5/23 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood afternoon everyone!
Gold did not touch our key buy or sell zones yesterday, but flexible intraday range trading worked well, resulting in decent profits.
Currently, the price has reached around 3330, and from a technical standpoint, bulls remain in control. If no negative surprise hits the market, gold could target 3368 today, with a potential to test 3400 resistance next week.
🔔 On the news front, two key events during the U.S. session today deserve attention:
A speech by Fed Governor Lisa Cook on financial stability — may provide hints about the Fed’s stance.
An executive order signed by Donald Trump, which might impact markets depending on its content (e.g., taxes, tariffs, or spending).
Also, note that U.S. markets will be closed next Monday, but this is unlikely to cause major disruptions. Positions held over the weekend can still be adjusted during the Asian session on Monday.
📈 Today’s Trading Recommendations:
📉 Sell near 3382–3398 (Resistance zone)
📈 Buy near 3274–3256 (Support zone)
🔁 Flexible trading levels:
3285 / 3296 / 3307 / 3316 / 3328 / 3337 / 3346 / 3361 / 3373
Xauusdsignals
XAUUSD How VIX points to a Gold Bear Cycle.Gold (XAUUSD) may be on a 5-week correction but on the long-term it remains within a Channel Up since the October 31 2022 Low. That was essentially when its Bear Cycle ended and the new Bull Cycle (Channel Up) started.
The previous Bull Cycle stopped 4.5 months after the Volatility Index (VIX) shown in blue, peaked during the March 2020 COVID flash crash.
We are now on a similar situation as VIX topped on the week of March 31 2025 during the Trade War and has already started to decline aggressively.
In symmetrical terms, we could be around the end of May 2020 on Gold's last short-term pull-back before the final rally to the August 03 2020 Top (where its Bear Cycle started).
As a result, according to this correlation, we may see Gold forming a Bull Cycle Top by the end of July (2025) and then start a new +2 year Bear Cycle.
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Gold rebound height is limited, short goldTechnical aspects:
Gold has failed to make a major breakthrough in the recent rebound process, and the rebound height has been limited to a smaller and smaller level. Overall, gold is now in a state of shock and short position; as the center of gravity of gold shifts downward, the current short-term resistance is in the 3220-3230 area; and gold has tested downward many times recently, which makes it easier for gold to fall below 3200. Once gold falls below 3200 again, it is very likely to extend to 3190, or even around 3160.
Trading strategy:
Consider starting to short gold in batches in the 3220-3230 area, TP: 3205-3195
Gold still has the potential to rebound, continue to buy goldTechnical aspect:
Gold has just retreated to around 3217 and then rebounded again. It has now rebounded to around 3235. Although the rebound strength is a little weak, it has even hovered around 3235 for a long time. But structurally, gold did not destroy the rising structure during the decline, and the strength of structural support was strengthened after the effective retracement support. After being recognized and accepted by the market, gold will continue to rise with structural support. Once gold breaks through the short-term resistance area of 3250-3260, it will continue to rise to 3280-3290, or even around 3320.
Trading strategy:
Before the short-term rising structure is destroyed, we can still continue to try to go long on gold in the 3325-3315 area, TP: 3240-3250
XAUUSD Targeting the 1D MA100.When we looked at Gold (XAUUSD) on May 05 (see chart below), we called for a strong sell on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and a 3155 Target:
Now that this target was hit and the 1D MA50 broke, we expect a short-term bearish continuation, as the last 3 times the price broke below the 1D MA50, it always hit the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
Still, all candles since the test closed above the 1D MA50 so we need to seek a confirmation of the bearish continuation and that is the 4H MA50 (red trend-line). If rejected there, expect an instant drop. If not, the last Resistance is the top of the Channel Down. In both cases, our short-term Target is 3060.
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Gold fluctuates greatly. What will happen next week?Gold fluctuated greatly on Thursday and Friday. It is difficult to implement an operation strategy in this market. It is difficult to go short or long. The market does not continue the next day, and there are few suitable trading opportunities in the process of changing the market. So what should gold do next week? Has the rhythm of gold changed again?
