The bulls are not completely defeated, go long gold!Brothers, gold has fallen sharply to around 2635 in the short term, which seems to have broken the recent range of fluctuations. So are the bears really coming? Have the bulls completely failed in the struggle between the long and short sides?
Although gold seems to be falling rapidly in the short term, the bulls still have a certain degree of resistance and will not be completely defeated immediately. I have just reminded that it is difficult for gold to have a sustainable market before the NFP market. So the short-term decline of gold is probably a fake move to trap more short positions of short gold at low levels. So I think before gold falls below the 2630-2625 area, we must be particularly careful about the counterattack of bullish energy, and we cannot blindly chase short gold.
So in terms of trading, we can try to go long on gold in batches in the 2635-2625 area. Wish us good luck!Bros, will you follow me to do more gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Xauusdsignals
Execute gold trading by selling high and buying lowBros, gold has been fluctuating in the 2645-2655 area most of the time today, with only a fluctuation space of $10. To be honest, it is not easy to participate in trading except for scalping. At present, gold has rebounded to around 2650 again. Gold is still in a narrow range of fluctuations as a whole. Gold may use the NFP market to break the box range, thus showing continuity.
So before the NFP market, we can still treat the market with shock in trading. Then the first thing to pay attention to above is the resistance of the 2655-2660 area, and the first thing to pay attention to below is the resistance of the 2640-2630 area. Before breaking the box range, we can rely on the support and resistance areas to sell high and buy low.
Trading strategy:
1. Using the 2655-2660 area as resistance, try to short gold;
2. Using the 2640-2630 area as support, try to long gold;
Bros, do you know how to correctly grasp the trading rhythm of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Waiting for opportunities to continue shorting goldBros, gold is still operating within the oscillating range of 2630-2655, and has not made any breakthrough moves. Gold is currently trading around the mid-range position of 2641. Currently, gold is trading around the mid-waist position of 2641. To be honest, the mid-waist position is not very easy to participate in trading, because gold has room for fluctuations up and down, at least it is not easy to set SL in the execution of transactions, so we can still wait patiently for trading opportunities.
From the perspective of gold structure, gold is still relatively weak, so I still prefer to short gold in trading, so if gold can rebound to the 2650-2655 area, I will continue to try to short gold.
Bros, do you know how to correctly grasp the trading rhythm of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Next, how to grasp gold trading and make money!Bros, today I shorted gold near 2650 according to the trading plan. Although gold once rose to around 2655 during the period, as gold fell sharply to around 2635 in the short term, it was obvious that our short position was closed by hitting TP: 2637. In this short transaction, I made a profit of more than $6K, which is a good trading result.
From the current gold structure, gold closed above 2630 many times during the decline. It can be clearly seen that a certain amount of buying support has accumulated in the 2635-2630 area; but in the absence of rebound strength, if gold cannot effectively break through the 2655-2665 area, gold is still in a relatively weak position.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, if gold cannot break through the 2655-2665 area, we can still continue to short gold based on this resistance area; but what we must be careful about when executing transactions is that once gold strongly breaks through the 2655-2665 resistance area, Gold may also continue to rebound to the 2670-2680 area.
Bros, do you know how to correctly grasp the rhythm of gold trading? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Seize the opportunity to continue shorting goldBros, gold fell as expected and touched the short-term support area of 2635-2630, and then rebounded again. Currently, gold is running around 2639.
At present, gold is repeatedly bullish and bearish in the short term, and neither the rise nor the fall is sustained. The overall market can be classified as a volatile market. However, from the perspective of the strength of gold's rebound, gold is relatively weak, and it has never effectively broken through 2650 during the rebound. So in short-term trading, we still focus on shorting gold after the rebound.
Then the area we focus on first is the 2645-2650 area, followed by the 2660-2665 area. As long as gold remains below 2660, I think the short energy is still slightly better, so at the right time, we can short gold with the 2645-2650 and 2660-2665 resistance areas.
