Smart Trade Insight – XAU/USD Technical BreakdownKey Levels & Technical Zones:
🔹 Resistance Zone (🔼 SELL Area):
📌 3,315 – 3,340
This area has been tested and rejected multiple times, as highlighted by the strong bearish wicks. The recent price action failed to break above it, triggering short interest.
🔹 Minor Support Zone:
📌 Around 3,243
Acted as intraday bounce area previously, now likely to offer weak support in the coming move down.
🔹 Major Demand Zone (💚 BUY Interest Zone):
📌 3,120 – 3,140
Labelled as "BEST SUPPORT DEMANDING ZONE" – historical demand visible with strong bounce history. Ideal for monitoring bullish reversal opportunities.
📈 EMA Levels:
🔴 50 EMA: 3,299
🔵 200 EMA: 3,254
Current price action is hovering near the EMAs. The rejection at the resistance while below the 50 EMA indicates weakening bullish momentum.
🔍 Market Structure Overview:
The double-top formation near the resistance shows exhaustion in buying.
Lower highs forming → structure turning bearish short-term.
Solid rejection confirms that this is a valid zone to initiate short positions 🛑📉.
📉 Forecast Path:
🔮 Projected Move:
Price is expected to break below minor support at 3,243.
Intermediate target: 3,206, then 3,167 🟠.
Final destination: Demand Zone at 3,120 – 3,140 🟩 for potential bounce 📈.
💬 "Market not break the resistance level and rejected solid — this is a good entry for short-term sell trades." ✅
✅ Trade Idea Summary:
🟥 Bias: Short
🎯 TP Targets: 3,206 → 3,167 → 3,122
📉 SL Suggestion: Above 3,340 resistance zone
🧭 Risk-Reward Setup: Favorable for short-term traders
Xauusdsignals
XAUUSD Idea: Structure, Fibonacci Setup & S&P 500 Correlation📉 XAUUSD Trade Outlook 🧠🔍
Currently analyzing Gold (XAUUSD), and things are getting interesting. On the daily timeframe, we’ve seen a clear bearish break of market structure, and this shift is also evident on the 4-hour chart. 🕰️📉
I’m watching closely for a bullish retracement into my key Fibonacci 61.8% level, where I’ll be looking for confirmation of a bearish structural break to initiate a short position. 🎯🔽
When we compare this setup to the US500 (S&P 500), it becomes even more compelling. The indices have rallied hard and appear overextended — a correction seems likely. 📊🧾
If we do get that pullback in the indices, gold may rally temporarily, but my overall bias remains bearish. If the indices resume their uptrend after a pullback, I expect gold to weaken further, aligning with my current short-side outlook. ⚠️📉
🛑 This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and manage risk according to your trading plan.
💬 What are your thoughts on gold right now? Are you leaning bullish or bearish? Let me know in the comments! 👇
XAUUSD:[GOLD]: First Drop And Then Reverse! Comment Your Views! Gold touched $3350 but was rejected at that level, dropping around 3288. The price shows some minor support at this region, which we’re currently monitoring. If it breaks through, it could touch our buying zone, reversing the trend. You can set three targets based on your own analysis and bias. Please use accurate risk management while trading.
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Gold rebounded after hitting the bottom. Don't shortOn Wednesday, the New York International Trade Court of the United States stopped Trump's planned tariff policy; it ruled that Trump's act of imposing comprehensive tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than imports without the authorization of Congress was an overstep. This means that most of Trump's tariffs will be suspended.
After the news came out, gold fell rapidly, hitting a low of $3,245. It has now adjusted back and maintained around 3,270 for consolidation. From the current point of view, most traders with short strategies have taken profits around 3,250.
From the hourly chart, gold has started to pull back from $3,265 this week, and as of the current low of $3,245, it is a three-wave downward trend. The first wave fell to $3,225, and then rebounded to $3,350. The second wave fell from $3350 to $3285, and then rebounded to $3325.
The third wave of decline has been completed. According to the early decline and then the rise, the current rebound from $3245 is likely to test around $3300.
However, considering that $3285 is the previous low point, $3285 is also the upward pressure position this time.
Therefore, we should pay close attention to the pressure range of $3285-3295. If it can stabilize below $3295, then we can rely on the $3295-3285 range for short operations.
On the contrary, if the rebound is stabilized above 3300, it is necessary to stop loss in time.