The rhythm of gold has changed rapidly recently, and next Monday is actually the key; the 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to show signs of turning, so whether it can form an upward trend is the next key.
The strength of gold on Monday is very important. Gold closed with a big positive line on Thursday, but it fell directly on Tuesday and pierced the support level, which cannot be said to be completely bullish. Although it rebounded slightly in the late trading, it still closed with a real big negative line.
Next week, we need to pay attention to two key positions. Pay attention to $3175 below. If it falls and breaks quickly after the opening on Monday, then gold will still be weak overall; pay attention to $3215 above. If gold breaks through this point strongly and stabilizes above the point, then gold will be strong overall.
If gold opens flat in early trading on Monday and the upward momentum is not strong, then you can continue to short in the short term.
XAUUSD[GOLD]; Is it the beginning of the major correction? XAUUSD dropped from 3265$ to 3127$, as predicted in our previous analysis. However, after touching 3127$, the price has retraced slightly and is currently trading at 3178$. In our opinion, the price can go up to $3220 maximum and reject at that level. We need to wait and see how prices behave. Another possible entry point is at 3178$, which is the current trading price. We believe this region is good for selling because the price has struggled to break through it. Please use a proper trading plan while trading gold.
As always, this analysis doesn’t guarantee that price will move as described in the chart. Please use your own knowledge and trading plan while trading gold. Good luck and trade safely.
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5/16 Gold Trading Signals
🌇Good afternoon, everyone!
Gold made a strong one-way rally from 3120 to above 3200 yesterday, perfectly achieving our bullish target with substantial profits.
Today, after a slight uptick at the open, gold started to pull back and enter a consolidation phase. Technically, this is a normal correction after a $120 surge. However, the key question now is:
🔍 Is this just a healthy pullback, or a bearish continuation pattern?
There’s some uncertainty in the current structure:
On the larger scale, the market still appears to be forming a double top.
On the shorter-term, this week’s pattern resembles a head and shoulders bottom, and price is now testing the neckline zone.
🧭 So, while the direction remains unclear, we can still identify key trading zones to act on.
🗞 News Watch:
Several important U.S. data releases are scheduled during the New York session. They may provide crucial directional signals for gold.
📌 Today’s Gold Trading Strategy:
🟢 Buy Zone: 3176 – 3148
🔴 Sell Zone: 3265 – 3287
🔄 Flexible Trading Zones (watch for reversals or breakout plays):
▫️3187-3198-3209-3237-3258-3267
✅ Reminder: With the structure being complex and direction unclear, avoid aggressive positioning. Focus on scalp or short-term trades near key zones and react to market post-data.
Continue to short gold after the reboundFundamentals:
1. Focus on Powell's speech at the Thomas Laubach Research Conference;
2. Pay attention to the situation of the Russia-Ukraine negotiations;
Technical aspects:
Gold has successively broken through the important support area of 3200 and 3160, and continued to around 3120; the short-term bearish trend is very obvious; although gold has rebounded to around 3170 again in the short term, I think the reason is one of the technical rebound repair after the decline; the second is the result of profit-taking of some short positions. So I fully believe that gold has the need to fall again after the rebound;
At present, we need to focus on the resistance of the 3175-3180 area, followed by the resistance of the 3195-3200 area; if gold cannot break through this resistance area during the rebound, gold is expected to fall again and continue to the area around 3100.
Trading strategy:
Consider the opportunity to short gold after gold rebounds to the 3275-3285 area; TP: 3150
TVC:DXY FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
Rebounds are opportunities to short goldAt present, gold has tried to fall below the 3200 mark and completely broke the recent low support, laying the foundation for the downward structure. As the center of gravity of gold shifts downward, the upper resistance also moves down to the 3210-3220 area. The relatively clear support below in the short term is in the 3165-3160 area, and after breaking this area, it may even continue to the 3105-3100 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider continuing to short gold in the 3210-3220 area, TP: 3180-3170
CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:DXY
Gold 3200 Life and Death Battle!Gold stabilized after touching the support of the 3193-3202 rising trend line. Although the US market rebounded, it did not form an effective breakthrough. In the short term, it is still dominated by shorts.
