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Gold Under Pressure: Potential Bearish Reversal from Resistance 🚨 XAUUSD Bearish Reversal Setup at Key Fibonacci Levels 🚀📉 Gold (XAUUSD) is approaching a critical resistance zone between the 1.272 (2846.09) and 1.618 (2866.24) Fibonacci extension levels, where price often shows signs of exhaustion. After an extended bullish rally, momentum is slowing down ⚡—hinting at a possible reversal. 📊 Technical Breakdown: • 🔑 Fibonacci Confluence: Price is reacting strongly around 1.272 and heading towards 1.618—classic reversal zones for trend exhaustion. • ❌ Rejection Signals: Multiple wick rejections suggest strong selling pressure from institutional levels. • 📉 Trendline Support Target: A rising trendline around 2790.57 could act as the next bearish target if momentum shifts. • 🎯 Risk-Reward Edge: Stop loss secured above 2867 to avoid fakeouts, targeting a high-probability move towards trendline support. 💼 Trade Setup: • 🔻 Sell Entry: 2840–2850 • 🛡️ Stop Loss: 2867 (above resistance) • 🎯 Take Profit: 2790 (trendline support) 📈 Market Outlook: If price fails to break above the resistance zone, expect a bearish correction towards the trendline. A strong breakout above 2867 would invalidate this setup, signaling continued bullish strength. 🤔 What’s your outlook on XAUUSD? Drop your analysis below! 👇🔥
FX:XAUUSDShort
by AahmedD_98
Gold Market Update: Bullish Momentum ResumesYesterday, gold experienced a pullback, dropping to an intraday low of around 2835. However, the price quickly rebounded, and overnight, bulls regained control, pushing it back above 2860—a key confluence resistance level. This move suggests that the correction may be over. Looking ahead, the upcoming NFP data could drive further momentum, potentially leading to a new all-time high by the end of the week. From a broader perspective, the bullish outlook remains intact as long as yesterday’s low holds. A more significant correction would only come into play if we see a weekly close below this level.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
3
Gold's Uptrend Nearing Key Reversal Zone—Time to Sell?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is creating a new All-Time High(ATH) during these few days; finally, how far can gold continue this upward trend? What do you think? Educational Note : From the point of view of Technical Analysis , when the asset is forming an All-Time High(ATH) and the previous history of the price is not around the price, the analysis becomes a little difficult, but we must be able to make the best use of the technical analysis tool. ---------------------------------------------------- Gold is entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Also, Gold is facing a Series of Resistance lines that can stop its increase . From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Gold is in the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern formation. Do you agree!? Educational Note : An Ascending Broadening Wedge is a bearish technical pattern characterized by higher highs and higher lows that expand over time. It signals increasing volatility and weakening bullish momentum, often leading to a breakdown below support. Traders watch for a confirmed breakdown as a short-selling opportunity. According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. I expect Gold to start falling after entering the PRZ and at least to the lower line of the wedge pattern and Support zone($2,800-$2,787) . Note: If Gold breaks the Resistance lines and goes above $2,873, we should expect Gold to increase further. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
17
Gold before NFP: A general outlookYesterday, OANDA:XAUUSD pulled back to an intraday low of 2835, but buyers quickly stepped in, driving the price back above 2860—a key confluence resistance level. This strong rebound suggests that the correction may be over, with bulls regaining control. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Support: 2835 (recent low), 2800 (psychological level), 2785 (next key demand zone) Resistance: 2880 (recent high), 2900 (round number), 2925 (potential breakout target) 📈 What’s Next? With NFP data on the horizon, volatility is expected. The market's reaction will depend on how the data impacts rate cut expectations. If the report is strong but inflation concerns persist, Gold could rally toward a new all-time high, targeting 2900+. On the other hand, a weak NFP could either lead to a pullback or further upside, depending on how traders interpret the Fed’s potential response. Key support remains at 2835–2800 for buy-the-dip opportunities. ⚡ Trade Setups to Consider: ✅ Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 2880 could open the door for a rally towards 2900–2925. 🚨 Bearish Scenario: A weekly close below 2835 could indicate a deeper correction, with downside targets near 2800 and 2785. 📊 Final Outlook: As long as gold holds above 2835, the bullish structure remains intact. A break and weekly close below this level would be the first sign of a deeper pullback. For now, dips remain buying opportunities unless price action suggests otherwise.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
