Gold will Go UP at least to PRZ!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise again after the conflict started in Syria as if the Middle East does not want to be calm (unfortunately). Every day is a new story.
Gold started to rise again from the Support zone($2,644-$2,624) after the high point and is moving in an ascending channel .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing microwave 4 , and we should wait for it to rise again .
I expect Gold to rise at least to the upper line of the Ascending Channel and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($2,675-$2,668) .
⚠️Note: We can expect more dumps if gold touches $2,647.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Xauusdsignal
Gold will go Down by Bearish Flag Pattern!!!GDP , Unemployment Claims , and Core PCE data were announced almost as expected .
If the Unemployment Claims, GDP, and Core PCE data are released in line with expectations, their impact on the markets is usually limited because:
1-Priced-In Effect :
Markets tend to adjust their pricing ahead of time based on forecasts. As a result, data matching expectations typically does not provoke major market reactions unless there are surprises in other economic indicators.
2-Market Stability :
When key indicators align with predictions, investors often maintain their current strategies, leading to reduced volatility unless new risks or external shocks emerge.
3-Monetary Policy Implications :
Data in line with expectations generally confirms the prevailing outlook for monetary policy. For example:
But today's important news was the signing of the ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel , which can reduce tensions in the Middle East and be a factor in preventing Gold from rising again .
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Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Support zone($2,644-$2,625) .
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Gold has succeeded in forming a Bearish Flag Pattern , we can confirm this pattern by breaking the lower line of the ascending channel .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold has succeeded in completing the main wave 4 , and we should wait for main wave 5 .
Based on the explanation above, I expect Gold to continue to decline to at least the Support zone($2,605-$2,584) .
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Continue to hold long gold positionsBros, as I said in my last article, since gold has chosen to break upward after the shock, there will not be much retracement in a short period of time. Although gold has encountered resistance and fallen back near the 2665 position many times in the short term, as long as it does not fall below the 2660-2655 area during the decline, then gold must have room to rise.
For this round of gold rise, I think gold is likely to try to touch the 2680 area. So we can hold the long positions we currently hold with confidence and wait for the profit to expand!
Bros, are you following me to go long on gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold has made a profit of 300% this weekTechnical analysis of gold: Gold is currently in a range of fluctuations. It was under pressure near 2650 yesterday and then fluctuated and retreated, but it rose sharply again in the morning near 2634. It is still in the stage of rebound correction after the plunge, showing a range of fluctuations. The short-term trend is still strong, but it is unlikely to form a unilateral trend of rising. The main support is still the unstable factor of the escalation of regional situation. The inflation premium of currency depreciation is long-term, but the risk aversion sentiment is short-term and fast. After the plunge at the beginning of this week, the price of gold has basically been in a state of low correction, and there has been a certain decline during the period. At present, the large-range triangular wedge consolidation is very obvious, and the short-term trend of the long and short roller coaster has no continuity. After the early morning trading today, it is a good opportunity to go short. The white plate pulled up falsely and pierced 2665-2670 during the day to directly go short. The upper rail pressure of the range is given to go short! The short-term price will also increase in volume and wait for the point to be touched before the short enters the market!
From the technical trend, gold will most likely continue to fluctuate within the current range in the near future, and the operation will be mainly short-term quick entry and exit. The sharp rise in the early trading is not expected to continue. Now the hourly chart of gold has shown a big positive resistance line pattern, and the current price is close to the edge of the previous upward trend line, and there are signs of a short-term decline! So there is nothing to hesitate about the operation. Continue to short gold at the current price of 2665, and continue to look at the 2640-2635 area in the short term.
XAUUSD Buy setup Gold price (XAU/USD) sticks to its intraday bullish bias through the early European session on Friday and currently trades just below a four-day top, around the $2,657-2,658 area. Concerns about the effect of US President-elect Donald Trump's trade tariffs on global growth and the protracted Russia-Ukraine war continue to drive haven flows towards the precious metal. Apart from this, depressed US Treasury bond yields and an intraday US Dollar (USD) dip to a two-week low turn out to be another factor that benefits the commodity.Meanwhile, expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump's expansionary policies would revive inflationary pressures and signs that the progress in lowering US inflation stalled in October could restrict the Fed from easing policy further. This, in turn, could limit any further slide in the US bond yields and lend support to the USD, warranting caution before placing fresh bullish bets around the non-yielding Gold price. Hence, strong follow-through buying is needed to confirm that the XAU/USD has formed a near-term base near the $2,600 mark.
Gold trend! continued decrease ! sideway⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) continue to decline during Thursday's Asian session, following the previous day’s pullback from the $2,658 level. Strong US economic data released on Wednesday, along with limited progress in reducing inflation, suggest that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may approach further rate cuts cautiously. This outlook has driven a slight rebound in US Treasury yields and bolstered US Dollar demand, putting pressure on the non-yielding precious metal.
However, markets are still largely expecting a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut by the Fed in December. Additionally, US President-elect's tariff threats have sparked concerns over a potential trade war that could harm global economic growth. Combined with ongoing geopolitical risks from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, these factors are helping Gold maintain support above the $2,600 level.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Selling pressure continues - target returns to 2605 area, bank holiday gold price mainly sideways and decreases slightly
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2633 - $2635.5 SL $2639 scalping
TP1: $2625
TP2: $2612
TP3: $2605
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2657 - $2659 SL $2664
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2630
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2605 - $2603 SL $2598
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2622
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU/USD 29 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD: A big bull move to Previous Record Higher HighDear traders
After looking in the details of how price moved within last one week we have now confirmed that price is likely to reach previous record high. Price shows extreme bullish pressure and this is a likely a sign of big buying that will kick in later on.
