Xauusdsignals
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XAUUSD is starting its new bullish leg to at least 2100.Gold (XAUUSD) hit the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) again and this is technically completing the bottom phase that we called for 3 weeks ago (see chart below):
Our trading strategy hasn't changed, that was our long-term entry, bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line of the 7 month Channel Up and target a Higher High at 2100. Potentially, if it repeats another +10.60% rise, ut can even go as high as 2140. Regardless of that, this appears to be the start of the new bullish wave to a Higher High. Even the 1D RSI is on perfect symmetry with the February 02 - March 08 correction (bearish wave).
A 1D candle closing below the 1D MA100 however, thus the Channel Up, can potentially accumulate more selling pressure and accelerate the decline towards the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) and 1840.
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Is Gold losing its shiness?Last week was an interesting one for Gold traders.
After a strong reversal from medium-term trend line support, XauUsd managed to break back above 1955 important support and also broke above the falling trend line started at the beginning of May, all suggesting a reversal to the upside.
However, on Friday, following NFP data, bears totally took control leaving an immense bearish engulfing on our daily chart exactly from the 1980 resistance.
This bearish engulfing is important for 3 reasons:
1. The pattern is exactly in a very important resistance that now becomes a strong ceiling for the price
2. This reversal puts the price back both under the falling trend line and horizontal 1955 support. Such a false break more often than not leads to continuation.
3. The daily close of the pattern is exactly in the medium-term trend line's zone support, putting pressure for a break.
That being said, my outlook for Gold in the medium term changed to bearish and I'm waiting for further price development for confirmation of short trades.
Gold ; bullish or bearish for next ?Today's NFP figure was increased volatility and price was falling down from 1980 to below 1950 and it was closed week under support 1950.
For next week, I can expect the price to retest the 1936-1940 support and then move back above the 1970 level. However, we should be careful to break the support ahead, which could lower the price to 1920-1915. The markets are still waiting for economic news such as the debt ceiling and interest rate of the Federal Reserve. Finally, I expect that after the market calms down, the price of gold will rise at the beginning of the week and jump to conquer 1980.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsLast week's U.S. data showed stronger-than-expected consumer spending in April. The increase in personal consumption expenditures (PCE) raised expectations that the Federal Reserve is likely going to hike interest rates again in June. The U.S. debt ceiling proceedings appear to be closing in on an agreement ahead of a June 1 deadline that would raise the government's $31.4 trillion debt ceiling for two years.
Gold Price Forecast: All these economic developments appear to be taking a positive toll on the Greenback as gold was off 2% after another 2% loss the prior week and 0.25% the week before that.
XAUUSD Bullish/Bearish Sentiment: However, from a technical standpoint, the appearance of buying pressure around the 1,940 zone is a concern for Gold sellers as this zone has the potential of becoming a platform for another wave of bullish momentum if not broken to the downside (XAUUSD Accumulation/Distribution Analysis). In the coming week ahead of the US economic features - ADP employment change, ISM manufacturing PMI, and Nonfarm payroll; we might likely see a choppy situation during the first half of the week before a major spike in price movement. In this video (XAUUSD Technical Analysis), we analyzed the current market structure from a technical standpoint by examining past price patterns and market behavior, recurring trends, support and resistance levels, and other crucial insights that can aid us in making a well-informed trading decision ahead of the new week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
After the breakthrough, #GOLD is ready to be pumped!#XAUUSD UPDATE
GOLD make this descending channel at hourly time frame.
The local trend and correction may be stopped by a breach of the descending channel resistance, and the price may then begin an active strengthening move towards the level 1984, 2000, and 2025.
Significant backing: 1950, 1940, MA-50
MA-200, 1960, and trend resistance are significant obstacles.
Given that the dollar is struggling and that gold is still a solid hedging tool, I believe that gold will be able to overcome the trend resistance in the medium term and resume its upward trend.