SCALPING XAU ! resistance 2882 entry SELL today⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield dropped to its lowest level since December 12 this week, driven by expectations of two Fed rate cuts by the end of 2025, further boosting demand for non-yielding gold. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee attributed the recent inflation stagnation to base effects, emphasizing the need to balance overheating risks with economic stability. Meanwhile, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan acknowledged significant inflation progress but noted that the labor market remains too strong to justify imminent rate cuts. However, this did little to strengthen the US Dollar. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Nova still thinks the market today will have a surprise for NF, the market will fall freely, going against the current majority psychology. ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2881 - $2883 SL $2888 TP1: $2870 TP2: $2860 TP3: $2850 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
SELL XAUUSDSELL XAUUSD I am selling XAU/USD (Gold against the US Dollar) due to a combination of technical, fundamental, and macroeconomic factors that suggest a potential decline in the price of gold relative to the US dollar. Here’s a detailed explanation of my reasoning: --- ### 1. **Strengthening US Dollar (USD)** - The US dollar has been showing signs of strength due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish monetary policy, including interest rate hikes or the expectation of tighter monetary conditions. A stronger dollar typically puts downward pressure on gold prices, as gold is priced in USD and becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies. - Positive economic data from the US, such as robust GDP growth, low unemployment, or rising consumer confidence, further supports the dollar's strength, making gold less attractive. --- ### 2. **Rising Interest Rates** - Gold is a non-yielding asset, meaning it does not generate interest or dividends. When interest rates rise, the opportunity cost of holding gold increases, as investors can earn higher returns from interest-bearing assets like bonds or savings accounts. - The Federal Reserve's commitment to combating inflation by maintaining higher interest rates for longer reduces the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset. --- ### 3. **Declining Inflation Expectations** - Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. However, if inflation expectations are moderating or falling, the demand for gold as an inflation hedge diminishes. - Recent data showing easing inflationary pressures in the US or globally could reduce the urgency for investors to hold gold. --- ### 4. **Technical Analysis** - From a technical perspective, XAU/USD may be showing signs of a bearish trend. Key support levels may have been broken, or moving averages may indicate a downward momentum. - Overbought conditions on indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) could suggest a potential reversal or correction in gold prices. --- ### 5. **Risk-On Market Sentiment** - Improved risk appetite in financial markets, driven by optimism about economic growth or resolution of geopolitical tensions, can lead investors to shift away from safe-haven assets like gold and into riskier assets such as equities or cryptocurrencies. - A reduction in geopolitical risks or market uncertainty reduces the demand for gold as a protective asset. --- ### 6. **Central Bank Gold Reserves** - While central banks have been net buyers of gold in recent years, any slowdown in their purchasing activity or a shift in their reserve management strategy could reduce demand for gold, putting downward pressure on prices. --- ### 7. **Seasonal or Cyclical Factors** - Gold prices often exhibit seasonal patterns, with demand fluctuating based on cultural or economic factors. If the current period aligns with a historically weaker season for gold, this could contribute to a price decline. --- ### Conclusion: Selling XAU/USD aligns with my analysis of the current macroeconomic environment, technical indicators, and market sentiment. While gold remains a valuable long-term asset and a hedge against uncertainty, the current conditions suggest a potential short-to-medium-term decline in its price relative to the US dollar. As always, I will monitor the market closely for any changes in trends or new developments that could impact this outlook. ---
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by H_R09
2
NF - Will the BIG SELL happen or not?⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: China has imposed tariffs on select US goods in response to President Trump’s 10% levy on Chinese imports, escalating trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies and reinforcing demand for safe-haven gold. On the economic front, the US Department of Labor (DoL) reported that initial jobless claims rose to 219K for the week ending February 1, up from the previous week’s revised 208K. Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the Trump administration is less concerned about the Federal Reserve’s rate path and is instead focused on lowering 10-year Treasury yields. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: The market is too expecting a price increase - big FOMO will have high risks. NF news will shock the market today, BIG SELL will happen ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2851 - $2949 SL $2845 scalping TP1: $2855 TP2: $2860 TP3: $2865 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2813 - $2811 SL $2806 TP1: $2820 TP2: $2828 TP3: $2835 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
4
