Gold is under pressure at 3400, with a short-term decline expectGold is under pressure around 3400. Today we will have the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's speech. If gold is under pressure at 3400, it is expected to fall. Before the data, we need to be cautious.
In terms of trading ideas, we can short short-term, pay attention to the short near 3393-96, stop loss 3403, take profit 3360/3350
Xauusdtrade
XAU/USD Analysis: Chart Indicates Elevated VolatilityXAU/USD Analysis: Chart Indicates Elevated Volatility
The XAU/USD chart shows that the ATR (Average True Range) indicator has reached its highest level in several weeks, signalling increased market volatility.
In addition, trading activity is being fuelled by heightened geopolitical tensions, now including an escalation of the conflict between India and Pakistan.
The price action analysis of the precious metal also provides valuable insight, highlighting the ongoing battle between supply and demand.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
On 23 April, we noted a sharp shift in sentiment after the price of XAU/USD peaked around $3,500.
Gold price fluctuations today suggest continued bearish pressure above $3,400, leading to a downward reversal at peak B, which sits below the previous high at A.
This forms the basis for outlining a descending channel and suggests that bears may attempt to keep the price within its boundaries. On the other hand, the $3,333 level was decisively broken by a wave of buying (shown with a blue arrow), and a bullish “cup and handle” pattern is emerging in the background — it is possible that, as part of the May rally, bulls may try to surpass peak B.
Whatever the outcome, elevated volatility appears likely to persist — especially with the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision due today at 21:00 GMT+3, followed by Jerome Powell’s press conference at 21:30.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold price fell after a high? Trend reversal?Analysis of Asian morning session:
The recent high point of gold price reached 3437 US dollars, and it fell sharply after the Asian morning session opened. The gold market opened after the Asian holiday, and the bulls rose strongly; the Asian morning session was volatile, and the current lowest reached around 3360, a drop of 77 US dollars.
Then it adjusted back and reached a high of around 3404; this position can be used as an important resistance level at the opening time of the Asian session. Between the sharp rise in the morning of the past two days, and the upward continuity of the European and American sessions, coupled with the recent continuous rise and fall, the rapid fall in the Asian morning session.
Quaid believes that in this continuous upward pattern, once there is a sharp fall, it is also likely to be a signal of insufficient bullish power in the short term; then we need to consider whether the bears can reverse, and the current upper pressure position is at 3395 US dollars, and the lower support level is at 3360 US dollars, which is equivalent to the previous top and bottom conversion.
Operation strategy:
Short when the price returns to 3390, take profit at 3370-3360, stop loss at 3400.
Good luck to everyone.
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On Tuesday, gold witnessed a surging rally. It perfectly achieved the feat of "killing both bulls and bears" within the day. Here is the latest trading strategy.
After a significant rally on Monday, gold continued its upward momentum on Tuesday, with the increase approaching the 3,400 mark. The bullish sentiment was extremely high. Leo issued a single trade prompt for VIPs to go short, and suggested going long during the European session when the price pulled back. Both the short and long trades successfully reached the take-profit targets. Currently, judging from the trend, it still remains in a bullish pattern. In the US session, continue to go long at a low level following the trend. Pay attention to the support in the 3,370 area below.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3370-3380
TP:3390-3400
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Has the road to gold adjustment begun?Gold has reached a high of around 3404, so this position can be used as an important pressure point. In this continuous upward trend, once there is a sharp decline, it is likely to be a signal that the short-term bulls have peaked. Then we need to consider whether the bears can reverse, and the current upper pressure point is also the high point of the last wave of pullback near 3393, and the lower support is at 3360.
