YASSINEIOS GOLD M15 FVG+OBPlease respect the analysis. Today is a beautiful day, a golden opportunity. Just a little patience and diligence, we will be the best Happy holiday Any questions about the transaction are welcome
Xauusdsignals
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION#XAUUSD
According to our previous analysis of XAUUSS, GOLD went UP very fast in the previous weeks. Because of the NEGATIVE SENTIMENT against the dollar, US10Y went down due to this. Then I automatically bought GOLD.
But the last day all those INFLATION INDICATORS were NEGATIVE, so GOLD was slightly SELL. It is definitely a very important indicator for the FED. Currently, MARKET RISK is being OFF.
Anyway we expect that GOLD will go UP to 1960 LEVEL. Before that, GOLD may go down to the 1825 level with the FOMC UPDATE. Be careful..
XAUUSD Broke below the 4H MA200 after 3 months! What's next?Gold (XAUUSD) has its strongest 1D losses (-2.45%) in 7 months (since July 05 2022/ -2.47%) and managed to break below its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 3 months (since November 04 2022). Obviously this is a major technical development as the 1D RSI Bearish Divergence that was building up in January, eventually materialized the loss of strength into loss of price.
The long-term bullish trend hasn't been broken yet but is loosely supported after the 4H MA200 break on the Channel Up that started on November 10. Practically the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) just below is the true test of the uptrend. The 4H MA200 is now a Resistance but with the 4H RSI getting oversold and rebounding, it is likely to see a bullish market reaction (the last if this is the start of a downtrend) towards the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as the current price is the lowest in a month.
A rejection on the 4H MA50 practically empowers the trend reversal but the true confirmation would be closing a day below the 1D MA50. The role of the Support Zones we display is crucial as they were both Resistance and Support levels previously. As you see currently the price is support on Zone 2. As a result we are willing to sell only below the 1D MA50 and target Support Zone 3. Below that we will target the 1D MA200 (yellow trend-line).
In order to resume buying, we need to see the price break above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level again, which is both a bullish break-out point and rebound point inside the Channel Up.
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XAUUSD | New perspective | follow-up detailsGold was unable to crack the psychological level at $1,950 to bring fresh hopes of a new wave of bullish momentum and this can not be unconnected to the reassuring U.S. economy as the fear of recession recedes at least in the meantime. Data reported on Friday reveals that the PCE Index grew 5% in the year to December, versus an annual expansion of 6.8% in June further bringing a positive light to the Greenback. From a technical perspective, we have identified a potential trend continuation pattern as the $1,920 zone continues to reject selling momentum throughout last week's trading session. We still keep the option of a sell-off open considering the continued sell pressure below the $1,940 zone which might lead to an outright breakdown/retest of both the trendline (identified on the 4H timeframe) and the $1,920 zone.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD Has a long-term downfall just begun?Gold (XAUUSD) is on a red 1W candle as we trade on the last day of the week. If the candle closes in red, it will be the first losing week after 6 straight green (since December 12). This is the bigger picture on the 1W time-frame and as you see it has been a Channel Down since the August 2021 All Time High.
It is a bit early to say but this week's rejection exactly at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down, is the first signal we need to consider that the market trend may be shifting. The confirmation in the previous two bearish legs (downtrends) of this Channel Down came when the 1W RSI broke below its MA (red trend-line). Following that break-out, the price never looked back and made a Lower Low at the bottom of the Channel.
It is interesting to see that the downtrend of August - February 2021 matches almost perfectly with the downtrend of March - September 2022. For projection purposes we have plotted it on the current price action as well. We can see that a bounce isn't likely before breaking the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and approaching the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
It is also useful to mention that the two downtrends have lasted almost the same time, 2021 one 31 weeks (217 days) and 2022 29 weeks (203 days). An average of 30 weeks this time would time the next Low around August 28 2023.
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XAUUSD 1H Death Cross and the break-out levelsGold (XAUUSD) is close to forming a strong bearish pattern on the 1H time-frame, the Death Cross, which is when the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses below the 1H MA200 (orange trend-line). Last time it formed this was a month ago (December 26).