This piece is not intended to be financial advice. Before making an investing choice, always do your own research and speak with a qualified advisor.
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XAUUSD Rebounding on the Channel Down bottom.Last week, as well as two weeks ago (see charts below) we called for a buy entry on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) on Gold (XAUUSD) and today it has started to deliver:
As you see, this is similar to the previous Higher Low of the Channel Up (March 08), with the price closing again above the 1D MA100. The confirmation was delivered once the price broke and closed above the 4H MA50 too (yellow trend-line). Our long-term bullish target is intact at 2100. If we get a closing below the 1D MA100 however, we will turn bearish instead and sell, targeting the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) at 1840. On the current levels, the risk is low anyway.
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XAUUSD Will gold continues the downtrend?The Gold has been declining the last couple of week. The market is currently very optimistic about the debt ceiling negotiation. I see the dollar getting stronger. Markets are pricing in a 37.8% chance of a 25-basis-point hike in June, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
Monthly
We can clearly see at the highs a triple top between the price of 2067 and 2075. The highs are very liquite. At one point the price will move to the highs to collect the liquidity. Also, price is in a top trend in this time frame. At the monthly time frame price still bullish which go against our analysis.
Weekly
The price created a bearish pattern. Also, there is a good point of liquidity that the price have not liquidated yet. I believe that before the price start a move to the upside the liquidity needs to be taken.
Daily
The price is in a clear downtrend. I would love to see a confirmation bearish pattern in this time frame before entering any position.
XAUUSD: The Power of the Bears!Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bears stay hopeful amid hardships for US debt ceiling deal
The price of gold, denoted by XAU/USD, has been fluctuating near the daily low of $1,940 with a zigzag pattern. Despite minor losses, bears seem to be in control during the mid-Asia session on Tuesday. This can be attributed to the market's inclination towards safe investments, which has strengthened the US Dollar. However, the recent optimism in the bond markets, following the agreement of US policymakers to extend the debt ceiling and avoid default, has provided some support to the price of gold. Nonetheless, the XAU/USD bears are currently dominating the market due to the uncertain sentiment and cautious approach towards upcoming data/events.
XAUUSD: Where is the most beautiful selling position?Technical analysis
The support and resistance levels are performing effectively, and at 1955, a robust resistance zone has been established. With the goal of continuing to decrease to the 192x region, Gold is required to increase slightly to create liquidity. SMA is forming a continuous decline in wave cycle.
Update new news situation
The US Dollar is expected to remain strong due to optimism surrounding the US debt deal and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance. There may be a slight dip from the two-month highs, but this is expected due to end-of-the-week flows. The United States Core PCE Price Index data, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, is also set to be released soon. The annual Core PCE figure for April is expected to remain the same as March, increasing by 4.6%.
Predict continues the downtrend!
XAUUSD | New perspective | follow-up detailsAmidst the U.S. debt crisis saga market participants were reluctant to have open sell positions into the weekend, on the off chance that an agreement to raise the U.S. government’s debt ceiling is struck over the weekend hence the engulfing bullish candle observed on Friday. The reluctance of holding short positions resulted in the bullish green light to officially settle Friday’s session at 1,978.78 an ounce (just around the key level at the 1,980 zone), up by 1.1% on Friday. In this video, we dissected the current market structure for trading opportunities both the buyers and sellers have in this market ahead of the new week while taking into consideration the handful of economic features from the U.S. docket.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD completed a 1W MACD Bearish Cross. Warning!Gold (XAUUSD) completed this week the first Bearish Cross on the 1W MACD since the week of April 25 2022 (a year+ ago). This is a strong bearish technical signal that cannot be ignored as its last two occurrences above the 0.00 MACD level, kickstarted multi-month declines, all exactly from the same 2070 - 2080 Resistance level.
In order for such a correction to be avoided we need a 1W candle to close above the last highest closing level of the peak candle. In the previous two cases it failed. On the current case, that is 2018. Until that happens, every rise is a sell opportunity as long as a series of Lower Highs is formed.