Trading idea: short near 3387, sl: 3400 tp: 3370
Gold is expected to pull back, short gold!Fundamentals:
Focus on the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's speech;
I think the Fed will keep the interest rate decision unchanged this time, at least it will not announce a rate cut this time, which may suppress the gold market;
Technical aspects:
Before the Fed's interest rate decision, gold is currently in a volatile state. However, relatively speaking, it is currently in a volatile and bearish state, with short-term resistance in the 3395-3405 area; and gold has repeatedly tested the 3370-3360 below during the retracement process. After multiple tests, gold may be more likely to break through this support area; the key support below is in the 3360-3350 area, followed by the 3320-3310 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3395-3405 area, TP: 3370-3360
Gold bides its time. Bulls are suppressed at high levels?
Gold is waiting for the Fed's interest rate decision.
analysis in Asian time period:
Gold opened with a sharp drop due to international news, and continued to fluctuate at a high level in the 3360-3400 range predicted by Quaid. I predicted in the early Asian session that the price of gold would rise to around 3390 and then fall back to around 3370-3360. And its trend is just as Quaid predicted and analyzed, with a correction after the predicted high point.
Now it seems that gold has fallen into a high-level fluctuation range after a sharp drop in the early Asian session, which is in line with my expectations. Quaid believes that the trend direction of the European session is very important. The current upward suppression range is between 3400-3415, and the downward support level is between 3360-3370;
On the contrary, if the European session falls below the downward support range, it may continue to fall.
But Quaid believes that the overall upward trend of gold prices has not changed. Gold prices are just accumulating strength now, and will continue to rise after the adjustment.
Overall trend analysis:
Quaid recommends that the long strategy is still the main one. If the support range of 3360-3370 can resist the downward trend, then we can still carry out the long strategy after the price falls back.
Operation strategy:
Long strategy: Go long when the price falls back to 3365, stop loss 3350, take profit range 3400-3415.
Short strategy: Go short at 3395, stop loss 3405, take profit 3360.
Gold has reached the $3,400 level againThe Federal Reserve will announce the May FOMC interest rate decision and hold a press conference tomorrow.The market generally expects the interest rate to remain unchanged, but Powell's speech will be crucial. 👉👉👉The non - farm payrolls data in April was unexpectedly strong (with 177,000 new jobs added). Coupled with the Federal Reserve's concerns about inflation, Powell is likely to continue his hawkish stance and emphasize "inflation - fighting first". If he signals a delay in the timing of interest rate cuts, it may suppress the bullish sentiment in gold. Conversely, if he implies concerns about economic slowdown, gold may gain support.
Gold has recently broken through the key resistance of $3,330 and firmly stood above the $3,400 level. The daily chart shows a clear upward channel. Gold trading advice: Go long in the range of $3,380 - $3,390 on a pullback, with a stop - loss at $3,360 and a target of $3,430.
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3380-3390
sl 3270
tp 3420-3430
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!👉👉👉
Gold still has the potential to extend to 3420-3430.Fundamentals:
Focus on the Fed's interest rate decision;
Technical aspects:
Gold rose to 3397 and encountered resistance and fell back, and the bulls' momentum was insufficient. But I think the gold bulls are far more than that. Gold is bound to hit 3400, and even continue to the 3420-3430 area; since gold rebounded after hitting 3200, it has repeatedly built a solid bottom structure support below, and the oscillating rise has effectively supported the continued rebound of gold. As the center of gravity of gold moves up, the support structure also gradually moves up. The current short-term support is in the area around 3380-3370, and the second is in the area of 3365-3355.
Trading situation:
According to today's trading strategy: Go long on gold at 3350 in the morning and around 3375 in the afternoon. In order to lock in profits in time, manually close orders at 3366 and 3394 respectively. Today, the total profit in gold long transactions exceeded 360pips.
Trading strategy:
During the rising shock, there are profit opportunities for both long and short parties in some areas, but currently, overall, bulls have the advantage and are mainly long gold. Consider the opportunity to go long when gold falls back to the area around 3380-3370, TP: 3400.
Gold price breaks through 3400. Bulls take control?Gold price breaks through the 3400 resistance level I predicted. And there is a trend of continuous rise.
Next, Quaid will comprehensively analyze the current market situation for all traders.