Gold's Rally and Bitcoin's Dip: Decoding the SignalsIs Gold's Glitter a Warning Sign? Bitcoin-Gold Ratio Plummets as Physical Gold Demand Soars Gold, the timeless safe-haven asset, has been experiencing a resurgence, raising eyebrows and sparking discussions about potential economic headwinds. Its recent outperformance, coupled with a dramatic drop in the Bitcoin-gold ratio and a surge in physical gold deliveries, suggests growing concerns about the global financial landscape. Are these developments harbingers of fiscal worries ahead? Gold's Allure Returns Gold's appeal as a store of value and hedge against uncertainty has been rekindled. While the yellow metal has historically played a crucial role in portfolios seeking diversification and stability, its recent performance has been particularly noteworthy. Gold prices have reached all-time highs, driven by a confluence of factors, including geopolitical tensions, inflationary pressures, and fears of economic slowdown. One significant factor contributing to gold's rise is the escalating trade tensions between major economic powers. Past trade disputes, such as the tariff exchanges between the US and China, have historically fueled safe-haven demand, benefiting gold. The current geopolitical climate, marked by increasing uncertainty and potential for conflict, further strengthens this narrative. Bitcoin-Gold Ratio Plummets: A Shift in Investor Sentiment? The Bitcoin-gold ratio, a metric that compares the price of Bitcoin to that of gold, has recently plummeted to a 12-week low. This decline suggests a shift in investor sentiment, with many seemingly favoring the traditional safe haven of gold over the more volatile cryptocurrency. While Bitcoin has often been touted as "digital gold," its price volatility and perceived regulatory risks may be driving investors back to the established stability of physical gold. This shift could indicate a broader move away from riskier assets and towards more traditional safe havens. Physical Gold Demand Soars: A Flight to Tangible Assets Adding fuel to the gold fire is the dramatic increase in physical gold deliveries. Reports indicate a surge in gold shipments to the U.S., with traders actively loading the precious metal onto planes bound for American shores. Furthermore, major financial institutions are playing a significant role in this trend. Investment banking giant JPMorgan, for example, is reportedly planning to deliver a staggering $4 billion worth of gold to New York this month. This substantial demand for physical gold underscores a preference for tangible assets, potentially signaling a lack of confidence in the stability of financial markets or fiat currencies. Global Gold Demand Hits Record High: India Sees Uptick The global appetite for gold is not limited to the U.S. According to the World Gold Council, global gold demand has reached record highs in 2024. Even in price-sensitive markets like India, gold demand has seen a 5% uptick. This widespread increase in gold consumption further reinforces the narrative of a flight to safety and a growing unease about the global economic outlook. Is Gold's Outperformance a Sign of Fiscal Worries Ahead? The confluence of factors driving gold's resurgence – geopolitical uncertainty, trade tensions, declining Bitcoin-gold ratio, and soaring physical gold demand – raises the critical question: are these indicators of deeper fiscal worries on the horizon? While it's impossible to predict the future with certainty, the historical precedent suggests a strong correlation between periods of economic uncertainty and increased demand for gold. Gold's role as a hedge against inflation and economic turmoil is well-established. When investors perceive heightened risks in the global economy, they often flock to gold as a safe haven, driving up its price. The current environment certainly exhibits many of the characteristics that have historically triggered such a flight to safety. The Potential Implications If the current gold rush is indeed a sign of growing fiscal concerns, the implications could be significant. Increased demand for gold could put further upward pressure on prices, potentially exacerbating inflationary pressures. Furthermore, a shift away from riskier assets could lead to increased volatility in financial markets and potentially trigger a broader economic downturn. A Word of Caution While the evidence suggests a potential link between gold's outperformance and fiscal worries, it's essential to exercise caution. Market dynamics are complex and influenced by a multitude of factors. Gold's price can be volatile, and past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. It's crucial to avoid drawing hasty conclusions based solely on gold's price movements. Conclusion Gold's recent surge, coupled with the decline in the Bitcoin-gold ratio and the surge in physical gold deliveries, presents a compelling narrative. While it's too early to definitively declare a looming fiscal crisis, the confluence of factors driving gold's resurgence warrants close attention. Investors should carefully consider these developments and assess their potential impact on their portfolios. Whether gold's glitter is a mere reflection of market jitters or a harbinger of deeper economic troubles remains to be seen. However, the current trends certainly raise important questions about the health of the global economy and the potential for increased volatility in the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
SIDEWAY and go up to make ATH 2800⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: In January, the US ADP National Employment Change showed private sector job growth accelerating from 176K to 183K, surpassing expectations of 150K. Meanwhile, the ISM Services PMI came in at 52.9, slightly above the 52.8 forecast but down from December’s 54.0. Similarly, the S&P Global Services PMI fell from 56.8 to 52.9, still exceeding projections of 52.8. Money markets are now pricing in 52 basis points (bps) of Fed rate cuts in 2025. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold price is sideways around 2855 - 2882, accumulating and will continue to go up: resistance price zone to pay attention to: 2900 ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2898 - $2900 SL $2905 TP1: $2890 TP2: $2860 TP3: $2850 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2832 - $2834 SL $2827 TP1: $2840 TP2: $2850 TP3: $2860 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