Gold price rebounded. Strategy is coming.Gold rose yesterday under the stimulus of risk aversion; gold did not continue the upward trend today, which means that the risk aversion sentiment of gold has been digested. The 4-hour moving average of gold formed a dead cross, and MACD also formed a dead cross. Then gold is likely to maintain the morning support position near 3290 for oscillation.
I think we can continue to short after gold rebounds. After the opening of the US market, the rise of gold has been under pressure at the 3310 line and cannot break through. Gold rebounded under pressure at 3310 and continued to short on rallies.
The market situation is changing all the time. We cannot always use the same trading strategy. If the price fails to rise, we will implement a short strategy; in line with the changes in the market, we can make profits faster.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3305, stop loss 3315, profit range 3270-3260.
Gold starts a new trend? What is the reason?Gold prices rebounded, and the phenomenon of "buying on dips" appeared after hitting the low of the week earlier. In addition, the US Trade Court ruled that President Donald Trump's tariffs on major trading partners exceeded his authority, which attracted market attention. Investors' focus has gradually shifted to the US core inflation data to be released this week.
So far, the price of gold has risen by 0.91%, and the price has fluctuated around 3315. It hit the lowest point since May 20 during the European and Asian sessions.
The cyclical market presents a three-wave pattern. The first two periods showed a trend of rising first, then falling, and then rising again. It is currently entering the third period. The current rally has basically ended and will usher in a small decline.
I believe that the current rise in gold is partly due to technical covering, while economic uncertainty continues to support gold prices amid ongoing US debt problems and global trade tensions.
In addition, there are reports that the United States has ordered a large number of companies not to export goods to China without permission, and revoked the export licenses that some suppliers have obtained.
The current market is focusing on the US GDP data to be released later and the core personal consumption expenditure price index to be released on Friday. These two data will become an important basis for judging the future interest rate path of the Federal Reserve.
I will also pay attention to the release of news in a timely manner so as to update you in time on the impact of news on gold prices. Please be patient, traders.
Gold Strategy Update — Professional Trading InsightGold dipped to around 3290, then rebounded to 3310, followed by another pullback toward the 3290–3280 region and bounced again. This price action perfectly aligned with our forecast and trading plan.
👉 If you followed today's strategy, you should be in solid profit once again!
📍 Current Market Structure Analysis:
🔹 Gold is now hovering near 3300, which is a key resistance zone.
Our previously identified support area at 3306–3318–3324 has been broken and is now acting as resistance.
🔹 Among these levels:
3306 is a weaker resistance,
While the 3316–3323 zone is the main barrier to watch.
📊 Based on the 30-minute chart, bullish momentum appears limited:
If the price rebounds in a single leg, it is likely capped around 3318–3324,
→ With an 80%+ probability of a pullback from that zone. A reasonable short-term target would be 3312;
However, if gold builds a double bottom or multiple bottom structure, it may gather more strength,
→ And a broader rebound could reach 3332–3338.
📉 Bearish Structure Repair (2H Chart):
On the 2-hour chart, the previous bearish structure has been mostly corrected by the recent drop;
The next key factor is whether bulls can break above 3320 to confirm a reversal.
🟥 If bulls fail to break 3320 and price drops below 3280, it may open the door for bears to close the gap around 3259.
→ In that case, levels below 3266 will present excellent buy opportunities.
📊 Trading Summary:
Although market volatility has slightly decreased in recent days, there are still plenty of solid trading opportunities, and we continue to profit steadily.
✅ As long as you stick to a proven strategy, strong discipline, and flexible execution, you’ll find that no matter how the market moves, our profit curve will keep climbing.
Gold Enters PRZ and TRZ – Correction is Coming!?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in the previous Idea and reached the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) and Resistance lines .
Gold is moving near the Resistance lines , Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of Main wave 3 , so Main wave 3 could have an extended structure .
I expect Gold to experience at least one correction after entering the PRZ and TRZ , the correction could continue to $3,329 . If the Support lines are broken, the next target could be the Support zone($3,280-$3,245) .
Note: If Gold touches $3,420, there is a possibility of further pumping and breaking the Resistance zone($3,435-$3,406).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold plummeted? Here comes the latest analysis.Today, the gold market continued its downward trend. It failed to break through the key resistance level of $3,365 in the early stage, and then fell under pressure. It is a normal price adjustment for the Asian market to break through the previous support level. The current price fluctuates around the strong support of $3,300. Coupled with several news to be released in the United States, the price trend is full of uncertainty. In this period of time, I don’t think it is suitable for shorting.