Technical analysis:
From the daily chart, the gold price has broken through the important resistance level and formed a strong upward trend. Currently trading above $3400, it has successfully broken through the key resistance range of $3385-3400. The Bollinger Band indicator shows that the middle track is at 3231.01, the upper track is at 3485.06, and the lower track is at 2976.97, indicating that the current price is near the upper track of the Bollinger Band, showing strong upward momentum.
The RSI indicator shows that the current value is 64.8, which is in the neutral to strong area, and has not yet reached the overbought level, and there is still room for growth.
Quaid believes that in the short term, if gold stabilizes above $3,400, it may hit $3,430-3,450. Once it breaks through, it will open up the possibility of a higher price.
Market sentiment observation:
The current market sentiment is clearly biased towards risk aversion, and global geopolitical tensions have become the main driving force for gold to rise. The continued tension of geopolitical conflicts and political uncertainty in Germany have prompted market participants to seek safe assets. At the same time, expectations for the Fed's future monetary policy shift are also increasing. Although the possibility of a rate cut in May is extremely low, the probability of a rate cut in the June meeting is close to 30%.
Liquidity indicators show that the trading activity in the gold market has increased and institutional funds continue to flow in, indicating that bullish sentiment in the market has the upper hand in the short term. Technical indicators have not shown obvious overbought signals, which means that the current rally still has room to continue. Compared with other asset classes, gold's relative strength is outstanding, especially in the context of the possible challenges to the status of the US dollar as a safe haven asset.
Outlook for the future
In the short term: Gold prices may continue to rise to test the $3,400-3,500 area. The Fed's decision will be a key trigger for gold prices in the near term. If the Fed shows a dovish attitude, gold prices are expected to further break through historical highs.
Medium term: Global geopolitical uncertainty is expected to continue to support gold prices. If geopolitical conflicts escalate further or the situation in the Middle East deteriorates, safe-haven demand may push gold prices to hit the $3,600 level. At the same time, market expectations of a shift in the Fed's monetary policy will be another key factor affecting gold prices.
Long term: From a macro perspective, the current combination of slowing global economic growth and geopolitical tensions will continue to provide support for gold.
Gold is rising strongly. What is the reason?Analysis of today's market in Asian session:
Last week, the price of gold rebounded to above 3240, the lows were constantly rising, and the highs were broken; such a rebound is tempting traders to short.
In the morning of Asian session, the price of gold rose rapidly from 3320 to 3385 US dollars. In just two days, the price of gold recovered the decline during the Asian holiday. In the current market situation, it is not far away to rush back to the high point. The key to the price increase in the morning of Asian session may also support the European session and the US session. You can use a long strategy during this period.
However, you must pay attention to the continuity of the gold price. If there is an attack in the market transaction, there must be a defense; the downward or upward resistance level must be clear after the breakthrough position, how to operate to maximize the benefits and minimize the losses.
Quaid believes that if gold pulls back, its support point needs to focus on the 3340-3350 range, and the defense position is 3320; the position of the Asian morning rise should be paid attention to. If it falls below this position, you need to adjust the strategy in time.
Quaid believes that the upward trend is currently focused on $3380-3400.
The Fed meeting is coming. Will gold fall?Today's news focus:
The US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce the interest rate decision;
Fed Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference.
The market generally expects that this meeting will continue to maintain the previous data, because the impact of tariff policies on inflation and the economy still needs to be observed. The Fed's interest rate cut may be carried out in June. Since this interest rate decision does not update the economic forecast, the focus will be on the Fed's incidental comments on any signals of future interest rate cuts to support the economy. Since the decision to keep the interest rate unchanged has been fully digested by the market, Powell's tone at the press conference will be the key to changing the market's expectations for interest rate cuts this year.
