XAUUSD: Technical analysis and operational strategy
Gold came under selling pressure on Wednesday as US retail sales fell at a slower pace than expected in October. The reason for the pullback in spot gold after hitting a weekly high of 1975, failing to hold above $1970, is mainly due to the rebound in the US dollar and the rebound in US Treasury yields. Spot gold fell on Wednesday, retreating from a high of $1,973 to near $1,955. After the opening of this trading day, gold prices still continued to weaken, trading around $1966. On the 4-hour chart, gold remains above the 20-cycle SMA, suggesting upside potential. Technical indicators, however, give mixed signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending down, momentum indicators are flattening, and MACD indicators show limited potential. A break below $1,955 would leave gold vulnerable in the short term. If it breaks through $1970 / oz, gold will test the key resistance level of $1975 / oz. In the short term, the operation tends to be in the 1955-1975 interval, waiting for the break of the weekly line interval tomorrow, and then make arrangements!
Spot gold operation recommendations:
Strategy one: Callback 1956-1958 near multiple single entry, stop loss of 6 dollars, the target 1970-1972 line;
Strategy two: Rebound 1972-1970 near the short entry, stop loss of $6, the target 1958-1956 line.
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Xauusdtrade
XAUUSD: SellInitial jobless claims are about to be announced. From a technical perspective, the trend of gold today is biased towards the short side, but there is uncertainty in the data.
If it is negative for gold, then it will follow the trend and have a sharp decline, and it is expected to fall below 1950.
If the data is bullish for gold, there is a high probability that it will fall back after rising, so today we focus on short trading.
If you don’t want to take risks, you can wait until the data is released before trading. Those who like risk-taking can trade short positions in advance to control risks.
Good day and good luck!
GOLD → $1,950 in sightHourly candles see the OANDA:XAUUSD knocking back into the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) after a failed bid for higher chart ground, slipping back from Wednesday's weekly high set at $1,975. The 50-hour SMA is showing a mixing of near-term momentum, consolidating with the longer moving average near $1,960.
On the daily candlesticks, the XAU/USD is churning after a bounce off the 200-day SMA is facing resistance early on. The 200-day and 50-day SMAs are consolidating around $1,930 as long-term momentum drains out of Spot Gold, and sellers will be looking for a break of last week's bottom bids near $1,930 while the topside target remains late October's high-water mark etched in just north of the $2,000 major handle.
XAUUSD: Gold analysis and operation
Yesterday, the Federal Reserve released CPI annual rate data performance is relatively poor, below market expectations. The dollar fell in response. Gold rose on the day.
Early this morning, 1961-1962 straight up. Continuation of yesterday's trend, the horizontal directly broke 1971.
Programme: 1977-1980 empty, objectives 1970-1966:; Step back 1966-1963 more.
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gold trading strategy
Today it started to rise after backtesting the support of 1961. Now it faces the resistance of 1974 and is trying to break through. From a morphological point of view, the probability of breakthrough is greater, so the transaction should be to fall back and go long ( 1971, 1969, 1966 ), with the target set at 1979, 1984, 1987.
XAUUSD: Today's summary and subsequent operations
Today, under the influence of CPI data, gold pulled up from 1944 to near 1970, followed by a continuous pullback, the current price 1962, the follow-up focus on the lower 1944 support level, we can short near 1965-1970, and long in 1950-1955!
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XAUUSD: Tomorrow's trading plan
Hello everyone, welcome to Allen's strategy column.
Today's CPI bullish gold has brought us huge profits. Judging from the existing trend, tomorrow's Asian and European market will focus on the support of 1953-1947. Of course, it would be best if it can not fall below 1957 , at the resistance level, we mainly consider the European and American trading time period, focusing on 1974-1989. In terms of trend, I am more inclined to rise.
Therefore, in tomorrow's trading, I plan to focus on long positions and make adjustments based on market changes. I will continue to release new trading strategies at that time, so please check back.
If you encounter a problem that cannot be solved, you can tell me and I will try my best to help you.
Good luck to everyone!
Behind the scenes of the US-China summitNegotiations leading up to the meeting between Biden and Xi in the United States are being portrayed as a tense battle of wits, with both sides trying to gain maximum advantage.
The White House has confirmed that US President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit to be held in San Francisco on November 15. The two leaders will discuss a range of bilateral, regional and global issues, as well as ways to responsibly manage competition.
This will be the second direct meeting between the two leaders since Biden took office as US president. Officials from both countries have been engaged in intensive negotiations and discussions in recent weeks to reach an agreement.
BTC will continue to rise until next weekOn-chain analytics firm IntoTheBlock has released data showing a significant increase in demand from institutional investors and whales in the crypto sector. Ethereum scaling solution Polygon in particular has been at the forefront of this trend, with transaction volume increasing by 3,800% to over $100,000 in the past 30 days.