Short-term strategy:
Before 3200 is broken, you can go long on dips. If it falls below, stop the loss decisively, and use a small stop loss to game the potential bull reversal. Whether the 3250 pressure is broken or not determines the short-term direction
Start going long on goldAt present, the trend of gold is relatively calm, but as gold rebounds, a certain support strength has been shown below; and the short-term negative news has all appeared, and gold needs to rebound at the technical level. Therefore, I think we can try to go long on gold in small batches in the current area of 3230-3220, and expect gold to continue to rebound to the 3250-3260 area, or even the 3280-3290 area.
Trading strategy:
Try to start going long on gold in small batches in the 3230-3220 area; TP: 3250-3255
Gold’s 3200 mark is the key!Due to the ceasefire between India and Pakistan and the easing of the Sino-US trade war, gold opened directly and fell below 3280 and 3260 successively, so the decline of gold will continue.
From the gold hourly chart, the focus below is on the 3200 integer mark. If it falls below 3200 and cannot effectively stabilize, then gold will have a big double top here, and the next decline will extend to around the 3000 integer mark. On the contrary, if the 3200 mark is not broken, then the bulls will fight back, at least they will fill the gap again
So in terms of operation, it is not recommended to chase the short now. If you want to go long on gold, you can wait for it to fall back to the 3200-3210 area and stabilize before buying
XAUUSD first time to hit the 4H MA200 in a month.Gold (XAUUSD) hit its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) today for the first time since April 08. That was a Higher Low at the bottom of the Bullish Megaphone pattern and produced its Aril 22 All Time High (ATH).
Since then, the market has been correcting under a Lower Highs trend-line, due to the de-escalation of the Trade War and today's 4H MA200 is so far a Double Bottom on a potential Descending Triangle.
Its last Bullish Leg peaked on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, so we are now turning bullish targeting 3375 (current 0.786 Fib).
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Continue to short gold after the reboundFundamentals:
The positive signals from the China-US negotiations have eased the market's concerns about the US economic recession, and the weakening of risk aversion has stimulated a sharp pullback in gold. Market funds are no longer eager to seek safe-haven assets, so they withdraw their funds from gold and turn to risk markets.
Technical aspects:
The gold price plummeted by $110 during the day. Although it has rebounded slightly at present, the overall rebound momentum is relatively weak. The upper 3280-3290 area is currently the main short-term suppression level, followed by the 3240-3250 area. If the rebound in this area is not broken, you can continue to short gold, and the shorts may continue to reach new lows; focus on the support of the 3200 mark below. If 3200 is not broken, then the bulls may try to counterattack and fill the upper gap; if gold falls below 3200, gold will continue to fall to the area around 3170.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold after it rebounds to the 3245-3255 area, TP: 3220
2. Consider going long on gold after it continues to fall to the 3180-3170 area, TP: 3220;
3. If gold stabilizes above 3200, we can consider going long on gold around 3200 in advance.
Shorts were active at the beginning of this week, and prices fel
📌 Gold driving factors
The joint statement of the Sino-US Geneva economic and trade talks has just been released. This development has hit the safe-haven demand for gold and has become the fuse for a new round of gold selling.
Coupled with the hawkish "holding back" of the Federal Reserve, the dollar has remained stable near its multi-week high and put pressure on gold. The trend of gold prices seems quite fragile.
📊Commentary analysis
The next resistance for gold prices is the static barrier of $3360-3365/ounce. If it can be decisively overcome, it will eliminate the recent bearish tendency and lay the foundation for gold prices to regain the $3400/ounce mark.