Today's gold trend analysis:
At present, according to the hourly chart, gold is still under pressure at the range resistance above 3400; on the one hand, the current tariff storm has cooled down, and on the other hand, the interest rate cut has decreased; and the news data to be released will cause a series of fluctuations in gold in the short term. At the same time, the market is currently betting that the gold price will have a further trend correction, which may cause capital outflows from the market, which will further hit gold bulls.
Quide believes that there is still room for operation in the short term. The resistance level of short-term upward movement is around 3400, but since the game between major powers has not stopped, there will be no major negative factors; if the news data does not fluctuate much, the market may not have a big dive.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3400, stop loss at 3410, and take profit in the range of 3370-3360.
Quide will always pay attention to important news and can provide professional analysis and suggestions for everyone in a timely manner.
I hope to help everyone recover their losses in the gold trading market.
Are gold bulls regaining control of the market?
📌 Driving factors
The latest news from the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs on Wednesday showed that Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng will visit Switzerland from May 9 to 12. During this period, he will serve as the Chinese leader of Sino-US economic and trade and hold talks with the US leader, US Treasury Secretary Benson.
Beijing said that on the basis of fully considering global expectations, Chinese interests, and the calls of the US industry and consumers, China decided to agree to engage with the US. Any dialogue and negotiation must be carried out under the premise of mutual respect, equal consultation, and mutual benefit. If the United States attempts to continue to coerce and blackmail under the guise of talks, China "will never agree."
The market is paying attention to the policy decision announced by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. It is expected that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged at the meeting, but this meeting may be the last meeting with such a clear result.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is unlikely to provide clear guidance on how the Fed plans to respond to U.S. tariffs. Macquarie analysts led by Thierry Wizman wrote in an investor report, "If traders naively believe that the Fed will save the world and use obvious "dovish" signals to alleviate the recent increase in policy and political uncertainty, then they should think again."
In addition, investors also need to pay attention to the impact of news related to the geopolitical situation. This week, Israel and the Houthi armed forces "fought hard", which also provided safe-haven buying support for gold prices. There have also been some conflicts between India and Pakistan, which investors need to pay attention to.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold price awaits today's interest rate result, rebounded well above 3400 but then fell immediately, indicating that the market is not ready for the first rate cut, and if there is, gold price may face strong selling pressure today
💰Strategy Package
Long position:
Actively participate near 3365 points, profit target is around 3420 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold's upward momentum continues. Will gold continue to see an uFundamental analysis:
Tomorrow will see the decision of the Federal Open Market Committee, which may pose a risk to bulls as the Fed is likely to refute the market's aggressive dovish pricing expectations. From a more macro perspective, as the Fed implements loose policies, real yields may continue to fall and gold is still in an upward trend. But in the short term, more positive news on tariffs and a hawkish stance by the Fed may trigger a further decline in gold prices as the market readjusts to the new situation.
Technical analysis:
Gold prices broke through the shock range strongly in the early Asian session, jumping from $3,330 to $3,386, and then slowly fell to $3,350; it climbed again to $3,385 during the European session. The European session did not break through the early high, but there was no excessive retracement, and the European session as a whole maintained high shocks. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the current upward resistance is 3,395, and the support level is 3,350 below. If the upward movement today can strongly break through the resistance level of 3395, the price of gold may reach the high point of 3400-3430.
If the price of gold fails to break through the resistance level of 3395 and continues to fluctuate at a high level, it will prepare for a continuous rise and break through the high.
Operation strategy:
Long strategy: enter the market and do more, and the upward range looks at the high point of 3400-3430.
Short strategy: short at 3410, and the downward position looks at the support range of 3370-3350.
Gold is expected to fall in the short term
Gold rebounded to around 3380, and the K-line decline was inevitable, so there is no doubt that the gold price will fall. The current K-line closed with an upper shadow, which is a sign that the bulls have reached their peak.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3380, stop loss 3390, target 3350
Gold breaks through 3350. Can the bullish pattern continue?In the early Asian session, gold rose rapidly and broke through the 3350 resistance level predicted by Quaid.
