After the gold plunge,how to accurately grasp the gold operationMessage surface:
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell was unexpectedly very hawkish when he testified on the semi-annual monetary policy report on Tuesday. He said that after raising interest rates at a faster pace, future interest rate expectations may be higher.This caused the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March to quickly heat up, and triggered a full-scale rebound in the dollar, which suppressed gold prices to the weakest level in four trading days at 1813.
In addition, investors also need to pay attention to the US “small non-farm payrolls” APD employment data this trading day. The market expects ADP employment to increase by 200,000 in February, compared with the previous value of 106,000. This expectation is biased towards bearish gold prices; In addition, this trading day also needs to pay attention to the speech of Richmond Fed Chairman Barkin and the semi-annual monetary policy testimony delivered by Fed Chairman Powell to the House Financial Services Committee. Powell's speech is estimated to be much the same as Tuesday, but if Barkin's speech further strengthens the expectation of raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March, it may further suppress gold prices.
Technical aspects:
Gold was physically saturated with the big negative line yesterday, and it continued to fall below the 5-, 10-, and 20-day moving average, and the gold price fell below multiple key support levels. It is currently trading at the 1814 line. This state is enough to change the previous pattern of strong rebound.At present, both technically and the market's expectations of future fundamentals, gold bulls will not get any advantage, and the overall market sentiment will turn short again. The lack of any rebound in the market is enough to show that the current market short sentiment is very heavy.
At present, the bulls can't see a little bit of rebound power, and there is too much room for a short-term decline last night, so don't chase the short-term for the time being. At present, the market is in a weak correction transition. I look forward to a certain technical rebound in the market. Take advantage of the rebound and then consider short-term participation. During the day, you can first pay attention to the first rebound after the overnight fall. The small high is near 1823, and continue to pay attention to the 1810-1805 support area below.
Operationally: You can participate in empty orders when you rebound to near 1823, the expected target: 1810-1805; you can try to go long in small batches when you step back to near 1805 for the first time, and the expected target is near 1823.
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FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Xauusdtrade
Gold is brewing long-term sentiment, and the upward trend will c
Today's market conditions are in line with my expectations yesterday. At present, the daily line is still rising. After the big rise broke the Bollinger Band on Friday, the technology is still performing strongly.Therefore, before the non-farm payrolls data affect the short-term direction of gold, I think gold will continue to fluctuate upward.
For the intraday market, the 4-hour cycle of Bollinger bands opened on the upper track, and the support of the 5- and 10-day unilateral moving average is the standard strong point, mainly bullish.
Operationally, it still continues yesterday's thinking, focusing on long positions at low levels. You can consider long positions on the 1850 line, and the first target is expected to be on the 1860-1865 line.
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Will XAUUSD continue to rise strongly?Following the closing of the DOJI, gold maintained a strong rise on Friday and touched the 1855 line. It can be seen that the gold price has continued its strong rebound pattern since 1806, and with the support of the 5-day and 10-day moving average, it gives the market the possibility that gold will continue to rise in the future. The technical indicator MACD is about to form a golden fork, and the upward momentum bar has just emerged, so it is likely that the upward trend of volatility will continue next week.
However, overall, since the market is currently waiting for next week's non-farm payrolls data and the Fed's attitude towards raising interest rates, even if gold prices rebound, the room for rebound will still be limited.
Judging from the 2-hour chart, the gold trend is too volatile, and the MACD shows that the kinetic energy is too strong. There is still momentum to rise in the short term, but the top is about to face resistance from the 1865 line, so the higher the gold price in the short term, the greater the pressure it will face. It is not ruled out that there will be a rhythm of volatility and decline in the market; However, in the current form, the main one is the bullish upward trend, and the pullback is relatively small, while the 1850 line below is the key support in the short term, so the current market trend is biased towards long-term operation.
In terms of operation, it is mainly based on long positions at the low level. You can consider going long at the 1850 line; you can try to go short near 1865 for the first time.
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The XAUUSD Learning CurveHey Traders,
You may remember we looked short as the market rallied and rallied. Well, you can see how that turned out.
Now before you look to decide how you will trade the following move you must take the opportunity to save in your brain (or this post) a key lesson to learn.