Bros, are you as bearish on gold as I am? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD Still a great long-term buy opportunity targeting +$3000Gold (XAUUSD) has been following our Bull Cycle projection since 4 months back (August 05, see chart below) having risen an incredible +15%, from 2424 to almost 2800:
As you can see by the chart we constructed back then, despite the recent correction in November, the yellow metal is still a buy opportunity as this was only a technical pull-back based on our Bear - Bull Cycle model.
We have first come up with this technical pattern on April 04 2024 and the basis was the similarities (so far) of the July 2016 - August 2020 Bear-to-Bull Cycle with the Bear Cycle that followed the August 2020 Top and so far the current Bull Cycle.
As you can see, once the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) turned to a Support at the end of the Bear Cycle, it held up until the Bull Cycle's Top and every pull-back was a buy opportunity. More specifically, the current November correction looks very similar to the COVID flash crash on March 2020 that touched the 1W MA50 and immediately rebounded.
The key pattern here lies on the 1W RSI. As you see, once that broke above the 70.00 overbought barrier, while Gold was on the Bull Cycle's Channel Up, it started to decline inside a Channel Down. That technical Bearish Divergence (RSI Channel Down against Gold's Channel Up) affected the price on the 3rd top (Lower High), which was the Cycle's peak.
Right now it appears that the 1W RSI has (or is near) bottomed and is staring that final Bullish Leg to the Lower High that will form Gold's new Bull Cycle Top. Technically this should be after April 2025 and if it is formed again upon the completion of a +85.42% rally from the Bear Cycle's first bottom and at most the 3.0 Fibonacci extension, then we are still expecting a $3100 target.
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XAUUSD: 1800+' Buying Opportunity One Not To Miss! Dear traders,
XAUUSD currently making AB=CD pattern where A to B pattern has already been created, we are currently in a verge of creating C to D move. The fundamental also support our view, the price of the gold drop in a wake of elections announcement. US presidential result led the decline in the gold prices as DXY prices rose up significantly. However, as the market settles we are seeing price going back to its previous trend. Please be extra cautious while trading gold.
Good luck!
Gold will Go UP at least to PRZ!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise again after the conflict started in Syria as if the Middle East does not want to be calm (unfortunately). Every day is a new story.
Gold started to rise again from the Support zone($2,644-$2,624) after the high point and is moving in an ascending channel .
According to the Elliott wave theory , Gold seems to have succeeded in completing microwave 4 , and we should wait for it to rise again .
I expect Gold to rise at least to the upper line of the Ascending Channel and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($2,675-$2,668) .
⚠️Note: We can expect more dumps if gold touches $2,647.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD / RANGE MOVEMENT BETWEEN 2,678$ AND 2,604$ / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Yesterday, the market saw a price decline with a profit of +355 pips. This suggests a profitable movement for traders who correctly anticipated the downward trend.
• Prices are currently attempting to reach $2,661, which is identified as a key resistance level. If prices stabilize below this level, further declines are expected.
Expected Support Levels:
• If the downward trend continues, potential support levels are highlighted at:
• $2,630
• $2,604
• $2,587
These levels indicate areas where buyers might re-enter the market, slowing or reversing the decline If the price breaks above $2,661, an increase is expected, with a target of $2,678.
The critical range is between $2,604 and $2,678 , A breakout on either side of this range will “confirm direction,” meaning it will provide clearer signal of the next major price trend.
The market is currently under downward pressure, indicating a bearish bias in the analysis.
Gold’s Key Support at RiskGold is once again in a downtrend, and the key level to watch is the support zone between 2618-2609. If this support holds, gold may form a double bottom, increasing the chances of a rebound.
However, if the support breaks, this could likely be the final leg of a five-wave downtrend, and the decline could be the largest of the current cycle, potentially breaking below 2600 and reaching 2580, or even lower.If you're looking to go long on gold (trend trading), you will need to wait for the end of the five-wave decline and for a clear bottoming pattern to form before making your move.
XAUUSD / TRADING UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Prices are currently under downward pressure, indicating a bearish sentiment ,The current price movement is attempting to approach a resistance level of $2,630.
Scenarios and Levels , If prices stabilize below $2,630, it suggests further declines:
• First target: $2,604.
• Second target: $2,587.
• Breaking the resistance level of $2,630 suggests:
• First upward target: $2,661.
• Second upward target: $2,678.
Conditions for Movement, Stabilization below $2,678 , Suggests prices will likely decline , Stabilization above $2,678 , Indicates a possible continuation of upward momentum.
Overall Range , The expected trading range is between $2,716 (upper limit) and $2,542 (lower limit).
Recovery Strategy for Long/Short PositionsAre You Stuck in a Long Position and Thinking of Cutting Losses? Or Has Your Account Been Blown and You Want to Recover?
From my personal perspective:
If you're stuck in a long position and considering cutting losses: I suggest you hold on for a bit longer. Gold is currently in a short-term bottoming process. If you close your position now and prices go up, you will likely regret it. Trading with regret can lead to emotional decisions, and you might make the same mistake again. Patience could bring unexpected gains.
If your account has taken a hit and you're looking to recover: I suggest preparing more funds to continue buying. A rebound is inevitable, and 2640 is almost guaranteed to be reached. My target is around 2650, though it may change depending on market developments. But 2640 is a solid expectation.
If you entered short positions during the recent decline and got caught: You can open a long position to recover while waiting for a rebound. Once the price reaches 2640, you can close the long position and decide whether to add shorts again based on market conditions.
This is my advice, and I hope it helps you make a better decision moving forward.
XAUUSD testing the 4H MA50. Entered technical buy zone.Gold (XAUUSD) gave us a strong bottom buy signal on our last analysis (November 18, see chart below) right after it touched the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time in 9 months (since February 15 2024):
That was an ideal technical Higher Low for the long-term Channel Up and the rally that followed confirmed it. Since the Friday top however it got a heavy rejection and today is back on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). That is also the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, so it is gradually entering the 0.618 - 0.5 Fib Buy Zone.
On top of that, we can see that throughout this Channel Up pattern, every break below the 4H MA50 (during Bullish Leg) was received with a massive bullish reversal. The 4H RSI Higher Lows trend-line can determine the approximate max extension of the price.
In any event, this is a strong short-term buy opportunity. We keep our 2790 Target intact.
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Gold Market Outlook: ReboundToday, the news about the Israel-Palestine ceasefire triggered a sharp drop in gold prices, highlighting the significant impact that war news can have on gold. Recently, updates on the Russia-Ukraine peace talks are also expected to emerge gradually. Traders should remain cautious and avoid blindly chasing highs, because if there is positive news regarding the peace process, gold will likely experience sharp volatility. Although there will undoubtedly be various conflicts during the peace talks, I believe the ultimate outcome will be a successful agreement—it’s just a matter of which side gains more benefits.
Earlier, I posted a strategy for trading gold during the Russia-Ukraine peace talks. If you're interested, feel free to check it out.
As for current trading, after the large amount of selling pressure has been released, gold is expected to experience a corrective rebound. I’ve already provided specific trade signals—buy in the range of 2636-2621, with a target above 2650.
If you'd like to receive signals in real time, you're welcome to follow me.
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionGold just had its best week in recent times! This video analyzes the key factors driving the price surge – including geopolitical events and the latest US economic data.
As Geopolitical uncertainty continues to drive demand, this video illustrates my trading idea. Join me as I analyze Gold’s price action, identify critical levels, and share actionable insights for the coming week. Let me know yours!
#gold #goldinvesting #marketanalysis #usdata #pmi #consumersentiment #inflation #fed #tradingstrategy #forex
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Is XAUUSD Primed For A Pullback & Buy Opportunity?👀👉 The XAUUSD Gold market has recently experienced a pullback from a crucial liquidity zone and is now making its way back toward previous highs, sparking interest among traders about potential moves ahead. I am considering a buying opportunity, contingent upon a retracement to equilibrium and a bullish structural break. 📊 Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always perform your own research and trade responsibly.