Thank you.
Shorting gold is my best Thanksgiving gift to youBros, although gold has risen sharply to around 2646 in the short term, from the overall structure, the rebound strength of gold is still lacking, and it has never been able to break through the key level, resulting in limited room for gold to rise; and gold still faces the resistance area of 2650-2655 in the short term.
So don't be scared by the sharp fluctuations in the short term. The rebound is an opportunity to short gold; in addition, once gold forms a falling relay platform, gold is likely to continue to fall and try to reach 2600, or even 2580.
Bros, this is my Thanksgiving gift to you! Be brave to short gold! Bros, have you shorted gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold's Key Zones: 2658-2661 Resistance and 2615-2609 SupportGold is still oscillating within a triangular range, and the market is waiting for a breakout direction. If the price breaks above the 2658-2661 resistance zone, gold is expected to rise to around 2682, and may even touch the 2700-2710 range.
However, if the price breaks below the 2615-2609 support, the triangle consolidation may turn into a bearish continuation, with the target moving down to 2586. If no effective support is found during the decline, gold’s downside target could move towards 2568-2547.
Therefore, our primary focus should be on two key levels: the 2658-2661 resistance and the 2615-2609 support, so we can adjust our strategy accordingly upon a breakout or breakdown.
Break - signal BUY SACLPING XAU SCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Wednesday that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index increased to 2.3% year-over-year in October, up from 2.1% in September.
The core PCE Price Index, which excludes food and energy costs, rose 0.3% month-over-month and climbed to 2.8% annually from 2.7% the previous month.
Meanwhile, data from the US Commerce Department showed the economy grew at a robust annual rate of 2.8% in the third quarter, driven by strong consumer spending, which increased by 3.5%.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
M30 witnessed gold price BREAK trend increasing, waiting for a reasonable BUY scalping signal
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2642 - $2640 SL $2637 scalping
TP1: $2646
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2657
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD Buy Gold price (XAU/USD) drifts lower during the Asian session on Thursday, albeit finds some support near the $2,620 area and has now trimmed a part of its intraday losses. Wednesday's US macro data dump pointed to a still resilient US economy and stalled progress on inflation, suggesting that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might be cautious about further rate cuts. This, in turn, triggers a fresh leg up in the US Treasury bond yields, which helps revive the US Dollar (USD) demand and undermines the non-yielding yellow metal.
Meanwhile, the current market pricing indicates around 70% probability that the US central bank will lower borrowing costs at the December policy meeting. Moreover, expectations that Scott Bessent – US President-elect Donald Trump's US Treasury Secretary nominee – will restrain budget deficits might cap the upside for the US bond yields. This, along with concerns about Trump's threatened tariffs and geopolitical risks stemming from the worsening Russia-Ukraine conflict, offers some support to the safe-haven Gold price.
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Thanksgiving: Trading Strategy for TodayMarket Review and Outlook:
In the early hours of Thursday’s Asian session, spot gold saw a 0.5% decline, hitting a two-day low of 2620.83. The dip was primarily driven by a rebound in the U.S. dollar and selling pressure after the failed rally in gold prices. Given that today coincides with the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday, the economic data calendar is light, and we expect gold to trade in a narrow range with subdued volatility. Traders who followed our shorting strategy near 2650 yesterday have already locked in profits.
With lower market liquidity due to the holiday, price action is expected to remain muted. Gold is likely to oscillate between 2620 support and 2640 resistance.
Today's Trading Strategy:
Sell Zone: Short positions near 2640 and above.
Buy Zone: Long positions near 2620 or lower.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please ensure proper risk management and avoid overleveraging your trades.
Strong Economy = Weak Gold | XAUUSDPositive unemployment data is indirectly bad news for gold. Because good unemployment data = low probability of recession , Gold price was going up because of the probability of crisis increases.
That's why I think gold will lose this tiny reaction from the range low point at full speed and go to the boxes below.
I don't overcomplicate things and add a ton of dirty crap to my charts, but you can check out the success of my analysis below.
I approach trading with confidence backed by experience and past success in identifying high-probability setups.
While I don’t claim to be the best, my track record speaks for itself, and I strive to let my analysis and results do the talking. Watch these levels closely—markets can confirm what charts already whisper. Let’s see how this plays out together.
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Gold Buy Limit OrderDue to the Core PCE index report we're in a strong pullback. I highlighted this area as a good zone to enter this trade. It's more safe to wait for price to come to this area and then look for a CHoCH in lower TF for more confirmation to enter.
Entry: 2625
SL: 2619.6
TP1: 2630.75(1:1RR)
TP2: 2636.45(1:2.1RR)
TP3: 2643.4(1:3.4RR)
TP4: 2656.45(1:5.8RR)
TP5: 2663.8(1:7.2RR)
Let's wait & see..
Gold’s Key Support at RiskGold is once again in a downtrend, and the key level to watch is the support zone between 2618-2609. If this support holds, gold may form a double bottom, increasing the chances of a rebound.
However, if the support breaks, this could likely be the final leg of a five-wave downtrend, and the decline could be the largest of the current cycle, potentially breaking below 2600 and reaching 2580, or even lower.If you're looking to go long on gold (trend trading), you will need to wait for the end of the five-wave decline and for a clear bottoming pattern to form before making your move.