The fall to Circa 1600+ area gave way to this long move. That is because the fall was harsh and fast and moved the market to comfortable support. There are 2 traders in this situation:
- This will keep falling.
- This will turn around.
Both are hypothetical, but only ONE is logical.
The latter, in any situation, you will find up ends being right over time. That's because markets cannot fall forever they have to change and move the opposing way, that's just how things have and do always work. Simple Market Economics and experience Trading tells you this.
That is why the markets are oscillations of price over time. Buyers and Sellers move in and out according to the overall sentiment and key price points for value on an asset.
So again, next time this kind of thing happens... Don't be a neigh-sayer. Be a Trader. Be patient and wait for the returning move, it'll come.
PS if you mind then says 'OK when will it come, how do we know?'... That's what PA and a risk plan is for. Never let any market ruin your portfolio and make you scared.
Scale your risk in accordance with available capital and never overleverage.
How is the trading of XAUUSD today?
XAUUSD broke through the resistance level after multiple tests of 1830 and rose today. As mentioned in a previous article, friends who shorted gold at high levels need to reduce positions or take profit near 1830. The long and short positions are fiercely contested at this level, and the current market trend is biased towards the long side. Attention should be paid to the resistance level of the previous high point of 1847, and it is not advisable to chase the upward trend. A light short position can be established when the price reaches 1847 for the first time, and then wait for the market to adjust to around 1830-1835 before following the trend to establish a long position.
Today's trading strategy: Establish a light short position when the price reaches 1847 for the first time, with the first profit-taking target at 1835, the second profit-taking target at 1830, and the stop-loss at 1852. Short-term trading should be emphasized on Friday, and do not be too greedy. Wait for the adjustment and then enter the long position at the appropriate time.
I have in-depth research on futures products such as cryptocurrency, forex, stock market, gold, and crude oil, and I also update some daily trading strategies. Thank you for your attention and likes. Friends with questions can leave me a message, and I will provide the most reliable advice to help you.
Gold market commentary on 2/3/2023Spot gold extended its rally on Wednesday, hitting an intraday high of $1,844.47 a troy ounce. XAU/USD pulled back from the level amid resurgent US Dollar demand following tepid United States macroeconomic figures but holds on to most of its intraday gains. Broad USD weakness ahead of data and the risk-averse ruling environment maintain Gold on the winning side.
Market participants have been moving away from the Greenback these days amid positive news affecting its major rivals coupled with tepid American macroeconomic figures. This Wednesday, the country released the February ISM Manufacturing PMI, which resulted at 47.7, barely improving from the previous 47.4 and missing the expected 48. However, the survey shows that “new order rates remain sluggish due to buyer and supplier disagreements regarding price levels and delivery lead times,” indicating persistent price pressures.
The report triggered a run to safety, which temporarily benefited the USD. At the time being, Wall Street’s indexes trade mixed but off their early highs. Government bond yields, on the other hand, run higher, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury note currently at around 4.0% and the 2-year note yield hovering near a 16-year high of 4.904%.
Support levels: 1,825.90 1,812.20 1,803.00
Resistance levels: 1,848.00 1,863.70 1,877.50
Recommendations for trading gold:
Buy GOLD 1830 - 1829
Stop Loss: 1825
Take profit 1: 1835
Take profit 2:1840
Take profit 3: 1850
Sell GOLD 1845 -1846
Stop Loss: 1850
Take profit 1: 1835
Take profit 2:1830
Take profit 3: 1825
Note: Always set TP and SL in all trading cases
If you have any questions or support, please leave a comment
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTIONReason Behind teh XAUUSD/GOLD Fall
1. RSI 14 Below 50 which tends the bearish trend in 1H time frame
2. Stochastic oscillator is overbought and ready to move down which confirm teh fall again
3. Strongly breaked 1820 which is last week low which pushes lower to teh montly Low oof 1800
Over Possible Outcomes
XAUUSD SELL @ 1813.70
Sl 1920
tp 1800
Down Goes Gold.. Learning Why These Moves HappenSo, we looked Short on Gold repeatedly.. and with good reason!
If you saw my posts and streams previously we looked at levels where we could look to get short.
We can now RE learn from this move for future reference and we can also plan out longs as price falls.