IntoTheBlock's classification of his trades over $100,000 as "large" trades reveals significant activity by whales and institutional investors. This large volume increase is a key indicator of increased activity in the industry, suggesting that major players are actively participating in significant transactions.
This increase had a positive impact on the price of Polygon's native cryptocurrency MATIC, which exceeded $0.90 for the first time since July. MATIC's market capitalization has increased by a significant 77.3% over the past 30 days, highlighting the impact of increased whale and institutional investor activity.
The price of gold is predicted to continue falling rapidly untilWall Street analysts are less optimistic about gold prices next week due to concerns that U.S. inflation will be higher than expected.
Global spot gold prices fell last week after a hot day due to the political conflict between Israel and Hamas since early October. The precious metal remained above $1,930 an ounce, but failed to cross the threshold. Mental resistance is $2,000.
A Kitco News survey of 12 Wall Street analysts and 319 retail investors found that these two groups have different expectations for gold prices next week.
In contrast to the previous week's positive sentiment, most analysts predicted a negative outcome for gold in the short term.
Gold operation method next week
Gold fell to 1993 this week and was blocked, falling to the key support line of 1933. This week is a downward trend. If we look at the continuation of the trend, it will continue to fall next week, but we cannot continue to be short until 1933 is effectively broken.
The weekly resistance at the top this week is around 1971, the support at the bottom is around 1933, and the super support is around 1910. If it doesn’t fall below 1930 after the opening next week, you can try to go long first.
Gold prices found resistance near 1961 on Friday, eventually ending in a downtrend. The resistance will be near 1955 next week. If it does not break above, you can go short first at a high price. When the price is close to 1933, it is still recommended to go long first, and then continue to go short once it falls to 1933 and then rebounds.
Next week's gold operating price range: 1933-1955 at the beginning of next week. Before the upper support and lower pressure have not broken through, go short at the high level and long at the low level. Take a trend following approach if price resistance is broken
Next week I will bring you more analysis, please join me, I will share more trading signals and analysis
XAUUSD: Analyze and operate today
Gold fell for three consecutive days, the front because of the geopolitical impulse to basically smooth out the bulls, and all the way down even broke the 1970-1953 support, the current minimum to 1947, the general trend is strong and weak, the market is also going down, the current consideration is how to card points to short, from the current 4 hours and hour range, 1957-1958 is the first resistance level, It is also the support pressure of the early stage, followed by the second pressure level of 1968, which can be surrounded by empty space
The specific layout is as follows:
1. The first time to see 1957-1958 empty once, lost 1964, the target to see 1948-1943 broken look
2. See 1968 empty at any time within the day, lose 1975, and see the target below the broken position from 1958 to 1948
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XAUUSD: Gold retreated, followed by the 1980 line
As Treasury yields edged back up, gold came under pressure, falling back from above $1,990 during the day, although last week's weak NFP forecast brought forward Fed rate cut expectations, but the gold price did not seem excited about it.
For this week, gold will continue to track events in the Middle East, while a number of Federal Reserve officials will make their debut this week, including Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. After three weeks of gains in gold, the rise has slowed, but the bull trend has not ended, and the shock of nearly two weeks or brewing a more significant rise. In the chart, the Bollinger belt opening, KDJ index to form a gold fork, last Friday prices in the non-agricultural impact of the high fall, today's gold price still maintains an upward trend, concerned about the 2000 mark can successfully break and stand firm! In the short term, the probability of shock is large, and the support of the 1980 line is concerned below, and the resistance of the 2000 line is concerned above.
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XAUUSD: Accurately grasp the impact of data
Today, gold did not fluctuate much before the data appeared. When the data became positive across the board, gold once rose to near 2003. We continuously shorted at this position and chose to close the position in 1996, finding that gold did not have a rebound trend, so we continued to sell in 1996, and finally closed all orders near 1988. Congratulations again to the friends who follow!
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XAUUSD Friday Review
Gold directly broke through the early suppression line of 1993 under the influence of Friday's non-agricultural data, and the price reached around 2004. In Friday's channel, I told everyone that if it breaks through 1993, gold will be bought directly. In fact, the data was released Finally, the time to buy is completely sufficient. The price of gold is artificially high. With the support of multiple news data, it still fell back to around 1992. From a technical perspective, once gold falls around 1970, it will break through the bullish trend. I will bring more analysis next week.
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XAUUSD Top-down analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD: Double top formation, subsequent fall?
From the technical point of view, the current formation of a double top shape, the future market bearish, but due to the support and data near 1975 led to a temporary rise in the market, the subsequent energy is insufficient, and now has fallen to near 1979.
Continue to pay attention to the impact of the meeting in two hours, if it breaks 1975, continue to bear!