Fundamental analysis:
US political developments also add uncertainty to the market. The Trump administration's decision to impose a 100% tariff on imported films shocked the market, and this unpredictable trade policy weakened market confidence. Although the dollar was supported by strong employment data, it still struggled to gain substantial upward momentum, which further supported gold prices.
Economic uncertainty also boosted gold prices. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to start a rate cut cycle in the near future, which weakens the attractiveness of interest-bearing assets and increases the relative value of non-yielding gold. However, many traders remain cautious and avoid building large positions, waiting for clearer policy signals.
Technical analysis interpretation:
From the monthly chart analysis, gold breaking through the neckline becomes a key trigger point. The pattern measures the depth from the neckline to the bottom of the head and projects it upward, giving a target price range of $3200-3300, which has now been achieved.
In addition, the pattern is not only technically strong, but also psychologically significant. A breakout after a long period of consolidation often attracts new long-term market participants and speculators.
Market Observation:
Current market sentiment is cautiously optimistic. On the one hand, macro uncertainty and risk aversion demand drive funds to the gold market; on the other hand, concerns about the timing and magnitude of the Fed's policy adjustments restrict the willingness of some bulls to take risks.
Quaid Analysis:
Bull Outlook
After the gold price breaks through the 3350 resistance level I predicted, the next target range may point to 3380-3400.
Short Outlook
In the short term, gold may face technical pullback pressure. The main support levels are at 3330 and 3300. If it falls below 3300, it may trigger a deeper pullback to around 3240.
Quaid believes that the market's expectations for the Fed's shift may be too optimistic. If future data show that inflationary pressure remains stubborn or economic resilience exceeds expectations, it may lead to a delay in expectations for rate cuts, thereby putting pressure on gold prices.
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Start shorting gold and seize the opportunity to make a profit!!Fundamentals:
Focus on Trump and the Fed
Technical aspects:
Gold fell back to around 3253 and then rebounded, and continued to rise to around 3318. The upward momentum in the short term looks particularly strong. According to the current structure, as gold gradually rebounds, off-market buying funds gradually enter the market, pushing gold further up. However, when facing the previous turning point position area of 3325-3335, the market is cautious and it is difficult to break through this area in a short period of time. Therefore, when gold gradually approaches the 3325-3335 area, gold may usher in a wave of retracement in the short term; obviously, the retracement area we can foresee is the 3295-3285 area first.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3315-3325 area, TP: 3295-3285
Gold bulls are back in force. What is the operation strategy?The gold price has reached the sideways fluctuation range expected by Quid. This matches my morning prediction.
From the 4-hour trend:
Gold has now broken through the first upward resistance level predicted by Quid, and is currently fluctuating slightly in the 3315-3320 range.
The current upward resistance position is around 3330. The lower support is currently located at 3275-85. If gold does not retreat, then the upward trend may test the position around 3350.
On the contrary, if gold chooses to retreat, traders need to pay attention to the 3275-3285 decline range.
Quid believes that as long as gold retreats and stabilizes in the 3275-3285 range, then a long operation strategy can be carried out at this position.
The current upper high is still at 3350. If the upward resistance level of 3350 is broken later, I expect the price of gold to reach a height of 3380-3420.
Gold prices rose rapidly after falling. What happened?Gold prices rose in late Asian trading hours.
In the morning, gold prices stabilized above $3,250 as investors returned to defensive assets due to continued uncertainty in the US trade agreement with China and Japan, and increased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine.
The weak dollar before the Fed meeting and the decline in expectations for rate cuts also supported gold demand. The market focus remains on US trade news and the hawkish stance that the Fed may take this week.
Quaid's analysis of market views:
1. Despite the short-term adjustment in the market, the bullish logic of gold still exists, and bullish investors are more willing to buy when the price is low. The continued volatility of US government policies and the slowdown in US economic growth constitute strong support for gold.