Since the price hit the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) yesterday and is rebounding, it is quite likely to see a medium-term rebound as high as 2000 for the next optimal sell opportunity. Unless of course the 1W candle closes below the 1D MA100 first. A sell closer to 2000 though with the invalidation level marginally above it (at 2018) offers a great Risk/ Reward ratio. In either case the first long-term target of the downside is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), with an early projected contact at 1850. On the other hand, a 1W close above 2018, is a bullish break-out signal targeting the 2083 All Time High.
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GOLD Forecasting a fall for GDPGold is facing difficulty in finding a clear direction as the market remains indecisive due to conflicting signals regarding US debt extension talks and the US Federal Reserve.
Currently, the market is struggling around the key short-term support line near $1,955, and the XAU/USD daily chart suggests a bearish extension.
The risk is also leaning towards the downside in the short term, as the pair trades below all its moving averages, and technical indicators are declining.
It is crucial to watch out for a potential breakout below the price zone of $1950, as it could trigger a strong downtrend. My goal is 1945$ - 1940$ - 1935$
Analysis XAUUSD : 📅 5/23/2023Analysis xauusd:
Considering the observed weakness, I expect to move towards the set goals.
Note: The main direction of the market is Neroli and this trade is volatile.
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price: 1958.00
sl: 1951.00
tp: 1980.00
tp2: 2010.00
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👤 Alireza hajighasem : @alirezahajighasem
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📅 5/23/2023
XAUUSD:Happy days
Thank you to my customers for trusting me, today is a happy day.
The price is still in the correction stage, and the short-term price will not gain a foothold in 1975 and will continue to fall.
If you choose to believe me, don't question it.
As long as you keep up with my signal, you can make more money.
XAUUSD Rejected on the 4H MA50. Bottom process starting.Gold (XAUUSD) has started the final phase of the bottom process as we presented on the 1D time-frame last week:
This time we shift to the 4H chart, as some short-term parameters are more obvious. Following the 4H Death Cross, Gold made today an exact rejection on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). This is a similar rejection to February 14, which also came after a 4H Death Cross. We have the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) as the first line of Support (which held and made the price rebound on the March 08 Low) but if a -8.00% decline from the top is repeated, we may see the price break a little lower than the long-term Channel Up this time.
Our goal is anywhere inside the green circle, or on the 4H MACD's 3rd Higher Low. Our long-term target of 2100 is intact.
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Is Gold pulling up a Bitcoin correction?Gold (XAUUSD) is trading below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the second week in a row, something that hasn't done since early March. In striking fashion Gold's price action since the March 2022 High is astonishingly similar to Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) price action from its April 2021 High to November 2021 (up until now, it remains to be seen if it continues to replicate the pattern).
Bitcoin started falling under Lower Highs, bottomed following a Death Cross and while the 1D RSI was on Higher Lows and a Golden Cross was the mid rally signal to buy for the new market High. It peaked on Higher Highs while the 1D RSI was on Lower Highs (Bearish Divergence) and after breaking below the 1D MA50 again, it never tested it again until leg (l), long after it broke below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as well.
Gold currently declined after the same 1D RSI Lower Highs Bearish Divergence and if it fails to re-establish successive trading days above the 1D MA50 again, it can hit the 1D MA200 (currently at 1828.35 and rising) on leg (j).
Do you think it will pull out that Bitcoin-like correction?
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GoldViewFX - DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please review our daily chart idea that we have been tracking over the last few months level to level. We completed the Bullish targets and saw price come down to test the retracement range, highlighted by us on the chart over 2 weeks ago.
We have highlighted a potential route map of what we expect on this timeframe on the mid to long term projection. This daily chart structure remains Bullish overall; we just need to use our smaller timeframe setups to identify break and lock to track the movement level to level.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR