold rises, the faster it may collapse!
Bros, I am not afraid of shorting gold now. I think short trading can also bring me huge profits. The retracement target first focuses on the area around 3135.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
XAUUSD hit a new record high！calm downDue to the influence of various factors, the price of gold has reached a new high and has already set a new historical record. Will it make an attempt to break through the 3200 mark?
Perhaps we should step out of the madness of the gold price and observe the market calmly. I think it will fluctuate within a certain range in the short term, and we can make a profit by choosing to go long or short at the appropriate price points.
XAUUSD trading strategy
sell @ 3165-3170
sl 3180
tp 3155-3160
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
Gold/XAUUSD Intraday Move 10.04.2025📊 Market Context
After a sharp selloff from the $3,160 region to sub-$2,980 levels, the market is now in recovery/consolidation mode.
Market currently hovers around $3120 after bouncing from below $2,980, indicating buyer interest.
📏 Fibonacci + Support Confluence Zones
✅ Buy Zone 1 – $3095–3100
Reason: Retest of strong horizontal support.
Signal to Enter Long: Bullish engulfing / hammer on M5/M15 + RSI divergence.
Target: $3,110 (first), $3,120+ (extended).
✅ Buy Zone 2 – 3070-3075
Reason: Previous bottom, possible double bottom scenario forming.
Signal to Enter Long: Strong rejection wick / double bottom + volume surge.
Target: $3085 first, then trail till $3,100.
🔁 Retest Logic
Wait for price to retest any of these zones on low volume → watch for bullish candle close.
Ideal scalping trade: Enter on confirmation, small SL, tight TP.
⚠️ Important Notes
Avoid entering mid-range trades without pullback confirmation.
Aggressive buys can be scalped on momentum only if volume supports.
Always monitor for news or sudden volume spikes which can invalidate pullback zones.
Please follow, like, comment and share to get more analysis daily.
Gold: CPI Data Trading ViewsToday's signals for XAUUSD / BTCUSD / GBPUSD all hit their targets!
Congrats to everyone who followed—great profits all around!
🕒 Reminder: CPI data will be released in 1.5 hours.
Before that, we may see:
A quiet, ranging market, or
A pre-release pricing-in scenario that leads to sharp volatility ⚠️
Trading Suggestions:
✅ If you want to avoid unnecessary risk, it’s better to pause trading and wait for the data release
✅ If you're holding positions, please:
Manage your risk carefully
For large positions, consider partial closing or adding SL
Post-CPI Strategy Outlook:
Price has reached key resistance zones
If the data is bullish, further upside may be limited due to:
Proximity to recent highs
Remaining selling pressure in the market
Therefore, focus on:
High-level short entries or low-level long entries
Avoid blindly chasing the market—don’t go long at the top or short at the bottom
To sum it up:
Control your emotions, manage your positions wisely.
The 30 minutes after the CPI release will separate winners from losers!
Gold's Downtrend PersistsGold's Bearish Outlook Continues Despite Temporary Upside Spike
Market Overview:
The overall outlook for gold remains bearish, even though the market recently experienced a surprising and sharp upward movement. While a deep correction was anticipated and in line with prior expectations, the nature and timing of the recent surge raised some eyebrows among analysts and traders alike.
The unexpected bullish reaction came shortly after former U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 90-day suspension on reciprocal tariffs—a development that typically would not warrant such a dramatic price rally in gold. Normally, easing geopolitical or economic tensions would dampen safe-haven demand, causing gold to retreat. In this case, however, the opposite occurred, which suggests the possibility of non-fundamental drivers at play, potentially even artificial market influence or manipulation.
Technical Outlook:
Despite the sudden upward movement, gold’s larger technical structure has not changed significantly. The overall trend remains bearish unless we see a sustained breakout above the 3167 resistance level. A clean breach above that threshold would be uncharacteristic based on current fundamentals and could indicate external interference or speculative overreaction rather than a genuine shift in sentiment or macroeconomic conditions.
The price action continues to favor the bears, with lower highs and lower lows still forming on the larger timeframes. Until there’s clear evidence to the contrary, any rallies should be viewed with skepticism and treated as potential selling opportunities rather than the start of a new bullish trend.
Key Support Zones:
Looking at potential areas where gold may find some temporary footing, the following support levels should be closely monitored:
3054 – Minor support; could serve as a short-term pause point.
3000 – A psychological level and round number that often acts as a magnet for price action.
2925 – More significant historical support zone with prior buying interest.
2840 – Deeper support, aligning with the longer-term bearish trajectory.
Conclusion:
In summary, while gold has shown a sudden upward burst, the broader picture remains cautious. The technical indicators, market context, and recent price behavior all point toward a continuation of the downtrend unless key resistance levels are convincingly breached. Traders are advised to remain vigilant, avoid emotional reactions to short-term volatility, and refer closely to technical signals when making decisions.
The chart provides further clarity on this setup—feel free to review it for a more visual representation of the analysis.
Thank you for reading, and best of luck in the markets!
Gold's Price Movements: Impact of Tariffs and Technical UpswingUnder the influence of tariffs, gold currently has significant fluctuations. As can be seen from the sharp rise on Wednesday, the safe-haven sentiment for gold has heated up again. Currently, the price is above 3,100, which is the first target point for the upward movement. If it continues to rise, it can reach 3,150, so there is still a large upward space. In addition, the CPI data will be released during the US trading session today, and this data is also likely to cause abnormal fluctuations in the price of gold.
Today, the price of international gold still has significant fluctuations under the influence of tariffs. As can be seen from the sharp rise on Wednesday, the safe-haven sentiment for gold has heated up again. Currently, the highest price is 3,130, which is the first target point for the upward movement. If it continues to rise, it can reach 3,150, so there is still a large upward space.
From a technical perspective, a powerful bullish candlestick on the daily chart has directly changed the extremely weak adjustment state in the early stage. Now, the bullish candlestick has broken through the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, pulled up the moving averages, and there is a significant trading volume. Thus, gold has entered a very strong bullish trend. In this state, it is expected to continue rising to the previous high of 3,150. Therefore, the main direction today is definitely bullish.
It is a normal trend that the small cycle has made adjustments under the suppression of 3,100. Now, the Bollinger Bands of the H4 cycle have just opened, and the one-sided upward movement has just shown the first wave of strength. There is no problem for the next wave to rise to the high point of the daily cycle. So, as long as the price of the H4 cycle falls back to the support of the one-sided moving average, it is an opportunity to go long.
XAUUSD
buy@3100-3110
tp:3130-3150
