XAUUSD closed above the 4H MA50, first time since Feb 02!Gold (XAUUSD) is having the first major bullish break-out since it started its aggressive collapse on the February 02 top, as it closed a 4H candle today above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the top!
By doing so it also broke above the Falling Wedge pattern of the past two weeks and with the 4H RSI on Higher Lows (i.e. a Bullish Divergence), and this is a legitimate bullish reversal formation.
As the 1W MA50 (yellow trend-line) formed the bottom, it is advised to buy initially the pull-backs to the 1H MA50 (red trend-line) and target the upper Fibonacci levels systematically. We will do this until the price approached the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), potentially within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fib Zone and then re-evaluate.
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Xauusdsignals
XAUUSD short term Tuesday 29.02.2023
XAUUSD tests bearish trend channel
S/R zone is also tested
Volume profile only moderately positive
new sell opportunity?
Gold drifts lower as dollar rises. Inflation is rising, the labor market remains tight, and the Fed may raise rates. The XAU/USD slipped to its lowest level since 2023 and fell near $1,800
Surprisingly good inflation data from France and Spain.
Expectations for a 50 basis point rate hike by the ECB.
Gold (XAUUSD): Time To Sell 🟡
Gold is retesting a recently broken structure.
The price has nicely respected a confluence point based on the underlined resistance and 618 retracement of the last bearish impulse.
As the extra confirmation, the price formed a double top pattern.
I expect a bearish move to 1808 / 1801
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAUUSD - Another perfect analysis! wow good afternoon gold gang ... another day ANOTHER spot on analysis.
Gold pulled back to the area to the TEEEEE .. id now like to see some bearish action to fall back inline with the trend.
If you're not following me, hit that button. Gold analysis is my speciality!
Back this evening for your asian outlook
your friend,
Tommy
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTIONReason Behind teh XAUUSD/GOLD Fall
1. RSI 14 Below 50 which tends the bearish trend in 1H time frame
2. Stochastic oscillator is overbought and ready to move down which confirm teh fall again
3. Strongly breaked 1820 which is last week low which pushes lower to teh montly Low oof 1800
Over Possible Outcomes
XAUUSD SELL @ 1813.70
Sl 1920
tp 1800
XAUUSD BEARISH CONTINUATION 26.02.23Reason Behind Bearish Continuation
1. Breaked the strong Support & trendline support @ 1830
2.Fundamentally DXY get strongger and moving towards 109
3. Retest Zone 1830
Gold will likely Fall to 1800 on the next week Opening and later Moves Over teh last week Support which is resistance Now @ 1830
Overall Possible Outcomes
SELL LIMIT @ 1830
SL 1860
TP 1725
XAUUSD Pin point accuracy Good afternoon gold gang!!!! wow .. what can i say?! another perfect analysis
Got the sells below and rode them to the target which hit to the tee!! .. love to see it
tops off another amazing week on the charts and its also amazing to see my analysis coming to life day after day.
If you took any trades based on my analysis .. jump in the comments below and let me give you a virtual high five.
Ill post some educational content this weekend for you so follow along!!
enjoy some beers!
tommyxau
XAUUSD Major Support Cluster approaching. Strong buy.Gold (XAUUSD) is about to test the 1W MA50 (yellow trend-line) after breaking the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. Following the sell signal we gave last week, with the 4H MA50 (red trend-line) as Resistance/ entry point, we are starting to turn bullish on Gold after a long time.
The 1D RSI is very close to the 30.000 oversold barrier and that is our first buy entry. The last two times the 1D RSI breached that oversold territory, Gold rallied by +7.08% and +7.47% respectively, reaching the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on both occasions. If the 1W MA50 breaks, our second buy entry will be on the huge Support Cluster consisting of the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and Support Zone 1.
On the short term we are targeting the 1D MA50. If we close a candle above it, we will re-buy and target 1935 (if the low is in today) or 1900 (if the rebound starts lower). In both cases this represents a +7.00% rise.
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XAUUSD | New perspective | follow-up detailsAfter scooping a 7,000 pips profit from our previous analysis (see link below for reference purposes); the yellow metal posted its third weekly loss as price action drops into the $1,800 zone (where it started the year) clinging to a "strong support" where buying pressure was observed on Friday. With price action stuck at the mid-$1,800 level, Participants will be faced with the dilemma of discerning possible direction amid calls by Federal Reserve officials for sharper rate hikes. This video illustrates from a technical standpoint what we shall be looking out for in the coming week.
00:49 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
05:20 XAUUSD Technical analysis on Daily chart
10:30 Macroeconomic events to look out for the week
11:35 XAUUSD Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe
12:04 Conclusion on next week's expectation on XAUUSD
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD analysis played out againGood evening gold gang! i hope you had a good trading day
Gold broke below my level i marked this afternoon with some force following the news. I managed to take an impulsive move just before which got me 30 pips .. result!!
I did say wait for the retest but i decided to jump straight in and ride the wave baby!
The rest of the session was very messy to be honest. Tomorrow is a new day and hopefully the price action will be better.
Congrats anyone who took that move as analysed earlier.
Catch you later for an asian session outlook
TommyXAU
XAUUSD hit my level perfectly Good evening gold gang!
Ok gold finally broke out after the news to my downside target at hit it to the tee!! *chefs kiss* ... price broke below and provided me with my entry to take the short.
I exited full at 1:1.2 rr as price is outside my trading times so im happy to pinch some profits.
Im happy with my analysis and execution on this one. Im hopeful we will get some nice movement again after most of the Week consolidating.
My asian outlook should see price moving down now to my next level. DXY is also strong so we should see a volume filled Asia session.
if you enjoyed this, please leave a like and follow for more updates.
Tommy
XAUUSD trade stopped at BEGood afternoon gold gang
the trade i took from london was stopped at break even, but managed to bank some partials as i always do.
Moving into NY im looking for a reaction at the 1838.49 level. A strong close above would indicate bullish moves to the upside
A wick rejection and close below would mean we going back down to my original target of 1827.65
Either way, im ready. News coming up .. so lets see what we get!
Tommy
XAUUSD Deep pullback in NYGood evening gold gang! Another amazing week on the charts.
As predicted this morning, gold did pull back after the nyse open but smashed through my target zone and made its way to my next level marked in red. I took a loss trying to grab the buys as price consolidated for a couple of hours before blasting off.
There was an entry above the top red level, but was too late in the session for me.
Ill be back Monday for more pin point scalping on my beloved XAUUSD. Until then, have a great weekend. If you are a new trader, or even experienced, don’t forget to get a little back testing in to keep you sharp in between the beer.
TommyXAU
XAUUSD | New perspective | follow-up detailsThe $1,860 level held price strongly "supported" while participants in this market await next week's U.S. inflation data that could influence the Fed's rates policy. Last week's trading session was characterized by a consolidation phase as price action was caught within the $1,880 and $1,860 range to pronounce the indecision at this juncture in the market. This video illustrates the technical perspective as we anticipate trading opportunities off the breakout or breakdown of the channel in the coming week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD - Another perfect analysis Good morning gold gang .. tommy did it again! lol
Asia saw that nice drop to the major level and broke through indicating lower prices. As i said yesterday id like to see a pull back in NY.
Im currently in this trade shown .. perfect boop retest from the major level and entered on the close. Stops currently at break even with a small partial taken. ALWAYS TAKE PROFITS GUYS!!
Catch you in NY .. happy trading. Don't forget to follow along for more.
Tommy
XAUUSD Did EXACTLY what i wanted Wow, another high volume asian session! .. price finally closed above my level at 25 pips which was near enough a perfect set up for me to take the longs. Price came up to the target area and reversed just as i drew out. London and NY should see price move to the downside now to test my MAJOR level in white. Lets see!!
Follow along for more updates and to see the unique way i trade. KEEP IT SIMPLE!!
Tommy
XAUUSD Forecast for 14/2/2023Im not expecting much during london and new york tomorrow due to the news .. but asian session could provide volume to drive price back up into the range before the big push (wherever that can go)
Buys above 1855.60 back into the range and sells below 1850.00
Catch you all in the morning!
Tommy
XAUUSD Closing below the 1D MA50. Major bearish break-out.Gold (XAUUSD) got rejected just below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and is following the downtrend as presented on our previous analysis:
We are re-adjusting the Fibonacci levels as they make a much more accurate fit for the uptrend, but right now we are about to make a strong bearish break-out as the price is attempting to close a 1D candle below the 1D MA50 for the first time since November 03 2022, which was practically the bottom of the previous multi-month downtrend.
A new Channel Down has emerged, with three Lower Highs already, while the the 4H time-frame has completed a Death Cross (4H MA50 (blue) crossed below the 4H MA200 (orange)) for the first time since October 16 2022.
As you see, the Higher Lows and Higher Highs of the uptrend have so far formed the Lower Lows of the Channel Up. The next one is Support Zone 1 within 1827 - 1823.50 and its top is our first target. If it breaks, we will extend selling towards Support Zone 2 but will target the 1D MA200 (yellow trend-line) a little higher.
We will shift back to buying only if the price breaks above the 4H MA200.
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XAUUSD | New perspective | follow-up detailsFollowing a massively profitable week for us (see the link below for reference purposes); The Gold tumbled almost 3% on Friday after a blockbuster U.S. jobs report for January which came in with whopping 517,000 jobs hereby triggering profit-taking activities on the yellow metal’s long-running rally since the beginning of the year. Price is currently trading at a critical point where the bullish trendline and the $1,860 share a confluence on the daily timeframe. This video illustrates the technical perspective of the current market structure to figure out trading opportunities for the new week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.