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[XAU/USD] GOLD TODAY – PREFER BUY SCENARIO – WAVE 5 COMPLETION🔎 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Currently, Gold is moving in Wave 5 of the primary impulse structure. Key price zones have been clearly identified: 🟢 Main Trading Plan: Prefer BUY ✅ BUY LIMIT around: 3312.5 🛡 Stoploss: 3309 🎯 Expected Target: Short-term: 3336–3342 Medium-term: 3361 (OBS Supply) Longer-term: Potentially test WEEK HIGH ~3365–3367 Note: 3312.5 is a strong confluence zone consisting of: H4 FVG Liquidity Pool Option data shows concentration of funds at this zone Wyckoff structure clearly indicates ST (secondary test) at this zone 🛑 SELL Setup – If you're scalping or trading corrective waves: SELL GOLD WAVE 5 Zone: 3336–3338 SL: 3342 Expect a pullback to 3312.5 before continuing upwards Scenario: This is a small corrective wave 4 within the larger Wave 5. 📊 CHART 2 – WYCKOFF PHASE C–D SUPPORT The supplementary chart shows a clear WYCKOFF accumulation model: Phase C is complete → Currently in Phase D (Markup Phase) The upward wave from ~3285 has completed 5 small Elliott steps, preparing for a pullback to the support zone (3312.5) before breaking higher. 🌐 MACROECONOMIC NEWS AFFECTING GOLD 🏦 The Fed is expected to keep interest rates high in July with a 93.3% probability → Weaker USD, supporting higher Gold prices 📉 US bond yields are declining, increasing demand for safe-haven assets 🪙 Tether is quietly accumulating 80 tonnes of gold in Switzerland – A signal of the trend toward physical asset accumulation for safety 🧾 FOMC meeting minutes: Most members believe tariffs could have a long-term impact on inflation → Expect Gold to remain positively supported ✅ CONCLUSION For today and the next few sessions, the BUY GOLD scenario at 3312.5 remains the main strategy, with expectations of movement towards higher levels. Be cautious when the price reaches the 3336–3338 zone, as a small pullback could occur. "Price doesn't just reflect technicals; it also reflects sentiment – and today sentiment favours the buyers." 📌 SUMMARY TRADING PLAN: BUY Limit: 3312.5 STOPLOSS: 3309 TP: 3336 - 3361 – 3367 Wave 5 Channel + Liquidity SELL Scalp: 3336–3338 Stoploss: 3342 - 3312.5 Corrective wave, light scalp 📌 If you're trading Gold this week, remember to set clear SL levels and prefer to wait for a pullback – avoid FOMO at high prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EliseLunaTraders
Start buying gold, a rebound may come at any time!Gold is undoubtedly weak at present, and bears have the upper hand. However, since gold touched the 3290-3280 area, gold bears have made more tentative moves, but have never really fallen below the 3290-3280 area, proving that as gold continues to fall, bears have become more cautious. From the perspective of gold structure, multiple technical structural supports are concentrated in the 3285-3275 area, which makes it difficult for gold to fall below this area easily. After gold has failed to fall below this area, gold is expected to build a short-term bottom structure with the help of multiple supports in this area, thereby stimulating bulls to exert their strength and a rebound may come at any time. Therefore, in the short term, I do not advocate chasing short gold; instead, I prefer to try to find the bottom and go long gold in the 3290-3280 area; but we should note that because gold is currently in an obvious short trend, we should appropriately reduce the expectation of gold rebound, so we can appropriately look at the rebound target: 3305-3315 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Steffen
Short gold ,the downside potential is far from over.After we waited patiently for a long time, the gold bears finally showed signs of strength and began to fall as expected. Why do I insist on being optimistic about the gold retracement and wait patiently for it to retrace? ! In fact, it is very simple. Gold started to rebound from around 3283 and touched around 3330, which only recovered 50% of the decline. When facing the 50% retracement level, the bulls were unable to do so and could not stand above 3335, and could not even stabilize above 3330. The bulls' willingness was obviously insufficient. Then it can be determined that the gold rebound is only a technical repair of the sharp drop, and it cannot be completely regarded as a reversal of the trend. Then after a certain degree of repair, the gold bears will counterattack again. Moreover, from the perspective of market psychology, the recent gold bull and bear markets have been discontinuous, and Trump often stirs up the gold market, making it difficult for the market to stand unilaterally on the bull side. Therefore, before gold stabilizes in the 3330-3340 area, there is limited room for rebound in the short term. Once gold falls below the 3310-3305 area again during the retracement, gold may test the area around 3280 again, or even around 3270. So the above is why I insist on shorting gold, and I have shorted gold at 3320-3330 as planned, and patiently hold the position to see its performance in the 3310-3305 area, which is also the target area of ​​our short-term short position.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