From the 4-hour chart, gold has insufficient upward momentum. After failing to break through the upward resistance level for a long time, it began to decline.
In the market last week, the price has always fluctuated between $3,330 and $3,365. In the narrow range of fluctuations, once a new trend appears, whether it is upward or downward, it may accelerate the price fluctuation range in a very short time; this is an instant release after accumulating energy. This is why the Asian markets suddenly started to move downward.
From the current market situation, the bulls are under great pressure, which is completely different from the strong upward pattern last week. At present, the trend of gold is more dominated by weak fluctuations.
Based on the current trend, we still follow the strategy of high-altitude and low-volume trading in our operations.
Gold price pullback. How to trade?Information summary:
On Monday, due to Trump's policy changes, high tariffs on the EU were suspended. The market's risk aversion sentiment has declined, and spot gold fell at the opening, but recovered some of its losses in the US market, maintaining a consolidation range of 3320-3355.
When the US market opens, there must be large fluctuations. Gold recovered all the gains on Friday due to the increase in tariffs on the EU on Monday. Then, when the US market opens, it is very likely to rise sharply, and also recover the losses on Friday.
And from the current gold 1-hour chart:
The current trend line of gold has fallen below, and the early trading has also completed the retracement. Therefore, gold may go down next. There is a high probability that it will test the bottom support position of 3310-3300.
From the daily chart:
You can see that the daily chart is currently an important support position near 3300. Once it falls below 3300, it can be officially confirmed that the correction trend is coming. And the trend after the US market opens is critical.
Operation strategy:
Short immediately, stop loss 3335, profit range 3310-3300.
XAUUSD This is the level to look for a break-out.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the October 30 2024 High, which then transitioned inside it into a Bullish Megaphone. The recent May 15 rebound took place on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the pattern's Support since basically the start of the year (January 08 2025).
Today however we see this rebound taking a pause on the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the April 22 High and until it breaks we can't speculate on a bullish price action as it is more likely to test again the 1D MA50, if not break the pattern downwards.
If however Gold closes a 1D candle above the Lower Highs trend-line, we will turn bullish again, targeting 3700 (+18.29% from the bottom, similar to the previous Bullish Leg).
Notice also that the 1D MACD just completed a Bullish Cross, which favors the buyer's case.
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Critical Resistance Ahead–Will Gold Confirm the Bullish Reversal🔶 What happened last week on Gold (XAUUSD)?
Last week was an excellent one for Gold bulls – the price surged by nearly 1500 pips, fully recovering the drop from the 12–16 May week.
Looking at the chart, the decline from the last ATH at 3500 appears clearly corrective, forming a classic ABC 3-wave pattern which now seems complete.
Gold is currently testing a major confluence resistance zone, aligned with:
• The 17 April ATH
• The end-of-April resistance
• And the early May support
Also worth noting: this week’s breakout above resistance followed the formation of an ascending triangle, which is typically bullish.
________________________________________
❓ Key question – Will the bullish move continue, or will price reject from here?
________________________________________
🔍 Why a bullish continuation is probable:
1. The ABC corrective structure seems to have ended.
2. Price broke out after an ascending triangle – a bullish signal.
3. The broader structure still leans bullish after the ATH at 3500.
________________________________________
⚠️ But this resistance zone is critical:
• Without a clear breakout above 3360 zone, bulls don’t have full control.
• A drop below 3300 would shift momentum back to the bears, with 3360 becoming a potential lower high.
________________________________________
🧭 My Trading Plan:
✅ I favor a bullish scenario, aiming for:
• 3430
• 3500 (ATH retest)
❌ This outlook gets invalidated if price falls below 3300 – in that case, I’ll reassess for more downside.
________________________________________
🚀 The market must confirm the direction. We’re just here to read the map.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD[GOLD]: Another Possible Swing Sell Happening! Swing MoveGold rejected twice as we had described in our last two analyses on Gold. We remain heavily bearish on Gold and expect a swift bearish move within the next week or following week. We are eyeing two targets. Please use this analysis accordingly and avoid overtrading. This is not a confirmation, and do not use the marked arrow as an entry or exit point. The marked red area drawn there represents a potential reversal zone from which price may reverse.
As always, this analysis does not guarantee that price will move as described in the chart. Please use your own knowledge and trading plan while trading Gold. Good luck and trade safely.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): More Growth Ahead?!