This is the first bearish signal on Gold in a long time and we are going to approach this by candle closings and Resistance/ Support levels. In the past 7 days, all 1H candles have closed above the 1919.50 Support (1) so we will go short upon a closing below it and target the Higher Lows trend-line (1) and the 4H MA100 (red trend-line). We are willing to extend this selling only if we close a candle below the 1911 Support (2) and target Support 3 (1895.50), where contact will most likely be made with 4H MA200 (yellow trend-line), which is the long-term Support during such uptrends.
Similarly, a break above the 1935 Resistance (1) will be a buy signal, targeting Resistance 2 (1949.50).
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XAUUSD | New perspective | follow-up detailsThis is video is a follow-up to the previous analysis on the XAUUSD where we close to the week with over 4,000 pips profit from multiple entries (see link below for reference purposes). Gold prices maintained their bullish traction for a fifth straight week in a row as bullish investors continue to push higher highs since the beginning of the year hereby closing last week's trading session around the $1,925 zone. Throughout the course of last week's trading session, Gold appears to be facing some strong resistance at $1,940 with a technical inclination that a retracement phase is long overdue at this juncture. We can not ignore the possibility of a breakout of the $1,940 level to incite another wave of bullish momentum. So, in this video, we have identified how to position ourselves in such a way that we can catch any of these moves.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD Channel Up at the limitGold (XAUUSD) is now at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 1-month Channel Up. It has been closing above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since December 28, above the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) since December 15 and above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) since November 04! Needless to say, a closing below each MA would target the one below it.
As long as the Channel Up and 4H MA50 hold, we see a recurring +3.00% rise, three straight times, which at the moment targets 1955, where the April 22 2022 High was formed. The 4H RSI being on its Support Zone, is also a buy signal for as long as it holds and a sell if it breaks.
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XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION#XAUUSD
According to our previous analysis of XAUUSS, GOLD went UP very fast in the previous weeks. Because of the NEGATIVE SENTIMENT against the dollar, US10Y went down due to this. Then I automatically bought GOLD.
But the last day all those INFLATION INDICATORS were NEGATIVE, so GOLD was slightly SELL. It is definitely a very important indicator for the FED. Currently, MARKET RISK is being OFF.
We have some very important NEWS coming to USD this week. Be sure to keep an eye on it.
Anyway we expect that GOLD will go UP to 1975 LEVEL. Before that, GOLD may go down to the 1892 level with the FOMC UPDATE. Be careful..
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION#XAUUSD
According to the analysis we gave to XAUUSS earlier, GOLD went UP very fast in the previous weeks, BREAKING the TREND LINE. Due to this US10Y went down.
The dollar has strengthened after the December FOMC. All MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going down slightly due to the OFF of MARKET RISK. RETAIL SALES, NFP and PMI DATA, CPI DATA should be monitored.
But the last day all those ECONOMIC INDICATORS were POSITIVE, so GOLD was slightly SELL. It is definitely a very important indicator for the FED. Currently, MARKET RISK is being OFF.
We have some very important NEWS coming to USD this week. Be sure to keep an eye on it.
Anyway, we expect GOLD to go UP to 1975 LEVEL. Before that, GOLD may go down to the 1898 level with the FOMC UPDATE. Be careful..
XAUUSD This level separates buying from sellingGold (XAUUSD) is overextending its long-term bullish trend which we first called on our early November idea:
The overextension is being done within a Channel Up (green) pattern after the broke above the October 04 2022 Higher Highs and after the 1D RSI turned overbought above the 70.000 barrier on January 12. As long as the Channel Up holds, the price should aim at a new +3.00% (at least) Higher High extension, translated into a 1955 target.
A closing below the Channel Up though, should target the last known bounce level of January 05, the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and then the 4H MA100 (green trend-line), which last made contact with on December 23. However given the fact that overextensions typically burst more emphatically, they test lower support levels. As a result, in our opinion, the next Support level will most likely be the zone within the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
A daily close below the 1D MA50 opens the way for the 1D MA200 (yellow trend-line), which is the strongest long-term buy level, but less likely to get tested. Another long-term buy indicator to look out for is when the 1D RSI approaches the 30.000 oversold barrier.
In both cases, the long term target is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 1972.
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XAUUSD- SELL AT LEAST 500 PIPS SETUP!!-Price is expected to hit around 1900 region before it drops, however, 1880 region is crucial and many orders would have been place. That is the region why I think price will create a strong high before it reject and reverse.
-In order for this trade to work DXY must follow our expect price action.
XAUUSD | New perspective | follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up video to the last week's analysis on the XAUUSD where we scooped over 4,000 pips profit to start the year on a positive note. Gold appears to be on the verge of recovery as price action breaks out of a strong supply zone ($1,820) for the first time in months to send a signal of new hope. In this video, we look at the current market structure from a technical standpoint and have decided to utilize the $1,860 level as the basis for trading opportunities this week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION#XAUUSD
According to the analysis we gave to XAUUSS earlier, GOLD went UP very fast in the previous weeks, BREAKING the TREND LINE. Due to this US10Y went down.
The dollar has strengthened after the December FOMC. All MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going down slightly due to the OFF of MARKET RISK. RETAIL SALES, NFP and PMI DATA, CPI DATA should be monitored.
But the last day all those ECONOMIC INDICATORS were POSITIVE, so GOLD was slightly SELL. It is definitely a very important indicator for the FED. Currently, MARKET RISK is being OFF.
We have some very important NEWS coming to USD this week. Be sure to keep an eye on it.
Anyway we expect that GOLD will go UP to 1935 LEVEL. Before that, GOLD may go down to the 1850 LEVEL with the FOMC UPDATE. Be careful..
XAUUSD GoldPair :- XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Description :-
Rising Wedge as a Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame and Rejecting from the Lower Trend Line
Completed " ABC " Corrective Wave
Bearish Channel as a Correction in Short Time Frame
Breakout the Upper Trend Line and Retest
Break of Structure
XAUUSD Hit the June 2022 High. Potential pull-back.Gold (XAUUSD) hit the 1880 Resistance, which was formed on the June 12 2022 High. As we mentioned in previous analysis the region within the October 04 Higher Highs and the 1880 June High is a strong Supply Zone and as you saw it already gave a short-term rejection.
If it fails to close a 1D candle above it, we are more likely to see a pull-back first towards the 4H MA50 (red trend-line) and then the 4H MA200 (green trend-line) and eventually the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been intact for 2 months (since November 08 2022). The 1D RSI also hit its Lower Highs trend-line that started on the November 15 High, indicating that we are on a major medium-term Resistance.
On the other hand, if Gold closes above the 1880 Resistance, expect a quick test of the 0.618 long-term Fibonacci at 1896 followed by the 1910 and 1920 May 05 and April 29 Highs respectively.
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XAUUSD | New perspective for the new week/yearThe channel between $1,820 and $1,780 last month reveals there's uncertainty about the fundamentals around the Gold. As the new year begins, there is a tendency to be some level of fear in the market as portfolio managers and traders will not want to be in a real risk-on position, especially in a week that is laced with key macroeconomic events. From a long-term and technical standpoint, this video illustrates how we shall be planning potential trading opportunities using the $1,800 zone as a guide.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD 1D RSI Bearish Divergence before the Golden Cross.Gold (XAUUSD) is about to form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame (around next week), which is the bullish pattern when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The price has been trading within a Channel Up pattern, while at the same time the 1D RSI has been within a Channel Down. This is a technical Bearish Divergence.
A similar price action was last spotted around the January 15 2019 Golden Cross. Gold was again recovering within a Channel Up on an RSI Bearish Divergence, with the price having breached the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level just before the Golden Cross. After a short 3-week pull-back, Gold resumed the uptrend even above the 0.786 Fib, and a little before completing the full reversal. Then it made a 2-month correction below the 1D MA50 and towards the 1D MA200.
This time however, the price hasn't made contact with the 1D MA50 at all in 2 months (since November 07 2022). If the USD and the US10Y search for their own 1D MA50, it is possible to see the price test 1D MA50 before rising further. In any case, keep dry powder for that, but the long-term trend remains bullish, which is something we projected would happen on our November 07 2022 analysis, after spotting the Triple Bottom on the RSI Higher Lows:
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You may also TELL ME 🙋♀️🙋♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁
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