7/9: Focus on Selling Gold on ReboundsGood evening, everyone! Apologies for the late update today—I had some matters to attend to. I hope your trades are going smoothly. Yesterday, gold found support around 3284 and continued to rebound during today’s session, reaching as high as 3330. The key resistance at 3321 has now been broken and is currently acting as a short-term support level. However, based on the current price structure, this level is likely to be retested multiple times, and some consolidation may follow. The next major resistance lies between 3337 and 3343. In the absence of strong bullish momentum, the preferred short-term strategy remains selling on rebounds, especially near resistance zones. ⚠️ Additionally, the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims data will be released during the New York session tonight, which may cause increased volatility and potentially whipsaw price action. Be cautious with position sizing, and avoid emotional trades or chasing price action during news releases. Patience and discipline will be key.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Data is about to be released. Where will gold go?Yesterday, the market expected a trade agreement between the United States and its trading partners, which boosted risk sentiment, and the strengthening of the US dollar and the rise in US bond yields further added pressure on gold prices. Gold fell 1% during the day and once lost the $3,300 mark during the session. After gold bottomed out and stabilized at 3,320 on Monday, it fell sharply above 3,320 again on Tuesday and has now completely fallen below 3,320. The position of 3,320 is very important. In the 3,320-50 range, it chose to break down at 3,320 again. Today, the Federal Open Market Committee of the United States will release the minutes of the June monetary policy meeting. Although Federal Reserve Chairman Powell remained neutral on the June interest rate decision, many Federal Reserve officials released dovish signals. Federal Reserve Board member Bowerman has turned to support the possibility of a rate cut in July. From a technical point of view, the market has penetrated into the area around the lower support of 3,275-3,295. The rhythm of the entire market is still a process of oscillating decline. From the perspective of pressure position, the daily MA5 average line has not fallen below, and may fall again to around 3270. Once the market falls too fast and approaches this position, there is a high probability that there will be a rebound demand. Operation strategy: Buy near 3375, stop loss at 3365, profit range 3315-3320. Continue to hold position after breakthrough.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Buy Gold! The short-term bottom may have appeared!Gold continued to retreat yesterday and hit a recent low, reaching around 3287. Then gold gradually rebounded to above 3300. Relatively speaking, the rebound momentum was weak. It is expected that the long and short sides will fight fiercely around 3300. However, from the recent characteristics of gold operation, it can be seen that although the short position of gold is strong, it is difficult to continue in the short term, and I think the short-term decline of gold is basically in place, so at this stage, in terms of short-term trading, I do not advocate shorting gold directly; As gold did not continue to fall after reaching around 3287, on the contrary, it gradually rebounded to above 3300, which may strengthen the market's consensus on the short-term bottom, thereby attracting the favor of off-site funds; from the current gold structure, if gold can maintain above 3300-3295, it may be combined with the 3287 low to build a "W" double bottom structure, which is conducive to supporting the rebound of gold. However, as gold fell below 3300 again, the bearish trend is relatively strong, so we need to moderately lower our expectations for a gold rebound. In the short term, gold is under pressure in the 3315-3325 area, so we can temporarily look to this area for the rebound target. Therefore, in short-term trading, I do not advocate shorting gold directly, and you can first consider going long on gold in the 3300-3295 area, TP: 3310-3320-3330.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Steffen
XAUUSD h4 buying target levelsGOLD (XAU/USD) - 4H Analysis Price is currently reacting from a well-defined support zone (demand area) near $3,250–3,270, which previously acted as strong resistance and now flipped to support. 🔍 I'm watching for bullish confirmation from this zone for a potential upward move toward the next resistance levels. 🎯 Targets: Target 1: $3,400 (First key resistance) Target 2: $3,460 (Major resistance & previous high) 📉 If price fails to hold above the support area, this setup will be invalidated. Risk management is key. This idea is based on structure breakout and price respecting previous resistance turned support zone. 📊 Levels: Support (Entry Area): $3,250 – $3,270 Target 1: $3,400 Target 2: $3,460 Invalidation Below: $3,240 #GOLD #XAUUSD #PriceAction #TradingSetup #BuySetup #4HChart #ForYou #BreakoutTrade #SmartMoney #ForexAnalysis #LiquidityGrab CAPITALCOM:GOLD
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Liquidity_Gold_FX
10
Gold rose. Trend reversed.Gold rose slightly in early Asian trading on Wednesday, but fell under pressure near 3308. It fluctuated in the European trading range of 3296-3282. It broke through the US trading range and rose to around 3317 in the late trading. The daily line closed with a positive line with a lower shadow. After a sharp drop on Tuesday, gold showed a downward recovery trend on Wednesday and closed positive. It rose slightly in early Asian trading today. From the daily level, in the short term, we should first pay attention to the resistance near 3325-3330. This area brings together the current positions of the 5-day moving average, the 10-day moving average and the 60-day moving average, which is an important gateway for the game between long and short forces in the short term. If the gold price continues to be under pressure in this area, it means that the short-term upward momentum is insufficient, and we need to be alert to the risk of a market decline. If the above resistance area can be broken and the price continues to rise strongly, the next target will be the resistance near 3345, which is not only the high point on Tuesday, but also the current location of the 20-day moving average and the 30-day moving average, which has a strong technical resistance significance. In terms of support below, first pay attention to the support near 3280, which is the current support level of the trend line formed by the low points of May 15 and June 30, which provides certain support for the gold price. Operation strategy: Short at price rebound near 3345, stop loss at 3355, profit range 3320-3300 Long at price drop near 3315, stop loss at 3305, profit range 3320-3340
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar. The current price is $3,805.780, reflecting a decrease of $30.660 (-0.92%). Key levels include a sell price of $3,305.390 and a buy price of $3,305.940. The chart highlights recent volatility with a shaded area indicating a potential support or resistance zone around $3,344.320. The time frame spans from late June to early July 2025, with the latest data point at 02:41:15 on July 8, 2025.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alee_Gold_Trader
Below 3360, short sellers still have profit potential!Although gold has steadily rebounded to around 3345, compared with yesterday's gold falling below 3330 again, the rebound in the short term is not strong; overall, gold is still in a weak and volatile pattern, with pressure from the upper side at 3350-3360; and there is technical buying support in the lower 3300-3290 area. It is under the influence of the resistance area and the support area that gold lacks continuity. So before gold breaks through effectively, I think both the long and short sides of gold have profit potential, so for the current short-term trading, we can temporarily maintain the high-sell-low-dregs trading within the range. 1. Consider shorting gold in batches with 3345-3365 as resistance, TP: 3330-3320-3310; 2. Consider going long gold in batches with 3325-3305 as support, TP: 3345-3355-3365
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
Gold fluctuates. Beware of highs.On Monday, the U.S. dollar index rose sharply, reaching an intraday high of 97.65 as Trump announced that he would impose new tariffs on a series of countries including Japan and South Korea on August 1. Spot gold fell first and then rose. It once fell below the $3,300 mark during the session, but then rebounded strongly in a V-shaped manner by nearly $40. As of now, it has stabilized above 3,330. From the current daily line: 3,320 is the absolute support position for gold at present. Although it fell below 3,320 yesterday, Monday, it then reversed and stabilized above 3,320. For now, the daily line still cannot close below 3,320. If it closes below 3,320, the decline may open further. On the contrary, the current upper suppression position of gold is around 3,350. That is to say, it is basically maintained at 3,320-50 for rectification. If the daily line stabilizes at 3350 again, the bulls may rise again. From the 4-hour chart, gold currently shows signs of a head and shoulders bottom. If the 4-hour chart stabilizes above 3340 again, the suppression level of 3350 may be directly broken. Next, it may directly touch the high level of 3380-90. Therefore, in terms of operation, I suggest that you can maintain long positions at 3320-30. The first target is 3340-50. As long as the 4-hour chart stabilizes above 3340, you can continue to look at 3380-90.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_1
1
XAU/USD Eyes Key Resistance Amid Fresh Tariff Fears🟡 TVC:GOLD Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Eyes Key Resistance Amid Fresh Tariff Fears OANDA:XAUUSD Spot gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from intraday lows near $3,296, now trading around $3,330 as fears over renewed U.S. tariffs fuel safe-haven demand. President Trump has begun issuing formal letters announcing fresh import tariffs—25% on South Korea, additional measures on Japan, and a 10% universal tariff on countries aligning with BRICS. With the 90-day tariff pause expiring August 1 and no trade progress in sight, geopolitical and economic uncertainty continue to support gold’s floor. 📉 Technical Structure XAU/USD remains within a descending channel on the 1H chart, with price currently approaching the $3,338–$3,340 Resistance Zone 1. A clean breakout above the upper channel boundary could trigger a move toward the broader $3,364 Resistance Zone 2. Conversely, failure to break above Resistance Zone 1 would keep the bearish channel intact, with downside targets toward the $3,302–$3,305 support zone. 📌 Key Technical Zones Resistance Zone 1: $3,338–$3,340 Resistance Zone 2: $3,364 Support Zone: $3,302–$3,305 Channel Structure: Bearish unless broken to the upside 📘 Strategy Summary XAU/USD is showing signs of short-term recovery, but remains technically capped unless it breaks through $3,340 resistance. As long as the descending channel holds, rallies may be sold into. A confirmed break above $3,340 could shift bias toward $3,364, while rejection may reopen the path to $3,305 and potentially lower. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
The short position is losing money. What should we do?Gold hit the intraday low of around 3296 and then began to rebound. We can see that the rebound of gold is not strong, but it is relatively sustained, so gold has rebounded to around 3335. To be honest, I did short gold according to my plan and still hold a short position. Although gold has rebounded to around 3330, I don’t think my short gold trade has failed. As I said in the previous point of view, gold is facing technical suppression of the head and shoulders in the short term, which will suppress the rebound limit within the 3335-3340 area. So before gold stabilizes at 3340, I think the gold shorts still have the upper hand. So as long as gold stays below 3340, I think the gold rebound is a good opportunity to short gold. At present, gold is facing the resistance area of ​​3335-3340 and begins to show signs of stagflation. After consuming a certain amount of bullish momentum, the gold shorts may counterattack strongly again and stimulate gold to fall rapidly. Therefore, before gold breaks upward through the 3335-3345 area, we can still consider shorting gold, or continue to hold a short position in gold!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