Gold violated a significant intraday horizontal resistance on Friday.
The broken structure and a rising trend line compose a strong
contracting demand area now.
It will be a perfect spot to try to buy Gold after a pullback.
Next goal for the buyers will be 3400.
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XAUUSD[GOLD]: Bearish Correction Is Happening! Gold rejected at 3350, dropping almost 600 pips to 3290. We can expect the price to drop further to around 3250, potentially reversing from there. A possible entry point is 3304, followed by a drop from there.
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can assist us:
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GOLD D1 chart update for the 26-30 May weekkindly read level carefully as market on it's way to ATH but keep in mind downside some major retracements are remains pending
Right all eyes on 3330 level if market successfully sustain below 3330 then it will definitely move towards 3300 or even 3280 and then 3250
Main levels for the week 3400 \ 3250 \ 3308
Gold Retests Broken Resistance – Is the PRZ Next?As I expected in the previous IDEA , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) managed to break the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) and touched the first target .
Gold appears to be completing a pullback to the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) .
On my chart , the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) is currently labeled Support zone($3,280-$3,245) .
I expect Gold to move towards the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Resistance lines after the pullback is completed .
Note: If Gold touches $3,243 , we should expect a drop.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
5/23 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood afternoon everyone!
Gold did not touch our key buy or sell zones yesterday, but flexible intraday range trading worked well, resulting in decent profits.
Currently, the price has reached around 3330, and from a technical standpoint, bulls remain in control. If no negative surprise hits the market, gold could target 3368 today, with a potential to test 3400 resistance next week.
🔔 On the news front, two key events during the U.S. session today deserve attention:
A speech by Fed Governor Lisa Cook on financial stability — may provide hints about the Fed’s stance.
An executive order signed by Donald Trump, which might impact markets depending on its content (e.g., taxes, tariffs, or spending).
Also, note that U.S. markets will be closed next Monday, but this is unlikely to cause major disruptions. Positions held over the weekend can still be adjusted during the Asian session on Monday.
📈 Today’s Trading Recommendations:
📉 Sell near 3382–3398 (Resistance zone)
📈 Buy near 3274–3256 (Support zone)
🔁 Flexible trading levels:
3285 / 3296 / 3307 / 3316 / 3328 / 3337 / 3346 / 3361 / 3373
XAUUSD How VIX points to a Gold Bear Cycle.Gold (XAUUSD) may be on a 5-week correction but on the long-term it remains within a Channel Up since the October 31 2022 Low. That was essentially when its Bear Cycle ended and the new Bull Cycle (Channel Up) started.
The previous Bull Cycle stopped 4.5 months after the Volatility Index (VIX) shown in blue, peaked during the March 2020 COVID flash crash.
We are now on a similar situation as VIX topped on the week of March 31 2025 during the Trade War and has already started to decline aggressively.
In symmetrical terms, we could be around the end of May 2020 on Gold's last short-term pull-back before the final rally to the August 03 2020 Top (where its Bear Cycle started).
As a result, according to this correlation, we may see Gold forming a Bull Cycle Top by the end of July (2025) and then start a new +2 year Bear Cycle.
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Gold rebound height is limited, short goldTechnical aspects:
Gold has failed to make a major breakthrough in the recent rebound process, and the rebound height has been limited to a smaller and smaller level. Overall, gold is now in a state of shock and short position; as the center of gravity of gold shifts downward, the current short-term resistance is in the 3220-3230 area; and gold has tested downward many times recently, which makes it easier for gold to fall below 3200. Once gold falls below 3200 again, it is very likely to extend to 3190, or even around 3160.
Trading strategy:
Consider starting to short gold in batches in the 3220-3230 area, TP: 3205-3195
Gold still has the potential to rebound, continue to buy goldTechnical aspect:
Gold has just retreated to around 3217 and then rebounded again. It has now rebounded to around 3235. Although the rebound strength is a little weak, it has even hovered around 3235 for a long time. But structurally, gold did not destroy the rising structure during the decline, and the strength of structural support was strengthened after the effective retracement support. After being recognized and accepted by the market, gold will continue to rise with structural support. Once gold breaks through the short-term resistance area of 3250-3260, it will continue to rise to 3280-3290, or even around 3320.
Trading strategy:
Before the short-term rising structure is destroyed, we can still continue to try to go long on gold in the 3325-3315 area, TP: 3240-3250