2. During the previous Asian holiday, the gold market fell to the key support of $3,200. After the opening, Yanzhou buyers quickly bought at a low price, causing gold to rise rapidly in the short term.
Quaid believes that from a technical point of view, the gold price has reached the bottom resistance level of the range. If the price of gold does not react to the false breakout and continues to hit 3315-3320, then a breakout and consolidation above this level will strengthen it to 3320-3350.
Upward resistance: 3315, 3320, 3350
Downward support: 3265, 3250, 3220
Since the opening, the price of gold has retested 3269 twice. Buyers are testing the resistance level in the hope of a breakout. If the bulls break through 3315-3320 and consolidate above 3310, the possibility of an upside move will be high. However, the possibility of another test of the liquidity area of 3250 before the upside move cannot be ruled out.
If the price of gold breaks through the upward resistance, traders can try to go long in the short term and conduct scalping.
On the contrary, if the price of gold fluctuates sideways in the 3310-3315 range, Quaid recommends shorting in this range.
Market Analysis: Gold Dips FurtherMarket Analysis: Gold Dips Further
Gold price started a fresh decline below $3,300.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price climbed higher towards the $3,350 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar.
- A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $3,270 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price climbed above the $3,250 resistance. The price even spiked above $3,300 before the bears appeared.
A high was formed near $3,352 before there was a fresh decline. There was a move below the $3,300 support level. The bears even pushed the price below the $3,250 support and the 50-hour simple moving average.
It tested the $3,200 zone. A low has formed near $3,203 and the price is now showing bearish signs. There was a minor recovery wave above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,352 swing high to the $3,203 low.
However, the bears are active below $3,270. Immediate resistance is near $3,270. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,270.
The next major resistance is near the $3,295 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,352 swing high to the $3,203 low. The main resistance could be $3,352, above which the price could test the $3,400 resistance. The next major resistance is $3,500.
An upside break above the $3,500 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,550. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,620 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $3,240 level. The first major support is near the $3,225 level. If there is a downside break below the $3,225 support, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $3,205 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold fluctuates widely; short-term trading analysis.In the morning of the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently trading around $3,270/ounce, an increase of about 0.9%.
As Mr. Trump's latest statement hit the market's risk appetite, the price of gold rose rapidly in the short term. The current London gold price has reached $3,270/ounce, climbing nearly $30.
In addition, the market focus has turned to the Federal Reserve's May FOMC meeting on May 7. Although the market has priced in a standstill, Powell's latest remarks and press questions after his radical statement in April will attract high attention.
Asian market morning analysis:
Gold prices rebounded again in the morning of the Asian market. Quaid believes that if gold does not break through strongly, it will still fluctuate within the range, and the current bullish situation has not reversed. If gold continues to maintain its strength, it can resume the bullish trend. But it has not broken through for the time being, so the possibility of shorting is still very large.
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to be in a downward short position, and there is still room for gold shorting; gold was under pressure at 3270 in the early stage and fell back, and the early rebound was under pressure at 3270 and continued to fall. Gold is still fluctuating within the range in 1 hour, and Quide believes that the short-selling trading strategy is still the main one.
Operation strategy:
Short-term operation: short at 3265, stop loss at 3280, and profit at 3250-3240.
I hope Quide's analysis can help all traders make profits in the gold market in time and harvest the first gold of the day.
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After the release of the Non-Farm Payrolls data, the price of gold initially declined and then rebounded, continuing its range-bound trading pattern. Recently, the impact of the NFP data on the gold price has weakened, and the volatility is lower than the normal level. The price level of 3,280 will be a crucial inflection point determining the battle between bulls and bears next week. If the gold price fails to break through the resistance at the 3,280 level and is suppressed, it is highly likely that the range-bound trading pattern will persist, and the bullish trend is unlikely to reverse directly in the short term. In terms of trading operation, it is advisable to wait for a rebound and then execute short positions.
Trading Strategy:
sell@3280-3260
TP:3240-3220
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
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