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Accurate signals for gold
Gold, bulls began to retrace yesterday, reaching the lowest level of 1990 before stopping. After testing this position many times, it got a certain amount of support and reached the bulls' willingness to repair. Then we can temporarily make a certain bull layout around this position during the day. , of course, once this position continues to break, we still need to adjust the later direction in time. The daily line closed yesterday's big negative line. Although it is in a continuous rising form, a single negative retracement may be a way to repair it, and below The short-term moving average is also gradually rising, which can also provide a certain support effect. There is still a desire to rise in the short term, and the current hourly line shows a weak retracement situation, but the middle rail position below also needs to test the support effect, and currently gold While the top touches the 2009 line and then starts to retreat, the bottom support will also remain at the 1990 line, so we will first look at the shock within the range during the day. temporary trading strategies
Gold: buy1988-1990, tp2001-2003, sl1982.
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Gold trading strategy for next Monday
I accurately judged the basic range and trend of gold on Friday. The price of gold exceeded the 2,000 mark on Friday night. Although multiple data released by the United States last Friday were beneficial to the decline of gold, the war has had a negative impact on gold. The impact is huge. As the multi-party war intensifies, the price of gold rises sharply.
There will be a lot of news about gold next week, including news about the Federal Reserve, non-farm payrolls, unemployment rate, etc. In addition, combined with the war trend at the weekend, I think gold will still show an upward trend. If the intensification of the war does not ease, the price of gold next week may reach around 2080. If the war eases, and the important data released next week will be beneficial to gold Going short, I think the support for gold prices around 1950 is still strong.
Gold may adjust its price to around 1995 on Monday and then rise again.
Gold’s operating strategy for next Monday:
buy:1996-2002 tp 2022 (if there is a huge price adjustment after the opening, I will re-update my trading signals)
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XAUUSD (Gold) Shorts towards 1980.000 and below.For gold, I have two possible scenarios that could play out this week. As we've seen a huge impulsive move to the upside recently, we are now expecting price to drop in order to fill in the imbalances and take out the liquidity that was left below. Currently, it's in a very good daily supply zone that caused a CHOCH to the downside on (may 23rd.) Hence why I am expecting price to distribute and sell off down towards the levels of 1980 and below.
As of now, we are looking for imminent sells towards the 8hr demand zone as that's a good zone that could respect the bullish trend in order for price to keep going bullish. So from there, I would be looking for a buy opportunity. However, As we have too much liquidity underneath that 8hr demand zone i.e. engineering liquidity, untouched asia lows and swing lows. We won't be surprised if price pushed further down all the way to 1920.000 or even 1880.000. As we will find a lower time frame confirmation for the sell I would personally take out at 1980 to see if price wants to respect it or violate the demand completely.
Scenario (B) is that the daily supply zone that it is currently in will fail and mitigate the extreme (9hr) Supply zone above it in order to then sell off from there towards 1980. To add, there is an untouched Asian high within the current zone so I can see that being taken before price wants to start reversing. Regardless as of now, we are looking for sell opportunities from the current price or the 9hr supply above to target the 1980.000 region, to then ultimately see if price wants to break or respect that POI.
My confluences for XAUUSD shorts are as follows:
- Price has tapped into a daily supply zone that has caused a change of character to the downside.
- Rejection from the POI has started to become visible due to the small consolidation where price has initially entered.
- Lots of liquidity to the downside in the form of trendlines, untouched Asian lows and imbalances.
- Price has been bullish for quite some time and the impulsive move requires some sort of pullback that I am expecting currently.
- Price has also swept lots of liquidity on the higher time frame that was gathered since couple months ago.
- Bottom side of the consolidation left around 1952 needs to be swept as well as its just swept the top side of it.
P.S. We have to be ADAPTIVE in all scenarios as the more angles we can look at something the more prepared we can be when price makes its decisions. Hence why in this detailed analysis we are looking at more than one way of what XAUUSD forecast might look like.
XAUUSD: This week's summary and next week's trading ideas
Recent spot gold trend is strong, the situation in the Middle East brought about by the risk aversion to the gold price constitutes obvious support, gold bulls stood on Friday 2000 US dollars, once on the 2008 US dollars.
On the evening of the 28th, Israel again bombed a house in Gaza. On the 27th, the United Nations adopted a draft resolution on the Palestinian-Israeli issue, calling for a truce. In addition, Friday's events between India and Pakistan, northern Myanmar, and the US air strike on Syria have brought new variables to the geopolitical risk.
However, the US economy remains strong, the data released in the week showed that the US GDP grew by 4.9% in the third quarter, and the pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates further remains, which has a certain pressure on gold prices. Gold has recently shown a strong upward trend, although it has retreated in the short term, but the overall trend remains upward.
It is expected that the market will usher in a large probability of continued rise in the future. Next Monday's operation is recommended to be mainly low.
Gold:buy@2000-2002 tp 2015-2023
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