Remember, what comes up has to come down. It's inevitable. It's just how things work..
You need to:
1) Reflect on high the price is
2) Reflect on previous zones and what happened before.
3) appropriately assess your Risk Plan + sentiment of the market.
We can look to exit the short positions you had and take the gains RE short higher.
We are Looking to take long bounces as price falls to levels shown.
As always trade small and light!
XAUUSD towards tapping the daily supportThe price fell down before going to 1972 level as was suggested in the previous post. But I think this daily support is going to be a bouncing point for the price.
The price is trading above this support right now but there is a high probability it will tap that daily support before a significant bounce.
XAUUSG breached recent high 1949 as suggestedThere you go, XAUUSD breaching recent high of 1949 as mentioned in past few posts. Highly probable, the price is heading towards 1972 for this move.
If you longed the 4 hour support of 1922 as suggested, you just need to chill and watch the price move higher.
XAUUSD bounced from daily support and reclaimed 4h supportReclaimed the 4h support which it broke yesterday. The higher probability of this break was discussed in a post and a later post the support and bounce from the daily support was predicted.
Now the price has reclaimed the 4h broken support. This clears up the way for upward movement. The price might pull back here a bit to 1922, but will bounce from there for a further upward movement claiming the recent high of 1949.
Gold Day AnalysForex and gold is a market full of potential but also a lot of risk, so practice and equip yourself with the necessary knowledge.
Our pivot point stands at 1912.00.
Our preference
The upside prevails as long as 1912 is support.
Alternative scenario
The downside breakout of 1912 would call for 1901.50 and 1895.50.
Comment
The RSI is trading above 70. This could mean that either prices are in a lasting uptrend or just overbought and that therefore a correction could shape (look for bearish divergence in this case). The MACD is positive and above its signal line. The configuration is positive. Gold is above its 20 and 50 period moving average (respectively at 1911.30 and 1904).
Supports and resistances
1951.50 **
1945.50 *
1939.50 **
1933.00
1920.20 last
1916.00
1912.00 **
1901.50 *
1895.50 **
Number of asterisks represents the strength of support and resistance levels.
XAUUSD UPTREND CORRECTION | 08.01.23 WEEKLY ANALYSIS Fundamental & Technical Analysis
Reason For XAUUSD Short
1. Obey strong Resistance @ 1880
2. Make a Fake breakout @ 1660 and make a Trap for Buyers
3. As it was in Bullish engulfing it it may Smell up to 1880
4. Bearish Rising wedge Confirm the Short sell in strong uptrend
Fundamental Reason
Retest dxy around 104 ,if break Below and touch 103 XAUUSD reach 1880 if retested 101 the reach 1910 and Make Fall
Gold || Going Short1. Price Action Moving in Range
2. Price bouncing back
from 1820 Resistance
3. 1820 is a fat number
4. Rising Wedge Pattern
5. Placing SL above resistance @ 1826
6. Placing TP @ 1800
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION#XAUUSD
According to the analysis we gave to XAUUSS earlier, GOLD went UP very fast in the previous weeks, BREAKING the TREND LINE. Due to this US10Y went down.
The dollar has strengthened after the December FOMC. All MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going down slightly due to the OFF of MARKET RISK. RETAIL SALES, NFP and PMI DATA, CPI DATA should be monitored.
But since all the ECONOMIC INDICATORS were positive the other day, GOLD was slightly SELL yesterday. It is definitely a very important indicator for the FED. Currently, MARKET RISK is being OFF.
We have some very important NEWS coming to USD this week. Be sure to keep an eye on it.
Anyway, we expect that GOLD will go up to 1875 LEVEL. Before that, GOLD may go down to the 1795 level with the FOMC UPDATE. Be careful..
XAUUSD SIDE WAY BREAKOUT PROJECTIONTechnical Reason For XAUUSD Bullish
1. We can clearly See Formation of Ascending Triangle Pattern in 1D candle and it makes the breakout there
2. We have confirmed the breakout Over 1810 due to Huge demand in W PATTERN formation
3. We can see formation of BULLISH REVERSAL PATTERN dur to fomation of strong bear candle which indicates the end of short sell trend
Overall Possible Outcomes
XAUUSD BUY @ 1810-1815
SL 1753
TP 1880