XAUUSD is getting ready to explode to $4000Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) having practically been accumulating since the April 22 High. Ever since the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) turned into a long-term Support (2023), Gold has experienced similar Accumulation Phases another 3 times. On all of those occasions, the price broke out to the upside in the form of a Channel Up, reaching at least the 2.5 Fibonacci extension. With the 1D MACD close to forming a Bullish Cross around the 0.0 mark, which is the level that always started the Channel Up during those 3 previous Accumulation Phases, we expect the market to start breaking upwards and towards the end of the year hit at least $4000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
7/7: Key Zone – 3320 to 3350Good morning, everyone! Due to the U.S. market closure on Friday, price movement remained relatively subdued, and the week concluded with modest gains. As of this morning, gold opened higher but has since pulled back, and the price remains in a consolidation phase. Key technical levels for today: Resistance: around 3350 Support: near 3321 Short-term traders may focus on range-bound strategies between these levels. If a breakout occurs, follow the trend accordingly: If price breaks above and stabilizes above 3338, the market may shift its focus toward the 3400 psychological level; If price drops below and holds under 3332, there’s potential for a retest of the 3260 support zone. In terms of broader trend analysis, the MA20 and MA60 on the daily chart should be watched closely, as they currently serve as key dynamic resistance and support levels. Lastly, stay alert to any developments related to trade tariffs, as such news may significantly impact market sentiment and gold price direction.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by China_MsWang
The bears will take the 3290-3280 area stronglyGold started to fall from 3342 during the day and fell below 3300 at one point. Gold is in an obvious short position, and during the London market, gold continued its downward momentum without any decent rebound. Gold is in an extremely weak state. In the absence of a rebound in the London market, I think New York is very likely to continue to fall. According to the current structure, gold is facing technical suppression of the head and shoulders in the short term, which greatly limits the rebound space of gold and suppresses the rebound limit within 3335. As the center of gravity of gold moves down, the resistance in the short term moves down to the 3315-3325 area. After breaking through 3330, the downward space has been opened up to a certain extent. So don’t be fooled by the false bullish candle that appear near 3330. Gold will inevitably continue to fall to the 3290-3280 area. The 3290-3280 area is bound to be won, so shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading. You can consider shorting gold with the 3315-3325-3335 area as resistance, and look to the target area: 3295-3285-3275.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
Gold fluctuates downward. Do not short blindly.Today, gold is in a consolidation downward trend, with the lowest point reaching around 3296; it has rebounded slightly to around 3310. From the overall market, gold is indeed in a short trend. However, do not continue to short, which is very dangerous. Because from the hourly chart, although the low point of gold is constantly refreshing, the key hourly chart support range position has not yet broken. So, here I may think that gold may still be tempting to short in the short term. There is still a possibility of a pullback here on the hourly chart. From the current point of view, there is still a probability of a pullback to 3320-30 before the range is broken. In terms of the next operation, I suggest that you can pay attention to 3320-30. However, if it really pulls up again, as long as it does not stand above 3330 again. Then, we can short here at 3320-30. On the contrary, if the rebound directly breaks above 3340, then be careful. The rebound may turn into a trend reversal, and it is very likely to replicate the rhythm at the beginning of last week.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Gold Under Pressure After NFP Beat – More Downside Ahead?Moments ago, the US Non-Farm Payrolls surprised to the upside at 147K (vs 111K forecast), while the Unemployment Rate dropped to 4.1% (vs 4.3% expected) . This stronger-than-expected labor market data reinforces the idea that the Fed has no immediate reason to cut rates. As a result, the USD( TVC:DXY ) strengthened, and gold came under renewed selling pressure. If the dollar momentum continues, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) may face further downside in the short term. In terms of Technical Analysis , Gold fell below the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,326) again after the announcement of US indices and is currently moving near the Support lines and 50_SMA(Daily) . In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed 5 impulsive waves in the one-hour time frame, and we should now wait for corrective waves . I expect Gold to fall again after the upward correction , and the Support zone($3,312-$3,290) could be the target. Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,365 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
19