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 21.11.24Reason for sell
Bearish Cross: The 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is nearing the 50-day SMA. A daily close below the 50-day SMA would confirm a bearish crossover, suggesting a potential downward trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): While the RSI is above 50, indicating bullish momentum, it's not strongly above this level, which might limit the upside potential.
Lack of Strong Upside Momentum: Gold prices have been consolidating recently, and there hasn't been a significant breakout to the upside. This lack of strong bullish momentum could contribute to bearish sentiment.
However, it's important to note that the technical picture is not entirely bearish:
RSI Above 50: As mentioned, the RSI being above 50 suggests some bullish momentum.
Potential for Upside: A daily close above the 50-day SMA could reverse the bearish trend and lead to further upside.
Ultimately, the direction of XAU/USD will depend on a combination of technical factors and fundamental news, such as interest rate expectations, economic data, and geopolitical events. It's advisable to monitor these factors closely and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Gold Trading Strategy 11/21Based on the recent gold market movements, the following analysis and strategy are proposed:
Market Overview:
Previous Decline: Gold prices have declined from around 2670, causing long positions entered near 2700 to be trapped.
Current Situation: As prices rebound to approximately 2650, some traders are closing positions to realize profits, leading to sustained fluctuations at this level.
Remaining Positions: High-level positions remain trapped, requiring prices to rise to around 2670 for breakeven.
Strategic Insights:
Resistance at 2670: Upon reaching 2670, there is an 80% probability of price decline or consolidation, with only a 20% chance of further increase.
Optimal Shorting Zone: The 2663-2673 range presents a favorable opportunity for short positions, offering potential high returns with manageable risk.
Trading Strategy:
Initial Positioning at 2652:
Minimal Short Position: Enter a small short position to test market response.
Minimal Long Position: Alternatively, enter a small long position to capitalize on potential upward movement.
Adjustments Based on Price Movements:
If Price Rises Above 2660:
Close long positions.
Add to short positions.
If Price Falls Below 2640:
Close short positions.
Add to long positions.
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss Orders: Implement appropriate stop-loss levels to mitigate potential losses.
Position Sizing: Ensure position sizes align with individual risk tolerance and account size.
Gold Market Analysis and Strategy
Based on the current market trends, there is a strong likelihood that gold prices will continue to rise beyond the 2650 level. At this point, a shorting opportunity may emerge, as there appears to be a potential downside of approximately $28, targeting a price around 2622.
Key Considerations:
Upward Momentum: Gold’s recent movements indicate strong bullish momentum, likely driven by market sentiment and technical factors.
Resistance at 2650: The 2650 level serves as a significant resistance zone where the upward trend may stall.
Shorting Opportunity: After reaching this resistance, there could be a reversal, offering a window for shorting with a measurable target.
Trading Plan:
Entry Point: Monitor gold prices closely as they approach 2650. Prepare to open short positions once signs of reversal appear, such as bearish candlestick patterns or a decline in momentum indicators.
Target: Set the target at 2622, capturing the $28 potential downward movement.
Risk Management: Use a stop-loss above 2660 to minimize potential losses in case of unexpected bullish breakouts.
XAUUSD: Sell Around ResistanceLast week, I repeatedly emphasized that gold would rebound and recommended focusing on long trades. Those who followed my strategy have likely secured substantial profits this time.
Additionally, I clearly pointed out yesterday that gold would retest the support around 2580, presenting a new buying opportunity, with resistance at 2608–2614. This analysis has been validated by the market movement.
Currently, gold prices have risen to around 2640, entering a new resistance zone. Today’s trading strategy will focus on selling near the resistance area to capture potential pullback opportunities.
XAUUSD: BUYToday, gold rebounded after a pullback to around 2554. As mentioned during yesterday's session, I alerted everyone to watch the 2556-2547 range for the pullback, and unless there were any surprises, this would present a new buying opportunity. I believe those who have been paying close attention to the updates should have seized this opportunity. Currently, the market is facing resistance and is in a consolidation phase. There is a possibility of further testing of support in the short term, but in the medium term, the bulls have a stronger potential. Therefore, my trading strategy remains focused on the long side, with the primary target above 2580.
Support 2554-2547, 2537-2526