3
Gold’s Price Action: New Highs or Correction Ahead?Yesterday, gold reached yet another all-time high, slightly above 2,880. However, the price quickly dropped by 200 pips, finding support at 2,660. Since then, gold has been consolidating, but a correction appears to be looming. In the posted 30-minute chart, we can see a small head-and-shoulders pattern forming. A break below the newly established support and the neckline of the pattern could lead to a further drop to 2,640. Although trading at this stage is extremely risky, I believe gold is more likely to correct at this point rather than make a new ATH.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
10
XAUUSD OUTLOOK for today 1-28-2025.This trading chart, specifically analyzing the price movements of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 15-minute timeframe. The chart includes multiple technical analysis elements: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: A resistance zone is marked in the range of $2,751 - $2,758. A support zone is identified around $2,720 - $2,734. 2. Trend Lines and Entry Zones: An ascending trendline (blue) suggests a short-term uptrend. Two entry zones are highlighted: The upper entry zone (~$2,751 - $2,758) suggests a potential sell entry. The lower entry zone (~$2,734 - $2,741) suggests a possible buy entry. 3. Price Projections (Black Lines): The chart outlines a possible bullish breakout from the current consolidation pattern. If the price reaches the upper entry zone, a reversal (downward movement) is expected. The projection suggests a potential decline toward the lower entry zone and possibly further down. 4. Volume: The volume bars at the bottom indicate trading activity. Potential Trading Strategy Based on the Chart: Bullish Scenario: If the price sustains above the purple horizontal resistance, it could indicate further upward movement toward the upper entry zone (~$2,758). Bearish Scenario: A fake breakout at the upper entry zone could signal a sell opportunity, leading to a drop toward $2,734 or lower. This chart is likely used for short-term trading decisions, applying a combination of trendlines, resistance levels, and price action analysis. ALWAYS USE STOPLOSS AND TAKE PROFIT WHEN TRADE ACTIVE AND ALSO USE PROPER MONEY MANAGEMENT OR RISK MANAGEMENT.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Artiverma256
Gold is soaring, has it reached its all-time high?Gold still maintains the trend of bullish structure in the rising channel, and the daily line hits a new record high of 2882, ending the rising streak. The upward trend has expanded to $300 since 2582 on December 19. From the technical perspective of gold, how much upward space is there in this round of upward trend? When will the trend change? First of all, the daily and weekly RSI indicators are both at a high level close to 80 values. After the weekly chart hit a record high, the price deviated from the MA10 daily moving average, and the price was above the upper track of the Bollinger band. From the weekly and daily charts, as the increase further expands, the upward space is gradually compressed. Pay attention to the high and low after the historical high and the turning of the indicator signal after overbought. Trading ideas: Buy at a low price in the callback, but hold short-term and do not chase high prices. Pay attention to the opportunity of long-term band short at the historical high! The short-term structure is still relatively obvious, and the strong market is rising unilaterally. The bullish buyers of gold are almost out of control. Is 2900 no longer the target in February? This frequent rise may really reach an unprecedented high of 3,000 at the beginning of 2025! The current trend of gold is relatively resistant to declines. Without news or data catalysis, the bulls will not take profits and enter the market again for the time being. If it falls today, it will give an opportunity to adjust the low-price buying entry. Today, it is still bullish with 2,850 as the defense point. February is destined to have a historical high. Today, continue yesterday's low-price buying idea! Key points: First support: 2860, second support: 2852, third support: 2840 First resistance: 2878, second resistance: 2886, third resistance: 2898 Operation ideas: BUY: 2851-2854, SL: 2842, TP: 2880-2890; SELL: 2895-2898, SL: 2907, TP: 2860-2850;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
ADP - NF ! News to help gold price reach next new ATH⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices surge, supported by declining US yields. Real yields, measured by the 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), drop nearly six basis points from 2.13% to 2.072%, while the US 10-year Treasury bond yield slips four bps to 4.51%. Meanwhile, the latest JOLTS report reveals a slowdown in job openings, signaling labor market strength. Openings fell to 7.6 million in December, down from November’s 8.156 million and below the expected 8 million. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold is setting consecutive ATHs, FOMO has not stopped yet, waiting for new ATH with today's ADP-NF results ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2858 - $2860 SL $2863 scalping TP1: $2855 TP2: $2850 TP3: $2845 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2879 - $2881 SL $2886 TP1: $2870 TP2: $2860 TP3: $2850 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2807 - $2809 SL $2802 TP1: $2815 TP2: $2822 TP3: $2830 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1