💰Strategy Package
⭐️Set Gold Price:
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3315-3317 SL 3322
TP1: $3300
TP2: $3290
TP3: $3280
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3223 - $3225 SL $3218
TP1: $3238
TP2: $3245
TP3: $3260
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold Bounces After Fake Break — More Upside AheadGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) fell to the Support zone($3,280-$3,240) as I posted yesterday ( Full Target) .
Gold started to rise again after making a Fake Break below the Support lines .
Gold is trading above the Resistance zone($3,330-$3,320) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin completed the main wave C with the help of the Ending Diagonal .
Educational note : The Ending Diagonal in Classic Technical Analysis is the Falling Wedge Pattern .
I expect Gold to resume its bullish trend, at least for the short term , and to at least $3,356 .
Note: If Gold breaks the Support lines with high volume, we can expect further declines.
Note: Worst Stop Loss(SL) = $3,031
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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The golden earthquake storm is coming!In terms of news: Major events over the weekend include the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the sudden change in the situation between India and Pakistan, and the progress of Sino-US negotiations: Although India and Pakistan announced a truce, India's surprise attack turned the agreement into a joke. The high-level economic and trade talks between China and the United States are still continuing in Geneva, and it is difficult to have clear results in the short term. The war between Russia and Ukraine is still in a stalemate. The superposition of multiple events has injected uncertainty into the market.
Technical aspects:
Pay attention to the pressure in the 3360-3380 area. If it stands firm at 3346, it can fall back to arrange long orders. If it directly breaks below 3300 at the opening, pay attention to the support near 3280 - this position is likely to be lost, and effective support depends on the downward pattern formed after the 3260 break, and the ultimate target is 3200.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 11.05.25Pattern: A bullish pennant pattern has formed, signaling a potential upward continuation.
Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken the daily short-term downtrend line and is retesting the breakout zone, which suggests potential for a strong upward move.
Support & Resistance Zones:
Support Levels: S1 (≈ 3325), S2 (~3270)
Resistance Levels: R1 (~3350), R2 (~3375), ATH & Resistance 3 (~3425)
Entry Zone: Price is in a buy zone, reinforced by a bullish spinning top candlestick and alignment with an uptrend line.
Stop Loss: Placed just below Support S2 (~3270)
Take Profit (tp): Near ATH zone (~3425)
Will gold fall? Here comes the latest analysis.Technical analysis:
Gold fell rapidly in the morning and then bottomed out and rebounded. When the price broke through $3,324, it began to rise. The weak market will not rebound significantly. When the rebound that engulfed the decline appears, it will continue to rise. However, it should be noted that gold has been fluctuating at a high level for a week. It rose sharply on Monday and Tuesday, fell sharply on Wednesday and Thursday, and it is still fluctuating sharply today.
For the current trading market, I think the price of gold will continue to rise in the fluctuation. After the hourly cycle breaks through the $3,324 position, the market will gradually increase today, and there is room for further upward continuation. I think short-term trading is still mainly long; after the rebound high, you can choose a short strategy.
Action suggestions:
Long strategy: Go long at US$3330, stop loss at US$3320, and take profit at US$3360-3370.
Short strategy: short at $3,365, stop loss at $3,380, take profit at $3,300-3,310.
Golden stage low area: 3285-3275!Fundamentals:
1. Focus on Trump's dynamics and tariff-related issues;
2. Pay attention to whether geopolitical conflicts will escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc.
The current expectation of interest rate cuts has declined, and the tariff storm has cooled down. At the same time, the market is betting on a further trend correction, which may cause capital outflows from the market, which will further hit gold bulls!
Technical aspects:
As I expected in my previous article, gold is expected to fall below 3300. Sure enough, gold has shown signs of falling below 3300. In the current structure, gold may further extend to the 3280-3270 area, which is also an important support area of primary concern in the short term; and as gold fell sharply, the market was bearish, and short-term resistance also moved down to the 3315-3325 area.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider the shorting opportunity after gold rebounds to the 3315-3325 area, TP: 3300-3290
2. Consider the longing opportunity after gold falls to the 3285-3275 area, TP: 3300-3310